ARDLINETry the model
CLEM

Clemson 41 at Boston College 10

BC
2025 · Week 7 · Oct 11, 2025 · Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA)
Speed4x
Win probability · BC
modelBC aheadCLEM aheadconfidence bandkey play
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4KEY PLAYKEY PLAYTDTDKEY PLAYTDTDTD
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CLEM · Drive 1FG · 14 plays · 42 yds
Q1 15:00
Andy Quinn kickoff for 55 yds , Adam Randall return for 20 yds to the CLEM 30
7.1%
0.0
Q1 14:10
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Antonio Williams for 4 yds to the CLEM 34
6.2%
-0.9
Q1 13:55
Adam Randall run for 4 yds to the CLEM 38
6.2%
0.0
Q1 13:41
Adam Randall run for 5 yds to the CLEM 43 for a 1ST down
6.0%
-0.2
Q1 13:01
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Adam Randall for 5 yds to the CLEM 48
5.9%
-0.1
Q1 12:34
Antonio Williams run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line
5.7%
-0.2
Q1 11:52
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Christian Bentancur for 2 yds to the BC 48
5.7%
-0.1
Q1 11:08
Peter Woods run for 2 yds to the BC 46 for a 1ST down
5.7%
+0.1
Q1 10:32
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Adam Randall
5.7%
-0.1
Q1 10:23
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Antonio Williams for 12 yds to the BC 34 for a 1ST down
5.7%
0.0
Q1 10:06
Adam Randall run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 35
5.5%
-0.1
Q1 9:35
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Bryant Wesco Jr. for 10 yds to the BC 25
5.5%
0.0
Q1 9:16
Cade Klubnik sacked by Quintayvious Hutchins for a loss of 3 yards to the BC 28
5.6%
+0.1
Q1 8:24
Nolan Hauser 46 yd FG GOOD
4.8%
-0.9
BC · Drive 2PUNT · 5 plays · 2 yds
Q1 8:24
Robert Gunn III kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
5.0%
+0.2
Q1 8:19
Dylan Lonergan pass incomplete to Zeke Moore
6.6%
+1.6
Q1 8:19
Turbo Richard run for no gain to the BC 25
6.6%
0.0
Q1 7:48
Turbo Richard run for 2 yds to the BC 27
6.6%
0.0
Q1 7:15
Shamus Florio punt for 40 yds
6.6%
0.0
CLEM · Drive 3TD · 6 plays · 67 yds
Q1 7:09
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Antonio Williams for 25 yds to the BC 42 for a 1ST down
5.0%
-1.6
Q1 6:41
Adam Randall run for 4 yds to the BC 38
4.6%
-0.3
Q1 6:03
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Bryant Wesco Jr. for 22 yds to the BC 16 for a 1ST down
4.6%
0.0
Q1 5:30
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Antonio Williams for 4 yds to the BC 12
4.6%
0.0
Q1 4:55
Adam Randall run for 4 yds to the BC 8
4.7%
+0.1
Q1 4:05
Adam Randall 8 Yd Run (Nolan Hauser Kick)
2.6%
-2.1
BC · Drive 4FG · 9 plays · 48 yds
Q1 4:05
Robert Gunn III kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
2.8%
+0.2
Q1 4:05
Dylan Lonergan pass complete to Turbo Richard for 6 yds to the BC 31
4.0%
+1.2
Q1 3:30
Turbo Richard run for 10 yds to the BC 41 for a 1ST down
4.0%
0.0
Q1 3:02
Dylan Lonergan pass incomplete to Dawson Pough, broken up by Avieon Terrell for a 1ST down Clemson Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Avieon Terrell) to the CLEM 47 for a 1ST down
4.1%
+0.1
Q1 2:58
Turbo Richard run for 18 yds to the CLEM 29 for a 1ST down
4.3%
+0.2
Q1 2:32
Dylan Lonergan pass incomplete to Turbo Richard
4.5%
+0.1
Q1 2:24
Turbo Richard run for 2 yds to the CLEM 27
4.5%
0.0
Q1 1:46
Dylan Lonergan pass incomplete to Kaelan Chudzinski
4.4%
0.0
Q1 1:37
Luca Lombardo 45 Yd Field Goal
5.3%
+0.9
CLEM · Drive 5TD · 9 plays · 75 yds
Q1 1:37
Andy Quinn kickoff for 64 yds
5.7%
+0.4
Q1 1:36
Cade Klubnik run for 12 yds to the CLEM 37 for a 1ST down
4.5%
-1.1
Q1 1:12
Gideon Davidson run for 5 yds to the CLEM 42
4.5%
0.0
Q1 0:40
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Cole Turner for 21 yds to the BC 37 for a 1ST down
3.3%
-1.2
Q1 0:03
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Olsen Patt-Henry for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 38
3.4%
0.0
Q2 14:57
Antonio Williams run for 24 yds to the BC 14 for a 1ST down
3.5%
+0.1
Q2 14:21
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Adam Randall for 4 yds to the BC 10
3.8%
+0.3
Q2 13:39
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Antonio Williams for 8 yds to the BC 2 for a 1ST down
3.8%
0.0
Q2 13:05
Peter Woods 2 Yd Run (Nolan Hauser Kick)
2.0%
-1.8
BC · Drive 6TD · 12 plays · 75 yds
Q2 13:05
Robert Gunn III kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
2.1%
+0.1
Q2 13:03
Dylan Lonergan pass complete to Lewis Bond for 17 yds to the BC 42 for a 1ST down
3.4%
+1.3
Q2 12:46
Turbo Richard run for 2 yds to the BC 44
3.4%
+0.1
Q2 12:26
Dylan Lonergan pass complete to Lewis Bond for 17 yds to the CLEM 39 for a 1ST down
3.5%
0.0
Q2 12:05
Dylan Lonergan run for 2 yds to the CLEM 37
3.8%
+0.3
Q2 11:40
Turbo Richard run for 7 yds to the CLEM 30
3.6%
-0.1
Q2 11:15
Turbo Richard run for 2 yds to the CLEM 28 for a 1ST down
3.6%
0.0
Q2 10:50
Dylan Lonergan pass complete to Jordan McDonald for 16 yds to the CLEM 12 for a 1ST down
3.9%
+0.2
Q2 10:29
Turbo Richard run for 4 yds to the CLEM 8
3.6%
-0.2
Q2 10:00
Turbo Richard run for no gain to the CLEM 8
3.6%
0.0
Q2 9:19
Dylan Lonergan pass incomplete to Lewis Bond for a 1ST down Clemson Penalty, roughing passer (Wade Woodaz) to the CLEM 2 for a 1ST down
3.6%
0.0
Q2 9:10
Turbo Richard 2 Yd Run (Luca Lombardo Kick)
6.9%
+3.3
CLEM · Drive 7TD · 11 plays · 68 yds
Q2 9:09
Andy Quinn kickoff Boston College Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Jude Bowry) to the BC 20
6.2%
-0.7
Q2 9:09
Andy Quinn kickoff for 64 yds , Adam Randall return for 16 yds to the CLEM 32
6.2%
0.0
Q2 9:03
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Bryant Wesco Jr. for 11 yds to the CLEM 43 for a 1ST down
5.0%
-1.2
Q2 8:33
Cade Klubnik pass complete to T.J. Moore for 11 yds to the BC 46 for a 1ST down
4.8%
-0.3
Q2 8:13
Cade Klubnik run for 5 yds to the BC 41
4.4%
-0.4
Q2 7:41
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Bryant Wesco Jr. for 25 yds to the BC 16 for a 1ST down
4.3%
-0.1
Q2 7:15
Adam Randall run for 2 yds to the BC 14
4.3%
0.0
Q2 6:38
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Bryant Wesco Jr.
4.3%
0.0
Q2 6:32
Cade Klubnik run for 8 yds to the BC 6 for a 1ST down
4.3%
0.0
Q2 5:41
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Antonio Williams
4.6%
+0.2
Q2 5:31
Cade Klubnik 6 Yd Run (Nolan Hauser Kick)
2.2%
-2.4
BC · Drive 8Uncategorized · 10 plays · 53 yds
Q2 5:31
Robert Gunn III kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
2.3%
+0.1
Q2 5:31
Turbo Richard run for 2 yds to the BC 27
2.9%
+0.6
Q2 5:13
Dylan Lonergan pass complete to Dylan Lonergan for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 26
2.9%
0.0
Q2 4:34
Dylan Lonergan pass complete to Lewis Bond for 10 yds to the BC 36 for a 1ST down
2.9%
0.0
Q2 4:16
Dylan Lonergan pass complete to Kaelan Chudzinski for 20 yds to the CLEM 44 for a 1ST down
2.9%
0.0
Q2 3:52
Dylan Lonergan pass complete to Kaelan Chudzinski for 4 yds to the CLEM 40
3.1%
+0.2
Q2 3:16
Jordan McDonald run for 2 yds to the CLEM 38
3.3%
+0.1
Q2 2:38
Dylan Lonergan pass complete to Lewis Bond for 15 yds to the CLEM 23 for a 1ST down
3.3%
0.0
Q2 2:11
Jordan McDonald run for 1 yd to the CLEM 22
2.9%
-0.4
Q2 2:00
Dylan Lonergan sacked by Sammy Brown for a loss of 8 yards to the CLEM 30 Dylan Lonergan fumbled, recovered by CLEM T.J. Parker , return for 0 yards
2.9%
0.0
CLEM · Drive 9TD · 3 plays · 70 yds
Q2 1:54
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Olsen Patt-Henry
2.3%
-0.6
Q2 1:49
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Josh Sapp for 32 yds to the BC 38 for a 1ST down
2.3%
0.0
Q2 1:23
Bryant Wesco Jr. 38 Yd pass from Cade Klubnik (Nolan Hauser Kick)
0.4%
-1.9
BC · Drive 10Uncategorized · 6 plays · 14 yds
Q2 1:23
Robert Gunn III kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
0.4%
0.0
Q2 1:23
Turbo Richard run for 6 yds to the BC 31
1.2%
+0.8
Q2 1:06
Dylan Lonergan pass complete to Jeremiah Franklin for 8 yds to the BC 39 for a 1ST down
1.2%
0.0
Q2 0:56
Dylan Lonergan pass incomplete to Jeremiah Franklin, broken up by Kobe McCloud
1.0%
-0.2
Q2 0:34
Dylan Lonergan run for 4 yds to the BC 43
1.3%
+0.3
Q2 0:10
Dylan Lonergan pass incomplete to Kaelan Chudzinski
1.3%
0.0
BC · Drive 11PUNT · 6 plays · -10 yds
Q3 15:00
Robert Gunn III kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
0.2%
-1.1
Q3 15:00
Dylan Lonergan pass incomplete to Kaelan Chudzinski
0.4%
+0.2
Q3 14:57
Turbo Richard run for 3 yds to the BC 28 Boston College Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the BC 18
0.4%
0.0
Q3 14:27
Dylan Lonergan pass complete to Kaelan Chudzinski for 5 yds to the BC 23
0.5%
0.0
Q3 13:55
Dylan Lonergan sacked by Jahiem Lawson for a loss of 8 yards to the BC 15
0.5%
0.0
Q3 13:18
Shamus Florio punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CLEM 40 , Bryant Wesco Jr. returns for 3 yds to the CLEM 18 Clemson Penalty, Offensive holding (T.J. Parker) to the CLEM 40
0.5%
0.0
CLEM · Drive 12INT · 10 plays · 38 yds
Q3 13:03
Cade Klubnik run for 4 yds to the CLEM 44
0.2%
-0.2
Q3 12:25
Adam Randall run for 5 yds to the CLEM 49
0.2%
0.0
Q3 11:46
Adam Randall run for no gain to the CLEM 49
0.2%
0.0
Q3 10:57
Cade Klubnik run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down
0.2%
0.0
Q3 10:28
Adam Randall run for 5 yds to the BC 45
0.2%
0.0
Q3 9:54
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Tyler Brown for 2 yds to the BC 43
0.3%
0.0
Q3 9:11
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Bryant Wesco Jr.
0.3%
0.0
Q3 9:05
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Antonio Williams for 15 yds to the BC 28 for a 1ST down
0.3%
0.0
Q3 8:28
Antonio Williams run for 6 yds to the BC 22
0.3%
0.0
Q3 7:51
KP Price return for no gain to the BC 22 Boston College Penalty, personal foul (Omar Thornton) to the BC 21
0.3%
0.0
BC · Drive 13PUNT · 4 plays · -8 yds
Q3 7:17
Turbo Richard run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 19
1.0%
+0.7
Q3 7:09
Dylan Lonergan pass complete to Lewis Bond for no gain to the BC 19
1.0%
0.0
Q3 6:37
Dylan Lonergan sacked by Peter Woods and Will Heldt for a loss of 6 yards to the BC 13
0.9%
-0.1
Q3 5:59
Shamus Florio punt for 44 yds
0.9%
0.0
CLEM · Drive 14INT · 10 plays · 52 yds
Q3 5:55
David Eziomume run for 3 yds to the CLEM 46
0.2%
-0.7
Q3 5:25
Cade Klubnik run for 9 yds to the BC 45 for a 1ST down
0.2%
0.0
Q3 4:45
David Eziomume run for 19 yds to the BC 26 for a 1ST down
0.2%
0.0
Q3 4:02
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Adam Randall
0.2%
0.0
Q3 3:54
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Cole Turner for 2 yds to the BC 24
0.2%
0.0
Q3 3:09
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Antonio Williams for 17 yds to the BC 7 for a 1ST down
0.2%
0.0
Q3 2:27
David Eziomume run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 9
0.2%
0.0
Q3 1:43
Cade Klubnik run for 6 yds to the BC 3
0.2%
0.0
Q3 1:18
David Eziomume run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 5
0.2%
0.0
Q3 0:36
Christopher Vizzina pass intercepted Max Tucker return for no gain to the BC 20
0.2%
0.0
BC · Drive 15PUNT · 4 plays · 8 yds
Q3 0:29
Shaker Reisig pass incomplete to Jeremiah Franklin, broken up by Jahiem Lawson
0.8%
+0.6
Q3 0:25
Shaker Reisig pass complete to Jeremiah Franklin for 8 yds to the BC 28
0.8%
0.0
Q4 15:00
Shaker Reisig pass incomplete to Zeke Moore
0.8%
0.0
Q4 14:56
Shamus Florio punt for 43 yds , David Eziomume returns for no gain to the CLEM 17
0.8%
-0.1
BC · Drive 16INT · 4 plays · 8 yds
Q4 14:41
Turbo Richard run for 4 yds to the CLEM 13
0.7%
0.0
Q4 14:17
Shaker Reisig pass incomplete to Jeremiah Franklin
0.7%
0.0
Q4 14:17
Shaker Reisig pass complete to Lewis Bond for 4 yds to the CLEM 9
0.7%
0.0
Q4 13:34
Shaker Reisig pass intercepted Ricardo Jones return for no gain to the CLEM 20
0.7%
0.0
CLEM · Drive 17PUNT · 7 plays · 21 yds
Q4 13:26
Gideon Davidson run for 1 yd to the CLEM 21
0.2%
-0.5
Q4 13:13
Gideon Davidson run for 8 yds to the CLEM 29
0.2%
0.0
Q4 12:32
Gideon Davidson run for 6 yds to the CLEM 35 for a 1ST down
0.2%
0.0
Q4 11:52
Christopher Vizzina run for 5 yds to the CLEM 40
0.2%
0.0
Q4 11:04
Christopher Vizzina run for no gain to the CLEM 40
0.2%
0.0
Q4 10:24
Christopher Vizzina run for 1 yd to the CLEM 41
0.2%
0.0
Q4 9:38
Jack Smith punt for 35 yds
0.2%
0.0
BC · Drive 18DOWNS · 12 plays · 36 yds
Q4 9:35
Turbo Richard run for 9 yds to the BC 33
0.6%
+0.4
Q4 9:05
Turbo Richard run for 4 yds to the BC 37 for a 1ST down
0.6%
0.0
Q4 8:39
Shaker Reisig pass incomplete to Kaelan Chudzinski
0.6%
0.0
Q4 8:31
Jordan McDonald run for 7 yds to the BC 44
0.6%
0.0
Q4 7:52
Shaker Reisig pass incomplete to Kaelan Chudzinski
0.6%
0.0
Q4 7:44
Shaker Reisig pass complete to Lewis Bond for 7 yds to the CLEM 49 for a 1ST down
0.6%
0.0
Q4 7:23
Shaker Reisig run for 8 yds to the CLEM 41
0.6%
0.0
Q4 7:00
Shaker Reisig run for 6 yds to the CLEM 35 for a 1ST down
0.7%
0.0
Q4 6:33
Shaker Reisig run for 8 yds to the CLEM 27
0.6%
0.0
Q4 6:03
Shaker Reisig sacked by Jahiem Lawson for a loss of 8 yards to the CLEM 35
0.7%
0.0
Q4 5:36
Shaker Reisig pass incomplete to Dawson Pough, broken up by Branden Strozier
0.6%
0.0
Q4 5:32
Shaker Reisig sacked by Champ Thompson for a loss of 5 yards to the CLEM 40
0.6%
0.0
CLEM · Drive 19TD · 10 plays · 60 yds
Q4 5:24
Christopher Vizzina pass incomplete to Cole Turner, broken up by Max Tucker
0.2%
-0.4
Q4 5:18
Christopher Vizzina run for 13 yds to the BC 47 for a 1ST down
0.2%
0.0
Q4 4:34
Christopher Vizzina pass complete to Tristan Smith for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 49
0.2%
0.0
Q4 3:48
Keith Adams Jr. run for 12 yds to the BC 37 for a 1ST down Boston College Penalty, off-side (Favor Bate) to the BC 37 for a 1ST down
0.3%
0.0
Q4 3:16
Keith Adams Jr. run for 8 yds to the BC 29
0.3%
0.0
Q4 2:42
Keith Adams Jr. run for 9 yds to the BC 20 for a 1ST down
0.3%
0.0
Q4 2:00
Keith Adams Jr. run for 10 yds to the BC 10 for a 1ST down
0.3%
0.0
Q4 1:48
Keith Adams Jr. run for 7 yds to the BC 3
0.3%
0.0
Q4 1:05
Keith Adams Jr. run for 2 yds to the BC 1
0.3%
0.0
Q4 0:24
Keith Adams Jr. 1 Yd Run (Nolan Hauser Kick)
0.2%
-0.1
BC · Drive 20Uncategorized · 2 plays · 0 yds
Q4 0:24
Robert Gunn III kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
0.2%
0.0
Q4 0:24
Jordan McDonald run for 7 yds to the BC 25
0.3%
+0.1
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 9:10
Turbo Richard 2 Yd Run (Luca Lombardo Kick)
+3.3
TD · Q2 5:31
Cade Klubnik 6 Yd Run (Nolan Hauser Kick)
-2.4
TD · Q1 4:05
Adam Randall 8 Yd Run (Nolan Hauser Kick)
-2.1
YardLine · model v2Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com