ARDLINETry the model
VT

Virginia Tech 20 at Georgia Tech 35

GT
2025 · Week 7 · Oct 11, 2025 · Bobby Dodd Stadium
Speed4x
Win probability · GT
modelGT aheadVT aheadconfidence bandkey play
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDKEY PLAYKEY PLAYTDKEY PLAYKEY PLAYTDTD
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GT · Drive 1TD · 12 plays · 80 yds
Q1 14:54
Kyle Lowe kickoff for 63 yds , Shane Marshall return for 18 yds to the GT 20
85.5%
0.0
Q1 14:23
Haynes King pass complete to Malik Rutherford for 6 yds to the GT 26
86.6%
+1.2
Q1 14:00
Haynes King pass complete to Bailey Stockton for 8 yds to the GT 34 for a 1ST down
86.6%
0.0
Q1 13:34
Jamal Haynes run for 3 yds to the GT 37
86.6%
0.0
Q1 13:09
Jamal Haynes run for 4 yds to the GT 41
86.8%
+0.1
Q1 12:29
Haynes King run for 6 yds to the GT 47 for a 1ST down
86.9%
+0.2
Q1 12:29
(12:29) PENALTY VT Personal Foul (Chambers,Noah) 15 yards from GT47 to VT38, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
87.2%
+0.2
Q1 11:27
Jamal Haynes run for 7 yds to the VT 31
87.8%
+0.6
Q1 11:16
Malachi Hosley run for 9 yds to the VT 22 for a 1ST down
87.8%
0.0
Q1 11:02
Malachi Hosley run for 20 yds to the VT 2 for a 1ST down
87.8%
0.0
Q1 10:53
Haynes King 2 Yd Run (Haynes King Pass to Malik Rutherford for Two-Point Conversion)
93.2%
+5.4
Q1 10:53
Aidan Birr kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback Virginia Tech Penalty, Personal Foul (Sherrod Henderson)
86.6%
-6.5
VT · Drive 2PUNT · 8 plays · 12 yds
Q1 10:20
Kyron Drones pass complete to Ayden Greene for 17 yds to the VT 30 for a 1ST down
93.2%
+6.5
Q1 10:01
Terion Stewart run for 8 yds to the VT 38
93.2%
0.0
Q1 9:38
Kyron Drones run for 3 yds to the VT 41 for a 1ST down
93.0%
-0.2
Q1 9:12
Terion Stewart run for a loss of 4 yards to the VT 37
93.0%
0.0
Q1 8:29
Kyron Drones sacked by Kyle Efford for a loss of 1 yard to the VT 36
93.1%
+0.1
Q1 8:28
PENALTY VT False Start (Altuner,Kyle) 5 yards from VT36 to VT31. NO PLAY.
93.1%
0.0
Q1 7:38
William Watson III sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the VT 25
93.1%
0.0
Q1 7:10
Nick Veltsistas punt for 55 yds , Eric Rivers returns for 42 yds to the VT 38
93.1%
0.0
GT · Drive 3TD · 6 plays · 38 yds
Q1 6:26
Haynes King pass complete to Malik Rutherford for 8 yds to the VT 30
93.2%
+0.1
Q1 6:11
Haynes King run for 3 yds to the VT 27 for a 1ST down
93.1%
-0.1
Q1 5:29
Jamal Haynes run for 14 yds to the VT 13 for a 1ST down
93.1%
0.0
Q1 4:55
Jamal Haynes run for 4 yds to the VT 9
93.1%
0.0
Q1 4:39
Haynes King pass incomplete to Dean Patterson
93.1%
0.0
Q1 4:34
Haynes King pass complete to Malik Rutherford for 9 yds for a TD (Aidan Birr KICK)
97.4%
+4.3
VT · Drive 4PUNT · 12 plays · 25 yds
Q1 4:34
Aidan Birr kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
97.4%
0.0
Q1 4:09
Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Donavon Greene
96.1%
-1.3
Q1 3:57
Kyron Drones pass complete to Terion Stewart for 1 yd to the VT 26
96.1%
0.0
Q1 3:46
(03:32) No Huddle-Shotgun Drones,Kyron pass incomplete deep right to Greene,Ayden thrown to GT45 PENALTY GT Pass Interference (Tobe,Zachary) 15 yards from VT26 to VT41, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
96.1%
0.0
Q1 3:19
Kyron Drones run for 7 yds to the VT 48
96.1%
0.0
Q1 2:54
Marcellous Hawkins run for 6 yds to the GT 46 for a 1ST down
96.0%
-0.1
Q1 2:16
Takye Heath run for 5 yds to the GT 41
95.8%
-0.1
Q1 2:03
Kyron Drones pass complete to Takye Heath for 1 yd to the GT 40
95.8%
-0.1
Q1 1:24
Timeout Virginia Tech, clock 01:24
95.9%
+0.1
Q1 1:17
(01:24) No Huddle-Shotgun Stewart,Terion rush left for 2 yards gain to the GT38 (Efford,Kyle) PENALTY VT Holding (Garrett,Johnny) 10 yards from GT40 to GT50. NO PLAY.
95.9%
0.0
Q1 0:49
Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Donavon Greene
96.0%
+0.1
Q1 0:17
Nick Veltsistas punt for 47 yds
95.9%
-0.1
GT · Drive 5FG · 12 plays · 90 yds
Q1 0:00
Malachi Hosley run for 4 yds to the GT 7
97.8%
+1.9
Q2 14:34
Trelain Maddox run for 3 yds to the GT 10
97.9%
0.0
Q2 13:54
Haynes King run for 4 yds to the GT 14 for a 1ST down
97.9%
0.0
Q2 13:19
Malachi Hosley run for 36 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down
97.9%
0.0
Q2 12:47
Haynes King pass complete to Malik Rutherford for 4 yds to the GT 46
97.9%
0.0
Q2 12:14
Haynes King pass complete to Luke Harpring for 13 yds to the VT 41
97.9%
0.0
Q2 11:43
Haynes King run for 4 yds to the VT 37 for a 1ST down
97.9%
0.0
Q2 11:01
Haynes King pass complete to Eric Rivers for 22 yds to the VT 15 for a 1ST down
97.9%
0.0
Q2 10:31
Jamal Haynes run for 4 yds to the VT 11
97.9%
+0.1
Q2 9:54
Jamal Haynes run for 3 yds to the VT 8
97.9%
0.0
Q2 9:16
Haynes King run for 1 yd to the VT 7
97.9%
0.0
Q2 9:01
Aidan Birr 25 yd FG GOOD
98.8%
+0.9
VT · Drive 6PUNT · 8 plays · 29 yds
Q2 8:35
Aidan Birr kickoff for 60 yds , P.J. Prioleau return for 22 yds to the VT 27
98.8%
0.0
Q2 8:25
(08:33) No Huddle-Shotgun Drones,Kyron pass incomplete deep left to Greene,Donavon thrown to GT36 PENALTY GT Pass Interference (Shelley,Rodney) 15 yards from VT27 to VT42, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
98.0%
-0.9
Q2 7:49
Marcellous Hawkins run for 3 yds to the VT 45
98.0%
0.0
Q2 7:39
Kyron Drones run for 10 yds to the GT 45 for a 1ST down
98.0%
0.0
Q2 7:16
Kyron Drones sacked by A.J. Hoffler for a loss of 7 yards to the VT 48
97.9%
-0.1
Q2 6:30
Kyron Drones run for 8 yds to the GT 44
97.9%
+0.1
Q2 6:14
Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Ayden Greene
97.8%
-0.1
Q2 6:05
Nick Veltsistas punt for 43 yds
97.8%
0.0
GT · Drive 7PUNT · 4 plays · 6 yds
Q2 5:39
Malachi Hosley run for 1 yd to the GT 2
98.8%
+0.9
Q2 4:55
Haynes King pass complete to Trelain Maddox for 7 yds to the GT 9
98.8%
0.0
Q2 4:16
Haynes King run for a loss of 2 yards to the GT 7
98.8%
0.0
Q2 3:29
Marshall Nichols punt for 53 yds , Isaiah Spencer returns for 14 yds to the GT 46
98.8%
0.0
VT · Drive 8TD · 2 plays · 46 yds
Q2 3:20
Kyron Drones pass complete to Takye Heath for 14 yds to the GT 32 for a 1ST down
97.9%
-0.8
Q2 2:52
Kyron Drones run for 32 yds for a TD (John Love KICK)
94.8%
-2.3
GT · Drive 9FG · 15 plays · 62 yds
Q2 3:13
Kyle Lowe kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
94.4%
-3.5
Q2 3:05
Haynes King pass incomplete to Isiah Canion
97.1%
+2.7
Q2 2:31
Haynes King pass complete to Malik Rutherford for 14 yds to the GT 39 for a 1ST down
97.1%
+2.3
Q2 2:25
Haynes King pass complete to Luke Harpring for 20 yds to the VT 41 for a 1ST down
97.1%
0.0
Q2 2:00
Timeout Georgia Tech, clock 02:00
97.0%
-0.1
Q2 1:26
Haynes King pass complete to Luke Harpring for 6 yds to the VT 35
97.0%
0.0
Q2 0:59
Jamal Haynes run for no gain to the VT 35
96.9%
0.0
Q2 0:32
Haynes King pass complete to Eric Rivers for 3 yds to the VT 32
96.9%
0.0
Q2 0:32
Timeout Georgia Tech, clock 00:32
96.7%
-0.2
Q2 0:23
Haynes King pass complete to Josh Beetham for 31 yds to the VT 1 for a 1ST down
96.6%
-0.2
Q2 0:17
PENALTY VT Offside (Bell,Ben). NO PLAY.
96.7%
+0.1
Q2 0:13
Haynes King run for a loss of 2 yards to the VT 3
96.5%
-0.1
Q2 0:13
Timeout Georgia Tech, clock 00:13
96.6%
0.0
Q2 0:07
(00:13) Shotgun King,Haynes pass complete short right to Canion,Isiah caught at VT00, for 3 yards to the VT00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 00:07 PENALTY GT Holding (Rutledge,Keylan) 10 yards from VT03 to VT13. NO PLAY.
96.6%
0.0
Q2 0:04
Aidan Birr 30 yd FG GOOD
97.6%
+1.0
VT · Drive 10END OF HALF · 2 plays · -2 yds
Q2 0:04
Aidan Birr kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
97.5%
0.0
Q2 0:00
K. Drones takes a knee
96.0%
-1.5
VT · Drive 11TD · 10 plays · 75 yds
Q3 15:00
Aidan Birr kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
97.4%
+1.4
Q3 14:32
Kyron Drones run for 7 yds to the VT 32
96.0%
-1.4
Q3 14:04
Terion Stewart run for 4 yds to the VT 36 for a 1ST down
96.0%
0.0
Q3 13:31
Kyron Drones run for 6 yds to the VT 42
96.0%
-0.1
Q3 12:53
Kyron Drones pass complete to Ayden Greene for 9 yds to the GT 49 for a 1ST down
95.9%
0.0
Q3 12:22
Terion Stewart run for 15 yds to the GT 34 for a 1ST down
95.8%
-0.2
Q3 12:22
Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Benji Gosnell
95.6%
-0.1
Q3 11:54
Terion Stewart run for 1 yd to the GT 33
95.6%
0.0
Q3 11:40
Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Marcellous Hawkins
95.6%
0.0
Q3 11:34
Kyron Drones pass complete to Ja'Ricous Hairston for 33 yds for a TD (John Love KICK)
88.9%
-6.7
GT · Drive 12TD · 7 plays · 75 yds
Q3 11:34
Kyle Lowe kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
89.6%
+0.7
Q3 11:02
Haynes King pass complete to Isiah Canion for 8 yds to the GT 33
90.9%
+1.3
Q3 10:21
Haynes King pass complete to Eric Rivers for 8 yds to the GT 41 for a 1ST down
90.9%
0.0
Q3 9:42
Haynes King pass complete to Brett Seither for 29 yds to the VT 30 for a 1ST down
91.5%
+0.6
Q3 9:16
Jamal Haynes run for 8 yds to the VT 22
91.7%
+0.2
Q3 8:35
Malachi Hosley run for 7 yds to the VT 15 for a 1ST down
91.7%
0.0
Q3 8:23
Malachi Hosley run for 15 yds for a TD (Aidan Birr KICK)
97.6%
+5.9
VT · Drive 13INT · 6 plays · 32 yds
Q3 8:23
Aidan Birr kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
97.6%
0.0
Q3 7:45
Kyron Drones pass complete to Ayden Greene for 10 yds to the VT 35 for a 1ST down
96.0%
-1.6
Q3 7:21
Kyron Drones run for 4 yds to the VT 39
96.0%
0.0
Q3 6:48
Marcellous Hawkins run for 9 yds to the VT 48 for a 1ST down
96.0%
0.0
Q3 6:15
Marcellous Hawkins run for 9 yds to the GT 43
95.9%
-0.1
Q3 6:08
Kyron Drones pass intercepted Rodney Shelley return for no gain to the GT 31
95.8%
-0.1
GT · Drive 14MISSED FG · 8 plays · 35 yds
Q3 5:38
Malachi Hosley run for 6 yds to the GT 37
97.6%
+1.8
Q3 5:02
Malachi Hosley run for 1 yd to the GT 38
97.8%
+0.2
Q3 4:45
Haynes King pass complete to Jamal Haynes for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down Virginia Tech Penalty, Roughing The Passer (Kody Huisman) to the VT 35 for a 1ST down
97.9%
+0.1
Q3 4:31
(04:16) Shotgun Haynes,Jamal rush middle for 2 yards gain to the VT33 (Abbey,Jason; Ballance,George) PENALTY GT Holding (Joseph,Peyton) 10 yards from VT35 to VT45. NO PLAY.
97.9%
0.0
Q3 4:15
Haynes King pass incomplete to Brett Seither
97.8%
0.0
Q3 3:46
Haynes King pass incomplete to Bailey Stockton
97.8%
0.0
Q3 3:43
Malachi Hosley run for 11 yds to the VT 34
97.8%
0.0
Q3 3:29
Aidan Birr 51 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Elhadj Fall
97.8%
0.0
VT · Drive 15PUNT · 5 plays · 3 yds
Q3 3:29
PENALTY VT False Start (Lynch,Aidan) 5 yards from VT34 to VT29. NO PLAY.
95.7%
-2.1
Q3 3:02
Terion Stewart run for no gain to the VT 29
95.8%
+0.1
Q3 2:22
Kyron Drones pass complete to Terion Stewart for 8 yds to the VT 37
95.8%
0.0
Q3 2:11
Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Isaiah Spencer
95.8%
0.0
Q3 1:41
Nick Veltsistas punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Bailey Stockton at the GT 17
95.8%
0.0
GT · Drive 16TD · 10 plays · 83 yds
Q3 1:34
Haynes King run for 7 yds to the GT 24
98.1%
+2.3
Q3 1:09
Jamal Haynes run for 2 yds to the GT 26
98.2%
+0.1
Q3 0:22
Haynes King run for 5 yds to the GT 31 for a 1ST down
98.2%
0.0
Q3 0:00
Jamal Haynes run for 8 yds to the GT 39
98.2%
0.0
Q4 14:32
Trelain Maddox run for 9 yds to the GT 48 for a 1ST down
98.2%
0.0
Q4 13:47
Haynes King pass complete to Malik Rutherford for 16 yds to the VT 36 for a 1ST down
98.2%
0.0
Q4 13:44
PENALTY GT False Start (Harpring,Luke) 5 yards from VT36 to VT41. NO PLAY.
98.2%
0.0
Q4 12:51
Malachi Hosley run for 19 yds to the VT 22 for a 1ST down
98.2%
0.0
Q4 12:13
Haynes King pass complete to Eric Rivers for 4 yds to the VT 26
98.2%
0.0
Q4 11:54
Haynes King run for 26 yds for a TD (Aidan Birr KICK)
99.4%
+1.1
VT · Drive 17TD · 14 plays · 75 yds
Q4 11:54
Aidan Birr kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
99.4%
0.0
Q4 11:22
Marcellous Hawkins run for 28 yds to the GT 47 for a 1ST down
99.2%
-0.2
Q4 11:13
(10:58) No Huddle-Shotgun Drones,Kyron pass complete deep right to Heath,Takye caught at GT25, for 22 yards to the GT25, out of bounds at GT25 PENALTY VT Holding (Rimac,Tomas) 10 yards from GT47 to VT43. NO PLAY.
99.2%
0.0
Q4 10:23
Marcellous Hawkins run for 4 yds to the VT 47
99.2%
0.0
Q4 10:05
(09:53) No Huddle-Shotgun Drones,Kyron rush middle for 10 yards gain to the GT43 (Butler,Tah'j) PENALTY VT Holding (Ghannam,Layth) 10 yards from VT47 to VT37. NO PLAY.
99.2%
0.0
Q4 9:21
Marcellous Hawkins run for 14 yds to the GT 49
99.1%
0.0
Q4 8:39
Kyron Drones run for 4 yds to the GT 45
99.1%
0.0
Q4 7:50
Kyron Drones pass complete to Takye Heath for 23 yds to the GT 22 for a 1ST down
99.1%
0.0
Q4 7:23
Marcellous Hawkins run for 4 yds to the GT 18
99.0%
0.0
Q4 6:49
Kyron Drones run for 7 yds to the GT 11 for a 1ST down
99.0%
0.0
Q4 6:32
Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Ayden Greene
99.0%
0.0
Q4 6:07
Marcellous Hawkins run for 5 yds to the GT 6
99.0%
0.0
Q4 5:20
Kyron Drones run for 3 yds to the GT 3
99.0%
0.0
Q4 4:58
Kyron Drones pass complete to Ja'Ricous Hairston for 3 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
96.9%
-2.1
GT · Drive 18PUNT · 7 plays · -18 yds
Q4 4:58
John Love kickoff for 13 yds
97.0%
+0.1
Q4 4:49
Haynes King pass complete to Dean Patterson for 1 yd to the GT 47 Georgia Tech Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the GT 38
98.5%
+1.5
Q4 4:44
Jamal Haynes run for a loss of 2 yards to the GT 36
98.5%
0.0
Q4 4:43
Timeout Virginia Tech, clock 04:43
98.7%
+0.2
Q4 4:37
Haynes King run for a loss of 2 yards to the GT 34
98.7%
0.0
Q4 4:37
Timeout Virginia Tech, clock 04:37
98.7%
0.0
Q4 4:24
Marshall Nichols punt for 55 yds , Isaiah Spencer returns for 14 yds to the VT 25
98.8%
0.0
VT · Drive 19DOWNS · 6 plays · 62 yds
Q4 4:17
Kyron Drones pass complete to Takye Heath for 20 yds to the VT 45 for a 1ST down
97.2%
-1.6
Q4 3:30
Kyron Drones pass complete to Ayden Greene for 36 yds to the GT 19 for a 1ST down
97.2%
0.0
Q4 3:05
Virginia Tech Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Kyron Drones) to the GT 19
97.1%
-0.1
Q4 2:53
Kyron Drones pass complete to Isaiah Spencer for 6 yds to the GT 13
97.1%
0.0
Q4 2:49
Kyron Drones run for 3 yds to the GT 10
97.1%
0.0
Q4 2:20
Kyron Drones run for a loss of 3 yards to the GT 13
97.1%
0.0
GT · Drive 20END OF GAME · 7 plays · 20 yds
Q4 2:00
Jamal Haynes run for 11 yds to the GT 24 for a 1ST down
98.8%
+1.7
Q4 2:00
Timeout Georgia Tech, clock 02:00
98.7%
-0.1
Q4 1:54
Jamal Haynes run for 3 yds to the GT 27
98.7%
+0.1
Q4 1:54
Timeout Virginia Tech, clock 01:54
98.7%
0.0
Q4 1:23
Haynes King run for 5 yds to the GT 32
98.7%
0.0
Q4 1:02
Haynes King run for 3 yds to the GT 35 for a 1ST down
98.7%
0.0
Q4 0:00
H. King takes a knee
98.7%
0.0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 11:34
Kyron Drones pass complete to Ja'Ricous Hairston for 33 yds for a TD (John Love KICK)
-6.7
KEY PLAY · Q1 10:53
Aidan Birr kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback Virginia Tech Penalty, Personal Foul (Sherrod Henderson)
-6.5
KEY PLAY · Q1 10:20
Kyron Drones pass complete to Ayden Greene for 17 yds to the VT 30 for a 1ST down
+6.5
YardLine · model v2Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com