SMU
SMU 35 at Clemson 24
CLEM2025 · Week 8 · Oct 18, 2025 · Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC)
Win probability · CLEM
modelCLEM aheadSMU aheadconfidence bandkey play
What moved it - hover a play below
Q4 0:00 · Christopher Vizzina pass incomplete to Tristan Smith
01
CLEM has the ball
−25
02
Blowout context favors the defense
−15
03
CLEM trailing by 11
−7
04
Offense has -1 timeouts left
−3
Play by play - hover to pin the curve
Q1 15:00
Sam Keltner kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
0.0
Q1 14:48
Christopher Vizzina pass complete to Antonio Williams for 2 yds to the CLEM 23
+2.2
Q1 14:24
Adam Randall run for 12 yds to the CLEM 35 for a 1ST down
+0.2
Q1 13:53
Adam Randall run for 2 yds to the CLEM 37
0.0
Q1 13:16
Christopher Vizzina pass complete to T.J. Moore for 6 yds to the CLEM 43
+0.2
Q1 12:36
Christopher Vizzina run for no gain to the CLEM 43
+0.6
Q1 11:57
Jack Smith punt for 50 yds , Yamir Knight returns for 2 yds to the SMU 9
-0.3
Q1 11:46
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Yamir Knight for 9 yds to the SMU 18
-3.5
Q1 11:31
T.J. Harden run for 2 yds to the SMU 20 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 11:02
PENALTY SMU False Start (Byrd,Savion) 5 yards from SMU20 to SMU15. NO PLAY.
0.0
Q1 10:35
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Jordan Hudson for no gain to the SMU 15
0.0
Q1 9:50
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Chris Johnson Jr. for 12 yds to the SMU 27
0.0
Q1 9:15
Kevin Jennings sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the SMU 22
+0.1
Q1 8:38
Wade McSparron punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CLEM 33
-0.4
Q1 8:38
PENALTY CLE False Start (Jacobs,Brayden) 5 yards from CLE33 to CLE28. NO PLAY.
+3.0
Q1 8:26
Christopher Vizzina pass complete to Antonio Williams for 4 yds to the CLEM 32
+0.1
Q1 7:54
Christopher Vizzina run for 7 yds to the CLEM 39
0.0
Q1 7:01
Christopher Vizzina pass complete to Christian Bentancur for 9 yds to the CLEM 48 for a 1ST down
+0.4
Q1 6:46
Christopher Vizzina run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line Christopher Vizzina fumbled, recovered by SMU Jahkai Lang , return to the 50 yard line
+0.7
Q1 6:46
Christopher Vizzina run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line Christopher Vizzina fumbled, recovered by SMU Jahkai Lang , return to the 50 yard line
0.0
Q1 6:42
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to Matthew Hibner
-6.4
Q1 6:33
T.J. Harden run for 3 yds to the CLEM 47
0.0
Q1 5:59
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to Romello Brinson
-0.3
Q1 5:49
Wade McSparron punt for 47 yds for a touchback
+0.3
Q1 5:41
Adam Randall run for 8 yds to the CLEM 28
+5.1
Q1 5:12
Christopher Vizzina run for 1 yd to the CLEM 29
0.0
Q1 4:39
Adam Randall run for no gain to the CLEM 29
0.0
Q1 4:09
Timeout Clemson, clock 04:09
-1.2
Q1 4:01
Jack Smith punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Yamir Knight at the SMU 30
0.0
Q1 3:52
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Jordan Hudson for 70 yds for a TD (Sam Keltner KICK)
-20.3
Q1 3:52
Sam Keltner kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
0.0
Q1 3:48
Christopher Vizzina pass incomplete to Adam Randall
+4.5
Q1 3:38
Christopher Vizzina pass complete to Adam Randall for 7 yds to the CLEM 32
0.0
Q1 2:57
Christopher Vizzina run for 2 yds to the CLEM 34
0.0
Q1 2:22
Jack Smith punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Yamir Knight at the SMU 19
-0.1
Q1 2:16
T.J. Harden run for 3 yds to the SMU 22
-4.6
Q1 1:50
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to Romello Brinson
-0.8
Q1 1:50
Timeout SMU, clock 01:50
-0.5
Q1 1:44
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to Chris Johnson Jr.
0.0
Q1 1:31
Wade McSparron punt for 45 yds , Bryant Wesco Jr. returns for 7 yds to the CLEM 40
0.0
Q1 0:52
Christopher Vizzina run for 3 yds to the CLEM 37 Christopher Vizzina fumbled, recovered by CLEM Adam Randall
+4.7
Q1 0:33
Adam Randall run for no gain to the CLEM 37
-0.6
Q1 0:12
Christopher Vizzina pass incomplete to Adam Randall
0.0
Q1 0:04
Jack Smith punt for 33 yds , Yamir Knight returns for 3 yds to the SMU 33
0.0
Q1 0:00
T.J. Harden run for a loss of 2 yards to the SMU 31
-4.1
Q2 14:54
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Chris Johnson Jr. for 5 yds to the SMU 36
0.0
Q2 14:22
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Romello Brinson for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down
-0.4
Q2 13:39
Derrick McFall run for 9 yds to the CLEM 41
-0.9
Q2 12:59
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete
-0.1
Q2 12:53
T.J. Harden run for 4 yds to the CLEM 37 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 12:11
Chris Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds to the CLEM 34
0.0
Q2 11:36
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to RJ Maryland
-0.2
Q2 11:31
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to Jalen Cooper
0.0
Q2 11:26
Sam Keltner 51 yd FG GOOD
-5.8
Q2 11:26
Sam Keltner kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
+1.0
Q2 11:11
Christopher Vizzina pass complete to T.J. Moore for 12 yds to the CLEM 37 for a 1ST down
+3.8
Q2 10:44
Christopher Vizzina pass complete to Antonio Williams for 10 yds to the CLEM 47 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 10:14
Christopher Vizzina pass incomplete to Bryant Wesco Jr.
+1.3
Q2 10:05
Gideon Davidson run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line
0.0
Q2 9:28
Christopher Vizzina pass complete to Antonio Williams for 18 yds to the SMU 32 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 8:51
Christopher Vizzina pass complete to T.J. Moore for 32 yds for a TD (Nolan Hauser KICK)
+18.1
Q2 8:51
Robert Gunn III kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
-2.6
Q2 8:42
Kevin Jennings pass complete to RJ Maryland for 15 yds to the SMU 40 for a 1ST down
-4.9
Q2 8:21
T.J. Harden run for no gain to the SMU 40
-0.6
Q2 7:32
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Jordan Hudson for 14 yds to the CLEM 46 for a 1ST down
-2.0
Q2 7:06
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Chris Johnson Jr. for 2 yds to the CLEM 48
-1.1
Q2 6:38
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete
0.0
Q2 6:38
Timeout SMU, clock 06:38
0.0
Q2 6:09
Kevin Jennings pass complete to T.J. Harden for 13 yds to the CLEM 35 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 5:59
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to Jordan Hudson
0.0
Q2 5:43
Link Rhodes run for a loss of 3 yards to the CLEM 38
0.0
Q2 4:58
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Matthew Hibner for 7 yds to the CLEM 31
0.0
Q2 4:29
Sam Keltner 48 yd FG GOOD
-8.0
Q2 4:24
Sam Keltner kickoff for 64 yds , Adam Randall return for 29 yds to the CLEM 30
+0.8
Q2 4:01
Christopher Vizzina pass complete to Christian Bentancur for 3 yds to the CLEM 33
+6.4
Q2 3:31
Christopher Vizzina pass complete to Christian Bentancur for 6 yds to the CLEM 39
0.0
Q2 2:59
Christopher Vizzina pass incomplete to Tyler Brown
+0.1
Q2 2:53
Peter Woods run for no gain to the CLEM 39
0.0
Q2 2:45
Derrick McFall run for 3 yds to the CLEM 36
-8.0
Q2 2:15
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to Romello Brinson
0.0
Q2 2:05
Kevin Jennings run for 8 yds to the CLEM 28 for a 1ST down
-0.1
Q2 2:00
Timeout Clemson, clock 02:00
0.0
Q2 1:55
Kevin Jennings run for 10 yds to the CLEM 18 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 1:29
(01:33) No Huddle-Shotgun Harden,T.J. rush left for 7 yards gain to the CLE11 (Alexander,Jeremiah), out of bounds PENALTY SMU Holding (Parr,Logan) 10 yards from CLE18 to CLE28. NO PLAY.
0.0
Q2 1:24
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to Derrick McFall
0.0
Q2 1:20
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to Romello Brinson
0.0
Q2 1:14
Kevin Jennings pass complete to T.J. Harden for 3 yds to the CLEM 31
0.0
Q2 1:14
Timeout Clemson, clock 01:14
+0.7
Q2 1:09
Sam Keltner 48 yd FG GOOD
-4.9
Q2 1:09
Sam Keltner kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
+1.0
Q2 1:01
Adam Randall run for 1 yd to the CLEM 26
-1.0
Q2 0:42
Christopher Vizzina pass complete to Josh Sapp for 3 yds to the CLEM 29
-0.1
Q2 0:32
Christopher Vizzina pass complete to Adam Randall for 4 yds to the CLEM 33
0.0
Q2 0:23
Timeout SMU, clock 00:23
-0.5
Q2 0:16
Jack Smith punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SMU 23
0.0
Q2 0:00
Chris Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the SMU 25
+1.0
Q3 15:00
Robert Gunn III kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
+0.9
Q3 14:53
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Yamir Knight for 10 yds to the SMU 35 for a 1ST down
+0.8
Q3 14:35
T.J. Harden run for 4 yds to the SMU 39
-0.5
Q3 13:56
Kevin Jennings run for 2 yds to the SMU 41
-1.5
Q3 13:15
SMU Penalty, Illegal Shift (William Nettles) declined
-0.4
Q3 13:04
Wade McSparron punt for 53 yds for a 1ST down , Bryant Wesco Jr. returns for 9 yds to the CLEM 15 for a 1ST down
+0.3
Q3 13:04
Wade McSparron punt for 53 yds for a 1ST down , Bryant Wesco Jr. returns for 9 yds to the CLEM 30 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 12:54
Adam Randall run for 3 yds to the CLEM 33
+1.0
Q3 12:24
Antonio Williams run for a loss of 4 yards to the CLEM 29
0.0
Q3 11:48
Christopher Vizzina sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the CLEM 26
0.0
Q3 11:12
Jack Smith punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Yamir Knight at the SMU 37
0.0
Q3 10:56
Kevin Jennings pass complete to RJ Maryland for 1 yd to the SMU 38
-1.3
Q3 10:25
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to Derrick McFall
-0.8
Q3 10:20
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to Jordan Hudson
-0.4
Q3 10:11
Wade McSparron punt for 42 yds , Bryant Wesco Jr. returns for 6 yds to the CLEM 26
+0.3
Q3 9:52
Christopher Vizzina pass complete to Antonio Williams for 11 yds to the CLEM 37 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 9:39
Christopher Vizzina pass incomplete to Peter Woods
0.0
Q3 9:30
Adam Randall run for 1 yd to the CLEM 38
-1.7
Q3 8:48
Christopher Vizzina pass complete to T.J. Moore for 62 yds for a TD (Nolan Hauser KICK)
+27.3
Q3 8:48
Robert Gunn III kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
-0.1
Q3 8:38
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Yamir Knight for 10 yds to the SMU 35 for a 1ST down
-6.1
Q3 8:08
Chris Johnson Jr. run for 30 yds to the CLEM 35 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 7:36
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to RJ Maryland
-2.1
Q3 7:29
Derrick McFall run for 35 yds for a TD (Sam Keltner KICK)
-18.0
Q3 7:28
Sam Keltner kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
+1.9
Q3 7:17
Christopher Vizzina run for 7 yds to the CLEM 32
-3.8
Q3 6:36
Chris Denson run for 2 yds to the CLEM 34
-1.8
Q3 6:04
Adam Randall run for 1 yd to the CLEM 35 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 5:22
Christopher Vizzina pass complete to Tristan Smith for 14 yds to the CLEM 49 for a 1ST down
-0.4
Q3 4:54
Christopher Vizzina pass incomplete to Josh Sapp
-0.3
Q3 4:42
Christopher Vizzina run for no gain to the CLEM 49
0.0
Q3 4:07
Christopher Vizzina pass complete to Antonio Williams for 13 yds to the SMU 38 for a 1ST down
-0.2
Q3 3:33
Antonio Williams run for 1 yd to the SMU 37
+2.2
Q3 3:01
Christopher Vizzina pass complete to Cole Turner for 4 yds to the SMU 33
0.0
Q3 2:28
Christopher Vizzina pass complete to Tyler Brown for 9 yds to the SMU 24 for a 1ST down
-0.5
Q3 2:01
Adam Randall run for 1 yd to the SMU 23
-0.5
Q3 1:20
Christopher Vizzina run for 1 yd to the SMU 22
0.0
Q3 0:38
Christopher Vizzina pass complete to T.J. Moore for 12 yds to the SMU 10 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 0:19
Christopher Vizzina pass incomplete to Adam Randall
0.0
Q3 0:15
Christopher Vizzina pass incomplete to T.J. Moore
0.0
Q3 0:15
Timeout SMU, clock 00:15
-0.1
Q3 0:10
Christopher Vizzina pass incomplete to T.J. Moore
0.0
Q3 0:07
Nolan Hauser 28 yd FG GOOD
+16.8
Q3 0:07
Robert Gunn III kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
-2.3
Q3 0:00
Kevin Jennings pass complete to RJ Maryland for 17 yds to the SMU 42 for a 1ST down
-8.7
Q4 14:47
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Jordan Hudson for 13 yds to the CLEM 45 for a 1ST down
-1.5
Q4 14:11
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete
-0.5
Q4 13:59
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Chris Johnson Jr. for 25 yds to the CLEM 20 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 13:16
T.J. Harden run for a loss of 2 yards to the CLEM 22
-0.4
Q4 12:30
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Matthew Hibner for 22 yds for a TD (Sam Keltner PAT MISSED)
-12.9
Q4 12:30
PENALTY SMU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Hudson,Jordan) 15 yards from CLE03 to CLE18. NO PLAY.
+12.9
Q4 12:30
Sam Keltner kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
-11.8
Q4 12:19
Christopher Vizzina pass complete to Cole Turner for 4 yds to the CLEM 29
-1.0
Q4 11:55
Christopher Vizzina run for 2 yds to the CLEM 31
0.0
Q4 11:34
Christopher Vizzina pass complete to Adam Randall for 3 yds to the CLEM 28
-0.1
Q4 11:06
Jack Smith punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Yamir Knight at the SMU 31
0.0
Q4 10:57
Derrick McFall run for no gain to the SMU 31
+0.7
Q4 10:16
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete
-0.6
Q4 10:11
Kevin Jennings pass intercepted Ricardo Jones return for no gain to the SMU 49
0.0
Q4 9:45
Christopher Vizzina pass complete to Adam Randall for 6 yds to the SMU 43
0.0
Q4 9:32
Christopher Vizzina pass complete to Adam Randall for 5 yds to the SMU 38 for a 1ST down SMU Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Alexander Kilgore) to the SMU 23 for a 1ST down
+1.1
Q4 8:54
Christopher Vizzina sacked for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 24
+0.1
Q4 8:24
Christopher Vizzina pass complete to Josh Sapp for 12 yds to the SMU 12 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 8:06
Christopher Vizzina run for 2 yds to the SMU 10
0.0
Q4 7:35
Christopher Vizzina sacked by Isaiah Smith for a loss of 6 yards to the SMU 16
-1.7
Q4 7:02
Christopher Vizzina pass incomplete to Olsen Patt-Henry
0.0
Q4 6:44
Christopher Vizzina pass complete to Tristan Smith for 23 yds for a TD SMU Penalty, Defensive Offside (William Nettles) declined (Nolan Hauser KICK)
+18.5
Q4 6:44
Robert Gunn III kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
-3.1
Q4 6:37
T.J. Harden run for 2 yds to the SMU 27
-3.2
Q4 5:47
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Jordan Hudson for 7 yds to the SMU 34
0.0
Q4 5:20
T.J. Harden run for 2 yds to the SMU 36 for a 1ST down
-2.8
Q4 4:36
Chris Johnson Jr. run for 18 yds to the CLEM 46 for a 1ST down
-1.9
Q4 4:35
Timeout Clemson, clock 04:35
-3.0
Q4 4:24
Chris Johnson Jr. run for no gain to the CLEM 46
-0.3
Q4 4:06
Kevin Jennings run for 3 yds to the CLEM 43
-1.0
Q4 3:15
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Romello Brinson for 4 yds to the CLEM 39
-0.7
Q4 2:44
Timeout SMU, clock 02:44
-1.1
Q4 2:39
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to Yamir Knight
0.0
Q4 2:39
(02:41) No Huddle-Shotgun Jennings,Kevin pass incomplete short middle to Knight,Yamir thrown to CLE35, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY CLE Pass Interference (Hanafin,Ronan) 4 yards from CLE39 to CLE35, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
0.0
Q4 2:35
T.J. Harden run for no gain to the CLEM 35
0.0
Q4 2:35
Timeout Clemson, clock 02:35
0.0
Q4 2:30
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete
-0.5
Q4 2:30
Timeout SMU, clock 02:30
-0.1
Q4 2:24
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Jordan Hudson for 26 yds to the CLEM 9 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 2:00
Timeout Clemson, clock 02:00
0.0
Q4 1:46
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Jordan Hudson for 1 yd to the CLEM 8
-1.1
Q4 1:08
Kevin Jennings run for 2 yds to the CLEM 6
-1.6
Q4 1:08
Timeout Clemson, clock 01:08
-1.3
Q4 1:03
Chris Johnson Jr. run for 6 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
-3.1
Q4 0:58
Sam Keltner kickoff for 65 yds , Adam Randall return for 14 yds to the CLEM 14
+0.1
Q4 0:53
Christopher Vizzina pass incomplete to Josh Sapp
-3.3
Q4 0:48
Christopher Vizzina pass incomplete to Adam Randall
0.0
Q4 0:39
Christopher Vizzina pass complete to Tristan Smith for 14 yds to the CLEM 28 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 0:25
Christopher Vizzina pass complete to Olsen Patt-Henry for 11 yds to the CLEM 39 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 0:18
Christopher Vizzina pass incomplete to Olsen Patt-Henry
0.0
Q4 0:01
Christopher Vizzina pass complete to Christian Bentancur for 8 yds to the CLEM 47
0.0
Q4 0:00
Christopher Vizzina pass incomplete to Tristan Smith
+0.1
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:48
Christopher Vizzina pass complete to T.J. Moore for 62 yds for a TD (Nolan Hauser KICK)
+27.3
TD · Q1 3:52
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Jordan Hudson for 70 yds for a TD (Sam Keltner KICK)
-20.3
TD · Q4 6:44
Christopher Vizzina pass complete to Tristan Smith for 23 yds for a TD SMU Penalty, Defensive Offside (William Nettles) declined (Nolan Hauser KICK)
+18.5