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Georgia Tech 27 at Duke 18

DUKE
2025 · Week 8 · Oct 18, 2025 · Wallace Wade Stadium
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Win probability · DUKE
modelDUKE aheadGT aheadconfidence bandkey playDUKE scoreGT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGFGTDTDTDEnd of GameFG-8.5DUKE 39.3%Aidan Birr 23 yd FG GOODAWAY 13 - HOME 10 · Q4 11:01
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 11:01 · Aidan Birr 23 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame prior
+48.0+24.00−24.0−48.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 128Home team on offense−9.5Score differential−4.0Garbage-time factor−1.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−3.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.0Pregame prior+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:27: Darian Mensah pass complete to Landen King for 20 yds for a TD (Todd Pelino KICK) — DUKE win probability +14.0 pts (now 60%) (top driver: DUKE has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 6:10: Todd Pelino 23 yd FG GOOD — DUKE win probability +5.9 pts (now 64%) (top driver: DUKE has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 2:45: Aidan Birr 40 yd FG GOOD — GT win probability +8.7 pts (now 49%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 11:01: Aidan Birr 23 yd FG GOOD — GT win probability +8.5 pts (now 61%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:57: Malachi Hosley run for 10 yds for a TD (Aidan Birr KICK) — GT win probability +15.0 pts (now 91%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
DUKE made the numbers' call on 6 of 7GT made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 9:43GT 4th & 7 at DUKE 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.3%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 0:57DUKE 4th & 5 at GT 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 55.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    55.4%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    54.6%−0.8
    32% to make
    Punt
    54.9%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:24DUKE 4th & 5 at GT 12, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 54.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.8%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    54.0%
    86% to make
    Punt
    48.8%−5.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:07GT 4th & 7 at GT 28, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.5%−0.4
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:00DUKE 4th & 11 at GT 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.0%−1.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:26GT 4th & 3 at DUKE 49, up 7
    Close callPunted · 53.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.4%−0.8
    average punt
  7. Q3 6:10DUKE 4th & 5 at GT 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 61.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.9%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.1%
    92% to make
    Punt
    48.9%−11.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 2:45GT 4th & 8 at DUKE 23, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.5%−1.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.6%
    70% to make
    Punt
    25.9%−9.7
    average punt
  9. Q3 0:36DUKE 4th & 5 at DUKE 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.7%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.9%
    average punt
  10. Q4 11:01GT 4th & 5 at DUKE 5, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 48.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.6%
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.6%−<0.1
    92% to make
    Punt
    27.4%−19.2
    average punt
  11. Q4 9:58DUKE 4th & 11 at DUKE 24, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.5%−3.8
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.3%
    average punt
  12. Q4 2:52DUKE 4th & 10 at GT 29, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.5%−0.8
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.3%
    58% to make
    Punt
    6.1%−3.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
DUKE made the numbers' call on 1 of 2GT made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 3:46GT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:27DUKE Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 4:57GT Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.6%−0.9
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 2:10GT Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 1:13DUKE Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    5.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    5.4%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GTDrive 1PUNT
13 plays · 28 yds · 5:0048% → 47%
Q1 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
52.3%
Haynes King pass complete to Malik Rutherford for 2 yds to the GT 23Similar
Q1 14:10
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+13
52.3%
Haynes King pass complete to Jordan Allen for 13 yds to the GT 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
52.3%
PENALTY GT False Start (Rutledge,Keylan) 5 yards from GT36 to GT31. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:33
1ST & 15
OWN 31
+2
52.4%
Jamal Haynes run for 2 yds to the GT 33Similar
Q1 12:58
2ND & 13
OWN 33
+9
52.5%
Haynes King pass complete to Bailey Stockton for 9 yds to the GT 42Similar
Q1 12:16
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+3
52.3%
Haynes King run for 3 yds to the GT 45Similar
Q1 12:01
4TH & 1
OWN 45
+5
52.5%
(12:02) PENALTY DUKE Offside (Anthony Jr.,Vincent) 5 yards from GT45 to GT50, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:46
1ST & 10
50
+1
52.3%
Jamal Haynes run for 1 yd to the DUKE 49Similar
Q1 11:09
2ND & 9
OPP 49
-3
52.3%
Malachi Hosley run for a loss of 3 yards to the GT 48Similar
Q1 10:21
3RD & 12
OWN 48
+5
52.9%
Haynes King run for 5 yds to the DUKE 47Similar
Q1 9:43
4TH & 7
OPP 47
0
53.0%
Marshall Nichols punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 2FUMBLE RETURN TD
11 plays · 92 yds · 5:4953% → 52%
Q1 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+35
53.1%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Cooper Barkate for 35 yds to the DUKE 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
53.5%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Cooper Barkate for 7 yds to the DUKE 45Similar
Q1 8:29
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+6
53.9%
Nate Sheppard run for 6 yds to the GT 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:48
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
54.2%
Nate Sheppard run for 1 yd to the GT 48Similar
Q1 7:08
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+8
54.3%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Que'Sean Brown for 8 yds to the GT 40Similar
Q1 6:50
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+1
54.3%
Anderson Castle run for 1 yd to the GT 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:11
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+20
54.6%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Cooper Barkate for 20 yds to the GT 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+9
55.0%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Cooper Barkate for 9 yds to the GT 10Similar
Q1 5:16
2ND & 1
OPP 10
+4
55.2%
Nate Sheppard run for 4 yds to the GT 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
55.4%
Anderson Castle run for 5 yds to the GT 1Similar
Q1 3:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+95
51.5%
Omar Daniels 95 Yd Fumble Return (Aidan Birr Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 3DOWNS
14 plays · 50 yds · 5:1450% → 49%
Q1 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
49.5%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Jeremiah Hasley for 9 yds to the DUKE 34Similar
Q1 3:14
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+20
50.2%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Cooper Barkate for 20 yds to the GT 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
50.4%
Darian Mensah pass incomplete to Andrel AnthonySimilar
Q1 2:27
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+5
50.2%
Nate Sheppard run for 5 yds to the GT 41Similar
Q1 1:39
3RD & 5
OPP 41
0
50.1%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Nate Sheppard for no gain to the GT 41Similar
Q1 0:57
4TH & 5
OPP 41
+12
49.1%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Sahmir Hagans for 12 yds to the GT 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:36
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+9
50.9%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Sahmir Hagans for 9 yds to the GT 20Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 1
OPP 20
0
50.8%
Nate Sheppard run for no gain to the GT 20Similar
Q2 14:57
3RD & 1
OPP 20
+3
50.0%
Anderson Castle run for 3 yds to the GT 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:14
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
50.7%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Sahmir Hagans for 5 yds to the GT 12Similar
Q2 13:34
2ND & 5
OPP 12
0
50.6%
Darian Mensah pass incomplete to Jake TaylorSimilar
Q2 13:30
3RD & 5
OPP 12
0
49.7%
Darian Mensah pass incomplete to Andrel AnthonySimilar
Q2 13:24
4TH & 5
OPP 12
-13
48.9%
run for a loss of 13 yards to the GT 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:1353% → 52%
Q2 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
47.2%
Malachi Hosley run for 4 yds to the GT 29Similar
Q2 12:43
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-1
46.7%
Malachi Hosley run for a loss of 1 yard to the GT 28Similar
Q2 12:13
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
47.2%
Haynes King pass incomplete to Luke HarpringSimilar
Q2 12:07
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
47.9%
Marshall Nichols punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the DUKE 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 3:0348% → 46%
Q2 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
47.8%
Anderson Castle run for 2 yds to the DUKE 37Similar
Q2 11:26
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+15
47.8%
Anderson Castle run for 15 yds to the GT 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
49.3%
Anderson Castle run for no gain to the GT 48Similar
Q2 10:30
2ND & 10
OPP 48
-8
48.9%
Darian Mensah sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the DUKE 44Similar
Q2 10:05
3RD & 18
OWN 44
-5
46.6%
(10:06) PENALTY DUKE False Start (Fina,Bruno) 5 yards from DUKE44 to DUKE39. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:38
3RD & 23
OWN 39
+12
46.0%
Henry Belin IV run for 12 yds to the GT 49Similar
Q2 9:00
4TH & 11
OPP 49
0
45.8%
Kade Reynoldson punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Bailey Stockton at the GT 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 33 yds · 4:2854% → 58%
Q2 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
46.0%
Jamal Haynes run for 3 yds to the GT 21Similar
Q2 8:25
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+6
45.9%
Haynes King pass complete to Isiah Canion for 6 yds to the GT 27Similar
Q2 7:48
3RD & 1
OWN 27
+4
43.7%
Malachi Hosley run for 4 yds to the GT 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
43.4%
Haynes King pass complete to Eric Rivers for no gain to the GT 31Similar
Q2 6:42
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+13
43.6%
Haynes King pass complete to Eric Rivers for 13 yds to the GT 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
41.7%
Jamal Haynes run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 5:37
2ND & 4
50
+3
41.1%
Malachi Hosley run for 3 yds to the DUKE 47Similar
Q2 4:58
3RD & 1
OPP 47
-2
41.0%
Malachi Hosley run for a loss of 2 yards to the DUKE 49Similar
Q2 4:26
4TH & 3
OPP 49
0
42.0%
Marshall Nichols punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 7TD
14 plays · 80 yds · 3:5444% → 60%
Q2 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
43.6%
Darian Mensah pass incomplete to Cooper BarkateSimilar
Q2 4:19
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+5
43.5%
Nate Sheppard run for 5 yds to the DUKE 25Similar
Q2 3:38
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+20
42.9%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Cooper Barkate for 20 yds to the DUKE 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
45.3%
(03:13) No Huddle-Shotgun Sheppard,Nate rush left for 5 yards gain to the DUKE50 (Triplette,Ronald; Butler,Tah'j) PENALTY GT Offside (Triplette,Ronald) 5 yards from DUKE45 to DUKE50. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:38
1ST & 5
50
0
45.9%
Darian Mensah pass incomplete to Landen KingSimilar
Q2 2:32
2ND & 5
50
+9
45.8%
Nate Sheppard run for 9 yds to the GT 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
44.2%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Cooper Barkate for 7 yds to the GT 34Similar
Q2 1:51
2ND & 3
OPP 34
0
45.7%
Nate Sheppard run for no gain to the GT 34Similar
Q2 1:09
3RD & 3
OPP 34
+4
43.9%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Jake Taylor for 4 yds to the GT 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+8
45.5%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Nate Sheppard for 8 yds to the GT 22Similar
Q2 0:33
2ND & 2
OPP 22
+2
45.4%
Nate Sheppard run for 2 yds to the GT 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
59.6%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Landen King for 20 yds for a TD (Todd Pelino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 8END OF HALF
8 plays · 46 yds · 0:2249% → 51%
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+13
51.5%
Haynes King run for 13 yds to the GT 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
51.4%
Jamal Haynes run for 5 yds to the GT 42Similar
Q2 0:16
2ND & 5
OWN 42
0
49.7%
Haynes King pass incomplete to Bailey StocktonSimilar
Q2 0:12
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+8
50.8%
Haynes King run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
50
+20
49.2%
Haynes King pass complete to Isiah Canion for 20 yds to the DUKE 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 9FG
18 plays · 50 yds · 8:3558% → 64%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
58.4%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Que'Sean Brown for no gain to the DUKE 45Similar
Q3 14:16
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+10
57.6%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Cooper Barkate for 10 yds to the GT 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
59.4%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Cooper Barkate for 4 yds to the GT 41Similar
Q3 13:17
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+5
59.6%
Nate Sheppard run for 5 yds to the GT 36Similar
Q3 12:37
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+3
58.8%
Anderson Castle run for 3 yds to the GT 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:56
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
60.3%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Andrel Anthony for 2 yds to the GT 31Similar
Q3 11:13
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+5
60.5%
Nate Sheppard run for 5 yds to the GT 26Similar
Q3 10:27
3RD & 3
OPP 26
+14
59.2%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Andrel Anthony for 14 yds to the GT 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:08
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+6
60.7%
Nate Sheppard run for 6 yds to the GT 6Similar
Q3 9:24
2ND & 4
OPP 6
+3
61.0%
Anderson Castle run for 3 yds to the GT 3Similar
Q3 8:51
3RD & 1
OPP 3
0
59.6%
Anderson Castle run for no gain to the GT 3Similar
Q3 8:23
4TH & 1
OPP 3
+2
57.9%
PENALTY GT Delay Of Game 2 yards from GT03 to GT01, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
61.3%
Nate Sheppard run for no gain to the GT 1Similar
Q3 7:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
61.4%
Anderson Castle run for no gain to the GT 1Similar
Q3 6:46
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
60.0%
Anderson Castle run for no gain to the GT 1Similar
Q3 6:28
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
-4
58.2%
PENALTY DUKE Illegal Substitution 4 yards from GT01 to GT05. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:10
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
64.0%
Todd Pelino 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 10FG
10 plays · 63 yds · 3:0838% → 49%
Q3 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+8
61.6%
Haynes King pass complete to Eric Rivers for 8 yds to the GT 22Similar
Q3 5:25
2ND & 2
OWN 22
+1
60.8%
Haynes King run for 1 yd to the GT 23Similar
Q3 4:51
3RD & 1
OWN 23
+3
61.9%
Haynes King run for 3 yds to the GT 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+49
62.4%
Haynes King pass complete to Josh Beetham for 49 yds to the DUKE 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:36
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
56.4%
Jamal Haynes run for 2 yds to the DUKE 23Similar
Q3 2:51
2ND & 8
OPP 23
0
57.1%
Haynes King pass incomplete to Bailey StocktonSimilar
Q3 2:50
3RD & 8
OPP 23
0
60.2%
Haynes King pass incomplete to Bailey StocktonSimilar
Q3 2:45
4TH & 8
OPP 23
+40
51.5%
Aidan Birr 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 2:0458% → 58%
Q3 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
57.6%
Nate Sheppard run for 1 yd to the DUKE 26Similar
Q3 2:01
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+15
57.5%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Nate Sheppard for 15 yds to the DUKE 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
60.5%
Nate Sheppard run for 1 yd to the DUKE 42Similar
Q3 1:07
2ND & 9
OWN 42
0
59.8%
Darian Mensah pass incomplete to Que'Sean BrownSimilar
Q3 0:59
3RD & 9
OWN 42
+4
58.0%
Duke Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 0:36
4TH & 5
OWN 46
0
58.0%
Kade Reynoldson punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 12FG
13 plays · 89 yds · 3:5945% → 61%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+5
54.7%
Jamal Haynes run for 5 yds to the GT 11Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 5
OWN 11
+9
53.9%
Haynes King run for 9 yds to the GT 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:28
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
53.4%
Jamal Haynes run for 5 yds to the GT 25Similar
Q4 13:49
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+15
52.1%
(13:53) No Huddle-Shotgun King,Haynes pass incomplete deep left to Rivers,Eric thrown to DUKE39 PENALTY DUKE Pass Interference (Robinson,Kimari) 15 yards from GT25 to GT40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
50.0%
Eric Rivers run for 3 yds to the GT 43Similar
Q4 13:06
2ND & 7
OWN 43
0
48.9%
Haynes King pass incomplete to Dean PattersonSimilar
Q4 12:48
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+30
50.6%
Haynes King pass complete to Isiah Canion for 30 yds to the DUKE 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:33
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
46.1%
Malachi Hosley run for 1 yd to the DUKE 26Similar
Q4 12:01
2ND & 9
OPP 26
+21
46.3%
Haynes King pass complete to J.T. Byrne for 21 yds to the DUKE 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
46.0%
Haynes King run for no gain to the DUKE 5Similar
Q4 11:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
45.7%
Haynes King pass incomplete to Jamal HaynesSimilar
Q4 11:04
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
47.8%
Haynes King pass incomplete to Isiah CanionSimilar
Q4 11:01
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
39.3%
Aidan Birr 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:5845% → 40%
Q4 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
44.7%
Duke Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Darian Mensah) to the DUKE 18Similar
Q4 10:25
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+6
42.3%
Darian Mensah run for 6 yds to the DUKE 24Similar
Q4 10:05
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
40.5%
Darian Mensah pass incomplete to Jayden MooreSimilar
Q4 9:58
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
39.6%
Kade Reynoldson punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Bailey Stockton at the GT 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 14TD
9 plays · 72 yds · 4:5364% → 91%
Q4 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+24
36.1%
Haynes King pass complete to Luke Harpring for 24 yds to the DUKE 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:16
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
32.2%
Haynes King run for 9 yds to the DUKE 39Similar
Q4 8:40
2ND & 1
OPP 39
+6
31.6%
Malachi Hosley run for 6 yds to the DUKE 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:59
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-2
29.5%
Haynes King run for a loss of 2 yards to the DUKE 35Similar
Q4 7:23
2ND & 12
OPP 35
+7
29.5%
Haynes King pass complete to Jordan Allen for 7 yds to the DUKE 28Similar
Q4 6:48
3RD & 5
OPP 28
+7
29.2%
Haynes King pass complete to Bailey Stockton for 7 yds to the DUKE 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+9
25.8%
Haynes King run for 9 yds to the DUKE 12Similar
Q4 5:37
2ND & 1
OPP 12
+2
23.7%
Malachi Hosley run for 2 yds to the DUKE 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
8.7%
Malachi Hosley run for 10 yds for a TD (Aidan Birr KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 15MISSED FG
10 plays · 46 yds · 2:0111% → 7%
Q4 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
10.9%
Darian Mensah pass incomplete to Cooper BarkateSimilar
Q4 4:46
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-10
10.6%
(04:53) No Huddle-Shotgun Mensah,Darian rush right for 6 yards gain to the DUKE31, out of bounds at DUKE31 PENALTY DUKE Holding (Parker II,Brian) 10 yards from DUKE25 to DUKE15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:21
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+24
10.1%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Sahmir Hagans for 24 yds to the DUKE 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+21
11.3%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Cooper Barkate for 21 yds to the GT 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:33
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+11
12.2%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Cooper Barkate for 11 yds to the GT 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:06
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
11.0%
Darian Mensah pass incomplete to Jake TaylorSimilar
Q4 3:02
2ND & 10
OPP 29
0
10.5%
Darian Mensah pass incomplete to Jeremiah HasleySimilar
Q4 2:57
3RD & 10
OPP 29
0
8.8%
Darian Mensah pass incomplete to Que'Sean BrownSimilar
Q4 2:52
4TH & 10
OPP 29
+46
7.4%
Todd Pelino 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 16TD
7 plays · 71 yds · 0:4292% → 99%
Q4 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-5
7.6%
PENALTY GT False Start (Carney,Malachi) 5 yards from GT29 to GT24. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:48
1ST & 15
OWN 24
-1
6.5%
Malachi Hosley run for a loss of 1 yard to the GT 23Similar
Q4 2:45
2ND & 16
OWN 23
+2
6.6%
Haynes King run for 2 yds to the GT 25Similar
Q4 2:36
3RD & 14
OWN 25
+47
6.4%
Haynes King run for 32 yds to the DUKE 43 for a 1ST down Duke Penalty, Personal Foul (Josiah Green) to the DUKE 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
1.5%
Haynes King run for 28 yds for a TD (Aidan Birr KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 17TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 0:472% → 6%
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
1.9%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Landen King for 7 yds to the DUKE 32Similar
Q4 1:55
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
0.9%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Cooper Barkate for 4 yds to the DUKE 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
0.9%
Darian Mensah pass incomplete to Cooper BarkateSimilar
Q4 1:44
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+7
0.9%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Nate Sheppard for 7 yds to the DUKE 43Similar
Q4 1:40
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+7
0.8%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Landen King for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:24
1ST & 10
50
+31
0.9%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Que'Sean Brown for 31 yds to the GT 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
5.6%
D. Mensah pass to S. Hagans for 19 yds for a TD (C. Barkate pass to for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 18END OF GAME
3 plays · -4 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-2
3.8%
(00:00) Kneel down by Georgia Tech at DUKE46 for loss of 2 yards.Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OPP 46
-2
3.9%
(00:00) Kneel down by Georgia Tech at DUKE48 for loss of 2 yards.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 4:57
Malachi Hosley run for 10 yds for a TD (Aidan Birr KICK)
-15
TD · Q2 0:27
Darian Mensah pass complete to Landen King for 20 yds for a TD (Todd Pelino KICK)
+14
FG · Q3 2:45
Aidan Birr 40 yd FG GOOD
-8.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com