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Win probability · DUKE
modelDUKE aheadUVA aheadconfidence bandkey playDUKE scoreUVA score
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · End of 4th quarter.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
This game in five plays
- TD · Q2 1:39: (01:45) Shotgun #4 C.Morris pass complete short left to #0 S.Ennis caught at DUKE03, for 12 yards to the DUKE00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:39, 1ST DOWN #41 W.Bettridge kick attempt good (H: #38 D.Sparks, LS: #69 B.Robinson) PENALTY #41 W.Bettridge kick attempt good (H: #38 D.Sparks, LS: #69 B.Robinson) PENALTY DUKE Personal Foul (#4 J.Green) #41 W.Bettridge kick attempt good (H: #38 D.Sparks, LS: #69 B.Robinson) PENALTY DUKE Personal Foul (#4 J.Green) 15 yards from DUKE00 to UVA50 — UVA win probability +13.2 pts (now 61%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
- FG · Q2 0:00: Will Bettridge 44 Yd Field Goal — UVA win probability +7.6 pts (now 68%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
- TD · Q3 6:49: (06:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Morris pass complete short right to #11 T.Harris caught at DUKE08, for 20 yards to the DUKE00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:49, 1ST DOWN #41 W.Bettridge kick attempt good (H: #38 D.Sparks, LS: #69 B.Robinson) — UVA win probability +14.0 pts (now 92%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
- TD · Q4 10:23: (10:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete short right to #18 C.Barkate caught at UVA00, for 11 yards to the UVA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:23, 1ST DOWN #29 T.Pelino kick attempt good (H: #41 K.Reynoldson, LS: #57 C.Cooper) — DUKE win probability +3.4 pts (now 4%) (top driver: DUKE has the ball).
- TD · Q4 9:30: (09:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Morris pass intercepted by #12 T.Freeman at UVA18 QB hurried by #99 A.Hall #12 T.Freeman return 18 yards to the UVA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:30 #29 T.Pelino kick attempt good (H: #41 K.Reynoldson, LS: #57 C.Cooper) — DUKE win probability +6.3 pts (now 9%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
Was that the right call?
Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works
Fourth downs
DUKE made the numbers' call on 9 of 11UVA made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
- Q1 9:48UVA 4th & 3 at DUKE 30, tiedAgrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.3% before the snapGo for itTheir call35.3%52% to convertField goal35.2%−0.156% to makePunt35.1%−0.2average punt
- Q1 6:11DUKE 4th & 1 at DUKE 25, down 7Close callPunted · 61.0% before the snapGo for it61.2%71% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call60.9%−0.4average punt
- Q1 4:16UVA 4th & 10 at DUKE 47, up 7Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.0% before the snapGo for it39.9%−0.329% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call40.1%average punt
- Q1 2:55DUKE 4th & 9 at DUKE 14, down 7Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.0% before the snapGo for it58.5%−0.830% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call59.3%average punt
- Q1 0:43DUKE 4th & 4 at DUKE 18, down 7Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.4% before the snapGo for it57.4%−<0.147% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call57.4%average punt
- Q2 11:22UVA 4th & 1 at DUKE 33, up 7Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 45.1% before the snapGo for itTheir call45.2%71% to convertField goal43.5%−1.749% to makePunt42.9%−2.3average punt
- Q2 5:33DUKE 4th & 14 at UVA 32, down 7Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 50.3% before the snapGo for it48.7%−1.219% to convertField goalTheir call49.9%51% to makePunt48.6%−1.3average punt
- Q2 1:00DUKE 4th & 4 at DUKE 31, down 11Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.6% before the snapGo for it39.8%−0.848% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call40.6%average punt
- Q2 0:00UVA 4th & 27 at DUKE 27, up 11Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.3% before the snapGo for it57.0%−2.97% to convertField goalTheir call60.0%62% to makePunt54.3%−5.7average punt
- Q3 11:57DUKE 4th & 6 at DUKE 39, down 14Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.7% before the snapGo for it31.7%−0.440% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call32.1%average punt
- Q3 4:05DUKE 4th & 8 at UVA 8, down 28Close callWent for it · 3.6% before the snapGo for itTheir call3.5%−<0.126% to convertField goal3.5%90% to makePunt3.1%−0.5average punt
- Q3 1:00DUKE 4th & 18 at DUKE 17, down 28Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snapGo for it1.4%−0.212% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call1.6%average punt
- Q4 14:05UVA 4th & 6 at UVA 37, up 28Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.8% before the snapGo for it98.8%−<0.140% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call98.8%average punt
- Q4 13:11DUKE 4th & 3 at DUKE 35, down 28Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.8% before the snapGo for itTheir call0.9%52% to convertField goalOut of rangePunt0.9%−<0.1average punt
- Q4 5:42UVA 4th & 3 at DUKE 25, up 14Close callKicked a field goal · 94.1% before the snapGo for it94.1%52% to convertField goalTheir call93.4%−0.666% to makePunt89.6%−4.5average punt
- Q4 4:48DUKE 4th & 1 at DUKE 34, down 17Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.4% before the snapGo for itTheir call3.5%71% to convertField goalOut of rangePunt3.4%−0.1average punt
- Q4 3:39DUKE 4th & 1 at UVA 41, down 17Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.5% before the snapGo for itTheir call3.4%70% to convertField goal3.1%−0.332% to makePunt3.1%−0.3average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
DUKE made the numbers' call on 1 of 2UVA made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
- Q1 8:13UVA Touchdown, up 6 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call36.9%97% to makeGo for two36.9%−<0.145% to convert
- Q2 1:39UVA Touchdown, up 10 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call58.2%97% to makeGo for two58.1%−0.145% to convert
- Q3 6:49UVA Touchdown, up 20 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call88.7%97% to makeGo for two88.5%−0.245% to convert
- Q4 10:23DUKE Touchdown, down 22 before the tryClose callKicked · madeKickTheir call2.6%−0.197% to makeGo for two2.7%45% to convert
- Q4 9:30DUKE Touchdown, down 15 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call8.2%97% to makeGo for two8.1%−<0.145% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chartUVADrive 1TD16 plays · 75 yds · 6:4334% → 38%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
65.6%
(15:00) Shotgun #3 J.Taylor rush middle for 0 yards to the UVA25 (#2 J.Francois; #4 J.Green)Similar
Q1 14:21
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
65.5%
(14:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Morris pass incomplete short right to #3 J.Taylor thrown to UVA28 QB hurried by #97 W.WilliamsSimilar
Q1 14:12
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+25
65.6%
(14:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Morris pass complete short left to #3 J.Taylor caught at UVA26, for 25 yards to the UVA50 (#35 A.Pellicciotta), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:31
1ST & 10
50
+6
65.3%
(13:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Morris pass complete short left to #6 C.Ross caught at DUKE44, for 6 yards to the DUKE44 (#34 L.Mergott)Similar
Q1 13:17
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+1
65.2%
(13:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 H.Waylee rush middle for 1 yard gain to the DUKE43 (#12 T.Freeman)Similar
Q1 12:39
3RD & 3
OPP 43
+6
65.2%
(12:45) Shotgun #21 H.Waylee rush right for 6 yards gain to the DUKE37 (#24 B.Gompers; #2 J.Francois), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+10
65.0%
(12:04) Shotgun #4 C.Morris pass incomplete deep left to #11 T.Harris thrown to DUKE00 broken up by #21 L.Callahan PENALTY UVA Holding (#68 J.Witmer) 10 yards from DUKE37 to DUKE47. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 11:50
1ST & 20
OPP 47
+3
65.1%
(11:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Morris pass complete short right to #82 E.Wood caught at DUKE49, for 3 yards to the DUKE44 (#34 L.Mergott)Similar
Q1 11:12
2ND & 17
OPP 44
+7
65.0%
(11:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Morris pass complete short left to #21 H.Waylee caught at DUKE44, for 7 yards to the DUKE37 (#8 D.Stone)Similar
Q1 10:35
3RD & 10
OPP 37
+7
64.8%
(10:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Morris pass complete short left to #11 T.Harris caught at DUKE37, for 7 yards to the DUKE30 (#2 J.Francois)Similar
Q1 9:48
4TH & 3
OPP 30
+3
64.9%
(10:00) Shotgun #4 C.Morris pass complete short right to #6 C.Ross caught at DUKE28, for 3 yards to the DUKE27 (#3 C.Weaver), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:34
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
64.4%
(09:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Morris pass incomplete short left to #6 C.Ross thrown to DUKE23Similar
Q1 9:27
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+3
64.4%
(09:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 H.Waylee rush left for 3 yards gain to the DUKE24 (#15 K.O'Connor)Similar
Q1 8:47
3RD & 7
OPP 24
+19
64.3%
(08:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 J.Taylor rush left for 19 yards gain to the DUKE05 (#35 A.Pellicciotta), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
61.6%
(08:17) Shotgun #3 J.Taylor rush middle for 5 yards gain to the DUKE00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:13 #41 W.Bettridge kick attempt good (H: #38 D.Sparks, LS: #69 B.Robinson)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 2PUNT5 plays · 9 yds · 1:5162% → 61%
Q1 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-5
62.4%
(08:09) Shotgun #10 D.Mensah sacked for loss of 5 yards to the DUKE11 (#14 F.Camac)Similar
Q1 7:30
2ND & 15
OWN 11
+4
62.1%
(07:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete short right to #7 Q.Brown caught at DUKE08, for 4 yards to the DUKE15 (#23 J.Holmes; #4 C.Charles)Similar
Q1 6:48
3RD & 11
OWN 15
+10
61.4%
(06:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete short right to #85 J.Hasley caught at DUKE21, for 10 yards to the DUKE25 (#32 L.Danley; #28 D.Platt)Similar
Q1 6:11
4TH & 1
OWN 25
0
61.2%
(06:18) #41 K.Reynoldson punt 40 yards to the UVA35 #6 C.Ross return 0 yards to the UVA35 (#8 D.Stone)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 3PUNT7 plays · 18 yds · 1:5139% → 40%
Q1 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
60.9%
(06:11) Shotgun #4 C.Morris pass complete short middle to #6 C.Ross caught at UVA31, for 7 yards to the UVA42 (#3 C.Weaver)Similar
Q1 5:47
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+2
60.4%
(05:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 J.Taylor rush left for 2 yards gain to the UVA44 (#99 A.Hall)Similar
Q1 5:04
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+9
60.0%
(05:08) Shotgun #3 J.Taylor rush middle for 9 yards gain to the DUKE47 (#21 L.Callahan), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:31
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
59.4%
(04:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Morris pass incomplete short right to #11 T.Harris thrown to DUKE37 QB hurried by #97 W.WilliamsSimilar
Q1 4:28
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
59.4%
(04:31) Shotgun #4 C.Morris pass incomplete short right to #5 K.Courtney thrown to DUKE49Similar
Q1 4:24
3RD & 10
OPP 47
0
59.6%
(04:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Morris pass incomplete short middle to #6 C.Ross thrown to UVA45 broken up by #8 D.Stone QB hurried by #8 D.StoneSimilar
Q1 4:16
4TH & 10
OPP 47
0
60.2%
(04:24) #38 D.Sparks punt 34 yards to the DUKE13 fair catch by #18 C.Barkate at DUKE13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 4PUNT4 plays · 1 yds · 1:1861% → 59%
Q1 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-1
60.5%
(04:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush right for 1 yard loss to the DUKE12 (#1 J.Jackson; #14 F.Camac)Similar
Q1 3:36
2ND & 11
OWN 12
+2
60.1%
(03:45) Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete short middle to #20 N.Sheppard caught at DUKE14, for 2 yards to the DUKE14 (#32 L.Danley)Similar
Q1 3:02
3RD & 9
OWN 14
0
59.4%
(03:07) Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass incomplete deep middle to #2 S.Hagans thrown to DUKE49 broken up by #4 C.CharlesSimilar
Q1 2:55
4TH & 9
OWN 14
0
59.2%
(03:02) #41 K.Reynoldson punt 48 yards to the UVA38 fair catch by #6 C.Ross at UVA38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 5INT3 plays · 23 yds · 0:5941% → 43%
Q1 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-3
58.7%
(02:54) Shotgun #4 C.Morris pass complete short middle to #6 C.Ross caught at UVA34, for 3 yards loss to the UVA35 (#14 B.Davis)Similar
Q1 2:05
2ND & 13
OWN 35
+26
59.0%
(02:13) Shotgun #4 C.Morris pass complete deep right to #6 C.Ross caught at DUKE39, for 26 yards to the DUKE39 (#0 C.Rivers), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
57.4%
(01:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Morris pass intercepted by #0 C.Rivers at DUKE12, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 6PUNT4 plays · 6 yds · 1:0059% → 58%
Q1 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
58.9%
(01:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass incomplete short right thrown to DUKE19 QB hurried by #11 M.Marcellus and #30 E.MinterSimilar
Q1 1:38
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+6
58.8%
(01:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush right for 6 yards gain to the DUKE18 (#52 D.Rickert; #32 L.Danley)Similar
Q1 0:54
3RD & 4
OWN 18
0
58.0%
(00:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass incomplete deep left to #2 S.Hagans thrown to DUKE40 broken up by #28 D.PlattSimilar
Q1 0:43
4TH & 4
OWN 18
0
57.6%
(00:53) #41 K.Reynoldson punt 42 yards to the UVA40 PENALTY UVA Holding (#9 J.Jackson) 10 yards from UVA40 to UVA30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 7DOWNS10 plays · 35 yds · 4:1742% → 45%
Q1 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
57.7%
(00:43) Shotgun #3 J.Taylor rush right for 0 yards to the UVA30 (#97 W.Williams; #4 J.Green)Similar
Q1 0:13
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+2
57.7%
(00:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 J.Taylor rush left for 2 yards gain to the UVA32 (#34 L.Mergott)Similar
Q2 14:53
3RD & 8
OWN 32
+10
57.8%
(15:00) Shotgun #4 C.Morris pass complete short left to #11 T.Harris caught at UVA39, for 10 yards to the UVA42, out of bounds at UVA42, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
56.2%
(14:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 J.Taylor rush left for 5 yards gain to the UVA47, out of bounds at UVA47Similar
Q2 13:59
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+11
55.8%
(14:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 H.Waylee rush right for 11 yards gain to the DUKE42 (#3 C.Weaver), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:28
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
55.2%
(13:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 H.Waylee rush right for 6 yards gain to the DUKE36 (#18 K.Smith)Similar
Q2 12:51
2ND & 4
OPP 36
-3
54.8%
(12:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 J.Taylor rush left for 3 yards loss to the DUKE39 (#34 L.Mergott)Similar
Q2 12:07
3RD & 7
OPP 39
+6
54.7%
(12:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Morris pass complete short right to #6 C.Ross caught at DUKE41, for 6 yards to the DUKE33 (#3 C.Weaver; #26 M.Jones), out of bounds. The previous play is under automatic review - "Short of the line to gain". CALL UPHELDSimilar
Q2 11:22
4TH & 1
OPP 33
-2
55.0%
(11:25) Shotgun #3 J.Taylor rush middle for 2 yards loss to the DUKE35 (#4 J.Green; #26 M.Jones), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 8FG12 plays · 33 yds · 5:4056% → 56%
Q2 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
56.4%
(11:22) Shotgun #10 D.Mensah rush right for 6 yards gain to the DUKE41 (#27 D.Neal), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 10:46
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+8
57.6%
(10:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush middle for 8 yards gain to the DUKE49 (#9 J.Robinson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
57.5%
(10:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush right for 7 yards gain to the UVA44 (#91 J.Hammond)Similar
Q2 10:06
2ND & 3
OPP 44
0
57.9%
(10:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush middle for 0 yards to the UVA44 (#27 D.Neal)Similar
Q2 9:17
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+5
56.9%
(09:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah rush right for 5 yards gain to the UVA39 (#23 J.Holmes), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:58
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
57.0%
(09:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 A.Castle rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UVA37 (#23 J.Holmes; #55 A.Britton)Similar
Q2 8:16
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+4
56.6%
(08:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete short right to #4 A.Castle caught at UVA35, for 4 yards to the UVA33 (#9 J.Robinson)Similar
Q2 7:38
3RD & 4
OPP 33
0
55.2%
(07:38) Shotgun #4 A.Castle rush middle for 0 yards to the UVA33 (#1 J.Jackson; #15 H.Osborne) PENALTY UVA Illegal Substitution 5 yards from UVA33 to UVA28, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
56.1%
(06:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass incomplete deep left to #7 Q.Brown thrown to UVA00Similar
Q2 6:48
2ND & 10
OPP 28
-2
56.0%
(06:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah sacked for loss of 2 yards to the UVA30 (#23 J.Holmes)Similar
Q2 6:07
3RD & 12
OPP 30
-2
53.1%
(06:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah rush middle for 2 yards loss to the UVA32 (#23 J.Holmes; #17 M.Melton)Similar
Q2 5:33
4TH & 14
OPP 32
+49
55.7%
(05:37) #29 T.Pelino field goal attempt from 49 yards GOOD (H: #41 K.Reynoldson, LS: #57 C.Cooper), clock 05:33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 9TD14 plays · 75 yds · 3:4244% → 61%
Q2 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+29
56.5%
(05:33) Shotgun #4 C.Morris pass complete deep right to #11 T.Harris caught at DUKE50, for 29 yards to the DUKE46, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 4:58
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-1
54.2%
(05:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 H.Waylee rush left for 1 yard loss to the DUKE47 (#12 T.Freeman; #2 J.Francois)Similar
Q2 4:13
2ND & 11
OPP 47
+13
54.0%
(04:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Morris pass complete short left to #7 J.Edrine caught at DUKE44, for 13 yards to the DUKE34 (#3 C.Weaver), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
52.9%
(03:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 H.Waylee rush middle for 1 yard gain to the DUKE33 (#34 L.Mergott)Similar
Q2 3:04
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+10
51.5%
(03:04) Shotgun #21 H.Waylee rush left for 3 yards gain to the DUKE30 (#3 C.Weaver; #0 C.Rivers) PENALTY UVA Holding (#0 S.Ennis) 10 yards from DUKE33 to DUKE43. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 2:30
2ND & 19
OPP 43
+5
52.7%
(02:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Morris pass complete short right to #11 T.Harris caught at DUKE38, for 5 yards to the DUKE38 (#8 D.Stone)Similar
Q2 1:54
3RD & 14
OPP 38
+21
52.7%
(02:00) Shotgun #4 C.Morris pass complete short right to #7 J.Edrine caught at DUKE21, for 21 yards to the DUKE17 (#35 A.Pellicciotta), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
50.5%
(01:54) Shotgun #3 J.Taylor rush middle for 0 yards to the DUKE17 (#4 J.Green)Similar
Q2 1:46
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+5
49.5%
(01:50) Shotgun #3 J.Taylor rush left for 5 yards gain to the DUKE12 (#34 L.Mergott)Similar
Q2 1:39
3RD & 5
OPP 12
+12
39.3%
(01:45) Shotgun #4 C.Morris pass complete short left to #0 S.Ennis caught at DUKE03, for 12 yards to the DUKE00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:39, 1ST DOWN #41 W.Bettridge kick attempt good (H: #38 D.Sparks, LS: #69 B.Robinson) PENALTY #41 W.Bettridge kick attempt good (H: #38 D.Sparks, LS: #69 B.Robinson) PENALTY DUKE Personal Foul (#4 J.Green) #41 W.Bettridge kick attempt good (H: #38 D.Sparks, LS: #69 B.Robinson) PENALTY DUKE Personal Foul (#4 J.Green) 15 yards from DUKE00 to UVA50Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 10PUNT5 plays · 6 yds · 0:3341% → 40%
Q2 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
41.1%
(01:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete short right to #18 C.Barkate caught at DUKE30, for 6 yards to the DUKE31 (#30 E.Minter)Similar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
41.4%
(01:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass incomplete deep right to #18 C.Barkate thrown to UVA42 broken up by #19 E.KarnleySimilar
Q2 1:07
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
40.6%
(01:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass incomplete short right thrown to DUKE41Similar
Q2 1:00
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
40.1%
(01:07) #41 K.Reynoldson punt 38 yards to the UVA31 fair catch by #6 C.Ross at UVA31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 11FG13 plays · 42 yds · 0:5161% → 68%
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
39.5%
(01:01) Shotgun #4 C.Morris pass complete short left to #11 T.Harris caught at UVA36, for 5 yards to the UVA36 (#0 C.Rivers), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 0:29
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+56
38.9%
(00:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Morris pass complete short left to #11 T.Harris caught at DUKE48, for 56 yards to the DUKE08 (#21 L.Callahan), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
35.7%
(00:29) Shotgun #4 C.Morris pass incomplete short right to #3 J.Taylor thrown to DUKE08Similar
Q2 0:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
35.6%
(00:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 J.Taylor rush middle for 0 yards to the DUKE08 (#34 L.Mergott; #99 A.Hall)Similar
Q2 0:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+15
35.7%
(00:18) Shotgun #4 C.Morris pass complete short right to #7 J.Edrine caught at DUKE03, for 8 yards to the DUKE00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 00:14 PENALTY UVA Pass Interference (#11 T.Harris) 15 yards from DUKE08 to DUKE23. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 0:07
3RD & GOAL
OPP 23
+1
37.7%
(00:13) Shotgun #21 H.Waylee rush middle for 1 yard gain to the DUKE22 (#99 A.Hall; #3 C.Weaver)Similar
Q2 0:03
4TH & GOAL
OPP 22
+5
39.4%
PENALTY UVA False Start (#93 B.Koudelka) 5 yards from DUKE22 to DUKE27. NO PLAYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 12PUNT7 plays · 20 yds · 2:5135% → 32%
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
34.8%
(14:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete short left to #7 Q.Brown caught at DUKE15, for 4 yards to the DUKE23 (#30 E.Minter)Similar
Q3 14:23
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+12
34.7%
(14:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush left for 12 yards gain to the DUKE35 (#27 D.Neal), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
34.7%
(13:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush middle for 3 yards gain to the DUKE38 (#27 D.Neal; #32 L.Danley)Similar
Q3 13:19
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+3
35.3%
(13:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 A.Castle rush middle for 3 yards gain to the DUKE41 (#15 H.Osborne; #55 A.Britton)Similar
Q3 12:40
3RD & 4
OWN 41
-2
34.0%
(12:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 A.Castle rush middle for 2 yards loss to the DUKE39 (#52 D.Rickert; #30 E.Minter)Similar
Q3 11:57
4TH & 6
OWN 39
+4
31.8%
(12:09) #41 K.Reynoldson punt 52 yards to the UVA09 #6 C.Ross return 4 yards to the UVA13 (#10 T.Reed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 13TD11 plays · 87 yds · 5:0270% → 92%
Q3 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
30.3%
(11:56) Shotgun #3 J.Taylor rush left for 3 yards gain to the UVA16 (#12 T.Freeman)Similar
Q3 11:15
2ND & 7
OWN 16
+5
29.7%
(11:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Morris rush left for 5 yards gain to the UVA21, out of bounds at UVA21Similar
Q3 10:42
3RD & 2
OWN 21
+17
29.2%
(10:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 J.Taylor rush left for 17 yards gain to the UVA38 (#12 T.Freeman) PENALTY UVA Holding offsetting DUKE Offside offsetting. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 10:14
3RD & 2
OWN 21
+5
27.0%
(10:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 H.Waylee rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UVA26 (#12 T.Freeman; #3 C.Weaver), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
25.6%
(09:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Morris rush left for 4 yards gain to the UVA30, out of bounds at UVA30Similar
Q3 9:01
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+3
25.0%
(09:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 J.Taylor rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UVA33 (#10 T.Reed; #44 D.Anderson)Similar
Q3 8:16
3RD & 3
OWN 33
+29
24.4%
(08:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Morris pass complete short right to #11 T.Harris caught at UVA47, for 29 yards to the DUKE38 (#2 J.Francois), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
22.0%
(07:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Morris pass incomplete short left to #3 J.Taylor thrown to DUKE42Similar
Q3 7:37
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
22.0%
(07:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Morris pass incomplete short left to #5 K.Courtney thrown to DUKE41 broken up by #7 V.Anthony Jr. QB hurried by #7 V.Anthony Jr.Similar
Q3 7:28
3RD & 10
OPP 38
+18
22.1%
(07:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Morris pass complete short middle to #6 C.Ross caught at DUKE22, for 18 yards to the DUKE20 (#26 M.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:49
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
8.0%
(06:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Morris pass complete short right to #11 T.Harris caught at DUKE08, for 20 yards to the DUKE00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:49, 1ST DOWN #41 W.Bettridge kick attempt good (H: #38 D.Sparks, LS: #69 B.Robinson)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 14FUMBLE9 plays · 72 yds · 2:2713% → 4%
Q3 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+32
12.6%
(06:46) Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete deep right to #0 L.King caught at DUKE40, for 32 yards to the DUKE46, out of bounds at DUKE46, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
10.9%
(06:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass incomplete deep left to #1 A.Anthony thrown to UVA18 broken up by #19 E.KarnleySimilar
Q3 6:11
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+2
10.8%
(06:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete short left to #20 N.Sheppard caught at DUKE42, for 2 yards to the DUKE48 (#10 J.Prevard; #32 L.Danley)Similar
Q3 5:34
3RD & 8
OWN 48
+48
3.9%
(05:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete short left to #2 S.Hagans caught at UVA33, for 48 yards to the UVA04 fumbled by #2 S.Hagans at UVA24 forced by #28 D.Platt recovered by DUKE #18 C.Barkate at UVA17 (#30 E.Minter), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-4
3.5%
(04:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush right for 4 yards loss to the UVA08 (#10 J.Prevard; #52 D.Rickert)Similar
Q3 4:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
3.9%
(04:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass incomplete short left to #7 Q.Brown thrown to UVA00 QB hurried by #14 F.CamacSimilar
Q3 4:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
3.8%
(04:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass incomplete short right to #20 N.Sheppard thrown to UVA00 broken up by #27 D.NealSimilar
Q3 4:05
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
0
3.6%
(04:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah sacked for loss of 6 yards to the UVA14 (#17 M.Melton), fumble by #10 D.Mensah recovered by UVA #17 M.Melton at UVA14, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 15TD3 plays · 86 yds · 1:2897% → 97%
Q3 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+6
2.8%
(03:59) Shotgun #21 H.Waylee rush right for 6 yards gain to the UVA20 (#34 L.Mergott)Similar
Q3 3:17
2ND & 4
OWN 20
+2
3.1%
(03:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 H.Waylee rush left for 2 yards gain to the UVA22 (#2 J.Francois; #14 B.Davis)Similar
Q3 2:27
3RD & 2
OWN 22
+78
2.7%
(02:38) Shotgun #3 J.Taylor rush right for 78 yards gain to the DUKE00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:27, 1ST DOWN #41 W.Bettridge kick attempt good (H: #38 D.Sparks, LS: #69 B.Robinson)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 16PUNT5 plays · -8 yds · 1:202% → 2%
Q3 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-8
1.9%
(02:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah sacked for loss of 8 yards to the DUKE17 (#14 F.Camac)Similar
Q3 1:49
2ND & 18
OWN 17
+15
1.7%
(01:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete short right to #18 C.Barkate caught at DUKE27, for 15 yards to the DUKE32 (#19 E.Karnley), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 1:15
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+15
1.6%
(01:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass incomplete deep middle to #1 A.Anthony thrown to UVA21 broken up by #30 E.Minter QB hurried by #91 J.Hammond PENALTY DUKE UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (#77 J.Pickett) 15 yards from DUKE32 to DUKE17Similar
Q3 1:00
4TH & 18
OWN 17
+49
1.5%
(01:06) #41 K.Reynoldson punt 49 yards to the UVA34 #6 C.Ross return for loss of 1 yard to the UVA33 (#8 D.Stone)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 17PUNT5 plays · 4 yds · 1:5098% → 99%
Q3 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
2.5%
(01:00) Shotgun #21 H.Waylee rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UVA36 (#12 T.Freeman)Similar
Q3 0:27
2ND & 7
OWN 36
-1
1.3%
(00:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 H.Waylee rush right for 1 yard loss to the UVA35 (#34 L.Mergott; #44 D.Anderson)Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 8
OWN 35
+2
1.2%
(15:00) Shotgun #4 C.Morris pass complete short left to #5 K.Courtney caught at UVA32, for 2 yards to the UVA37 (#8 D.Stone; #3 C.Weaver)Similar
Q4 14:05
4TH & 6
OWN 37
+8
1.2%
(14:17) #38 D.Sparks punt 43 yards to the DUKE20 #7 Q.Brown return 8 yards to the DUKE28, out of bounds at DUKE28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 18TD12 plays · 72 yds · 3:361% → 4%
Q4 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
1.1%
(14:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass incomplete deep left to #7 Q.Brown thrown to UVA37 broken up by #27 D.NealSimilar
Q4 13:51
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+7
1.0%
(13:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete short middle to #85 J.Hasley caught at DUKE30, for 7 yards to the DUKE35 (#32 L.Danley)Similar
Q4 13:21
3RD & 3
OWN 35
0
0.9%
(13:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass incomplete short right to #85 J.Hasley thrown to DUKE41 QB hurried by #1 J.JacksonSimilar
Q4 13:11
4TH & 3
OWN 35
+30
0.8%
(13:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete deep middle to #85 J.Hasley caught at UVA45, for 30 yards to the UVA35 (#30 E.Minter), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
0.9%
(12:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass incomplete deep right to #18 C.Barkate thrown to UVA00 broken up by #19 E.KarnleySimilar
Q4 12:50
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+5
0.9%
(12:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UVA30 (#14 F.Camac; #55 A.Britton)Similar
Q4 12:18
3RD & 5
OPP 30
+8
0.8%
(12:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah rush right for 8 yards gain to the UVA22, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
0.8%
(12:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush left for 2 yards gain to the UVA20 (#14 F.Camac)Similar
Q4 11:30
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+5
0.8%
(11:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete short left to #20 N.Sheppard caught at UVA25, for 5 yards to the UVA15 (#9 J.Robinson)Similar
Q4 10:57
3RD & 3
OPP 15
+4
0.5%
(11:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UVA11 (#14 F.Camac; #23 J.Holmes), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:32
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
0.6%
(10:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass incomplete short right to #20 N.Sheppard thrown to UVA16Similar
Q4 10:23
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+11
4.0%
(10:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete short right to #18 C.Barkate caught at UVA00, for 11 yards to the UVA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:23, 1ST DOWN #29 T.Pelino kick attempt good (H: #41 K.Reynoldson, LS: #57 C.Cooper)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 19INT TD4 plays · -5 yds · 0:4698% → 91%
Q4 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
2.4%
(10:23) Shotgun #4 C.Morris pass incomplete short right to #6 C.Ross thrown to UVA37Similar
Q4 10:12
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
2.4%
(10:16) Shotgun #21 H.Waylee rush right for 5 yards loss to the UVA20 (#99 A.Hall)Similar
Q4 9:30
3RD & 15
OWN 20
-18
8.7%
(09:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Morris pass intercepted by #12 T.Freeman at UVA18 QB hurried by #99 A.Hall #12 T.Freeman return 18 yards to the UVA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:30 #29 T.Pelino kick attempt good (H: #41 K.Reynoldson, LS: #57 C.Cooper)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 20FG10 plays · 50 yds · 3:4292% → 97%
Q4 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
8.0%
(09:30) Shotgun #21 H.Waylee rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UVA30 (#2 J.Francois)Similar
Q4 8:43
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+19
7.7%
(08:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 H.Waylee rush middle for 19 yards gain to the UVA49 (#24 B.Gompers), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
6.9%
(08:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 J.Taylor rush middle for 4 yards gain to the DUKE47 (#24 B.Gompers; #44 D.Anderson) PENALTY DUKE Face Mask (#21 L.Callahan) 15 yards from DUKE47 to DUKE32, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
6.6%
(07:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 J.Taylor rush middle for 3 yards gain to the DUKE29 (#24 B.Gompers; #30 W.Felder Jr.)Similar
Q4 6:51
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+5
5.9%
PENALTY UVA False Start (#52 M.Boley) 5 yards from DUKE29 to DUKE34. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 6:29
2ND & 12
OPP 34
0
5.6%
(06:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Morris pass incomplete short right to #7 J.Edrine thrown to DUKE20 QB hurried by #34 L.MergottSimilar
Q4 6:20
3RD & 12
OPP 34
+9
4.3%
(06:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Morris pass complete short middle to #5 K.Courtney caught at DUKE25, for 9 yards to the DUKE25 (#3 C.Weaver)Similar
Q4 5:42
4TH & 3
OPP 25
+42
3.2%
(05:46) #41 W.Bettridge field goal attempt from 42 yards GOOD (H: #38 D.Sparks, LS: #69 B.Robinson), clock 05:42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 21DOWNS9 plays · 34 yds · 1:564% → 3%
Q4 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
4.4%
(05:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete short left to #7 Q.Brown caught at DUKE29, for 6 yards to the DUKE31 (#1 J.Jackson)Similar
Q4 5:16
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
3.5%
(05:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete short middle to #4 A.Castle caught at DUKE34, for 3 yards to the DUKE34 (#10 J.Prevard)Similar
Q4 4:57
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
3.3%
(05:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass incomplete deep left to #2 S.Hagans thrown to UVA45 QB hurried by #52 D.RickertSimilar
Q4 4:48
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+16
3.1%
(04:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete short middle to #0 L.King caught at DUKE45, for 16 yards to the DUKE50 (#27 D.Neal), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:28
1ST & 10
50
+8
3.2%
(04:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete short left to #1 A.Anthony caught at UVA42, for 8 yards to the UVA42 (#30 E.Minter)Similar
Q4 4:11
2ND & 2
OPP 42
0
3.5%
(04:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass incomplete short right to #1 A.Anthony thrown to UVA35Similar
Q4 4:11
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+1
3.5%
(04:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush right for 1 yard gain to the UVA41 (#9 J.Robinson; #27 D.Neal). The previous play is under automatic review - "Short of the line to gain". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (04:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush right for 2 yards gain to the UVA40 (#9 J.Robinson; #27 D.Neal), 1ST DOWN)Similar
Q4 3:39
4TH & 1
OPP 41
0
3.2%
(03:42) Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass incomplete deep right to #0 L.King thrown to UVA21, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 22END OF GAME8 plays · 20 yds · 2:5698% → 99%
Q4 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
2.0%
(03:39) Shotgun #25 X.Davis rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UVA44 (#30 W.Felder Jr.)Similar
Q4 2:53
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+4
1.8%
(02:53) Shotgun #25 X.Davis rush right for 4 yards gain to the UVA48, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 2:04
3RD & 3
OWN 48
+5
1.7%
(02:08) Shotgun #25 X.Davis rush right for 5 yards gain to the DUKE47 (#21 L.Callahan; #40 A.Wasserman), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
1.1%
(02:00) Shotgun #29 D.Lane Jr. rush middle for 7 yards gain to the DUKE40 (#10 T.Reed)Similar
Q4 1:12
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+4
1.0%
(01:17) Shotgun #29 D.Lane Jr. rush left for 4 yards gain to the DUKE36 (#40 A.Wasserman), 1ST DOWNSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 6:49
(06:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Morris pass complete short right to #11 T.Harris caught at DUKE08, for 20 yards to the DUKE00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:49, 1ST DOWN #41 W.Bettridge kick attempt good (H: #38 D.Sparks, LS: #69 B.Robinson)
-14
TD · Q2 1:39
(01:45) Shotgun #4 C.Morris pass complete short left to #0 S.Ennis caught at DUKE03, for 12 yards to the DUKE00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:39, 1ST DOWN #41 W.Bettridge kick attempt good (H: #38 D.Sparks, LS: #69 B.Robinson) PENALTY #41 W.Bettridge kick attempt good (H: #38 D.Sparks, LS: #69 B.Robinson) PENALTY DUKE Personal Foul (#4 J.Green) #41 W.Bettridge kick attempt good (H: #38 D.Sparks, LS: #69 B.Robinson) PENALTY DUKE Personal Foul (#4 J.Green) 15 yards from DUKE00 to UVA50
-13.2
FG · Q2 0:00
Will Bettridge 44 Yd Field Goal
-7.6