UVA
Virginia 30 at Louisville 27
LOU2025 · Week 6 · Oct 4, 2025 · L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium
Speed4x
Win probability · LOU
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UVA · Drive 23TD · 4 plays · 25 yds
Q5 0:00
J.Taylor rushed for 2 yards. TOUCHDOWN.
27.8%
0.0
Q5 0:00
C.Morris scrambles for 7 yards. Tackled by J.Mack; D.Hutchinson at LOU 2.
79.1%
+51.3
Q5 0:00
J.Taylor rushed for 2 yards. Tackled by R.Konga; C.Lubin at LOU 9.
80.5%
+1.4
Q5 0:00
C.Morris pass complete. Catch made by J.Rogers for 14 yards. Pushed out of bounds by J.Evans at LOU 11.
82.5%
+2.0
LOU · Drive 22DOWNS · 6 plays · 19 yds
Q5 0:00
C.Ranvier 24 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-S.Kochav, Holder-D.Chapeau.
84.7%
+2.3
Q5 0:00
M.Moss pass complete. Catch made by I.Brown for 5 yards. Tackled by UVA at UVA 1. The Replay Official reviewed the pass completion and the play was overturned. M.Moss steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for I.Brown.
65.1%
-19.6
Q5 0:00
Timeout #1 by LOU.
65.1%
0.0
Q5 0:00
M.Moss pass complete. Catch made by J.Skinner for 8 yards. Tackled by E.Minter at UVA 6.
56.6%
-8.5
Q5 0:00
M.Moss steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for C.Bell.
56.6%
0.0
Q5 0:00
M.Moss pass complete. Catch made by J.Skinner for 11 yards. Tackled by E.Minter at UVA 14.
56.6%
0.0
UVA · Drive 1PUNT · 8 plays · 22 yds
Q1 15:00
Nick Keller kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
70.2%
+13.6
Q1 14:45
J'Mari Taylor run for 4 yds to the UVA 29
67.9%
-2.3
Q1 14:14
J'Mari Taylor run for 11 yds to the UVA 40 Virginia Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the UVA 30
67.9%
0.0
Q1 13:45
Chandler Morris pass complete to Cam Ross for 13 yds to the UVA 43 for a 1ST down
67.9%
0.0
Q1 13:13
Chandler Morris pass complete to Trell Harris for a loss of 2 yards to the UVA 41
66.6%
-1.3
Q1 12:22
Chandler Morris pass complete to Trell Harris for 6 yds to the UVA 47
66.6%
0.0
Q1 11:57
Chandler Morris pass incomplete
65.9%
-0.7
Q1 11:48
Elijah Slibeck punt for 40 yds , Caullin Lacy returns for 1 yd to the LOU 14
66.2%
+0.3
LOU · Drive 2FUMBLE TD · 14 plays · 47 yds
Q1 11:33
Miller Moss pass complete to Chris Bell for 12 yds to the LOU 26 for a 1ST down
70.5%
+4.2
Q1 11:11
Isaac Brown run for 6 yds to the LOU 32
70.5%
0.0
Q1 10:35
Louisville Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the LOU 22
70.5%
0.0
Q1 10:26
Virginia Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (8 Yards) to the LOU 30 for a 1ST down
70.5%
0.0
Q1 10:10
Miller Moss pass complete to Nate Kurisky for 12 yds to the LOU 42 for a 1ST down
70.5%
0.0
Q1 9:49
Miller Moss pass complete to Chris Bell for 16 yds to the UVA 42 for a 1ST down
71.2%
+0.8
Q1 9:49
Louisville Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the LOU 43
72.5%
+1.3
Q1 9:20
Miller Moss pass complete to Caullin Lacy for no gain to the LOU 43
71.5%
-1.0
Q1 8:58
Caullin Lacy run for 9 yds to the UVA 48
71.2%
-0.3
Q1 8:28
Miller Moss run for 2 yds to the UVA 46 for a 1ST down
71.8%
+0.6
Q1 7:45
Miller Moss pass incomplete
72.0%
+0.2
Q1 7:37
Miller Moss pass complete to Jaleel Skinner for 6 yds to the UVA 40
72.0%
0.0
Q1 6:55
Miller Moss pass complete to Kris Hughes for 3 yds to the UVA 37
72.1%
+0.1
Q1 6:12
Isaac Brown run for a loss of 2 yards Isaac Brown fumbled, recovered by UVA Donavon Platt , return for 61 yds (Will Bettridge KICK)
56.4%
-15.7
LOU · Drive 3TD · 16 plays · 75 yds
Q1 6:12
Elijah Slibeck kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
50.7%
-5.7
Q1 5:57
Miller Moss pass complete to Caullin Lacy for a loss of 7 yards to the LOU 18
54.1%
+3.4
Q1 5:15
Miller Moss pass complete to Duke Watson for 6 yds to the LOU 24
54.1%
0.0
Q1 4:44
Miller Moss pass complete to Chris Bell for 14 yds to the LOU 38 for a 1ST down
54.0%
-0.1
Q1 4:10
Miller Moss pass incomplete
54.4%
+0.4
Q1 4:04
Miller Moss pass complete to Chris Bell for 14 yds to the UVA 48 for a 1ST down
54.4%
0.0
Q1 3:24
Timeout Louisville, clock 03:24
54.6%
+0.2
Q1 3:07
Duke Watson run for 2 yds to the UVA 46 Duke Watson fumbled, recovered by LOU Mahamane Moussa
54.6%
0.0
Q1 2:45
Miller Moss pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 10 yds to the UVA 36 for a 1ST down
54.6%
0.0
Q1 2:08
Miller Moss pass complete to Chris Bell for 27 yds to the UVA 9 for a 1ST down
55.4%
+0.8
Q1 1:30
Miller Moss pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 4 yds to the UVA 5
55.2%
-0.2
Q1 0:50
Timeout Virginia, clock 00:50
53.6%
-1.6
Q1 0:45
Miller Moss pass incomplete
53.4%
-0.2
Q1 0:33
Miller Moss pass complete to TreyShun Hurry for 4 yds to the UVA 1
53.1%
-0.3
Q1 0:02
Timeout Louisville, clock 00:02
52.7%
-0.4
Q1 0:00
Miller Moss 1 Yd Run (Cooper Ranvier Kick)
68.7%
+16.0
UVA · Drive 4TD · 19 plays · 75 yds
Q2 15:00
Nick Keller kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
67.0%
-1.7
Q2 14:55
Chandler Morris run for a loss of 2 yards to the UVA 23 Chandler Morris fumbled, recovered by UVA Chandler Morris
63.6%
-3.4
Q2 14:14
J'Mari Taylor run for 13 yds to the UVA 36 for a 1ST down
63.7%
+0.1
Q2 13:55
Chandler Morris pass complete to Cam Ross for 4 yds to the UVA 40
63.7%
0.0
Q2 13:13
J'Mari Taylor run for 1 yd to the UVA 41
62.8%
-0.9
Q2 12:43
Chandler Morris pass complete to Cam Ross for 7 yds to the UVA 48 for a 1ST down
62.5%
-0.3
Q2 12:32
Chandler Morris pass incomplete
61.8%
-0.8
Q2 12:18
Chandler Morris pass complete to Jahmal Edrine for 6 yds to the LOU 46
61.8%
0.0
Q2 11:55
Xavier Brown run for 14 yds to the LOU 32 for a 1ST down
61.6%
-0.1
Q2 11:11
Chandler Morris pass incomplete
61.3%
-0.4
Q2 10:47
Harrison Waylee run for a loss of 5 yards to the LOU 37
61.3%
0.0
Q2 10:20
Chandler Morris pass complete to Trell Harris for 5 yds to the LOU 32 Virginia Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the LOU 42
61.3%
0.0
Q2 9:55
J'Mari Taylor run for 19 yds to the LOU 23
61.7%
+0.4
Q2 9:09
J'Mari Taylor run for 5 yds to the LOU 18 for a 1ST down
62.0%
+0.4
Q2 8:33
Xavier Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the LOU 19
61.3%
-0.7
Q2 7:11
Xavier Brown run for no gain to the LOU 19
59.3%
-2.0
Q2 6:59
Timeout Virginia, clock 06:59
59.3%
0.0
Q2 6:56
Chandler Morris pass complete to Cam Ross for 19 yds for a TD (Will Bettridge KICK)
42.3%
-17.0
Q2 6:56
Louisville Penalty, Roughing Passer (15 Yards) to the 50 yard line
62.0%
+19.7
LOU · Drive 5TD · 8 plays · 70 yds
Q2 6:56
Elijah Slibeck kickoff for 20 yds
42.7%
-19.3
Q2 6:26
Miller Moss pass complete to Chris Bell for 27 yds to the UVA 43 for a 1ST down
47.8%
+5.1
Q2 6:06
Isaac Brown run for 5 yds to the UVA 38
50.5%
+2.7
Q2 5:45
Miller Moss pass complete to Chris Bell for 4 yds to the UVA 34
50.9%
+0.3
Q2 4:58
Miller Moss run for 5 yds to the UVA 29 for a 1ST down
50.6%
-0.3
Q2 4:20
Miller Moss pass complete to Jaleel Skinner for 10 yds to the UVA 19 for a 1ST down
50.9%
+0.3
Q2 3:58
Isaac Brown run for 4 yds to the UVA 15
50.9%
0.0
Q2 3:26
Miller Moss pass complete to Chris Bell for 15 yds for a TD (Cooper Ranvier KICK)
70.4%
+19.6
UVA · Drive 6PUNT · 8 plays · 26 yds
Q2 3:26
Nick Keller kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
68.5%
-1.9
Q2 3:03
J'Mari Taylor run for 1 yd to the UVA 26
62.0%
-6.5
Q2 2:45
Chandler Morris pass complete to John Rogers for 26 yds to the LOU 48 for a 1ST down
61.8%
-0.2
Q2 2:22
J'Mari Taylor run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard line
59.6%
-2.2
Q2 1:47
Chandler Morris pass complete to J'Mari Taylor for 6 yds to the LOU 44
59.5%
-0.1
Q2 1:22
Virginia Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the LOU 49
59.5%
0.0
Q2 1:19
Chandler Morris pass incomplete
59.5%
0.0
Q2 1:10
Elijah Slibeck punt for 32 yds , Caullin Lacy returns for 17 yds to the LOU 32 Virginia Penalty, Horse Collar Tackle (-15 Yards) to the LOU 49
59.8%
+0.3
LOU · Drive 7MISSED FG · 8 plays · 26 yds
Q2 0:58
Miller Moss pass complete to Antonio Meeks for 11 yds to the UVA 40 for a 1ST down
69.0%
+9.2
Q2 0:44
Isaac Brown run for 4 yds to the UVA 36
70.1%
+1.1
Q2 0:25
Miller Moss pass complete to Chris Bell for 8 yds to the UVA 28 for a 1ST down
69.4%
-0.8
Q2 0:14
Miller Moss pass incomplete
69.4%
0.0
Q2 0:11
Miller Moss pass incomplete
69.4%
0.0
Q2 0:06
Miller Moss pass complete to Isaac Brown for 3 yds to the UVA 25
69.2%
-0.2
Q2 0:06
Timeout Virginia, clock 00:06
68.8%
-0.4
Q2 0:02
Cooper Ranvier 42 yd FG MISSED
68.8%
0.0
UVA · Drive 8END OF HALF · 1 play · -2 yds
Q2 0:00
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UVA 23
60.6%
-8.2
LOU · Drive 9PUNT · 9 plays · 0 yds
Q3 15:00
Elijah Slibeck kickoff for 65 yds , Caullin Lacy return for 13 yds to the LOU 13
62.6%
+2.0
Q3 14:45
Miller Moss pass complete to Nate Kurisky for 5 yds to the LOU 18
68.5%
+5.9
Q3 14:14
Isaac Brown run for 3 yds to the LOU 21
68.5%
0.0
Q3 13:33
Miller Moss pass complete to Nate Kurisky for 6 yds to the LOU 27 for a 1ST down
68.1%
-0.4
Q3 12:46
Isaac Brown run for 5 yds to the LOU 32
68.0%
-0.1
Q3 12:39
Louisville Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the LOU 27
68.0%
0.0
Q3 11:55
Miller Moss sacked by Daniel Rickert for a loss of 4 yards to the LOU 23
68.0%
0.0
Q3 11:11
Miller Moss sacked by Mitchell Melton for a loss of 10 yards to the LOU 13
68.0%
0.0
Q3 10:51
Carter Schwartz punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Cam Ross at the 50 yard line
67.7%
-0.3
UVA · Drive 10DOWNS · 9 plays · 15 yds
Q3 10:40
Chandler Morris pass complete to Trell Harris for 8 yds to the LOU 42
59.6%
-8.1
Q3 9:59
J'Mari Taylor run for 1 yd to the LOU 41
59.5%
-0.1
Q3 9:18
J'Mari Taylor run for 6 yds to the LOU 35 for a 1ST down
59.5%
0.0
Q3 8:48
Xavier Brown run for 4 yds to the LOU 31
59.5%
0.0
Q3 8:18
Xavier Brown run for 1 yd to the LOU 30
59.5%
0.0
Q3 7:55
Virginia Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the LOU 35
59.5%
0.0
Q3 7:37
Chandler Morris pass incomplete
59.5%
0.0
Q3 7:37
Timeout Virginia, clock 07:37
59.9%
+0.4
Q3 7:31
Chandler Morris pass incomplete
59.9%
0.0
LOU · Drive 11INT TD · 4 plays · 11 yds
Q3 7:11
Keyjuan Brown run for 11 yds to the LOU 46 for a 1ST down
67.6%
+7.7
Q3 6:45
Miller Moss pass incomplete
68.4%
+0.8
Q3 6:37
Miller Moss pass incomplete
68.4%
0.0
Q3 6:25
Miller Moss pass intercepted Kam Robinson return for 47 yds for a TD (Will Bettridge KICK)
47.1%
-21.3
LOU · Drive 12PUNT · 5 plays · 6 yds
Q3 6:25
Elijah Slibeck kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
39.8%
-7.3
Q3 6:16
Isaac Brown run for 2 yds to the LOU 27
46.3%
+6.5
Q3 5:45
Keyjuan Brown run for 4 yds to the LOU 31
46.3%
0.0
Q3 5:05
Miller Moss pass complete to Keyjuan Brown for no gain to the LOU 31
45.5%
-0.9
Q3 4:57
Carter Schwartz punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Cam Ross at the UVA 31
45.5%
0.0
UVA · Drive 13PUNT · 4 plays · -3 yds
Q3 4:44
Chandler Morris run for 1 yd to the UVA 32
39.5%
-6.0
Q3 3:55
Harrison Waylee run for a loss of 1 yard to the UVA 31
39.3%
-0.2
Q3 3:33
Chandler Morris pass complete to J'Mari Taylor for a loss of 3 yards to the UVA 28
39.3%
0.0
Q3 2:42
Elijah Slibeck punt for 71 yds, downed at the LOU 1
39.3%
0.0
LOU · Drive 14PUNT · 4 plays · 1 yds
Q3 2:34
Keyjuan Brown run for 1 yd to the LOU 2
42.2%
+2.9
Q3 1:58
Miller Moss pass incomplete
42.2%
0.0
Q3 1:52
Miller Moss pass incomplete
42.2%
0.0
Q3 1:43
David Chapeau punt for 41 yds , Cam Ross returns for 3 yds to the LOU 40
42.2%
0.0
UVA · Drive 15FG · 6 plays · 11 yds
Q3 1:23
Chandler Morris pass complete to Ja'Maric Morris for 13 yds to the LOU 27 for a 1ST down
36.4%
-5.8
Q3 0:58
Chandler Morris pass complete to J'Mari Taylor for a loss of 2 yards to the LOU 29
36.4%
0.0
Q3 0:42
Chandler Morris pass incomplete
36.4%
0.0
Q3 0:35
Chandler Morris pass incomplete
36.4%
+9.2
Q3 0:30
Will Bettridge 46 yd FG GOOD
27.1%
-9.4
Q3 0:30
Louisville Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the 50 yard line
38.4%
+11.3
LOU · Drive 16PUNT · 6 plays · 11 yds
Q3 0:41
Miller Moss pass complete to Chris Bell for 14 yds to the LOU 41 for a 1ST down
27.3%
-9.2
Q3 0:30
Elijah Slibeck kickoff for 48 yds , Caullin Lacy return for 10 yds to the LOU 40 Virginia Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the LOU 27
26.7%
-11.7
Q3 0:00
Miller Moss pass incomplete
27.2%
+0.5
Q4 14:55
Miller Moss sacked by Mitchell Melton for a loss of 12 yards to the LOU 29 Miller Moss fumbled, recovered by LOU Miller Moss , return for 0 yards
27.2%
0.0
Q4 14:14
Miller Moss pass complete to TreyShun Hurry for 9 yds to the LOU 38
26.8%
-0.4
Q4 13:30
David Chapeau punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Cam Ross at the UVA 20
27.2%
+0.4
UVA · Drive 17PUNT · 4 plays · 4 yds
Q4 13:25
Chandler Morris pass incomplete
26.1%
-1.1
Q4 13:13
Chandler Morris run for 4 yds to the UVA 24
26.1%
0.0
Q4 12:42
Chandler Morris pass incomplete
25.7%
-0.4
Q4 12:29
Elijah Slibeck punt for 60 yds , Caullin Lacy returns for 29 yds to the LOU 45
25.7%
0.0
LOU · Drive 18TD · 6 plays · 55 yds
Q4 12:18
Isaac Brown run for 22 yds to the UVA 33 for a 1ST down
26.9%
+1.3
Q4 11:50
Isaac Brown run for 9 yds to the UVA 24
28.2%
+1.3
Q4 11:11
Isaac Brown run for 5 yds to the UVA 19 for a 1ST down
28.1%
-0.1
Q4 10:52
Caullin Lacy run for a loss of 1 yard to the UVA 20
28.1%
0.0
Q4 10:10
Miller Moss pass complete to Nate Kurisky for 7 yds to the UVA 13
26.9%
-1.2
Q4 9:41
Miller Moss pass complete to Chris Bell for 13 yds for a TD (Cooper Ranvier KICK)
54.1%
+27.2
UVA · Drive 19PUNT · 11 plays · 21 yds
Q4 9:41
Nick Keller kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
51.4%
-2.7
Q4 9:29
J'Mari Taylor run for 9 yds to the UVA 34
44.6%
-6.8
Q4 8:58
J'Mari Taylor run for 11 yds to the UVA 45 for a 1ST down
44.6%
0.0
Q4 8:22
J'Mari Taylor run for a loss of 2 yards to the UVA 43
42.5%
-2.1
Q4 7:47
Chandler Morris pass complete to J'Mari Taylor for 7 yds to the 50 yard line
42.3%
-0.2
Q4 6:58
J'Mari Taylor run for 4 yds to the LOU 46
40.9%
-1.4
Q4 6:22
J'Mari Taylor run for 2 yds to the LOU 44 for a 1ST down
41.0%
+0.1
Q4 5:58
Chandler Morris pass incomplete
37.9%
-3.1
Q4 5:35
Xavier Brown run for 3 yds to the LOU 41
37.9%
0.0
Q4 4:58
Chandler Morris sacked by Antonio Watts for a loss of 13 yards to the UVA 46
37.0%
-0.9
Q4 4:31
Elijah Slibeck punt for 34 yds , Caullin Lacy returns for 8 yds to the LOU 28
37.9%
+0.9
LOU · Drive 20FG · 11 plays · 40 yds
Q4 4:04
Miller Moss sacked by Hunter Osborne for a loss of 5 yards to the LOU 23
49.8%
+11.9
Q4 3:45
Miller Moss pass complete to Chris Bell for 5 yds to the LOU 28
49.8%
0.0
Q4 3:10
Miller Moss pass complete to Chris Bell for 14 yds to the LOU 42 for a 1ST down
46.6%
-3.2
Q4 2:10
Isaac Brown run for no gain to the LOU 42
42.2%
-4.4
Q4 2:04
Miller Moss sacked by Jason Hammond for a loss of 15 yards to the LOU 27
42.2%
0.0
Q4 2:04
Timeout Louisville, clock 02:04
41.1%
-1.1
Q4 1:57
Miller Moss pass complete to Kris Hughes for 33 yds to the UVA 40 for a 1ST down
40.4%
-0.7
Q4 1:50
Miller Moss pass complete to Isaac Brown for 3 yds to the UVA 37
45.0%
+4.6
Q4 1:40
Isaac Brown run for 5 yds to the UVA 32
45.0%
0.0
Q4 1:13
Miller Moss pass incomplete
42.4%
-2.5
Q4 1:08
Cooper Ranvier 50 yd FG GOOD
67.5%
+25.1
UVA · Drive 21END OF GAME · 7 plays · 13 yds
Q4 1:08
Nick Keller kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
65.8%
-1.7
Q4 0:55
Chandler Morris pass complete to Trell Harris for 1 yd to the UVA 26
56.5%
-9.4
Q4 0:42
Chandler Morris pass incomplete
56.5%
0.0
Q4 0:35
Chandler Morris run for 17 yds to the UVA 43 for a 1ST down
56.5%
0.0
Q4 0:30
Chandler Morris sacked by Wesley Bailey for a loss of 7 yards to the UVA 36
55.2%
-1.2
Q4 0:25
Timeout Virginia, clock 00:25
56.5%
+1.2
Q4 0:10
Chandler Morris pass complete to J'Mari Taylor for 2 yds to the UVA 38
56.5%
0.0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q5 0:00
C.Morris scrambles for 7 yards. Tackled by J.Mack; D.Hutchinson at LOU 2.
+51.3
TD · Q4 9:41
Miller Moss pass complete to Chris Bell for 13 yds for a TD (Cooper Ranvier KICK)
+27.2
FG · Q4 1:08
Cooper Ranvier 50 yd FG GOOD
+25.1