Try the model
CAL

California 29 at Louisville 26

LOU
2025 · Week 11 · Nov 8, 2025 · L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · LOU
modelLOU aheadCAL aheadconfidence bandkey playLOU scoreCAL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2OTQ2Q3Q4OTTDTDFGFGFGFGTDFGTDFGFGFGTDEnd of GameFG-2.5LOU 78.4%(05:58) #91 C.Meyer field goal attemptfrom 27 yards GOOD (H: #40 B.HonoreJr., LS: #39 R.Monteforte), clock05:58AWAY 10 - HOME 10 · Q2 5:58
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 5:58 · (05:58) #91 C.Meyer field goal attempt from 27 yards GOOD (H: #40 B.Honore Jr., LS: #39 R.Monteforte), clock 05:58
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseTime remainingScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsOffense timeouts
+39.5+19.80−19.8−39.5Q1Q2OTQ2Q3Q4OTPlay 66Pregame prior+26.6Home team on offense−2.2Time remaining−0.3Score differential−2.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.0Offense timeouts+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:07: (00:10) #1 K.Raphael rush middle for 2 yards gain to the LOU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:07, 1ST DOWN #91 C.Meyer kick attempt good (H: #40 B.Honore Jr., LS: #39 R.Monteforte) — CAL win probability +13.4 pts (now 33%) (top driver: CAL has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 7:43: (07:44) #7 M.Moss rush middle for 1 yard gain to the CAL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:43 #36 C.Ranvier kick attempt good (H: #93 D.Chapeau, LS: #48 S.Kochav) — LOU win probability +14.4 pts (now 78%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 11:08: (11:08) #36 C.Ranvier field goal attempt from 39 yards GOOD (H: #93 D.Chapeau, LS: #48 S.Kochav), clock 11:08 — LOU win probability +8.8 pts (now 68%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
  4. FG · OT 0:00: Cooper Ranvier 49 Yd Field Goal — LOU win probability +19.6 pts (now 79%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
  5. TD · OT 0:00: Jacob De Jesus 3 Yd pass from Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele — CAL win probability +47.0 pts (now 72%) (top driver: CAL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LOU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9CAL made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 10:33CAL 4th & 21 at LOU 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 12.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.7%−0.2
    8% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.9%
    72% to make
    Punt
    12.5%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:13CAL 4th & 5 at CAL 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.8%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:47LOU 4th & 8 at LOU 33, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.3%−0.3
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:58LOU 4th & 1 at LOU 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 83.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    83.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    82.8%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:01LOU 4th & 4 at CAL 12, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 82.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.3%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.2%−0.1
    86% to make
    Punt
    80.4%−1.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:58CAL 4th & 10 at LOU 10, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 19.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.4%−0.6
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.0%
    88% to make
    Punt
    14.9%−4.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:34LOU 4th & 10 at CAL 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 77.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.0%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.3%
    54% to make
    Punt
    76.2%−1.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:34CAL 4th & 13 at LOU 27, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 32.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.9%−2.4
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.3%
    62% to make
    Punt
    24.7%−7.6
    average punt
  9. Q3 0:23CAL 4th & 8 at LOU 8, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 45.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.0%−1.6
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.6%
    90% to make
    Punt
    28.2%−15.4
    average punt
  10. Q4 11:08LOU 4th & 5 at CAL 21, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 54.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.6%−1.4
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.0%
    74% to make
    Punt
    40.0%−14.0
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:20CAL 4th & 9 at CAL 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.5%−4.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.7%
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:46LOU 4th & 10 at LOU 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.0%−3.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:20CAL 4th & 2 at CAL 27, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.8 ptsPunted · 40.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.0%−1.8
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:36LOU 4th & 6 at LOU 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.2%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:09CAL 4th & 4 at CAL 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.3%−0.8
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:40LOU 4th & 5 at LOU 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.9%−9.5
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.4%
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:23CAL 4th & 16 at CAL 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.6%−16.7
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.4%
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:01LOU 4th & 12 at LOU 48, tied
    Numbers favored punt by 4.9 ptsWent for it · 55.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.4%−4.9
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    56.3%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LOU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2CAL made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 5:11LOU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:40CAL Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:07CAL Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:43LOU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CALDrive 1MISSED FG
13 plays · 53 yds · 4:0211% → 12%
Q1 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+27
89.3%
(15:00) Shotgun #21 J.De Jesus pass complete deep right to #7 T.Grizzell caught at CAL48, for 27 yards to the LOU48 (#4 J.Mack), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
89.2%
(14:22) Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass complete short left to #21 J.De Jesus caught at LOU42, for 6 yards to the LOU42 (#34 T.Quinn)Similar
Q1 13:50
2ND & 4
OPP 42
0
89.1%
(13:49) Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass incomplete short right to #21 J.De Jesus thrown to LOU40Similar
Q1 13:37
3RD & 4
OPP 42
+14
89.0%
(13:44) Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass complete short right to #21 J.De Jesus caught at LOU40, for 14 yards to the LOU28 (#4 J.Mack), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+9
88.8%
(13:10) Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass complete short left to #21 J.De Jesus caught at LOU21, for 9 yards to the LOU19 (#4 J.Mack)Similar
Q1 12:32
2ND & 1
OPP 19
0
88.6%
(12:36) Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass incomplete short right to #7 T.Grizzell thrown to LOU00Similar
Q1 12:27
3RD & 1
OPP 19
+8
88.6%
(12:30) #1 K.Raphael rush middle for 8 yards gain to the LOU11 (#4 J.Mack; #27 J.Evans Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
88.4%
(11:52) #1 K.Raphael rush middle for 1 yard gain to the LOU10 (#21 D.Hutchinson)Similar
Q1 11:18
2ND & 9
OPP 10
0
88.2%
(11:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass incomplete short left to #7 T.Grizzell thrown to LOU00Similar
Q1 11:18
3RD & 9
OPP 10
+5
88.3%
PENALTY CAL False Start (#66 J.Spasojevic-Moko) 5 yards from LOU10 to LOU15. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 11:10
3RD & 14
OPP 15
-7
88.3%
(11:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele sacked for loss of 7 yards to the LOU22 (#17 A.Green)Similar
Q1 10:33
4TH & 21
OPP 22
+40
88.3%
(10:36) #91 C.Meyer field goal attempt from 40 yards NO GOOD (H: #40 B.Honore Jr., LS: #39 R.Monteforte), clock 10:33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 2TD
10 plays · 78 yds · 5:1388% → 89%
Q1 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
88.2%
(10:30) Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass complete short left to #0 C.Bell caught at LOU26, for 4 yards to the LOU26 (#4 B.Austin)Similar
Q1 9:52
2ND & 6
OWN 26
-2
88.0%
(10:00) Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass complete short right to #88 J.Skinner caught at LOU24, for 2 yards loss to the LOU24 (#3 T.Bush Jr.)Similar
Q1 9:06
3RD & 8
OWN 24
+11
87.6%
(09:17) Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass complete short right to #86 J.Stewart caught at LOU30, for 11 yards to the LOU35 (#46 A.Hampton), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
87.6%
(08:43) Shotgun #22 K.Brown rush middle for 9 yards gain to the LOU44 (#41 L.Ferrelli; #46 A.Hampton)Similar
Q1 7:59
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+4
87.7%
(08:02) Shotgun #22 K.Brown rush right for 4 yards gain to the LOU48 (#5 H.Masses), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
87.5%
(07:27) #7 M.Moss pass incomplete short left to #88 J.Skinner thrown to CAL34Similar
Q1 7:14
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+4
87.4%
(07:19) Shotgun #26 D.Watson rush middle for 4 yards gain to the CAL48 (#46 A.Hampton)Similar
Q1 6:25
3RD & 6
OPP 48
+40
87.2%
(06:33) Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass complete deep middle to #5 C.Lacy caught at CAL26, for 40 yards to the CAL08 (#5 H.Masses), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
87.2%
(05:51) Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass complete short middle to #0 C.Bell caught at CAL06, for 7 yards to the CAL01 (#5 H.Masses)Similar
Q1 5:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
88.6%
(05:11) #26 D.Watson rush right for 1 yard gain to the CAL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:11 #36 C.Ranvier kick attempt good (H: #93 D.Chapeau, LS: #48 S.Kochav)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:5012% → 12%
Q1 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
88.1%
(05:10) Shotgun #1 K.Raphael rush right for 5 yards gain to the CAL30 (#34 T.Quinn; #27 J.Evans Jr.)Similar
Q1 4:30
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
87.9%
(04:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass incomplete short middle to #7 T.Grizzell thrown to CAL32 QB hurried by #45 D.Lowry. The previous play is under automatic review - "Incomplete pass". CALL UPHELDSimilar
Q1 4:23
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
88.0%
(04:28) Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass incomplete deep left to #21 J.De Jesus thrown to LOU50 broken up by #21 D.HutchinsonSimilar
Q1 4:13
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
88.2%
(04:22) #40 B.Honore Jr. punt 39 yards to the LOU31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:2188% → 87%
Q1 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
88.1%
(04:11) Shotgun #22 K.Brown rush middle for 3 yards gain to the LOU34 (#47 A.Keanaaina)Similar
Q1 3:27
2ND & 7
OWN 34
-1
88.0%
(03:37) #7 M.Moss pass complete short left to #88 J.Skinner caught at LOU33, for 1 yard loss to the LOU33 (#7 H.Taggart)Similar
Q1 2:53
3RD & 8
OWN 33
0
87.7%
(02:57) Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass incomplete short right to #0 C.Bell thrown to LOU40 QB hurried by #16 C.VictorSimilar
Q1 2:47
4TH & 8
OWN 33
0
87.4%
(02:53) #93 D.Chapeau punt 41 yards to the CAL26 fair catch by #21 J.De Jesus at CAL26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 5TD
6 plays · 74 yds · 2:0112% → 17%
Q1 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
87.6%
(02:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass complete short right to #21 J.De Jesus caught at CAL24, for 6 yards to the CAL32 (#50 C.Lubin), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 2:19
2ND & 4
OWN 32
0
87.3%
(02:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass incomplete short middle to #10 J.Dixon-Veal thrown to CAL40 broken up by #99 J.GueradSimilar
Q1 2:07
3RD & 4
OWN 32
+8
87.4%
(02:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass complete short right to #15 M.Hamper caught at CAL39, for 8 yards to the CAL40 (#50 C.Lubin), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+39
87.0%
(01:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass complete deep middle to #18 Q.Adams caught at LOU30, for 39 yards to the LOU21 (#50 C.Lubin), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
86.2%
(01:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass complete short right to #1 K.Raphael caught at LOU24, for 1 yard to the LOU20 (#12 K.Perry)Similar
Q1 0:40
2ND & 9
OPP 20
+20
83.3%
(00:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass complete short right to #81 L.Morris caught at LOU02, for 20 yards to the LOU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:40, 1ST DOWN #91 C.Meyer kick attempt good (H: #40 B.Honore Jr., LS: #39 R.Monteforte)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 6FG
17 plays · 67 yds · 4:2785% → 84%
Q1 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+10
84.8%
(00:28) Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass complete short middle to #0 C.Bell caught at LOU26, for 10 yards to the LOU31 (#5 H.Masses), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
84.7%
(14:58) Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass incomplete short left to #0 C.Bell thrown to LOU35 broken up by #5 H.MassesSimilar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
84.6%
(14:53) Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass incomplete short right to #0 C.Bell thrown to LOU46 broken up by #4 B.AustinSimilar
Q2 14:40
3RD & 10
OWN 31
+9
84.1%
(14:48) Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass complete short middle to #0 C.Bell caught at LOU34, for 9 yards to the LOU40 (#20 C.Sidney)Similar
Q2 13:58
4TH & 1
OWN 40
+2
84.2%
(14:04) #7 M.Moss rush middle for 2 yards gain to the LOU42 (#2 D.Polidore Jr.; #95 T.Ford), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+19
84.5%
(13:23) Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass complete short middle to #7 M.Moss caught at LOU37, for 19 yards to the CAL39 (#20 C.Sidney), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:33
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
84.7%
(12:34) Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass incomplete short left to #3 D.Collins thrown to CAL20Similar
Q2 12:22
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+21
84.6%
(12:31) Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass complete short middle to #3 D.Collins caught at CAL25, for 21 yards to the CAL18 (#20 C.Sidney; #2 D.Polidore Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
84.7%
(11:50) Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass incomplete short right to #22 K.Brown thrown to CAL10 broken up by #2 D.Polidore Jr.Similar
Q2 11:40
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+6
84.7%
(11:45) Shotgun #22 K.Brown rush middle for 6 yards gain to the CAL12 (#2 D.Polidore Jr.)Similar
Q2 11:05
3RD & 4
OPP 12
0
84.1%
(11:07) Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass incomplete short middle to #0 C.Bell thrown to CAL11 broken up by #96 D.WilkinsSimilar
Q2 11:01
4TH & 4
OPP 12
+30
84.1%
(11:01) #36 C.Ranvier field goal attempt from 30 yards GOOD (H: #93 D.Chapeau, LS: #48 S.Kochav), clock 11:01Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 7FG
11 plays · 65 yds · 4:5316% → 22%
Q2 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+25
84.0%
(11:00) Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass complete short left to #21 J.De Jesus caught at CAL40, for 25 yards to the CAL50 (#24 C.Gordon), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:18
1ST & 10
50
+24
82.6%
(10:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Raphael rush middle for 24 yards gain to the LOU26 (#24 C.Gordon), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
81.6%
(09:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Raphael rush middle for 5 yards gain to the LOU21 (#23 W.Bailey)Similar
Q2 8:58
2ND & 5
OPP 21
-4
81.3%
(09:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass complete short left to #1 K.Raphael caught at LOU25, for 4 yards loss to the LOU25 (#50 C.Lubin)Similar
Q2 8:21
3RD & 9
OPP 25
+20
81.6%
(08:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass complete short middle to #82 C.Boscia caught at LOU20, for 20 yards to the LOU05 (#24 C.Gordon), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
80.9%
(07:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele rush left for 0 yards to the LOU05 (#50 C.Lubin), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 7:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
80.6%
(07:12) #1 K.Raphael rush middle for 0 yards to the LOU05 (#50 C.Lubin)Similar
Q2 6:28
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
80.8%
PENALTY CAL False Start (#77 B.Miller) 5 yards from LOU05 to LOU10. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 6:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
80.9%
(06:01) Shotgun #21 J.De Jesus pass incomplete short middle to #15 M.Hamper thrown to LOU00 broken up by #21 D.HutchinsonSimilar
Q2 5:58
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+27
78.4%
(05:58) #91 C.Meyer field goal attempt from 27 yards GOOD (H: #40 B.Honore Jr., LS: #39 R.Monteforte), clock 05:58Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 8FG
10 plays · 44 yds · 3:2381% → 81%
Q2 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
80.9%
(05:57) Shotgun #22 K.Brown rush middle for 3 yards gain to the LOU28 (#96 D.Wilkins) PENALTY LOU Illegal Formation 5 yards from LOU25 to LOU20. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 5:35
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+8
80.6%
(05:41) Shotgun #22 K.Brown rush right for 8 yards gain to the LOU28 (#46 A.Hampton)Similar
Q2 4:53
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
80.5%
(04:58) Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass complete short middle to #0 C.Bell caught at LOU30, for 6 yards to the LOU34 (#41 L.Ferrelli; #46 A.Hampton)Similar
Q2 4:24
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+35
80.4%
(04:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 K.Brown rush left for 35 yards gain to the CAL31 (#5 H.Masses; #8 J.Wagoner), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
82.2%
(04:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 K.Brown rush middle for 5 yards gain to the CAL26 (#10 J.Wayne)Similar
Q2 3:03
2ND & 5
OPP 26
-5
81.8%
(03:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Moss rush middle for 5 yards loss to the CAL31 fumbled by #7 M.Moss at CAL26 recovered by LOU #7 M.Moss at CAL31, End Of PlaySimilar
Q2 2:39
3RD & 10
OPP 31
0
80.4%
(02:45) Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass incomplete deep left to #5 C.Lacy thrown to CAL10Similar
Q2 2:34
4TH & 10
OPP 31
+49
80.6%
(02:34) #36 C.Ranvier field goal attempt from 49 yards GOOD (H: #93 D.Chapeau, LS: #48 S.Kochav), clock 02:34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 9TD
15 plays · 73 yds · 2:2019% → 33%
Q2 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
80.6%
(02:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Raphael rush middle for 4 yards gain to the CAL29 (#95 J.Lawson)Similar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+9
80.0%
(01:59) Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass complete short right to #21 J.De Jesus caught at CAL35, for 9 yards to the CAL38 (#27 J.Evans Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+21
79.3%
(01:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass complete deep right to #21 J.De Jesus caught at LOU41, for 21 yards to the LOU41 (#12 K.Perry), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
77.8%
(01:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Raphael rush middle for 13 yards gain to the LOU28 (#50 C.Lubin) PENALTY CAL Illegal Formation 5 yards from LOU41 to LOU46. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 1:16
1ST & 15
OPP 46
-2
78.4%
(01:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele sacked for loss of 2 yards to the LOU48 (#99 J.Guerad)Similar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 17
OPP 48
+15
78.7%
(00:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass incomplete deep left to #7 T.Grizzell thrown to LOU20 PENALTY LOU Pass Interference (#25 T.Holloway) 15 yards from LOU48 to LOU33, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
76.2%
(00:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass incomplete short left to #86 J.Johnson thrown to LOU14 broken up by #25 T.HollowaySimilar
Q2 0:23
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+23
76.8%
(00:30) Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass complete short middle to #1 K.Raphael caught at LOU28, for 23 yards to the LOU10 (#24 C.Gordon), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
76.3%
(00:19) Shotgun #1 K.Raphael rush middle for 3 yards gain to the LOU07 (#24 C.Gordon)Similar
Q2 0:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
77.7%
(00:15) Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass complete short right to #21 J.De Jesus caught at LOU09, for 5 yards to the LOU02 (#9 A.Watts), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 0:07
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
66.6%
(00:10) #1 K.Raphael rush middle for 2 yards gain to the LOU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:07, 1ST DOWN #91 C.Meyer kick attempt good (H: #40 B.Honore Jr., LS: #39 R.Monteforte)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 10END OF HALF
3 plays · 18 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+18
70.4%
(00:01) Shotgun #22 K.Brown rush left for 18 yards gain to the CAL48 (#41 L.Ferrelli), 1ST DOWNSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 11INT
3 plays · -8 yds · 0:4972% → 71%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-8
71.7%
(14:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 D.Watson rush right for 8 yards loss to the LOU17 (#41 L.Ferrelli)Similar
Q3 14:06
2ND & 18
OWN 17
0
70.7%
(14:11) Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass intercepted by #5 H.Masses at LOU37, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 12FG
6 plays · 10 yds · 2:2833% → 40%
Q3 14:02
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
67.3%
(14:04) Shotgun #1 K.Raphael rush middle for 1 yard gain to the LOU36 (#45 D.Lowry; #34 T.Quinn)Similar
Q3 13:21
2ND & 9
OPP 36
+12
66.7%
(13:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass complete short middle to #15 M.Hamper caught at LOU30, for 12 yards to the LOU24 (#50 C.Lubin; #9 A.Watts), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
65.3%
(12:58) Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass incomplete deep right to #21 J.De Jesus thrown to LOU03Similar
Q3 12:42
2ND & 10
OPP 24
-3
65.3%
(12:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass complete short left to #21 J.De Jesus caught at LOU28, for 3 yards loss to the LOU27 (#9 A.Watts)Similar
Q3 12:12
3RD & 13
OPP 27
0
67.2%
(12:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass incomplete short middle to #21 J.De Jesus thrown to LOU13. The previous play is under automatic review - "Incomplete pass". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (12:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass complete short middle to #21 J.De Jesus caught at LOU13, for 14 yards to the LOU13 (#25 T.Holloway), 1ST DOWN)Similar
Q3 11:34
4TH & 13
OPP 27
+45
59.8%
(11:38) #91 C.Meyer field goal attempt from 45 yards GOOD (H: #40 B.Honore Jr., LS: #39 R.Monteforte), clock 11:34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 13TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:4361% → 78%
Q3 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
60.9%
(11:31) Shotgun #22 K.Brown rush left for 0 yards to the LOU25 (#5 H.Masses)Similar
Q3 10:38
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-4
59.8%
(10:56) Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass complete short middle to #7 M.Moss caught at LOU18, for 4 yards loss to the LOU21 (#20 C.Sidney)Similar
Q3 10:11
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+13
57.8%
(10:19) Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass complete short right to #0 C.Bell caught at LOU20, for 13 yards to the LOU34 (#41 L.Ferrelli) PENALTY CAL Roughing The Passer (#19 O.Okaka) 15 yards from LOU34 to LOU49, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
62.5%
(10:04) #22 K.Brown rush middle for 7 yards gain to the CAL44 (#19 O.Okaka)Similar
Q3 9:25
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+7
62.7%
(09:29) Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass complete short right to #5 C.Lacy caught at CAL41, for 7 yards to the CAL37 (#2 D.Polidore Jr.), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY CAL Personal Foul (#2 D.Polidore Jr.) 15 yards from CAL37 to CAL22, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:04
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+21
63.8%
(09:09) Shotgun #22 K.Brown rush right for 21 yards gain to the CAL01 (#46 A.Hampton; #20 C.Sidney), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
63.1%
(08:27) #7 M.Moss rush middle for 0 yards to the CAL01 (#97 M.Okwura)Similar
Q3 7:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
77.5%
(07:44) #7 M.Moss rush middle for 1 yard gain to the CAL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:43 #36 C.Ranvier kick attempt good (H: #93 D.Chapeau, LS: #48 S.Kochav)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 14FG
17 plays · 67 yds · 7:1329% → 44%
Q3 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
70.8%
(07:40) #18 Q.Adams rush left for 8 yards gain to the CAL33 (#4 J.Mack), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 7:07
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
68.6%
(07:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass incomplete short middle to #1 K.Raphael thrown to CAL37 QB hurried by #23 W.BaileySimilar
Q3 6:55
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+10
69.6%
(07:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass complete short middle to #7 T.Grizzell caught at CAL36, for 10 yards to the CAL43 (#27 J.Evans Jr.; #4 J.Mack), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
67.3%
(06:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Raphael rush middle for 3 yards gain to the CAL46 (#17 A.Green; #12 K.Perry)Similar
Q3 5:37
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+8
66.4%
(05:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass complete short right to #21 J.De Jesus caught at LOU47, for 8 yards to the LOU46 (#25 T.Holloway), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
65.4%
PENALTY CAL False Start (#77 B.Miller) 5 yards from LOU46 to CAL49. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 4:46
1ST & 15
OWN 49
+7
66.6%
(04:50) Shotgun #1 K.Raphael rush middle for 7 yards gain to the LOU44 (#34 T.Quinn; #27 J.Evans Jr.)Similar
Q3 4:09
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+5
64.1%
(04:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass complete short middle to #21 J.De Jesus caught at LOU39, for 5 yards to the LOU39 (#34 T.Quinn)Similar
Q3 3:50
3RD & 3
OPP 39
+5
63.7%
PENALTY CAL False Start (#81 L.Morris) 5 yards from LOU39 to LOU44. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 3:15
3RD & 8
OPP 44
+21
63.8%
(03:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass complete deep left to #21 J.De Jesus caught at LOU23, for 21 yards to the LOU23 (#21 D.Hutchinson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:42
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+13
53.1%
(02:42) No Huddle #3 J.Sagapolutele pass complete short left to #81 L.Morris caught at LOU10, for 13 yards to the LOU10, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
52.3%
(02:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass complete short left to #21 J.De Jesus caught at LOU10, for 4 yards to the LOU06 (#34 T.Quinn)Similar
Q3 1:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
51.8%
(01:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Raphael rush middle for 3 yards gain to the LOU03 (#50 C.Lubin)Similar
Q3 1:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
53.0%
(01:08) No Huddle #1 K.Raphael rush left for 0 yards to the LOU03 (#25 T.Holloway)Similar
Q3 0:28
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+5
55.0%
PENALTY CAL False Start (#81 L.Morris) 5 yards from LOU03 to LOU08. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 0:23
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+26
55.7%
(00:25) #91 C.Meyer field goal attempt from 26 yards GOOD (H: #40 B.Honore Jr., LS: #39 R.Monteforte), clock 00:23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 15FG
12 plays · 63 yds · 4:0459% → 68%
Q3 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
59.0%
(00:12) Shotgun #26 D.Watson rush middle for 5 yards gain to the LOU21 (#94 S.Saole-McKenzie)Similar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 5
OWN 21
+4
59.0%
(14:58) #7 M.Moss rush right for 4 yards gain to the LOU25 (#2 D.Polidore Jr.)Similar
Q4 14:02
3RD & 1
OWN 25
+37
57.1%
(14:10) Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass complete deep right to #85 N.Kurisky caught at LOU45, for 37 yards to the CAL38 (#2 D.Polidore Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
62.8%
(13:27) Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass incomplete deep left to #3 D.Collins thrown to CAL15Similar
Q4 13:17
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+9
62.5%
(13:21) Shotgun #26 D.Watson rush middle for 9 yards gain to the CAL29 (#2 D.Polidore Jr.)Similar
Q4 12:55
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+3
62.0%
(12:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 D.Watson rush middle for 3 yards gain to the CAL26 (#55 B.Canady), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
62.7%
(12:21) Shotgun #26 D.Watson rush middle for 0 yards to the CAL26 (#47 A.Keanaaina)Similar
Q4 11:37
2ND & 10
OPP 26
0
62.0%
(11:42) Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass incomplete short left to #3 D.Collins thrown to CAL09. The previous play is under automatic review - "Incomplete pass". CALL UPHELDSimilar
Q4 11:27
3RD & 10
OPP 26
+5
58.7%
(11:29) Shotgun #22 K.Brown rush middle for 5 yards gain to the CAL21 (#16 C.Victor; #7 H.Taggart)Similar
Q4 11:08
4TH & 5
OPP 21
+39
67.5%
(11:08) #36 C.Ranvier field goal attempt from 39 yards GOOD (H: #93 D.Chapeau, LS: #48 S.Kochav), clock 11:08Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:4339% → 36%
Q4 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
61.4%
(11:05) Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass incomplete deep right to #21 J.De Jesus thrown to CAL45Similar
Q4 10:54
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
61.6%
(11:01) Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass complete short left to #21 J.De Jesus caught at CAL20, for 1 yard to the CAL26 (#34 T.Quinn), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 10:26
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
62.5%
(10:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass incomplete short left to #81 L.Morris thrown to CAL37 QB hurried by #21 D.HutchinsonSimilar
Q4 10:20
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
64.4%
(10:24) #40 B.Honore Jr. punt 34 yards to the LOU40, out of bounds at LOU40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 2:2868% → 61%
Q4 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
68.2%
(10:16) Shotgun #22 K.Brown rush middle for 6 yards gain to the LOU46 (#10 J.Wayne)Similar
Q4 9:41
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+10
69.3%
(09:41) Shotgun #22 K.Brown rush middle for 6 yards gain to the CAL48 (#7 H.Taggart; #2 D.Polidore Jr.) PENALTY LOU Holding (#70 T.Sylvester) 10 yards from LOU46 to LOU36. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 9:05
2ND & 14
OWN 36
-6
64.7%
(09:12) Shotgun #7 M.Moss sacked for loss of 6 yards to the LOU30 (#3 T.Bush Jr.)Similar
Q4 8:22
3RD & 20
OWN 30
+10
61.3%
(08:31) Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass complete short left to #5 C.Lacy caught at LOU26, for 10 yards to the LOU40 (#7 H.Taggart), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 7:46
4TH & 10
OWN 40
0
60.9%
(07:51) #93 D.Chapeau punt 41 yards to the CAL19 fair catch by #21 J.De Jesus at CAL19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:2141% → 41%
Q4 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
58.9%
(07:44) Shotgun #1 K.Raphael rush middle for 5 yards gain to the CAL24 (#7 R.Johnson)Similar
Q4 7:13
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+3
56.8%
(07:16) Shotgun #1 K.Raphael rush middle for 3 yards gain to the CAL27 (#9 A.Watts)Similar
Q4 6:35
3RD & 2
OWN 27
0
56.9%
(06:40) Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass incomplete short right to #15 M.Hamper thrown to CAL35Similar
Q4 6:20
4TH & 2
OWN 27
0
59.5%
(06:34) #40 B.Honore Jr. punt 40 yards to the LOU33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 2:3763% → 60%
Q4 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
63.1%
(06:15) Shotgun #26 D.Watson rush middle for 5 yards gain to the LOU38 (#2 D.Polidore Jr.; #47 A.Keanaaina)Similar
Q4 5:25
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+4
65.9%
(05:40) Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass complete short middle to #85 N.Kurisky caught at LOU42, for 4 yards to the LOU42 (#41 L.Ferrelli)Similar
Q4 4:54
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+2
64.7%
(04:57) #7 M.Moss rush middle for 2 yards gain to the LOU44 (#10 J.Wayne), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
65.6%
(04:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass incomplete short right to #85 N.Kurisky thrown to LOU47 broken up by #96 D.WilkinsSimilar
Q4 4:13
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+4
63.8%
(04:30) Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass complete short middle to #3 D.Collins caught at LOU47, for 4 yards to the LOU48 (#41 L.Ferrelli; #2 D.Polidore Jr.)Similar
Q4 3:45
3RD & 6
OWN 48
0
63.8%
(03:52) Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass incomplete deep left to #3 D.Collins thrown to CAL32 broken up by #4 B.Austin QB hurried by #41 L.FerrelliSimilar
Q4 3:36
4TH & 6
OWN 48
0
60.3%
(03:43) #93 D.Chapeau punt 49 yards to the CAL03, out of bounds at CAL03Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 32 yds · 2:2245% → 49%
Q4 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+5
54.6%
(03:34) Shotgun #1 K.Raphael rush middle for 5 yards gain to the CAL08 (#11 T.Capers)Similar
Q4 2:57
2ND & 5
OWN 8
+24
54.6%
(03:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass complete deep left to #21 J.De Jesus caught at CAL32, for 24 yards to the CAL32, out of bounds at CAL32, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
51.2%
(02:24) #3 J.Sagapolutele pass incomplete short left to #82 C.Boscia thrown to CAL32 broken up by #27 J.Evans Jr.Similar
Q4 2:12
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+3
51.8%
(02:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass complete short right to #4 J.King caught at CAL30, for 3 yards to the CAL35 (#21 D.Hutchinson)Similar
Q4 1:44
3RD & 7
OWN 35
+3
50.3%
(01:59) Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass complete short right to #15 M.Hamper caught at CAL34, for 3 yards to the CAL38 (#50 C.Lubin)Similar
Q4 1:09
4TH & 4
OWN 38
0
50.8%
(01:13) #40 B.Honore Jr. punt 37 yards to the LOU25, out of bounds at LOU25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:2758% → 53%
Q4 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
57.6%
(01:07) Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass incomplete short middle to #0 C.Bell thrown to LOU32Similar
Q4 0:56
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
56.9%
(01:05) Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass complete short right to #22 K.Brown caught at LOU23, for 5 yards to the LOU30 (#96 D.Wilkins)Similar
Q4 0:53
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
56.4%
(00:56) Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass incomplete short middle to #5 C.Lacy thrown to LOU42Similar
Q4 0:40
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
52.7%
(00:51) #93 D.Chapeau punt 32 yards to the CAL38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · -6 yds · 0:1253% → 44%
Q4 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-6
47.2%
(00:39) Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele sacked for loss of 6 yards to the CAL32 (#23 W.Bailey)Similar
Q4 0:32
2ND & 16
OWN 32
0
53.1%
(00:34) Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass incomplete short right to #7 T.Grizzell thrown to CAL40 broken up by #90 R.KongaSimilar
Q4 0:29
3RD & 16
OWN 32
0
54.8%
(00:32) Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass incomplete short middle to #21 J.De Jesus thrown to CAL44Similar
Q4 0:23
4TH & 16
OWN 32
0
56.2%
(00:25) #40 B.Honore Jr. punt 18 yards to the CAL50, out of bounds at LOU50Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 23END OF HALF
6 plays · -2 yds · 0:1464% → 55%
Q4 0:15
1ST & 10
50
-5
63.8%
(00:21) Shotgun #7 M.Moss sacked for loss of 5 yards to the LOU45 (#47 A.Keanaaina)Similar
Q4 0:06
2ND & 15
OWN 45
+3
58.2%
(00:14) Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass complete short middle to #5 C.Lacy caught at LOU43, for 3 yards to the LOU48 (#17 J.Sanford)Similar
Q4 0:01
3RD & 12
OWN 48
0
57.6%
(00:01) Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass incomplete, SpikeSimilar
Q4 0:01
4TH & 12
OWN 48
0
54.5%
Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass incomplete deep left to #14 K.Hughes thrown to CAL30 QB hurried by #10 J.Wayne, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 24FG
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:0066% → 79%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
65.6%
(00:00) #22 K.Brown rush middle for 9 yards gain to the CAL16 (#2 D.Polidore Jr.)Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 1
OPP 16
+15
65.6%
(00:00) #22 K.Brown rush middle for 2 yards gain to the CAL14 (#41 L.Ferrelli) PENALTY LOU Block Below Waist (#85 N.Kurisky) 15 yards from CAL16 to CAL31. NO PLAYSimilar
OT 0:00
2ND & 16
OPP 31
0
61.9%
(00:00) Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass incomplete short middle to #85 N.Kurisky thrown to CAL34 QB hurried by #3 T.Bush Jr.Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 16
OPP 31
0
59.1%
(00:00) Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass incomplete short middle to #15 A.Meeks thrown to CAL20 broken up by #4 B.AustinSimilar
OT 0:00
4TH & 16
OPP 31
+49
78.7%
Cooper Ranvier 49 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 25TD
7 plays · 25 yds · 0:0029% → 72%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
71.4%
(00:00) Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass incomplete short left to #21 J.De Jesus thrown to LOU20Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+8
73.4%
(00:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass complete short right to #1 K.Raphael caught at LOU28, for 8 yards to the LOU17 (#11 T.Capers), out of boundsSimilar
OT 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 17
+9
75.0%
(00:00) #3 J.Sagapolutele pass complete short left to #1 K.Raphael caught at LOU17, for 9 yards to the LOU08 (#9 A.Watts), 1ST DOWNSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
71.4%
(00:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Raphael rush middle for 2 yards gain to the LOU06 (#90 R.Konga; #34 T.Quinn)Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
71.4%
(00:00) Shotgun #1 K.Raphael rush middle for 2 yards gain to the LOU04 (#23 W.Bailey)Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
75.2%
(00:00) #21 J.De Jesus rush middle for 1 yard gain to the LOU03 (#50 C.Lubin)Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
28.2%
Jacob De Jesus 3 Yd pass from Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · OT 0:00
Jacob De Jesus 3 Yd pass from Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele
-47
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-28.2
FG · OT 0:00
Cooper Ranvier 49 Yd Field Goal
+19.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com