ARDLINETry the model
DUKE

Duke 32 at North Carolina 25

UNC
2025 · Week 13 · Nov 22, 2025 · Kenan Stadium
Win probability · UNC
modelUNC aheadDUKE aheadconfidence bandkey play
Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDKEY PLAYKEY PLAY
What moved it - hover a play below
Q4 0:00 · End of 4th quarter.
01
DUKE has the ball
−26
02
Blowout context favors the offense
−13
03
Market gave UNC a 31% pregame chance
−9
04
DUKE leading by 7
−3
Play by play - hover to pin the curve
Q1 15:00
(15:00) #39 C.Salas kickoff 65 yards to the UNC00, Touchback
0.0
Q1 14:45
(15:00) Shotgun #7 G.Lopez pass complete short left to #12 D.June caught at UNC21, for 12 yards to the UNC37 (#2 J.Francois), 1ST DOWN
+3.4
Q1 14:29
(14:33) No Huddle #12 D.June rush right for 0 yards to the UNC37 (#97 W.Williams; #7 V.Anthony Jr.)
+0.2
Q1 13:51
(13:55) Shotgun #7 G.Lopez rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UNC41 (#7 V.Anthony Jr.)
0.0
Q1 13:05
(13:10) Shotgun #7 G.Lopez pass complete short left to #1 J.Shipp caught at DU 42, for 22 yards to the DU 37 (#5 K.Robinson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
+0.4
Q1 12:42
(12:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #37 D.Gause rush middle for 1 yard gain to the DU 36 (#2 J.Francois)
+1.8
Q1 12:09
(12:13) Shotgun #12 D.June rush middle for 2 yards gain to the DU 34 (#2 J.Francois)
0.0
Q1 11:32
(11:40) Shotgun #7 G.Lopez pass complete short left to #8 K.Paysour caught at DU 20, for 17 yards to the DU 17 (#7 V.Anthony Jr.), 1ST DOWN
-0.2
Q1 11:10
(11:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 G.Lopez pass complete short left to #1 J.Shipp caught at DU 17, for 6 yards to the DU 11 (#34 L.Mergott), out of bounds
+0.2
Q1 10:36
(10:40) No Huddle #12 D.June rush middle for 1 yard gain to the DU 10 (#14 B.Davis)
0.0
Q1 10:00
(10:07) Shotgun #7 G.Lopez pass complete short left to #8 K.Paysour caught at DU 12, for 3 yards to the DU 07 (#8 D.Stone), 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "First down". CALL UPHELD
-0.2
Q1 9:04
(09:13) Shotgun #7 G.Lopez pass complete short left to #80 J.Owens caught at DU 09, for 5 yards to the DU 02 (#0 C.Rivers), out of bounds
+0.4
Q1 8:34
(08:41) Shotgun #7 G.Lopez rush left for 1 yard gain to the DU 01 (#8 D.Stone; #42 K.Johnson)
-0.4
Q1 7:57
(08:00) Shotgun #7 G.Lopez rush right for 1 yard gain to the DU 00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:57 #90 R.Verhoff kick attempt good (H: #96 T.Maginness, LS: #42 S.Triplett)
+14.2
Q1 7:50
(07:57) #90 R.Verhoff kickoff 58 yards to the DU 07 #2 S.Hagans return 40 yards to the DU 47 (#21 K.Cost)
-0.5
Q1 7:43
(07:50) Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush right for 6 yards gain to the UNC47 (#5 G.Gibson), out of bounds
-5.3
Q1 7:21
(07:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UNC46 (#9 M.Abou Jaoude; #31 W.Hardy)
-0.6
Q1 6:41
(06:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass incomplete short left to #2 S.Hagans thrown to UNC40 QB hurried by #8 S.Vilbert
0.0
Q1 6:29
(06:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete short right to #85 J.Hasley caught at UNC34, for 27 yards to the UNC19 (#5 G.Gibson; #7 K.House), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
+0.4
Q1 6:07
(06:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UNC16 (#92 C.Mims)
-0.7
Q1 5:27
(05:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush middle for 6 yards gain to the UNC10 (#31 W.Hardy)
+0.4
Q1 4:57
(05:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush middle for 0 yards to the UNC10, End Of Play
0.0
Q1 4:18
(04:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 A.Castle rush middle for 6 yards gain to the UNC04 (#7 K.House), 1ST DOWN
+0.8
Q1 3:36
(03:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 A.Castle rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UNC01 (#31 W.Hardy; #6 D.Robinson)
-0.7
Q1 2:59
(03:03) #4 A.Castle rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UNC00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:59 #29 T.Pelino kick attempt good (H: #41 K.Reynoldson, LS: #57 C.Cooper)
-17.1
Q1 2:59
(02:59) #39 C.Salas kickoff 65 yards to the UNC00, Touchback
+3.0
Q1 2:48
(02:59) Shotgun #7 G.Lopez pass complete short left to #12 D.June caught at UNC20, for 0 yards to the UNC25 (#0 C.Rivers; #42 K.Johnson)
+4.6
Q1 2:26
(02:31) No Huddle #12 D.June rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UNC26 (#10 T.Reed)
0.0
Q1 1:41
(01:46) Shotgun #7 G.Lopez pass incomplete short right to #9 J.Green thrown to UNC35 QB hurried by #2 J.Francois
0.0
Q1 1:36
(01:43) #96 T.Maginness punt 52 yards to the DU 22 fair catch by #7 Q.Brown at DU 22
-0.3
Q1 1:29
(01:35) Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush middle for 2 yards gain to the DU 24 (#2 A.Simpson; #6 D.Robinson)
-4.3
Q1 1:36
Timeout North Carolina, clock 01:36
+4.3
Q1 0:58
(00:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass incomplete deep left to #18 C.Barkate thrown to DU 47 PENALTY UNC Pass Interference (#1 T.Dixon) 15 yards from DU 24 to DU 39, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY
-4.2
Q1 0:47
(00:53) Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush left for 1 yard gain to the DU 40 (#94 I.Johnson; #8 S.Vilbert)
-0.9
Q1 0:13
(00:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass incomplete short right to #18 C.Barkate thrown to DU 40 broken up by #8 S.Vilbert
+0.1
Q1 0:13
(00:13) Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete deep left to #18 C.Barkate caught at UNC36, for 24 yards to the UNC36 (#24 J.Butts), 1ST DOWN
0.0
Q1 0:00
End of 1st quarter.
+0.3
Q2 14:54
(15:00) Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UNC32 (#91 L.Jackson; #31 W.Hardy). #92 C.Mims injured on the play
-1.8
Q2 14:21
(14:29) Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete short right to #85 J.Hasley caught at UNC33, for 13 yards to the UNC19 (#2 A.Simpson), 1ST DOWN
0.0
Q2 14:01
(14:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush middle for 3 yards loss to the UNC22 (#9 M.Abou Jaoude)
0.0
Q2 13:08
(13:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete short right to #7 Q.Brown caught at UNC25, for 3 yards loss to the UNC25 (#21 K.Cost). #7 Q.Brown injured on the play
0.0
Q2 12:38
(12:47) Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush middle for 16 yards gain to the UNC09 (#1 T.Dixon), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
0.0
Q2 13:07
Timeout Duke, clock 13:07
0.0
Q2 12:14
(12:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete short left to #8 J.Moore caught at UNC14, for 5 yards loss to the UNC14 (#5 G.Gibson)
0.0
Q2 11:31
(11:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete short right to #2 S.Hagans caught at UNC20, for 0 yards to the UNC14 (#18 J.Patterson)
0.0
Q2 10:45
(10:53) Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete short left to #8 J.Moore caught at UNC18, for 0 yards to the UNC14, End Of Play
-1.2
Q2 10:53
Timeout Duke, clock 10:53
0.0
Q2 10:45
PENALTY DU UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (#64 J.Larsen) 15 yards from UNC14 to UNC29. NO PLAY
+0.7
Q2 10:25
(10:24) Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete short middle to #85 J.Hasley caught at UNC02, for 14 yards to the UNC00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:25, 1ST DOWN #29 T.Pelino kick attempt good (H: #41 K.Reynoldson, LS: #57 C.Cooper)
-12.6
Q2 10:25
(10:25) #39 C.Salas kickoff 65 yards to the UNC00, Touchback
+0.2
Q2 10:19
(10:25) Shotgun #7 G.Lopez pass incomplete deep left to #85 S.Clower thrown to DU 42 QB hurried by #95 P.Watson
+5.2
Q2 10:11
(10:20) #28 B.Hall rush right for 6 yards gain to the UNC31 (#42 K.Johnson), out of bounds
0.0
Q2 9:33
(09:42) Shotgun #7 G.Lopez pass incomplete short right to #37 D.Gause thrown to UNC45 QB hurried by #97 W.Williams
0.0
Q2 9:24
(09:33) #96 T.Maginness punt 56 yards to the DU 13
0.0
Q2 9:15
(09:24) Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete short right to #85 J.Hasley caught at DU 10, for 6 yards to the DU 19 (#2 A.Simpson)
-5.2
Q2 8:53
(08:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 A.Castle rush middle for 9 yards gain to the DU 28 (#16 C.Bryson), 1ST DOWN
0.0
Q2 8:28
(08:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete short right to #4 A.Castle caught at DU 29, for 5 yards to the DU 33 (#29 M.Allen)
0.0
Q2 8:12
(08:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 A.Castle rush middle for 2 yards gain to the DU 35 (#91 L.Jackson). #4 A.Castle injured on the play
-1.4
Q2 7:54
(07:54) Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass incomplete short middle to #18 C.Barkate thrown to DU 43 broken up by #29 M.Allen PENALTY UNC Pass Interference (#29 M.Allen) 8 yards from DU 35 to DU 43, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY
0.0
Q2 7:35
(07:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush middle for 1 yard gain to the DU 44 (#25 J.Mupoyi)
-1.0
Q2 7:02
(07:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush middle for 3 yards gain to the DU 47 (#7 K.House; #94 I.Johnson)
0.0
Q2 6:19
(06:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete deep left to #2 S.Hagans caught at UNC32, for 22 yards to the UNC31, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN
0.0
Q2 6:10
(06:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UNC28 (#91 L.Jackson) PENALTY UNC Illegal Substitution 5 yards from UNC31 to UNC26. NO PLAY
-0.3
Q2 5:37
(05:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass incomplete deep right to #7 Q.Brown thrown to UNC00 broken up by #18 J.Patterson
+0.1
Q2 5:31
(05:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete short right to #85 J.Hasley caught at UNC30, for 4 yards to the UNC22 (#2 A.Simpson)
0.0
Q2 4:53
(04:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush middle for 9 yards gain to the UNC13 (#12 G.Smith III; #6 D.Robinson), 1ST DOWN
+2.4
Q2 4:12
(04:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush left for 9 yards gain to the UNC04 (#2 A.Simpson) PENALTY DU Holding (#77 J.Pickett) 10 yards from UNC13 to UNC23. NO PLAY
0.0
Q2 3:49
(03:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass incomplete deep right to #18 C.Barkate thrown to UNC00
0.0
Q2 3:47
(03:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete short left to #7 Q.Brown caught at UNC27, for 4 yards loss to the UNC27 (#18 J.Patterson)
0.0
Q2 3:04
(03:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah rush right for 11 yards gain to the UNC16 (#12 G.Smith III), out of bounds
-2.0
Q2 2:33
(02:37) #29 T.Pelino field goal attempt from 33 yards GOOD (H: #41 K.Reynoldson, LS: #57 C.Cooper), clock 02:33
-2.5
Q2 2:33
(02:33) #39 C.Salas kickoff 64 yards to the UNC01 fair catch by #31 W.Hardy at UNC01
+0.7
Q2 2:24
(02:33) Shotgun #7 G.Lopez pass complete short right to #1 J.Shipp caught at UNC23, for 3 yards to the UNC28 (#15 K.O'Connor; #2 J.Francois)
+3.0
Q2 1:54
(02:00) Shotgun #12 D.June rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UNC31 (#34 L.Mergott)
-0.2
Q2 2:00
Timeout North Carolina, clock 02:00
0.0
Q2 1:18
(01:23) Shotgun #7 G.Lopez pass complete short middle to #8 K.Paysour caught at UNC44, for 18 yards to the UNC49 (#26 M.Jones), 1ST DOWN
-1.7
Q2 0:59
(01:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 G.Lopez rush right for 17 yards gain to the DU 34 (#4 J.Green), 1ST DOWN
+1.3
Q2 0:53
(00:59) Shotgun #28 B.Hall rush middle for 3 yards gain to the DU 31 (#34 L.Mergott)
+1.3
Q2 0:59
Timeout North Carolina, clock 00:59
-1.3
Q2 0:44
(00:53) Shotgun #7 G.Lopez rush left for 5 yards gain to the DU 26 (#5 K.Robinson), out of bounds
+1.3
Q2 0:53
Timeout North Carolina, clock 00:53
0.0
Q2 0:44
(00:44) Shotgun #7 G.Lopez pass complete short left to #8 K.Paysour caught at DU 17, for 21 yards to the DU 05 (#34 L.Mergott) PENALTY UNC Ineligible Downfield on Pass (#80 J.Owens) 5 yards from DU 26 to DU 31. NO PLAY
0.0
Q2 0:13
(00:15) Shotgun #7 G.Lopez pass incomplete short middle to #19 J.Johnson thrown to DU 31
-0.1
Q2 0:07
(00:11) #90 R.Verhoff field goal attempt from 49 yards GOOD (H: #96 T.Maginness, LS: #42 S.Triplett), clock 00:07
+7.5
Q2 0:07
(00:07) #90 R.Verhoff kickoff 65 yards to the DU 00, Touchback
-2.0
Q2 0:07
(00:07) Kneel down by #10 D.Mensah at DU 24 for loss of 1 yard
-4.1
Q2 0:00
End of 2nd quarter.
-1.4
Q3 14:50
(15:00) Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass incomplete short right thrown to UNC25 QB hurried by #2 A.Simpson
-1.1
Q3 14:45
(14:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush middle for 0 yards to the UNC44 (#2 A.Simpson; #91 L.Jackson)
+0.1
Q3 13:59
(14:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah rush right for 3 yards gain to the UNC41 (#90 X.Lewis), out of bounds
-0.4
Q3 13:15
(13:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah rush middle for 13 yards gain to the UNC28 (#24 J.Butts), 1ST DOWN
+0.2
Q3 13:04
(13:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush left for 0 yards to the UNC28 (#9 M.Abou Jaoude) PENALTY UNC Illegal Substitution 5 yards from UNC28 to UNC23. NO PLAY
-0.5
Q3 12:43
(12:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UNC21 (#40 T.Thompson; #91 L.Jackson)
0.0
Q3 11:57
(12:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 A.Castle rush middle for 8 yards gain to the UNC13 (#4 M.Gbayor; #31 W.Hardy), 1ST DOWN
0.0
Q3 11:23
(11:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 A.Castle rush left for 8 yards gain to the UNC05 (#31 W.Hardy; #5 G.Gibson). #8 S.Vilbert injured on the play
0.0
Q3 11:01
(11:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 A.Castle rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UNC03 (#4 M.Gbayor; #31 W.Hardy), 1ST DOWN
0.0
Q3 15:00
(15:00) #90 R.Verhoff onside kickoff 9 yards to the UNC44
+8.0
Q3 10:26
(10:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah sacked for loss of 1 yard to the UNC04 (#4 M.Gbayor, #6 D.Robinson) PENALTY UNC Holding (#5 G.Gibson) 2 yards from UNC03 to UNC01, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY
-8.0
Q3 9:57
(10:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 A.Castle rush middle for 0 yards to the UNC01 (#31 W.Hardy; #12 G.Smith III)
+0.5
Q3 9:17
(09:22) #10 D.Mensah pass incomplete short right to #85 J.Hasley thrown to UNC00 broken up by #29 M.Allen QB hurried by #7 K.House
0.0
Q3 9:15
(09:18) Shotgun #4 A.Castle rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UNC00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:15 #29 T.Pelino kick attempt good (H: #41 K.Reynoldson, LS: #57 C.Cooper)
-9.5
Q3 9:15
(09:15) #39 C.Salas kickoff 65 yards to the UNC00, Touchback
+0.3
Q3 9:02
(09:13) #7 G.Lopez pass complete short left to #85 S.Clower caught at UNC25, for 7 yards to the UNC32 (#0 C.Rivers)
+1.3
Q3 8:29
(08:34) Shotgun #12 D.June rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UNC34 (#3 C.Weaver; #4 J.Green)
-0.6
Q3 7:46
(07:51) Shotgun #7 G.Lopez pass complete short left to #9 J.Green caught at UNC46, for 12 yards to the UNC46 (#5 K.Robinson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
0.0
Q3 7:29
(07:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 G.Lopez pass complete short left to #1 J.Shipp caught at UNC47, for 7 yards to the DU 47 (#34 L.Mergott), out of bounds
+0.3
Q3 7:04
(07:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 G.Lopez pass incomplete deep left to #8 K.Paysour thrown to DU 00 broken up by #5 K.Robinson QB hurried by #95 P.Watson
+0.8
Q3 6:55
(07:04) Shotgun #7 G.Lopez pass complete short right to #9 J.Green caught at DU 40, for 9 yards to the DU 38 (#0 C.Rivers), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY UNC UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (#9 J.Green) 15 yards from DU 38 to UNC47
+0.1
Q3 6:29
(06:36) Shotgun #7 G.Lopez pass complete short middle to #8 K.Paysour caught at DU 38, for 21 yards to the DU 32 (#0 C.Rivers; #8 D.Stone), 1ST DOWN
-0.9
Q3 6:06
(06:10) No Huddle #37 D.Gause rush left for 8 yards gain to the DU 24 (#42 K.Johnson). #66 J.Hall injured on the play
+1.2
Q3 5:33
(05:40) Shotgun #7 G.Lopez pass complete short left to #8 K.Paysour caught at DU 26, for 4 yards to the DU 20 (#4 J.Green; #34 L.Mergott), 1ST DOWN
-0.3
Q3 4:52
(04:58) Shotgun #7 G.Lopez pass complete deep middle to #1 J.Shipp caught at DU 00, for 20 yards to the DU 00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:52, 1ST DOWN #1 J.Shipp pass attempt Successful
+20.2
Q3 4:52
(04:52) #90 R.Verhoff kickoff 65 yards to the DU 00, Touchback
-2.8
Q3 4:46
(04:50) Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush middle for 0 yards to the DU 25 (#92 C.Mims)
-9.6
Q3 4:10
(04:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush middle for 29 yards gain to the UNC46 (#21 K.Cost), 1ST DOWN
+0.5
Q3 3:33
(03:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UNC45 (#91 L.Jackson)
-1.0
Q3 2:56
(03:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass incomplete short middle to #15 J.Taylor thrown to UNC44 QB hurried by #2 A.Simpson
0.0
Q3 2:48
(02:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass incomplete deep right to #7 Q.Brown thrown to UNC13 broken up by #1 T.Dixon
0.0
Q3 2:43
(02:45) #41 K.Reynoldson punt 36 yards to the UNC09 fair catch by #31 W.Hardy at UNC09
+0.2
Q3 2:34
(02:43) Shotgun #7 G.Lopez pass complete short middle to #37 D.Gause caught at UNC03, for 16 yards to the UNC25 (#34 L.Mergott), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
+11.1
Q3 2:43
Timeout Duke, clock 02:43
-11.1
Q3 2:05
(02:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #37 D.Gause rush middle for 13 yards gain to the UNC38 (#8 D.Stone), 1ST DOWN
+11.1
Q3 1:26
(01:34) Shotgun #7 G.Lopez pass complete short left to #1 J.Shipp caught at DU 49, for 15 yards to the DU 47 (#5 K.Robinson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
+0.3
Q3 1:05
(01:10) No Huddle #37 D.Gause rush right for 5 yards gain to the DU 42 (#4 J.Green; #3 C.Weaver)
+1.5
Q3 0:21
(00:30) Shotgun #7 G.Lopez pass complete short left to #12 D.June caught at DU 45, for 3 yards loss to the DU 45 (#2 J.Francois)
+1.0
Q3 0:00
End of 3rd quarter.
0.0
Q4 14:54
(14:59) Shotgun #7 G.Lopez pass complete short right to #1 J.Shipp caught at DU 34, for 11 yards to the DU 34 (#5 K.Robinson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
-1.2
Q4 14:32
(14:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #37 D.Gause rush middle for 11 yards gain to the DU 23 (#8 D.Stone), 1ST DOWN
+2.2
Q4 13:48
(13:55) Shotgun #7 G.Lopez rush left for 11 yards gain to the DU 12 (#42 K.Johnson; #8 D.Stone), 1ST DOWN
-2.1
Q4 13:13
(13:16) Shotgun #37 D.Gause rush middle for 12 yards gain to the DU 00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:13, 1ST DOWN #90 R.Verhoff kick attempt good (H: #96 T.Maginness, LS: #42 S.Triplett)
+25.2
Q4 13:13
(13:13) #90 R.Verhoff kickoff 65 yards to the DU 00, Touchback
-1.5
Q4 13:06
(13:13) Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass incomplete short right to #18 C.Barkate thrown to DU 35
-7.1
Q4 13:00
(13:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush left for 1 yard gain to the DU 26 (#6 D.Robinson; #9 M.Abou Jaoude)
0.0
Q4 12:07
(12:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete short left to #7 Q.Brown caught at DU 35, for 9 yards to the DU 35, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN
+0.8
Q4 11:57
(11:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete short left to #7 Q.Brown caught at DU 34, for 14 yards to the DU 49, out of bounds at DU 49, 1ST DOWN
0.0
Q4 11:29
(11:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UNC49 (#6 D.Robinson)
-2.0
Q4 10:46
(10:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete short middle to #85 J.Hasley caught at UNC47, for 13 yards to the UNC36 (#7 K.House), 1ST DOWN
-0.3
Q4 10:20
(10:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete short middle to #85 J.Hasley caught at UNC29, for 8 yards to the UNC28 (#7 K.House)
-0.8
Q4 9:41
(09:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass incomplete short right to #0 L.King thrown to UNC15 QB hurried by #2 A.Simpson
+0.1
Q4 9:35
(09:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush left for 1 yard gain to the UNC27 (#25 J.Mupoyi; #94 I.Johnson)
0.0
Q4 8:51
(08:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 Q.Brown sacked for loss of 11 yards to the UNC38 (#94 I.Johnson), TURNOVER ON DOWNS
+0.7
Q4 8:44
(08:51) Shotgun #37 D.Gause rush middle for 0 yards to the UNC38 (#42 K.Johnson)
+10.2
Q4 8:03
(08:10) Shotgun #7 G.Lopez sacked for loss of 8 yards to the UNC30 (#4 J.Green)
+0.2
Q4 7:17
(07:24) Shotgun #7 G.Lopez sacked for loss of 5 yards to the UNC25 (#99 A.Hall)
-0.6
Q4 6:37
(06:42) #96 T.Maginness punt 43 yards to the DU 32 fair catch by #18 C.Barkate at DU 32
-0.6
Q4 6:31
(06:37) Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush middle for 5 yards gain to the DU 37 (#4 M.Gbayor; #7 K.House)
-6.6
Q4 6:37
Timeout North Carolina, clock 06:37
+6.6
Q4 5:45
(05:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete short right to #20 N.Sheppard caught at DU 36, for 18 yards to the UNC45 (#4 M.Gbayor), 1ST DOWN
-6.6
Q4 5:31
(05:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass incomplete deep right to #18 C.Barkate thrown to UNC08
-2.3
Q4 5:25
(05:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 A.Castle rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UNC42 (#94 I.Johnson)
0.0
Q4 4:39
(04:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass incomplete short right to #85 J.Hasley thrown to UNC34 broken up by #1 T.Dixon QB hurried by #12 G.Smith III
+0.3
Q4 4:29
(04:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete short left to #2 S.Hagans caught at UNC34, for 8 yards to the UNC34 (#18 J.Patterson), 1ST DOWN
+0.8
Q4 3:50
(03:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 A.Castle rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UNC29 (#9 M.Abou Jaoude; #4 M.Gbayor)
-1.4
Q4 3:01
(03:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete short right to #18 C.Barkate caught at UNC30, for 2 yards to the UNC27 (#29 M.Allen). The previous play is under automatic review - "Pass completion". CALL UPHELD
0.0
Q4 2:28
(02:33) Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass incomplete short middle thrown to UNC25 broken up by #8 S.Vilbert
0.0
Q4 2:20
(02:26) #29 T.Pelino rush left for 26 yards gain to the UNC01 (#2 A.Simpson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN. #91 L.Jackson injured on the play
+0.8
Q4 2:18
(02:20) Shotgun #4 A.Castle rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UNC00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:18 #20 N.Sheppard pass attempt Successful
-38.8
Q4 2:20
Timeout North Carolina, clock 02:20
+51.4
Q4 2:14
(02:18) #39 C.Salas kickoff 42 yards to the UNC08 #31 W.Hardy return 9 yards to the UNC17 (#24 B.Gompers; #18 K.Smith)
-51.5
Q4 2:14
(02:14) Shotgun #7 G.Lopez rush left for 12 yards gain to the UNC29 (#7 V.Anthony Jr.), out of bounds PENALTY UNC Holding (#54 M.McVay) 9 yards from UNC17 to UNC08. NO PLAY
+6.3
Q4 1:54
(02:00) Shotgun #37 D.Gause rush middle for 13 yards gain to the UNC21 (#2 J.Francois)
-0.4
Q4 2:00
Timeout North Carolina, clock 02:00
+0.4
Q4 1:31
(01:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 G.Lopez pass complete short right to #1 J.Shipp caught at UNC19, for 1 yard loss to the UNC20 (#0 C.Rivers)
-2.2
Q4 1:24
(01:31) Shotgun #7 G.Lopez sacked for loss of 6 yards to the UNC14 (#34 L.Mergott)
0.0
Q4 1:32
Timeout North Carolina, clock 01:32
0.0
Q4 1:18
(01:22) Shotgun #7 G.Lopez pass incomplete deep right to #8 K.Paysour thrown to UNC45, TURNOVER ON DOWNS
-0.8
Q4 1:24
Timeout North Carolina, clock 01:24
0.0
Q4 1:18
PENALTY UNC UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (#8 K.Paysour) 7 yards from UNC14 to UNC07, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY
-5.6
Q4 1:16
(01:16) Kneel down by #10 D.Mensah at UNC09 for loss of 2 yards
0.0
Q4 1:12
(01:16) Kneel down by #10 D.Mensah at UNC08 for loss of 1 yard
0.0
Q4 0:36
(00:36) Kneel down by #10 D.Mensah at UNC10 for loss of 2 yards
+1.0
Q4 0:00
End of 4th quarter.
0.0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q4 2:14
(02:18) #39 C.Salas kickoff 42 yards to the UNC08 #31 W.Hardy return 9 yards to the UNC17 (#24 B.Gompers; #18 K.Smith)
-51.5
KEY PLAY · Q4 2:20
Timeout North Carolina, clock 02:20
+51.4
TD · Q4 2:18
(02:20) Shotgun #4 A.Castle rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UNC00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:18 #20 N.Sheppard pass attempt Successful
-38.8
YardLine · model v2Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com