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WAKE

Wake Forest 30 at Virginia Tech 23

VT
2025 · Week 6 · Oct 4, 2025 · Lane Stadium
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Win probability · VT
modelVT aheadWAKE aheadconfidence bandkey playVT scoreWAKE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDTDFGFGFGFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · D. Purdie takes a knee
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+38.0+19.00−19.0−38.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:40: Ty Clark III run for 3 yds for a TD (Connor Calvert KICK) — WAKE win probability +9.5 pts (now 48%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:10: Robby Ashford pass complete to Eni Falayi for 11 yds for a TD (Connor Calvert KICK) — WAKE win probability +10.3 pts (now 62%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 7:07: John Love 38 yd FG GOOD — VT win probability +5.4 pts (now 52%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 4:41: Connor Calvert 29 yd FG GOOD — WAKE win probability +6.8 pts (now 64%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 2:14: Connor Calvert 27 yd FG GOOD — WAKE win probability +6.0 pts (now 90%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
VT made the numbers' call on 8 of 9WAKE made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 11:15WAKE 4th & 3 at WAKE 43, tied
    Close callPunted · 35.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:40WAKE 4th & 13 at VT 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 36.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.7%−0.3
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.0%
    81% to make
    Punt
    35.0%−0.9
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:11VT 4th & 14 at VT 38, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.5%−0.3
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:24WAKE 4th & 5 at WAKE 20, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.2%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:42WAKE 4th & 25 at WAKE 44, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.7%−2.0
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:47VT 4th & 19 at VT 16, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.4%−2.4
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:39VT 4th & 14 at VT 21, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.4%−3.0
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:34WAKE 4th & 3 at VT 37, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 47.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    47.3%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    47.1%−0.2
    40% to make
    Punt
    45.5%−1.8
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:24VT 4th & 6 at WAKE 15, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 38.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.0%−0.5
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.5%
    83% to make
    Punt
    30.4%−7.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:32WAKE 4th & 6 at WAKE 29, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.9%−1.0
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:07VT 4th & 2 at WAKE 21, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsKicked a field goal · 44.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.1%−1.6
    74% to make
    Punt
    31.5%−12.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:41WAKE 4th & 7 at VT 12, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 54.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.5%−1.0
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.5%
    86% to make
    Punt
    40.6%−12.9
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:42VT 4th & 11 at VT 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.0%−2.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.3%
    average punt
  14. Q3 0:34VT 4th & 17 at WAKE 17, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 34.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.2%−4.4
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.6%
    80% to make
    Punt
    21.8%−11.8
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:42WAKE 4th & 12 at WAKE 41, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.6%−5.0
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.5%
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:44VT 4th & 15 at WAKE 31, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 38.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.0%−4.2
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.2%
    54% to make
    Punt
    34.7%−4.5
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:14WAKE 4th & 5 at VT 10, up 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 82.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.2%
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.0%−0.1
    88% to make
    Punt
    65.8%−14.3
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:43VT 4th & 6 at VT 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.9%
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.0%−1.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
VT made the numbers' call on 2 of 2WAKE made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 2:30VT Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:01WAKE Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:46VT Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:40WAKE Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:10WAKE Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WAKEDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 3:3835% → 35%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
65.1%
Robby Ashford pass complete to Chris Barnes for 7 yds to the WAKE 32Similar
Q1 14:07
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
65.0%
Robby Ashford pass complete to Eni Falayi for 2 yds to the WAKE 34Similar
Q1 13:35
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
64.9%
Robby Ashford run for 2 yds to the WAKE 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
64.9%
Demond Claiborne run for 5 yds to the WAKE 41Similar
Q1 12:32
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+2
64.7%
Ty Clark III run for 2 yds to the WAKE 43Similar
Q1 11:56
3RD & 3
OWN 43
0
64.6%
Demond Claiborne run for no gain to the WAKE 43Similar
Q1 11:15
4TH & 3
OWN 43
0
64.7%
Cal Joseph punt for 38 yds, fair catch by P.J. Prioleau at the VT 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 2INT
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:3665% → 65%
Q1 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
64.8%
Terion Stewart run for 5 yds to the VT 24Similar
Q1 10:34
2ND & 5
OWN 24
0
64.8%
Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Ayden GreeneSimilar
Q1 10:27
3RD & 5
OWN 24
-3
64.6%
Kyron Drones pass intercepted Dallas Afalava return for 3 yds to the VT 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 3FG
7 plays · -3 yds · 1:4736% → 36%
Q1 10:27
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-5
64.1%
PENALTY Deacs False Start 5 yards from Hokies13 to Hokies18. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:23
1ST & 15
OPP 18
0
64.1%
Robby Ashford pass incomplete to Micah Mays Jr.Similar
Q1 10:13
2ND & 15
OPP 18
+2
64.2%
Robby Ashford pass complete to Chris Barnes for 2 yds to the VT 16Similar
Q1 9:38
3RD & 13
OPP 16
-5
64.3%
PENALTY Deacs False Start (Steih,George) 5 yards from Hokies16 to Hokies21. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:09
3RD & 18
OPP 21
+5
64.4%
Robby Ashford pass complete to Demond Claiborne for 5 yds to the VT 16Similar
Q1 8:40
4TH & 13
OPP 16
+33
64.1%
Connor Calvert 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:1864% → 63%
Q1 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
64.4%
Terion Stewart run for 1 yd to the VT 43Similar
Q1 7:56
2ND & 9
OWN 43
0
64.4%
Terion Stewart run for no gain to the VT 43Similar
Q1 7:20
3RD & 9
OWN 43
0
63.7%
Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Marcellous HawkinsSimilar
Q1 7:20
4TH & 9
OWN 43
-5
63.4%
PENALTY Hokies Delay Of Game 5 yards from Hokies43 to Hokies38. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:11
4TH & 14
OWN 38
0
63.2%
Nick Veltsistas punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WAKE 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:4736% → 36%
Q1 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-5
63.7%
PENALTY Deacs False Start (Johnson,Kamrean) 5 yards from Deacs15 to Deacs10. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:03
1ST & 15
OWN 10
+10
63.7%
Robby Ashford pass complete to Chris Barnes for 10 yds to the WAKE 20Similar
Q1 6:41
2ND & 5
OWN 20
0
63.6%
Robby Ashford pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:32
3RD & 5
OWN 20
0
63.9%
Robby Ashford pass incomplete to Sterling BerkhalterSimilar
Q1 6:24
4TH & 5
OWN 20
0
64.2%
Cal Joseph punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WAKE 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 6TD
8 plays · 43 yds · 3:3764% → 66%
Q1 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+14
64.2%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Donavon Greene for 14 yds to the WAKE 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+12
64.4%
Marcellous Hawkins run for 12 yds to the WAKE 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
64.4%
Cameron Seldon run for 7 yds to the WAKE 10Similar
Q1 4:44
2ND & 3
OPP 10
+2
64.4%
Marcellous Hawkins run for 2 yds to the WAKE 8Similar
Q1 4:24
3RD & 1
OPP 8
+2
63.8%
Kyron Drones run for 2 yds to the WAKE 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
64.3%
Kyron Drones run for 4 yds to the WAKE 2Similar
Q1 3:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
64.3%
Kyron Drones run for a loss of 1 yard to the WAKE 3Similar
Q1 2:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
66.3%
Marcellous Hawkins run for 3 yds for a TD (John Love KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 7TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:2335% → 41%
Q1 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
65.4%
Demond Claiborne run for 3 yds to the WAKE 28Similar
Q1 1:48
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
65.3%
Demond Claiborne run for 4 yds to the WAKE 32Similar
Q1 1:09
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+13
65.4%
Ty Clark III run for 13 yds to the WAKE 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
64.4%
Robby Ashford pass incomplete to Micah Mays Jr.Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+2
64.7%
Robby Ashford pass complete to Demond Claiborne for 2 yds to the WAKE 47Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 8
OWN 47
+15
64.7%
(15:00) Shotgun Ashford,Robby pass incomplete deep right to Barnes,Chris thrown to Hokies32 PENALTY Hokies Roughing The Passer (Bell,Ben) 15 yards from Deacs47 to Hokies38, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:41
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+19
64.0%
Robby Ashford pass complete to Carlos Hernandez for 19 yds to the VT 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
63.2%
Robby Ashford run for 4 yds to the VT 15Similar
Q2 13:23
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+4
63.1%
Robby Ashford pass complete to Micah Mays Jr. for 4 yds to the VT 11Similar
Q2 13:01
3RD & 2
OPP 11
+11
59.2%
Demond Claiborne run for 11 yds for a TD (Connor Calvert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 8TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 3:0361% → 67%
Q2 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+43
61.1%
Terion Stewart run for 43 yds to the WAKE 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
63.7%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Cameron Seldon for 5 yds to the WAKE 27Similar
Q2 11:39
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+14
63.6%
Kyron Drones run for 14 yds to the WAKE 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
63.6%
Terion Stewart run for 1 yd to the WAKE 12Similar
Q2 10:30
2ND & 9
OPP 12
+3
63.5%
Terion Stewart run for 3 yds to the WAKE 9Similar
Q2 9:46
3RD & 6
OPP 9
+9
67.2%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Takye Heath for 9 yds for a TD (John Love KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 2:5935% → 33%
Q2 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
65.4%
Demond Claiborne run for 4 yds to the WAKE 29Similar
Q2 8:46
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+19
64.9%
Robby Ashford pass complete to Sawyer Racanelli for 19 yds to the WAKE 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+11
63.9%
Chris Barnes run for 11 yds to the VT 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
63.5%
Demond Claiborne run for 2 yds to the VT 39Similar
Q2 6:55
2ND & 8
OPP 39
-17
63.5%
Wake Forest Penalty, (Yards) to the WAKE 44Similar
Q2 6:51
3RD & 25
OWN 44
0
65.8%
Robby Ashford pass incomplete to Chris BarnesSimilar
Q2 6:42
4TH & 25
OWN 44
+6
66.9%
Cal Joseph punt for 37 yds , Isaiah Spencer returns for 6 yds to the VT 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · -9 yds · 1:4567% → 65%
Q2 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
66.6%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Takye Heath for 2 yds to the VT 23Similar
Q2 6:03
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+4
66.4%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Donavon Greene for 4 yds to the VT 27Similar
Q2 5:31
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-11
65.5%
Kyron Drones sacked by Langston Hardy for a loss of 11 yards to the VT 16Similar
Q2 4:47
4TH & 19
OWN 16
0
64.8%
Nick Veltsistas punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 11TD
8 plays · 55 yds · 1:5736% → 48%
Q2 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+26
63.9%
Robby Ashford pass complete to Eni Falayi for 26 yds to the VT 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
62.2%
Robby Ashford pass complete to Carlos Hernandez for 5 yds to the VT 24Similar
Q2 4:00
2ND & 5
OPP 24
0
62.2%
Robby Ashford pass incomplete to Eni FalayiSimilar
Q2 3:55
3RD & 5
OPP 24
-10
63.2%
(03:59) No Huddle-Shotgun Ashford,Robby pass complete short right to Claiborne,Demond caught at Hokies27, for 2 yards to the Hokies22 (Bass,Jordan) PENALTY Deacs Illegal Block in Back (Berkhalter,Sterling) 10 yards from Hokies24 to Hokies34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:31
3RD & 15
OPP 34
+20
65.1%
Robby Ashford run for 6 yds to the VT 28 for a 1ST down Virginia Tech Penalty, (14 Yards) to the VT 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:11
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
62.1%
Robby Ashford pass incomplete to Carlos HernandezSimilar
Q2 3:04
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+11
62.1%
Robby Ashford pass complete to Eni Falayi for 11 yds to the VT 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
52.5%
Ty Clark III run for 3 yds for a TD (Connor Calvert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · -4 yds · 0:5457% → 53%
Q2 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
56.7%
(02:35) Shotgun Drones,Kyron rush middle for 17 yards gain to the Hokies42 (Turpin,Myles) PENALTY Hokies Holding (Rimac,Tomas) 10 yards from Hokies25 to Hokies15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:19
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+1
56.3%
Terion Stewart run for 1 yd to the VT 16Similar
Q2 1:53
2ND & 19
OWN 16
0
54.6%
Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Terion StewartSimilar
Q2 1:50
3RD & 19
OWN 16
+5
53.4%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Isaiah Spencer for 5 yds to the VT 21Similar
Q2 1:39
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
52.8%
Nick Veltsistas punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the VT 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 13TD
8 plays · 44 yds · 1:2349% → 62%
Q2 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
50.6%
Chris Barnes run for 5 yds to the VT 39Similar
Q2 1:04
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+2
49.5%
Robby Ashford pass complete to Ty Clark III for 2 yds to the VT 37Similar
Q2 0:39
3RD & 3
OPP 37
0
49.6%
Robby Ashford pass incomplete to Chris BarnesSimilar
Q2 0:34
4TH & 3
OPP 37
+6
52.7%
Robby Ashford pass complete to Carlos Hernandez for 6 yds to the VT 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+17
49.3%
Robby Ashford pass complete to Micah Mays Jr. for 17 yds to the VT 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
48.8%
Robby Ashford run for 3 yds to the VT 11Similar
Q2 0:10
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+11
38.5%
Robby Ashford pass complete to Eni Falayi for 11 yds for a TD (Connor Calvert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0041% → 41%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-1
41.2%
K. Drones takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 15FG
13 plays · 60 yds · 4:1942% → 46%
Q3 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
41.7%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Terion Stewart for 4 yds to the VT 29Similar
Q3 14:19
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
41.8%
Terion Stewart run for 5 yds to the VT 34Similar
Q3 13:57
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
41.3%
Terion Stewart run for 3 yds to the VT 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
41.2%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Ayden Greene for 15 yds to the WAKE 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+16
42.8%
Marcellous Hawkins run for 16 yds to the WAKE 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:33
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
43.7%
Marcellous Hawkins run for 1 yd to the WAKE 31Similar
Q3 11:59
2ND & 9
OPP 31
0
43.2%
Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Ayden GreeneSimilar
Q3 11:49
3RD & 9
OPP 31
+12
41.2%
Kyron Drones run for 12 yds to the WAKE 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
42.8%
Kyron Drones run for no gain to the WAKE 19Similar
Q3 10:47
2ND & 10
OPP 19
0
42.5%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:42
3RD & 10
OPP 19
+5
40.6%
Virginia Tech Penalty, (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 10:24
4TH & 6
OPP 15
+32
45.5%
John Love 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:4558% → 56%
Q3 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
41.8%
Ty Clark III run for 4 yds to the WAKE 29Similar
Q3 9:44
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
40.8%
Robby Ashford pass incomplete to Sterling BerkhalterSimilar
Q3 9:40
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
41.8%
Robby Ashford pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:32
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
43.6%
Cal Joseph punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Spencer at the VT 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 17FG
5 plays · 32 yds · 2:1347% → 52%
Q3 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+24
46.5%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Donavon Greene for 24 yds to the WAKE 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:01
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-1
48.9%
Marcellous Hawkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the WAKE 30Similar
Q3 8:32
2ND & 11
OPP 30
+6
48.5%
Kyron Drones run for 6 yds to the WAKE 24Similar
Q3 7:49
3RD & 5
OPP 24
+3
46.4%
Kyron Drones pass complete to P.J. Prioleau for 3 yds to the WAKE 21Similar
Q3 7:07
4TH & 2
OPP 21
+38
51.8%
John Love 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 18FG
9 plays · 63 yds · 2:1152% → 64%
Q3 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
47.9%
Robby Ashford pass complete to Chris Barnes for 2 yds to the WAKE 23Similar
Q3 6:23
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
48.0%
Robby Ashford pass incomplete to Micah Mays Jr.Similar
Q3 6:11
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+62
49.4%
Robby Ashford pass complete to Sawyer Racanelli for 62 yds to the VT 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:23
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
43.1%
Robby Ashford run for 3 yds to the VT 12Similar
Q3 4:54
2ND & 7
OPP 12
0
42.4%
Deshawn Purdie pass incomplete to Eni FalayiSimilar
Q3 4:50
3RD & 7
OPP 12
0
43.3%
Wake Forest Penalty, (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 4:41
4TH & 7
OPP 12
+29
36.5%
Connor Calvert 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 19PUNT
10 plays · 21 yds · 1:5341% → 36%
Q3 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
41.4%
Marcellous Hawkins run for 11 yds to the VT 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
42.2%
Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Ayden GreeneSimilar
Q3 3:59
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
41.9%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:51
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+11
37.5%
Kyron Drones run for 11 yds to the VT 47 for a 1ST down Wake Forest Penalty, (Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-1
42.1%
Marcellous Hawkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the VT 46Similar
Q3 2:59
2ND & 11
OWN 46
0
39.6%
Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Isaiah SpencerSimilar
Q3 2:52
3RD & 11
OWN 46
0
38.2%
Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Ayden GreeneSimilar
Q3 2:42
4TH & 11
OWN 46
0
36.0%
Nick Veltsistas punt for 52 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 20INT
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:4265% → 65%
Q3 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+1
35.3%
Robby Ashford run for 1 yd to the WAKE 3Similar
Q3 1:53
2ND & 9
OWN 3
-11
35.3%
Robby Ashford pass intercepted Isaiah Brown-Murray return for 11 yds to the WAKE 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 21FG
4 plays · -13 yds · 1:1044% → 43%
Q3 1:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
44.4%
Marcellous Hawkins run for 3 yds to the WAKE 1Similar
Q3 1:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
44.2%
Kyron Drones run for no gain to the WAKE 1Similar
Q3 0:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-15
41.9%
Virginia Tech Penalty, (-15 Yards) to the WAKE 17Similar
Q3 0:34
4TH & GOAL
OPP 17
+34
43.2%
John Love 34 yd FG GOOD Wake Forest Penalty, (Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 22PUNT
10 plays · 16 yds · 2:1861% → 58%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
39.3%
JaMario Clements run for 1 yd to the WAKE 26Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+17
39.4%
Robby Ashford pass complete to Carlos Hernandez for 17 yds to the WAKE 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
35.9%
JaMario Clements run for 1 yd to the WAKE 44Similar
Q4 13:49
2ND & 9
OWN 44
0
35.6%
Robby Ashford pass incomplete to Carlos HernandezSimilar
Q4 13:33
3RD & 9
OWN 44
+7
36.6%
Robby Ashford pass complete to Sawyer Racanelli for 7 yds to the VT 49Similar
Q4 12:51
4TH & 2
OPP 49
-5
37.6%
(12:54) Joseph,Cal punt 33 yards to the Hokies16 fair catch by Spencer,Isaiah at Hokies16 PENALTY Deacs Illegal Formation 5 yards from Hokies49 to Deacs46. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:51
4TH & 7
OWN 46
-5
39.3%
PENALTY Deacs Illegal Snap 5 yards from Deacs46 to Deacs41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:42
4TH & 12
OWN 41
+7
41.7%
Cal Joseph punt for 36 yds , Isaiah Spencer returns for 7 yds to the VT 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 23MISSED FG
9 plays · 39 yds · 3:5146% → 42%
Q4 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+10
46.2%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Donavon Greene for 10 yds to the VT 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
48.7%
Marcellous Hawkins run for 3 yds to the VT 43Similar
Q4 11:32
2ND & 7
OWN 43
0
49.1%
Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Benji GosnellSimilar
Q4 11:19
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+16
45.8%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Takye Heath for 16 yds to the WAKE 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+15
50.5%
(10:52) Shotgun Drones,Kyron pass incomplete deep left to Greene,Donavon thrown to Deacs05 PENALTY Deacs Pass Interference (Prunty,Karon) 15 yards from Deacs41 to Deacs26, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
53.6%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Ayden Greene for no gain to the WAKE 26Similar
Q4 10:05
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+3
53.2%
Kyron Drones run for 3 yds to the WAKE 23Similar
Q4 9:26
3RD & 7
OPP 23
-8
49.8%
Kyron Drones sacked by Nuer Gatkuoth for a loss of 8 yards to the WAKE 31Similar
Q4 8:44
4TH & 15
OPP 31
+49
41.8%
John Love 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 24FG
17 plays · 59 yds · 6:2067% → 90%
Q4 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
33.1%
Robby Ashford run for 8 yds to the WAKE 39Similar
Q4 7:58
2ND & 2
OWN 39
+4
29.4%
Robby Ashford pass complete to Chris Barnes for 4 yds to the WAKE 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
28.1%
Robby Ashford pass incomplete to Carlos HernandezSimilar
Q4 7:24
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+9
28.5%
Robby Ashford pass complete to Ty Clark III for 9 yds to the VT 48Similar
Q4 6:49
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+2
25.7%
Robby Ashford run for 2 yds to the VT 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:01
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
23.5%
Robby Ashford run for 5 yds to the VT 41Similar
Q4 5:15
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+15
22.7%
(05:20) Shotgun Ashford,Robby pass incomplete short left to Falayi,Eni thrown to Hokies24 PENALTY Hokies Pass Interference (Bass,Jordan) 15 yards from Hokies41 to Hokies26, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-5
21.6%
(05:15) PENALTY Deacs False Start (Falayi,Eni) 5 yards from Hokies26 to Hokies31. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:10
1ST & 15
OPP 31
+5
22.2%
Chris Barnes run for 5 yds to the VT 26Similar
Q4 4:26
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+4
19.8%
Robby Ashford pass complete to Carlos Hernandez for 4 yds to the VT 22Similar
Q4 3:48
3RD & 6
OPP 22
+7
19.7%
Robby Ashford pass complete to Ty Clark III for 7 yds to the VT 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:04
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
14.7%
Robby Ashford run for 1 yd to the VT 14Similar
Q4 2:23
2ND & 9
OPP 14
+3
13.8%
Robby Ashford run for 3 yds to the VT 11Similar
Q4 2:18
3RD & 6
OPP 11
+1
14.0%
Robby Ashford run for 1 yd to the VT 10Similar
Q4 2:14
4TH & 5
OPP 10
+27
9.7%
Connor Calvert 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 25DOWNS
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:2315% → 13%
Q4 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
15.1%
Kyron Drones run for 4 yds to the VT 29Similar
Q4 1:55
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
15.6%
Kyron Drones pass incomplete to P.J. PrioleauSimilar
Q4 1:48
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
14.6%
Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Benji GosnellSimilar
Q4 1:43
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
13.1%
Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Takye HeathSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 26END OF GAME
3 plays · -5 yds · 1:3396% → 96%
Q4 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-2
4.0%
D. Purdie takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 0:53
2ND & 12
OPP 31
-2
4.1%
D. Purdie takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 14
OPP 33
-1
4.2%
D. Purdie takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:10
Robby Ashford pass complete to Eni Falayi for 11 yds for a TD (Connor Calvert KICK)
-10.3
TD · Q2 2:40
Ty Clark III run for 3 yds for a TD (Connor Calvert KICK)
-9.5
FG · Q3 4:41
Connor Calvert 29 yd FG GOOD
-6.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com