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CONN

UConn 38 at Boston College 23

BC
2025 · Week 8 · Oct 18, 2025 · Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA)
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Win probability · BC
modelBC aheadCONN aheadconfidence bandkey playBC scoreCONN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 9:03 · Connor Stutz punt for 58 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Defense timeoutsOffense timeoutsHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+32.0+16.00−16.0−32.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 142Defense timeouts−16.6Offense timeouts−17.5Home team on offense−14.8Garbage-time factor−6.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−12.4Time remaining+6.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:16: Joe Fagnano pass complete to Javonte Vereen for 50 yds for a TD Boston College Penalty, Defensive holding (Isaiah Farris) to the BC 0 (Chris Freeman KICK) (Chris Freeman KICK) — CONN win probability +5.0 pts (now 67%) (top driver: offense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  2. TD · Q2 7:31: Kaelan Chudzinski 9 Yd pass from Grayson James (Luca Lombardo Kick) — CONN win probability +5.6 pts (now 73%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  3. TD · Q2 0:21: Reed Harris 39 Yd pass from Grayson James (Luca Lombardo Kick) — CONN win probability +1.6 pts (now 89%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  4. TD · Q3 11:51: John Neider 43 Yd pass from Joe Fagnano (Chris Freeman Kick) — BC win probability +3.8 pts (now 17%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  5. TD · Q3 0:49: Javonte Vereen 14 Yd pass from Joe Fagnano (Chris Freeman Kick) — CONN win probability +3.2 pts (now 93%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BC made the numbers' call on 7 of 11CONN made the numbers' call on 2 of 5
  1. Q1 11:07BC 4th & 4 at CONN 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 46.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    46.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    45.9%−0.2
    23% to make
    Punt
    46.1%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:13BC 4th & 9 at CONN 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 46.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.5%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.6%
    58% to make
    Punt
    46.0%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:35BC 4th & 4 at CONN 4, down 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 46.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.0%−0.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    42.2%−4.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 5:52CONN 4th & 12 at BC 22, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 53.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.0%−1.4
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.4%
    72% to make
    Punt
    48.3%−5.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:39BC 4th & 11 at BC 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.9%−1.9
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:49CONN 4th & 10 at CONN 42, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.8%−0.6
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:47BC 4th & 5 at CONN 33, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 39.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    38.9%−0.2
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    39.2%
    49% to make
    Punt
    36.8%−2.4
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:57BC 4th & 4 at CONN 49, down 4
    Close callPunted · 44.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.0%−0.7
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:37CONN 4th & 1 at CONN 47, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.8 ptsPunted · 60.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.9%−3.8
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:09BC 4th & 12 at BC 5, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.6%−4.5
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.1%
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:50BC 4th & 7 at CONN 37, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.5%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    19.8%−0.7
    40% to make
    Punt
    19.6%−0.9
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:40BC 4th & 5 at CONN 7, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 19.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.8%−0.5
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.3%
    91% to make
    Punt
    11.6%−6.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:03CONN 4th & 2 at CONN 33, up 5
    Close callPunted · 71.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.1%−0.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:15BC 4th & 6 at BC 13, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.9%−0.7
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.5%
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:42BC 4th & 22 at CONN 43, down 5
    Numbers favored field goal by 2.4 ptsWent for it · 23.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.2%−2.4
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    17.5%
    28% to make
    Punt
    15.7%−1.8
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:00CONN 4th & 5 at CONN 48, up 5
    Close callPunted · 88.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.5%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.7%−0.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CONN made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 6:16CONN Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 0:49CONN Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BCDrive 1FG
13 plays · 46 yds · 5:4745% → 40%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
44.6%
Turbo Richard run for 3 yds to the BC 28Similar
Q1 14:40
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
44.3%
Grayson James run for 6 yds to the BC 34Similar
Q1 14:04
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
43.6%
Turbo Richard run for 4 yds to the BC 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+10
43.2%
Turbo Richard run for 10 yds to the BC 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
42.8%
Grayson James pass complete to Turbo Richard for 4 yds to the CONN 48Similar
Q1 12:27
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+1
42.2%
Turbo Richard run for 1 yd to the CONN 47Similar
Q1 11:47
3RD & 5
OPP 47
+1
41.5%
Turbo Richard run for 1 yd to the CONN 46Similar
Q1 11:07
4TH & 4
OPP 46
+16
40.5%
Grayson James pass complete to Dawson Pough for 16 yds to the CONN 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-1
40.7%
Grayson James sacked by Aaron Key for a loss of 1 yard to the CONN 31Similar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 11
OPP 31
+2
40.0%
Jordan McDonald run for 2 yds to the CONN 29Similar
Q1 9:23
3RD & 9
OPP 29
0
39.4%
Grayson James pass incomplete to Kaelan ChudzinskiSimilar
Q1 9:13
4TH & 9
OPP 29
+47
40.1%
Luca Lombardo 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 2TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:5760% → 67%
Q1 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
40.1%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Skyler Bell for 2 yds to the CONN 27Similar
Q1 8:40
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+1
40.4%
Cam Edwards run for 1 yd to the CONN 28Similar
Q1 8:08
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+15
40.1%
Joe Fagnano pass incomplete to John Neider for a 1ST down Boston College Penalty, off-side (Quintayvious Hutchins) to the CONN 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-10
39.4%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Sione Moa for no gain to the CONN 43 UConn Penalty, Offensive holding (Skyler Bell) to the CONN 33Similar
Q1 7:37
1ST & 20
OWN 33
+9
39.6%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Skyler Bell for 9 yds to the CONN 42Similar
Q1 7:16
2ND & 11
OWN 42
+4
39.1%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Skyler Bell for 4 yds to the CONN 46Similar
Q1 6:37
3RD & 7
OWN 46
+4
38.5%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Skyler Bell for 19 yds to the BC 35 for a 1ST down UConn Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Skyler Bell) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:16
1ST & 10
50
+50
33.5%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Javonte Vereen for 50 yds for a TD Boston College Penalty, Defensive holding (Isaiah Farris) to the BC 0 (Chris Freeman KICK) (Chris Freeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 3FG
15 plays · 67 yds · 5:2434% → 31%
Q1 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
33.9%
Turbo Richard run for 6 yds to the BC 35Similar
Q1 5:24
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+9
33.7%
Jordan McDonald run for 9 yds to the BC 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
33.5%
Grayson James pass complete to VJ Wilkins for 8 yds to the CONN 48Similar
Q1 4:11
2ND & 2
OPP 48
+1
33.1%
Jordan McDonald run for 1 yd to the CONN 47Similar
Q1 3:31
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+6
32.3%
Jordan McDonald run for 6 yds to the CONN 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+13
32.1%
Jordan McDonald run for 13 yds to the CONN 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:46
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+13
32.9%
Jordan McDonald run for 13 yds to the CONN 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:22
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
33.0%
Jordan McDonald run for 6 yds to the CONN 9Similar
Q1 2:05
2ND & 4
OPP 9
0
32.7%
Jordan McDonald run for no gain to the CONN 9Similar
Q1 1:28
3RD & 4
OPP 9
+7
31.7%
Grayson James pass incomplete to Kaelan Chudzinski for a 1ST down UConn Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Cam Chadwick) to the CONN 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
32.1%
Jordan McDonald run for a loss of 2 yards to the CONN 4Similar
Q1 0:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
31.5%
Grayson James pass incomplete to Zeke MooreSimilar
Q1 0:38
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
31.0%
Grayson James pass incomplete to Reed HarrisSimilar
Q1 0:35
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
31.4%
Luca Lombardo 22 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 4TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 3:4265% → 68%
Q1 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
34.9%
Joe Fagnano pass incomplete to John Neider, broken up by Carter Davis UConn Penalty, inelgible downfield on pass (-5 Yards) to the CONN 15Similar
Q1 0:22
1ST & 15
OWN 15
+7
35.0%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Reymello Murphy for 7 yds to the CONN 22Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+23
34.8%
Joe Fagnano run for 8 yds to the CONN 30 Boston College Penalty, personal foul (Micah Amedee) to the CONN 45Similar
Q2 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
34.1%
Joe Fagnano pass incomplete to Skyler BellSimilar
Q2 14:33
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+5
34.4%
Victor Rosa run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 13:57
3RD & 5
50
+26
33.4%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to John Neider for 26 yds to the BC 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
32.9%
Victor Rosa run for 2 yds to the BC 22Similar
Q2 12:49
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+15
32.4%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Alex Honig for 15 yds to the BC 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
32.0%
Victor Rosa run for 5 yds to the BC 2Similar
Q2 11:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
31.7%
Joe Fagnano 2 Yd Run (Chris Freeman Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 5TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:1031% → 27%
Q2 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
31.3%
Jordan McDonald run for 2 yds to the BC 27Similar
Q2 11:05
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+17
30.9%
Jordan McDonald run for 17 yds to the BC 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
32.1%
Grayson James run for 9 yds to the CONN 47Similar
Q2 10:22
2ND & 1
OPP 47
+8
32.2%
Jordan McDonald run for 8 yds to the CONN 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:58
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+20
32.7%
Grayson James run for 20 yds to the CONN 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
33.5%
Grayson James pass complete to Reed Harris for 4 yds to the CONN 15Similar
Q2 9:07
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+6
33.3%
Grayson James run for 6 yds to the CONN 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-2
33.0%
Grayson James run for a loss of 2 yards to the CONN 11Similar
Q2 8:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+2
32.9%
Jordan McDonald run for 2 yds to the CONN 9Similar
Q2 7:31
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
27.3%
Kaelan Chudzinski 9 Yd pass from Grayson James (Luca Lombardo Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 6FG
6 plays · 38 yds · 1:3976% → 77%
Q2 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+40
23.9%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Alex Honig for 40 yds to the BC 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-2
23.3%
Skyler Bell run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 22Similar
Q2 6:19
2ND & 12
OPP 22
0
23.0%
Joe Fagnano pass incomplete to Javonte Vereen, broken up by Bryce SteeleSimilar
Q2 6:02
3RD & 12
OPP 22
0
23.8%
Joe Fagnano pass incomplete to Reymello Murphy, broken up by Isaiah FarrisSimilar
Q2 5:52
4TH & 12
OPP 22
+40
22.9%
C. Freeman 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 2:1119% → 16%
Q2 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
18.5%
Jordan McDonald run for 10 yds to the BC 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
18.3%
Jordan McDonald run for 2 yds to the BC 37Similar
Q2 4:59
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+1
18.2%
Jordan McDonald run for 1 yd to the BC 38Similar
Q2 4:18
3RD & 7
OWN 38
-4
17.5%
Grayson James sacked by Amir Renwick for a loss of 4 yards to the BC 34Similar
Q2 3:39
4TH & 11
OWN 34
+10
16.4%
Shamus Florio punt for 47 yds , Jackson Harper returns for 10 yds to the CONN 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 1:3886% → 89%
Q2 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
13.9%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Javonte Vereen for 4 yds to the CONN 33Similar
Q2 2:40
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+9
15.8%
Joe Fagnano run for 9 yds to the CONN 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
14.7%
Joe Fagnano pass incomplete to Reymello MurphySimilar
Q2 2:03
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
14.9%
Joe Fagnano pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:56
3RD & 10
OWN 42
0
10.7%
Joe Fagnano run for no gain to the CONN 42 UConn Penalty, Offensive holding (Ben Murawski) to the CONN 42Similar
Q2 1:49
4TH & 10
OWN 42
+21
11.2%
Connor Stutz punt for 41 yds , Isaiah Farris returns for 21 yds to the BC 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 9TD
10 plays · 62 yds · 1:1711% → 11%
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
10.8%
Grayson James pass complete to Dawson Pough for 8 yds to the BC 46Similar
Q2 1:12
2ND & 2
OWN 46
+16
11.4%
Grayson James pass complete to Jeremiah Franklin for 16 yds to the CONN 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
11.5%
Grayson James pass complete to Lewis Bond for 7 yds to the CONN 31Similar
Q2 0:57
2ND & 3
OPP 31
0
12.4%
Grayson James pass incomplete to Reed HarrisSimilar
Q2 0:51
3RD & 3
OPP 31
-5
11.8%
Boston College Penalty, false start (Logan Taylor) to the CONN 36Similar
Q2 0:51
3RD & 8
OPP 36
+3
11.3%
Jordan McDonald run for 3 yds to the CONN 33Similar
Q2 0:47
4TH & 5
OPP 33
+9
11.4%
Grayson James pass complete to Lewis Bond for 9 yds to the CONN 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-5
12.5%
Boston College Penalty, false start (Michael Crounse) to the CONN 29Similar
Q2 0:29
1ST & 15
OPP 29
-10
12.8%
Grayson James pass complete to Lewis Bond for no gain to the CONN 29 Boston College Penalty, Offensive holding (Logan Taylor) to the CONN 39Similar
Q2 0:21
1ST & 25
OPP 39
+39
11.2%
Reed Harris 39 Yd pass from Grayson James (Luca Lombardo Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 10END OF HALF
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-1
10.1%
Joe Fagnano run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 11TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 3:0785% → 83%
Q3 14:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
15.5%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Skyler Bell for 2 yds to the CONN 27Similar
Q3 14:23
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+6
15.2%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Skyler Bell for 6 yds to the CONN 33Similar
Q3 13:41
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+10
14.2%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Shamar Porter for 10 yds to the CONN 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
13.1%
Cam Edwards run for 6 yds to the CONN 49Similar
Q3 12:35
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+8
12.9%
Cam Edwards run for 8 yds to the BC 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+43
16.7%
John Neider 43 Yd pass from Joe Fagnano (Chris Freeman Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 26 yds · 1:5421% → 21%
Q3 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
20.5%
Grayson James run for 9 yds to the BC 34Similar
Q3 11:32
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+11
22.0%
Jordan McDonald run for 11 yds to the BC 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
22.0%
Jordan McDonald run for 3 yds to the BC 48Similar
Q3 10:35
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+3
22.2%
Jordan McDonald run for 3 yds to the CONN 49Similar
Q3 10:03
3RD & 4
OPP 49
0
22.6%
Grayson James pass incomplete to Dawson PoughSimilar
Q3 9:57
4TH & 4
OPP 49
0
21.1%
Shamus Florio punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 13PUNT
10 plays · 45 yds · 5:0781% → 88%
Q3 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+11
18.7%
Cam Edwards run for 11 yds to the CONN 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+9
18.1%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Skyler Bell for 9 yds to the CONN 22Similar
Q3 8:31
2ND & 1
OWN 22
+3
14.8%
Cam Edwards run for 3 yds to the CONN 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
14.8%
Joe Fagnano pass incomplete to Reymello MurphySimilar
Q3 7:47
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+13
15.2%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Skyler Bell for 13 yds to the CONN 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-10
12.4%
Cam Edwards run for no gain to the CONN 38 UConn Penalty, Offensive holding (Ty Chan) to the CONN 28Similar
Q3 6:37
1ST & 20
OWN 28
+6
12.9%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Cam Edwards for 6 yds to the CONN 34Similar
Q3 6:05
2ND & 14
OWN 34
-1
12.9%
Joe Fagnano sacked by Chris Marable Jr. and Sedarius McConnell for a loss of 1 yard to the CONN 33Similar
Q3 5:22
3RD & 15
OWN 33
+14
13.0%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Javonte Vereen for 14 yds to the CONN 47Similar
Q3 4:37
4TH & 1
OWN 47
0
12.4%
Connor Stutz punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:2717% → 15%
Q3 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
17.1%
Grayson James pass incomplete to Reed HarrisSimilar
Q3 4:23
2ND & 10
OWN 7
+2
17.6%
Jordan McDonald run for 2 yds to the BC 9Similar
Q3 3:49
3RD & 8
OWN 9
-4
15.9%
Grayson James sacked by Bryun Parham and Trent Jones II for a loss of 4 yards to the BC 5Similar
Q3 3:09
4TH & 12
OWN 5
0
15.3%
Shamus Florio punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 15TD
5 plays · 45 yds · 2:1690% → 93%
Q3 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+12
10.2%
Cam Edwards run for 12 yds to the BC 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-9
9.8%
Cam Edwards run for 1 yd to the BC 32 UConn Penalty, Offensive holding (Wes Hoeh) to the BC 42Similar
Q3 2:12
1ST & 19
OPP 42
+23
9.8%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Skyler Bell for 23 yds to the BC 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
9.8%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Cam Edwards for 5 yds to the BC 14Similar
Q3 0:49
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+14
6.6%
Javonte Vereen 14 Yd pass from Joe Fagnano (Chris Freeman Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 16FG
15 plays · 78 yds · 5:037% → 7%
Q3 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+22
6.5%
Grayson James run for 7 yds to the BC 22 for a 1ST down UConn Penalty, personal foul (Malachi McLean) to the BC 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
6.8%
Grayson James run for 3 yds to the BC 40Similar
Q3 0:07
2ND & 7
OWN 40
-7
6.7%
Grayson James sacked by Devin Pringle for a loss of 7 yards to the BC 33 Boston College Penalty, intentional grounding (Grayson James) to the BC 33Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 33
+27
5.9%
Grayson James pass complete to Lewis Bond for 27 yds to the CONN 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:42
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
7.3%
Jordan McDonald run for 3 yds to the CONN 37Similar
Q4 13:56
2ND & 7
OPP 37
0
6.8%
Grayson James pass incomplete to Jordan McDonaldSimilar
Q4 13:56
3RD & 7
OPP 37
0
6.7%
Grayson James pass incomplete to Lewis BondSimilar
Q4 13:50
4TH & 7
OPP 37
+13
5.9%
Grayson James pass complete to Lewis Bond for 13 yds to the CONN 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-2
9.6%
Grayson James run for a loss of 2 yards to the CONN 26Similar
Q4 12:45
2ND & 12
OPP 26
+14
8.8%
Bo MacCormack III run for 14 yds to the CONN 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
8.7%
Bo MacCormack III run for 3 yds to the CONN 9Similar
Q4 11:34
2ND & 7
OPP 9
0
8.5%
Grayson James pass incomplete to Jeremiah FranklinSimilar
Q4 11:29
3RD & 7
OPP 9
+2
8.0%
Grayson James run for 2 yds to the CONN 7Similar
Q4 10:40
4TH & 5
OPP 7
+25
7.3%
Luca Lombardo 25 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:3295% → 95%
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
5.3%
Joe Fagnano pass incomplete to Skyler Bell, broken up by Carter DavisSimilar
Q4 10:35
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
5.5%
Victor Rosa run for 5 yds to the CONN 30Similar
Q4 9:52
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+3
5.4%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Jackson Harper for 3 yds to the CONN 33Similar
Q4 9:03
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
5.4%
Connor Stutz punt for 58 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:3611% → 12%
Q4 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+7
11.4%
Jordan McDonald run for 7 yds to the BC 16Similar
Q4 8:30
2ND & 3
OWN 16
+1
11.2%
Jordan McDonald run for 1 yd to the BC 17Similar
Q4 7:51
3RD & 2
OWN 17
-4
9.4%
Grayson James sacked by Bryun Parham and Amir Renwick for a loss of 4 yards to the BC 13Similar
Q4 7:15
4TH & 6
OWN 13
0
11.5%
Shamus Florio punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 19TD
5 plays · 55 yds · 2:0395% → 96%
Q4 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
5.2%
Cam Edwards run for 4 yds to the CONN 49Similar
Q4 6:43
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+7
5.0%
Joe Fagnano run for 7 yds to the BC 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:59
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
4.9%
Cam Edwards run for 6 yds to the BC 38Similar
Q4 5:14
2ND & 4
OPP 38
0
4.0%
Joe Fagnano pass incomplete to Skyler BellSimilar
Q4 5:04
3RD & 4
OPP 38
+38
4.1%
Skyler Bell 38 Yd pass from Joe Fagnano (Chris Freeman Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 20DOWNS
10 plays · 32 yds · 2:2114% → 13%
Q4 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
13.8%
Grayson James pass complete to Lewis Bond for 13 yds to the BC 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
16.5%
Grayson James pass incomplete to Jeremiah FranklinSimilar
Q4 4:37
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+12
16.3%
Grayson James pass complete to Bo MacCormack III for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
50
+9
18.5%
Grayson James pass complete to Reed Harris for 9 yds to the CONN 41Similar
Q4 3:41
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+10
17.9%
Grayson James pass complete to Jeremiah Franklin for 10 yds to the CONN 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
20.4%
Grayson James pass incomplete to Dawson PoughSimilar
Q4 3:14
3RD & 17
OPP 38
-5
15.3%
Grayson James sacked by Bryun Parham for a loss of 5 yards to the CONN 43Similar
Q4 3:13
2ND & 10
OPP 31
-7
21.0%
Grayson James sacked by Oumar Diomande for a loss of 7 yards to the CONN 38Similar
Q4 2:42
4TH & 22
OPP 43
0
13.0%
Grayson James pass incomplete to Reed HarrisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 21Uncategorized
7 plays · 8 yds · 0:3695% → 99%
Q4 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
4.6%
Cam Edwards run for 1 yd to the CONN 44Similar
Q4 2:29
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+1
4.5%
Cam Edwards run for 1 yd to the CONN 45Similar
Q4 2:29
3RD & 8
OWN 45
+3
4.9%
Cam Edwards run for 3 yds to the CONN 48Similar
Q4 2:00
4TH & 5
OWN 48
+5
1.5%
Connor Stutz puntSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-1
1.2%
Joe Fagnano run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 48Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 11
OPP 48
-1
1.2%
Joe Fagnano run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 49Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 12
OPP 49
-1
1.3%
Joe Fagnano run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 7:31
Kaelan Chudzinski 9 Yd pass from Grayson James (Luca Lombardo Kick)
-5.6
TD · Q1 6:16
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Javonte Vereen for 50 yds for a TD Boston College Penalty, Defensive holding (Isaiah Farris) to the BC 0 (Chris Freeman KICK) (Chris Freeman KICK)
-5
TD · Q3 11:51
John Neider 43 Yd pass from Joe Fagnano (Chris Freeman Kick)
+3.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com