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WAKE

Wake Forest 7 at Florida State 42

FSU
2025 · Week 10 · Nov 1, 2025 · Doak Campbell Stadium
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Win probability · FSU
modelFSU aheadWAKE aheadconfidence bandkey playFSU scoreWAKE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 3:21 · (03:25) Shotgun #1 D.Claiborne rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WFU36 (#20 B.Nichelson), 1ST DOWN
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 107Home team on offense+25.0Pregame prior+10.1Score differential+16.6Blowout margin+0.7Garbage-time factor+5.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:44: (13:48) #1 T.Castellanos rush right for 6 yards gain to the WFU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:44, 1ST DOWN #22 J.Weinberg kick attempt good (H: #43 M.Chiumento, LS: #32 M.Arnold) — FSU win probability +3.0 pts (now 81%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:57: (01:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 S.Singleton Jr. rush middle for 10 yards gain to the WFU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:57, 1ST DOWN #22 J.Weinberg kick attempt good (H: #43 M.Chiumento, LS: #32 M.Arnold) — FSU win probability +7.1 pts (now 89%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 8:18: (08:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 S.Singleton Jr. rush middle for 5 yards gain to the WFU42 (#42 T.Walton; #8 J.Loving) — FSU win probability +3.9 pts (now 89%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:59: (05:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 G.Sawchuk rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WFU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:59 #22 J.Weinberg kick attempt good (H: #43 M.Chiumento, LS: #32 M.Arnold) — FSU win probability +6.8 pts (now 98%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 1:45: (01:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 G.Sawchuk rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WFU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:45. #5 D.Patterson injured on the play #22 J.Weinberg kick attempt good (H: #43 M.Chiumento, LS: #32 M.Arnold) — FSU win probability +1.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4WAKE made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 11:02WAKE 4th & 11 at WAKE 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.4%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:58FSU 4th & 13 at FSU 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.0%−0.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:49WAKE 4th & 5 at FSU 43, tied
    Close callPunted · 24.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.4%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    24.0%−0.3
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    24.2%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:05WAKE 4th & 6 at WAKE 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.7%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:44FSU 4th & 22 at FSU 37, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.1%−1.6
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:26WAKE 4th & 8 at WAKE 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.1%−0.6
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.7%
    average punt
  7. Q3 9:58FSU 4th & 1 at WAKE 46, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    86.3%−3.1
    23% to make
    Punt
    87.6%−1.8
    average punt
  8. Q3 3:21WAKE 4th & 1 at WAKE 34, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.8%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 2:09WAKE 4th & 5 at WAKE 41, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.5%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.7%
    average punt
  10. Q4 13:35WAKE 4th & 8 at WAKE 38, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  11. Q4 9:34WAKE 4th & 6 at WAKE 36, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:02FSU 4th & 4 at WAKE 40, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    34% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:24WAKE 4th & 1 at WAKE 49, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6WAKE made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 13:44FSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:57FSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 4:59FSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 1:45FSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:54FSU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:51FSU Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 6:49WAKE Touchdown, down 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WAKEDrive 1PUNT
10 plays · 23 yds · 3:5019% → 20%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
80.7%
(14:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 R.Ashford rush right for 9 yards gain to the WFU34 (#27 A.Barker)Similar
Q1 14:29
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
80.6%
(14:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 R.Ashford rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WFU37 (#0 E.Little Jr.; #6 D.Jackson Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
80.4%
(13:57) Shotgun #2 R.Ashford pass complete short right to #10 C.Barnes caught at WFU35, for 7 yards to the WFU44 (#44 J.Jones; #0 E.Little Jr.)Similar
Q1 12:34
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+5
79.9%
(13:16) Shotgun #1 D.Claiborne rush left for 5 yards gain to the WFU49 (#0 E.Little Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-1
79.8%
(12:34) Shotgun #2 R.Ashford rush left for 1 yard loss to the WFU48 fumbled by #2 R.Ashford at WFU48 recovered by WFU #2 R.Ashford at WFU48, End Of PlaySimilar
Q1 11:42
2ND & 11
OWN 48
0
79.8%
(11:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 R.Ashford pass incomplete short middle to #7 M.Mays Jr. thrown to FSU40Similar
Q1 11:38
3RD & 11
OWN 48
0
79.9%
(11:44) Shotgun #1 D.Claiborne rush middle for 0 yards to the WFU48 (#44 J.Jones)Similar
Q1 11:02
4TH & 11
OWN 48
0
79.8%
(11:03) #91 C.Joseph punt 32 yards to the FSU20 fair catch by #4 S.White at FSU20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 2:5380% → 79%
Q1 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
79.7%
(11:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 S.Singleton Jr. rush middle for 9 yards gain to the FSU29 (#24 D.Hazen; #45 N.Andersen)Similar
Q1 10:33
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+1
79.8%
(10:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 S.Singleton Jr. rush middle for 1 yard gain to the FSU30 (#45 N.Andersen; #8 J.Loving), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
79.6%
PENALTY FSU False Start (#7 L.McCoy) 5 yards from FSU30 to FSU25. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 9:49
1ST & 15
OWN 25
-2
79.4%
(09:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 S.Singleton Jr. rush left for 2 yards loss to the FSU23 (#5 D.Patterson)Similar
Q1 9:11
2ND & 17
OWN 23
0
79.2%
(09:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Lucas rush middle for 0 yards to the FSU23 (#24 D.Hazen; #94 Z.Lohavichan)Similar
Q1 8:44
3RD & 17
OWN 23
+4
79.0%
(08:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass complete short left to #0 D.Robinson caught at FSU22, for 4 yards to the FSU27 (#45 N.Andersen)Similar
Q1 7:58
4TH & 13
OWN 27
0
78.6%
(08:07) #43 M.Chiumento punt 55 yards to the WFU18 fair catch by #8 C.Hernandez at WFU18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 3PUNT
13 plays · 39 yds · 6:0421% → 24%
Q1 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
78.8%
(07:56) #1 D.Claiborne rush left for 2 yards gain to the WFU20 (#9 O.Graham Jr.)Similar
Q1 7:13
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+3
78.5%
(07:18) Shotgun #1 D.Claiborne rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WFU23 (#9 O.Graham Jr.)Similar
Q1 6:29
3RD & 5
OWN 23
+8
78.5%
(06:36) Shotgun #2 R.Ashford rush right for 8 yards gain to the WFU31, out of bounds at WFU31, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
78.1%
PENALTY WFU False Start (#71 M.Siani) 5 yards from WFU31 to WFU26. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 5:43
1ST & 15
OWN 26
+16
78.1%
(05:50) Shotgun #2 R.Ashford pass complete short right to #1 D.Claiborne caught at WFU18, for 16 yards to the WFU42 (#1 S.Brown), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
77.6%
(05:40) Shotgun #2 R.Ashford pass complete short right to #10 C.Barnes caught at WFU38, for 0 yards to the WFU42 (#11 J.Rawls)Similar
Q1 4:53
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+5
77.5%
(05:00) Shotgun #2 R.Ashford pass complete short right to #7 M.Mays Jr. caught at WFU43, for 5 yards to the WFU47 (#0 E.Little Jr.; #1 S.Brown)Similar
Q1 3:59
3RD & 5
OWN 47
+20
76.9%
(04:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 R.Ashford rush middle for 20 yards gain to the FSU33 fumbled by #2 R.Ashford at FSU36 forced by #0 E.Little Jr. recovered by WFU #2 R.Ashford at FSU33, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY WFU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (#7 M.Mays Jr.) 15 yards from FSU33 to FSU48Similar
Q1 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
76.6%
(03:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 D.Claiborne rush middle for 25 yards gain (3) to the FSU23 (#11 J.Rawls) PENALTY WFU Holding (#71 M.Siani) 10 yards from FSU45 to WFU45Similar
Q1 3:14
1ST & 17
OWN 45
+3
77.0%
(03:18) Shotgun #2 R.Ashford rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WFU48 (#28 J.Cryer)Similar
Q1 2:36
2ND & 14
OWN 48
+9
76.5%
(02:43) Shotgun #2 R.Ashford pass complete short left to #7 M.Mays Jr. caught at WFU50, for 9 yards to the FSU43 (#11 J.Rawls)Similar
Q1 1:55
3RD & 5
OPP 43
0
75.7%
(02:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 R.Ashford pass incomplete short left to #4 S.Berkhalter thrown to FSU35 QB hurried by #28 J.CryerSimilar
Q1 1:49
4TH & 5
OPP 43
0
76.1%
(01:55) #91 C.Joseph punt 43 yards to the FSU00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 4TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 2:5877% → 81%
Q1 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
77.4%
(01:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos rush left for 5 yards gain to the FSU25, End Of PlaySimilar
Q1 1:08
2ND & 5
OWN 25
-1
77.4%
(01:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos rush middle for 1 yard loss to the FSU24 (#94 Z.Lohavichan)Similar
Q1 0:26
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+65
76.6%
(00:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass complete deep left to #0 D.Robinson caught at FSU48, for 65 yards to the WFU11 (#23 B.Johnson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
78.5%
(00:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #32 O.Kromah rush left for 4 yards gain to the WFU07 (#45 N.Andersen) PENALTY WFU Illegal Substitution 5 yards from WFU11 to WFU06. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 5
OPP 6
-1
78.4%
(14:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 G.Sawchuk rush middle for 1 yard loss to the WFU07 (#8 J.Loving)Similar
Q2 14:16
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+1
78.3%
(14:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 G.Sawchuk rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WFU06 (#8 J.Loving; #9 Q.Bryant)Similar
Q2 13:44
3RD & 5
OPP 6
+6
81.3%
(13:48) #1 T.Castellanos rush right for 6 yards gain to the WFU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:44, 1ST DOWN #22 J.Weinberg kick attempt good (H: #43 M.Chiumento, LS: #32 M.Arnold)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 4 yds · 2:3720% → 19%
Q2 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
80.3%
(13:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 D.Claiborne rush right for 53 yards gain to the FSU22, End Of Play PENALTY WFU Holding (#7 M.Mays Jr.) 10 yards from WFU25 to WFU15. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 13:11
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+13
80.4%
(13:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 R.Ashford pass complete short middle to #7 M.Mays Jr. caught at WFU26, for 13 yards to the WFU28 (#0 E.Little Jr.)Similar
Q2 12:40
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
80.2%
(12:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 R.Ashford rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WFU30 (#40 A.Williams)Similar
Q2 11:50
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+4
80.4%
(12:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 R.Ashford pass complete short left to #10 C.Barnes caught at WFU25, for 4 yards to the WFU34 fumbled by #10 C.Barnes at WFU34 forced by #3 E.Joseph recovered by WFU #12 K.Johnson at WFU34, End Of PlaySimilar
Q2 11:27
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+5
80.4%
PENALTY WFU False Start (#73 G.Steih) 5 yards from WFU34 to WFU29. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 11:05
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
80.9%
(11:11) #91 C.Joseph punt 48 yards to the FSU23 fair catch by #4 S.White at FSU23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 14 yds · 3:1681% → 80%
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
80.6%
(11:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass incomplete deep middle to #0 D.Robinson thrown to FSU48 broken up by #23 B.JohnsonSimilar
Q2 10:47
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+2
80.5%
(10:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass complete short left to #13 R.Pittman Jr. caught at FSU19, for 2 yards to the FSU25 (#5 D.Patterson; #10 G.Kirschke)Similar
Q2 10:16
3RD & 8
OWN 25
+12
80.1%
(10:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass complete short right to #32 O.Kromah caught at FSU19, for 12 yards to the FSU37 (#17 Z.Stevenson; #3 K.Prunty), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+12
81.1%
(10:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass complete short right to #7 L.McCoy caught at FSU44, for 12 yards to the FSU49 (#3 K.Prunty; #43 F.Cusano), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
81.7%
(09:16) #12 J.Lucas rush left for 10 yards gain (6) to the WFU41, out of bounds at WFU41 PENALTY FSU Holding (#0 D.Robinson) 10 yards from WFU45 to FSU45Similar
Q2 8:50
1ST & 14
OWN 45
-2
81.2%
(08:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos rush left for 2 yards loss to the FSU43 (#45 N.Andersen)Similar
Q2 8:35
2ND & 16
OWN 43
0
80.9%
(08:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass incomplete short left to #27 G.Sawchuk thrown to FSU44 QB hurried by #10 G.KirschkeSimilar
Q2 8:28
3RD & 16
OWN 43
-6
80.5%
(08:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos sacked for loss of 6 yards to the FSU37 (#7 N.Gatkuoth)Similar
Q2 7:44
4TH & 22
OWN 37
0
80.3%
(07:56) #43 M.Chiumento punt 52 yards to the WFU11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 26 yds · 4:1319% → 19%
Q2 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
80.8%
(07:44) #2 R.Ashford pass incomplete short right to #4 S.Berkhalter thrown to WFU25Similar
Q2 7:31
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+9
80.9%
(07:39) Shotgun #1 D.Claiborne rush left for 9 yards gain to the WFU20 (#27 A.Barker)Similar
Q2 6:54
3RD & 1
OWN 20
+2
81.1%
(06:57) Shotgun #0 T.Clark rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WFU22 (#6 D.Jackson Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
80.7%
(06:16) Shotgun #2 R.Ashford rush middle for 9 yards gain to the WFU31, End Of PlaySimilar
Q2 5:43
2ND & 1
OWN 31
+4
79.6%
(05:46) Shotgun #0 T.Clark rush left for 4 yards gain to the WFU35 (#31 E.Herring), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
80.3%
(05:07) Shotgun #2 R.Ashford rush right for 2 yards gain to the WFU37 (#31 E.Herring), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 4:14
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
80.2%
(04:19) Shotgun #1 D.Claiborne rush left for 0 yards to the WFU37 (#20 B.Nichelson)Similar
Q2 3:34
3RD & 8
OWN 37
0
80.7%
(03:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 R.Ashford pass incomplete short middle to #7 M.Mays Jr. thrown to WFU48Similar
Q2 3:26
4TH & 8
OWN 37
0
81.4%
(03:32) #91 C.Joseph punt 35 yards to the FSU28 fair catch by #4 S.White at FSU28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 8TD
9 plays · 72 yds · 2:2181% → 89%
Q2 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+27
81.4%
(03:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 S.Singleton Jr. rush middle for 27 yards gain to the WFU45 (#45 N.Andersen), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
82.6%
(03:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 S.Singleton Jr. rush middle for 1 yard loss to the WFU46 (#94 Z.Lohavichan)Similar
Q2 2:36
2ND & 11
OPP 46
-2
82.2%
(02:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos rush left for 2 yards loss to the WFU48 (#11 L.Hardy)Similar
Q2 1:51
3RD & 13
OPP 48
+30
81.0%
(01:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass complete deep middle to #13 R.Pittman Jr. caught at WFU23, for 30 yards to the WFU18 (#5 D.Patterson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
82.9%
(01:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 G.Sawchuk rush middle for 5 yards gain to the WFU13 (#11 L.Hardy; #45 N.Andersen)Similar
Q2 1:02
2ND & 5
OPP 13
+3
83.0%
(01:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 G.Sawchuk rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WFU10 (#11 L.Hardy)Similar
Q2 0:57
3RD & 2
OPP 10
+10
88.9%
(01:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 S.Singleton Jr. rush middle for 10 yards gain to the WFU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:57, 1ST DOWN #22 J.Weinberg kick attempt good (H: #43 M.Chiumento, LS: #32 M.Arnold)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 9END OF HALF
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:1613% → 12%
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
87.3%
(00:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 R.Ashford rush right for 10 yards gain to the WFU35 (#0 E.Little Jr.; #40 A.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
87.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 R.Ashford pass complete short left to #0 T.Clark caught at WFU34, for 10 yards to the WFU45 (#19 J.Wilson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-13
86.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 R.Ashford sacked for loss of 13 yards to the WFU32 (#93 M.Desir)Similar
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
87.8%
(00:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 R.Ashford pass complete short left to #0 T.Clark caught at WFU30, for 9 yards to the WFU45 (#19 J.Wilson), out of boundsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 10DOWNS
6 plays · 26 yds · 5:0288% → 89%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
88.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #28 S.Singleton Jr. rush middle for 20 yards gain to the FSU45 (#45 N.Andersen; #23 B.Johnson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
88.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #28 S.Singleton Jr. rush middle for 4 yards gain to the FSU49 (#45 N.Andersen; #24 D.Hazen)Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+4
88.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #28 S.Singleton Jr. rush middle for 4 yards gain to the WFU47 (#10 G.Kirschke; #11 L.Hardy)Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+1
88.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #28 S.Singleton Jr. rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WFU46 (#3 K.Prunty; #24 D.Hazen)Similar
Q3 9:58
4TH & 1
OPP 46
-3
89.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos sacked for loss of 3 yards to the WFU49 (#20 L.Webb Jr.), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 11FUMBLE
11 plays · 20 yds · 4:0213% → 15%
Q3 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-4
86.6%
(12:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 D.Claiborne rush middle for 4 yards loss to the WFU45 (#3 E.Joseph)Similar
Q3 11:45
2ND & 14
OWN 45
+13
88.2%
(12:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 R.Ashford pass complete short left to #4 S.Berkhalter caught at FSU42, for 13 yards to the FSU42, out of bounds at FSU42Similar
Q3 11:16
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+1
86.6%
(11:22) #10 C.Barnes rush left for 1 yard gain to the FSU41 (#20 B.Nichelson; #27 A.Barker), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
86.9%
(10:39) Shotgun #2 R.Ashford pass incomplete short middle to #12 K.Johnson thrown to FSU38 QB hurried by #44 J.JonesSimilar
Q3 10:30
2ND & 10
OPP 41
-1
86.9%
(10:34) Shotgun #1 D.Claiborne rush left for 1 yard loss to the FSU42 (#44 J.Jones)Similar
Q3 9:52
3RD & 11
OPP 42
+4
86.5%
(09:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 D.Claiborne rush middle for 4 yards gain to the FSU38 (#10 J.Williams)Similar
Q3 9:22
4TH & 7
OPP 38
+15
86.7%
(09:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 R.Ashford pass incomplete deep left to #7 M.Mays Jr. thrown to FSU07 broken up by #27 A.Barker PENALTY FSU Pass Interference (#27 A.Barker) 15 yards from FSU38 to FSU23, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 9:16
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+11
84.9%
(09:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 R.Ashford pass complete short right to #12 K.Johnson caught at FSU27, for 11 yards to the FSU12 fumbled by #12 K.Johnson at FSU12 forced by #19 J.Wilson recovered by WFU #71 M.Siani at FSU12, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:27
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
84.9%
PENALTY WFU False Start (#79 F.Fa'amoe) 5 yards from FSU12 to FSU17. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 8:24
1ST & 15
OPP 17
-14
85.3%
(08:24) No Huddle-Shotgun Wake Forest rush middle for 14 yards loss to the FSU31 fumbled by Wake Forest at FSU19 recovered by FSU #11 J.Rawls at FSU31 #11 J.Rawls return 7 yards to the FSU38 (#2 R.Ashford) PENALTY WFU Personal Foul (#2 R.Ashford) 15 yards from FSU38 to WFU47, 1ST DOWNSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 12TD
7 plays · 47 yds · 3:1989% → 98%
Q3 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
89.3%
(08:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 S.Singleton Jr. rush middle for 5 yards gain to the WFU42 (#42 T.Walton; #8 J.Loving)Similar
Q3 7:37
2ND & 5
OPP 42
0
90.1%
(07:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass complete short right to #4 S.White caught at WFU46, for 0 yards to the WFU42 (#43 F.Cusano; #3 K.Prunty)Similar
Q3 6:58
3RD & 5
OPP 42
+29
89.7%
(07:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass complete deep left to #0 D.Robinson caught at WFU16, for 29 yards to the WFU13 (#5 D.Patterson; #23 B.Johnson), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY WFU Pass Interference declinedSimilar
Q3 6:34
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-1
90.5%
(06:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos rush left for 1 yard loss to the WFU14 (#45 N.Andersen)Similar
Q3 5:47
2ND & 11
OPP 14
+9
90.6%
(05:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 S.Singleton Jr. rush middle for 9 yards gain to the WFU05 (#45 N.Andersen) PENALTY WFU Personal Foul (#8 J.Loving) 3 yards from WFU05 to WFU02, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
90.7%
(05:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WFU01 (#5 D.Patterson)Similar
Q3 4:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.5%
(05:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 G.Sawchuk rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WFU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:59 #22 J.Weinberg kick attempt good (H: #43 M.Chiumento, LS: #32 M.Arnold)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 13DOWNS
9 plays · 16 yds · 2:453% → 3%
Q3 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
96.9%
(04:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 R.Ashford rush middle for 7 yards gain to the WFU32 (#1 S.Brown)Similar
Q3 4:32
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
96.7%
(04:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 D.Claiborne rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WFU34, End Of PlaySimilar
Q3 4:02
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
96.8%
(04:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 D.Claiborne rush middle for 0 yards to the WFU34 (#9 O.Graham Jr.)Similar
Q3 3:21
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+2
96.9%
(03:25) Shotgun #1 D.Claiborne rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WFU36 (#20 B.Nichelson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
97.0%
(02:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 R.Ashford pass complete short right to #10 C.Barnes caught at WFU38, for 5 yards to the WFU41, End Of PlaySimilar
Q3 2:18
2ND & 5
OWN 41
0
97.3%
(02:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 R.Ashford pass incomplete short left to #8 C.Hernandez thrown to WFU39Similar
Q3 2:15
3RD & 5
OWN 41
0
97.3%
(02:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 R.Ashford pass incomplete short left to #1 D.Claiborne thrown to WFU40Similar
Q3 2:09
4TH & 5
OWN 41
0
97.3%
(02:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 R.Ashford pass incomplete short middle to #4 S.Berkhalter thrown to WFU47, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 14TD
2 plays · 40 yds · 0:1799% → 100%
Q3 2:02
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+39
98.6%
(02:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass complete deep left to #0 D.Robinson caught at WFU05, for 39 yards to the WFU01 (#20 L.Webb Jr.), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 1:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.7%
(01:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 G.Sawchuk rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WFU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:45. #5 D.Patterson injured on the play #22 J.Weinberg kick attempt good (H: #43 M.Chiumento, LS: #32 M.Arnold)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 15INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:280% → 0%
Q3 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.7%
(01:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 R.Ashford pass complete short right to #1 D.Claiborne caught at WFU24, for 0 yards to the WFU25 (#31 E.Herring)Similar
Q3 1:08
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-35
99.8%
(01:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 R.Ashford pass intercepted by #0 E.Little Jr. at FSU45 QB hurried by #10 J.Williams #0 E.Little Jr. return 35 yards to the WFU20 (#71 M.Siani). #2 R.Ashford injured on the playSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 16TD
5 plays · 20 yds · 1:01100% → 100%
Q3 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
99.7%
(00:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass incomplete short middle to #0 D.Robinson thrown to WFU10 broken up by #45 N.AndersenSimilar
Q3 0:46
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+12
99.7%
(00:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos rush right for 12 yards gain to the WFU08 (#3 K.Prunty), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
99.7%
(00:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 S.Singleton Jr. rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WFU07 (#45 N.Andersen)Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.7%
(14:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 R.Pittman Jr. rush right for 7 yards gain to the WFU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:54 #22 J.Weinberg kick attempt good (H: #43 M.Chiumento, LS: #32 M.Arnold)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 1:110% → 0%
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
99.8%
(14:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Purdie pass complete short right to #8 C.Hernandez caught at WFU26, for 11 yards to the WFU36 (#19 J.Wilson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.8%
(14:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Purdie pass incomplete short left to #14 K.Brenson thrown to WFU41 broken up by #19 J.WilsonSimilar
Q4 14:13
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+2
99.8%
(14:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 D.Claiborne rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WFU38 (#56 K.Sampson)Similar
Q4 13:42
3RD & 8
OWN 38
0
99.8%
(13:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Purdie pass incomplete short middle to #14 K.Brenson thrown to WFU41Similar
Q4 13:35
4TH & 8
OWN 38
0
99.8%
(13:39) #91 C.Joseph punt 40 yards to the FSU22 fair catch by #4 S.White at FSU22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 18TD
4 plays · 78 yds · 1:32100% → 100%
Q4 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+66
99.8%
(13:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass complete deep right to #19 M.Danzy caught at WFU33, for 66 yards to the WFU12 (#20 L.Webb Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
99.8%
(12:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass incomplete short left to #0 D.Robinson thrown to WFU00 broken up by #3 K.PruntySimilar
Q4 12:33
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+1
99.8%
(12:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass complete short middle to #19 M.Danzy caught at WFU16, for 1 yard to the WFU11 (#21 A.Hall)Similar
Q4 11:51
3RD & 9
OPP 11
+11
99.9%
(11:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass complete short left to #0 D.Robinson caught at WFU00, for 11 yards to the WFU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:51, 1ST DOWN #22 J.Weinberg kick attempt good (H: #43 M.Chiumento, LS: #32 M.Arnold) #22 J.Weinberg kick attempt good (H: #43 M.Chiumento, LS: #32 M.Arnold) PENALTY #22 J.Weinberg kick attempt good (H: #43 M.Chiumento, LS: #32 M.Arnold) PENALTY WFU UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (#99 M.Ibirogba) 15 yards from WFU00 to FSU50Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 2:050% → 0%
Q4 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-6
99.9%
(11:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Purdie sacked for loss of 11 yards to the WFU21 (#10 J.Williams, #41 A.Cottrill)Similar
Q4 11:02
2ND & 21
OWN 21
+2
99.9%
(11:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 T.Clark rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WFU23 (#6 D.Jackson Jr.)Similar
Q4 10:14
3RD & 19
OWN 23
+13
99.9%
(10:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 T.Clark rush middle for 13 yards gain to the WFU36 (#20 B.Nichelson)Similar
Q4 9:34
4TH & 6
OWN 36
0
99.9%
(09:41) #91 C.Joseph punt 40 yards to the FSU24 fair catch by #4 S.White at FSU24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 20FUMBLE
2 plays · -5 yds · 0:39100% → 100%
Q4 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
99.9%
(09:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 S.Singleton Jr. rush middle for 3 yards gain to the FSU27 (#10 G.Kirschke)Similar
Q4 8:50
2ND & 7
OWN 27
-8
99.9%
(08:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 B.Glenn sacked for loss of 8 yards to the FSU19 (#10 G.Kirschke), fumble by #11 B.Glenn recovered by WFU #10 G.Kirschke at FSU19, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 21TD
5 plays · 19 yds · 1:510% → 0%
Q4 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+18
99.9%
(08:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Purdie pass complete short middle to #7 M.Mays Jr. caught at FSU05, for 18 yards to the FSU01 (#15 S.Arnoux), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
99.8%
(08:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 T.Clark rush middle for 1 yard loss to the FSU02 (#1 S.Brown; #24 K.Kirkland)Similar
Q4 7:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
99.9%
(07:47) #0 T.Clark rush middle for 1 yard gain to the FSU01 (#15 S.Arnoux)Similar
Q4 7:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+5
99.9%
(07:02) PENALTY WFU Illegal Snap (#70 D.Kylany) 5 yards from FSU01 to FSU06. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 6:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.9%
(06:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Purdie pass complete short left to #7 M.Mays Jr. caught at FSU00, for 6 yards to the FSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:49 #90 C.Calvert kick attempt good (H: #9 S.Racanelli, LS: #32 W.Cobb)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 22DOWNS
8 plays · 35 yds · 3:36100% → 100%
Q4 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
99.9%
(06:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 B.Glenn rush left for 15 yards gain to the FSU40 (#22 M.Turpin; #37 W.Tackie Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
99.9%
(06:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #32 O.Kromah rush middle for 9 yards gain to the FSU49 (#22 M.Turpin)Similar
Q4 5:25
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+5
99.9%
(05:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #32 O.Kromah rush middle for 5 yards gain to the WFU46 (#46 K.Lee; #95 B.Smiley), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:57
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
99.9%
(05:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #32 O.Kromah rush middle for 4 yards gain to the WFU42 (#55 K.Dembele)Similar
Q4 4:15
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+1
99.9%
(04:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 B.Glenn rush left for 1 yard gain to the WFU41 (#22 M.Turpin)Similar
Q4 3:38
3RD & 5
OPP 41
+1
99.9%
(03:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #32 O.Kromah rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WFU40 (#43 F.Cusano)Similar
Q4 3:02
4TH & 4
OPP 40
0
99.9%
(03:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 B.Glenn pass incomplete short left to #6 G.Blackwell thrown to WFU35, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 23END OF GAME
14 plays · 51 yds · 2:530% → 0%
Q4 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
99.9%
(03:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #29 J.Searcy rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WFU41 (#37 C.White; #41 A.Cottrill)Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+1
100.0%
(02:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Purdie pass complete short left to #9 S.Racanelli caught at WFU40, for 1 yard to the WFU42 (#4 C.Lester III), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 1:49
3RD & 8
OWN 42
+7
100.0%
(01:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Purdie pass complete short middle to #86 D.Deluca caught at WFU48, for 7 yards to the WFU49 (#37 C.White)Similar
Q4 1:24
4TH & 1
OWN 49
+1
99.9%
(01:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 T.Clark rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WFU50 (#55 K.Wynn; #56 K.Sampson), 1ST DOWN. #56 K.Sampson injured on the playSimilar
Q4 1:14
1ST & 10
50
0
100.0%
(01:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Purdie pass incomplete short right to #86 D.Deluca thrown to FSU37 QB hurried by #90 D.DesirSimilar
Q4 1:07
2ND & 10
50
-7
100.0%
(01:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Purdie sacked for loss of 7 yards to the WFU43 (#40 A.Williams)Similar
Q4 0:26
3RD & 17
OWN 43
+26
100.0%
(00:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Purdie pass complete deep middle to #9 S.Racanelli caught at FSU35, for 26 yards to the FSU31 (#31 E.Herring; #41 A.Cottrill), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+15
99.9%
(00:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Purdie pass incomplete deep left to #14 K.Brenson thrown to FSU05 PENALTY FSU Pass Interference (#4 C.Lester III) 15 yards from FSU31 to FSU16, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 0:09
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+13
99.9%
(00:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Purdie rush right for 13 yards gain to the FSU03 (#37 C.White), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-6
99.9%
(00:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Purdie sacked for loss of 6 yards to the FSU09 (#1 S.Brown)Similar
Q4 0:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
100.0%
(00:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Purdie pass incomplete short right to #13 J.Melvin thrown to FSU00 broken up by #15 S.ArnouxSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:57
(01:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 S.Singleton Jr. rush middle for 10 yards gain to the WFU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:57, 1ST DOWN #22 J.Weinberg kick attempt good (H: #43 M.Chiumento, LS: #32 M.Arnold)
+7.1
TD · Q3 4:59
(05:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 G.Sawchuk rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WFU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:59 #22 J.Weinberg kick attempt good (H: #43 M.Chiumento, LS: #32 M.Arnold)
+6.8
KEY PLAY · Q3 8:18
(08:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 S.Singleton Jr. rush middle for 5 yards gain to the WFU42 (#42 T.Walton; #8 J.Loving)
+3.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com