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VT

Virginia Tech 14 at Florida State 34

FSU
2025 · Week 12 · Nov 15, 2025 · Doak Campbell Stadium
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Win probability · FSU
modelFSU aheadVT aheadconfidence bandkey playFSU scoreVT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 2:46 · (02:48) #17 J.Love field goal attempt from 54 yards NO GOOD (LS: #96 C.Epling), clock 02:46, End Of Play
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+33.5+16.80−16.8−33.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 30Pregame prior+26.4Home team on offense−0.9Score differential−0.9Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:25: (05:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Drones rush left for 4 yards gain to the FSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:25 #17 J.Love kick attempt good (H: #95 N.Veltsistas, LS: #96 C.Epling) #17 J.Love kick attempt good (LS: #96 C.Epling) — VT win probability +8.3 pts (now 34%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:11: (03:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass complete deep middle to #0 D.Robinson caught at VT18, for 50 yards to the VT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:11, 1ST DOWN #22 J.Weinberg kick attempt good (H: #43 M.Chiumento, LS: #32 M.Arnold) — FSU win probability +7.2 pts (now 77%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 9:33: (09:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos rush middle for 1 yard gain to the VT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:33 #22 J.Weinberg kick attempt good (H: #43 M.Chiumento, LS: #32 M.Arnold) — FSU win probability +8.7 pts (now 86%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:54: (00:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 R.Pittman Jr. rush middle for 1 yard gain to the VT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:54 #22 J.Weinberg kick attempt good (H: #43 M.Chiumento, LS: #32 M.Arnold) — FSU win probability +7.5 pts (now 96%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:20: (11:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Drones pass complete short right to #0 A.Greene caught at FSU01, for 8 yards to the FSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:20, 1ST DOWN #17 J.Love kick attempt good (H: #95 N.Veltsistas, LS: #96 C.Epling) #17 J.Love kick attempt good (LS: #96 C.Epling) — VT win probability +10.5 pts (now 15%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4VT made the numbers' call on 0 of 3
  1. Q1 8:45FSU 4th & 8 at VT 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 81.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.9%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.0%
    81% to make
    Punt
    80.4%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:46VT 4th & 7 at FSU 36, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 21.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.5%
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    21.4%−0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    21.4%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q2 10:56FSU 4th & 8 at VT 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 77.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.8%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.0%
    90% to make
    Punt
    74.9%−2.1
    average punt
  4. Q3 10:43FSU 4th & 1 at VT 5, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 75.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.5%
    67% to convert
    Field goal
    73.0%−2.5
    92% to make
    Punt
    66.3%−9.3
    average punt
  5. Q4 6:30VT 4th & 6 at VT 29, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.5%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.5%
    average punt
  6. Q4 4:12FSU 4th & 6 at VT 16, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.8%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.8%
    81% to make
    Punt
    96.4%−1.4
    average punt
  7. Q4 2:20VT 4th & 1 at FSU 47, down 20
    Close callWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%−<0.1
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4VT made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 5:25VT Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 3:11FSU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 9:33FSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 0:54FSU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 11:20VT Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 7:31FSU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.4%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
VTDrive 1INT
5 plays · 35 yds · 0:5718% → 18%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
82.1%
PENALTY VT False Start (#62 K.Altuner) 5 yards from VT25 to VT20. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
82.1%
(14:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Drones pass incomplete short right to #2 T.Heath thrown to VT30Similar
Q1 14:42
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+40
82.1%
(14:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 M.Hawkins rush left for 40 yards gain to the FSU40 (#27 A.Barker), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 14:03
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
81.8%
(14:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Drones pass intercepted by #19 J.Wilson at FSU05 QB hurried by #6 D.Jackson Jr. #19 J.Wilson return 0 yards to the FSU05 (#0 A.Greene)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 2MISSED FG
14 plays · 79 yds · 5:1182% → 81%
Q1 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+1
81.8%
(14:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 G.Sawchuk rush left for 1 yard gain to the FSU06 (#9 I.Brown-Murray; #13 K.Copeland)Similar
Q1 13:18
2ND & 9
OWN 6
+8
81.7%
(13:26) #26 C.Holmes rush middle for 8 yards gain to the FSU14 (#20 C.Woodson)Similar
Q1 12:49
3RD & 1
OWN 14
+2
81.5%
(12:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos rush middle for 2 yards gain to the FSU16 (#16 N.Chambers; #20 C.Woodson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
81.4%
(12:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #32 O.Kromah rush middle for 4 yards gain to the FSU20 (#20 C.Woodson; #11 T.Flowers)Similar
Q1 11:56
2ND & 6
OWN 20
0
81.3%
(12:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass incomplete deep left to #19 M.Danzy thrown to FSU46Similar
Q1 11:53
3RD & 6
OWN 20
+15
81.2%
(11:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass incomplete short left to #7 L.McCoy thrown to FSU27 PENALTY VT Roughing The Passer (#16 N.Chambers) 15 yards from FSU20 to FSU35, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
81.3%
(11:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 S.Singleton Jr. rush middle for 2 yards gain to the FSU37 (#20 C.Woodson; #98 K.Huisman)Similar
Q1 11:01
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+2
81.1%
(11:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass complete short middle to #12 J.Lucas caught at FSU34, for 2 yards to the FSU39, End Of PlaySimilar
Q1 10:31
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+19
80.9%
(10:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass complete short left to #0 D.Robinson caught at VT44, for 19 yards to the VT42, out of bounds at VT42, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+24
81.2%
(10:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #19 M.Danzy rush right for 24 yards gain to the VT18 (#20 C.Woodson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
81.2%
(09:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass incomplete short left to #13 R.Pittman Jr. thrown to VT00Similar
Q1 9:26
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+2
81.1%
(09:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 S.Singleton Jr. rush middle for 2 yards gain to the VT16 (#3 K.Spencer; #22 K.Gilliam Jr.)Similar
Q1 8:49
3RD & 8
OPP 16
0
80.7%
(08:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass incomplete short right to #27 G.Sawchuk thrown to VT15 QB hurried by #94 E.FallSimilar
Q1 8:45
4TH & 8
OPP 16
+34
80.5%
(08:44) #22 J.Weinberg field goal attempt from 34 yards NO GOOD (H: #43 M.Chiumento, LS: #32 M.Arnold), clock 08:45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 3MISSED FG
11 plays · 44 yds · 5:4920% → 22%
Q1 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
80.2%
(08:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 T.Stewart rush left for 2 yards gain to the VT22 (#0 E.Little Jr.; #6 D.Jackson Jr.)Similar
Q1 8:09
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+4
80.1%
(08:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Drones pass complete short left to #82 B.Gosnell caught at VT24, for 4 yards to the VT26 (#31 E.Herring), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 7:29
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+4
79.9%
(07:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Drones rush middle for 4 yards gain to the VT30 (#7 S.Thompson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
79.5%
(06:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 T.Stewart rush left for 8 yards gain to the VT38 fumbled by #8 T.Stewart at VT35 forced by #7 S.Thompson recovered by VT #8 T.Stewart at VT38, out of bounds at VT38Similar
Q1 6:14
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+6
79.0%
(06:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 T.Stewart rush middle for 6 yards gain to the VT44 (#31 E.Herring), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
78.8%
(05:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 T.Stewart rush left for 9 yards gain to the FSU47 (#7 S.Thompson; #5 D.Lyons)Similar
Q1 5:16
2ND & 1
OPP 47
+8
78.4%
(05:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Drones rush right for 8 yards gain to the FSU39 (#3 E.Joseph), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:39
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
78.2%
(04:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 J.Overton rush middle for 6 yards gain to the FSU33 (#0 E.Little Jr.)Similar
Q1 4:06
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+2
77.6%
(04:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 J.Overton rush middle for 2 yards gain to the FSU31 (#90 D.Desir; #9 O.Graham Jr.)Similar
Q1 3:20
3RD & 2
OPP 31
-5
77.6%
(03:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Drones pass complete short left to #27 M.Hawkins caught at FSU36, for 5 yards loss to the FSU36 (#19 J.Wilson)Similar
Q1 2:46
4TH & 7
OPP 36
+54
78.0%
(02:48) #17 J.Love field goal attempt from 54 yards NO GOOD (LS: #96 C.Epling), clock 02:46, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 4FG
18 plays · 56 yds · 6:4279% → 78%
Q1 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
78.8%
(02:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 S.Singleton Jr. rush middle for 8 yards gain to the FSU44 (#24 J.Keller; #31 J.Abbey)Similar
Q1 2:09
2ND & 2
OWN 44
0
79.2%
(02:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 S.Singleton Jr. rush middle for 0 yards to the FSU44, End Of Play. #67 R.Leonard IV injured on the playSimilar
Q1 1:49
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+4
78.8%
(01:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 S.Singleton Jr. rush middle for 4 yards gain to the FSU48 (#11 T.Flowers; #24 J.Keller), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+11
78.9%
(01:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass complete short middle to #12 J.Lucas caught at FSU44, for 11 yards to the VT41 (#9 I.Brown-Murray), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:43
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
79.0%
PENALTY FSU False Start (#32 O.Kromah) 5 yards from VT41 to VT46. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 0:29
1ST & 15
OPP 46
0
78.4%
(00:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass incomplete deep middle to #7 L.McCoy thrown to VT20Similar
Q1 0:16
2ND & 15
OPP 46
+10
78.3%
(00:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass complete short left to #5 R.Williams caught at VT50, for 10 yards to the VT36 (#11 T.Flowers)Similar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 5
OPP 36
+6
78.6%
(14:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Lucas rush right for 6 yards gain to the VT30 (#24 J.Keller), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:12
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
78.9%
(14:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos rush left for 2 yards gain to the VT28 (#3 K.Spencer)Similar
Q2 13:34
2ND & 8
OPP 28
0
78.7%
(13:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass incomplete short right to #19 M.Danzy thrown to VT30Similar
Q2 13:25
3RD & 8
OPP 28
+9
78.2%
(13:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass complete short right to #7 L.McCoy caught at VT19, for 9 yards to the VT19, out of bounds at VT19, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
78.6%
(13:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 G.Sawchuk rush middle for 6 yards gain to the VT13 (#13 K.Copeland)Similar
Q2 12:19
2ND & 4
OPP 13
+6
78.4%
(12:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos rush middle for 6 yards gain to the VT07 (#3 K.Spencer), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-1
78.3%
(11:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #32 O.Kromah rush middle for 1 yard loss to the VT08 (#98 K.Huisman; #6 J.Bass)Similar
Q2 11:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
78.2%
(11:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass incomplete short left to #0 D.Robinson thrown to VT00Similar
Q2 11:04
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
77.7%
(11:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass incomplete short right to #0 D.Robinson thrown to VT00. The previous play is under automatic review - "Incomplete pass". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (11:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass complete short right to #0 D.Robinson caught at VT00, for 8 yards to the VT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:59)Similar
Q2 10:56
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+26
77.6%
(10:59) #22 J.Weinberg field goal attempt from 26 yards GOOD (H: #43 M.Chiumento, LS: #32 M.Arnold), clock 10:56Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 5TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 5:2322% → 34%
Q2 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
77.6%
(10:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Drones rush right for 3 yards gain to the VT28 (#8 D.McCray; #31 E.Herring)Similar
Q2 10:17
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+8
77.3%
(10:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Drones rush middle for 8 yards gain to the VT36, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
76.6%
(09:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 M.Hawkins rush right for 5 yards gain to the VT41 (#6 D.Jackson Jr.; #56 K.Sampson)Similar
Q2 9:09
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+3
75.6%
(09:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 M.Hawkins rush right for 3 yards gain to the VT44 (#28 J.Cryer; #31 E.Herring)Similar
Q2 8:30
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+2
75.3%
(08:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Drones rush middle for 2 yards gain to the VT46 (#97 J.Jenkins), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
75.2%
(07:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 T.Stewart rush right for 2 yards gain to the VT48 (#28 J.Cryer; #27 A.Barker)Similar
Q2 7:10
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+10
75.0%
(07:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 T.Stewart rush right for 10 yards gain to the FSU42, out of bounds at FSU42, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:28
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
74.5%
(06:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 T.Stewart rush middle for 2 yards gain to the FSU40 (#31 E.Herring)Similar
Q2 5:44
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+36
74.3%
(05:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Drones pass complete short left to #16 J.Overton caught at FSU44, for 36 yards to the FSU04 (#27 A.Barker; #3 E.Joseph), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
65.9%
(05:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Drones rush left for 4 yards gain to the FSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:25 #17 J.Love kick attempt good (H: #95 N.Veltsistas, LS: #96 C.Epling) #17 J.Love kick attempt good (LS: #96 C.Epling)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 6TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:0669% → 77%
Q2 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
68.9%
(05:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 S.Singleton Jr. rush left for 6 yards gain to the FSU31 (#16 N.Chambers)Similar
Q2 4:40
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+14
69.9%
(04:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #32 O.Kromah rush left for 14 yards gain to the FSU45 (#98 K.Huisman), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
70.4%
(04:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #32 O.Kromah rush middle for 1 yard gain to the FSU46 (#94 E.Fall; #15 B.Johnson)Similar
Q2 3:48
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+4
70.0%
(03:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #32 O.Kromah rush middle for 4 yards gain to the FSU50 (#22 K.Gilliam Jr.; #42 A.Stevens)Similar
Q2 3:11
3RD & 5
50
+50
77.2%
(03:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass complete deep middle to #0 D.Robinson caught at VT18, for 50 yards to the VT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:11, 1ST DOWN #22 J.Weinberg kick attempt good (H: #43 M.Chiumento, LS: #32 M.Arnold)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 7END OF HALF
17 plays · 34 yds · 3:0324% → 25%
Q2 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
75.7%
(03:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 M.Hawkins rush middle for 7 yards gain to the VT32 (#90 D.Desir)Similar
Q2 2:28
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-2
74.1%
(02:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 M.Hawkins rush left for 2 yards loss to the VT30 (#27 A.Barker), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 1:51
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+6
76.1%
(01:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Drones rush right for 6 yards gain to the VT36 (#9 O.Graham Jr.), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
75.2%
(01:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 J.Overton rush right for 7 yards gain to the VT43 (#15 S.Arnoux)Similar
Q2 1:09
2ND & 3
OWN 43
0
73.4%
(01:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Drones pass incomplete short right to #16 J.Overton thrown to VT50 broken up by #9 O.Graham Jr. QB hurried by #10 J.WilliamsSimilar
Q2 1:08
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+5
73.8%
(01:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Drones rush middle for 5 yards gain to the VT48 (#9 O.Graham Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+10
73.4%
(00:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Drones pass complete short left to #27 M.Hawkins caught at FSU46, for 29 yards to the FSU23 (#20 B.Nichelson) PENALTY VT Holding (#76 A.Lynch) 10 yards from VT48 to VT38. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 0:13
1ST & 20
OWN 38
+5
74.8%
(00:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Drones pass complete short right to #15 S.Peterkin caught at VT41, for 5 yards to the VT43 (#19 J.Wilson)Similar
Q2 0:06
2ND & 15
OWN 43
+10
76.3%
(00:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Drones rush right for 10 yards gain to the FSU47, out of bounds at FSU47Similar
Q2 0:03
3RD & 5
OPP 47
+6
75.2%
(00:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Drones pass complete short right to #13 J.Hairston caught at FSU43, for 6 yards to the FSU41 (#15 S.Arnoux), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
75.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Drones pass incomplete deep middle to #2 T.Heath thrown to FSU00 broken up by #0 D.RobinsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 8TD
15 plays · 63 yds · 5:1377% → 86%
Q3 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
76.6%
(14:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 S.Singleton Jr. rush middle for 3 yards gain to the FSU40 (#13 K.Copeland; #20 C.Woodson)Similar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 7
OWN 40
0
77.1%
(14:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass incomplete short right to #13 R.Pittman Jr. thrown to FSU38Similar
Q3 14:09
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+7
75.8%
(14:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass complete short right to #13 R.Pittman Jr. caught at FSU46, for 7 yards to the FSU47, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
77.4%
(13:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 S.Singleton Jr. rush middle for 3 yards gain to the FSU50 (#42 A.Stevens; #16 N.Chambers)Similar
Q3 12:58
2ND & 7
50
0
77.4%
(13:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass incomplete short right to #87 M.Douglas thrown to VT45 QB hurried by #42 A.StevensSimilar
Q3 12:55
3RD & 7
50
+15
76.3%
(12:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass incomplete deep right to #0 D.Robinson thrown to VT26 PENALTY VT Pass Interference (#9 I.Brown-Murray) 15 yards from FSU50 to VT35, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
78.1%
(12:51) #12 J.Lucas rush left for 4 yards gain to the VT31, out of bounds at VT31Similar
Q3 12:10
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+17
77.9%
(12:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass complete short middle to #0 D.Robinson caught at VT17, for 17 yards to the VT14 (#9 I.Brown-Murray), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
77.8%
(11:47) #19 M.Danzy rush right for 5 yards gain to the VT09 (#23 T.Williams)Similar
Q3 11:03
2ND & 5
OPP 9
0
77.8%
(11:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass incomplete short right to #0 D.Robinson thrown to VT00 QB hurried by #16 N.ChambersSimilar
Q3 10:59
3RD & 5
OPP 9
0
76.8%
(11:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass incomplete short middle to #13 R.Pittman Jr. thrown to VT00Similar
Q3 10:43
4TH & 1
OPP 5
+4
75.5%
(10:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 R.Pittman Jr. rush middle for 4 yards gain to the VT01 (#20 C.Woodson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
77.7%
(10:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 S.Singleton Jr. rush middle for 0 yards to the VT01 (#22 K.Gilliam Jr.; #11 T.Flowers)Similar
Q3 9:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
86.4%
(09:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos rush middle for 1 yard gain to the VT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:33 #22 J.Weinberg kick attempt good (H: #43 M.Chiumento, LS: #32 M.Arnold)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 9FUMBLE
10 plays · 42 yds · 4:0215% → 16%
Q3 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
84.6%
(09:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Drones pass complete short right to #11 I.Spencer caught at VT38, for 18 yards to the VT43 (#19 J.Wilson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+16
83.7%
(09:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 M.Hawkins rush middle for 16 yards gain to the FSU41 (#20 B.Nichelson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:17
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
82.9%
(08:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 M.Hawkins rush right for 5 yards gain to the FSU36 (#9 O.Graham Jr.)Similar
Q3 7:42
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+3
82.6%
(07:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 M.Hawkins rush right for 3 yards gain to the FSU33 (#15 S.Arnoux), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 6:58
3RD & 2
OPP 33
+5
82.8%
(07:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Drones rush left for 5 yards gain to the FSU28 (#19 J.Wilson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
81.7%
(06:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Drones pass incomplete deep right to #0 A.Greene thrown to FSU00Similar
Q3 6:14
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+4
82.1%
(06:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 T.Stewart rush middle for 4 yards gain to the FSU24 (#10 J.Williams; #6 D.Jackson Jr.)Similar
Q3 5:41
3RD & 6
OPP 24
+5
82.8%
(05:41) PENALTY VT False Start (#62 K.Altuner) 5 yards from FSU24 to FSU29. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 5:19
3RD & 11
OPP 29
-4
83.7%
(05:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Drones sacked for loss of 4 yards to the FSU33 (#93 M.Desir), fumble by #1 K.Drones recovered by FSU #20 B.Nichelson at FSU33, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 10TD
9 plays · 67 yds · 4:1186% → 96%
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+15
86.1%
(05:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #32 O.Kromah rush middle for 15 yards gain to the FSU48 (#18 I.Cash), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-2
87.4%
(04:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #32 O.Kromah rush middle for 2 yards loss to the FSU46 (#3 K.Spencer; #33 B.Bell)Similar
Q3 3:50
2ND & 12
OWN 46
+12
87.0%
(03:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos rush middle for 12 yards gain to the VT42 (#18 I.Cash), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:23
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+17
87.6%
(03:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass complete short right to #0 D.Robinson caught at VT25, for 17 yards to the VT25 (#23 T.Williams), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:49
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+16
87.8%
(03:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass complete short right to #28 S.Singleton Jr. caught at VT30, for 16 yards to the VT09 (#11 T.Flowers), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
88.1%
(02:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 S.Singleton Jr. rush middle for 6 yards gain to the VT03 (#26 A.Santiago)Similar
Q3 1:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
88.2%
(01:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 S.Singleton Jr. rush middle for 2 yards gain to the VT01 (#6 J.Bass; #31 J.Abbey) PENALTY VT UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (#6 J.Bass), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 1:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
88.3%
(01:24) Shotgun #13 R.Pittman Jr. rush middle for 0 yards to the VT01 (#24 J.Keller; #41 G.Ballance). #22 K.Gilliam Jr. injured on the playSimilar
Q3 0:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
95.7%
(00:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 R.Pittman Jr. rush middle for 1 yard gain to the VT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:54 #22 J.Weinberg kick attempt good (H: #43 M.Chiumento, LS: #32 M.Arnold)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 11TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:275% → 15%
Q3 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
95.0%
(00:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 M.Hawkins rush left for 3 yards gain to the VT28 (#0 E.Little Jr.; #27 A.Barker)Similar
Q3 0:14
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
94.9%
(00:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 M.Hawkins rush middle for 6 yards gain to the VT34 (#0 E.Little Jr.)Similar
Q3 0:01
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
94.9%
(00:01) No Huddle #1 K.Drones rush middle for 1 yard gain to the VT35 (#31 E.Herring; #93 M.Desir), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+13
94.9%
(14:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Drones rush left for 13 yards gain to the VT48, out of bounds at VT48, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+31
95.1%
(14:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Drones pass complete deep right to #0 A.Greene caught at FSU28, for 31 yards to the FSU21 (#3 E.Joseph; #19 J.Wilson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+11
94.7%
(13:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 M.Hawkins rush right for 11 yards gain to the FSU10 (#28 J.Cryer), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
94.9%
(13:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Drones pass complete short left to #9 C.Seldon caught at FSU08, for 3 yards to the FSU07, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 12:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
95.0%
PENALTY VT False Start (#76 A.Lynch) 5 yards from FSU07 to FSU12. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 12:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+4
95.3%
(12:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Drones rush right for 4 yards gain to the FSU08 (#0 E.Little Jr.)Similar
Q4 11:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
84.9%
(11:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Drones pass complete short right to #0 A.Greene caught at FSU01, for 8 yards to the FSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:20, 1ST DOWN #17 J.Love kick attempt good (H: #95 N.Veltsistas, LS: #96 C.Epling) #17 J.Love kick attempt good (LS: #96 C.Epling)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 12TD
8 plays · 61 yds · 3:3189% → 97%
Q4 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+18
89.2%
(11:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass complete short right to #0 D.Robinson caught at FSU50, for 18 yards to the VT43 (#9 I.Brown-Murray; #24 J.Keller), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
89.7%
(10:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 G.Sawchuk rush middle for 4 yards gain to the VT39 (#13 K.Copeland)Similar
Q4 9:59
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+10
90.1%
(10:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 S.Singleton Jr. rush middle for 10 yards gain to the VT29 (#15 B.Johnson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
90.2%
(09:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 S.Singleton Jr. rush middle for 4 yards gain to the VT25 (#33 B.Bell; #99 E.Laws)Similar
Q4 8:48
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+7
91.5%
(08:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos rush right for 7 yards gain to the VT18, out of bounds at VT18, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:09
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
92.2%
(08:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 S.Singleton Jr. rush middle for 3 yards gain to the VT15 (#9 I.Brown-Murray)Similar
Q4 7:31
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+15
97.4%
(07:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos rush right for 15 yards gain to the VT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:31, 1ST DOWN #22 J.Weinberg kick attempt good (H: #43 M.Chiumento, LS: #32 M.Arnold)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 13DOWNS
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:543% → 3%
Q4 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.0%
(07:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Drones pass incomplete deep right to #0 A.Greene thrown to FSU26 broken up by #0 E.Little Jr.Similar
Q4 7:13
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
97.1%
(07:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 M.Hawkins rush left for 4 yards gain to the VT29 (#10 J.Williams; #56 K.Sampson)Similar
Q4 6:37
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
97.0%
(06:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Drones pass incomplete short left to #2 T.Heath thrown to VT32Similar
Q4 6:30
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+4
97.3%
(06:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Drones rush left for 4 yards gain to the VT33 (#9 O.Graham Jr.; #93 M.Desir), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 14FG
5 plays · 17 yds · 2:0798% → 99%
Q4 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+13
97.7%
(06:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass complete short right to #0 D.Robinson caught at VT34, for 13 yards to the VT20 (#98 K.Huisman; #16 N.Chambers), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
98.0%
(05:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #32 O.Kromah rush middle for 3 yards gain to the VT17 (#97 I.Hickman; #94 E.Fall)Similar
Q4 4:54
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+1
98.0%
(04:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #32 O.Kromah rush middle for 1 yard gain to the VT16 (#3 K.Spencer; #97 I.Hickman)Similar
Q4 4:16
3RD & 6
OPP 16
0
98.1%
(04:16) No Huddle #1 T.Castellanos pass incomplete short right to #7 L.McCoy thrown to VT00Similar
Q4 4:12
4TH & 6
OPP 16
+34
99.2%
(04:16) #22 J.Weinberg field goal attempt from 34 yards GOOD (H: #43 M.Chiumento, LS: #32 M.Arnold), clock 04:12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 15DOWNS
6 plays · 25 yds · 1:381% → 1%
Q4 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
99.4%
(04:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Drones pass complete short right to #9 C.Seldon caught at VT41, for 19 yards to the VT44 (#0 E.Little Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
99.4%
(03:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Drones pass incomplete deep left to #15 S.Peterkin thrown to FSU17Similar
Q4 3:27
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+6
99.4%
(03:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Drones rush right for 6 yards gain to the VT50 (#31 E.Herring), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 2:43
3RD & 4
50
+3
99.4%
(02:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Drones rush right for 3 yards gain to the FSU47, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 2:20
4TH & 1
OPP 47
-3
99.4%
(02:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Drones rush middle for 3 yards loss to the FSU50 (#20 B.Nichelson), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 16END OF GAME
8 plays · 42 yds · 1:4499% → 100%
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
50
+5
99.4%
(02:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 B.Glenn pass complete short right to #85 W.Suarez caught at VT46, for 5 yards to the VT45 (#21 J.Reddish), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 1:51
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+18
99.5%
(01:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #32 O.Kromah rush left for 18 yards gain to the VT27 (#23 T.Williams), 1ST DOWN. #18 I.Cash injured on the playSimilar
Q4 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+9
99.5%
(01:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 B.Glenn rush left for 9 yards gain to the VT18 (#14 S.Robinson), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 1
OPP 18
+2
99.5%
(01:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #32 O.Kromah rush right for 2 yards gain to the VT16 (#24 J.Keller; #16 N.Chambers), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:58
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
99.5%
(01:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Davis rush middle for 1 yard gain to the VT15 (#15 B.Johnson)Similar
Q4 0:26
2ND & 9
OPP 15
+7
99.6%
(00:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Davis rush middle for 7 yards gain to the VT08 (#98 K.Huisman; #20 C.Woodson)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 11:20
(11:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Drones pass complete short right to #0 A.Greene caught at FSU01, for 8 yards to the FSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:20, 1ST DOWN #17 J.Love kick attempt good (H: #95 N.Veltsistas, LS: #96 C.Epling) #17 J.Love kick attempt good (LS: #96 C.Epling)
-10.5
TD · Q3 9:33
(09:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos rush middle for 1 yard gain to the VT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:33 #22 J.Weinberg kick attempt good (H: #43 M.Chiumento, LS: #32 M.Arnold)
+8.7
TD · Q2 5:25
(05:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Drones rush left for 4 yards gain to the FSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:25 #17 J.Love kick attempt good (H: #95 N.Veltsistas, LS: #96 C.Epling) #17 J.Love kick attempt good (LS: #96 C.Epling)
-8.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com