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Win probability · CONN
modelCONN aheadDUKE aheadconfidence bandkey playCONN scoreDUKE score
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 6:12 · (06:14) #28 C.Freeman field goal attempt from 29 yards GOOD (H: #17 C.Stutz, LS: #47 Z.Christinat), clock 06:12
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
This game in five plays
- TD · Q3 10:13: (10:18) Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UConn00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:13 #29 T.Pelino kick attempt good (H: #41 K.Reynoldson, LS: #57 C.Cooper) — DUKE win probability +14.0 pts (now 63%) (top driver: DUKE has the ball).
- TD · Q3 2:09: (02:11) #10 D.Mensah pass complete short right to #0 L.King caught at UConn00, for 1 yard to the UConn00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:09 #29 T.Pelino kick attempt good (H: #41 K.Reynoldson, LS: #57 C.Cooper) — DUKE win probability +22.7 pts (now 72%) (top driver: DUKE has the ball).
- TD · Q4 10:48: (10:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush right for 3 yards gain to the Duke00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:48 #3 N.Evers pass attempt failed #2 J.Fagnano pass attempt failed — CONN win probability +26.3 pts (now 65%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
- TD · Q4 5:34: (05:34) Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete short middle to #85 J.Hasley caught at UConn00, for 10 yards to the UConn00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:34, 1ST DOWN #10 D.Mensah pass attempt failed — DUKE win probability +31.1 pts (now 83%) (top driver: DUKE has the ball).
- TD · Q4 1:58: (02:02) Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass complete short left to #1 S.Bell caught at Duke00, for 19 yards to the Duke00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:58, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY Duke Offside declined #2 J.Fagnano rush attempt Successful. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner broke the plane". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: #2 J.Fagnano rush attempt failed) — CONN win probability +63.4 pts (now 89%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
Was that the right call?
Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works
Fourth downs
CONN made the numbers' call on 6 of 9DUKE made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
- Q1 13:36CONN 4th & 13 at CONN 22, tiedAgrees with the numbersPunted · 32.4% before the snapGo for it32.4%−0.219% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call32.5%average punt
- Q1 9:27CONN 4th & 7 at DUKE 35, down 7Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.6% before the snapGo for itTheir call32.7%37% to convertField goal32.7%−0.145% to makePunt32.5%−0.2average punt
- Q1 6:12CONN 4th & 6 at DUKE 11, tiedAgrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 36.1% before the snapGo for it35.9%−0.135% to convertField goalTheir call36.0%87% to makePunt34.7%−1.3average punt
- Q1 4:48DUKE 4th & 11 at CONN 46, down 3Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.1% before the snapGo for it62.1%−0.327% to convertField goal61.9%−0.523% to makePuntTheir call62.4%average punt
- Q1 1:03CONN 4th & 12 at DUKE 24, up 3Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 38.6% before the snapGo for it37.9%−0.622% to convertField goalTheir call38.5%68% to makePunt36.0%−2.5average punt
- Q2 3:38DUKE 4th & 15 at DUKE 31, down 3Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.4% before the snapGo for it49.2%−3.216% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call52.4%average punt
- Q2 1:47CONN 4th & 6 at CONN 43, up 6Close callPunted · 53.6% before the snapGo for it52.9%40% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call52.9%−0.1average punt
- Q2 0:51CONN 4th & 6 at DUKE 27, up 6Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 55.8% before the snapGo for it55.0%−0.939% to convertField goalTheir call55.8%62% to makePunt50.7%−5.2average punt
- Q2 0:10DUKE 4th & 3 at DUKE 32, down 6Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.6% before the snapGo for it44.5%−1.152% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call45.6%average punt
- Q3 6:50CONN 4th & 2 at DUKE 2, down 1Numbers favored go for it by 2.8 ptsKicked a field goal · 45.9% before the snapGo for it46.4%48% to convertField goalTheir call43.6%−2.894% to makePunt31.5%−14.9average punt
- Q3 2:09DUKE 4th & 1 at CONN 1, down 2Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 49.1% before the snapGo for itTheir call47.5%59% to convertField goal43.1%−4.594% to makePunt31.2%−16.3average punt
- Q4 13:38CONN 4th & 9 at CONN 34, down 5Numbers favored punt by 3.4 ptsWent for it · 30.8% before the snapGo for itTheir call29.4%−3.431% to convertField goalOut of rangePunt32.9%average punt
- Q4 2:22CONN 4th & 5 at DUKE 31, down 5Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 28.5% before the snapGo for itTheir call22.9%41% to convertField goal20.8%−2.254% to makePunt14.8%−8.1average punt
- Q4 0:55DUKE 4th & 5 at DUKE 30, down 3Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.7% before the snapGo for itTheir call12.6%41% to convertField goalOut of rangePunt8.6%−4.0average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CONN made the numbers' call on 3 of 4DUKE made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
- Q1 12:31DUKE Touchdown, up 6 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call67.4%97% to makeGo for two67.4%−<0.145% to convert
- Q1 9:03CONN Touchdown, down 1 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call34.7%97% to makeGo for two34.7%−<0.145% to convert
- Q2 12:25DUKE Touchdown, up 3 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call63.8%97% to makeGo for two63.7%−0.145% to convert
- Q2 5:59CONN Touchdown, up 2 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call46.0%97% to makeGo for two45.9%−0.145% to convert
- Q3 10:13DUKE Touchdown, tied before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call55.1%97% to makeGo for two54.9%−0.245% to convert
- Q3 2:09DUKE Touchdown, up 4 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call66.4%97% to makeGo for two66.2%−0.245% to convert
- Q4 10:48CONN Touchdown, up 1 before the tryClose callWent for two · failedKick60.3%97% to makeGo for twoTheir call60.3%−<0.145% to convert
- Q4 5:34DUKE Touchdown, up 5 before the tryAgrees with the numbersWent for two · failedKick74.2%−0.897% to makeGo for twoTheir call75.0%45% to convert
- Q4 1:58CONN Touchdown, up 1 before the tryAgrees with the numbersWent for two · convertedKick69.0%−1.497% to makeGo for twoTheir call70.4%45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chartCONNDrive 1PUNT5 plays · -3 yds · 1:2132% → 32%
Q1 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
31.7%
(15:00) Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush left for 1 yard gain to the UConn26 (#97 W.Williams)Similar
Q1 14:21
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-4
32.0%
(14:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano sacked for loss of 4 yards to the UConn22 (#4 J.Green)Similar
Q1 13:46
3RD & 13
OWN 22
0
32.2%
(13:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass incomplete short right to #80 J.Neider thrown to UConn26Similar
Q1 13:36
4TH & 13
OWN 22
+15
32.2%
(13:45) #17 C.Stutz punt 48 yards to the Duke30 #7 Q.Brown return 15 yards to the Duke45 (#18 K.Hicks; #28 J.Morris)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 2TD3 plays · 55 yds · 0:5668% → 68%
Q1 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+25
32.2%
(13:35) Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete short left to #7 Q.Brown caught at Duke40, for 25 yards to the UConn30 (#3 D.Brinson; #6 B.Parham), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:07
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+17
32.3%
(13:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush middle for 17 yards gain to the UConn13 (#6 B.Parham), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:31
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
31.7%
(12:36) Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush right for 13 yards gain to the UConn00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:31, 1ST DOWN #39 C.Salas kick attempt good (H: #41 K.Reynoldson, LS: #57 C.Cooper) #29 T.Pelino kick attempt good (H: #41 K.Reynoldson, LS: #57 C.Cooper)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 3TD11 plays · 70 yds · 3:2232% → 35%
Q1 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
32.0%
(12:30) #15 T.Smith rush right for 18 yards gain to the UConn43 (#8 D.Stone), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-2
32.2%
(11:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush middle for 2 yards loss to the UConn41 (#2 J.Francois)Similar
Q1 11:10
2ND & 12
OWN 41
+21
32.2%
(11:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass complete short right to #1 S.Bell caught at UConn49, for 21 yards to the Duke38 (#8 D.Stone), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 10:42
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
32.6%
(10:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 T.Smith rush right for 3 yards gain to the Duke35 (#44 D.Anderson)Similar
Q1 10:18
2ND & 7
OPP 35
0
32.8%
(10:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass incomplete short left to #11 J.Vereen thrown to Duke35 broken up by #12 T.FreemanSimilar
Q1 10:12
3RD & 7
OPP 35
0
32.6%
(10:17) Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass complete short right to #1 S.Bell caught at Duke40, for 0 yards to the Duke35 (#0 C.Rivers)Similar
Q1 9:27
4TH & 7
OPP 35
-50
32.3%
(09:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass complete short right to #11 J.Vereen caught at Duke29, for 5 yards to the Duke30 (#3 C.Weaver) PENALTY Duke Roughing The Passer (#97 W.Williams) 15 yards from Duke30 to Duke15, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
33.0%
PENALTY Duke Offside (#99 A.Hall) 5 yards from Duke15 to Duke10. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 9:03
1ST & 5
OPP 10
+10
35.1%
(09:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass complete short left to #11 J.Vereen caught at Duke00, for 10 yards to the Duke00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:03, 1ST DOWN #28 C.Freeman kick attempt good (H: #17 C.Stutz, LS: #47 Z.Christinat)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 4INT3 plays · 5 yds · 0:3166% → 66%
Q1 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
34.3%
(09:02) Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete short right to #7 Q.Brown caught at Duke10, for 5 yards to the Duke17 QB hurried by #6 B.Parham (#3 D.Brinson; #7 M.McLean), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 8:24
2ND & 5
OWN 17
-56
34.4%
(08:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass intercepted by #6 B.Parham at Duke27 broken up by #15 K.Latu #6 B.Parham return 0 yards to the Duke27 (#18 C.Barkate)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 5FG6 plays · 16 yds · 2:0835% → 37%
Q1 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
35.4%
(08:24) Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass incomplete short middle to #11 J.Vereen thrown to Duke20 broken up by #4 J.GreenSimilar
Q1 8:14
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+12
35.4%
(08:19) Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush right for 12 yards gain to the Duke15 (#8 D.Stone), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:34
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
35.7%
(07:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush right for 0 yards to the Duke15 (#97 W.Williams)Similar
Q1 6:55
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
36.1%
(06:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass incomplete short right to #86 A.Honig thrown to Duke00 broken up by #12 T.FreemanSimilar
Q1 6:50
3RD & 10
OPP 15
+4
35.8%
(06:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass complete short left to #1 S.Bell caught at Duke15, for 4 yards to the Duke11 (#22 M.Kane)Similar
Q1 6:12
4TH & 6
OPP 11
+29
36.6%
(06:14) #28 C.Freeman field goal attempt from 29 yards GOOD (H: #17 C.Stutz, LS: #47 Z.Christinat), clock 06:12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 6PUNT6 plays · 17 yds · 1:0664% → 63%
Q1 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+18
36.3%
(06:05) Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete short left to #18 C.Barkate caught at UConn46, for 18 yards to the UConn45 (#13 C.Chadwick), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
35.8%
(05:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush middle for 1 yard loss to the UConn46 (#32 O.Diomande; #89 T.Jones)Similar
Q1 5:01
2ND & 11
OPP 46
0
36.3%
(05:04) Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass incomplete short left to #1 A.Anthony thrown to UConn37Similar
Q1 4:56
3RD & 11
OPP 46
0
36.7%
(05:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass incomplete short right thrown to UConn30 QB hurried by #2 D.PringleSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 7MISSED FG11 plays · 75 yds · 3:4137% → 38%
Q1 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
36.6%
(04:46) #44 O.Lundberg Coleman rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UConn02 (#12 T.Freeman; #4 J.Green)Similar
Q1 4:01
2ND & 9
OWN 2
0
36.9%
(04:05) Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass incomplete deep right to #1 S.Bell thrown to UConn30Similar
Q1 3:54
3RD & 9
OWN 2
+10
36.5%
(04:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass complete short middle to #6 R.Murphy caught at UConn05, for 10 yards to the UConn12 (#22 M.Kane), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+26
37.4%
(03:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano rush middle for 26 yards gain to the UConn38 (#3 C.Weaver), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+40
38.5%
(02:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass complete short left to #6 R.Murphy caught at UConn42, for 40 yards to the Duke22 (#3 C.Weaver), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:36
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
39.4%
PENALTY UConn False Start (#73 W.Hoeh) 5 yards from Duke22 to Duke27. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 2:10
1ST & 15
OPP 27
0
39.5%
(02:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass incomplete short left to #0 C.Edwards thrown to Duke25 broken up by #12 T.FreemanSimilar
Q1 2:06
2ND & 15
OPP 27
+6
39.1%
(02:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush right for 6 yards gain to the Duke21 (#43 S.Turner)Similar
Q1 1:52
3RD & 9
OPP 21
+5
39.3%
(01:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass incomplete short right to #0 C.Edwards thrown to Duke15 QB hurried by #14 B.Davis PENALTY Duke Illegal Substitution 5 yards from Duke21 to Duke16. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 1:42
3RD & 4
OPP 16
-8
39.5%
(01:47) Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano sacked for loss of 8 yards to the Duke24 (#3 C.Weaver)Similar
Q1 1:03
4TH & 12
OPP 24
+42
38.2%
(01:07) #28 C.Freeman field goal attempt from 42 yards NO GOOD (H: #17 C.Stutz, LS: #47 Z.Christinat), clock 01:03Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 8TD9 plays · 76 yds · 3:3461% → 67%
Q1 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
38.9%
(01:02) Shotgun #4 A.Castle rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Duke27 (#6 B.Parham)Similar
Q1 0:32
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+10
38.9%
(00:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 A.Castle rush middle for 10 yards gain to the Duke37 (#2 D.Pringle), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
38.8%
(14:59) Shotgun #4 A.Castle rush left for 1 yard gain to the Duke38 (#6 B.Parham; #92 S.Wright)Similar
Q2 14:15
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+17
39.0%
(14:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete short left to #2 S.Hagans caught at UConn45, for 17 yards to the UConn45 QB hurried by #7 M.McLean, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY UConn Personal Foul (#15 K.Latu) 15 yards from UConn45 to UConn30, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:54
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
37.6%
(13:59) Shotgun #4 A.Castle rush middle for 6 yards gain to the UConn24 (#32 O.Diomande)Similar
Q2 13:33
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+12
37.5%
(13:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 A.Castle rush middle for 12 yards gain to the UConn12 (#7 M.McLean), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
37.7%
(13:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 A.Castle rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UConn10 (#15 K.Latu; #7 M.McLean)Similar
Q2 12:25
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+10
33.0%
(12:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete short right to #1 A.Anthony caught at UConn00, for 10 yards to the UConn00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:25, 1ST DOWN #29 T.Pelino kick attempt good (H: #41 K.Reynoldson, LS: #57 C.Cooper) #29 T.Pelino kick attempt good (H: #41 K.Reynoldson, LS: #57 C.Cooper) PENALTY #29 T.Pelino kick attempt good (H: #41 K.Reynoldson, LS: #57 C.Cooper) PENALTY Duke UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct offsetting UConn UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct offsetting. NO PLAYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 9TD13 plays · 73 yds · 6:1736% → 48%
Q2 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
36.1%
(12:19) Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass incomplete short middle to #1 S.Bell thrown to UConn30Similar
Q2 12:08
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+18
35.7%
(12:15) Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass complete short left to #0 C.Edwards caught at UConn27, for 18 yards to the UConn45 (#24 B.Gompers), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
37.8%
(11:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush left for 0 yards to the UConn45 (#34 L.Mergott)Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+15
37.2%
(11:06) Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass complete short left to #0 C.Edwards caught at UConn40, for 15 yards to the Duke40 (#10 T.Reed; #12 T.Freeman), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:13
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
38.9%
(10:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass complete short right to #1 S.Bell caught at Duke38, for 2 yards loss to the Duke42 lateral to #21 M.Greaves for 0 yards to the Duke42 (#2 J.Francois)Similar
Q2 9:40
2ND & 12
OPP 42
+9
37.6%
(09:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass complete short left to #1 S.Bell caught at UConn50, for 9 yards to the Duke33 (#0 C.Rivers; #8 D.Stone), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 9:00
3RD & 3
OPP 33
+8
38.6%
(09:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass complete short right to #6 R.Murphy caught at Duke40, for 8 yards to the Duke25 (#4 J.Green), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
39.2%
(08:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass complete short right to #1 S.Bell caught at Duke22, for 4 yards to the Duke21 (#24 B.Gompers)Similar
Q2 7:39
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+5
39.3%
(07:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass complete short left to #1 S.Bell caught at Duke22, for 5 yards to the Duke16 (#12 T.Freeman; #21 L.Callahan)Similar
Q2 6:55
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+4
38.4%
(06:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Duke12 (#2 J.Francois), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+8
39.8%
(06:22) #2 J.Fagnano pass complete short middle to #86 A.Honig caught at Duke12, for 8 yards to the Duke04 QB hurried by #18 K.Smith (#2 J.Francois)Similar
Q2 5:59
2ND & 2
OPP 4
+4
48.2%
(06:00) #2 J.Fagnano pass complete short middle to #1 S.Bell caught at Duke00, for 4 yards to the Duke00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:59, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY UConn UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (#1 S.Bell) 15 yards from Duke00 to Duke03 #28 C.Freeman kick attempt good (H: #17 C.Stutz, LS: #47 Z.Christinat)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 10PUNT6 plays · -6 yds · 2:0556% → 51%
Q2 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-3
43.7%
Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete short middle to #18 C.Barkate caught at Duke34, for 3 yards loss to the Duke34 (#6 B.Parham; #3 D.Brinson)Similar
Q2 5:09
2ND & 12
OWN 34
-9
45.3%
(05:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah sacked for loss of 9 yards to the Duke25 (#32 O.Diomande)Similar
Q2 4:17
3RD & 21
OWN 25
+6
47.7%
(04:23) Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete short right to #2 S.Hagans caught at Duke23, for 6 yards to the Duke31 (#15 K.Latu)Similar
Q2 3:38
4TH & 15
OWN 31
+8
48.8%
(03:46) #41 K.Reynoldson punt 49 yards to the UConn20 #19 J.Harper return 8 yards to the UConn28 (#57 C.Cooper; #10 T.Reed), out of boundsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 11PUNT7 plays · 15 yds · 1:5154% → 54%
Q2 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
54.0%
Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano rush middle for 8 yards gain to the UConn36 (#3 C.Weaver)Similar
Q2 2:57
2ND & 1
OWN 36
+3
56.2%
(03:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 V.Rosa rush left for 3 yards gain to the UConn39 (#21 L.Callahan; #12 T.Freeman), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
55.8%
(02:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass incomplete short right to #5 S.Porter thrown to UConn45Similar
Q2 2:29
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+4
55.6%
(02:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 M.Greaves rush right for 4 yards gain to the UConn43 (#3 C.Weaver)Similar
Q2 1:56
3RD & 6
OWN 43
0
55.7%
(02:00) Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass incomplete deep left to #1 S.Bell thrown to Duke30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 12INT2 plays · 4 yds · 0:3046% → 45%
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
54.5%
(01:47) Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete short left to #1 A.Anthony caught at Duke24, for 4 yards to the Duke24 (#13 C.Chadwick)Similar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 6
OWN 24
-5
54.7%
(01:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass intercepted by #2 D.Pringle at Duke36 #2 D.Pringle return 5 yards to the Duke31 (#10 D.Mensah)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 13FG4 plays · 4 yds · 0:1459% → 56%
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
58.8%
(01:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 T.Smith pass incomplete deep right to #6 R.Murphy thrown to Duke00Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+4
58.8%
(01:04) Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass complete short left to #0 C.Edwards caught at Duke31, for 4 yards to the Duke27 (#97 W.Williams)Similar
Q2 0:57
3RD & 6
OPP 27
0
57.7%
(00:59) Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass incomplete short middle to #1 S.Bell thrown to Duke25 broken up by #34 L.MergottSimilar
Q2 0:51
4TH & 6
OPP 27
+45
56.1%
(00:55) #28 C.Freeman field goal attempt from 45 yards GOOD (H: #17 C.Stutz, LS: #47 Z.Christinat), clock 00:51Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 14PUNT5 plays · 7 yds · 0:3545% → 43%
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
55.4%
(00:51) Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete short left to #1 A.Anthony caught at Duke28, for 3 yards to the Duke28 (#5 A.Key)Similar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
55.2%
(00:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete short left to #1 A.Anthony caught at Duke32, for 4 yards to the Duke32 (#13 C.Chadwick), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 0:17
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
55.5%
(00:24) Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass incomplete deep right to #85 J.Hasley thrown to UConn40 QB hurried by #11 D.BranchSimilar
Q2 0:10
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+35
56.9%
(00:14) #41 K.Reynoldson punt 35 yards to the UConn33 #19 J.Harper return for loss of 1 yard to the UConn32 (#26 M.Jones; #32 G.Wright) PENALTY UConn Illegal Block in Back (#18 K.Hicks) 10 yards from UConn32 to UConn22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 15END OF HALF2 plays · 7 yds · 0:0056% → 56%
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
56.2%
(00:07) Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush left for 7 yards gain to the UConn29 (#44 D.Anderson)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 16TD10 plays · 75 yds · 4:3946% → 63%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
53.6%
(14:58) Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete short right to #18 C.Barkate caught at Duke38, for 13 yards to the Duke38 (#13 C.Chadwick), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 14:33
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
52.4%
(14:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Duke40 (#7 M.McLean; #32 O.Diomande)Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+9
52.4%
(14:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush right for 9 yards gain to the Duke49 (#3 D.Brinson; #7 M.McLean), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+26
51.4%
(13:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush middle for 26 yards gain to the UConn25 (#13 C.Chadwick; #32 O.Diomande), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
49.6%
(12:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush middle for 0 yards to the UConn25 (#32 O.Diomande)Similar
Q3 12:17
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+12
50.5%
(12:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah rush right for 12 yards gain to the UConn13 (#13 C.Chadwick), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:39
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+9
50.2%
(11:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 J.Moore rush middle for 9 yards gain to the UConn04 (#6 B.Parham; #32 O.Diomande)Similar
Q3 10:57
2ND & 1
OPP 4
+1
50.6%
(11:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 J.Moore rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UConn03 (#99 D.Brown), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
36.6%
(10:18) Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UConn00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:13 #29 T.Pelino kick attempt good (H: #41 K.Reynoldson, LS: #57 C.Cooper)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 17FG9 plays · 73 yds · 3:1843% → 54%
Q3 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
42.7%
(10:11) Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush middle for 7 yards gain to the UConn32 (#0 C.Rivers; #34 L.Mergott)Similar
Q3 9:31
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+10
45.5%
(09:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass incomplete short right to #1 S.Bell thrown to Duke50 PENALTY Duke Holding (#99 A.Hall) 10 yards from UConn32 to UConn42, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+36
46.2%
(09:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass complete deep right to #6 R.Murphy caught at Duke32, for 36 yards to the Duke22 (#21 L.Callahan), 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Pass completion". CALL UPHELDSimilar
Q3 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+15
49.2%
(08:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass complete short right to #11 J.Vereen caught at Duke11, for 15 yards to the Duke07 QB hurried by #97 W.Williams (#8 D.Stone), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
49.3%
(08:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush right for 4 yards gain to the Duke03 (#35 A.Pellicciotta), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 7:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
49.6%
(07:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass incomplete short left to #1 S.Bell thrown to Duke05Similar
Q3 7:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
47.8%
(07:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 V.Rosa rush right for 1 yard gain to the Duke02 (#12 T.Freeman)Similar
Q3 6:50
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+20
54.4%
(06:53) #28 C.Freeman field goal attempt from 20 yards GOOD (H: #17 C.Stutz, LS: #47 Z.Christinat), clock 06:50Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 18TD12 plays · 75 yds · 4:3248% → 72%
Q3 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
51.8%
(06:49) Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete short left to #7 Q.Brown caught at Duke15, for 14 yards to the Duke39 (#14 T.Mills; #7 M.McLean), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
49.7%
(06:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush middle for 5 yards gain to the Duke44 (#14 T.Mills)Similar
Q3 5:50
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+11
48.7%
(05:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete short right to #7 Q.Brown caught at UConn48, for 11 yards to the UConn45 (#6 B.Parham; #3 D.Brinson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:14
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
48.0%
(05:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush left for 3 yards gain to the UConn42 (#6 B.Parham)Similar
Q3 4:44
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+26
47.8%
(04:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete short middle to #85 J.Hasley caught at UConn35, for 26 yards to the UConn16 (#3 D.Brinson; #14 T.Mills), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:23
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+10
46.0%
(04:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush middle for 10 yards gain to the UConn06 (#6 B.Parham; #7 M.McLean), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
46.2%
(04:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UConn03 (#14 T.Mills; #7 M.McLean)Similar
Q3 3:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
46.4%
(03:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UConn01 (#14 T.Mills; #32 O.Diomande). The previous play is under automatic review - "Short of the goal line". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (03:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UConn00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:12)Similar
Q3 2:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
48.2%
(03:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush middle for 0 yards to the UConn01 (#9 A.Renwick; #32 O.Diomande)Similar
Q3 2:09
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
28.2%
(02:11) #10 D.Mensah pass complete short right to #0 L.King caught at UConn00, for 1 yard to the UConn00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:09 #29 T.Pelino kick attempt good (H: #41 K.Reynoldson, LS: #57 C.Cooper)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 19TD14 plays · 78 yds · 6:0832% → 65%
Q3 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
31.7%
(02:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass complete short right to #80 J.Neider caught at UConn27, for 9 yards to the UConn31 (#21 L.Callahan)Similar
Q3 1:26
2ND & 1
OWN 31
+2
34.3%
(01:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush right for 2 yards gain to the UConn33 (#95 P.Watson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
32.5%
(00:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass complete short middle to #0 C.Edwards caught at UConn38, for 5 yards to the UConn38, End Of PlaySimilar
Q3 0:10
2ND & 5
OWN 38
-1
34.1%
(00:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 T.Smith rush right for 1 yard loss to the UConn37 (#99 A.Hall)Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 37
+15
31.0%
(15:00) Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass complete short right to #80 J.Neider caught at UConn41, for 32 yards to the Duke31 (#8 D.Stone), out of bounds PENALTY UConn Pass Interference (#80 J.Neider) 15 yards from UConn37 to UConn22. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 14:20
3RD & 21
OWN 22
+12
28.8%
(14:29) Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano rush right for 12 yards gain to the UConn34 (#97 W.Williams)Similar
Q4 13:38
4TH & 9
OWN 34
+26
28.4%
(13:43) #86 A.Honig rush left for 26 yards gain to the Duke40 (#0 C.Rivers), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
36.4%
(13:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass complete short left to #86 A.Honig caught at Duke36, for 9 yards to the Duke31 (#8 D.Stone)Similar
Q4 12:27
2ND & 1
OPP 31
+7
38.3%
(12:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush middle for 7 yards gain to the Duke24 (#35 A.Pellicciotta), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 11:46
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+17
38.4%
(11:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano rush middle for 17 yards gain to the Duke07 (#21 L.Callahan), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 11:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
38.5%
(11:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Duke03 (#26 M.Jones)Similar
Q4 10:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
64.7%
(10:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush right for 3 yards gain to the Duke00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:48 #3 N.Evers pass attempt failed #2 J.Fagnano pass attempt failedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 20TD12 plays · 80 yds · 5:0143% → 83%
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
56.7%
(10:42) Shotgun #10 D.Mensah rush right for 7 yards gain to the Duke27 (#32 O.Diomande)Similar
Q4 10:15
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+2
54.7%
(10:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 J.Moore rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Duke29 (#6 B.Parham; #32 O.Diomande)Similar
Q4 9:36
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+3
56.1%
(09:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 A.Castle rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Duke32 (#55 V.Carroll-Jackson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+15
55.2%
(09:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete short right to #18 C.Barkate caught at Duke44, for 15 yards to the Duke47 (#2 D.Pringle; #32 O.Diomande), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
51.7%
(08:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 A.Castle rush middle for 6 yards gain to the UConn47 (#6 B.Parham; #14 T.Mills)Similar
Q4 8:22
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+9
50.5%
(08:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 J.Moore rush left for 9 yards gain to the UConn38 (#32 O.Diomande), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
51.4%
(08:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 J.Moore rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UConn37 (#6 B.Parham)Similar
Q4 7:18
2ND & 9
OPP 37
+19
50.6%
(07:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete short middle to #85 J.Hasley caught at UConn32, for 19 yards to the UConn18 (#6 B.Parham), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 6:56
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+7
47.0%
(06:59) Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush right for 7 yards gain to the UConn11 (#32 O.Diomande)Similar
Q4 6:17
2ND & 3
OPP 11
+1
48.2%
(06:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush right for 1 yard gain to the UConn10 (#6 B.Parham; #89 T.Jones)Similar
Q4 5:34
3RD & 2
OPP 10
+10
17.1%
(05:34) Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete short middle to #85 J.Hasley caught at UConn00, for 10 yards to the UConn00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:34, 1ST DOWN #10 D.Mensah pass attempt failedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 21TD9 plays · 75 yds · 3:2926% → 89%
Q4 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
26.4%
(05:32) Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass complete short right to #1 S.Bell caught at UConn23, for 9 yards to the UConn34 (#34 L.Mergott)Similar
Q4 4:50
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+14
27.3%
(04:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass complete short left to #1 S.Bell caught at UConn30, for 14 yards to the UConn48 (#0 C.Rivers), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+16
28.8%
(04:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass complete short right to #6 R.Murphy caught at Duke38, for 16 yards to the Duke36 QB hurried by #97 W.Williams, out of bounds at Duke36, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 3:56
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-4
30.0%
(03:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush left for 4 yards loss to the Duke40 (#7 V.Anthony Jr.)Similar
Q4 3:14
2ND & 14
OPP 40
0
26.1%
(03:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass incomplete short middle to #86 A.Honig thrown to Duke35Similar
Q4 3:07
3RD & 14
OPP 40
+9
23.8%
(03:13) Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass complete short left to #11 J.Vereen caught at Duke37, for 9 yards to the Duke31 (#34 L.Mergott), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 2:22
4TH & 5
OPP 31
+12
25.8%
(02:30) Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass complete short middle to #11 J.Vereen caught at Duke20, for 12 yards to the Duke19 (#35 A.Pellicciotta), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
89.2%
(02:02) Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass complete short left to #1 S.Bell caught at Duke00, for 19 yards to the Duke00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:58, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY Duke Offside declined #2 J.Fagnano rush attempt Successful. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner broke the plane". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: #2 J.Fagnano rush attempt failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 22FUMBLE13 plays · 17 yds · 1:3326% → 25%
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
73.9%
(01:58) Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass incomplete short middle to #85 J.Hasley thrown to Duke30 broken up by #5 A.KeySimilar
Q4 1:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
74.4%
(01:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass incomplete short right to #18 C.Barkate thrown to Duke40 QB hurried by #13 C.ChadwickSimilar
Q4 1:28
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+5
76.8%
(01:44) Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete short middle to #20 N.Sheppard caught at Duke30, for 5 yards to the Duke30 QB hurried by #32 O.Diomande (#6 B.Parham)Similar
Q4 0:55
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+6
80.5%
(00:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete short right to #7 Q.Brown caught at Duke35, for 6 yards to the Duke36 (#2 D.Pringle), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+12
76.2%
(00:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah rush middle for 12 yards gain to the Duke48 (#89 T.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
73.3%
(00:47) Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass incomplete short right to #20 N.Sheppard thrown to Duke50Similar
Q4 0:38
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+6
74.5%
(00:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete short right to #85 J.Hasley caught at Duke50, for 6 yards to the UConn46 (#11 D.Branch), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 0:33
3RD & 4
OPP 46
+7
72.5%
(00:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete short right to #18 C.Barkate caught at UConn39, for 7 yards to the UConn39, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
74.5%
(00:33) Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass incomplete deep middle to #18 C.Barkate thrown to UConn10 broken up by #14 T.MillsSimilar
Q4 0:18
2ND & 10
OPP 39
-19
75.2%
(00:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah sacked for loss of 19 yards to the Duke42 (#6 B.Parham), fumble by #10 D.Mensah recovered by UConn #89 T.Jones at Duke42, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 23END OF GAME2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:58
(02:02) Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass complete short left to #1 S.Bell caught at Duke00, for 19 yards to the Duke00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:58, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY Duke Offside declined #2 J.Fagnano rush attempt Successful. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner broke the plane". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: #2 J.Fagnano rush attempt failed)
+63.4
TD · Q4 5:34
(05:34) Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete short middle to #85 J.Hasley caught at UConn00, for 10 yards to the UConn00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:34, 1ST DOWN #10 D.Mensah pass attempt failed
-31.1
TD · Q4 10:48
(10:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush right for 3 yards gain to the Duke00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:48 #3 N.Evers pass attempt failed #2 J.Fagnano pass attempt failed
+26.3