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WAKE

Wake Forest 39 at Oregon State 14

ORST
2025 · Week 7 · Oct 11, 2025 · Reser Stadium
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Win probability · ORST
modelORST aheadWAKE aheadconfidence bandkey playORST scoreWAKE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 6:48 · Cal Joseph punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Trent Walker at the ORST 39
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingPregame prior
+56.0+28.00−28.0−56.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 74Home team on offense−21.4Score differential−9.7Garbage-time factor−3.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.3Pregame prior−2.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 13:32: Deshawn Purdie pass complete to Chris Barnes for 36 yds for a TD (T. Clark III Run For Two-point Conversion) — WAKE win probability +0.6 pts (now 54%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 3:49: Deshawn Purdie pass complete to Micah Mays Jr. for 52 yds for a TD (Connor Calvert KICK) — WAKE win probability +4.0 pts (now 61%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 10:56: Deshawn Purdie pass complete to Chris Barnes for 11 yds for a TD (Connor Calvert KICK) — WAKE win probability +11.7 pts (now 79%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 0:00: Connor Calvert 43 yd FG GOOD — WAKE win probability +5.2 pts (now 94%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:58: Cornell Hatcher Jr. run for 29 yds for a TD (Caleb Ojeda KICK) — ORST win probability +0.4 pts (now 1%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ORST made the numbers' call on 9 of 11WAKE made the numbers' call on 4 of 8
  1. Q1 12:11ORST 4th & 4 at ORST 31, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.7%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:48WAKE 4th & 1 at ORST 19, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 54.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    54.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    54.0%−0.5
    77% to make
    Punt
    52.5%−2.0
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:38ORST 4th & 12 at WAKE 29, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 44.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.1%−0.4
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.5%
    58% to make
    Punt
    43.0%−1.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:17ORST 4th & 10 at ORST 37, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.9%−0.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:09WAKE 4th & 2 at WAKE 49, up 15
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 63.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.4%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.3%−1.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:43ORST 4th & 10 at ORST 23, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.9%−1.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:52WAKE 4th & 7 at WAKE 26, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.1%−1.0
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:39ORST 4th & 9 at WAKE 34, down 22
    Close callWent for it · 26.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.2%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    26.3%
    47% to make
    Punt
    24.9%−1.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:48WAKE 4th & 4 at WAKE 24, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.9%−0.2
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.1%
    average punt
  10. Q2 5:43ORST 4th & 15 at ORST 34, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.5%−4.7
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.2%
    average punt
  11. Q2 2:49WAKE 4th & 15 at ORST 37, up 22
    Close callPunted · 82.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.3%−0.9
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    82.2%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    81.4%−0.8
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:44ORST 4th & 10 at ORST 21, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.0%−4.4
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.4%
    average punt
  13. Q2 0:00WAKE 4th & 4 at ORST 26, up 22
    Close callKicked a field goal · 86.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    86.2%−0.5
    64% to make
    Punt
    81.0%−5.7
    average punt
  14. Q3 11:58ORST 4th & 17 at ORST 36, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−3.3
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.7%
    average punt
  15. Q3 9:03WAKE 4th & 2 at ORST 40, up 25
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 96.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    95.4%−1.2
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    95.6%−1.0
    average punt
  16. Q3 6:41ORST 4th & 5 at ORST 27, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.8%
    average punt
  17. Q3 1:12ORST 4th & 5 at WAKE 17, down 32
    Close callWent for it · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.4%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    1.4%
    80% to make
    Punt
    0.9%−0.5
    average punt
  18. Q4 14:51WAKE 4th & 16 at WAKE 11, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.1%
    average punt
  19. Q4 13:17ORST 4th & 1 at WAKE 34, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%−0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    0.3%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ORST made the numbers' call on 0 of 2WAKE made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 13:32WAKE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    52.5%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    52.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:49WAKE Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:56WAKE Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 6:33WAKE Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 11:58ORST Touchdown, down 26 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.1%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.2%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:42WAKE Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 4:10ORST Touchdown, down 26 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.4%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WAKEDrive 1TD
5 plays · 60 yds · 1:1553% → 54%
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
46.8%
Demond Claiborne run for 4 yds to the WAKE 44Similar
Q1 14:17
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+15
46.9%
(14:20) Shotgun Purdie,Deshawn pass incomplete short left to Falayi,Eni thrown to WFU45 QB hurried by Schuster,Jacob PENALTY OSU Roughing The Passer (Schuster,Jacob) 15 yards from WFU44 to OSU41, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
46.9%
Demond Claiborne run for 5 yds to the ORST 36Similar
Q1 13:32
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+36
46.3%
Deshawn Purdie pass complete to Chris Barnes for 36 yds for a TD (T. Clark III Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:1646% → 46%
Q1 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
46.3%
Anthony Hankerson run for 5 yds to the ORST 30Similar
Q1 12:53
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
46.1%
Anthony Hankerson run for 1 yd to the ORST 31Similar
Q1 12:19
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
46.0%
Maalik Murphy pass incomplete to Taz ReddicksSimilar
Q1 12:11
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+1
45.9%
AJ Winsor punt for 39 yds , Carlos Hernandez returns for 1 yd to the WAKE 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 3DOWNS
7 plays · 50 yds · 3:1654% → 55%
Q1 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
46.0%
Demond Claiborne run for no gain to the WAKE 31Similar
Q1 11:20
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+20
45.9%
Deshawn Purdie pass complete to Ty Clark III for 20 yds to the ORST 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+21
45.3%
Deshawn Purdie pass complete to Carlos Hernandez for 21 yds to the ORST 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
45.2%
Demond Claiborne run for 4 yds to the ORST 24Similar
Q1 9:42
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+5
45.0%
Chris Barnes run for 5 yds to the ORST 19Similar
Q1 9:22
3RD & 1
OPP 19
0
45.0%
Demond Claiborne run for no gain to the ORST 19Similar
Q1 8:48
4TH & 1
OPP 19
0
44.9%
Deshawn Purdie pass incomplete to Kamrean JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 4MISSED FG
12 plays · 52 yds · 4:0345% → 44%
Q1 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-5
45.0%
Gabarri Johnson sacked by Langston Hardy for a loss of 5 yards to the ORST 14Similar
Q1 8:00
2ND & 15
OWN 14
+15
44.9%
Wake Forest Penalty, Roughing The Passer (15 Yards) to the ORST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
45.1%
Kourdey Glass run for no gain to the ORST 36Similar
Q1 7:12
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+9
44.8%
Gabarri Johnson pass complete to Trent Walker for 9 yds to the ORST 45Similar
Q1 6:40
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+2
45.2%
Anthony Hankerson run for 2 yds to the ORST 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+26
45.2%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Taz Reddicks for 26 yds to the WAKE 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:39
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-5
45.8%
PENALTY OSU False Start (Voltin,Tyler) 5 yards from WFU27 to WFU32. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:29
1ST & 15
OPP 32
0
45.5%
Gabarri Johnson pass incomplete to Gabe MilbournSimilar
Q1 5:26
2ND & 15
OPP 32
0
45.2%
Maalik Murphy pass incomplete to Trent WalkerSimilar
Q1 5:16
3RD & 15
OPP 32
+3
44.6%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Kourdey Glass for 3 yds to the WAKE 29Similar
Q1 4:38
4TH & 12
OPP 29
+85
44.3%
Caleb Ojeda 47 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by BJ Williams (04:52) Ojeda,Caleb field goal attempt from 47 yards NO GOOD blocked by Williams,BJ (H: Winsor,AJ, LS: Haverland,Will), clock 04:38 recovered by WFU Stevenson,Zamari at WFU25 Stevenson,Zamari return 75 yards to the OSU00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 04:38 PENALTY WFU Holding (Andersen,Nick) 10 yards from OSU42 to WFU48. , Zamari Stevenson return for 75 yds Wake Forest Penalty, Offensive Holding (Nick Andersen) to the WAKE 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 5TD
2 plays · 52 yds · 0:4357% → 61%
Q1 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
43.4%
Demond Claiborne run for no gain to the WAKE 48Similar
Q1 3:49
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+52
39.4%
Deshawn Purdie pass complete to Micah Mays Jr. for 52 yds for a TD (Connor Calvert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 1:2340% → 38%
Q1 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
39.9%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to David Wells Jr. for 7 yds to the ORST 32Similar
Q1 3:12
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+5
39.0%
Anthony Hankerson run for 5 yds to the ORST 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
39.1%
Maalik Murphy pass incomplete to Taz ReddicksSimilar
Q1 2:30
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
38.8%
Maalik Murphy pass incomplete to Taz ReddicksSimilar
Q1 2:26
3RD & 10
OWN 37
0
38.4%
Maalik Murphy pass incomplete to Eddie FreauffSimilar
Q1 2:17
4TH & 10
OWN 37
0
38.3%
AJ Winsor punt for 53 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WAKE 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 39 yds · 3:0062% → 64%
Q1 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+20
38.2%
Demond Claiborne run for 20 yds to the WAKE 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
37.8%
Deshawn Purdie pass incomplete to Jeremiah MelvinSimilar
Q1 1:42
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+11
37.8%
Deshawn Purdie pass complete to Sterling Berkhalter for 11 yds to the WAKE 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
36.8%
Carlos Hernandez run for 3 yds to the WAKE 44Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 44
0
35.5%
Demond Claiborne run for no gain to the WAKE 44Similar
Q2 14:50
3RD & 7
OWN 44
+5
35.5%
Deshawn Purdie pass complete to Demond Claiborne for 5 yds to the WAKE 49Similar
Q2 14:09
4TH & 2
OWN 49
0
35.8%
Cal Joseph punt for 28 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:2137% → 36%
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
36.7%
Maalik Murphy pass incomplete to Trent WalkerSimilar
Q2 14:00
2ND & 10
OWN 23
0
36.6%
Oregon State Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 13:56
3RD & 10
OWN 23
0
35.9%
Maalik Murphy pass incomplete to David Wells Jr.Similar
Q2 13:43
4TH & 10
OWN 23
+1
35.7%
AJ Winsor punt for 55 yds , Carlos Hernandez returns for 1 yd to the WAKE 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:4465% → 65%
Q2 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
35.3%
Demond Claiborne run for 3 yds to the WAKE 26Similar
Q2 13:03
2ND & 7
OWN 26
0
34.9%
Deshawn Purdie pass incomplete to Jeremiah MelvinSimilar
Q2 12:58
3RD & 7
OWN 26
0
35.1%
Deshawn Purdie pass incomplete to Eni FalayiSimilar
Q2 12:52
4TH & 7
OWN 26
0
35.4%
Cal Joseph punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Trent Walker at the ORST 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 10FUMBLE
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:0536% → 35%
Q2 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-5
35.7%
(12:51) PENALTY OSU False Start (Timoteo,Josiah) 5 yards from OSU32 to OSU27. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:46
1ST & 15
OWN 27
+2
35.4%
Cornell Hatcher Jr. run for 2 yds to the ORST 29 Cornell Hatcher Jr. fumbled, recovered by WAKE Jayden LovingSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 11TD
6 plays · 29 yds · 1:4566% → 79%
Q2 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
33.8%
Deshawn Purdie pass incomplete to Demond ClaiborneSimilar
Q2 12:35
2ND & 10
OPP 29
-10
33.7%
(12:38) Shotgun Claiborne,Demond rush left for 9 yards gain to the OSU20 fumbled by Claiborne,Demond at OSU24 forced by Tucker,Jalil, out of bounds at OSU20 PENALTY WFU Holding (Hines,Jack) 10 yards from OSU29 to OSU39. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:07
2ND & 20
OPP 39
+2
33.5%
Deshawn Purdie pass complete to Carlos Hernandez for 2 yds to the ORST 37Similar
Q2 11:33
3RD & 18
OPP 37
+15
33.3%
(11:35) Shotgun Purdie,Deshawn pass incomplete deep left to Mays Jr.,Micah thrown to OSU06 PENALTY OSU Pass Interference (Singleton,Kobe) 15 yards from OSU37 to OSU22, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+11
32.9%
Demond Claiborne run for 11 yds to the ORST 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:56
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
21.1%
Deshawn Purdie pass complete to Chris Barnes for 11 yds for a TD (Connor Calvert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 12INT
9 plays · 41 yds · 3:0726% → 27%
Q2 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
26.3%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Gabe Milbourn for 18 yds to the ORST 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+11
27.0%
Anthony Hankerson run for 11 yds to the WAKE 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
27.1%
Anthony Hankerson run for 3 yds to the WAKE 43Similar
Q2 9:04
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+8
26.3%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Gabe Milbourn for 8 yds to the WAKE 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:31
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
26.8%
Maalik Murphy pass incomplete to David Wells Jr.Similar
Q2 8:22
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+1
26.6%
Marquis Crosby run for 1 yd to the WAKE 34Similar
Q2 7:45
3RD & 9
OPP 34
0
26.6%
Maalik Murphy pass incomplete to David Wells Jr.Similar
Q2 7:39
4TH & 9
OPP 34
0
26.5%
Maalik Murphy pass intercepted Nuer Gatkuoth return for no gain to the WAKE 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:4680% → 81%
Q2 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
19.7%
Deshawn Purdie pass incomplete to Sterling BerkhalterSimilar
Q2 7:26
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+6
19.6%
Deshawn Purdie pass complete to Sterling Berkhalter for 6 yds to the WAKE 24Similar
Q2 6:53
3RD & 4
OWN 24
0
19.3%
Deshawn Purdie pass incomplete to Demond ClaiborneSimilar
Q2 6:48
4TH & 4
OWN 24
0
19.4%
Cal Joseph punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Trent Walker at the ORST 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 0:5725% → 23%
Q2 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
24.7%
Anthony Hankerson run for 5 yds to the ORST 44Similar
Q2 6:15
2ND & 5
OWN 44
-5
24.6%
(06:16) PENALTY OSU False Start (Voltin,Tyler) 5 yards from OSU44 to OSU39. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:53
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
23.5%
Maalik Murphy pass incomplete to Trent WalkerSimilar
Q2 5:53
3RD & 10
OWN 39
-5
23.2%
PENALTY OSU False Start (Berger,Ryan) 5 yards from OSU39 to OSU34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:48
3RD & 15
OWN 34
0
22.7%
Gabarri Johnson pass incomplete to Eddie FreauffSimilar
Q2 5:43
4TH & 15
OWN 34
0
22.6%
AJ Winsor punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WAKE 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 28 yds · 2:4782% → 84%
Q2 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+16
17.8%
Demond Claiborne run for 16 yds to the ORST 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:58
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
16.4%
Demond Claiborne run for no gain to the ORST 49Similar
Q2 4:20
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+17
15.9%
Deshawn Purdie pass complete to Micah Mays Jr. for 17 yds to the ORST 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:44
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-5
15.2%
(03:44) PENALTY WFU False Start 5 yards from OSU32 to OSU37. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:25
1ST & 15
OPP 37
0
15.0%
Wake Forest Penalty, Illegal Motion (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 3:01
2ND & 15
OPP 37
0
14.8%
Deshawn Purdie pass incomplete to Sawyer RacanelliSimilar
Q2 2:56
3RD & 15
OPP 37
0
15.1%
Deshawn Purdie pass incomplete to Sawyer RacanelliSimilar
Q2 2:49
4TH & 15
OPP 37
0
16.1%
Cal Joseph punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 16PUNT
9 plays · 20 yds · 1:5820% → 20%
Q2 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
20.1%
Anthony Hankerson run for 1 yd to the ORST 2Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 9
OWN 2
0
19.3%
Anthony Hankerson run for no gain to the ORST 2Similar
Q2 1:53
3RD & 9
OWN 2
+19
18.8%
Gabarri Johnson pass complete to David Wells Jr. for 19 yds to the ORST 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
19.4%
Gabarri Johnson pass incomplete to David Wells Jr.Similar
Q2 1:32
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+3
19.2%
Anthony Hankerson run for 3 yds to the ORST 24Similar
Q2 0:59
3RD & 7
OWN 24
-3
18.8%
Gabarri Johnson sacked by Mateen Ibirogba for a loss of 3 yards to the ORST 21Similar
Q2 0:44
4TH & 10
OWN 21
+33
20.1%
AJ Winsor punt for 44 yds , Carlos Hernandez returns for 33 yds to the ORST 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 17FG
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:4188% → 94%
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
11.7%
Deshawn Purdie pass incomplete to Eni FalayiSimilar
Q2 0:33
2ND & 10
OPP 32
0
11.8%
Deshawn Purdie pass incomplete to Micah Mays Jr.Similar
Q2 0:27
3RD & 10
OPP 32
+6
12.4%
Demond Claiborne run for 6 yds to the ORST 26Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 4
OPP 26
+43
6.1%
Connor Calvert 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 18PUNT
9 plays · 11 yds · 2:576% → 4%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
5.9%
Anthony Hankerson run for 2 yds to the ORST 27Similar
Q3 14:16
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+16
5.6%
Anthony Hankerson run for 16 yds to the ORST 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-10
5.7%
(13:46) Shotgun Hankerson,Anthony rush middle for 4 yards gain to the OSU47 (Patterson,Davaughn; Hall,Aiden) PENALTY OSU Holding (Elu,Nathan) 10 yards from OSU43 to OSU33. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:32
1ST & 20
OWN 33
-5
4.8%
(13:34) PENALTY OSU False Start (Timoteo,Josiah) 5 yards from OSU33 to OSU28. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:11
1ST & 25
OWN 28
+4
4.5%
Gabarri Johnson pass complete to Taz Reddicks for 4 yds to the ORST 32Similar
Q3 12:43
2ND & 21
OWN 32
0
4.3%
Gabarri Johnson pass incomplete to Marquis CrosbySimilar
Q3 12:38
3RD & 21
OWN 32
+4
3.7%
Anthony Hankerson run for 4 yds to the ORST 36Similar
Q3 11:58
4TH & 17
OWN 36
0
3.5%
AJ Winsor punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 36 yds · 2:4795% → 97%
Q3 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
4.7%
Demond Claiborne run for 7 yds to the WAKE 31Similar
Q3 11:08
2ND & 3
OWN 31
+21
4.5%
Deshawn Purdie pass complete to Demond Claiborne for 21 yds to the ORST 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
3.8%
Deshawn Purdie pass incomplete to Chris BarnesSimilar
Q3 10:35
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+9
3.8%
Deshawn Purdie pass complete to Sterling Berkhalter for 9 yds to the ORST 39Similar
Q3 10:00
3RD & 1
OPP 39
-5
3.4%
PENALTY WFU False Start (Siani,Melvin) 5 yards from OSU39 to OSU44. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:33
3RD & 6
OPP 44
+4
3.4%
Deshawn Purdie pass complete to Ty Clark III for 4 yds to the ORST 40Similar
Q3 9:03
4TH & 2
OPP 40
0
3.4%
Cal Joseph punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Trent Walker at the ORST 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 2:173% → 2%
Q3 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
2.7%
Maalik Murphy pass incomplete to Trent WalkerSimilar
Q3 8:48
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+14
2.6%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Taz Reddicks for 14 yds to the ORST 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
2.7%
Maalik Murphy pass incomplete to Taz ReddicksSimilar
Q3 7:59
2ND & 10
OWN 22
0
2.6%
Marquis Crosby run for no gain to the ORST 22Similar
Q3 7:21
3RD & 10
OWN 22
+5
2.4%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to David Wells Jr. for 5 yds to the ORST 27Similar
Q3 6:41
4TH & 5
OWN 27
+15
2.3%
AJ Winsor punt for 43 yds , Carlos Hernandez returns for 15 yds to the WAKE 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 21TD
1 play · 55 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q3 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+55
2.0%
Deshawn Purdie pass complete to Chris Barnes for 55 yds for a TD (Connor Calvert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 22DOWNS
11 plays · 58 yds · 5:112% → 2%
Q3 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
2.1%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Gabe Milbourn for 14 yds to the ORST 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
2.1%
Anthony Hankerson run for no gain to the ORST 39Similar
Q3 5:21
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+11
1.7%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to David Wells Jr. for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:49
1ST & 10
50
+7
1.8%
Anthony Hankerson run for 7 yds to the WAKE 43Similar
Q3 4:10
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+6
1.7%
Anthony Hankerson run for 6 yds to the WAKE 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:39
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+15
1.7%
Wake Forest Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Dylan Hazen) to the WAKE 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:04
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
1.7%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Zack Card for 3 yds to the WAKE 19Similar
Q3 2:32
2ND & 7
OPP 19
-10
1.6%
Maalik Murphy sacked by Nuer Gatkuoth for a loss of 10 yards to the WAKE 29Similar
Q3 1:47
3RD & 17
OPP 29
+12
1.6%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to David Wells Jr. for 12 yds to the WAKE 17Similar
Q3 1:12
4TH & 5
OPP 17
0
1.5%
Maalik Murphy pass incomplete to Trent WalkerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:1399% → 99%
Q3 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-9
1.0%
Wake Forest Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-9 Yards) to the WAKE 10Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 17
OWN 10
+1
0.9%
Ty Clark III run for 1 yd to the WAKE 11Similar
Q4 14:57
3RD & 16
OWN 11
0
0.9%
Deshawn Purdie pass incomplete to Demond ClaiborneSimilar
Q4 14:51
4TH & 16
OWN 11
0
1.0%
Cal Joseph punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Trent Walker at the WAKE 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 24TD
7 plays · 43 yds · 2:471% → 1%
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
0.8%
Maalik Murphy pass incomplete to David Wells Jr.Similar
Q4 14:33
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+4
0.7%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Gabe Milbourn for 4 yds to the WAKE 39Similar
Q4 14:01
3RD & 6
OPP 39
+5
0.5%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Trent Walker for 5 yds to the WAKE 34Similar
Q4 13:17
4TH & 1
OPP 34
+1
0.5%
Anthony Hankerson run for 1 yd to the WAKE 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
0.5%
Anthony Hankerson run for 4 yds to the WAKE 29Similar
Q4 12:06
2ND & 6
OPP 29
0
0.5%
Maalik Murphy pass incomplete to Trent WalkerSimilar
Q4 11:58
3RD & 6
OPP 29
+29
0.9%
Cornell Hatcher Jr. run for 29 yds for a TD (Caleb Ojeda KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 25TD
2 plays · 66 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+66
0.6%
Demond Claiborne run for 66 yds for a TD (Connor Calvert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 26TD
21 plays · 75 yds · 7:260% → 0%
Q4 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
0.4%
(11:42) Shotgun Johnson,Gabarri pass incomplete deep left to Walker,Trent thrown to OSU47 broken up by Patterson,Davaughn PENALTY WFU Pass Interference (Patterson,Davaughn) 15 yards from OSU25 to OSU40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
0.4%
Gabarri Johnson run for 9 yds to the ORST 49Similar
Q4 11:10
2ND & 1
OWN 49
0
0.4%
Anthony Hankerson run for no gain to the ORST 49Similar
Q4 10:40
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+6
0.3%
Anthony Hankerson run for 6 yds to the WAKE 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:09
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-5
0.3%
PENALTY OSU False Start (Berger,Ryan) 5 yards from WFU45 to WFU50. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:55
1ST & 15
50
0
0.3%
Gabarri Johnson pass incomplete to Eddie FreauffSimilar
Q4 9:51
2ND & 15
50
0
0.3%
Gabarri Johnson pass incomplete to Eddie FreauffSimilar
Q4 9:47
3RD & 15
50
+15
0.3%
(09:51) Shotgun Johnson,Gabarri pass incomplete short middle to Freauff,Eddie thrown to WFU48 QB hurried by Lohavichan,Zach PENALTY WFU Roughing The Passer (Lohavichan,Zach) 15 yards from WFU50 to WFU35, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
0.3%
Anthony Hankerson run for 8 yds to the WAKE 27Similar
Q4 9:09
2ND & 2
OPP 27
+11
0.3%
Anthony Hankerson run for 11 yds to the WAKE 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+9
0.3%
Cornell Hatcher Jr. run for 9 yds to the WAKE 7Similar
Q4 8:04
2ND & 1
OPP 7
+2
0.2%
Cornell Hatcher Jr. run for 2 yds to the WAKE 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
0.2%
Gabarri Johnson run for 3 yds to the WAKE 2Similar
Q4 6:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
0.2%
Cornell Hatcher Jr. run for 1 yd to the WAKE 1Similar
Q4 6:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
0.2%
Cornell Hatcher Jr. run for no gain to the WAKE 1Similar
Q4 5:36
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
0.2%
(05:39) Hatcher Jr.,Cornell rush left for 0 yards to the WFU01 (Hardy,Langston; Patterson,Davaughn) PENALTY WFU Offside (West,Travon). NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:35
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
0.2%
PENALTY WFU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Bryant,Quincy), 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
0.2%
Gabarri Johnson run for a loss of 5 yards to the WAKE 6 Gabarri Johnson fumbled, recovered by ORST Gabarri JohnsonSimilar
Q4 4:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
0.2%
Gabarri Johnson pass complete to Anthony Hankerson for 2 yds to the WAKE 4Similar
Q4 4:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
0.4%
Gabarri Johnson pass complete to David Wells Jr. for 4 yds for a TD (Caleb Ojeda KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 27END OF GAME
10 plays · 35 yds · 4:00100% → 100%
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
0.3%
JaMario Clements run for 8 yds to the WAKE 40Similar
Q4 3:18
2ND & 2
OWN 40
0
0.3%
Steele Pizzella pass incomplete to Karate BrensonSimilar
Q4 3:12
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+3
0.3%
JaMario Clements run for 3 yds to the WAKE 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
0.2%
JaMario Clements run for 1 yd to the WAKE 44Similar
Q4 1:52
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+21
0.2%
Jamar Searcy run for 21 yds to the ORST 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-10
0.1%
(01:25) Shotgun Pizzella,Steele rush right for 35 yards gain to the OSU00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 01:18 PENALTY WFU Holding (Kennedy,Ja'Marion) 10 yards from OSU35 to OSU45. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:11
1ST & 20
OPP 45
-1
0.1%
Steele Pizzella run for a loss of 1 yard to the ORST 46Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 21
OPP 46
+13
0.1%
Jamar Searcy run for 13 yds to the ORST 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 10:56
Deshawn Purdie pass complete to Chris Barnes for 11 yds for a TD (Connor Calvert KICK)
-11.7
FG · Q2 0:00
Connor Calvert 43 yd FG GOOD
-5.2
TD · Q1 3:49
Deshawn Purdie pass complete to Micah Mays Jr. for 52 yds for a TD (Connor Calvert KICK)
-4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com