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SMU

SMU 35 at Clemson 24

CLEM
2025 · Week 8 · Oct 18, 2025 · Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC)
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Win probability · CLEM
modelCLEM aheadSMU aheadconfidence bandkey playCLEM scoreSMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGFGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 2:53 · Peter Woods run for no gain to the CLEM 39
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+45.0+22.50−22.5−45.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 78Home team on offense−3.8Pregame prior+8.6Garbage-time factor−2.2Score differential−1.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:51: Christopher Vizzina pass complete to T.J. Moore for 32 yds for a TD (Nolan Hauser KICK) — CLEM win probability +10.6 pts (now 63%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  2. TD · Q3 8:48: Christopher Vizzina pass complete to T.J. Moore for 62 yds for a TD (Nolan Hauser KICK) — CLEM win probability +15.2 pts (now 56%) (top driver: One-score game).
  3. TD · Q3 7:29: Derrick McFall run for 35 yds for a TD (Sam Keltner KICK) — SMU win probability +15.2 pts (now 66%) (top driver: SMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:30: Kevin Jennings pass complete to Matthew Hibner for 22 yds for a TD (Sam Keltner PAT MISSED) — SMU win probability +14.4 pts (now 85%) (top driver: SMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:44: Christopher Vizzina pass complete to Tristan Smith for 23 yds for a TD SMU Penalty, Defensive Offside (William Nettles) declined (Nolan Hauser KICK) — CLEM win probability +19.8 pts (now 33%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CLEM made the numbers' call on 6 of 10SMU made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 11:57CLEM 4th & 2 at CLEM 43, tied
    Close callPunted · 62.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:38SMU 4th & 8 at SMU 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.4%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:49SMU 4th & 7 at CLEM 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.2%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:01CLEM 4th & 1 at CLEM 29, tied
    Close callPunted · 61.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.1%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:22CLEM 4th & 1 at CLEM 34, down 7
    Close callPunted · 56.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.4%−0.6
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:31SMU 4th & 7 at SMU 22, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.9%−0.7
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.6%
    average punt
  7. Q1 0:04CLEM 4th & 13 at CLEM 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.0%−1.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:26SMU 4th & 7 at CLEM 34, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 47.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.0%
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.7%−0.3
    47% to make
    Punt
    46.2%−0.7
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:29SMU 4th & 6 at CLEM 31, up 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 45.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.7%−0.2
    54% to make
    Punt
    43.2%−1.7
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:53CLEM 4th & 1 at CLEM 39, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 50.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    49.3%−2.3
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:09SMU 4th & 23 at CLEM 31, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 52.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.2%−2.2
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.4%
    54% to make
    Punt
    50.7%−1.8
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:16CLEM 4th & 2 at CLEM 33, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.9%−0.8
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.7%
    average punt
  13. Q3 13:04SMU 4th & 4 at SMU 41, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.3%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.4%
    average punt
  14. Q3 13:04SMU 4th & 4 at SMU 41, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.3%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.4%
    average punt
  15. Q3 11:12CLEM 4th & 14 at CLEM 26, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.1%−3.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.2%
    average punt
  16. Q3 10:11SMU 4th & 9 at SMU 38, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.3%−1.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.7%
    average punt
  17. Q3 0:07CLEM 4th & 10 at SMU 10, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 29.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.5%−2.4
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    28.9%
    88% to make
    Punt
    15.0%−13.9
    average punt
  18. Q4 11:06CLEM 4th & 7 at CLEM 28, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.6%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.9%
    average punt
  19. Q4 6:44CLEM 4th & 21 at SMU 23, down 12
    Numbers favored field goal by 3.2 ptsWent for it · 11.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.0%−3.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    12.3%
    70% to make
    Punt
    7.1%−5.2
    average punt
  20. Q4 2:39SMU 4th & 3 at CLEM 39, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.1%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    82.1%−3.0
    36% to make
    Punt
    81.5%−3.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CLEM made the numbers' call on 3 of 3SMU made the numbers' call on 2 of 4
  1. Q1 3:52SMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:51CLEM Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 8:48CLEM Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:29SMU Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 12:30SMU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Close callKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    82.0%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.2%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 6:44CLEM Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.7%−0.3
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 1:03SMU Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    95.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    95.1%−0.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CLEMDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 2:5166% → 66%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
65.7%
Christopher Vizzina pass complete to Antonio Williams for 2 yds to the CLEM 23Similar
Q1 14:24
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+12
65.7%
Adam Randall run for 12 yds to the CLEM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
65.7%
Adam Randall run for 2 yds to the CLEM 37Similar
Q1 13:16
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+6
65.7%
Christopher Vizzina pass complete to T.J. Moore for 6 yds to the CLEM 43Similar
Q1 12:36
3RD & 2
OWN 43
0
65.7%
Christopher Vizzina run for no gain to the CLEM 43Similar
Q1 11:57
4TH & 2
OWN 43
+2
65.5%
Jack Smith punt for 50 yds , Yamir Knight returns for 2 yds to the SMU 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 3:0835% → 35%
Q1 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+9
65.5%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Yamir Knight for 9 yds to the SMU 18Similar
Q1 11:31
2ND & 1
OWN 18
+2
65.4%
T.J. Harden run for 2 yds to the SMU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
65.3%
PENALTY SMU False Start (Byrd,Savion) 5 yards from SMU20 to SMU15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:35
1ST & 15
OWN 15
0
65.3%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Jordan Hudson for no gain to the SMU 15Similar
Q1 9:50
2ND & 15
OWN 15
+12
65.3%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Chris Johnson Jr. for 12 yds to the SMU 27Similar
Q1 9:15
3RD & 3
OWN 27
-5
65.2%
Kevin Jennings sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the SMU 22Similar
Q1 8:38
4TH & 8
OWN 22
0
65.4%
Wade McSparron punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CLEM 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 3FUMBLE
6 plays · 17 yds · 1:5265% → 66%
Q1 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-5
65.1%
PENALTY CLE False Start (Jacobs,Brayden) 5 yards from CLE33 to CLE28. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:26
1ST & 15
OWN 28
+4
65.1%
Christopher Vizzina pass complete to Antonio Williams for 4 yds to the CLEM 32Similar
Q1 7:54
2ND & 11
OWN 32
+7
65.0%
Christopher Vizzina run for 7 yds to the CLEM 39Similar
Q1 7:01
3RD & 4
OWN 39
+9
65.1%
Christopher Vizzina pass complete to Christian Bentancur for 9 yds to the CLEM 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
65.6%
Christopher Vizzina run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line Christopher Vizzina fumbled, recovered by SMU Jahkai Lang , return to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
65.6%
Christopher Vizzina run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line Christopher Vizzina fumbled, recovered by SMU Jahkai Lang , return to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:5336% → 35%
Q1 6:42
1ST & 10
50
0
64.0%
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to Matthew HibnerSimilar
Q1 6:33
2ND & 10
50
+3
64.1%
T.J. Harden run for 3 yds to the CLEM 47Similar
Q1 5:59
3RD & 7
OPP 47
0
63.9%
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to Romello BrinsonSimilar
Q1 5:49
4TH & 7
OPP 47
0
64.7%
Wade McSparron punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:4065% → 64%
Q1 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
64.7%
Adam Randall run for 8 yds to the CLEM 28Similar
Q1 5:12
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+1
65.1%
Christopher Vizzina run for 1 yd to the CLEM 29Similar
Q1 4:39
3RD & 1
OWN 29
0
64.5%
Adam Randall run for no gain to the CLEM 29Similar
Q1 4:01
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
63.8%
Jack Smith punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Yamir Knight at the SMU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 6TD
1 play · 70 yds · 0:0041% → 41%
Q1 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+70
59.5%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Jordan Hudson for 70 yds for a TD (Sam Keltner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:2660% → 59%
Q1 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
59.9%
Christopher Vizzina pass incomplete to Adam RandallSimilar
Q1 3:38
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
59.7%
Christopher Vizzina pass complete to Adam Randall for 7 yds to the CLEM 32Similar
Q1 2:57
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
59.4%
Christopher Vizzina run for 2 yds to the CLEM 34Similar
Q1 2:22
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
58.6%
Jack Smith punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Yamir Knight at the SMU 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:4541% → 40%
Q1 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
58.9%
T.J. Harden run for 3 yds to the SMU 22Similar
Q1 1:50
2ND & 7
OWN 22
0
58.4%
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to Romello BrinsonSimilar
Q1 1:44
3RD & 7
OWN 22
0
59.2%
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to Chris Johnson Jr.Similar
Q1 1:31
4TH & 7
OWN 22
+7
59.6%
Wade McSparron punt for 45 yds , Bryant Wesco Jr. returns for 7 yds to the CLEM 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:4859% → 57%
Q1 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
59.2%
Christopher Vizzina run for 3 yds to the CLEM 37 Christopher Vizzina fumbled, recovered by CLEM Adam RandallSimilar
Q1 0:33
2ND & 13
OWN 37
0
58.1%
Adam Randall run for no gain to the CLEM 37Similar
Q1 0:12
3RD & 13
OWN 37
0
57.5%
Christopher Vizzina pass incomplete to Adam RandallSimilar
Q1 0:04
4TH & 13
OWN 37
+3
57.0%
Jack Smith punt for 33 yds , Yamir Knight returns for 3 yds to the SMU 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 10FG
10 plays · 33 yds · 3:3443% → 47%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-2
57.3%
T.J. Harden run for a loss of 2 yards to the SMU 31Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 12
OWN 31
+5
57.9%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Chris Johnson Jr. for 5 yds to the SMU 36Similar
Q2 14:22
3RD & 7
OWN 36
+14
57.1%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Romello Brinson for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:39
1ST & 10
50
+9
55.5%
Derrick McFall run for 9 yds to the CLEM 41Similar
Q2 12:59
2ND & 1
OPP 41
0
54.9%
Kevin Jennings pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:53
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+4
55.0%
T.J. Harden run for 4 yds to the CLEM 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:11
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
54.5%
Chris Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds to the CLEM 34Similar
Q2 11:36
2ND & 7
OPP 34
0
53.8%
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to RJ MarylandSimilar
Q2 11:31
3RD & 7
OPP 34
0
54.4%
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to Jalen CooperSimilar
Q2 11:26
4TH & 7
OPP 34
+51
53.4%
Sam Keltner 51 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 11TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:2052% → 63%
Q2 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
52.0%
Christopher Vizzina pass complete to T.J. Moore for 12 yds to the CLEM 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+10
52.9%
Christopher Vizzina pass complete to Antonio Williams for 10 yds to the CLEM 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
53.4%
Christopher Vizzina pass incomplete to Bryant Wesco Jr.Similar
Q2 10:05
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+3
53.1%
Gideon Davidson run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 9:28
3RD & 7
50
+18
52.3%
Christopher Vizzina pass complete to Antonio Williams for 18 yds to the SMU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:51
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
62.9%
Christopher Vizzina pass complete to T.J. Moore for 32 yds for a TD (Nolan Hauser KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 12FG
12 plays · 44 yds · 4:1341% → 49%
Q2 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
59.5%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to RJ Maryland for 15 yds to the SMU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
57.8%
T.J. Harden run for no gain to the SMU 40Similar
Q2 7:32
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+14
57.0%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Jordan Hudson for 14 yds to the CLEM 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:06
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
55.8%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Chris Johnson Jr. for 2 yds to the CLEM 48Similar
Q2 6:38
2ND & 12
OPP 48
0
56.2%
Kevin Jennings pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:09
3RD & 12
OPP 48
+13
57.5%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to T.J. Harden for 13 yds to the CLEM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:59
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
55.4%
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to Jordan HudsonSimilar
Q2 5:43
2ND & 10
OPP 35
-3
55.4%
Link Rhodes run for a loss of 3 yards to the CLEM 38Similar
Q2 4:58
3RD & 13
OPP 38
+7
56.6%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Matthew Hibner for 7 yds to the CLEM 31Similar
Q2 4:29
4TH & 6
OPP 31
+48
50.8%
Sam Keltner 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 13DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:0854% → 53%
Q2 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
53.8%
Christopher Vizzina pass complete to Christian Bentancur for 3 yds to the CLEM 33Similar
Q2 3:31
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+6
53.6%
Christopher Vizzina pass complete to Christian Bentancur for 6 yds to the CLEM 39Similar
Q2 2:59
3RD & 1
OWN 39
0
54.5%
Christopher Vizzina pass incomplete to Tyler BrownSimilar
Q2 2:53
4TH & 1
OWN 39
0
53.2%
Peter Woods run for no gain to the CLEM 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 14FG
11 plays · 8 yds · 1:3653% → 56%
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
47.4%
Derrick McFall run for 3 yds to the CLEM 36Similar
Q2 2:15
2ND & 7
OPP 36
0
46.9%
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to Romello BrinsonSimilar
Q2 2:05
3RD & 7
OPP 36
+8
47.5%
Kevin Jennings run for 8 yds to the CLEM 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+10
44.5%
Kevin Jennings run for 10 yds to the CLEM 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-10
44.2%
(01:33) No Huddle-Shotgun Harden,T.J. rush left for 7 yards gain to the CLE11 (Alexander,Jeremiah), out of bounds PENALTY SMU Holding (Parr,Logan) 10 yards from CLE18 to CLE28. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:24
1ST & 20
OPP 28
0
44.8%
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to Derrick McFallSimilar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 20
OPP 28
0
45.3%
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to Romello BrinsonSimilar
Q2 1:14
3RD & 20
OPP 28
+3
46.3%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to T.J. Harden for 3 yds to the CLEM 31Similar
Q2 1:09
4TH & 23
OPP 31
+48
44.5%
Sam Keltner 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:4544% → 43%
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
44.1%
Adam Randall run for 1 yd to the CLEM 26Similar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
43.7%
Christopher Vizzina pass complete to Josh Sapp for 3 yds to the CLEM 29Similar
Q2 0:32
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+4
43.1%
Christopher Vizzina pass complete to Adam Randall for 4 yds to the CLEM 33Similar
Q2 0:16
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
42.8%
Jack Smith punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SMU 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 16END OF HALF
1 play · 2 yds · 0:0055% → 55%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
44.8%
Chris Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the SMU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 1:4957% → 58%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
43.5%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Yamir Knight for 10 yds to the SMU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
42.6%
T.J. Harden run for 4 yds to the SMU 39Similar
Q3 13:56
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+2
41.1%
Kevin Jennings run for 2 yds to the SMU 41Similar
Q3 13:15
3RD & 4
OWN 41
0
40.8%
SMU Penalty, Illegal Shift (William Nettles) declinedSimilar
Q3 13:04
4TH & 4
OWN 41
+9
41.7%
Wade McSparron punt for 53 yds for a 1ST down , Bryant Wesco Jr. returns for 9 yds to the CLEM 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:04
4TH & 4
OWN 41
+9
41.7%
Wade McSparron punt for 53 yds for a 1ST down , Bryant Wesco Jr. returns for 9 yds to the CLEM 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:4244% → 40%
Q3 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
44.1%
Adam Randall run for 3 yds to the CLEM 33Similar
Q3 12:24
2ND & 7
OWN 33
-4
44.0%
Antonio Williams run for a loss of 4 yards to the CLEM 29Similar
Q3 11:48
3RD & 11
OWN 29
-3
41.5%
Christopher Vizzina sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the CLEM 26Similar
Q3 11:12
4TH & 14
OWN 26
0
40.2%
Jack Smith punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Yamir Knight at the SMU 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:4561% → 60%
Q3 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
39.4%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to RJ Maryland for 1 yd to the SMU 38Similar
Q3 10:25
2ND & 9
OWN 38
0
38.7%
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to Derrick McFallSimilar
Q3 10:20
3RD & 9
OWN 38
0
39.6%
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to Jordan HudsonSimilar
Q3 10:11
4TH & 9
OWN 38
+6
40.5%
Wade McSparron punt for 42 yds , Bryant Wesco Jr. returns for 6 yds to the CLEM 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 20TD
4 plays · 74 yds · 1:0440% → 56%
Q3 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+11
40.4%
Christopher Vizzina pass complete to Antonio Williams for 11 yds to the CLEM 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
40.9%
Christopher Vizzina pass incomplete to Peter WoodsSimilar
Q3 9:30
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+1
40.5%
Adam Randall run for 1 yd to the CLEM 38Similar
Q3 8:48
3RD & 9
OWN 38
+62
55.7%
Christopher Vizzina pass complete to T.J. Moore for 62 yds for a TD (Nolan Hauser KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 21TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:0946% → 66%
Q3 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
54.4%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Yamir Knight for 10 yds to the SMU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+30
53.3%
Chris Johnson Jr. run for 30 yds to the CLEM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
49.3%
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to RJ MarylandSimilar
Q3 7:29
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+35
34.1%
Derrick McFall run for 35 yds for a TD (Sam Keltner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 22FG
19 plays · 65 yds · 7:1038% → 45%
Q3 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
37.7%
Christopher Vizzina run for 7 yds to the CLEM 32Similar
Q3 6:36
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
38.5%
Chris Denson run for 2 yds to the CLEM 34Similar
Q3 6:04
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
37.1%
Adam Randall run for 1 yd to the CLEM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+14
36.9%
Christopher Vizzina pass complete to Tristan Smith for 14 yds to the CLEM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
38.5%
Christopher Vizzina pass incomplete to Josh SappSimilar
Q3 4:42
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
37.8%
Christopher Vizzina run for no gain to the CLEM 49Similar
Q3 4:07
3RD & 10
OWN 49
+13
35.7%
Christopher Vizzina pass complete to Antonio Williams for 13 yds to the SMU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:33
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
38.5%
Antonio Williams run for 1 yd to the SMU 37Similar
Q3 3:01
2ND & 9
OPP 37
+4
38.1%
Christopher Vizzina pass complete to Cole Turner for 4 yds to the SMU 33Similar
Q3 2:28
3RD & 5
OPP 33
+9
37.5%
Christopher Vizzina pass complete to Tyler Brown for 9 yds to the SMU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:01
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
37.5%
Adam Randall run for 1 yd to the SMU 23Similar
Q3 1:20
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+1
37.1%
Christopher Vizzina run for 1 yd to the SMU 22Similar
Q3 0:38
3RD & 8
OPP 22
+12
34.0%
Christopher Vizzina pass complete to T.J. Moore for 12 yds to the SMU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
36.1%
Christopher Vizzina pass incomplete to Adam RandallSimilar
Q3 0:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
36.0%
Christopher Vizzina pass incomplete to T.J. MooreSimilar
Q3 0:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
35.2%
Christopher Vizzina pass incomplete to T.J. MooreSimilar
Q3 0:07
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+28
45.2%
Nolan Hauser 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 23TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:3065% → 86%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
35.3%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to RJ Maryland for 17 yds to the SMU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+13
32.7%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Jordan Hudson for 13 yds to the CLEM 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:11
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
31.3%
Kevin Jennings pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:59
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+25
31.2%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Chris Johnson Jr. for 25 yds to the CLEM 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:16
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-2
29.2%
T.J. Harden run for a loss of 2 yards to the CLEM 22Similar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 12
OPP 22
+22
14.8%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Matthew Hibner for 22 yds for a TD (Sam Keltner PAT MISSED)Similar
Q4 12:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-15
14.5%
PENALTY SMU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Hudson,Jordan) 15 yards from CLE03 to CLE18. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:1320% → 18%
Q4 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
20.0%
Christopher Vizzina pass complete to Cole Turner for 4 yds to the CLEM 29Similar
Q4 11:55
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
20.2%
Christopher Vizzina run for 2 yds to the CLEM 31Similar
Q4 11:34
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+3
19.3%
Christopher Vizzina pass complete to Adam Randall for 3 yds to the CLEM 28Similar
Q4 11:06
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
18.2%
Jack Smith punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Yamir Knight at the SMU 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 25INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:4687% → 88%
Q4 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
12.6%
Derrick McFall run for no gain to the SMU 31Similar
Q4 10:16
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
11.7%
Kevin Jennings pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:11
3RD & 10
OWN 31
0
11.8%
Kevin Jennings pass intercepted Ricardo Jones return for no gain to the SMU 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 26TD
8 plays · 49 yds · 3:0119% → 33%
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
18.7%
Christopher Vizzina pass complete to Adam Randall for 6 yds to the SMU 43Similar
Q4 9:32
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+20
19.3%
Christopher Vizzina pass complete to Adam Randall for 5 yds to the SMU 38 for a 1ST down SMU Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Alexander Kilgore) to the SMU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-1
20.7%
Christopher Vizzina sacked for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 24Similar
Q4 8:24
2ND & 11
OPP 24
+12
19.7%
Christopher Vizzina pass complete to Josh Sapp for 12 yds to the SMU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
19.6%
Christopher Vizzina run for 2 yds to the SMU 10Similar
Q4 7:35
2ND & 8
OPP 10
-6
17.8%
Christopher Vizzina sacked by Isaiah Smith for a loss of 6 yards to the SMU 16Similar
Q4 7:02
3RD & 14
OPP 16
0
12.9%
Christopher Vizzina pass incomplete to Olsen Patt-HenrySimilar
Q4 6:44
4TH & 21
OPP 23
+23
32.8%
Christopher Vizzina pass complete to Tristan Smith for 23 yds for a TD SMU Penalty, Defensive Offside (William Nettles) declined (Nolan Hauser KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 27TD
22 plays · 75 yds · 5:3474% → 99%
Q4 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
25.9%
T.J. Harden run for 2 yds to the SMU 27Similar
Q4 5:47
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
25.0%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Jordan Hudson for 7 yds to the SMU 34Similar
Q4 5:20
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
21.7%
T.J. Harden run for 2 yds to the SMU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+18
19.7%
Chris Johnson Jr. run for 18 yds to the CLEM 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
16.3%
Chris Johnson Jr. run for no gain to the CLEM 46Similar
Q4 4:06
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+3
16.3%
Kevin Jennings run for 3 yds to the CLEM 43Similar
Q4 3:15
3RD & 7
OPP 43
+4
15.4%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Romello Brinson for 4 yds to the CLEM 39Similar
Q4 2:39
4TH & 3
OPP 39
0
14.3%
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to Yamir KnightSimilar
Q4 2:39
4TH & 3
OPP 39
+4
14.3%
(02:41) No Huddle-Shotgun Jennings,Kevin pass incomplete short middle to Knight,Yamir thrown to CLE35, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY CLE Pass Interference (Hanafin,Ronan) 4 yards from CLE39 to CLE35, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
11.2%
T.J. Harden run for no gain to the CLEM 35Similar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
10.6%
Kevin Jennings pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:24
3RD & 10
OPP 35
+26
7.8%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Jordan Hudson for 26 yds to the CLEM 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
4.2%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Jordan Hudson for 1 yd to the CLEM 8Similar
Q4 1:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
2.7%
Kevin Jennings run for 2 yds to the CLEM 6Similar
Q4 1:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
1.5%
Chris Johnson Jr. run for 6 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 28END OF GAME
8 plays · 33 yds · 0:536% → 7%
Q4 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
6.2%
Christopher Vizzina pass incomplete to Josh SappSimilar
Q4 0:48
2ND & 10
OWN 14
0
6.1%
Christopher Vizzina pass incomplete to Adam RandallSimilar
Q4 0:39
3RD & 10
OWN 14
+14
5.8%
Christopher Vizzina pass complete to Tristan Smith for 14 yds to the CLEM 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+11
6.7%
Christopher Vizzina pass complete to Olsen Patt-Henry for 11 yds to the CLEM 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
7.0%
Christopher Vizzina pass incomplete to Olsen Patt-HenrySimilar
Q4 0:01
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+8
6.9%
Christopher Vizzina pass complete to Christian Bentancur for 8 yds to the CLEM 47Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 2
OWN 47
0
7.0%
Christopher Vizzina pass incomplete to Tristan SmithSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 6:44
Christopher Vizzina pass complete to Tristan Smith for 23 yds for a TD SMU Penalty, Defensive Offside (William Nettles) declined (Nolan Hauser KICK)
+19.8
TD · Q3 8:48
Christopher Vizzina pass complete to T.J. Moore for 62 yds for a TD (Nolan Hauser KICK)
+15.2
TD · Q3 7:29
Derrick McFall run for 35 yds for a TD (Sam Keltner KICK)
-15.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com