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GT

Georgia Tech 36 at Boston College 34

BC
2025 · Week 12 · Nov 15, 2025 · Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA)
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Win probability · BC
modelBC aheadGT aheadconfidence bandkey playBC scoreGT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · End of 4th quarter.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+38.0+19.00−19.0−38.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 1:19: (01:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 D.Lonergan pass complete short middle to #4 R.Harris caught at GT 15, for 18 yards to the GT 00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:19, 1ST DOWN #99 L.Lombardo kick attempt good (H: #28 S.Florio, LS: #49 C.Crook) — BC win probability +17.8 pts (now 78%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 7:33: (07:34) #1 J.Haynes rush right for 2 yards gain to the BCE00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:33 #10 H.King rush attempt failed — GT win probability +26.3 pts (now 50%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 6:14: (06:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #85 J.Allen rush left for 54 yards gain to the BCE00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:14, 1ST DOWN #33 A.Birr kick attempt good (H: #47 M.Nichols, LS: #49 R.Thomas) — GT win probability +45.7 pts (now 82%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 4:09: (04:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Richard rush middle for 43 yards gain to the GT 00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:09, 1ST DOWN #9 D.Lonergan pass attempt failed — BC win probability +37.6 pts (now 67%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:11: (00:14) #33 A.Birr field goal attempt from 23 yards GOOD (H: #47 M.Nichols, LS: #49 R.Thomas), clock 00:11 — GT win probability +57.5 pts (now 94%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BC made the numbers' call on 4 of 7GT made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 11:21GT 4th & 16 at BC 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.7%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    82.8%−<0.1
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    82.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:35BC 4th & 8 at GT 38, tied
    Close callPunted · 18.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.6%
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    18.6%−<0.1
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    18.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:19BC 4th & 1 at GT 1, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.8%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    18.6%−1.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    15.4%−4.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:42BC 4th & 1 at BC 35, tied
    Close callPunted · 25.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.2%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:40BC 4th & 11 at GT 36, down 7
    Close callPunted · 20.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.5%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    20.7%
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    20.4%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:26GT 4th & 8 at GT 47, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.4%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.7%
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:19BC 4th & 1 at BC 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 36.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    37.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    34.4%−2.7
    average punt
  8. Q3 4:35GT 4th & 4 at BC 17, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 43.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.9%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.7%−0.2
    80% to make
    Punt
    30.1%−12.8
    average punt
  9. Q4 13:52GT 4th & 8 at BC 9, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 23.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.0%−1.0
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.0%
    89% to make
    Punt
    15.1%−7.9
    average punt
  10. Q4 11:20BC 4th & 9 at BC 38, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.0%−1.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.6%
    average punt
  11. Q4 6:24BC 4th & 3 at BC 32, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.1%−0.5
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.6%
    average punt
  12. Q4 0:11GT 4th & 1 at BC 6, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 31.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.2%−40.8
    69% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.0%
    91% to make
    Punt
    11.4%−56.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BC made the numbers' call on 4 of 5GT made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 4:59GT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:19BC Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:44GT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:22BC Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 12:05BC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 1:19BC Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 7:33GT Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    43.1%−0.7
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    43.9%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 6:14GT Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.9%−1.4
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 4:09BC Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Numbers favored kick by 2.5 ptsWent for two · failed
    Kick
    64.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    61.9%−2.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GTDrive 1PUNT
10 plays · 26 yds · 3:1388% → 86%
Q1 14:34
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
12.1%
(14:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete short left to #1 J.Haynes caught at GT 32, for 3 yards to the GT 34 (#30 T.Green), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 14:10
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+11
12.3%
(14:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete short left to #1 J.Haynes caught at GT 34, for 11 yards to the GT 45 (#16 I.Farris), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+13
12.5%
(13:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete short middle to #8 M.Rutherford caught at GT 46, for 13 yards to the BCE42 (#0 O.Thornton), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:16
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+10
12.6%
(13:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete short left to #8 M.Rutherford caught at BCE40, for 10 yards to the BCE32 (#88 S.McConnell; #16 I.Farris), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-8
12.8%
(12:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 H.King sacked for loss of 8 yards to the BCE40 (#42 K.Dixon)Similar
Q1 12:22
2ND & 18
OPP 40
+5
13.1%
PENALTY GT False Start (#58 T.Alo-Tupuola) 5 yards from BCE40 to BCE45. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 12:07
2ND & 23
OPP 45
+7
13.2%
(12:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 M.Hosley rush middle for 7 yards gain to the BCE38 (#2 K.Price)Similar
Q1 11:29
3RD & 16
OPP 38
0
13.5%
(11:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 H.King pass incomplete deep left to #4 I.Canion thrown to BCE00 broken up by #16 I.FarrisSimilar
Q1 11:29
4TH & 16
OPP 38
+5
13.6%
PENALTY GT Delay Of Game declined, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
Q1 11:21
4TH & 16
OPP 38
0
13.6%
(11:26) #47 M.Nichols punt 37 yards to the BCE01Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 61 yds · 2:4214% → 15%
Q1 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
13.6%
(11:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 D.Lonergan pass incomplete short left to #4 R.Harris thrown to BCE09 broken up by #6 R.ShelleySimilar
Q1 11:07
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+2
13.7%
(11:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Richard rush middle for 2 yards gain to the BCE03 (#7 A.Stone)Similar
Q1 10:27
3RD & 8
OWN 3
+57
13.9%
(10:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 D.Lonergan pass complete short middle to #4 R.Harris caught at BCE18, for 57 yards to the GT 40 (#5 C.Powell-Lee), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
14.7%
(10:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 D.Lonergan pass complete short left to #2 T.Richard caught at GT 39, for 2 yards to the GT 38 (#9 O.Daniels)Similar
Q1 9:14
2ND & 8
OPP 38
0
15.0%
(09:33) Shotgun #9 D.Lonergan pass complete short right to #2 T.Richard caught at GT 40, for 0 yards to the GT 38 (#2 E.Lightsey)Similar
Q1 8:42
3RD & 8
OPP 38
0
15.1%
(08:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 D.Lonergan pass incomplete short right to #11 L.Bond thrown to GT 30 QB hurried by #11 B.ManleySimilar
Q1 8:35
4TH & 8
OPP 38
0
14.9%
(08:35) #28 S.Florio punt 21 yards to the GT 17 fair catch by #3 E.Rivers at GT 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 3TD
7 plays · 83 yds · 3:2885% → 86%
Q1 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
14.9%
(08:35) Shotgun #0 M.Hosley rush right for 5 yards gain to the GT 22 (#88 S.McConnell; #33 O.McGowan)Similar
Q1 7:59
2ND & 5
OWN 22
+2
15.1%
(08:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 M.Hosley rush middle for 2 yards gain to the GT 24 (#15 Q.Hutchins)Similar
Q1 7:10
3RD & 3
OWN 24
+16
15.6%
(07:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete short right to #4 I.Canion caught at GT 29, for 16 yards to the GT 40 (#3 M.Tucker), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+12
15.5%
(06:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete short right to #8 M.Rutherford caught at GT 40, for 12 yards to the BCE48 (#3 M.Tucker), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
15.6%
(06:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete short right to #9 Z.Taylor caught at BCE49, for 4 yards to the BCE44 (#2 K.Price)Similar
Q1 5:34
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+17
15.8%
(05:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 M.Hosley rush middle for 17 yards gain to the BCE27 (#3 M.Tucker), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:59
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
14.0%
(05:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 M.Hosley rush middle for 27 yards gain to the BCE00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:59, 1ST DOWN #33 A.Birr kick attempt good (H: #47 M.Nichols, LS: #49 R.Thomas)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 4TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 5:2715% → 21%
Q1 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
14.8%
(04:57) Shotgun #5 J.McDonald rush right for 3 yards gain to the BCE28 (#44 K.Efford), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 4:17
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
15.0%
(04:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 J.McDonald rush middle for 6 yards gain to the BCE34 (#23 Z.Tobe; #5 C.Powell-Lee)Similar
Q1 3:46
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
15.3%
(03:52) Shotgun #5 J.McDonald rush middle for 3 yards gain to the BCE37 (#2 E.Lightsey; #99 J.van den Berg), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
15.4%
PENALTY GT Offside (#24 R.Triplette) 5 yards from BCE37 to BCE42. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 3:05
1ST & 5
OWN 42
+4
15.9%
(03:16) Shotgun #9 D.Lonergan rush right for 4 yards gain to the BCE46 (#2 E.Lightsey), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 2:29
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+2
15.9%
(02:34) Shotgun #5 J.McDonald rush middle for 2 yards gain to the BCE48 (#44 K.Efford; #99 J.van den Berg), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
16.2%
(01:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 D.Lonergan pass complete short left to #11 L.Bond caught at GT 48, for 4 yards to the GT 48 (#14 J.Gilmore)Similar
Q1 1:11
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+42
16.6%
(01:19) Shotgun #2 T.Richard rush left for 42 yards gain to the GT 06 (#15 T.Butler), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
17.1%
(00:50) Shotgun #2 T.Richard rush middle for 3 yards gain to the GT 03 (#2 E.Lightsey)Similar
Q1 0:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
17.4%
(00:12) Shotgun #9 D.Lonergan rush right for 0 yards to the GT 03 (#44 K.Efford; #14 J.Gilmore)Similar
Q2 14:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
17.0%
(14:59) Shotgun #2 T.Richard rush middle for 2 yards gain to the GT 01 (#91 A.Fuller)Similar
Q2 14:19
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
20.7%
(14:21) Shotgun #2 T.Richard rush middle for 1 yard gain to the GT 00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:19 #99 L.Lombardo kick attempt good (H: #28 S.Florio, LS: #49 C.Crook)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 5FUMBLE
4 plays · 51 yds · 0:4180% → 81%
Q2 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
19.8%
(14:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 T.Maddox rush middle for 3 yards gain to the GT 26 (#41 F.Bate)Similar
Q2 13:31
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+48
20.0%
(13:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete deep middle to #3 E.Rivers caught at BCE27, for 48 yards to the BCE26 (#16 I.Farris), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:16
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
18.7%
(13:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 T.Maddox rush middle for 0 yards to the BCE26 fumbled by #22 T.Maddox at BCE26 forced by #0 O.Thornton recovered by BCE #8 B.Steele at BCE26, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:1721% → 22%
Q2 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
21.3%
(13:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 D.Lonergan pass complete short right to #88 D.Pough caught at BCE35, for 9 yards to the BCE35 (#6 R.Shelley)Similar
Q2 12:30
2ND & 1
OWN 35
0
22.3%
(12:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 D.Lonergan pass incomplete short middle to #11 L.Bond thrown to BCE40Similar
Q2 12:22
3RD & 1
OWN 35
0
21.9%
(12:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Richard rush middle for 0 yards to the BCE35 (#3 A.Harvey)Similar
Q2 11:42
4TH & 1
OWN 35
-2
21.6%
(11:48) #28 S.Florio punt 47 yards to the GT 18 #3 E.Rivers return for loss of 2 yards to the GT 16 (#31 C.Comella)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 7TD
4 plays · 84 yds · 1:4779% → 83%
Q2 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+9
21.3%
(11:40) Shotgun #8 M.Rutherford rush left for 9 yards gain to the GT 25 (#31 C.Comella)Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 1
OWN 25
+2
21.1%
(11:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 H.King rush middle for 2 yards gain to the GT 27 (#52 C.Marable Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
21.9%
(10:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 M.Hosley rush middle for 2 yards gain to the GT 29 (#55 K.Williams)Similar
Q2 9:44
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+71
17.0%
(09:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete short left to #8 M.Rutherford caught at GT 26, for 71 yards to the BCE00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:44, 1ST DOWN #33 A.Birr kick attempt good (H: #47 M.Nichols, LS: #49 R.Thomas)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 8PUNT
10 plays · 56 yds · 3:5018% → 18%
Q2 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
17.6%
(09:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #29 M.Dodd rush middle for 3 yards gain to the BCE28 (#44 K.Efford)Similar
Q2 9:02
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
17.9%
(09:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #29 M.Dodd rush right for 2 yards gain to the BCE30 (#44 K.Efford; #5 C.Powell-Lee) PENALTY GT Holding (#7 A.Stone) 10 yards from BCE30 to BCE40, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+13
18.7%
(08:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 D.Lonergan pass complete short left to #88 D.Pough caught at BCE44, for 13 yards to the GT 47 (#23 Z.Tobe), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
19.0%
(08:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 D.Lonergan rush left for 0 yards to the GT 47 (#2 E.Lightsey; #99 J.van den Berg)Similar
Q2 7:13
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+12
19.0%
(07:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 D.Lonergan pass complete short left to #11 L.Bond caught at GT 45, for 12 yards to the GT 35 (#27 T.Harris), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:41
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
20.2%
(06:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 J.McDonald rush middle for 4 yards gain to the GT 31 (#5 C.Powell-Lee)Similar
Q2 6:06
2ND & 6
OPP 31
0
20.4%
(06:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 D.Lonergan pass incomplete short left to #2 T.Richard thrown to GT 18 QB hurried by #99 J.van den BergSimilar
Q2 6:05
3RD & 6
OPP 31
+5
19.7%
(06:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 D.Lonergan pass complete short middle to #85 K.Chudzinski caught at GT 24, for 12 yards to the GT 19 (#14 J.Gilmore; #27 T.Harris) PENALTY BCE Illegal Touch-Pass (#88 D.Pough) 5 yards from GT 31 to GT 36. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 5:40
4TH & 11
OPP 36
0
18.0%
(05:40) #28 S.Florio punt 30 yards to the GT 06Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 9PUNT
12 plays · 41 yds · 4:0582% → 82%
Q2 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+4
18.0%
(05:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 M.Hosley rush left for 4 yards gain to the GT 10 (#8 B.Steele; #17 E.Kolenge)Similar
Q2 4:52
2ND & 6
OWN 10
+12
18.1%
(05:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete short right to #3 E.Rivers caught at GT 23, for 12 yards to the GT 22 (#30 T.Green), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+12
18.0%
(04:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 M.Rutherford rush left for 12 yards gain to the GT 34 (#15 Q.Hutchins; #3 M.Tucker), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
17.6%
(04:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #85 J.Allen rush left for 5 yards gain to the GT 39 (#88 S.McConnell)Similar
Q2 3:18
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+3
16.5%
(03:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete short right to #9 Z.Taylor caught at GT 38, for 3 yards to the GT 42 (#0 O.Thornton)Similar
Q2 2:33
3RD & 2
OWN 42
+3
16.5%
(02:42) Shotgun #10 H.King rush middle for 3 yards gain to the GT 45 (#43 G.Collins), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
16.4%
(01:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Haynes rush left for 1 yard loss to the GT 44 (#88 S.McConnell)Similar
Q2 1:41
2ND & 11
OWN 44
+3
16.7%
(01:49) Shotgun #10 H.King rush right for 3 yards gain to the GT 47 (#33 O.McGowan), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 1:36
3RD & 8
OWN 47
0
16.8%
(01:36) Shotgun #10 H.King pass incomplete short left to #4 I.Canion thrown to BCE45 QB hurried by #15 Q.HutchinsSimilar
Q2 1:26
4TH & 8
OWN 47
0
17.7%
(01:26) #47 M.Nichols punt 46 yards to the BCE07Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 10TD
12 plays · 93 yds · 0:5918% → 34%
Q2 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
18.3%
(01:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 D.Lonergan pass incomplete short left to #11 L.Bond thrown to BCE25Similar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 10
OWN 7
+13
18.3%
(01:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 D.Lonergan pass complete short middle to #11 L.Bond caught at BCE13, for 13 yards to the BCE20 (#14 J.Gilmore), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
18.7%
(01:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 D.Lonergan pass incomplete short right to #85 K.Chudzinski thrown to BCE30Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+13
18.7%
(01:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 D.Lonergan pass complete short right to #4 R.Harris caught at BCE33, for 13 yards to the BCE33 (#6 R.Shelley), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
19.1%
(00:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 D.Lonergan pass complete short right to #85 K.Chudzinski caught at BCE38, for 7 yards to the BCE40 (#6 R.Shelley), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 0:46
2ND & 3
OWN 40
+40
20.4%
(00:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 D.Lonergan pass complete short middle to #4 R.Harris caught at GT 45, for 40 yards to the GT 20 (#6 R.Shelley), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
22.3%
(00:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 D.Lonergan pass complete short right to #85 K.Chudzinski caught at GT 16, for 4 yards to the GT 16 (#9 O.Daniels)Similar
Q2 0:36
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+5
22.3%
PENALTY BCE False Start (#85 K.Chudzinski) 5 yards from GT 16 to GT 21. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 0:31
2ND & 11
OPP 21
0
22.4%
(00:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 D.Lonergan pass incomplete deep middle to #4 R.Harris thrown to GT 00Similar
Q2 0:26
3RD & 11
OPP 21
+14
21.0%
(00:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 D.Lonergan pass complete short right to #4 R.Harris caught at GT 08, for 14 yards to the GT 07 (#4 D.White), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY GT Roughing The Passer (#5 C.Powell-Lee) 4 yards from GT 07 to GT 03, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
33.9%
(00:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 D.Lonergan pass complete short right to #85 K.Chudzinski caught at GT 00, for 3 yards to the GT 00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:22 #99 L.Lombardo kick attempt good (H: #28 S.Florio, LS: #49 C.Crook)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 11MISSED FG
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:0575% → 76%
Q2 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
24.8%
(00:15) Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete short middle to #4 I.Canion caught at GT 48, for 8 yards to the BCE45 (#16 I.Farris; #7 C.Davis)Similar
Q2 0:08
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+49
23.3%
(00:00) #33 A.Birr field goal attempt from 49 yards NO GOOD (H: #47 M.Nichols, LS: #49 R.Thomas), clock 00:00, End Of PlaySimilar
Q2 0:03
2ND & 2
OPP 45
+13
24.2%
(00:08) Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete short middle to #3 E.Rivers caught at BCE43, for 13 yards to the BCE32 (#3 M.Tucker), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 12TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:4131% → 50%
Q3 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
31.1%
(15:00) Shotgun #9 D.Lonergan pass complete short left to #17 J.Franklin caught at BCE40, for 15 yards to the BCE40 (#9 O.Daniels; #23 Z.Tobe), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 14:28
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
33.1%
(14:30) Shotgun #2 T.Richard rush right for 1 yard loss to the BCE39 (#99 J.van den Berg; #15 T.Butler)Similar
Q3 13:47
2ND & 11
OWN 39
+4
32.7%
(13:56) Shotgun #9 D.Lonergan pass complete short right to #11 L.Bond caught at BCE43, for 4 yards to the BCE43 (#6 R.Shelley)Similar
Q3 13:05
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+6
33.0%
(13:15) Shotgun #9 D.Lonergan pass complete short middle to #11 L.Bond caught at BCE47, for 6 yards to the BCE49 (#9 O.Daniels)Similar
Q3 12:19
4TH & 1
OWN 49
+37
33.7%
(12:32) Shotgun #2 T.Richard rush middle for 37 yards gain to the GT 14 (#6 R.Shelley), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
37.1%
(12:13) Shotgun #9 D.Lonergan pass incomplete short left to #2 T.Richard thrown to GT 07Similar
Q3 12:05
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+14
50.3%
(12:09) Shotgun #5 J.McDonald rush middle for 14 yards gain to the GT 00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:05, 1ST DOWN #99 L.Lombardo kick attempt good (H: #28 S.Florio, LS: #49 C.Crook)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 13FG
15 plays · 55 yds · 7:1455% → 55%
Q3 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
45.3%
(11:57) Shotgun #1 J.Haynes rush right for 4 yards gain to the GT 32 (#43 G.Collins; #33 O.McGowan)Similar
Q3 10:59
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+10
45.8%
(11:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete short left to #80 B.Seither caught at GT 30, for 10 yards to the GT 42 (#30 T.Green), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
45.6%
(10:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 M.Hosley rush left for 6 yards gain to the GT 48 (#2 K.Price), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 10:03
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+5
44.9%
(10:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 H.King rush middle for 5 yards gain to the BCE47 (#17 E.Kolenge), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
45.0%
(09:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete short left to #3 E.Rivers caught at BCE50, for 2 yards to the BCE45 (#15 Q.Hutchins; #2 K.Price)Similar
Q3 8:57
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+6
45.9%
(09:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #85 J.Allen rush right for 6 yards gain to the BCE39 (#43 G.Collins)Similar
Q3 8:23
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+5
46.2%
(08:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 H.King rush middle for 5 yards gain to the BCE34 (#0 O.Thornton; #43 G.Collins), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
45.5%
(07:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete short left to #88 J.Byrne caught at BCE35, for 5 yards to the BCE29 (#0 O.Thornton)Similar
Q3 7:07
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+4
45.6%
(07:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 H.King rush left for 4 yards gain to the BCE25 (#2 K.Price)Similar
Q3 6:26
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+2
48.5%
(06:34) #0 M.Hosley rush middle for 2 yards gain to the BCE23 (#52 C.Marable Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:52
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
47.1%
(06:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Haynes rush middle for 0 yards to the BCE23 (#41 F.Bate)Similar
Q3 5:10
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+6
48.8%
(05:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete short left to #4 I.Canion caught at BCE20, for 6 yards to the BCE17 (#33 O.McGowan)Similar
Q3 4:40
3RD & 4
OPP 17
0
51.5%
(04:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 H.King pass incomplete short right to #1 J.Haynes thrown to BCE18Similar
Q3 4:35
4TH & 4
OPP 17
+34
45.5%
(04:38) #33 A.Birr field goal attempt from 34 yards GOOD (H: #47 M.Nichols, LS: #49 R.Thomas), clock 04:35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 14TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:5952% → 78%
Q3 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+32
51.5%
(04:33) Shotgun #9 D.Lonergan pass complete deep left to #11 L.Bond caught at BCE45, for 32 yards to the GT 43 (#15 T.Butler), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:48
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
56.1%
(03:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Richard rush right for 6 yards gain to the GT 37 (#27 T.Harris)Similar
Q3 3:13
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+6
56.9%
(03:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Richard rush middle for 6 yards gain to the GT 31 (#2 E.Lightsey), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:24
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
59.2%
(02:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 D.Lonergan pass complete short left to #17 J.Franklin caught at GT 26, for 5 yards to the GT 26 (#44 K.Efford)Similar
Q3 1:56
2ND & 5
OPP 26
+8
59.8%
(02:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 D.Lonergan pass complete short left to #17 J.Franklin caught at GT 29, for 8 yards to the GT 18 (#8 J.Boyd), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
77.6%
(01:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 D.Lonergan pass complete short middle to #4 R.Harris caught at GT 15, for 18 yards to the GT 00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:19, 1ST DOWN #99 L.Lombardo kick attempt good (H: #28 S.Florio, LS: #49 C.Crook)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 15FG
13 plays · 66 yds · 2:2726% → 28%
Q3 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
74.1%
PENALTY GT False Start (#78 E.Mackenny) 5 yards from GT 25 to GT 20. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 1:03
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
74.4%
(01:19) Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete short right to #3 E.Rivers caught at GT 16, for 0 yards to the GT 20 (#16 I.Farris)Similar
Q3 0:47
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
75.1%
(00:47) Shotgun #10 H.King pass incomplete short right to #3 E.Rivers thrown to GT 33Similar
Q3 0:23
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+35
76.8%
(00:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete short right to #0 M.Hosley caught at GT 31, for 35 yards to the BCE45 (#7 C.Davis; #10 S.Torrence), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:07
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
71.0%
(00:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete short right to #85 J.Allen caught at BCE46, for 1 yard to the BCE44 (#0 O.Thornton; #16 I.Farris) PENALTY BCE UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct 15 yards from BCE44 to BCE29, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+9
69.1%
(00:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 M.Hosley rush middle for 9 yards gain to the BCE20 (#0 O.Thornton)Similar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 1
OPP 20
+9
69.4%
(14:59) Shotgun #10 H.King rush right for 9 yards gain to the BCE11 (#43 G.Collins), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:21
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
70.0%
(14:27) Shotgun #10 H.King rush middle for 2 yards gain to the BCE09 (#43 G.Collins; #15 Q.Hutchins)Similar
Q4 14:02
2ND & 8
OPP 9
0
70.5%
(14:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 H.King pass incomplete short right to #0 M.Hosley thrown to BCE05Similar
Q4 13:57
3RD & 8
OPP 9
0
72.4%
(14:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 H.King pass incomplete short middle to #4 I.Canion thrown to BCE00Similar
Q4 13:52
4TH & 8
OPP 9
+26
72.1%
(13:52) #33 A.Birr field goal attempt from 26 yards GOOD (H: #47 M.Nichols, LS: #49 R.Thomas), clock 13:52Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 2:2277% → 78%
Q4 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
77.3%
(13:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 J.McDonald rush right for 2 yards loss to the BCE23 (#99 J.van den Berg)Similar
Q4 12:56
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+11
77.7%
(13:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 D.Lonergan pass complete short middle to #85 K.Chudzinski caught at BCE34, for 11 yards to the BCE34, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 12:29
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
78.5%
(12:35) Shotgun #5 J.McDonald rush middle for 3 yards gain to the BCE37 (#99 J.van den Berg), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
80.3%
(12:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 J.McDonald rush middle for 1 yard gain to the BCE38 (#33 M.Alexander)Similar
Q4 11:32
2ND & 9
OWN 38
0
80.8%
(11:35) Shotgun #9 D.Lonergan pass incomplete short middle to #85 K.Chudzinski thrown to BCE40Similar
Q4 11:27
3RD & 9
OWN 38
0
79.7%
(11:31) Shotgun #9 D.Lonergan pass incomplete short right to #85 K.Chudzinski thrown to GT 43Similar
Q4 11:20
4TH & 9
OWN 38
0
78.3%
(11:22) #28 S.Florio punt 40 yards to the GT 22 fair catch by #1 J.Haynes at GT 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 17TD
9 plays · 78 yds · 3:3623% → 50%
Q4 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
77.2%
(11:18) Shotgun #0 M.Hosley rush right for 4 yards gain to the GT 26 (#58 W.Straka)Similar
Q4 10:36
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+8
77.1%
(10:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 M.Hosley rush right for 8 yards gain to the GT 34 (#2 K.Price), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
77.7%
(10:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 H.King pass incomplete short right thrown to GT 45 QB hurried by #43 G.CollinsSimilar
Q4 9:55
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+4
80.0%
(10:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete short right to #0 M.Hosley caught at GT 37, for 4 yards to the GT 38 (#2 K.Price), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 9:19
3RD & 6
OWN 38
+9
80.3%
(09:31) Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete short middle to #3 E.Rivers caught at GT 40, for 9 yards to the GT 47 (#15 Q.Hutchins; #7 C.Davis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+15
78.5%
(09:08) Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete short right to #8 M.Rutherford caught at BCE38, for 15 yards to the BCE38 (#2 K.Price), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+35
78.0%
(08:31) Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete deep right to #3 E.Rivers caught at BCE06, for 35 yards to the BCE03, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
75.8%
(08:01) Shotgun #10 H.King rush middle for 1 yard gain to the BCE02 (#33 O.McGowan)Similar
Q4 7:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
49.6%
(07:34) #1 J.Haynes rush right for 2 yards gain to the BCE00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:33 #10 H.King rush attempt failedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:0360% → 64%
Q4 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
60.3%
(07:33) Shotgun #9 D.Lonergan pass incomplete deep right to #83 L.McLaughlin thrown to BCE45Similar
Q4 7:22
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
59.5%
(07:27) Shotgun #9 D.Lonergan pass incomplete short right to #83 L.McLaughlin thrown to BCE20Similar
Q4 7:05
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+7
57.9%
(07:20) Shotgun #9 D.Lonergan pass complete short middle to #2 T.Richard caught at BCE25, for 7 yards to the BCE32 (#23 Z.Tobe; #14 J.Gilmore)Similar
Q4 6:24
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
63.9%
(06:24) #28 S.Florio punt 22 yards to the GT 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 19TD
1 play · 54 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q4 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+54
18.2%
(06:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #85 J.Allen rush left for 54 yards gain to the BCE00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:14, 1ST DOWN #33 A.Birr kick attempt good (H: #47 M.Nichols, LS: #49 R.Thomas)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 20TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:5927% → 67%
Q4 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
26.5%
(06:13) Shotgun #9 D.Lonergan pass incomplete short right to #11 L.Bond thrown to BCE43 broken up by #14 J.GilmoreSimilar
Q4 5:57
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-9
25.9%
(06:06) Shotgun #9 D.Lonergan sacked for loss of 9 yards to the BCE16 (#7 A.Stone)Similar
Q4 5:13
3RD & 19
OWN 16
+30
23.1%
(05:25) Shotgun #9 D.Lonergan pass complete deep middle to #17 J.Franklin caught at BCE45, for 30 yards to the BCE46 (#6 R.Shelley), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+11
29.5%
(05:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 D.Lonergan pass complete short right to #11 L.Bond caught at BCE50, for 11 yards to the GT 43 (#6 R.Shelley), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:09
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+43
67.1%
(04:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Richard rush middle for 43 yards gain to the GT 00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:09, 1ST DOWN #9 D.Lonergan pass attempt failedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 21FG
20 plays · 68 yds · 3:5143% → 94%
Q4 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
56.6%
(04:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 H.King pass incomplete deep middle to #3 E.Rivers thrown to BCE30Similar
Q4 3:49
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
57.9%
(04:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete short right to #0 M.Hosley caught at GT 27, for 8 yards to the GT 33 (#31 C.Comella)Similar
Q4 3:19
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+9
56.8%
(03:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 H.King rush middle for 9 yards gain to the GT 42 (#7 C.Davis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
54.4%
(02:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 M.Hosley rush right for 7 yards gain to the GT 49 (#33 O.McGowan)Similar
Q4 2:19
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+4
54.3%
(02:29) Shotgun #0 M.Hosley rush right for 4 yards gain to the BCE47 (#0 O.Thornton), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
56.2%
(01:56) Shotgun #0 M.Hosley rush left for 3 yards gain to the BCE44 (#8 B.Steele)Similar
Q4 1:42
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+17
56.9%
(01:55) Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete short right to #85 J.Allen caught at BCE44, for 17 yards to the BCE27 (#52 C.Marable Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
56.1%
(01:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Haynes rush middle for 3 yards gain to the BCE24 (#2 K.Price)Similar
Q4 1:20
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+9
53.4%
(01:26) Shotgun #10 H.King rush middle for 9 yards gain to the BCE15 (#0 O.Thornton), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
53.7%
(01:13) Shotgun #10 H.King rush middle for 3 yards gain to the BCE12 (#55 K.Williams)Similar
Q4 1:05
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+5
53.8%
(01:13) Shotgun #10 H.King rush right for 5 yards gain to the BCE07 (#56 E.Boykin)Similar
Q4 0:16
3RD & 2
OPP 7
+1
61.4%
(00:28) Shotgun #10 H.King rush middle for 1 yard gain to the BCE06 (#2 K.Price)Similar
Q4 0:11
4TH & 1
OPP 6
+23
6.2%
(00:14) #33 A.Birr field goal attempt from 23 yards GOOD (H: #47 M.Nichols, LS: #49 R.Thomas), clock 00:11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 22END OF GAME
6 plays · 29 yds · 0:0315% → 23%
Q4 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+24
15.1%
(00:10) Shotgun #9 D.Lonergan pass complete deep middle to #11 L.Bond caught at BCE46, for 24 yards to the BCE49, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:04
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+5
17.8%
PENALTY GT Illegal Substitution 5 yards from BCE49 to GT 46. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 0:01
1ST & 5
OPP 46
0
23.4%
(00:01) Shotgun #9 D.Lonergan pass incomplete deep middle to #4 R.Harris thrown to GT 01 broken up by #5 C.Powell-LeeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:11
(00:14) #33 A.Birr field goal attempt from 23 yards GOOD (H: #47 M.Nichols, LS: #49 R.Thomas), clock 00:11
-57.5
TD · Q4 6:14
(06:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #85 J.Allen rush left for 54 yards gain to the BCE00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:14, 1ST DOWN #33 A.Birr kick attempt good (H: #47 M.Nichols, LS: #49 R.Thomas)
-45.7
TD · Q4 4:09
(04:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Richard rush middle for 43 yards gain to the GT 00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:09, 1ST DOWN #9 D.Lonergan pass attempt failed
+37.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com