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PITT

Pittsburgh 30 at Syracuse 13

SYR
2025 · Week 8 · Oct 18, 2025 · JMA Wireless Dome
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Win probability · SYR
modelSYR aheadPITT aheadconfidence bandkey playSYR scorePITT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · M. Heintschel takes a knee
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 11:49: Mason Heintschel run for 36 yds for a TD (Trey Butkowski KICK) — PITT win probability +0.6 pts (now 77%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 2:08: Rickie Collins pass complete to Darrell Gill Jr. for 11 yds for a TD (Tripp Woody KICK) — SYR win probability +4.6 pts (now 31%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 11:20: Trey Butkowski 42 yd FG GOOD — PITT win probability +4.8 pts (now 84%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 6:19: Rickie Collins pass complete to Emanuel Ross for 12 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — SYR win probability +8.6 pts (now 16%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:57: Juelz Goff run for 1 yd for a TD (Trey Butkowski KICK) — PITT win probability +2.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SYR made the numbers' call on 4 of 11PITT made the numbers' call on 10 of 10
  1. Q1 10:16SYR 4th & 2 at SYR 18, down 7
    Close callPunted · 29.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.0%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:33PITT 4th & 8 at PITT 41, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.7%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:28SYR 4th & 11 at SYR 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.1%−0.6
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:00PITT 4th & 13 at SYR 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 63.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.0%−0.9
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.0%
    85% to make
    Punt
    59.4%−3.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:42SYR 4th & 5 at PITT 48, down 3
    Close callPunted · 36.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.1%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.9%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:43PITT 4th & 15 at PITT 14, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.6%−3.0
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:30PITT 4th & 14 at PITT 35, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.6%−2.2
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:02SYR 4th & 7 at SYR 23, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.0%−1.3
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:20PITT 4th & 13 at SYR 24, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 75.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.0%−1.8
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.8%
    68% to make
    Punt
    68.6%−6.3
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:02SYR 4th & 2 at SYR 30, down 13
    Close callPunted · 20.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.9%−0.7
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:01PITT 4th & 12 at PITT 26, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.2%−2.6
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:53SYR 4th & 8 at SYR 33, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.2%−1.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.3%
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:37PITT 4th & 13 at PITT 17, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.6%−2.9
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.6%
    average punt
  14. Q3 0:42SYR 4th & 21 at SYR 36, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.3%−2.0
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.3%
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:26PITT 4th & 10 at PITT 42, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.2%−2.0
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.2%
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:48PITT 4th & 6 at SYR 14, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 91.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.6%−0.5
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.0%
    84% to make
    Punt
    83.8%−7.2
    average punt
  17. Q4 8:35SYR 4th & 8 at SYR 37, down 16
    Close callWent for it · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.9%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.2%
    average punt
  18. Q4 5:25SYR 4th & 20 at SYR 35, down 10
    Numbers favored punt by 1.6 ptsWent for it · 9.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.6%−1.6
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.1%
    average punt
  19. Q4 5:25SYR 4th & 20 at SYR 35, down 10
    Numbers favored punt by 1.6 ptsWent for it · 9.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.6%−1.6
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.1%
    average punt
  20. Q4 3:41PITT 4th & 2 at SYR 4, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.7%
    50% to convert
    Field goal
    88.5%−1.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    82.9%−6.9
    average punt
  21. Q4 0:55SYR 4th & 21 at SYR 24, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.8%−0.1
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SYR made the numbers' call on 1 of 2PITT made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 11:49PITT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:08SYR Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 6:19SYR Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    12.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    11.5%−0.9
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 1:57PITT Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SYRDrive 1INT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:0423% → 24%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
23.0%
Yasin Willis run for 4 yds to the SYR 28Similar
Q1 14:23
2ND & 6
OWN 28
-3
23.2%
Yasin Willis run for a loss of 3 yards to the SYR 25Similar
Q1 13:44
3RD & 9
OWN 25
0
23.5%
Rickie Collins pass intercepted Tamon Lynum return for no gain to the SYR 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 2TD
5 plays · 37 yds · 1:4977% → 77%
Q1 13:38
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
23.4%
Ja'Kyrian Turner run for no gain to the SYR 37Similar
Q1 13:02
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+6
23.7%
Mason Heintschel run for 6 yds to the SYR 31Similar
Q1 12:22
3RD & 4
OPP 31
-5
24.0%
(12:23) PENALTY PITT False Start 5 yards from SYRA31 to SYRA36. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:49
3RD & 9
OPP 36
+36
23.4%
Mason Heintschel run for 36 yds for a TD (Trey Butkowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:2124% → 24%
Q1 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
23.6%
Yasin Willis run for 1 yd to the SYR 11Similar
Q1 11:02
2ND & 9
OWN 11
0
23.7%
Rickie Collins pass incomplete to Yasin WillisSimilar
Q1 10:52
3RD & 9
OWN 11
+7
23.6%
Rickie Collins pass complete to Darrell Gill Jr. for 7 yds to the SYR 18Similar
Q1 10:16
4TH & 2
OWN 18
0
23.7%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Kenny Johnson at the PITT 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:3876% → 76%
Q1 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
23.6%
Ja'Kyrian Turner run for no gain to the PITT 39Similar
Q1 9:46
2ND & 10
OWN 39
-5
23.8%
PENALTY PITT False Start 5 yards from PITT39 to PITT34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:29
2ND & 15
OWN 34
+7
24.1%
Mason Heintschel pass complete to Cataurus Hicks for 7 yds to the PITT 41Similar
Q1 8:45
3RD & 8
OWN 41
0
23.8%
Mason Heintschel pass incomplete to Malachi ThomasSimilar
Q1 8:33
4TH & 8
OWN 41
0
24.1%
Caleb Junko punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 3:5224% → 24%
Q1 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+3
24.2%
Rickie Collins pass complete to Yasin Willis for 3 yds to the SYR 8Similar
Q1 7:42
2ND & 13
OWN 8
+3
24.3%
Rickie Collins pass complete to Dan Villari for 3 yds to the SYR 11Similar
Q1 6:54
3RD & 10
OWN 11
+11
24.2%
Rickie Collins pass complete to Darrell Gill Jr. for 11 yds to the SYR 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
24.5%
Will Nixon run for 3 yds to the SYR 25Similar
Q1 5:45
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+1
24.8%
Yasin Willis run for 1 yd to the SYR 26Similar
Q1 5:07
3RD & 6
OWN 26
-5
24.6%
PENALTY SYRA False Start 5 yards from SYRA26 to SYRA21. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:47
3RD & 11
OWN 21
0
24.5%
Rickie Collins run for no gain to the SYR 21Similar
Q1 4:28
4TH & 11
OWN 21
0
24.4%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 55 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 6INT
4 plays · -11 yds · 1:2375% → 75%
Q1 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
24.7%
Mason Heintschel pass incomplete to Kenny JohnsonSimilar
Q1 4:13
2ND & 10
OWN 24
-6
24.8%
Mason Heintschel sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the PITT 18Similar
Q1 3:36
3RD & 16
OWN 18
-5
25.3%
(03:37) PENALTY PITT False Start 5 yards from PITT18 to PITT13. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:00
3RD & 21
OWN 13
-34
25.4%
Mason Heintschel pass intercepted Davien Kerr return for 34 yds to the PITT 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 7TD
3 plays · 12 yds · 0:4527% → 31%
Q1 2:53
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
26.9%
Yasin Willis run for 1 yd to the PITT 11Similar
Q1 2:08
2ND & 9
OPP 11
+11
31.0%
Rickie Collins pass complete to Darrell Gill Jr. for 11 yds for a TD (Tripp Woody KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 8FG
15 plays · 62 yds · 6:0271% → 70%
Q1 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
28.8%
Desmond Reid run for a loss of 4 yards to the PITT 21Similar
Q1 1:25
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+15
29.3%
Syracuse Penalty, Personal Foul (David Omopariola) to the PITT 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
28.3%
Desmond Reid run for 7 yds to the SYR 49Similar
Q1 0:32
2ND & 3
OPP 49
+3
28.0%
Desmond Reid run for 3 yds to the SYR 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
28.2%
Mason Heintschel pass incomplete to Cataurus HicksSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+1
28.4%
Ja'Kyrian Turner run for 1 yd to the SYR 45Similar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 9
OPP 45
+10
28.9%
Mason Heintschel pass complete to Kenny Johnson for 10 yds to the SYR 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:27
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
28.1%
Mason Heintschel pass incomplete to Juelz GoffSimilar
Q2 14:18
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+12
28.2%
Mason Heintschel pass complete to Cataurus Hicks for 12 yds to the SYR 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+18
28.2%
Ja'Kyrian Turner run for 18 yds to the SYR 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
28.5%
Ja'Kyrian Turner run for a loss of 1 yard to the SYR 6Similar
Q2 12:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
28.7%
Mason Heintschel pass complete to Raphael Williams Jr. for 2 yds to the SYR 4Similar
Q2 11:39
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
-9
29.5%
Mason Heintschel sacked by Devin Grant for a loss of 9 yards to the SYR 13Similar
Q2 11:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 13
+31
29.9%
Trey Butkowski 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 9PUNT
12 plays · 27 yds · 5:1130% → 31%
Q2 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
29.8%
Rickie Collins pass incomplete to Darrell Gill Jr.Similar
Q2 10:44
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
29.7%
Rickie Collins pass complete to Johntay Cook for 9 yds to the SYR 34Similar
Q2 10:23
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
30.5%
Will Nixon run for 1 yd to the SYR 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
30.1%
Rickie Collins pass complete to Johntay Cook for 7 yds to the SYR 42Similar
Q2 9:23
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+2
32.0%
Will Nixon run for 2 yds to the SYR 44Similar
Q2 9:00
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+3
31.6%
Rickie Collins run for 3 yds to the SYR 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
32.4%
Rickie Collins pass complete to Dan Villari for 7 yds to the PITT 46Similar
Q2 7:42
2ND & 3
OPP 46
-10
32.2%
(07:47) No Huddle-Shotgun Willis,Yasin rush middle for 1 yard gain to the PITT45 (Lindsey,Cameron) PENALTY SYRA Holding 10 yards from PITT46 to SYRA44. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:11
2ND & 13
OWN 44
+5
30.6%
Rickie Collins pass complete to Johntay Cook for 5 yds to the SYR 49Similar
Q2 6:32
3RD & 8
OWN 49
+3
31.3%
Rickie Collins run for 3 yds to the PITT 48Similar
Q2 5:42
4TH & 5
OPP 48
0
31.1%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 9 yds · 2:5369% → 67%
Q2 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+7
30.8%
Desmond Reid run for 19 yds to the PITT 24 for a 1ST down Pittsburgh Penalty, Personal Foul (Desmond Reid) to the PITT 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:15
1ST & 5
OWN 12
-3
30.5%
Mason Heintschel sacked by David Reese for a loss of 3 yards to the PITT 9Similar
Q2 4:36
2ND & 8
OWN 9
+10
31.4%
Mason Heintschel pass complete to Jake Overman for 10 yds to the PITT 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
30.8%
Desmond Reid run for no gain to the PITT 19Similar
Q2 3:40
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+5
31.3%
Mason Heintschel pass complete to Jake Overman for 5 yds to the PITT 24Similar
Q2 3:17
3RD & 5
OWN 24
-5
31.8%
PENALTY PITT False Start 5 yards from PITT24 to PITT19. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:53
3RD & 10
OWN 19
0
32.4%
Pittsburgh Penalty, Offensive Holding (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 2:43
4TH & 15
OWN 14
0
33.2%
Caleb Junko punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 11INT
4 plays · 13 yds · 0:4732% → 33%
Q2 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
32.3%
(02:36) No Huddle-Shotgun Collins,Rickie pass incomplete deep right to Cook II,Johntay thrown to PITT40 PENALTY PITT Personal Foul 15 yards from SYRA37 to PITT48, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-2
34.6%
Yasin Willis run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 1:49
2ND & 12
50
-19
33.0%
Rickie Collins pass intercepted Cruce Brookins return for 19 yds to the PITT 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · -4 yds · 1:1471% → 68%
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-5
29.2%
Ja'Kyrian Turner run for 5 yds Pittsburgh Penalty, Offensive Holding (Desmond Reid) to the PITT 34Similar
Q2 1:31
1ST & 15
OWN 34
-15
31.0%
Pittsburgh Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the PITT 30Similar
Q2 1:24
1ST & 19
OWN 30
+4
31.0%
Ja'Kyrian Turner run for 4 yds to the PITT 34Similar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 15
OWN 34
-10
31.3%
(00:53) No Huddle-Shotgun Heintschel,Mason pass complete short right to Thomas,Malachi caught at PITT36, for 2 yards to the PITT36 (Tremble,Jamie) PENALTY PITT Holding 10 yards from PITT34 to PITT24. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:41
2ND & 25
OWN 24
+11
31.5%
Mason Heintschel run for 11 yds to the PITT 35Similar
Q2 0:36
3RD & 14
OWN 35
0
31.4%
Mason Heintschel pass incomplete to Kenny JohnsonSimilar
Q2 0:30
4TH & 14
OWN 35
0
32.0%
Caleb Junko punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Davien Kerr at the SYR 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 13PUNT RETURN TD
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:2429% → 19%
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
28.8%
Rickie Collins pass incomplete to Dan VillariSimilar
Q2 0:21
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+3
28.6%
Rickie Collins pass complete to Will Nixon for 3 yds to the SYR 23Similar
Q2 0:18
3RD & 7
OWN 23
0
27.6%
Rickie Collins pass incomplete to Dan VillariSimilar
Q2 0:02
4TH & 7
OWN 23
+66
18.6%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 43 yds , Kenny Johnson returns for 66 yds for a TD (Trey Butkowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 14FG
11 plays · 51 yds · 3:3577% → 84%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
22.7%
Ja'Kyrian Turner run for a loss of 1 yard to the PITT 24Similar
Q3 14:14
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+24
23.0%
Mason Heintschel pass complete to Kenny Johnson for 24 yds to the PITT 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
21.5%
Ja'Kyrian Turner run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 13:32
2ND & 8
50
+9
21.3%
Ja'Kyrian Turner run for 9 yds to the SYR 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+20
20.8%
Mason Heintschel pass complete to Malachi Thomas for 20 yds to the SYR 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:47
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
20.4%
Ja'Kyrian Turner run for 1 yd to the SYR 20Similar
Q3 12:06
2ND & 9
OPP 20
0
20.4%
Mason Heintschel pass incomplete to Kenny JohnsonSimilar
Q3 11:54
3RD & 9
OPP 20
-4
21.1%
Mason Heintschel sacked by Kevin Jobity Jr. for a loss of 4 yards to the SYR 24Similar
Q3 11:20
4TH & 13
OPP 24
+42
16.3%
Trey Butkowski 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:0620% → 19%
Q3 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-1
19.7%
Yasin Willis run for a loss of 1 yard to the SYR 21Similar
Q3 10:26
2ND & 11
OWN 21
+6
19.7%
Luke Carney run for 6 yds to the SYR 27Similar
Q3 9:43
3RD & 5
OWN 27
+3
19.3%
Will Nixon run for 3 yds to the SYR 30Similar
Q3 9:02
4TH & 2
OWN 30
0
18.8%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Kenny Johnson at the PITT 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:5584% → 84%
Q3 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
15.9%
Juelz Goff run for 1 yd to the PITT 29Similar
Q3 8:13
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+3
15.8%
Mason Heintschel run for 3 yds to the PITT 32Similar
Q3 7:40
3RD & 6
OWN 32
-6
15.3%
Mason Heintschel sacked by Kevin Jobity Jr. for a loss of 6 yards to the PITT 26Similar
Q3 7:01
4TH & 12
OWN 26
+6
16.0%
Caleb Junko punt for 60 yds , Davien Kerr returns for 6 yds to the SYR 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 2:5518% → 16%
Q3 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
18.4%
Luke Carney pass complete to Darrell Gill Jr. for 5 yds to the SYR 25Similar
Q3 6:13
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+1
18.4%
Luke Carney run for 1 yd to the SYR 26Similar
Q3 5:27
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+5
17.6%
Luke Carney pass complete to Will Nixon for 5 yds to the SYR 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
17.8%
Will Nixon run for no gain to the SYR 31Similar
Q3 4:37
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+2
17.1%
Luke Carney run for 2 yds to the SYR 33Similar
Q3 4:01
3RD & 8
OWN 33
0
16.5%
Luke Carney pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:53
4TH & 8
OWN 33
0
16.1%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Kenny Johnson at the PITT 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:1088% → 88%
Q3 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
11.9%
Ja'Kyrian Turner run for a loss of 1 yard to the PITT 19Similar
Q3 3:22
2ND & 11
OWN 19
0
12.0%
Mason Heintschel pass incomplete to Ja'Kyrian TurnerSimilar
Q3 3:09
3RD & 11
OWN 19
-2
12.3%
Mason Heintschel sacked by Jamie Tremble for a loss of 2 yards to the PITT 17Similar
Q3 2:37
4TH & 13
OWN 17
0
12.4%
Caleb Junko punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SYR 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · -11 yds · 1:4918% → 15%
Q3 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
17.9%
Yasin Willis run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 1:56
2ND & 7
50
-2
17.6%
Yasin Willis run for a loss of 2 yards to the SYR 48Similar
Q3 1:17
3RD & 9
OWN 48
-12
16.1%
Rickie Collins sacked by Nick Lapi for a loss of 12 yards to the SYR 36Similar
Q3 0:42
4TH & 21
OWN 36
0
14.8%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Kenny Johnson at the PITT 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 2:1089% → 91%
Q3 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+13
10.9%
Desmond Reid run for 13 yds to the PITT 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
10.6%
(00:04) No Huddle-Shotgun Heintschel,Mason pass incomplete deep left to Hicks,Cataurus thrown to SYRA45 PENALTY SYRA Offside 5 yards from PITT30 to PITT35. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 5
OWN 35
+7
10.5%
Juelz Goff run for 7 yds to the PITT 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
9.9%
Mason Heintschel pass incomplete to Raphael Williams Jr.Similar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 10
OWN 42
-2
10.1%
Juelz Goff run for a loss of 2 yards to the PITT 40Similar
Q4 14:01
3RD & 12
OWN 40
+2
10.5%
Mason Heintschel pass complete to Deuce Spann for 2 yds to the PITT 42Similar
Q4 13:26
4TH & 10
OWN 42
0
9.4%
Caleb Junko punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Davien Kerr at the SYR 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 21INT
5 plays · 31 yds · 1:3914% → 16%
Q4 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+9
14.2%
Rickie Collins pass complete to Johntay Cook for 9 yds to the SYR 18Similar
Q4 12:52
2ND & 1
OWN 18
+5
15.0%
Yasin Willis run for 5 yds to the SYR 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
14.7%
Rickie Collins pass incomplete to Darrell Gill Jr.Similar
Q4 12:12
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+17
14.4%
Rickie Collins run for 17 yds to the SYR 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-57
15.6%
Rickie Collins pass intercepted Kavir Bains-Marquez return for 57 yds to the SYR 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 22FG
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:4293% → 93%
Q4 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
6.9%
Ja'Kyrian Turner run for 4 yds to the SYR 14Similar
Q4 10:57
2ND & 6
OPP 14
0
6.6%
Mason Heintschel pass incomplete to Cataurus HicksSimilar
Q4 10:52
3RD & 6
OPP 14
0
6.7%
Mason Heintschel pass incomplete to Raphael Williams Jr.Similar
Q4 10:48
4TH & 6
OPP 14
+32
6.6%
Trey Butkowski 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 23TD
16 plays · 65 yds · 4:118% → 16%
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
7.6%
Rickie Collins pass complete to Dan Villari for 9 yds to the SYR 44Similar
Q4 10:13
2ND & 1
OWN 44
-10
8.1%
Syracuse Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the SYR 39Similar
Q4 9:58
2ND & 11
OWN 39
0
7.2%
Rickie Collins pass incomplete to Darrell Gill Jr.Similar
Q4 9:49
3RD & 11
OWN 39
-10
7.0%
Syracuse Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the SYR 29Similar
Q4 9:09
3RD & 21
OWN 24
+13
6.1%
Rickie Collins run for 13 yds to the SYR 37Similar
Q4 8:41
4TH & 8
OWN 37
0
6.1%
Pittsburgh Penalty, Defensive Offside (Desmond Reid) declinedSimilar
Q4 8:35
4TH & 8
OWN 37
+26
6.1%
Rickie Collins pass complete to Johntay Cook for 26 yds to the PITT 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:23
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+24
7.2%
Rickie Collins run for 24 yds to the PITT 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
7.9%
Yasin Willis run for 4 yds to the PITT 9Similar
Q4 7:43
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+6
7.9%
Yasin Willis run for 6 yds to the PITT 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
7.7%
Yasin Willis run for a loss of 1 yard to the PITT 4Similar
Q4 6:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
7.6%
(06:47) No Huddle-Shotgun Collins,Rickie pass incomplete short left to Ross-Simmons,Justus thrown to PITT00 PENALTY PITT Pass Interference 2 yards from PITT04 to PITT02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-10
7.6%
(06:41) No Huddle-Shotgun Willis,Yasin rush left for 2 yards loss to the PITT04 (Ibrahim,Abe) PENALTY SYRA Holding 10 yards from PITT02 to PITT12. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 12
+12
16.2%
Rickie Collins pass complete to Emanuel Ross for 12 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 24DOWNS
10 plays · -10 yds · 0:5013% → 9%
Q4 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
13.0%
Rickie Collins pass incomplete to Yasin WillisSimilar
Q4 6:09
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+5
12.3%
(06:13) No Huddle-Shotgun Collins,Rickie pass incomplete deep right to Ross,Emanuel thrown to PITT35 PENALTY PITT Offside 5 yards from SYRA45 to SYRA50. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:09
2ND & 5
50
-5
13.7%
PENALTY SYRA False Start 5 yards from SYRA50 to SYRA45. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:55
2ND & 10
OWN 45
-10
12.2%
Syracuse Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the SYR 40Similar
Q4 5:38
2ND & 15
OWN 40
0
11.0%
Rickie Collins pass incomplete to Darrell Gill Jr.Similar
Q4 5:38
3RD & 15
OWN 40
-5
10.6%
PENALTY SYRA False Start 5 yards from SYRA40 to SYRA35. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:32
3RD & 20
OWN 35
0
10.0%
Rickie Collins pass incomplete to Darrell Gill Jr.Similar
Q4 5:25
4TH & 20
OWN 35
0
9.0%
Rickie Collins pass incomplete to Jaylan HornsbySimilar
Q4 5:25
4TH & 20
OWN 35
0
9.0%
Rickie Collins pass incomplete to Jaylan HornsbySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 25TD
15 plays · 35 yds · 3:2392% → 99%
Q4 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
8.4%
Ja'Kyrian Turner run for no gain to the SYR 35Similar
Q4 5:05
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+9
7.6%
Kenny Johnson run for 9 yds to the SYR 26Similar
Q4 4:30
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+14
7.4%
Mason Heintschel run for 2 yds to the SYR 24 for a 1ST down Syracuse Penalty, Personal Foul (12 Yards) to the SYR 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-10
7.1%
PENALTY PITT Illegal Use Of Hands 10 yards from SYRA12 to SYRA22. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:51
1ST & 20
OPP 22
-15
7.3%
PENALTY PITT Personal Foul 15 yards from SYRA22 to SYRA37. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:51
1ST & 35
OPP 37
+1
7.4%
Ja'Kyrian Turner run for 1 yd to the SYR 36Similar
Q4 3:51
2ND & 34
OPP 36
+17
7.6%
Mason Heintschel pass complete to Kenny Johnson for 17 yds to the SYR 19Similar
Q4 3:51
3RD & 17
OPP 19
+15
7.8%
Mason Heintschel pass complete to Raphael Williams Jr. for 15 yds to the SYR 4Similar
Q4 3:41
4TH & 2
OPP 4
+2
7.0%
Juelz Goff run for 2 yds to the SYR 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
6.2%
Juelz Goff run for 1 yd to the SYR 1Similar
Q4 3:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
6.3%
Juelz Goff run for no gain to the SYR 1Similar
Q4 1:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
1.1%
Juelz Goff run for 1 yd for a TD (Trey Butkowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 26DOWNS
6 plays · -1 yds · 1:021% → 1%
Q4 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
0.9%
Rickie Collins pass complete to Johntay Cook for 10 yds to the SYR 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
0.9%
Rickie Collins pass incomplete to Darrell Gill Jr.Similar
Q4 1:57
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-11
0.9%
Rickie Collins sacked by Isaiah Neal for a loss of 11 yards to the SYR 24Similar
Q4 1:57
3RD & 21
OWN 24
0
0.9%
Rickie Collins pass incomplete to Jaylan HornsbySimilar
Q4 0:55
4TH & 21
OWN 24
0
0.9%
Rickie Collins pass incomplete to Emanuel RossSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 27END OF GAME
2 plays · -5 yds · 0:5599% → 99%
Q4 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-3
1.1%
M. Heintschel takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 13
OPP 27
-2
1.0%
M. Heintschel takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 6:19
Rickie Collins pass complete to Emanuel Ross for 12 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
+8.6
FG · Q3 11:20
Trey Butkowski 42 yd FG GOOD
-4.8
TD · Q1 2:08
Rickie Collins pass complete to Darrell Gill Jr. for 11 yds for a TD (Tripp Woody KICK)
+4.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com