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SYR

Syracuse 10 at Miami 38

MIA
2025 · Week 11 · Nov 8, 2025 · Hard Rock Stadium
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Win probability · MIA
modelMIA aheadSYR aheadconfidence bandkey playMIA scoreSYR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDTDFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 5:49 · (05:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 R.Collins sacked for loss of 15 yards to the MIA49 (#25 J.Richard, #3 A.Mesidor), TURNOVER ON DOWNS
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+46.5+23.30−23.3−46.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 164Pregame prior+7.2Home team on offense+35.3Score differential+30.4Garbage-time factor+10.5Blowout margin+16.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:13: Carson Beck 14 Yd pass from Malachi Toney (Carter Davis Kick) — MIA win probability +3.2 pts (now 93%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:50: Keionte Scott 38 Yd Interception Return (Carter Davis Kick) — MIA win probability +4.8 pts (now 95%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 11:12: Timeout , clock 11:12 — MIA win probability +0.9 pts (now 93%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 9:57: Keelan Marion 61 Yd pass from Carson Beck (Carter Davis Kick) — MIA win probability +4.2 pts (now 97%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:25: Girard Pringle Jr. 19 Yd Run (Carter Davis Kick) — MIA win probability +1.9 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MIA made the numbers' call on 6 of 6SYR made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 11:28MIA 4th & 11 at MIA 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.0%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:17SYR 4th & 6 at SYR 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:08MIA 4th & 9 at MIA 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.1%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:45SYR 4th & 12 at SYR 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.9%−0.3
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:22MIA 4th & 14 at MIA 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.7%−0.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:17SYR 4th & 8 at MIA 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.7%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    10.4%−0.4
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    10.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:49MIA 4th & 4 at MIA 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.6%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:21SYR 4th & 3 at SYR 46, tied
    Close callPunted · 13.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.3%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:12SYR 4th & 8 at MIA 20, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 8.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.7%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.1%
    75% to make
    Punt
    5.6%−2.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:17SYR 4th & 14 at SYR 34, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%−1.0
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.0%
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:00MIA 4th & 5 at SYR 18, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.5%
    79% to make
    Punt
    98.9%−0.6
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:07SYR 4th & 14 at SYR 21, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:23MIA 4th & 11 at MIA 38, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:49SYR 4th & 7 at MIA 34, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    47% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MIA made the numbers' call on 5 of 5SYR made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 2:13MIA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 1:50MIA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 9:57MIA Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 2:25MIA Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 2:53MIA Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 0:21SYR Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MIADrive 1PUNT
10 plays · 20 yds · 3:2796% → 96%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.3%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Beck pass incomplete short middle to #10 M.Toney thrown to MIA30 broken up by #94 K.Jobity Jr.Similar
Q1 14:47
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
96.3%
(14:54) Shotgun #11 C.Beck pass complete short right to #1 J.Trader caught at MIA30, for 10 yards to the MIA35 (#0 B.Long Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
96.2%
(14:16) Shotgun #2 J.Lyle rush right for 4 yards gain to the MIA39 (#94 K.Jobity Jr.; #29 B.Buxton III)Similar
Q1 13:36
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+7
96.1%
(13:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Beck pass complete short right to #87 A.Bauman caught at MIA41, for 7 yards to the MIA46 (#13 G.Bryant III; #16 C.Peal), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-8
96.0%
(13:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Beck sacked for loss of 8 yards to the MIA38 (#13 G.Bryant III)Similar
Q1 12:21
2ND & 18
OWN 38
+7
95.8%
(12:29) Shotgun #11 C.Beck pass complete short middle to #2 J.Lyle caught at MIA40, for 7 yards to the MIA45 (#3 K.Singleton; #5 A.Deslauriers)Similar
Q1 11:36
3RD & 11
OWN 45
0
95.7%
(11:39) Shotgun #11 C.Beck pass incomplete short middle to #1 J.Trader thrown to SYR39Similar
Q1 11:28
4TH & 11
OWN 45
0
95.6%
(11:34) #94 D.Joyce punt 55 yards to the SYR00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 2PUNT
10 plays · 25 yds · 4:014% → 5%
Q1 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
95.6%
(11:27) Shotgun #24 W.Nixon rush middle for 2 yards gain to the SYR22 (#11 D.Blay)Similar
Q1 10:52
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
95.5%
(10:52) Shotgun #10 R.Collins pass incomplete short right thrown to SYR35Similar
Q1 10:46
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+9
95.5%
(10:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 W.Nixon rush middle for 9 yards gain to the SYR31 (#13 B.Fitzgerald), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
95.4%
(10:15) Shotgun #6 Y.Willis rush middle for 2 yards gain to the SYR33 (#1 M.Toure; #11 D.Blay)Similar
Q1 9:27
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+8
95.2%
(09:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 R.Collins pass complete short right to #89 D.Villari caught at SYR34, for 8 yards to the SYR41 (#10 R.Aguirre, Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
95.0%
(08:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Y.Willis rush middle for 1 yard gain to the SYR42 (#8 J.Thomas)Similar
Q1 8:12
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+3
94.9%
(08:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Y.Willis rush middle for 3 yards gain to the SYR45 (#1 M.Toure; #11 D.Blay)Similar
Q1 7:27
3RD & 6
OWN 45
0
94.6%
(07:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 R.Collins pass incomplete short left to #3 J.Hornsby thrown to MIA45Similar
Q1 7:17
4TH & 6
OWN 45
0
94.7%
(07:27) #41 J.Stonehouse punt 53 yards to the MIA02Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 3PUNT
14 plays · 37 yds · 6:0495% → 93%
Q1 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+2
94.7%
(07:16) Shotgun #2 J.Lyle rush middle for 2 yards gain to the MIA04 (#94 K.Jobity Jr.)Similar
Q1 6:27
2ND & 8
OWN 4
+7
94.5%
(06:42) Shotgun #11 C.Beck pass complete short middle to #1 J.Trader caught at MIA11, for 7 yards to the MIA11, End Of PlaySimilar
Q1 5:58
3RD & 1
OWN 11
+1
94.3%
(05:58) Shotgun #6 C.Brown rush middle for 1 yard gain to the MIA12, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+8
94.2%
(05:22) Shotgun #11 C.Beck pass complete short left to #6 C.Brown caught at MIA13, for 8 yards to the MIA20 (#1 D.Samuel Jr.)Similar
Q1 4:54
2ND & 2
OWN 20
+2
94.1%
(04:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Brown rush middle for 2 yards gain to the MIA22 (#13 G.Bryant III), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
94.0%
(04:24) Shotgun #11 C.Beck pass complete short middle to #10 M.Toney caught at MIA17, for 1 yard to the MIA23 (#1 D.Samuel Jr.). #1 D.Samuel Jr. injured on the playSimilar
Q1 3:48
2ND & 9
OWN 23
+5
93.8%
(03:55) Shotgun #11 C.Beck pass complete short right to #6 C.Brown caught at MIA20, for 5 yards to the MIA28 (#5 A.Deslauriers; #8 D.Reese)Similar
Q1 3:16
3RD & 4
OWN 28
+10
93.6%
(03:16) Shotgun #11 C.Beck pass intercepted by #16 C.Peal at MIA46 #16 C.Peal return 18 yards to the MIA28 (#6 C.Brown; #1 J.Trader) PENALTY SYR Holding (#16 C.Peal) 10 yards from MIA28 to MIA38, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
93.7%
(02:53) Shotgun #2 J.Lyle rush right for 3 yards gain to the MIA41 (#18 D.Omopariola), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 2:15
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+1
93.7%
(02:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Beck rush left for 1 yard gain to the MIA42, End Of PlaySimilar
Q1 1:39
3RD & 6
OWN 42
-3
93.5%
(01:47) Shotgun #11 C.Beck sacked for loss of 3 yards to the MIA39 (#12 A.Sparrow)Similar
Q1 1:08
4TH & 9
OWN 39
0
93.1%
(01:14) #94 D.Joyce punt 41 yards to the SYR20, out of bounds at SYR20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · -2 yds · 1:177% → 7%
Q1 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
92.9%
(01:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Y.Willis rush left for 1 yard gain to the SYR21 (#31 W.Bissainthe)Similar
Q1 0:24
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
92.7%
(00:26) Shotgun #10 R.Collins pass incomplete short left to #6 Y.Willis thrown to SYR15 QB hurried by #4 R.Bain Jr.Similar
Q1 0:15
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+2
92.8%
(00:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 R.Collins pass complete short right to #14 D.Johnson caught at SYR23, for 2 yards to the SYR23 (#6 X.Lucas)Similar
Q2 14:59
4TH & 7
OWN 23
+5
92.8%
(14:59) #41 J.Stonehouse punt 52 yards to the MIA25 fair catch by #10 M.Toney at MIA25 PENALTY SYR Illegal Motion (#85 S.Murphy) 5 yards from SYR23 to SYR18. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 14:45
4TH & 12
OWN 18
0
92.8%
(14:52) #41 J.Stonehouse punt 54 yards to the MIA28 fair catch by #10 M.Toney at MIA28 PENALTY MIA Personal Foul (#22 C.Pruitt) 14 yards from MIA28 to MIA14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 1:1793% → 92%
Q2 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+13
92.8%
(14:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Brown rush right for 13 yards gain to the MIA27 (#29 B.Buxton III; #6 J.Heard Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
92.7%
(14:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Brown rush right for 1 yard gain to the MIA28 (#30 N.Nyandoro; #9 I.Hastings)Similar
Q2 13:39
2ND & 9
OWN 28
0
92.6%
(13:44) Shotgun #11 C.Beck pass incomplete short middle to #6 C.Brown thrown to MIA32Similar
Q2 13:33
3RD & 9
OWN 28
0
92.3%
(13:37) Shotgun #11 C.Beck pass incomplete short right to #1 J.Trader thrown to MIA40 broken up by #16 C.PealSimilar
Q2 13:33
4TH & 9
OWN 28
+5
92.1%
(13:32) PENALTY MIA False Start (#41 C.Smith) 5 yards from MIA28 to MIA23. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 13:22
4TH & 14
OWN 23
+7
92.0%
(13:32) #94 D.Joyce punt 52 yards to the SYR25 #1 D.Samuel Jr. return 7 yards to the SYR32 (#6 X.Lucas), out of boundsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 6PUNT
11 plays · 23 yds · 4:058% → 10%
Q2 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-1
91.9%
(13:22) #10 R.Collins sacked for loss of 1 yard to the SYR31 (#0 K.Scott)Similar
Q2 12:42
2ND & 11
OWN 31
0
91.8%
(12:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 R.Collins pass incomplete short right to #24 W.Nixon thrown to SYR34 broken up by #1 M.ToureSimilar
Q2 12:33
3RD & 11
OWN 31
+11
91.8%
(12:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 R.Collins rush left for 11 yards gain to the SYR42 (#41 C.Smith), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
91.1%
(12:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 R.Collins pass incomplete short left to #3 J.Hornsby thrown to MIA42 broken up by #6 X.LucasSimilar
Q2 11:58
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+6
91.1%
(12:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 R.Collins pass complete short right to #89 D.Villari caught at SYR41, for 6 yards to the SYR48 (#6 X.Lucas; #10 R.Aguirre, Jr.)Similar
Q2 11:20
3RD & 4
OWN 48
+5
90.7%
(11:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 R.Collins pass complete short left to #7 D.Williams caught at MIA48, for 5 yards to the MIA47 (#8 J.Thomas), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:48
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
90.3%
(10:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 R.Collins pass incomplete short left to #3 J.Hornsby thrown to MIA30Similar
Q2 10:43
2ND & 10
OPP 47
-8
90.3%
(10:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 R.Collins sacked for loss of 8 yards to the SYR45 (#3 A.Mesidor)Similar
Q2 9:52
3RD & 18
OWN 45
+10
90.5%
(10:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 R.Collins rush left for 10 yards gain to the MIA45 (#7 Z.Poyser), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 9:17
4TH & 8
OPP 45
0
90.2%
(09:23) #41 J.Stonehouse punt 45 yards to the MIA00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:2291% → 90%
Q2 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
91.0%
(09:17) Shotgun #2 J.Lyle rush middle for 3 yards gain to the MIA23 (#18 D.Omopariola)Similar
Q2 8:35
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+3
90.7%
(08:44) Shotgun #2 J.Lyle rush middle for 3 yards gain to the MIA26 (#7 C.Thomas; #5 A.Deslauriers)Similar
Q2 8:00
3RD & 4
OWN 26
0
90.3%
(08:04) Shotgun #11 C.Beck pass incomplete short left to #1 J.Trader thrown to MIA30Similar
Q2 7:49
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
89.8%
(07:58) #94 D.Joyce punt 35 yards to the SYR39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 2:2011% → 12%
Q2 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
88.6%
(07:47) Shotgun #6 Y.Willis rush left for 3 yards gain to the SYR42 (#11 D.Blay)Similar
Q2 7:05
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+4
88.0%
(07:09) No Huddle #6 Y.Willis rush right for 4 yards gain to the SYR46 (#11 D.Blay)Similar
Q2 6:30
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+5
87.7%
(06:33) PENALTY SYR False Start (#78 J.Cruz) 5 yards from SYR46 to SYR41. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 6:05
3RD & 8
OWN 41
+5
87.9%
(06:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 R.Collins rush right for 5 yards gain to the SYR46 (#1 M.Toure)Similar
Q2 5:21
4TH & 3
OWN 46
0
87.6%
(05:27) #41 J.Stonehouse punt 44 yards to the MIA10 fair catch by #10 M.Toney at MIA10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 9TD
6 plays · 90 yds · 2:5889% → 93%
Q2 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+25
89.1%
(05:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Beck pass complete short middle to #0 K.Marion caught at MIA24, for 25 yards to the MIA35 (#0 B.Long Jr.; #24 I.McDaniels), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
89.2%
(04:53) Shotgun #11 C.Beck rush left for 2 yards gain to the MIA37 (#30 N.Nyandoro) PENALTY MIA Holding (#9 E.Lofton) 10 yards from MIA35 to MIA25. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 4:19
1ST & 20
OWN 25
+8
88.7%
(04:24) Shotgun #6 C.Brown rush right for 8 yards gain to the MIA33 (#4 D.Wilson Jr.)Similar
Q2 3:34
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+41
88.4%
(03:46) Shotgun #11 C.Beck pass complete short right to #13 D.Upshaw caught at MIA30, for 41 yards to the SYR26 (#19 C.Perry), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:51
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+12
89.6%
(03:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Beck pass complete short left to #3 J.Moore caught at SYR14, for 12 yards to the SYR14 (#1 D.Samuel Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:13
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
92.7%
Carson Beck 14 Yd pass from Malachi Toney (Carter Davis Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 10INT TD
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:198% → 5%
Q2 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
91.7%
(02:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 R.Collins pass incomplete short right to #14 D.Johnson thrown to SYR26 broken up by #0 K.ScottSimilar
Q2 2:01
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
91.7%
(02:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 R.Collins rush middle for 2 yards gain to the SYR27, End Of PlaySimilar
Q2 1:50
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-38
94.7%
Keionte Scott 38 Yd Interception Return (Carter Davis Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 11FUMBLE
15 plays · 61 yds · 1:365% → 7%
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
94.6%
(01:48) Shotgun #6 Y.Willis rush right for 4 yards gain to the SYR29 (#5 J.Scott; #1 M.Toure)Similar
Q2 1:35
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+22
94.4%
(01:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Y.Willis rush left for 22 yards gain to the MIA49 (#8 J.Thomas), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
93.9%
(01:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Y.Willis rush middle for 2 yards gain to the MIA47 (#5 J.Scott; #10 R.Aguirre, Jr.)Similar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+9
93.8%
(01:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 R.Collins pass complete short right to #2 J.Cook II caught at MIA38, for 9 yards to the MIA38, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
93.6%
(00:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 R.Collins pass incomplete deep right to #2 J.Cook II thrown to MIA07Similar
Q2 0:41
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+8
93.7%
(00:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 R.Collins pass complete short right to #2 J.Cook II caught at MIA30, for 8 yards to the MIA30, out of bounds at MIA30Similar
Q2 0:35
3RD & 2
OPP 30
+13
93.8%
(00:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Y.Willis rush right for 13 yards gain to the MIA17 (#8 J.Thomas), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+9
93.3%
(00:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Y.Willis rush middle for 9 yards gain to the MIA08 (#2 D.Brown), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 1
OPP 8
+3
93.3%
(00:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Y.Willis rush middle for 3 yards gain to the MIA05 (#41 C.Smith), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
93.3%
PENALTY SYR False Start (#0 D.Clement) 5 yards from MIA05 to MIA10. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 0:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-4
93.2%
(00:20) Shotgun #6 Y.Willis rush right for 4 yards loss to the MIA14 fumbled by #6 Y.Willis at MIA13 forced by #3 A.Mesidor recovered by MIA #8 J.Thomas at MIA14, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q2 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-2
95.5%
(00:06) Kneel down by #18/#18 Miami (FL) at MIA12 for loss of 2 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 13FG
11 plays · 55 yds · 3:375% → 8%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+23
94.6%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 W.Nixon rush left for 23 yards gain to the SYR48 (#2 D.Brown), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
94.0%
(14:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 R.Collins pass complete short right to #14 D.Johnson caught at MIA46, for 9 yards to the MIA43 (#6 X.Lucas), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 13:59
2ND & 1
OPP 43
+9
93.7%
(14:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 W.Nixon rush middle for 9 yards gain to the MIA34 (#7 Z.Poyser), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+12
93.5%
(13:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 R.Collins pass complete short middle to #15 D.Gill Jr. caught at MIA22, for 12 yards to the MIA22, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
93.3%
(13:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 W.Nixon rush right for 2 yards gain to the MIA20 (#41 C.Smith)Similar
Q3 12:42
2ND & 8
OPP 20
-1
91.4%
(12:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 R.Collins sacked for loss of 1 yard to the MIA21 (#18 A.Blount, #22 C.Pruitt)Similar
Q3 11:50
3RD & 9
OPP 21
+6
91.9%
(12:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 R.Collins pass complete short right to #15 D.Gill Jr. caught at MIA15, for 6 yards to the MIA15 (#2 D.Brown), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 11:17
4TH & 3
OPP 15
+5
92.1%
PENALTY SYR Delay Of Game (#41 J.Stonehouse) 5 yards from MIA15 to MIA20. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 11:12
4TH & 8
OPP 20
+38
92.3%
Tripp Woody 38 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 14TD
4 plays · 78 yds · 1:0193% → 97%
Q3 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
93.0%
(11:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Lyle rush right for 0 yards to the MIA22 (#2 D.Chestnut), out of bounds PENALTY SYR Face Mask (#8 D.Reese) 15 yards from MIA22 to MIA37, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
93.2%
(10:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Lyle rush right for 2 yards gain to the MIA39 (#13 G.Bryant III)Similar
Q3 9:57
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+61
97.3%
Keelan Marion 61 Yd pass from Carson Beck (Carter Davis Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 15PUNT
9 plays · 9 yds · 2:314% → 3%
Q3 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
96.5%
(09:55) Shotgun #10 R.Collins pass complete short right to #24 W.Nixon caught at SYR20, for 8 yards to the SYR33 (#7 Z.Poyser; #28 I.Taylor)Similar
Q3 9:20
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
96.1%
(09:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 W.Nixon rush middle for 1 yard gain to the SYR34 (#10 R.Aguirre, Jr.). #11 D.Blay injured on the playSimilar
Q3 8:49
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
96.2%
(08:56) Shotgun #89 D.Villari rush middle for 4 yards gain to the SYR38 (#1 M.Toure; #10 R.Aguirre, Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
96.3%
(08:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 R.Collins pass incomplete short left to #7 D.Williams thrown to SYR45 broken up by #28 I.TaylorSimilar
Q3 8:06
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-4
96.3%
(08:15) No Huddle #20 D.Kerr rush right for 4 yards loss to the SYR34 (#5 J.Scott)Similar
Q3 7:29
3RD & 14
OWN 34
0
96.7%
(07:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 R.Collins pass incomplete deep left to #7 D.Williams thrown to MIA30 QB hurried by #3 A.MesidorSimilar
Q3 7:17
4TH & 14
OWN 34
+5
96.7%
(07:27) #41 J.Stonehouse punt 54 yards to the MIA12 #10 M.Toney return 5 yards to the MIA17 (#49 J.Kubala)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 16TD
9 plays · 83 yds · 4:4397% → 100%
Q3 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
97.2%
(07:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Beck pass complete short left to #6 C.Brown caught at MIA15, for 3 yards to the MIA20 (#16 C.Peal), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 6:33
2ND & 7
OWN 20
+10
97.2%
(06:41) Shotgun #10 M.Toney rush left for 10 yards gain to the MIA30 (#2 D.Chestnut), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
97.3%
(06:05) Shotgun #6 C.Brown rush left for 3 yards gain to the MIA33 (#13 G.Bryant III; #18 D.Omopariola)Similar
Q3 5:32
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+11
97.3%
(05:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Beck pass complete short left to #10 M.Toney caught at MIA30, for 11 yards to the MIA44 (#2 D.Chestnut), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN. #2 D.Chestnut injured on the playSimilar
Q3 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+12
97.5%
(05:13) #10 M.Toney rush right for 12 yards gain to the SYR44 (#1 D.Samuel Jr.), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:26
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+10
97.5%
(04:33) Shotgun #11 C.Beck pass complete short middle to #9 E.Lofton caught at SYR40, for 10 yards to the SYR34 (#6 J.Heard Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:42
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
97.6%
(03:52) Shotgun #11 C.Beck rush right for 4 yards gain to the SYR30, End Of PlaySimilar
Q3 3:01
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+11
97.6%
(03:09) Shotgun #22 G.Pringle Jr. rush left for 11 yards gain to the SYR19 (#3 K.Singleton), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
99.5%
Girard Pringle Jr. 19 Yd Run (Carter Davis Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 17INT
3 plays · -11 yds · 0:511% → 1%
Q3 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-11
99.3%
(02:24) Shotgun #10 R.Collins sacked for loss of 11 yards to the SYR14 (#8 J.Thomas)Similar
Q3 1:28
2ND & 21
OWN 14
-10
99.2%
(01:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 R.Collins pass intercepted by #8 J.Thomas at SYR33 #8 J.Thomas return 10 yards to the SYR23 (#15 D.Gill Jr.). The previous play is under automatic review - "Interception". CALL UPHELDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 18FG
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:17100% → 100%
Q3 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
99.5%
(01:26) Shotgun #22 G.Pringle Jr. rush middle for 1 yard gain to the SYR22 (#13 G.Bryant III)Similar
Q3 0:36
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+4
99.6%
(00:48) Shotgun #6 C.Brown rush middle for 4 yards gain to the SYR18 (#0 B.Long Jr.)Similar
Q3 0:04
3RD & 5
OPP 18
0
99.6%
(00:07) Shotgun #11 C.Beck pass incomplete short middle to #87 A.Bauman thrown to SYR13 broken up by #23 D.Grant. #87 A.Bauman injured on the playSimilar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 5
OPP 18
+36
99.8%
Carter Davis 36 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 1:460% → 0%
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
99.9%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #39 T.Hill rush left for 3 yards loss to the SYR22 (#3 A.Mesidor). #89 D.Villari injured on the playSimilar
Q4 14:27
2ND & 13
OWN 22
-9
99.9%
(14:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 R.Collins sacked for loss of 9 yards to the SYR13 (#4 R.Bain Jr.)Similar
Q4 13:40
3RD & 22
OWN 13
+8
99.9%
(13:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 R.Collins pass complete short right to #7 D.Williams caught at SYR10, for 8 yards to the SYR21 (#6 X.Lucas), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 13:07
4TH & 14
OWN 21
+55
99.9%
(13:13) #41 J.Stonehouse punt 55 yards to the MIA24 #10 M.Toney return for loss of 1 yard to the MIA23, out of bounds at MIA23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 3:37100% → 100%
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
99.9%
(13:06) Shotgun #22 G.Pringle Jr. rush middle for 0 yards to the MIA23 (#3 K.Singleton)Similar
Q4 12:32
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+8
99.9%
(12:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 G.Pringle Jr. rush middle for 8 yards gain to the MIA31 (#18 D.Omopariola)Similar
Q4 11:53
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+8
99.9%
(11:59) Shotgun #6 C.Brown rush middle for 8 yards gain to the MIA39 (#3 K.Singleton), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
99.9%
(11:17) Shotgun #11 C.Beck pass complete short left to #6 C.Brown caught at MIA39, for 2 yards to the MIA41 (#5 A.Deslauriers)Similar
Q4 10:27
2ND & 8
OWN 41
-8
99.9%
(10:39) Shotgun #10 M.Toney rush right for 8 yards loss to the MIA33 (#1 D.Samuel Jr.)Similar
Q4 9:48
3RD & 16
OWN 33
+5
99.9%
(09:58) Shotgun #11 C.Beck pass complete short left to #6 C.Brown caught at MIA33, for 5 yards to the MIA38 (#3 K.Singleton; #29 B.Buxton III)Similar
Q4 9:23
4TH & 11
OWN 38
0
99.9%
(09:29) #94 D.Joyce punt 46 yards to the SYR16 fair catch by #1 D.Samuel Jr. at SYR16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 21DOWNS
11 plays · 35 yds · 3:260% → 0%
Q4 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+12
99.9%
(09:22) Shotgun #39 T.Hill rush right for 12 yards gain to the SYR28 (#25 J.Richard; #2 D.Brown), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+15
99.9%
(08:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #39 T.Hill rush right for 15 yards gain to the SYR43 (#2 D.Brown), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
99.9%
(08:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #39 T.Hill rush middle for 3 yards gain to the SYR46 (#21 J.Alderman)Similar
Q4 8:03
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+2
99.9%
(08:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #39 T.Hill rush middle for 2 yards gain to the SYR48 (#21 J.Alderman)Similar
Q4 7:17
3RD & 5
OWN 48
+15
99.9%
(07:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 W.Nixon rush right for 15 yards gain to the MIA37 (#25 J.Richard), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
99.9%
(07:13) Shotgun #10 R.Collins pass complete short right to #20 D.Kerr caught at MIA42, for 4 yards to the MIA33 (#10 R.Aguirre, Jr.)Similar
Q4 6:35
2ND & 6
OPP 33
-1
99.9%
(06:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #39 T.Hill rush right for 1 yard loss to the MIA34 (#5 J.Scott)Similar
Q4 5:59
3RD & 7
OPP 34
0
99.9%
(06:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 R.Collins pass incomplete short right to #2 J.Cook II thrown to MIA15 QB hurried by #41 C.SmithSimilar
Q4 5:49
4TH & 7
OPP 34
-8
99.9%
(05:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 R.Collins sacked for loss of 15 yards to the MIA49 (#25 J.Richard, #3 A.Mesidor), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 22TD
6 plays · 51 yds · 2:48100% → 100%
Q4 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+12
99.9%
(05:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 G.Pringle Jr. rush right for 12 yards gain to the SYR39 (#12 A.Sparrow), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:59
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
99.9%
(05:10) Shotgun #11 C.Beck pass complete short left to #1 J.Trader caught at SYR37, for 2 yards to the SYR37, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 4:22
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+4
99.9%
(04:28) Shotgun #22 G.Pringle Jr. rush middle for 4 yards gain to the SYR33 (#6 J.Heard Jr.)Similar
Q4 3:34
3RD & 4
OPP 33
+30
99.9%
(03:45) Shotgun #11 C.Beck pass complete short right to #0 K.Marion caught at SYR30, for 30 yards to the SYR03 (#0 B.Long Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
100.0%
Francis Mauigoa 3 Yd Run (Bert Auburn Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 23TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 2:250% → 0%
Q4 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
100.0%
(02:52) Shotgun #39 T.Hill rush left for 11 yards gain to the SYR36 (#25 J.Richard), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
100.0%
(02:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #39 T.Hill rush right for 5 yards gain to the SYR41 (#41 C.Smith; #35 H.Scroggins III)Similar
Q4 1:53
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+7
100.0%
(01:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Filardi pass complete short right to #19 D.Bacheyie caught at SYR46, for 7 yards to the SYR48 (#16 J.Antoine), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+15
100.0%
(01:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Filardi pass complete short right to #19 D.Bacheyie caught at MIA37, for 15 yards to the MIA37, out of bounds at MIA37, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY MIA Roughing The Passer (#25 J.Richard) 15 yards from MIA37 to MIA22, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
100.0%
(01:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 J.Hart rush right for 4 yards gain to the MIA18 (#90 D.Russell; #35 H.Scroggins III)Similar
Q4 1:06
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+14
100.0%
(01:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 J.Hart rush middle for 14 yards gain to the MIA04 (#16 J.Antoine), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+5
100.0%
PENALTY SYR False Start (#77 K.Pringle) 5 yards from MIA04 to MIA09. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 0:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-8
100.0%
(00:57) Shotgun #13 J.Filardi sacked for loss of 8 yards to the MIA17 (#23 D.Day)Similar
Q4 0:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 17
+17
100.0%
Elijah Washington-Baker 17 Yd pass from Joseph Filardi (Tripp Woody Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 24END OF GAME
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
100.0%
(00:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 C.Wheatley-Humphrey rush right for 3 yards gain to the MIA31 (#93 N.Ogbebor)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:50
Keionte Scott 38 Yd Interception Return (Carter Davis Kick)
+4.8
TD · Q3 9:57
Keelan Marion 61 Yd pass from Carson Beck (Carter Davis Kick)
+4.2
TD · Q2 2:13
Carson Beck 14 Yd pass from Malachi Toney (Carter Davis Kick)
+3.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com