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SYR

Syracuse 18 at SMU 31

SMU
2025 · Week 6 · Oct 4, 2025 · Gerald J. Ford Stadium
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Win probability · SMU
modelSMU aheadSYR aheadconfidence bandkey playSMU scoreSYR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGTDTDSAFETYTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 0:41 · Jack Stonehouse punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Yamir Knight at the SMU 22
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+39.0+19.50−19.5−39.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 38Pregame prior+31.6Home team on offense+0.9Score differential+0.1Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:58: Kevin Jennings pass complete to Yamir Knight for 15 yds for a TD (Sam Keltner KICK) — SMU win probability +2.2 pts (now 88%) (top driver: SMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:02: Kevin Jennings pass complete to RJ Maryland for 16 yds for a TD (Sam Keltner KICK) — SMU win probability +5.1 pts (now 93%) (top driver: SMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 2:18: Kevin Jennings pass complete to Derrick McFall for 14 yds for a TD (Sam Keltner KICK) — SMU win probability +3.2 pts (now 97%) (top driver: SMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:59: Rickie Collins run for 6 yds for a TD (Tripp Woody KICK) — SYR win probability +1.1 pts (now 1%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:20: Rickie Collins pass complete to Johntay Cook for 11 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — SYR win probability +4.5 pts (now 8%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SMU made the numbers' call on 4 of 7SYR made the numbers' call on 10 of 10
  1. Q1 13:42SMU 4th & 2 at SMU 28, tied
    Close callPunted · 87.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.0%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:00SYR 4th & 1 at SMU 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    14.5%−0.2
    89% to make
    Punt
    14.0%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:39SYR 4th & 1 at SMU 1, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.4%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    15.1%−0.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    14.4%−1.0
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:48SMU 4th & 5 at SMU 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.6%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.6%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:34SMU 4th & 6 at SYR 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 83.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.6%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.6%
    89% to make
    Punt
    82.6%−1.1
    average punt
  6. Q1 0:41SYR 4th & 9 at SYR 42, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.1%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:22SYR 4th & 1 at SYR 40, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    13.5%−0.8
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:31SYR 4th & 1 at SYR 34, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    8.9%−0.9
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:36SYR 4th & 2 at SMU 10, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.8%
    55% to convert
    Field goal
    8.9%−0.8
    88% to make
    Punt
    4.8%−5.0
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:00SYR 4th & 10 at SMU 20, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.2%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.7%
    75% to make
    Punt
    2.5%−2.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:42SYR 4th & 10 at SYR 25, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.9%−0.7
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.6%
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:58SMU 4th & 2 at SYR 41, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    96.5%−0.4
    32% to make
    Punt
    96.6%−0.3
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:53SMU 4th & 4 at SYR 24, up 21
    Close callKicked a field goal · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.0%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.9%−0.1
    68% to make
    Punt
    95.8%−1.2
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:11SYR 4th & 17 at SYR 29, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−0.7
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.6%
    average punt
  15. Q3 2:07SMU 4th & 23 at SMU 12, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.9%−1.3
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.2%
    average punt
  16. Q3 1:07SYR 4th & 7 at SYR 48, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:02SMU 4th & 7 at SYR 29, up 13
    Close callWent for it · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.5%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    97.7%
    58% to make
    Punt
    96.3%−1.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SMU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4SYR made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 12:58SMU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:02SMU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:18SMU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 12:37SMU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 9:59SYR Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 5:20SYR Touchdown, down 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    4.6%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    4.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SMUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:0389% → 89%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
88.8%
Kevin Jennings run for 7 yds to the SMU 27Similar
Q1 14:28
2ND & 3
OWN 27
0
88.7%
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to Jalen CooperSimilar
Q1 14:22
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+1
88.7%
T.J. Harden run for 1 yd to the SMU 28Similar
Q1 13:42
4TH & 2
OWN 28
0
88.5%
Wade McSparron punt for 14 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SMU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 2DOWNS
13 plays · 41 yds · 6:5712% → 14%
Q1 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
88.4%
Yasin Willis run for 4 yds to the SMU 38Similar
Q1 12:46
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+4
88.1%
Rickie Collins pass complete to Dan Villari for 4 yds to the SMU 34Similar
Q1 12:37
3RD & 2
OPP 34
+3
88.1%
Yasin Willis run for 3 yds to the SMU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+13
87.8%
Yasin Willis run for 13 yds to the SMU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:19
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
87.6%
Will Nixon run for no gain to the SMU 18Similar
Q1 10:25
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+8
87.2%
Rickie Collins pass complete to Will Nixon for 8 yds to the SMU 10Similar
Q1 9:51
3RD & 2
OPP 10
+1
87.1%
Yasin Willis run for 1 yd to the SMU 9Similar
Q1 9:00
4TH & 1
OPP 9
+2
87.0%
Dan Villari run for 2 yds to the SMU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
86.5%
Yasin Willis run for 4 yds to the SMU 3Similar
Q1 7:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
86.3%
Yasin Willis run for 2 yds to the SMU 1Similar
Q1 7:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
86.1%
Yasin Willis run for no gain to the SMU 1Similar
Q1 6:39
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
86.1%
Rickie Collins run for no gain to the SMU 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 36 yds · 2:4086% → 85%
Q1 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+4
86.3%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Jordan Hudson for 4 yds to the SMU 5Similar
Q1 6:01
2ND & 6
OWN 5
+5
86.1%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Romello Brinson for 5 yds to the SMU 10Similar
Q1 5:41
3RD & 1
OWN 10
+22
85.9%
T.J. Harden run for 22 yds to the SMU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
86.1%
Dramekco Green run for 1 yd to the SMU 33Similar
Q1 4:44
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+4
85.9%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Matthew Hibner for 4 yds to the SMU 37Similar
Q1 3:58
3RD & 5
OWN 37
0
85.6%
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to Yamir KnightSimilar
Q1 3:48
4TH & 5
OWN 37
0
85.3%
Wade McSparron punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Davien Kerr at the SYR 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 4INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q1 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
85.4%
Rickie Collins pass intercepted Brandon Miyazono return for no gain to the SYR 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 5FG
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:0086% → 86%
Q1 3:34
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
86.3%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Chris Johnson Jr. for 2 yds to the SYR 15Similar
Q1 3:13
2ND & 12
OPP 15
+6
86.1%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Yamir Knight for 6 yds to the SYR 9Similar
Q1 2:40
3RD & 6
OPP 9
0
85.8%
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to Jordan HudsonSimilar
Q1 2:34
4TH & 6
OPP 9
+26
85.9%
Sam Keltner 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 1:4814% → 15%
Q1 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
85.7%
Will Nixon run for 3 yds to the SYR 28Similar
Q1 1:54
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
85.5%
Rickie Collins pass incomplete to Johntay CookSimilar
Q1 1:36
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+13
85.6%
Rickie Collins pass complete to Darrell Gill Jr. for 13 yds to the SYR 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
84.9%
Will Nixon run for 1 yd to the SYR 42Similar
Q1 0:57
2ND & 9
OWN 42
0
84.8%
Rickie Collins pass incomplete to Will NixonSimilar
Q1 0:50
3RD & 9
OWN 42
0
85.0%
Rickie Collins pass incomplete to Justus Ross-SimmonsSimilar
Q1 0:41
4TH & 9
OWN 42
0
85.4%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Yamir Knight at the SMU 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 7TD
7 plays · 78 yds · 2:3585% → 88%
Q1 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+23
85.1%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Jalen Cooper for 23 yds to the SMU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+11
85.5%
T.J. Harden run for 11 yds to the SYR 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:39
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
85.6%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Jordan Hudson for 8 yds to the SYR 36Similar
Q2 14:29
2ND & 2
OPP 36
+20
85.6%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Romello Brinson for 20 yds to the SYR 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:12
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-3
85.8%
Dramekco Green run for a loss of 3 yards to the SYR 19Similar
Q2 13:35
2ND & 13
OPP 19
+4
85.5%
T.J. Harden run for 4 yds to the SYR 15Similar
Q2 12:58
3RD & 9
OPP 15
+15
87.7%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Yamir Knight for 15 yds for a TD (Sam Keltner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 8DOWNS
8 plays · 19 yds · 3:2312% → 13%
Q2 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-3
87.6%
Yasin Willis run for a loss of 3 yards to the SYR 18Similar
Q2 12:08
2ND & 13
OWN 18
+6
87.6%
Rickie Collins pass complete to Dan Villari for 6 yds to the SYR 24Similar
Q2 11:28
3RD & 7
OWN 24
+7
87.4%
Rickie Collins run for 7 yds to the SYR 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
87.3%
Rickie Collins pass complete to Justus Ross-Simmons for 6 yds to the SYR 37Similar
Q2 10:41
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+3
86.9%
Will Nixon run for 3 yds to the SYR 40Similar
Q2 10:01
3RD & 1
OWN 40
0
86.7%
Yasin Willis run for no gain to the SYR 40Similar
Q2 9:22
4TH & 1
OWN 40
0
87.4%
Yasin Willis run for no gain to the SYR 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 9TD
4 plays · 40 yds · 1:1388% → 93%
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
87.8%
T.J. Harden run for 9 yds to the SYR 31Similar
Q2 8:34
2ND & 1
OPP 31
0
88.0%
T.J. Harden run for no gain to the SYR 31 T.J. Harden fumbled, recovered by SMU Kevin JenningsSimilar
Q2 8:08
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+15
87.9%
(08:11) No Huddle-Shotgun Jennings,Kevin pass incomplete deep left to McFall,Derrick thrown to SYR05 PENALTY SYR Pass Interference (Heard Jr.,James) 15 yards from SYR31 to SYR16, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
92.9%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to RJ Maryland for 16 yds for a TD (Sam Keltner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 10DOWNS
13 plays · 65 yds · 3:179% → 9%
Q2 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
91.4%
Rickie Collins pass complete to Johntay Cook for 5 yds to the SYR 20Similar
Q2 7:25
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
91.6%
Rickie Collins pass incomplete to Justus Ross-SimmonsSimilar
Q2 7:14
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+14
91.7%
Rickie Collins run for 14 yds to the SYR 34Similar
Q2 6:31
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+6
91.2%
Yasin Willis run for 6 yds to the SYR 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
91.0%
Rickie Collins pass incomplete to Justus Ross-SimmonsSimilar
Q2 6:04
2ND & 10
OWN 40
-10
91.1%
(06:02) No Huddle-Shotgun Collins,Rickie pass incomplete short right to Ross-Simmons,Justus thrown to SMU48 PENALTY SYR Holding (Mack,Trevion) 10 yards from SYR40 to SYR30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:47
2ND & 20
OWN 30
+52
91.5%
Rickie Collins pass complete to Justus Ross-Simmons for 52 yds to the SMU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:17
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
90.0%
Rickie Collins pass incomplete to Justus Ross-SimmonsSimilar
Q2 5:12
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
90.2%
Rickie Collins pass incomplete to Johntay CookSimilar
Q2 5:06
3RD & 10
OPP 18
+8
90.6%
Rickie Collins pass complete to Johntay Cook for 8 yds to the SMU 10Similar
Q2 4:36
4TH & 2
OPP 10
0
90.6%
Rickie Collins pass incomplete to Yasin WillisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 11TD
6 plays · 90 yds · 2:0993% → 97%
Q2 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+24
92.9%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to RJ Maryland for 24 yds to the SMU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+29
93.0%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Matthew Hibner for 29 yds to the SYR 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+13
93.3%
Dramekco Green run for 13 yds to the SYR 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:13
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
93.4%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Romello Brinson for 5 yds to the SYR 19Similar
Q2 2:38
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+5
93.4%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Romello Brinson for 5 yds to the SYR 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
96.6%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Derrick McFall for 14 yds for a TD (Sam Keltner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 12FG
15 plays · 62 yds · 2:065% → 5%
Q2 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-1
95.5%
Yasin Willis run for a loss of 1 yard to the SYR 17Similar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 11
OWN 17
+38
95.4%
Rickie Collins pass complete to Johntay Cook for 38 yds to the SMU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
94.6%
Rickie Collins pass complete to Dan Villari for 6 yds to the SMU 39Similar
Q2 1:19
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+7
94.4%
Rickie Collins pass complete to Johntay Cook for 7 yds to the SMU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
94.4%
Will Nixon run for no gain to the SMU 32Similar
Q2 0:37
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+4
94.5%
Rickie Collins pass complete to Will Nixon for 4 yds to the SMU 28Similar
Q2 0:20
3RD & 6
OPP 28
+8
94.5%
Rickie Collins pass complete to Emanuel Ross for 8 yds to the SMU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
94.8%
Rickie Collins pass incomplete to Johntay CookSimilar
Q2 0:11
2ND & 10
OPP 20
0
94.8%
Rickie Collins pass incomplete to Emanuel RossSimilar
Q2 0:03
3RD & 10
OPP 20
0
95.2%
Rickie Collins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 10
OPP 20
+38
95.1%
Tripp Woody 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 0 yds · 2:144% → 4%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.7%
Rickie Collins pass incomplete to Darrell Gill Jr.Similar
Q3 14:46
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-10
95.8%
(14:56) No Huddle-Shotgun Collins,Rickie rush middle for 9 yards gain to the SYR34 (Booker,Brandon) PENALTY SYR Holding (Mack,Trevion) 10 yards from SYR25 to SYR15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:21
2ND & 20
OWN 15
-8
95.9%
Rickie Collins sacked by Terry Webb for a loss of 8 yards to the SYR 7Similar
Q3 13:38
3RD & 28
OWN 7
+13
96.1%
Rickie Collins run for 13 yds to the SYR 20Similar
Q3 13:02
4TH & 15
OWN 20
+5
96.2%
(13:02) No Huddle Stonehouse,Jack rush left for 11 yards gain to the SYR31 (Nettles,William), out of bounds PENALTY SMU Offside (Moses,Jaylen) 5 yards from SYR20 to SYR25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:42
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
96.2%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Yamir Knight at the SMU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 14MISSED FG
12 plays · 51 yds · 5:3797% → 97%
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
96.6%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Romello Brinson for 14 yds to the SMU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
96.9%
Kevin Jennings run for 4 yds to the SMU 43Similar
Q3 11:36
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+4
96.9%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Yamir Knight for 4 yds to the SMU 47Similar
Q3 11:00
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+4
96.9%
T.J. Harden run for 4 yds to the SYR 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
97.1%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Yamir Knight for 7 yds to the SYR 42Similar
Q3 10:15
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+2
97.1%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Romello Brinson for 2 yds to the SYR 40Similar
Q3 9:39
3RD & 1
OPP 40
-1
97.1%
T.J. Harden run for a loss of 1 yard to the SYR 41Similar
Q3 8:58
4TH & 2
OPP 41
+11
97.0%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Matthew Hibner for 11 yds to the SYR 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
97.2%
Dramekco Green run for 1 yd to the SYR 29Similar
Q3 7:29
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+5
97.4%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Jalen Cooper for 5 yds to the SYR 24Similar
Q3 6:57
3RD & 4
OPP 24
0
97.4%
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to RJ MarylandSimilar
Q3 6:53
4TH & 4
OPP 24
+41
97.2%
Sam Keltner 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 2:353% → 2%
Q3 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
97.1%
Yasin Willis run for 3 yds to the SYR 27Similar
Q3 6:08
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+9
97.1%
Yasin Willis run for 9 yds to the SYR 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
97.1%
Yasin Willis run for no gain to the SYR 36Similar
Q3 5:03
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
97.5%
Rickie Collins pass incomplete to Emanuel RossSimilar
Q3 4:58
3RD & 10
OWN 36
-7
97.7%
Rickie Collins sacked by Isaiah Smith for a loss of 7 yards to the SYR 29Similar
Q3 4:11
4TH & 17
OWN 29
0
97.8%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Yamir Knight at the SMU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -13 yds · 1:5997% → 98%
Q3 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
97.0%
Dramekco Green run for 4 yds to the SMU 29Similar
Q3 3:35
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
97.9%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to RJ Maryland for no gain to the SMU 29Similar
Q3 2:53
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-17
98.3%
Kevin Jennings sacked by Jamie Tremble for a loss of 17 yards to the SMU 12Similar
Q3 2:07
4TH & 23
OWN 12
0
98.2%
Wade McSparron punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:552% → 2%
Q3 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
97.8%
Rickie Collins pass incomplete to Darrell Gill Jr.Similar
Q3 1:49
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+3
97.8%
Rickie Collins run for 3 yds to the SYR 48Similar
Q3 1:20
3RD & 7
OWN 48
0
97.9%
Rickie Collins pass incomplete to Johntay CookSimilar
Q3 1:07
4TH & 7
OWN 48
+16
98.1%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 45 yds , Yamir Knight returns for 16 yds to the SMU 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 18TD
10 plays · 77 yds · 3:2399% → 100%
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
98.8%
T.J. Harden run for 3 yds to the SMU 26Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+9
98.9%
T.J. Harden run for 9 yds to the SMU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+20
98.9%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Romello Brinson for 20 yds to the SYR 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:31
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-5
99.0%
Dramekco Green run for 5 yds to the SYR 40 SMU Penalty, Offensive Holding (Romello Brinson) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 14:17
2ND & 15
50
+9
99.0%
Ty Hawkins pass complete to Yamir Knight for 9 yds to the SYR 41Similar
Q4 13:43
3RD & 6
OPP 41
+20
99.1%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Jordan Hudson for 20 yds to the SYR 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:18
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
99.2%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Jordan Hudson for 3 yds to the SYR 24Similar
Q4 12:48
2ND & 13
OPP 24
+22
99.2%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Link Rhodes for 22 yds to the SYR 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:43
3RD & 13
OPP 24
+15
99.2%
(12:42) No Huddle-Shotgun Jennings,Kevin pass incomplete deep left to Brinson,Romello thrown to SYR00, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY SYR Pass Interference (Delaine,Greg) 15 yards from SYR24 to SYR09, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.8%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Jordan Hudson for 9 yds for a TD (Sam Keltner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 19TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:220% → 1%
Q4 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
99.9%
Rickie Collins pass complete to Emanuel Ross for 20 yds to the SYR 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
99.9%
Rickie Collins pass incomplete to Emanuel RossSimilar
Q4 11:54
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+26
99.9%
Rickie Collins pass complete to Dan Villari for 26 yds to the SMU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:31
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
99.8%
Rickie Collins pass incomplete to Chris ThomasSimilar
Q4 11:17
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+22
99.8%
Rickie Collins run for 22 yds to the SMU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
99.9%
Will Nixon run for 1 yd to the SMU 6Similar
Q4 10:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
99.8%
Rickie Collins pass incomplete to Chris ThomasSimilar
Q4 9:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
98.7%
Rickie Collins run for 6 yds for a TD (Tripp Woody KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 20INT
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:3899% → 99%
Q4 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
99.2%
T.J. Harden run for a loss of 2 yards to the SMU 23Similar
Q4 9:13
2ND & 12
OWN 23
-13
99.2%
Kevin Jennings pass intercepted Davien Kerr return for 13 yds to the SMU 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 21INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 9:07
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
98.6%
Rickie Collins pass intercepted Marcellus Barnes Jr. return for no gain to the SMU 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 22SF
1 play · -5 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 5
-5
97.8%
David Omopariola SafetySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 23TD
10 plays · 62 yds · 3:213% → 8%
Q4 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
96.6%
Rickie Collins pass complete to Yasin Willis for no gain to the SYR 38Similar
Q4 8:12
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+19
96.7%
Rickie Collins pass complete to Dan Villari for 19 yds to the SMU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+15
96.6%
Rickie Collins pass complete to Johntay Cook for 15 yds to the SMU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
96.0%
Rickie Collins pass incomplete to Johntay CookSimilar
Q4 7:23
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+8
96.2%
Rickie Collins pass complete to Johntay Cook for 8 yds to the SMU 20Similar
Q4 6:47
3RD & 2
OPP 20
+12
96.4%
Rickie Collins pass complete to Jaylan Hornsby for 12 yds to the SMU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
96.4%
Will Nixon run for 2 yds to the SMU 6Similar
Q4 5:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-5
97.0%
PENALTY SYR Delay Of Game 5 yards from SMU06 to SMU11. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+11
92.5%
Rickie Collins pass complete to Johntay Cook for 11 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 24DOWNS
15 plays · 27 yds · 4:0497% → 99%
Q4 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
97.3%
T.J. Harden run for 1 yd to the SMU 45Similar
Q4 4:25
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+4
97.8%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Matthew Hibner for 4 yds to the SMU 49Similar
Q4 4:19
3RD & 5
OWN 49
+7
97.8%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Matthew Hibner for 7 yds to the SYR 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:39
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
98.1%
T.J. Harden run for 3 yds to the SYR 41Similar
Q4 3:27
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+9
98.5%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Jordan Hudson for 9 yds to the SYR 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:47
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
98.6%
T.J. Harden run for 1 yd to the SYR 31Similar
Q4 2:40
2ND & 9
OPP 31
+3
98.6%
T.J. Harden run for 3 yds to the SYR 28Similar
Q4 1:52
3RD & 6
OPP 28
-1
98.9%
T.J. Harden run for a loss of 1 yard to the SYR 29Similar
Q4 1:02
4TH & 7
OPP 29
0
99.3%
Kevin Jennings run for no gain to the SYR 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 25INT
4 plays · 20 yds · 0:321% → 1%
Q4 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
98.7%
Rickie Collins run for 7 yds to the SYR 36Similar
Q4 0:31
2ND & 3
OWN 36
+13
98.5%
Rickie Collins pass complete to Will Nixon for 13 yds to the SYR 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
98.6%
Rickie Collins pass incomplete to Will NixonSimilar
Q4 0:14
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
98.6%
Syracuse Penalty, Illegal Motion (Braheem Long Jr.) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 26END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 3
-1
99.5%
(00:08) Kneel down by SMU at SMU02 for loss of 1 yard.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 8:02
Kevin Jennings pass complete to RJ Maryland for 16 yds for a TD (Sam Keltner KICK)
+5.1
TD · Q4 5:20
Rickie Collins pass complete to Johntay Cook for 11 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
-4.5
TD · Q2 2:18
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Derrick McFall for 14 yds for a TD (Sam Keltner KICK)
+3.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com