PITT
Pittsburgh 30 at Syracuse 13
SYR2025 · Week 8 · Oct 18, 2025 · JMA Wireless Dome
Win probability · SYR
modelSYR aheadPITT aheadconfidence bandkey play
What moved it - hover a play below
Q4 0:00 · M. Heintschel takes a knee
01
Market gave SYR a 25% pregame chance
−46
02
PITT has the ball
−12
03
PITT leading by 17
−2
04
Blowout context favors the offense
−1
Play by play - hover to pin the curve
Q1 14:55
Sam Carpenter kickoff for 60 yds , Tylik Hill return for 19 yds to the SYR 24
0.0
Q1 14:48
Yasin Willis run for 4 yds to the SYR 28
+1.5
Q1 14:23
Yasin Willis run for a loss of 3 yards to the SYR 25
+0.1
Q1 13:44
Rickie Collins pass intercepted Tamon Lynum return for no gain to the SYR 37
0.0
Q1 13:38
Ja'Kyrian Turner run for no gain to the SYR 37
-3.2
Q1 13:02
Mason Heintschel run for 6 yds to the SYR 31
0.0
Q1 12:22
(12:23) PENALTY PITT False Start 5 yards from SYRA31 to SYRA36. NO PLAY.
0.0
Q1 11:49
Mason Heintschel run for 36 yds for a TD (Trey Butkowski KICK)
-6.0
Q1 11:43
Sam Carpenter kickoff for 62 yds , Tylik Hill return for 17 yds to the SYR 48 Syracuse Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the SYR 10
+7.2
Q1 11:37
Yasin Willis run for 1 yd to the SYR 11
-5.2
Q1 11:02
Rickie Collins pass incomplete to Yasin Willis
0.0
Q1 10:52
Rickie Collins pass complete to Darrell Gill Jr. for 7 yds to the SYR 18
0.0
Q1 10:16
Jack Stonehouse punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Kenny Johnson at the PITT 39
0.0
Q1 10:11
Ja'Kyrian Turner run for no gain to the PITT 39
-2.0
Q1 9:46
PENALTY PITT False Start 5 yards from PITT39 to PITT34. NO PLAY.
0.0
Q1 9:29
Mason Heintschel pass complete to Cataurus Hicks for 7 yds to the PITT 41
+0.5
Q1 8:45
Mason Heintschel pass incomplete to Malachi Thomas
-0.6
Q1 8:33
Caleb Junko punt for 48 yds
+0.1
Q1 8:20
Rickie Collins pass complete to Yasin Willis for 3 yds to the SYR 8
+1.5
Q1 7:42
Rickie Collins pass complete to Dan Villari for 3 yds to the SYR 11
0.0
Q1 6:54
Rickie Collins pass complete to Darrell Gill Jr. for 11 yds to the SYR 22 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 6:31
Will Nixon run for 3 yds to the SYR 25
0.0
Q1 5:45
Yasin Willis run for 1 yd to the SYR 26
0.0
Q1 5:07
PENALTY SYRA False Start 5 yards from SYRA26 to SYRA21. NO PLAY.
+0.1
Q1 4:47
Rickie Collins run for no gain to the SYR 21
0.0
Q1 4:28
Jack Stonehouse punt for 55 yds
0.0
Q1 4:23
Mason Heintschel pass incomplete to Kenny Johnson
-1.4
Q1 4:13
Mason Heintschel sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the PITT 18
0.0
Q1 3:36
(03:37) PENALTY PITT False Start 5 yards from PITT18 to PITT13. NO PLAY.
0.0
Q1 3:00
Mason Heintschel pass intercepted Davien Kerr return for 34 yds to the PITT 12
0.0
Q1 2:53
Yasin Willis run for 1 yd to the PITT 11
+2.5
Q1 2:11
Timeout Syracuse, clock 02:11
+0.2
Q1 2:08
Rickie Collins pass complete to Darrell Gill Jr. for 11 yds for a TD (Tripp Woody KICK)
+7.4
Q1 2:08
Jadyn Oh kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
-1.4
Q1 2:02
Desmond Reid run for a loss of 4 yards to the PITT 21
-2.7
Q1 1:25
Syracuse Penalty, Personal Foul (David Omopariola) to the PITT 44 for a 1ST down
+0.1
Q1 0:46
Desmond Reid run for 7 yds to the SYR 49
-0.7
Q1 0:32
Desmond Reid run for 3 yds to the SYR 46 for a 1ST down
-0.2
Q1 0:18
Mason Heintschel pass incomplete to Cataurus Hicks
0.0
Q1 0:00
Ja'Kyrian Turner run for 1 yd to the SYR 45
+0.2
Q2 14:52
Mason Heintschel pass complete to Kenny Johnson for 10 yds to the SYR 35 for a 1ST down
+0.1
Q2 14:27
Mason Heintschel pass incomplete to Juelz Goff
-0.2
Q2 14:18
Mason Heintschel pass complete to Cataurus Hicks for 12 yds to the SYR 23 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 13:40
Ja'Kyrian Turner run for 18 yds to the SYR 5 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 12:50
Ja'Kyrian Turner run for a loss of 1 yard to the SYR 6
0.0
Q2 12:17
Mason Heintschel pass complete to Raphael Williams Jr. for 2 yds to the SYR 4
0.0
Q2 11:39
Mason Heintschel sacked by Devin Grant for a loss of 9 yards to the SYR 13
0.0
Q2 11:00
Trey Butkowski 31 yd FG GOOD
-2.9
Q2 11:00
Sam Carpenter kickoff for 63 yds
+0.4
Q2 10:53
Rickie Collins pass incomplete to Darrell Gill Jr.
+3.2
Q2 10:44
Rickie Collins pass complete to Johntay Cook for 9 yds to the SYR 34
0.0
Q2 10:23
Will Nixon run for 1 yd to the SYR 35 for a 1ST down
+0.1
Q2 9:51
Rickie Collins pass complete to Johntay Cook for 7 yds to the SYR 42
-0.9
Q2 9:23
Will Nixon run for 2 yds to the SYR 44
+0.3
Q2 9:00
Rickie Collins run for 3 yds to the SYR 47 for a 1ST down
-0.1
Q2 8:17
Rickie Collins pass complete to Dan Villari for 7 yds to the PITT 46
+0.1
Q2 7:42
(07:47) No Huddle-Shotgun Willis,Yasin rush middle for 1 yard gain to the PITT45 (Lindsey,Cameron) PENALTY SYRA Holding 10 yards from PITT46 to SYRA44. NO PLAY.
-0.2
Q2 7:11
Rickie Collins pass complete to Johntay Cook for 5 yds to the SYR 49
-0.5
Q2 6:32
Rickie Collins run for 3 yds to the PITT 48
0.0
Q2 5:42
Jack Stonehouse punt for 43 yds
+0.7
Q2 5:36
Desmond Reid run for 19 yds to the PITT 24 for a 1ST down Pittsburgh Penalty, Personal Foul (Desmond Reid) to the PITT 12 for a 1ST down
-2.7
Q2 5:15
Mason Heintschel sacked by David Reese for a loss of 3 yards to the PITT 9
0.0
Q2 4:36
Mason Heintschel pass complete to Jake Overman for 10 yds to the PITT 19 for a 1ST down
+0.5
Q2 4:18
Desmond Reid run for no gain to the PITT 19
0.0
Q2 3:40
Mason Heintschel pass complete to Jake Overman for 5 yds to the PITT 24
0.0
Q2 3:17
PENALTY PITT False Start 5 yards from PITT24 to PITT19. NO PLAY.
0.0
Q2 2:53
Pittsburgh Penalty, Offensive Holding (Yards) declined
0.0
Q2 2:43
Caleb Junko punt for 49 yds
0.0
Q2 2:36
(02:36) No Huddle-Shotgun Collins,Rickie pass incomplete deep right to Cook II,Johntay thrown to PITT40 PENALTY PITT Personal Foul 15 yards from SYRA37 to PITT48, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
+2.0
Q2 2:30
Yasin Willis run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard line
+0.9
Q2 2:00
Timeout Syracuse, clock 02:00
-0.4
Q2 1:49
Rickie Collins pass intercepted Cruce Brookins return for 19 yds to the PITT 39
0.0
Q2 1:44
Ja'Kyrian Turner run for 5 yds Pittsburgh Penalty, Offensive Holding (Desmond Reid) to the PITT 34
-2.6
Q2 1:31
Pittsburgh Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the PITT 30
+0.3
Q2 1:24
Ja'Kyrian Turner run for 4 yds to the PITT 34
0.0
Q2 0:47
(00:53) No Huddle-Shotgun Heintschel,Mason pass complete short right to Thomas,Malachi caught at PITT36, for 2 yards to the PITT36 (Tremble,Jamie) PENALTY PITT Holding 10 yards from PITT34 to PITT24. NO PLAY.
-0.5
Q2 0:41
Mason Heintschel run for 11 yds to the PITT 35
0.0
Q2 0:40
Timeout Syracuse, clock 00:40
0.0
Q2 0:36
Mason Heintschel pass incomplete to Kenny Johnson
0.0
Q2 0:30
Caleb Junko punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Davien Kerr at the SYR 20
0.0
Q2 0:26
Rickie Collins pass incomplete to Dan Villari
+2.4
Q2 0:21
Rickie Collins pass complete to Will Nixon for 3 yds to the SYR 23
0.0
Q2 0:18
Rickie Collins pass incomplete to Dan Villari
0.0
Q2 0:02
Jack Stonehouse punt for 43 yds , Kenny Johnson returns for 66 yds for a TD (Trey Butkowski KICK)
-6.8
Q2 0:00
Sam Carpenter kickoff for 59 yds , Tylik Hill return for 38 yds to the SYR 44
-0.2
Q3 15:00
Jadyn Oh kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
+0.2
Q3 14:55
Ja'Kyrian Turner run for a loss of 1 yard to the PITT 24
+0.3
Q3 14:14
Mason Heintschel pass complete to Kenny Johnson for 24 yds to the PITT 48 for a 1ST down
+0.2
Q3 14:02
Ja'Kyrian Turner run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line
-0.4
Q3 13:32
Ja'Kyrian Turner run for 9 yds to the SYR 41 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 13:02
Mason Heintschel pass complete to Malachi Thomas for 20 yds to the SYR 21 for a 1ST down
-0.1
Q3 12:47
Ja'Kyrian Turner run for 1 yd to the SYR 20
0.0
Q3 12:06
Mason Heintschel pass incomplete to Kenny Johnson
0.0
Q3 11:54
Mason Heintschel sacked by Kevin Jobity Jr. for a loss of 4 yards to the SYR 24
0.0
Q3 11:20
Trey Butkowski 42 yd FG GOOD
-2.0
Q3 11:13
Sam Carpenter kickoff for 59 yds , Tylik Hill return for 16 yds to the SYR 22
+0.1
Q3 11:08
Yasin Willis run for a loss of 1 yard to the SYR 21
+0.6
Q3 10:26
Luke Carney run for 6 yds to the SYR 27
0.0
Q3 9:43
Will Nixon run for 3 yds to the SYR 30
+0.1
Q3 9:02
Jack Stonehouse punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Kenny Johnson at the PITT 28
0.0
Q3 8:56
Juelz Goff run for 1 yd to the PITT 29
-0.6
Q3 8:13
Mason Heintschel run for 3 yds to the PITT 32
0.0
Q3 7:40
Mason Heintschel sacked by Kevin Jobity Jr. for a loss of 6 yards to the PITT 26
-0.2
Q3 7:01
Caleb Junko punt for 60 yds , Davien Kerr returns for 6 yds to the SYR 20
0.0
Q3 6:48
Luke Carney pass complete to Darrell Gill Jr. for 5 yds to the SYR 25
+0.7
Q3 6:13
Luke Carney run for 1 yd to the SYR 26
-0.1
Q3 5:27
Luke Carney pass complete to Will Nixon for 5 yds to the SYR 31 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 5:15
Will Nixon run for no gain to the SYR 31
-0.1
Q3 4:37
Luke Carney run for 2 yds to the SYR 33
+0.2
Q3 4:01
Luke Carney pass incomplete
+0.2
Q3 3:53
Jack Stonehouse punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Kenny Johnson at the PITT 20
0.0
Q3 3:47
Ja'Kyrian Turner run for a loss of 1 yard to the PITT 19
-1.0
Q3 3:22
Mason Heintschel pass incomplete to Ja'Kyrian Turner
0.0
Q3 3:09
Mason Heintschel sacked by Jamie Tremble for a loss of 2 yards to the PITT 17
0.0
Q3 2:37
Caleb Junko punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SYR 47
0.0
Q3 2:31
Yasin Willis run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line
+1.0
Q3 1:56
Yasin Willis run for a loss of 2 yards to the SYR 48
0.0
Q3 1:17
Rickie Collins sacked by Nick Lapi for a loss of 12 yards to the SYR 36
-0.1
Q3 0:42
Jack Stonehouse punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Kenny Johnson at the PITT 17
-0.1
Q3 0:36
Desmond Reid run for 13 yds to the PITT 30 for a 1ST down
-0.8
Q3 0:02
(00:04) No Huddle-Shotgun Heintschel,Mason pass incomplete deep left to Hicks,Cataurus thrown to SYRA45 PENALTY SYRA Offside 5 yards from PITT30 to PITT35. NO PLAY.
0.0
Q3 0:00
Juelz Goff run for 7 yds to the PITT 42 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 14:57
Mason Heintschel pass incomplete to Raphael Williams Jr.
-0.2
Q4 14:49
Juelz Goff run for a loss of 2 yards to the PITT 40
-0.3
Q4 14:01
Mason Heintschel pass complete to Deuce Spann for 2 yds to the PITT 42
-0.1
Q4 13:26
Caleb Junko punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Davien Kerr at the SYR 9
0.0
Q4 13:16
Rickie Collins pass complete to Johntay Cook for 9 yds to the SYR 18
+0.8
Q4 12:52
Yasin Willis run for 5 yds to the SYR 23 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 12:23
Rickie Collins pass incomplete to Darrell Gill Jr.
+0.1
Q4 12:12
Rickie Collins run for 17 yds to the SYR 40 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 11:37
Rickie Collins pass intercepted Kavir Bains-Marquez return for 57 yds to the SYR 18
+0.1
Q4 11:30
Ja'Kyrian Turner run for 4 yds to the SYR 14
-1.6
Q4 10:57
Mason Heintschel pass incomplete to Cataurus Hicks
-0.2
Q4 10:52
Mason Heintschel pass incomplete to Raphael Williams Jr.
0.0
Q4 10:48
Trey Butkowski 32 yd FG GOOD
-0.7
Q4 10:41
Sam Carpenter kickoff for 59 yds , Tylik Hill return for 29 yds to the SYR 35
0.0
Q4 10:30
Rickie Collins pass complete to Dan Villari for 9 yds to the SYR 44
+0.3
Q4 10:13
Syracuse Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the SYR 39
0.0
Q4 9:58
Rickie Collins pass incomplete to Darrell Gill Jr.
0.0
Q4 9:49
Syracuse Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the SYR 29
0.0
Q4 9:09
Rickie Collins run for 13 yds to the SYR 37
0.0
Q4 8:47
Timeout Pittsburgh, clock 08:47
+0.1
Q4 8:41
Pittsburgh Penalty, Defensive Offside (Desmond Reid) declined
0.0
Q4 8:35
Rickie Collins pass complete to Johntay Cook for 26 yds to the PITT 37 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 8:23
Rickie Collins run for 24 yds to the PITT 13 for a 1ST down
-0.2
Q4 8:00
Yasin Willis run for 4 yds to the PITT 9
+0.1
Q4 7:43
Yasin Willis run for 6 yds to the PITT 3 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 7:17
Yasin Willis run for a loss of 1 yard to the PITT 4
0.0
Q4 6:42
(06:47) No Huddle-Shotgun Collins,Rickie pass incomplete short left to Ross-Simmons,Justus thrown to PITT00 PENALTY PITT Pass Interference 2 yards from PITT04 to PITT02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
0.0
Q4 6:37
(06:41) No Huddle-Shotgun Willis,Yasin rush left for 2 yards loss to the PITT04 (Ibrahim,Abe) PENALTY SYRA Holding 10 yards from PITT02 to PITT12. NO PLAY.
0.0
Q4 6:19
Rickie Collins pass complete to Emanuel Ross for 12 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
+2.7
Q4 6:18
Jadyn Oh kickoff for 10 yds
-0.4
Q4 6:15
Rickie Collins pass incomplete to Yasin Willis
+0.1
Q4 6:09
(06:13) No Huddle-Shotgun Collins,Rickie pass incomplete deep right to Ross,Emanuel thrown to PITT35 PENALTY PITT Offside 5 yards from SYRA45 to SYRA50. NO PLAY.
0.0
Q4 6:09
PENALTY SYRA False Start 5 yards from SYRA50 to SYRA45. NO PLAY.
0.0
Q4 5:55
Syracuse Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the SYR 40
0.0
Q4 5:38
Rickie Collins pass incomplete to Darrell Gill Jr.
-0.2
Q4 5:38
PENALTY SYRA False Start 5 yards from SYRA40 to SYRA35. NO PLAY.
0.0
Q4 5:32
Rickie Collins pass incomplete to Darrell Gill Jr.
-0.1
Q4 5:25
Rickie Collins pass incomplete to Jaylan Hornsby
-0.5
Q4 5:25
Rickie Collins pass incomplete to Jaylan Hornsby
0.0
Q4 5:20
Ja'Kyrian Turner run for no gain to the SYR 35
-0.5
Q4 5:15
Timeout Syracuse, clock 05:15
-0.4
Q4 5:05
Kenny Johnson run for 9 yds to the SYR 26
-0.1
Q4 4:30
Mason Heintschel run for 2 yds to the SYR 24 for a 1ST down Syracuse Penalty, Personal Foul (12 Yards) to the SYR 12 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 4:03
PENALTY PITT Illegal Use Of Hands 10 yards from SYRA12 to SYRA22. NO PLAY.
-0.2
Q4 3:51
PENALTY PITT Personal Foul 15 yards from SYRA22 to SYRA37. NO PLAY.
0.0
Q4 3:51
Ja'Kyrian Turner run for 1 yd to the SYR 36
0.0
Q4 3:51
Mason Heintschel pass complete to Kenny Johnson for 17 yds to the SYR 19
0.0
Q4 3:51
Mason Heintschel pass complete to Raphael Williams Jr. for 15 yds to the SYR 4
0.0
Q4 3:41
Timeout Syracuse, clock 03:41
0.0
Q4 3:41
Juelz Goff run for 2 yds to the SYR 2 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 3:41
Juelz Goff run for 1 yd to the SYR 1
0.0
Q4 3:41
Juelz Goff run for no gain to the SYR 1
0.0
Q4 2:00
Timeout Syracuse, clock 02:00
0.0
Q4 1:57
Juelz Goff run for 1 yd for a TD (Trey Butkowski KICK)
-1.5
Q4 1:57
Sam Carpenter kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
0.0
Q4 1:57
Rickie Collins pass complete to Johntay Cook for 10 yds to the SYR 35 for a 1ST down
+0.3
Q4 1:57
Rickie Collins pass incomplete to Darrell Gill Jr.
0.0
Q4 1:57
Rickie Collins sacked by Isaiah Neal for a loss of 11 yards to the SYR 24
0.0
Q4 1:57
Rickie Collins pass incomplete to Jaylan Hornsby
0.0
Q4 0:55
Rickie Collins pass incomplete to Emanuel Ross
0.0
Q4 0:55
M. Heintschel takes a knee
-0.3
Q4 0:00
M. Heintschel takes a knee
0.0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 2:08
Rickie Collins pass complete to Darrell Gill Jr. for 11 yds for a TD (Tripp Woody KICK)
+7.4
KEY PLAY · Q1 11:43
Sam Carpenter kickoff for 62 yds , Tylik Hill return for 17 yds to the SYR 48 Syracuse Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the SYR 10
+7.2
PUNT · Q2 0:02
Jack Stonehouse punt for 43 yds , Kenny Johnson returns for 66 yds for a TD (Trey Butkowski KICK)
-6.8