2025 · Week 12 · Nov 15, 2025 · Acrisure Stadium
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Win probability · PITT
modelPITT aheadND aheadconfidence bandkey playPITT scoreND score
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 6:31 · (06:44) #91 C.Junko punt 54 yards to the ND36 #6 J.Faison return 16 yards to the Pitt48 (#23 K.Bains)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
This game in five plays
- TD · Q1 8:16: (08:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Love rush middle for 56 yards gain to the Pitt00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:16, 1ST DOWN #18 E.Schmidt kick attempt good (H: #10 T.Buchner, LS: #96 J.Vinci) — ND win probability +1.8 pts (now 79%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
- FG · Q2 13:55: (13:56) #94 S.Carpenter field goal attempt from 24 yards GOOD (H: #91 C.Junko, LS: #48 N.Crawford), clock 13:55 — PITT win probability +1.4 pts (now 21%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
- TD · Q2 1:56: (01:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass complete deep left to #0 M.Fields caught at Pitt00, for 25 yards to the Pitt00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:56, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY Pitt Offside declined #18 E.Schmidt kick attempt good (H: #10 T.Buchner, LS: #96 J.Vinci) — ND win probability +9.5 pts (now 91%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
- TD · Q3 10:43: (10:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass complete short right to #0 M.Fields caught at Pitt03, for 6 yards to the Pitt00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:43 #18 E.Schmidt kick attempt good (H: #10 T.Buchner, LS: #96 J.Vinci) — ND win probability +6.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
- TD · Q3 1:39: Rasheem Biles 10 Yd Interception Return (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — PITT win probability +2.9 pts (now 4%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
Was that the right call?
Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works
Fourth downs
PITT made the numbers' call on 7 of 11ND made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
- Q1 12:27PITT 4th & 9 at ND 38, tiedAgrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.8% before the snapGo for itTheir call22.9%32% to convertField goal22.8%−<0.138% to makePunt22.8%−<0.1average punt
- Q1 9:56ND 4th & 10 at PITT 27, tiedAgrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 76.0% before the snapGo for it75.9%−0.129% to convertField goalTheir call75.9%62% to makePunt75.5%−0.4average punt
- Q1 8:26PITT 4th & 9 at PITT 28, tiedAgrees with the numbersPunted · 24.4% before the snapGo for it24.4%−0.130% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call24.6%average punt
- Q1 6:31PITT 4th & 17 at PITT 10, down 14Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.4% before the snapGo for it20.8%−0.713% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call21.5%average punt
- Q1 4:58ND 4th & 6 at PITT 44, up 14Close callPunted · 79.5% before the snapGo for it79.7%40% to convertField goal79.1%−0.527% to makePuntTheir call79.6%−0.1average punt
- Q1 1:41PITT 4th & 8 at PITT 31, down 14Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.5% before the snapGo for it20.3%−0.633% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call20.9%average punt
- Q2 13:55PITT 4th & 4 at ND 6, down 14Close callKicked a field goal · 21.0% before the snapGo for it21.0%40% to convertField goalTheir call20.9%−0.291% to makePunt17.9%−3.1average punt
- Q2 5:29ND 4th & 1 at PITT 1, up 11Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 78.4% before the snapGo for itTheir call77.8%59% to convertField goal76.6%−1.294% to makePunt73.6%−4.2average punt
- Q2 4:36PITT 4th & 7 at PITT 4, down 11Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.8% before the snapGo for it18.9%−0.932% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call19.8%average punt
- Q2 0:13PITT 4th & 9 at ND 35, down 18Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 13.9% before the snapGo for it13.8%−0.732% to convertField goalTheir call14.4%45% to makePunt13.3%−1.2average punt
- Q3 12:49ND 4th & 2 at PITT 46, up 18Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.2% before the snapGo for itTheir call89.5%57% to convertField goal87.5%−2.023% to makePunt88.6%−0.9average punt
- Q3 6:56PITT 4th & 6 at ND 37, down 25Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.7% before the snapGo for itTheir call1.9%40% to convertField goal1.6%−0.340% to makePunt1.5%−0.4average punt
- Q3 4:16PITT 4th & 5 at ND 5, down 25Close callWent for it · 1.6% before the snapGo for itTheir call1.3%−<0.133% to convertField goal1.3%92% to makePunt-1.3%−2.6average punt
- Q4 9:55ND 4th & 3 at PITT 5, up 21Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.2% before the snapGo for itTheir call98.3%45% to convertField goal98.0%−0.292% to makePunt96.5%−1.7average punt
- Q4 6:56PITT 4th & 3 at PITT 44, down 28Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snapGo for itTheir call0.2%−<0.152% to convertField goalOut of rangePunt0.2%average punt
- Q4 5:24ND 4th & 3 at PITT 37, up 28Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snapGo for itTheir call99.8%53% to convertField goal99.7%−0.140% to makePunt99.6%−0.1average punt
- Q4 2:49ND 4th & 5 at PITT 25, up 28Close callWent for it · 99.8% before the snapGo for itTheir call99.7%−<0.141% to convertField goal99.7%66% to makePunt99.4%−0.3average punt
- Q4 0:00PITT 4th & 6 at ND 21, down 28Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snapGo for itTheir call0.1%−<0.138% to convertField goal0.2%74% to makePunt0.1%−<0.1average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PITT made the numbers' call on 0 of 1ND made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
- Q1 8:16ND Touchdown, up 6 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call76.2%97% to makeGo for two76.2%−<0.145% to convert
- Q2 1:56ND Touchdown, up 17 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call85.2%97% to makeGo for two85.2%−0.145% to convert
- Q3 10:43ND Touchdown, up 24 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call94.8%97% to makeGo for two94.7%−0.145% to convert
- Q3 1:39PITT Touchdown, down 19 before the tryClose callWent for two · failedKick4.8%97% to makeGo for twoTheir call4.7%−0.145% to convert
- Q4 9:55ND Touchdown, up 27 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call99.8%97% to makeGo for two99.8%−<0.145% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chartPITTDrive 1DOWNS9 plays · 21 yds · 2:1720% → 21%
Q1 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
19.9%
(14:57) Shotgun #6 M.Heintschel pass complete short right to #0 D.Reid caught at Pitt29, for 19 yards to the Pitt44 QB hurried by #5 B.Traore (#0 D.Smith), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
20.2%
(14:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 D.Reid rush right for 5 yards gain to the Pitt49 (#4 J.Ausberry)Similar
Q1 13:28
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+12
20.6%
(13:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 M.Heintschel pass complete short left to #88 J.Holmes caught at ND45, for 12 yards to the ND39 (#15 L.Moore), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
20.9%
(12:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 M.Heintschel pass incomplete deep right to #5 R.Williams Jr. thrown to ND10Similar
Q1 12:48
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+1
21.0%
(12:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 M.Heintschel pass complete short middle to #0 D.Reid caught at ND40, for 1 yard to the ND38 (#4 J.Ausberry; #5 B.Traore)Similar
Q1 12:31
3RD & 8
OPP 37
0
21.2%
(12:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 M.Heintschel pass incomplete short middle to #3 C.Hicks thrown to ND20 broken up by #8 A.ShulerSimilar
Q1 12:27
3RD & 9
OPP 38
0
21.2%
(12:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 M.Heintschel pass incomplete short middle to #3 C.Hicks thrown to ND20 broken up by #8 A.ShulerSimilar
Q1 12:27
4TH & 9
OPP 38
0
21.0%
(12:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 M.Heintschel sacked for loss of 16 yards to the Pitt46 (#40 J.Burnham), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 2MISSED FG6 plays · 19 yds · 1:5479% → 78%
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+8
21.1%
(12:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass complete short right to #0 M.Fields caught at Pitt38, for 8 yards to the Pitt38 (#0 B.Lovelace)Similar
Q1 11:39
2ND & 2
OPP 38
+11
21.1%
(11:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Love rush left for 11 yards gain to the Pitt27 (#23 K.Bains), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-7
21.2%
(11:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Love rush right for 7 yards loss to the Pitt34 (#2 I.Neal)Similar
Q1 10:41
2ND & 17
OPP 34
+7
21.6%
(10:45) Shotgun #4 J.Love rush left for 7 yards gain to the Pitt27 (#3 R.Biles; #23 K.Bains)Similar
Q1 10:01
3RD & 10
OPP 27
0
21.9%
(10:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass incomplete short left to #0 M.Fields thrown to Pitt19 broken up by #15 R.BattleSimilar
Q1 9:56
4TH & 10
OPP 27
+46
22.2%
(09:56) #18 E.Schmidt field goal attempt from 46 yards NO GOOD (H: #10 T.Buchner, LS: #96 J.Vinci), clock 09:56Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 3PUNT4 plays · 0 yds · 1:2922% → 23%
Q1 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
22.4%
(09:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 D.Reid rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Pitt30 (#27 K.Viliamu-Asa)Similar
Q1 9:19
2ND & 7
OWN 30
-2
22.7%
(09:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 M.Heintschel sacked for loss of 2 yards to the Pitt28 (#40 J.Burnham)Similar
Q1 8:39
3RD & 9
OWN 28
0
22.6%
(08:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 M.Heintschel pass incomplete short left to #3 C.Hicks thrown to Pitt45 broken up by #6 C.GraySimilar
Q1 8:26
4TH & 9
OWN 28
+21
22.7%
(08:33) #91 C.Junko punt 49 yards to the ND23 #6 J.Faison return 21 yards to the ND44 (#26 A.Bryant)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 4TD1 play · 56 yds · 0:0079% → 79%
Q1 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+56
20.8%
(08:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Love rush middle for 56 yards gain to the Pitt00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:16, 1ST DOWN #18 E.Schmidt kick attempt good (H: #10 T.Buchner, LS: #96 J.Vinci)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 5INT TD2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q1 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-49
20.1%
(08:07) Shotgun #6 M.Heintschel pass intercepted by #9 T.Johnson at Pitt49 #9 T.Johnson return 49 yards to the Pitt00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:59 #18 E.Schmidt kick attempt good (H: #10 T.Buchner, LS: #96 J.Vinci)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 6PUNT5 plays · -7 yds · 1:1820% → 20%
Q1 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
19.7%
(07:53) Shotgun #25 J.Turner rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Pitt18 (#12 J.Botelho)Similar
Q1 7:22
2ND & 9
OWN 18
0
19.8%
(07:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 M.Heintschel pass incomplete short left to #7 D.Spann thrown to Pitt31 broken up by #0 D.Smith QB hurried by #47 J.OnyeSimilar
Q1 7:13
3RD & 9
OWN 18
-8
19.7%
(07:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 M.Heintschel sacked for loss of 8 yards to the Pitt10 (#8 A.Shuler)Similar
Q1 6:31
4TH & 17
OWN 10
+16
19.8%
(06:44) #91 C.Junko punt 54 yards to the ND36 #6 J.Faison return 16 yards to the Pitt48 (#23 K.Bains)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 7PUNT4 plays · 4 yds · 1:2881% → 81%
Q1 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
18.9%
(06:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass incomplete short middle to #0 M.Fields thrown to Pitt38 QB hurried by #8 T.LynumSimilar
Q1 6:17
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+1
18.9%
(06:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass complete short left to #2 W.Pauling caught at Pitt49, for 1 yard to the Pitt47 (#23 K.Bains)Similar
Q1 5:40
3RD & 9
OPP 47
+3
18.9%
(05:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass complete short right to #2 W.Pauling caught at Pitt50, for 3 yards to the Pitt44 (#7 J.McIntyre)Similar
Q1 4:58
4TH & 6
OPP 44
0
19.0%
(05:02) #16 J.Rendell punt 36 yards to the Pitt08 fair catch by #2 K.Johnson at Pitt08Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 8PUNT7 plays · 23 yds · 3:0920% → 19%
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+6
19.7%
(04:56) Shotgun #25 J.Turner rush left for 6 yards gain to the Pitt14 (#4 J.Ausberry; #8 A.Shuler)Similar
Q1 4:14
2ND & 4
OWN 14
+5
19.8%
(04:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 M.Heintschel pass complete short right to #0 D.Reid caught at Pitt13, for 5 yards to the Pitt19 (#34 D.Bowen), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+10
19.8%
(03:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 M.Heintschel pass incomplete short right thrown to Pitt27 PENALTY ND Holding (#0 D.Smith) 10 yards from Pitt19 to Pitt29, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-1
19.9%
(03:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 D.Reid rush left for 1 yard loss to the Pitt28 (#40 J.Burnham; #9 T.Johnson)Similar
Q1 3:05
2ND & 11
OWN 28
0
19.1%
(03:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 M.Heintschel pass complete short left to #0 D.Reid caught at Pitt29, for 0 yards to the Pitt28 (#15 L.Moore)Similar
Q1 2:22
3RD & 11
OWN 28
+3
19.1%
(02:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 M.Heintschel rush left for 3 yards gain to the Pitt31 (#4 J.Ausberry; #41 D.Hinish), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 1:41
4TH & 8
OWN 31
+48
19.1%
(01:51) #91 C.Junko punt 48 yards to the ND21 #6 J.Faison return for loss of 1 yard to the ND20 (#17 T.Kinsler)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 9INT6 plays · 30 yds · 1:5881% → 82%
Q1 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
18.9%
(01:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 J.Price rush left for 4 yards gain to the ND24 (#21 S.Harrison) PENALTY ND Holding (#75 S.Absher) 10 yards from ND20 to ND10. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 1:11
1ST & 20
OWN 10
-2
18.9%
(01:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 J.Price rush middle for 2 yards loss to the ND08 (#95 F.Brewu)Similar
Q1 0:23
2ND & 22
OWN 8
+7
18.9%
(00:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass complete short left to #11 K.Smith caught at ND07, for 7 yards to the ND15 (#3 R.Biles; #9 K.Louis)Similar
Q1 0:06
3RD & 15
OWN 15
+35
19.1%
(00:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass complete deep left to #0 M.Fields caught at ND50, for 35 yards to the ND50 (#15 R.Battle), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY Pitt Offside declinedSimilar
Q2 14:42
1ST & 10
50
-49
18.1%
(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass intercepted by #23 K.Bains at Pitt39 #23 K.Bains return 49 yards to the ND12 (#13 C.Carr; #64 J.Otting)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 10FG4 plays · 6 yds · 0:3221% → 21%
Q2 14:27
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+6
20.5%
(14:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 M.Heintschel rush middle for 6 yards gain to the ND06 (#3 J.Sneed; #5 B.Traore)Similar
Q2 14:05
2ND & 4
OPP 6
0
20.5%
(14:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 M.Heintschel pass incomplete short right to #5 R.Williams Jr. thrown to ND09Similar
Q2 13:59
3RD & 4
OPP 6
0
20.0%
(14:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 M.Heintschel pass incomplete short right thrown to ND05 QB hurried by #5 B.Traore PENALTY Pitt Illegal Formation declinedSimilar
Q2 13:55
4TH & 4
OPP 6
+24
21.3%
(13:56) #94 S.Carpenter field goal attempt from 24 yards GOOD (H: #91 C.Junko, LS: #48 N.Crawford), clock 13:55Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 11DOWNS20 plays · 74 yds · 8:2179% → 80%
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
21.4%
(13:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Love rush middle for 5 yards gain to the ND30 (#8 T.Lynum)Similar
Q2 13:17
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+10
20.4%
(13:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Love rush right for 5 yards gain to the ND35 (#21 S.Harrison) PENALTY ND Holding (#76 G.Lambert) 10 yards from ND30 to ND20. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 12:44
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+28
20.8%
(12:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass complete deep middle to #9 E.Raridon caught at ND41, for 28 yards to the ND48 (#7 J.McIntyre), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
20.0%
PENALTY ND False Start (#54 A.Knapp) 5 yards from ND48 to ND43. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 12:00
1ST & 15
OWN 43
+8
20.4%
(12:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass complete short right to #9 E.Raridon caught at ND41, for 8 yards to the Pitt49 (#7 J.McIntyre), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 11:26
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+12
20.0%
(11:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass incomplete deep middle to #9 E.Raridon thrown to Pitt20 QB hurried by #95 F.Brewu, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY Pitt Pass Interference (#3 R.Biles) 12 yards from Pitt49 to Pitt37, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 11:13
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
20.0%
(11:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Love rush left for 3 yards gain to the Pitt34 (#3 R.Biles; #45 J.Zelinsky)Similar
Q2 10:21
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+5
19.9%
(10:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass complete short right to #4 J.Love caught at Pitt31, for 5 yards to the Pitt29 (#15 R.Battle), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 9:43
3RD & 2
OPP 29
+3
20.3%
(09:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass complete short right to #9 E.Raridon caught at Pitt31, for 3 yards to the Pitt26 (#15 R.Battle), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
20.1%
(09:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Love rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Pitt24 (#4 J.Whittington)Similar
Q2 8:28
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+9
20.1%
(08:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass complete short right to #9 E.Raridon caught at Pitt21, for 9 yards to the Pitt15 (#23 K.Bains), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
19.9%
(07:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Love rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Pitt12 (#45 J.Zelinsky)Similar
Q2 7:14
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+8
19.7%
(07:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Love rush left for 8 yards gain to the Pitt04 (#3 R.Biles), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
19.7%
(06:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Love rush left for 1 yard loss to the Pitt05 (#4 J.Whittington)Similar
Q2 6:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
19.7%
(06:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass incomplete short left to #9 E.Raridon thrown to Pitt05 QB hurried by #45 J.ZelinskySimilar
Q2 5:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
19.3%
(06:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass complete short left to #9 E.Raridon caught at Pitt03, for 4 yards to the Pitt01 (#23 K.Bains), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 5:29
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
20.2%
(05:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass incomplete short right to #9 E.Raridon thrown to Pitt00, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 12PUNT4 plays · 3 yds · 0:4420% → 19%
Q2 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+3
19.6%
(05:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 M.Heintschel pass complete short left to #2 K.Johnson caught at Pitt00, for 3 yards to the Pitt04 (#0 D.Smith)Similar
Q2 4:52
2ND & 7
OWN 4
0
19.4%
(04:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 M.Heintschel pass incomplete short middle to #88 J.Holmes thrown to Pitt14 broken up by #95 B.Young QB hurried by #4 J.AusberrySimilar
Q2 4:46
3RD & 7
OWN 4
0
18.9%
(04:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 M.Heintschel pass incomplete short right to #2 K.Johnson thrown to Pitt00 broken up by #34 D.Bowen QB hurried by #58 M.AugustineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 13TD6 plays · 52 yds · 2:2880% → 91%
Q2 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
19.6%
(04:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass complete short right to #0 M.Fields caught at Pitt44, for 9 yards to the Pitt43 (#8 T.Lynum)Similar
Q2 3:56
2ND & 1
OPP 43
+1
19.0%
(04:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 J.Price rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Pitt42 (#95 F.Brewu; #6 N.Temple), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:16
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
19.1%
(03:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass incomplete short left thrown to ND49 broken up by #3 R.Biles QB hurried by #3 R.BilesSimilar
Q2 3:09
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+13
19.2%
(03:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 J.Price rush middle for 13 yards gain to the Pitt29 (#23 K.Bains; #28 S.Lee Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:28
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
18.8%
(02:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 J.Price rush right for 4 yards gain to the Pitt25 (#45 J.Zelinsky)Similar
Q2 1:56
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+25
9.3%
(01:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass complete deep left to #0 M.Fields caught at Pitt00, for 25 yards to the Pitt00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:56, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY Pitt Offside declined #18 E.Schmidt kick attempt good (H: #10 T.Buchner, LS: #96 J.Vinci)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 14MISSED FG12 plays · 40 yds · 1:3613% → 13%
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
13.0%
(01:55) Shotgun #6 M.Heintschel pass complete short middle to #0 D.Reid caught at Pitt27, for 11 yards to the Pitt36, out of bounds at Pitt36, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
13.5%
(01:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 M.Heintschel pass incomplete short right to #88 J.Holmes thrown to Pitt40 QB hurried by #93 J.DawsonSimilar
Q2 1:35
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+17
13.1%
(01:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 M.Heintschel pass complete short left to #2 K.Johnson caught at ND47, for 17 yards to the ND47, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+11
14.2%
(01:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 M.Heintschel rush middle for 11 yards gain to the ND36 (#3 J.Sneed), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
14.2%
(00:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 M.Heintschel pass incomplete short right to #88 J.Holmes thrown to ND35 broken up by #28 L.Talich QB hurried by #27 K.Viliamu-AsaSimilar
Q2 0:53
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+5
14.1%
(00:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 M.Heintschel pass complete short middle to #5 R.Williams Jr. caught at ND30, for 9 yards to the ND27 (#8 A.Shuler) PENALTY Pitt Illegal Shift 5 yards from ND36 to ND41. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 0:29
2ND & 15
OPP 41
0
13.5%
(00:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 M.Heintschel pass incomplete short left to #0 D.Reid thrown to Pitt45 broken up by #95 B.YoungSimilar
Q2 0:17
3RD & 15
OPP 41
+6
13.0%
(00:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 M.Heintschel pass complete short right to #87 J.Overman caught at ND37, for 6 yards to the ND35 (#28 L.Talich)Similar
Q2 0:13
4TH & 9
OPP 35
+53
13.4%
(00:14) #94 S.Carpenter field goal attempt from 53 yards NO GOOD (H: #91 C.Junko, LS: #48 N.Crawford), clock 00:13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 15END OF HALF2 plays · -8 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-4
9.5%
(00:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 C.Carr sacked for loss of 8 yards to the ND27 (#44 J.Scott, #3 R.Biles)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 16TD11 plays · 54 yds · 4:0190% → 98%
Q3 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
10.0%
(14:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Love rush middle for 1 yard gain to the ND47 (#0 B.Lovelace)Similar
Q3 14:08
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+2
9.9%
(14:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass complete short right to #2 W.Pauling caught at ND44, for 2 yards to the ND49 (#2 I.Neal)Similar
Q3 13:31
3RD & 7
OWN 49
+5
10.2%
(13:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Love rush middle for 5 yards gain to the Pitt46 (#3 R.Biles)Similar
Q3 12:49
4TH & 2
OPP 46
+22
10.3%
(12:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Love rush left for 22 yards gain to the Pitt24 (#8 T.Lynum), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:13
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
8.8%
(12:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 J.Price rush middle for 6 yards gain to the Pitt18 (#15 R.Battle; #23 K.Bains)Similar
Q3 11:36
2ND & 4
OPP 18
0
8.7%
(11:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass incomplete short middle to #6 J.Faison thrown to Pitt17 broken up by #0 B.LovelaceSimilar
Q3 11:36
3RD & 4
OPP 18
+9
8.8%
(11:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass incomplete short right to #6 J.Faison thrown to Pitt15 QB hurried by #3 R.Biles PENALTY Pitt Holding (#8 T.Lynum) 9 yards from Pitt18 to Pitt09, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 11:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
8.7%
(11:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Love rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Pitt06 (#0 B.Lovelace)Similar
Q3 10:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
8.4%
(10:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass incomplete short left to #9 E.Raridon thrown to Pitt00Similar
Q3 10:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
2.2%
(10:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass complete short right to #0 M.Fields caught at Pitt03, for 6 yards to the Pitt00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:43 #18 E.Schmidt kick attempt good (H: #10 T.Buchner, LS: #96 J.Vinci)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 17DOWNS18 plays · 74 yds · 6:212% → 2%
Q3 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
2.2%
(10:43) Shotgun #0 D.Reid rush middle for 5 yards gain to the Pitt30 (#9 T.Johnson)Similar
Q3 9:59
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+14
2.0%
(10:04) Shotgun #6 M.Heintschel rush left for 14 yards gain to the Pitt44, out of bounds at Pitt44, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
2.0%
(09:45) Shotgun #6 M.Heintschel pass incomplete short middle to #3 C.Hicks thrown to Pitt50 QB hurried by #5 B.TraoreSimilar
Q3 9:37
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+15
2.0%
(09:37) Shotgun #0 D.Reid rush middle for 4 yards loss to the Pitt40 (#4 J.Ausberry) PENALTY ND Face Mask (#4 J.Ausberry) 15 yards from Pitt44 to ND41, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
2.1%
(09:20) Shotgun #0 D.Reid rush right for 1 yard gain to the ND40 (#9 T.Johnson)Similar
Q3 8:58
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+10
2.0%
(08:58) Shotgun #6 M.Heintschel rush left for 2 yards gain to the ND38 (#5 B.Traore) PENALTY Pitt Holding (#53 K.Stanley) 10 yards from ND40 to ND50. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 8:10
2ND & 19
50
+2
1.5%
(08:27) Shotgun #6 M.Heintschel pass complete short right to #5 R.Williams Jr. caught at ND48, for 2 yards to the ND48, End Of PlaySimilar
Q3 7:38
3RD & 17
OPP 48
+11
1.5%
(07:48) Shotgun #6 M.Heintschel pass complete short middle to #2 K.Johnson caught at ND48, for 11 yards to the ND37 (#9 T.Johnson)Similar
Q3 6:56
4TH & 6
OPP 37
+27
1.6%
(07:05) Shotgun #6 M.Heintschel pass complete short left to #0 D.Reid caught at ND32, for 27 yards to the ND10 (#34 D.Bowen), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
1.7%
(06:37) Shotgun #6 M.Heintschel pass incomplete short right to #2 K.Johnson thrown to ND05Similar
Q3 6:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
1.7%
(06:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 M.Heintschel pass complete short middle to #88 J.Holmes caught at ND10, for 4 yards to the ND06 (#12 J.Botelho)Similar
Q3 5:53
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
1.8%
(05:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 M.Heintschel pass incomplete short left to #88 J.Holmes thrown to ND03Similar
Q3 5:49
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
1.6%
(05:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 M.Heintschel pass incomplete short right to #2 K.Johnson thrown to ND00 PENALTY ND Pass Interference (#15 L.Moore) 4 yards from ND06 to ND02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 5:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
1.8%
(05:46) Shotgun #25 J.Turner rush middle for 1 yard gain to the ND01 (#15 L.Moore)Similar
Q3 4:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-4
1.6%
(05:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 M.Heintschel pass complete short left to #2 K.Johnson caught at ND05, for 4 yards loss to the ND05 (#27 K.Viliamu-Asa), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 4:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
1.6%
(04:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 M.Heintschel pass incomplete short right to #3 C.Hicks thrown to ND00 QB hurried by #8 A.ShulerSimilar
Q3 4:16
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
1.5%
(04:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 M.Heintschel pass complete short left to #5 R.Williams Jr. caught at ND02, for 4 yards to the ND01 (#28 L.Talich), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 18DOWNS TD5 plays · 14 yds · 2:2499% → 96%
Q3 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
1.3%
(04:14) No Huddle #13 C.Carr rush middle for 0 yards to the ND01 (#0 B.Lovelace; #6 N.Temple)Similar
Q3 3:28
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+10
1.3%
(03:35) No Huddle #4 J.Love rush left for 10 yards gain to the ND11 (#31 N.Lapi; #8 T.Lynum), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+1
1.1%
(02:55) No Huddle #4 J.Love rush left for 1 yard gain to the ND12 (#0 B.Lovelace)Similar
Q3 2:10
2ND & 9
OWN 12
+3
1.1%
(02:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 C.Carr rush left for 3 yards gain to the ND15 (#4 J.Whittington)Similar
Q3 1:39
3RD & 6
OWN 15
-10
4.0%
Rasheem Biles 10 Yd Interception Return (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 19TD14 plays · 65 yds · 6:3297% → 100%
Q3 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
2.7%
(01:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Love rush left for 2 yards gain to the ND37 (#44 J.Scott)Similar
Q3 0:54
2ND & 8
OWN 37
-2
2.5%
(00:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Love rush middle for 2 yards loss to the ND35 (#9 K.Louis)Similar
Q3 0:11
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+12
2.6%
(00:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass complete short right to #0 M.Fields caught at ND43, for 12 yards to the ND47 (#15 R.Battle), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
2.3%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Love rush middle for 8 yards gain to the Pitt45 (#7 J.McIntyre)Similar
Q4 14:14
2ND & 2
OPP 45
+4
2.2%
(14:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Love rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Pitt41 (#15 R.Battle; #11 N.James), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-1
2.1%
(13:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Love rush right for 1 yard loss to the Pitt42 (#3 R.Biles; #11 N.James)Similar
Q4 12:42
2ND & 11
OPP 42
+15
2.1%
(12:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass complete short right to #4 J.Love caught at Pitt42, for 15 yards to the Pitt27 (#0 B.Lovelace), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+15
1.9%
(12:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass complete short left to #9 E.Raridon caught at Pitt28, for 15 yards to the Pitt12, out of bounds at Pitt12, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 11:18
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
1.7%
(11:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Love rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Pitt10 (#45 J.Zelinsky; #95 F.Brewu)Similar
Q4 10:42
2ND & 8
OPP 10
0
1.6%
(10:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass incomplete short left to #0 M.Fields thrown to Pitt00Similar
Q4 10:37
3RD & 8
OPP 10
+5
1.6%
(10:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Love rush middle for 5 yards gain to the Pitt05 (#45 J.Zelinsky)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 20DOWNS7 plays · 19 yds · 2:530% → 0%
Q4 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
0.3%
(09:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 J.Goff rush middle for 8 yards gain to the Pitt33 (#3 J.Sneed; #0 D.Smith)Similar
Q4 9:31
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+4
0.3%
(09:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 J.Goff rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Pitt37 (#3 J.Sneed; #9 T.Johnson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-7
0.3%
(09:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 M.Heintschel sacked for loss of 7 yards to the Pitt30 (#47 J.Onye)Similar
Q4 8:17
2ND & 17
OWN 30
+6
0.2%
(08:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 M.Heintschel rush middle for 6 yards gain to the Pitt36, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 7:32
3RD & 11
OWN 36
+8
0.2%
(07:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 M.Heintschel pass complete short middle to #5 R.Williams Jr. caught at Pitt44, for 8 yards to the Pitt44, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 6:56
4TH & 3
OWN 44
0
0.2%
(07:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 M.Heintschel pass incomplete short right to #8 J.Goff thrown to Pitt50 QB hurried by #27 K.Viliamu-Asa and #44 J.Tuihalamaka, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 21DOWNS9 plays · 23 yds · 4:02100% → 100%
Q4 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
0.2%
(06:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass incomplete short left to #14 M.Gilbert thrown to Pitt49 broken up by #11 N.JamesSimilar
Q4 6:44
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+7
0.2%
(06:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 C.Carr rush left for 7 yards gain to the Pitt37, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 6:11
3RD & 3
OPP 37
0
0.2%
(06:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 J.Price rush middle for 0 yards to the Pitt37 (#9 K.Louis; #11 N.James)Similar
Q4 5:24
4TH & 3
OPP 37
+7
0.2%
(05:34) No Huddle #13 C.Carr pass complete short left to #14 M.Gilbert caught at Pitt34, for 7 yards to the Pitt30 (#28 S.Lee Jr.), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:54
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-2
0.2%
(04:59) No Huddle #24 J.Price rush left for 2 yards loss to the Pitt32 (#3 R.Biles)Similar
Q4 4:07
2ND & 12
OPP 32
+6
0.2%
(04:19) No Huddle #13 C.Carr pass complete short right to #6 J.Faison caught at Pitt26, for 6 yards to the Pitt26, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 3:35
3RD & 6
OPP 26
+1
0.2%
(03:40) No Huddle #24 J.Price rush left for 1 yard gain to the Pitt25 (#9 K.Louis), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 2:49
4TH & 5
OPP 25
+4
0.2%
(02:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass complete short left to #0 M.Fields caught at Pitt21, for 4 yards to the Pitt21 (#3 R.Biles; #28 S.Lee Jr.), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 22TD17 plays · 79 yds · 2:410% → 1%
Q4 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
0.1%
(02:46) Shotgun #8 J.Goff rush left for 9 yards gain to the Pitt30 (#3 J.Sneed)Similar
Q4 2:24
2ND & 1
OWN 30
+2
0.1%
(02:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 J.Goff rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Pitt32 (#3 J.Sneed), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
0.1%
(02:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 E.Holstein rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Pitt33 (#44 J.Tuihalamaka)Similar
Q4 1:53
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+12
0.1%
(01:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 J.Goff rush middle for 12 yards gain to the Pitt45 (#28 L.Talich), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
0.1%
(01:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 E.Holstein pass complete short middle to #8 J.Goff caught at Pitt48, for 3 yards to the Pitt48 (#19 M.Faraimo)Similar
Q4 1:19
2ND & 7
OWN 48
-1
0.1%
(01:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 E.Holstein pass complete short left to #8 J.Goff caught at Pitt46, for 1 yard loss to the Pitt47 fumbled by #8 J.Goff at Pitt48 forced by #88 A.Mukam, out of bounds at Pitt47Similar
Q4 0:59
3RD & 8
OWN 47
+3
0.1%
(01:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 J.Turner rush left for 3 yards gain to the Pitt50 (#19 M.Faraimo)Similar
Q4 0:35
4TH & 5
50
+15
0.1%
(00:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 E.Holstein pass incomplete short right to #25 J.Turner thrown to Pitt42 QB hurried by #14 D.Golden PENALTY ND Roughing The Passer (#14 D.Golden) 15 yards from Pitt50 to ND35, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
0.1%
(00:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 E.Holstein pass incomplete deep right to #3 C.Hicks thrown to ND00 broken up by #28 L.TalichSimilar
Q4 0:25
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+5
0.1%
PENALTY Pitt False Start (#72 I.Montgomery) 5 yards from ND35 to ND40. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 0:25
2ND & 15
OPP 40
+15
0.1%
(00:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 E.Holstein pass incomplete short left to #82 M.Thomas thrown to ND38 QB hurried by #43 K.Kia PENALTY ND Roughing The Passer (#43 K.Kia) 15 yards from ND40 to ND25, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
0.1%
(00:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 E.Holstein pass incomplete deep left to #17 T.Kinsler thrown to ND00Similar
Q4 0:13
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
0.1%
(00:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 E.Holstein pass incomplete short right to #82 M.Thomas thrown to ND24Similar
Q4 0:07
3RD & 10
OPP 25
+4
0.1%
(00:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 J.Turner rush middle for 4 yards gain to the ND21 (#25 P.Zinter)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:56
(01:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass complete deep left to #0 M.Fields caught at Pitt00, for 25 yards to the Pitt00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:56, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY Pitt Offside declined #18 E.Schmidt kick attempt good (H: #10 T.Buchner, LS: #96 J.Vinci)
-9.5
TD · Q3 10:43
(10:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass complete short right to #0 M.Fields caught at Pitt03, for 6 yards to the Pitt00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:43 #18 E.Schmidt kick attempt good (H: #10 T.Buchner, LS: #96 J.Vinci)
-6.2
TD · Q3 1:39
Rasheem Biles 10 Yd Interception Return (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)
+2.9