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UNC

North Carolina 27 at Syracuse 10

SYR
2025 · Week 10 · Oct 31, 2025 · JMA Wireless Dome
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Win probability · SYR
modelSYR aheadUNC aheadconfidence bandkey playSYR scoreUNC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 11:33 · (11:33) #41 J.Stonehouse punt 48 yards to the UNC43 fair catch by #9 J.Green at UNC43
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingPregame prior
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 10Home team on offense+0.1Score differential+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0Pregame prior+3.7
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 12:17: Tripp Woody 31 Yd Field Goal — SYR win probability +1.9 pts (now 61%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:36: Rece Verhoff 43 Yd Field Goal — UNC win probability +2.5 pts (now 37%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. TD · Q3 13:26: Demon June 72 Yd pass from Gio Lopez (Rece Verhoff Kick) — UNC win probability +13.2 pts (now 52%) (top driver: UNC has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 6:47: (07:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 G.Lopez pass complete short left to #27 J.McGill caught at UNC17, for 2 yards loss to the UNC18 (#1 D.Samuel Jr.) — UNC win probability +14.2 pts (now 82%) (top driver: UNC has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 10:35: Jordan Shipp 21 Yd pass from Gio Lopez (Rece Verhoff Kick) — UNC win probability +1.1 pts (now 94%) (top driver: UNC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SYR made the numbers' call on 8 of 9UNC made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 13:36UNC 4th & 4 at UNC 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 44.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    44.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    44.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:33SYR 4th & 15 at SYR 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.5%−0.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:59UNC 4th & 6 at SYR 6, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 43.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.0%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.0%
    91% to make
    Punt
    41.5%−1.6
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:53SYR 4th & 7 at SYR 28, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.7%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.0%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:58UNC 4th & 4 at UNC 31, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.3%−0.3
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:17SYR 4th & 13 at UNC 13, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 58.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.2%−1.0
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.2%
    85% to make
    Punt
    54.5%−3.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:26UNC 4th & 2 at UNC 48, down 7
    Close callPunted · 36.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.0%−0.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:00SYR 4th & 8 at SYR 32, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.8%−1.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.9%
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:12UNC 4th & 1 at UNC 30, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 33.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.8%−1.5
    average punt
  10. Q2 4:41SYR 4th & 9 at UNC 47, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.2%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.4%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:36UNC 4th & 3 at SYR 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 34.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.2%−0.6
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.8%
    66% to make
    Punt
    28.4%−5.5
    average punt
  12. Q3 13:39SYR 4th & 2 at SYR 33, up 4
    Close callPunted · 61.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 10:44SYR 4th & 1 at SYR 43, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 36.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    37.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    35.4%−2.5
    average punt
  14. Q3 7:18SYR 4th & 22 at UNC 42, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.5%−3.0
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    33.4%−1.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    34.5%
    average punt
  15. Q3 1:11UNC 4th & 1 at SYR 17, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 86.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    83.5%−2.6
    80% to make
    Punt
    76.1%−10.0
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:21SYR 4th & 6 at UNC 44, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    5.7%−0.7
    27% to make
    Punt
    6.1%−0.2
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:05UNC 4th & 13 at SYR 17, up 17
    Close callWent for it · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.8%−0.4
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    97.1%
    80% to make
    Punt
    95.8%−1.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNC made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q3 13:26UNC Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNCDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 1:1346% → 46%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
54.0%
(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 G.Lopez rush middle for 15 yards gain to the UNC40 (#8 D.Reese), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
54.0%
(14:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.June rush right for 6 yards gain to the UNC46 (#1 D.Samuel Jr.; #82 J.Tremble)Similar
Q1 13:45
2ND & 4
OWN 46
0
54.0%
(13:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 G.Lopez pass incomplete short left to #8 K.Paysour thrown to UNC44 QB hurried by #11 D.Jaquez Jr.Similar
Q1 13:41
3RD & 4
OWN 46
0
54.0%
(13:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 G.Lopez pass incomplete deep right to #84 S.Easter thrown to SYRA30Similar
Q1 13:36
4TH & 4
OWN 46
+40
54.1%
(13:36) #96 T.Maginness punt 40 yards to the SYRA14 fair catch by #1 D.Samuel Jr. at SYRA14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:3254% → 54%
Q1 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+1
54.2%
(13:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Filardi rush right for 1 yard gain to the SYRA15 (#9 M.Abou Jaoude; #92 C.Mims)Similar
Q1 12:39
2ND & 9
OWN 15
0
54.2%
(12:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Y.Willis rush middle for 0 yards to the SYRA15 (#18 J.Patterson)Similar
Q1 11:56
3RD & 9
OWN 15
-6
54.1%
(12:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Filardi sacked for loss of 6 yards to the SYRA09 (#9 M.Abou Jaoude)Similar
Q1 11:33
4TH & 15
OWN 9
0
54.3%
(11:33) #41 J.Stonehouse punt 48 yards to the UNC43 fair catch by #9 J.Green at UNC43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 3FG
9 plays · 52 yds · 3:1446% → 44%
Q1 11:13
1ST & 9
OWN 43
+2
54.5%
(11:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.June rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UNC45 (#91 G.Rooks)Similar
Q1 10:07
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+8
54.7%
(10:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 G.Lopez pass complete short middle to #1 J.Shipp caught at SYRA47, for 8 yards to the SYRA47 (#19 C.Perry), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+44
54.8%
(09:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 G.Lopez pass complete short right to #8 K.Paysour caught at SYRA35, for 44 yards to the SYRA03 (#23 D.Grant), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
54.6%
(09:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 G.Lopez pass incomplete short middle to #8 K.Paysour thrown to SYRA00 broken up by #16 C.PealSimilar
Q1 9:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
54.7%
(09:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.June rush middle for 2 yards gain to the SYRA01 (#0 B.Long Jr.; #5 A.Deslauriers)Similar
Q1 8:34
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
54.8%
(08:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 G.Lopez rush middle for 0 yards to the SYRA01 (#5 A.Deslauriers)Similar
Q1 8:01
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+5
55.4%
PENALTY UNC False Start 5 yards from SYRA01 to SYRA06. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 7:59
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
56.0%
(07:59) #90 R.Verhoff field goal attempt from 24 yards GOOD (H: #96 T.Maginness, LS: #42 S.Triplett), clock 07:59Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:5556% → 56%
Q1 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
56.0%
(07:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Y.Willis rush middle for 3 yards gain to the SYRA28 (#21 K.Cost; #6 D.Robinson)Similar
Q1 7:10
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
56.2%
(07:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Filardi pass incomplete deep right to #2 J.Cook II thrown to UNC42 broken up by #21 K.CostSimilar
Q1 7:06
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
55.8%
(07:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Filardi pass incomplete short middle to #15 D.Gill Jr. thrown to SYRA35Similar
Q1 6:53
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
55.6%
(06:53) #41 J.Stonehouse punt 47 yards to the UNC25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 5FUMBLE RETURN TD
5 plays · -25 yds · 1:5743% → 44%
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
56.8%
(06:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 G.Lopez pass complete short left to #27 J.McGill caught at UNC28, for 5 yards to the UNC30 (#23 D.Grant; #6 J.Heard Jr.)Similar
Q1 5:58
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
56.7%
(06:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 B.Hall rush middle for 0 yards to the UNC30 (#82 J.Tremble; #30 N.Nyandoro)Similar
Q1 5:09
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+19
57.1%
(05:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 G.Lopez pass complete short middle to #1 J.Shipp caught at UNC45, for 19 yards to the UNC49 (#2 D.Chestnut), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+51
56.2%
Anwar Sparrow 51 Yd Fumble Return (Tripp Woody Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:2943% → 42%
Q1 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
57.2%
(04:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 B.Hall rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UNC28 (#82 J.Tremble)Similar
Q1 3:45
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
57.2%
(03:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 B.Hall rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UNC31 (#91 G.Rooks)Similar
Q1 3:09
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
57.6%
(03:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 G.Lopez pass incomplete short right to #1 J.Shipp thrown to UNC40Similar
Q1 2:58
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+19
58.3%
(03:09) #96 T.Maginness punt 51 yards to the SYRA18 #1 D.Samuel Jr. return 19 yards to the SYRA37 (#4 M.Gbayor)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 7FG
17 plays · 50 yds · 5:2258% → 61%
Q1 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+14
57.6%
(02:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Filardi rush middle for 14 yards gain to the UNC49 (#12 G.Smith III), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:29
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
58.1%
(02:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Filardi pass incomplete short left to #15 D.Gill Jr. thrown to UNC33Similar
Q1 2:10
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+6
58.0%
(02:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Y.Willis rush middle for 6 yards gain to the UNC43 (#2 A.Simpson)Similar
Q1 1:35
3RD & 4
OPP 43
+13
58.1%
(01:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 W.Nixon rush middle for 13 yards gain to the UNC30 (#12 G.Smith III), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+7
58.7%
(01:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 W.Nixon rush right for 7 yards gain to the UNC23 (#21 K.Cost)Similar
Q1 0:41
2ND & 3
OPP 23
0
58.9%
(00:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Filardi pass incomplete deep left to #2 J.Cook II thrown to UNC00 broken up by #21 K.CostSimilar
Q1 0:33
3RD & 3
OPP 23
+6
58.7%
(00:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Y.Willis rush middle for 6 yards gain to the UNC17 (#94 I.Johnson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:42
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+6
59.5%
(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Filardi rush left for 6 yards gain to the UNC11 (#21 K.Cost)Similar
Q2 14:17
2ND & 4
OPP 11
-6
59.6%
(14:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Filardi sacked for loss of 6 yards to the UNC17 (), fumble by #13 J.Filardi recovered by SYRA #13 J.Filardi at UNC17 #13 J.Filardi return 0 yards to the UNC17 (#8 S.Vilbert; #9 M.Abou Jaoude)Similar
Q2 13:00
3RD & 10
OPP 17
+8
59.4%
(13:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Filardi sacked for loss of 8 yards to the UNC25 (#9 M.Abou Jaoude) PENALTY UNC Personal Foul 8 yards from UNC17 to UNC09, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 12:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
60.3%
(12:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Y.Willis rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UNC08 (#94 I.Johnson)Similar
Q2 12:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
60.3%
(12:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Filardi pass incomplete short right to #89 D.Villari thrown to UNC10Similar
Q2 12:26
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
59.7%
PENALTY SYRA Delay Of Game 5 yards from UNC08 to UNC13. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 12:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 13
0
59.3%
(12:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Filardi pass incomplete short left to #15 D.Gill Jr. thrown to UNC00 broken up by #29 M.AllenSimilar
Q2 12:17
4TH & GOAL
OPP 13
+31
61.3%
Tripp Woody 31 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 2:4138% → 38%
Q2 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
61.7%
(12:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.June rush middle for 15 yards gain to the UNC40 (#2 D.Chestnut), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
61.0%
(11:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.June rush middle for 0 yards to the UNC40 (#23 D.Grant)Similar
Q2 10:39
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+6
61.6%
(10:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 G.Lopez rush right for 6 yards gain to the UNC46 (#94 K.Jobity Jr.)Similar
Q2 9:57
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+2
61.3%
(10:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #37 D.Gause rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UNC48 (#94 K.Jobity Jr.; #91 G.Rooks)Similar
Q2 9:26
4TH & 2
OWN 48
+9
62.2%
(09:32) #96 T.Maginness punt 41 yards to the SYRA11 #1 D.Samuel Jr. return 9 yards to the SYRA20 (#31 W.Hardy)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 1:2662% → 62%
Q2 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
62.3%
PENALTY UNC Delay Of Game 5 yards from SYRA20 to SYRA25. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 8:55
1ST & 5
OWN 25
+5
63.0%
PENALTY UNC Offside 5 yards from SYRA25 to SYRA30, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
62.8%
(08:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #39 T.Hill rush middle for 2 yards gain to the SYRA32 (#91 L.Jackson; #8 S.Vilbert)Similar
Q2 8:14
2ND & 8
OWN 32
0
63.2%
(08:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Filardi pass incomplete short right to #15 D.Gill Jr. thrown to SYRA45Similar
Q2 8:10
3RD & 8
OWN 32
0
62.6%
(08:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Filardi pass incomplete short right to #2 J.Cook II thrown to SYRA40Similar
Q2 8:00
4TH & 8
OWN 32
+10
61.9%
(08:10) #41 J.Stonehouse punt 57 yards to the UNC11 #9 J.Green return 10 yards to the UNC21 (#2 D.Chestnut)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:4036% → 34%
Q2 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
64.3%
(07:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.June rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UNC26 (#0 B.Long Jr.; #13 G.Bryant III)Similar
Q2 7:29
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+1
63.9%
(07:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 G.Lopez pass complete short left to #8 K.Paysour caught at UNC27, for 1 yard to the UNC27, End Of PlaySimilar
Q2 6:21
3RD & 4
OWN 27
+3
65.2%
(06:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 G.Lopez rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UNC30 (#91 G.Rooks; #30 N.Nyandoro)Similar
Q2 6:12
4TH & 1
OWN 30
0
65.6%
(06:12) #96 T.Maginness punt 43 yards to the SYRA27 fair catch by #1 D.Samuel Jr. at SYRA27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 26 yds · 1:0764% → 64%
Q2 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+25
64.4%
(06:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Filardi pass complete deep middle to #14 D.Johnson caught at UNC48, for 25 yards to the UNC48 (#7 K.House), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:29
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
66.6%
(05:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Y.Willis rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UNC47 (#31 W.Hardy)Similar
Q2 4:56
2ND & 9
OPP 47
0
66.7%
(04:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Filardi pass incomplete short right thrown to UNC40Similar
Q2 4:50
3RD & 9
OPP 47
0
65.7%
(04:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Filardi pass incomplete short left thrown to UNC40Similar
Q2 4:41
4TH & 9
OPP 47
0
64.3%
(04:50) #41 J.Stonehouse punt 39 yards to the UNC08Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 12FG
11 plays · 67 yds · 3:5434% → 37%
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+4
66.2%
(04:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.June rush right for 4 yards gain to the UNC12 (#5 A.Deslauriers)Similar
Q2 3:54
2ND & 6
OWN 12
+44
66.5%
(03:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.June rush middle for 44 yards gain to the SYRA44 (#0 B.Long Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:27
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
63.4%
(03:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.June rush middle for 2 yards gain to the SYRA42 (#12 A.Sparrow)Similar
Q2 2:49
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+10
63.5%
(02:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 B.Hall rush middle for 10 yards gain to the SYRA32 (#19 C.Perry), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:09
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
62.4%
(02:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 B.Hall rush left for 1 yard gain to the SYRA31 (#1 D.Samuel Jr.; #12 A.Sparrow)Similar
Q2 1:35
2ND & 9
OPP 31
+7
62.2%
(01:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 G.Lopez pass complete short right to #27 J.McGill caught at SYRA38, for 7 yards to the SYRA24 (#12 A.Sparrow)Similar
Q2 1:12
3RD & 2
OPP 24
-1
64.4%
(01:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #37 D.Gause rush middle for 1 yard loss to the SYRA25 (#4 D.Wilson Jr.)Similar
Q2 0:36
4TH & 3
OPP 25
+43
62.7%
Rece Verhoff 43 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 13END OF HALF
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:0063% → 63%
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
63.4%
(00:32) Kneel down by #13 J.Filardi at SYRA23 for loss of 2 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:0262% → 61%
Q3 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
62.0%
(14:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Filardi pass complete short right to #18 E.Ross caught at SYRA25, for 8 yards to the SYRA33 (#21 K.Cost)Similar
Q3 14:19
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
63.4%
(14:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Y.Willis rush middle for 0 yards to the SYRA33 (#4 M.Gbayor; #6 D.Robinson)Similar
Q3 13:46
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
62.3%
(13:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Filardi pass incomplete short right to #2 J.Cook II thrown to SYRA45Similar
Q3 13:39
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
60.9%
(13:39) #41 J.Stonehouse punt 39 yards to the UNC28 fair catch by #31 W.Hardy at UNC28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 15TD
1 play · 72 yds · 0:0052% → 52%
Q3 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+72
47.7%
Demon June 72 Yd pass from Gio Lopez (Rece Verhoff Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 16PUNT
12 plays · 34 yds · 5:4639% → 32%
Q3 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+10
38.5%
(13:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Y.Willis rush right for 10 yards gain to the SYRA34 (#5 G.Gibson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
38.5%
(12:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Y.Willis rush middle for 4 yards gain to the SYRA38 (#91 L.Jackson)Similar
Q3 12:08
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+3
39.3%
(12:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Y.Willis rush middle for 3 yards gain to the SYRA41 (#7 K.House; #4 M.Gbayor)Similar
Q3 11:14
3RD & 3
OWN 41
+2
38.4%
(11:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 W.Nixon rush middle for 2 yards gain to the SYRA43 (#8 S.Vilbert; #9 M.Abou Jaoude)Similar
Q3 10:44
4TH & 1
OWN 43
+9
36.0%
(10:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Y.Willis rush right for 9 yards gain to the UNC48 (#7 K.House; #5 G.Gibson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+18
38.5%
(10:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 L.Carney rush middle for 18 yards gain to the UNC30 (#16 C.Bryson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-4
40.0%
(09:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 L.Carney rush left for 4 yards loss to the UNC34 (#25 J.Mupoyi)Similar
Q3 8:58
2ND & 14
OPP 34
+1
38.3%
(09:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Y.Willis rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UNC33 (#94 I.Johnson; #9 M.Abou Jaoude)Similar
Q3 8:19
3RD & 13
OPP 33
-4
35.6%
(08:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 L.Carney sacked for loss of 4 yards to the UNC37 (#40 T.Thompson)Similar
Q3 7:44
4TH & 17
OPP 37
+5
32.6%
PENALTY SYRA Delay Of Game 5 yards from UNC37 to UNC42. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 7:18
4TH & 22
OPP 42
0
32.3%
(07:18) #41 J.Stonehouse punt 42 yards to the UNC00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 17TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 6:3982% → 90%
Q3 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
18.2%
(07:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 G.Lopez pass complete short left to #27 J.McGill caught at UNC17, for 2 yards loss to the UNC18 (#1 D.Samuel Jr.)Similar
Q3 6:19
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+9
18.2%
(06:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 G.Lopez pass complete short right to #12 D.June caught at UNC17, for 9 yards to the UNC27 (#30 N.Nyandoro; #23 D.Grant)Similar
Q3 5:47
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+9
18.0%
(05:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.June rush left for 9 yards gain to the UNC36 (#0 B.Long Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
16.6%
(05:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #37 D.Gause rush middle for 10 yards gain to the UNC46 (#19 C.Perry), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
15.4%
(04:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #37 D.Gause rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UNC48 (#11 D.Jaquez Jr.) PENALTY SYRA Personal Foul 15 yards from UNC48 to SYRA37, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:42
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+11
13.4%
(02:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #37 D.Gause rush right for 11 yards gain to the SYRA26 (#16 C.Peal), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-2
12.6%
(02:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #37 D.Gause rush middle for 2 yards loss to the SYRA28 (#12 A.Sparrow)Similar
Q3 1:47
2ND & 12
OPP 28
-3
12.7%
(01:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 G.Lopez pass complete short middle to #1 J.Shipp caught at SYRA31, for 3 yards loss to the SYRA31 (#12 A.Sparrow)Similar
Q3 1:23
3RD & 15
OPP 31
+14
12.9%
(01:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 G.Lopez pass complete short right to #8 K.Paysour caught at SYRA25, for 14 yards to the SYRA17 (#1 D.Samuel Jr.)Similar
Q3 1:11
4TH & 1
OPP 17
+5
13.6%
(01:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.June rush middle for 5 yards gain to the SYRA12 (#8 D.Reese), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+7
9.8%
(00:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Shipp rush left for 7 yards gain to the SYRA05 (#16 C.Peal)Similar
Q3 0:08
2ND & 3
OPP 5
+5
9.7%
Demon June 5 Yd Run (Rece Verhoff Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 18FUMBLE
7 plays · 9 yds · 2:0816% → 17%
Q3 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
16.1%
(00:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Y.Willis rush middle for 7 yards gain to the SYRA32 (#40 T.Thompson; #12 G.Smith III)Similar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
16.9%
(14:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 W.Nixon rush middle for 2 yards gain to the SYRA34 (#21 K.Cost; #40 T.Thompson)Similar
Q4 14:09
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
16.0%
(14:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Y.Willis rush right for 4 yards gain to the SYRA38 (#20 J.Thompson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
16.2%
(13:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Y.Willis rush middle for 6 yards gain to the SYRA44 (#7 K.House)Similar
Q4 12:53
2ND & 4
OWN 44
-10
16.5%
(12:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Filardi sacked for loss of 10 yards to the SYRA34 (#9 M.Abou Jaoude), fumble by #13 J.Filardi recovered by UNC #8 S.Vilbert at SYRA34, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 19TD
4 plays · 34 yds · 2:0791% → 94%
Q4 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
8.7%
(12:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.June rush right for 2 yards gain to the SYRA32 (#2 D.Chestnut)Similar
Q4 11:57
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+5
8.1%
(12:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 G.Lopez pass complete short left to #1 J.Shipp caught at SYRA32, for 5 yards to the SYRA27 (#30 N.Nyandoro)Similar
Q4 11:13
3RD & 3
OPP 27
+6
7.2%
(11:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 G.Lopez rush middle for 6 yards gain to the SYRA21 (#18 D.Omopariola), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
6.1%
Jordan Shipp 21 Yd pass from Gio Lopez (Rece Verhoff Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 20DOWNS
10 plays · 31 yds · 1:597% → 6%
Q4 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
6.5%
(10:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Filardi pass complete short right to #24 W.Nixon caught at SYRA22, for 2 yards to the SYRA27 (#20 J.Thompson)Similar
Q4 10:05
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+11
6.5%
(10:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Filardi pass incomplete short right to #18 E.Ross thrown to SYRA36 broken up by #20 J.Thompson PENALTY UNC Pass Interference 11 yard from SYRA27 to SYRA38, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
6.5%
(09:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Filardi rush right for 9 yards gain to the SYRA47 (#94 I.Johnson)Similar
Q4 8:45
2ND & 1
OWN 47
+5
7.1%
(08:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 W.Nixon rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UNC48 (#7 K.House), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:36
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
6.8%
(08:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Filardi pass incomplete short middle to #89 D.Villari thrown to UNC35Similar
Q4 8:36
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+4
6.8%
(08:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Filardi pass complete short right to #15 D.Gill Jr. caught at UNC44, for 4 yards to the UNC44, out of bounds at UNC44Similar
Q4 8:30
3RD & 6
OPP 44
0
6.6%
(08:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Filardi pass incomplete short right to #15 D.Gill Jr. thrown to UNC31Similar
Q4 8:21
4TH & 6
OPP 44
0
6.3%
(08:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Filardi pass incomplete deep right to #18 E.Ross thrown to UNC15, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 21END OF GAME
18 plays · 46 yds · 7:4996% → 99%
Q4 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
3.9%
(08:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #37 D.Gause rush middle for 6 yards gain to the UNC50 (#2 D.Chestnut)Similar
Q4 7:18
2ND & 5
50
+8
3.5%
(07:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #37 D.Gause rush middle for 8 yards gain to the SYRA42 (#6 J.Heard Jr.; #30 N.Nyandoro), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 6:43
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
3.4%
(06:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #37 D.Gause rush middle for 7 yards gain to the SYRA35 (#1 D.Samuel Jr.)Similar
Q4 5:57
2ND & 3
OPP 35
+10
3.0%
(06:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #37 D.Gause rush right for 10 yards gain to the SYRA25 (#6 J.Heard Jr.; #3 K.Singleton), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
2.6%
(05:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #37 D.Gause rush left for 6 yards gain to the SYRA19 (#1 D.Samuel Jr.)Similar
Q4 4:21
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+2
2.2%
(04:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #37 D.Gause rush middle for 2 yards gain to the SYRA17 (#6 J.Heard Jr.)Similar
Q4 3:54
3RD & 2
OPP 17
+3
2.0%
(04:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 G.Lopez rush middle for 3 yards gain to the SYRA14 (#6 J.Heard Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-7
1.7%
(03:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #37 D.Gause rush right for 7 yards loss to the SYRA21 (#18 D.Omopariola)Similar
Q4 2:32
2ND & 17
OPP 21
+1
1.6%
(02:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #37 D.Gause rush middle for 1 yard gain to the SYRA20 (#82 J.Tremble)Similar
Q4 2:19
3RD & 16
OPP 20
+3
1.6%
(02:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #37 D.Gause rush middle for 3 yards gain to the SYRA17 (#94 K.Jobity Jr.; #2 D.Chestnut)Similar
Q4 2:05
4TH & 13
OPP 17
+14
1.7%
(02:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 G.Lopez pass complete short left to #1 J.Shipp caught at SYRA03, for 14 yards to the SYRA03, out of bounds at SYRA03, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
1.2%
(01:54) Kneel down by #7 G.Lopez at SYRA05 for loss of 2 yardsSimilar
Q4 1:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-2
1.1%
(01:16) Kneel down by #7 G.Lopez at SYRA07 for loss of 2 yardsSimilar
Q4 0:28
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
-2
1.1%
(00:28) Kneel down by #7 G.Lopez at SYRA09 for loss of 2 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q3 6:47
(07:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 G.Lopez pass complete short left to #27 J.McGill caught at UNC17, for 2 yards loss to the UNC18 (#1 D.Samuel Jr.)
-14.2
TD · Q3 13:26
Demon June 72 Yd pass from Gio Lopez (Rece Verhoff Kick)
-13.2
FG · Q2 0:36
Rece Verhoff 43 Yd Field Goal
-2.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com