SYR
Syracuse 18 at SMU 31
SMU2025 · Week 6 · Oct 4, 2025 · Gerald J. Ford Stadium
Speed4x
Win probability · SMU
modelSMU aheadSYR aheadconfidence bandkey play
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
SMU · Drive 1PUNT · 5 plays · 8 yds
Q1 14:52
Jadyn Oh kickoff for 65 yds , Chris Johnson Jr. return for 20 yds to the SMU 20
85.6%
0.0
Q1 14:45
Kevin Jennings run for 7 yds to the SMU 27
87.0%
+1.4
Q1 14:28
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to Jalen Cooper
87.0%
0.0
Q1 14:22
T.J. Harden run for 1 yd to the SMU 28
87.0%
0.0
Q1 13:42
Wade McSparron punt for 14 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SMU 42
86.9%
-0.1
SYR · Drive 2DOWNS · 13 plays · 41 yds
Q1 13:36
Yasin Willis run for 4 yds to the SMU 38
83.6%
-3.2
Q1 12:46
Rickie Collins pass complete to Dan Villari for 4 yds to the SMU 34
83.6%
0.0
Q1 12:37
Yasin Willis run for 3 yds to the SMU 31 for a 1ST down
83.6%
0.0
Q1 11:54
Yasin Willis run for 13 yds to the SMU 18 for a 1ST down
83.6%
0.0
Q1 11:19
Will Nixon run for no gain to the SMU 18
83.6%
0.0
Q1 10:25
Rickie Collins pass complete to Will Nixon for 8 yds to the SMU 10
82.7%
-1.0
Q1 9:51
Yasin Willis run for 1 yd to the SMU 9
82.7%
0.0
Q1 9:09
Timeout Syracuse, clock 09:09
82.9%
+0.3
Q1 9:00
Dan Villari run for 2 yds to the SMU 7 for a 1ST down
82.6%
-0.4
Q1 8:24
Yasin Willis run for 4 yds to the SMU 3
82.1%
-0.4
Q1 7:49
Yasin Willis run for 2 yds to the SMU 1
82.1%
0.0
Q1 7:09
Yasin Willis run for no gain to the SMU 1
81.9%
-0.2
Q1 6:39
Rickie Collins run for no gain to the SMU 1
82.4%
+0.5
SMU · Drive 3PUNT · 7 plays · 36 yds
Q1 6:28
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Jordan Hudson for 4 yds to the SMU 5
83.5%
+1.1
Q1 6:01
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Romello Brinson for 5 yds to the SMU 10
83.3%
-0.2
Q1 5:41
T.J. Harden run for 22 yds to the SMU 32 for a 1ST down
83.2%
-0.1
Q1 5:19
Dramekco Green run for 1 yd to the SMU 33
83.2%
0.0
Q1 4:44
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Matthew Hibner for 4 yds to the SMU 37
83.2%
0.0
Q1 3:58
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to Yamir Knight
83.2%
0.0
Q1 3:48
Wade McSparron punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Davien Kerr at the SYR 10
83.1%
-0.2
SYR · Drive 4INT · 1 play · 0 yds
Q1 3:46
Rickie Collins pass intercepted Brandon Miyazono return for no gain to the SYR 13
81.5%
-1.5
SMU · Drive 5FG · 4 plays · 4 yds
Q1 3:34
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Chris Johnson Jr. for 2 yds to the SYR 15
84.3%
+2.8
Q1 3:13
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Yamir Knight for 6 yds to the SYR 9
84.3%
0.0
Q1 2:40
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to Jordan Hudson
84.2%
-0.1
Q1 2:34
Sam Keltner 26 yd FG GOOD
88.0%
+3.8
SYR · Drive 6PUNT · 8 plays · 17 yds
Q1 2:34
Sam Keltner kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
87.8%
-0.2
Q1 2:29
Will Nixon run for 3 yds to the SYR 28
86.9%
-0.9
Q1 1:54
Rickie Collins pass incomplete to Johntay Cook
86.3%
-0.6
Q1 1:36
Rickie Collins pass complete to Darrell Gill Jr. for 13 yds to the SYR 41 for a 1ST down
86.3%
0.0
Q1 1:27
Will Nixon run for 1 yd to the SYR 42
85.7%
-0.6
Q1 0:57
Rickie Collins pass incomplete to Will Nixon
85.7%
0.0
Q1 0:50
Rickie Collins pass incomplete to Justus Ross-Simmons
85.7%
0.0
Q1 0:41
Jack Stonehouse punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Yamir Knight at the SMU 22
85.7%
0.0
SMU · Drive 7TD · 7 plays · 78 yds
Q1 0:33
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Jalen Cooper for 23 yds to the SMU 45 for a 1ST down
87.5%
+1.8
Q1 0:00
T.J. Harden run for 11 yds to the SYR 44 for a 1ST down
87.6%
+0.1
Q2 14:39
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Jordan Hudson for 8 yds to the SYR 36
87.8%
+0.3
Q2 14:29
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Romello Brinson for 20 yds to the SYR 16 for a 1ST down
87.5%
-0.3
Q2 14:12
Dramekco Green run for a loss of 3 yards to the SYR 19
87.5%
0.0
Q2 13:35
T.J. Harden run for 4 yds to the SYR 15
87.5%
0.0
Q2 12:58
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Yamir Knight for 15 yds for a TD (Sam Keltner KICK)
96.5%
+9.0
SYR · Drive 8DOWNS · 8 plays · 19 yds
Q2 12:50
Sam Keltner kickoff for 63 yds , Will Nixon return for 19 yds to the SYR 21
96.4%
-0.1
Q2 12:45
Yasin Willis run for a loss of 3 yards to the SYR 18
92.9%
-3.5
Q2 12:08
Rickie Collins pass complete to Dan Villari for 6 yds to the SYR 24
92.9%
0.0
Q2 11:28
Rickie Collins run for 7 yds to the SYR 31 for a 1ST down
92.9%
0.0
Q2 10:57
Rickie Collins pass complete to Justus Ross-Simmons for 6 yds to the SYR 37
92.9%
0.0
Q2 10:41
Will Nixon run for 3 yds to the SYR 40
92.9%
0.0
Q2 10:01
Yasin Willis run for no gain to the SYR 40
92.8%
-0.2
Q2 9:22
Yasin Willis run for no gain to the SYR 40
92.8%
+0.1
SMU · Drive 9TD · 4 plays · 40 yds
Q2 9:15
T.J. Harden run for 9 yds to the SYR 31
96.6%
+3.8
Q2 8:34
T.J. Harden run for no gain to the SYR 31 T.J. Harden fumbled, recovered by SMU Kevin Jennings
96.6%
0.0
Q2 8:08
(08:11) No Huddle-Shotgun Jennings,Kevin pass incomplete deep left to McFall,Derrick thrown to SYR05 PENALTY SYR Pass Interference (Heard Jr.,James) 15 yards from SYR31 to SYR16, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
96.9%
+0.2
Q2 8:02
Kevin Jennings pass complete to RJ Maryland for 16 yds for a TD (Sam Keltner KICK)
99.2%
+2.4
SYR · Drive 10DOWNS · 13 plays · 65 yds
Q2 8:02
Sam Keltner kickoff for 60 yds
99.2%
0.0
Q2 7:53
Rickie Collins pass complete to Johntay Cook for 5 yds to the SYR 20
98.3%
-0.9
Q2 7:25
Rickie Collins pass incomplete to Justus Ross-Simmons
98.3%
0.0
Q2 7:14
Rickie Collins run for 14 yds to the SYR 34
98.3%
0.0
Q2 6:41
Timeout SMU, clock 06:41
98.3%
-0.1
Q2 6:31
Yasin Willis run for 6 yds to the SYR 40 for a 1ST down
98.3%
0.0
Q2 6:07
Rickie Collins pass incomplete to Justus Ross-Simmons
98.3%
0.0
Q2 6:04
(06:02) No Huddle-Shotgun Collins,Rickie pass incomplete short right to Ross-Simmons,Justus thrown to SMU48 PENALTY SYR Holding (Mack,Trevion) 10 yards from SYR40 to SYR30. NO PLAY.
98.3%
0.0
Q2 5:47
Rickie Collins pass complete to Justus Ross-Simmons for 52 yds to the SMU 18 for a 1ST down
98.3%
0.0
Q2 5:17
Rickie Collins pass incomplete to Justus Ross-Simmons
98.1%
-0.2
Q2 5:12
Rickie Collins pass incomplete to Johntay Cook
98.1%
0.0
Q2 5:06
Rickie Collins pass complete to Johntay Cook for 8 yds to the SMU 10
98.1%
0.0
Q2 4:36
Rickie Collins pass incomplete to Yasin Willis
98.1%
+0.1
SMU · Drive 11TD · 6 plays · 90 yds
Q2 4:27
Kevin Jennings pass complete to RJ Maryland for 24 yds to the SMU 34 for a 1ST down
99.2%
+1.1
Q2 4:02
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Matthew Hibner for 29 yds to the SYR 37 for a 1ST down
99.2%
0.0
Q2 3:45
Dramekco Green run for 13 yds to the SYR 24 for a 1ST down
99.2%
0.0
Q2 3:13
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Romello Brinson for 5 yds to the SYR 19
99.2%
0.0
Q2 2:38
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Romello Brinson for 5 yds to the SYR 14 for a 1ST down
99.2%
0.0
Q2 2:18
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Derrick McFall for 14 yds for a TD (Sam Keltner KICK)
99.6%
+0.4
SYR · Drive 12FG · 15 plays · 62 yds
Q2 2:13
Sam Keltner kickoff for 65 yds , Will Nixon return for 2 yds to the SYR 18 Will Nixon fumbled, recovered by SYR Will Nixon
99.6%
0.0
Q2 2:06
Yasin Willis run for a loss of 1 yard to the SYR 17
99.1%
-0.5
Q2 2:00
Timeout SMU, clock 02:00
99.1%
0.0
Q2 1:50
Rickie Collins pass complete to Johntay Cook for 38 yds to the SMU 45 for a 1ST down
99.1%
0.0
Q2 1:33
Rickie Collins pass complete to Dan Villari for 6 yds to the SMU 39
99.1%
0.0
Q2 1:19
Rickie Collins pass complete to Johntay Cook for 7 yds to the SMU 32 for a 1ST down
99.1%
0.0
Q2 1:04
Will Nixon run for no gain to the SMU 32
99.1%
0.0
Q2 0:37
Rickie Collins pass complete to Will Nixon for 4 yds to the SMU 28
99.1%
0.0
Q2 0:20
Rickie Collins pass complete to Emanuel Ross for 8 yds to the SMU 20 for a 1ST down
99.1%
0.0
Q2 0:20
Timeout Syracuse, clock 00:20
99.1%
0.0
Q2 0:15
Rickie Collins pass incomplete to Johntay Cook
99.1%
0.0
Q2 0:11
Rickie Collins pass incomplete to Emanuel Ross
99.1%
0.0
Q2 0:03
Rickie Collins pass incomplete
99.1%
0.0
Q2 0:03
Timeout SMU, clock 00:03
99.1%
0.0
Q2 0:00
Tripp Woody 38 yd FG GOOD
99.0%
-0.1
SYR · Drive 13PUNT · 7 plays · 0 yds
Q3 15:00
Sam Keltner kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
99.4%
+0.4
Q3 14:56
Rickie Collins pass incomplete to Darrell Gill Jr.
99.1%
-0.3
Q3 14:46
(14:56) No Huddle-Shotgun Collins,Rickie rush middle for 9 yards gain to the SYR34 (Booker,Brandon) PENALTY SYR Holding (Mack,Trevion) 10 yards from SYR25 to SYR15. NO PLAY.
99.1%
0.0
Q3 14:21
Rickie Collins sacked by Terry Webb for a loss of 8 yards to the SYR 7
99.1%
0.0
Q3 13:38
Rickie Collins run for 13 yds to the SYR 20
99.1%
0.0
Q3 13:02
(13:02) No Huddle Stonehouse,Jack rush left for 11 yards gain to the SYR31 (Nettles,William), out of bounds PENALTY SMU Offside (Moses,Jaylen) 5 yards from SYR20 to SYR25. NO PLAY.
99.1%
0.0
Q3 12:42
Jack Stonehouse punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Yamir Knight at the SMU 25
99.1%
0.0
SMU · Drive 14MISSED FG · 12 plays · 51 yds
Q3 12:30
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Romello Brinson for 14 yds to the SMU 39 for a 1ST down
99.4%
+0.4
Q3 12:06
Kevin Jennings run for 4 yds to the SMU 43
99.4%
0.0
Q3 11:36
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Yamir Knight for 4 yds to the SMU 47
99.4%
0.0
Q3 11:00
T.J. Harden run for 4 yds to the SYR 49 for a 1ST down
99.4%
0.0
Q3 10:33
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Yamir Knight for 7 yds to the SYR 42
99.4%
0.0
Q3 10:15
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Romello Brinson for 2 yds to the SYR 40
99.4%
0.0
Q3 9:39
T.J. Harden run for a loss of 1 yard to the SYR 41
99.4%
0.0
Q3 8:58
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Matthew Hibner for 11 yds to the SYR 30 for a 1ST down
99.4%
0.0
Q3 8:14
Dramekco Green run for 1 yd to the SYR 29
99.4%
0.0
Q3 7:29
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Jalen Cooper for 5 yds to the SYR 24
99.4%
0.0
Q3 6:57
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to RJ Maryland
99.4%
0.0
Q3 6:53
Sam Keltner 41 yd FG MISSED
99.4%
0.0
SYR · Drive 15PUNT · 6 plays · 5 yds
Q3 6:46
Yasin Willis run for 3 yds to the SYR 27
99.1%
-0.3
Q3 6:08
Yasin Willis run for 9 yds to the SYR 36 for a 1ST down
99.1%
0.0
Q3 5:38
Yasin Willis run for no gain to the SYR 36
99.1%
0.0
Q3 5:03
Rickie Collins pass incomplete to Emanuel Ross
99.2%
0.0
Q3 4:58
Rickie Collins sacked by Isaiah Smith for a loss of 7 yards to the SYR 29
99.3%
+0.1
Q3 4:11
Jack Stonehouse punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Yamir Knight at the SMU 25
99.3%
0.0
SMU · Drive 16PUNT · 5 plays · -13 yds
Q3 4:06
Dramekco Green run for 4 yds to the SMU 29
99.5%
+0.1
Q3 3:35
Kevin Jennings pass complete to RJ Maryland for no gain to the SMU 29
99.5%
0.0
Q3 3:04
Timeout SMU, clock 03:04
99.5%
0.0
Q3 2:53
Kevin Jennings sacked by Jamie Tremble for a loss of 17 yards to the SMU 12
99.5%
0.0
Q3 2:07
Wade McSparron punt for 43 yds
99.5%
0.0
SYR · Drive 17PUNT · 4 plays · 3 yds
Q3 2:02
Rickie Collins pass incomplete to Darrell Gill Jr.
99.3%
-0.2
Q3 1:49
Rickie Collins run for 3 yds to the SYR 48
99.3%
0.0
Q3 1:20
Rickie Collins pass incomplete to Johntay Cook
99.3%
0.0
Q3 1:07
Jack Stonehouse punt for 45 yds , Yamir Knight returns for 16 yds to the SMU 23
99.3%
0.0
SMU · Drive 18TD · 10 plays · 77 yds
Q3 1:00
T.J. Harden run for 3 yds to the SMU 26
99.5%
+0.2
Q3 0:00
T.J. Harden run for 9 yds to the SMU 35 for a 1ST down
99.5%
0.0
Q4 14:49
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Romello Brinson for 20 yds to the SYR 45 for a 1ST down
99.5%
0.0
Q4 14:31
Dramekco Green run for 5 yds to the SYR 40 SMU Penalty, Offensive Holding (Romello Brinson) to the 50 yard line
99.5%
0.0
Q4 14:17
Ty Hawkins pass complete to Yamir Knight for 9 yds to the SYR 41
99.5%
0.0
Q4 13:43
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Jordan Hudson for 20 yds to the SYR 21 for a 1ST down
99.5%
0.0
Q4 13:18
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Jordan Hudson for 3 yds to the SYR 24
99.5%
0.0
Q4 12:48
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Link Rhodes for 22 yds to the SYR 2 for a 1ST down
99.5%
0.0
Q4 12:43
(12:42) No Huddle-Shotgun Jennings,Kevin pass incomplete deep left to Brinson,Romello thrown to SYR00, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY SYR Pass Interference (Delaine,Greg) 15 yards from SYR24 to SYR09, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
99.5%
0.0
Q4 12:37
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Jordan Hudson for 9 yds for a TD (Sam Keltner KICK)
99.8%
+0.2
SYR · Drive 19TD · 9 plays · 75 yds
Q4 12:37
Sam Keltner kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
99.8%
0.0
Q4 12:21
Rickie Collins pass complete to Emanuel Ross for 20 yds to the SYR 45 for a 1ST down
99.4%
-0.3
Q4 12:02
Rickie Collins pass incomplete to Emanuel Ross
99.4%
0.0
Q4 11:54
Rickie Collins pass complete to Dan Villari for 26 yds to the SMU 29 for a 1ST down
99.4%
0.0
Q4 11:31
Rickie Collins pass incomplete to Chris Thomas
99.4%
0.0
Q4 11:17
Rickie Collins run for 22 yds to the SMU 7 for a 1ST down
99.4%
0.0
Q4 10:45
Will Nixon run for 1 yd to the SMU 6
99.4%
0.0
Q4 10:06
Rickie Collins pass incomplete to Chris Thomas
99.4%
0.0
Q4 9:59
Rickie Collins run for 6 yds for a TD (Tripp Woody KICK)
99.2%
-0.2
SMU · Drive 20INT · 3 plays · -2 yds
Q4 9:59
Jadyn Oh kickoff for 64 yds fair catch by Savion Byrd at the SMU 25
99.2%
0.0
Q4 9:51
T.J. Harden run for a loss of 2 yards to the SMU 23
99.6%
+0.3
Q4 9:13
Kevin Jennings pass intercepted Davien Kerr return for 13 yds to the SMU 29
99.6%
0.0
SYR · Drive 21INT · 1 play · 0 yds
Q4 9:07
Rickie Collins pass intercepted Marcellus Barnes Jr. return for no gain to the SMU 5
99.2%
-0.4
SMU · Drive 22SF · 1 play · -5 yds
Q4 8:55
David Omopariola Safety
99.6%
+0.4
SYR · Drive 23TD · 10 plays · 62 yds
Q4 8:49
Sam Keltner kickoff for 62 yds , Fran Brown Jr. return for 20 yds to the SYR 38
99.6%
0.0
Q4 8:41
Rickie Collins pass complete to Yasin Willis for no gain to the SYR 38
99.0%
-0.5
Q4 8:12
Rickie Collins pass complete to Dan Villari for 19 yds to the SMU 43 for a 1ST down
99.0%
0.0
Q4 7:56
Rickie Collins pass complete to Johntay Cook for 15 yds to the SMU 28 for a 1ST down
99.0%
0.0
Q4 7:36
Rickie Collins pass incomplete to Johntay Cook
98.9%
0.0
Q4 7:23
Rickie Collins pass complete to Johntay Cook for 8 yds to the SMU 20
98.9%
0.0
Q4 6:47
Rickie Collins pass complete to Jaylan Hornsby for 12 yds to the SMU 8 for a 1ST down
98.9%
0.0
Q4 6:31
Will Nixon run for 2 yds to the SMU 6
98.9%
0.0
Q4 5:46
PENALTY SYR Delay Of Game 5 yards from SMU06 to SMU11. NO PLAY.
98.9%
0.0
Q4 5:20
Rickie Collins pass complete to Johntay Cook for 11 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
97.5%
-1.4
SMU · Drive 24DOWNS · 15 plays · 27 yds
Q4 5:16
Jadyn Oh kickoff for 21 yds
97.6%
+0.1
Q4 5:06
T.J. Harden run for 1 yd to the SMU 45
99.1%
+1.5
Q4 4:30
Timeout Syracuse, clock 04:30
99.2%
+0.1
Q4 4:25
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Matthew Hibner for 4 yds to the SMU 49
99.2%
0.0
Q4 4:19
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Matthew Hibner for 7 yds to the SYR 44 for a 1ST down
99.2%
0.0
Q4 3:39
T.J. Harden run for 3 yds to the SYR 41
99.2%
0.0
Q4 3:35
Timeout Syracuse, clock 03:35
99.2%
0.0
Q4 3:27
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Jordan Hudson for 9 yds to the SYR 32 for a 1ST down
99.2%
0.0
Q4 2:47
T.J. Harden run for 1 yd to the SYR 31
99.2%
0.0
Q4 2:46
Timeout Syracuse, clock 02:46
99.2%
0.0
Q4 2:40
T.J. Harden run for 3 yds to the SYR 28
99.2%
0.0
Q4 2:00
Timeout SMU, clock 02:00
99.2%
0.0
Q4 1:52
T.J. Harden run for a loss of 1 yard to the SYR 29
99.3%
0.0
Q4 1:10
Timeout SMU, clock 01:10
99.2%
0.0
Q4 1:02
Kevin Jennings run for no gain to the SYR 29
99.2%
0.0
SYR · Drive 25INT · 4 plays · 20 yds
Q4 0:46
Rickie Collins run for 7 yds to the SYR 36
97.7%
-1.5
Q4 0:31
Rickie Collins pass complete to Will Nixon for 13 yds to the SYR 49 for a 1ST down
97.7%
0.0
Q4 0:25
Rickie Collins pass incomplete to Will Nixon
97.7%
0.0
Q4 0:14
Syracuse Penalty, Illegal Motion (Braheem Long Jr.) declined
97.7%
0.0
SMU · Drive 26END OF GAME · 1 play · -1 yds
Q4 0:00
(00:08) Kneel down by SMU at SMU02 for loss of 1 yard.
99.3%
+1.5
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 12:58
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Yamir Knight for 15 yds for a TD (Sam Keltner KICK)
+9
FG · Q1 2:34
Sam Keltner 26 yd FG GOOD
+3.8
KEY PLAY · Q2 9:15
T.J. Harden run for 9 yds to the SYR 31
+3.8