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CLEM

Clemson 38 at North Carolina 10

UNC
2025 · Week 6 · Oct 4, 2025 · Kenan Stadium
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Win probability · UNC
modelUNC aheadCLEM aheadconfidence bandkey playUNC scoreCLEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 0:20 · Peter Woods run for 3 yds to the UNC 23 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+58.5+29.30−29.3−58.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 41Home team on offense−10.8Score differential−4.8Pregame prior−32.3Garbage-time factor−2.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.4
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 10:02: Rece Verhoff 35 yd FG GOOD — UNC win probability +0.4 pts (now 15%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  2. TD · Q1 8:54: Cade Klubnik pass complete to Adam Randall for 35 yds for a TD (Nolan Hauser KICK) — CLEM win probability +1.3 pts (now 87%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 4:15: Cade Klubnik pass complete to Christian Bentancur for 45 yds for a TD (Nolan Hauser KICK) — CLEM win probability +3.3 pts (now 89%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q1 0:01: Cade Klubnik pass complete to Adam Randall for 23 yds for a TD (Nolan Hauser KICK) — CLEM win probability +3.7 pts (now 93%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 2:02: Cade Klubnik pass complete to Christian Bentancur for 8 yds for a TD (Nolan Hauser KICK) — CLEM win probability +0.8 pts (now 97%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNC made the numbers' call on 10 of 11CLEM made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 10:02UNC 4th & 1 at CLEM 16, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.7%−0.2
    81% to make
    Punt
    18.0%−0.8
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:03UNC 4th & 5 at UNC 30, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.7%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:53CLEM 4th & 4 at CLEM 49, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 81.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    81.1%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:55UNC 4th & 14 at UNC 3, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.3%−0.9
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.2%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:20CLEM 4th & 1 at UNC 26, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 86.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    85.3%−1.0
    64% to make
    Punt
    82.7%−3.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:50UNC 4th & 13 at UNC 21, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.2%−1.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:59CLEM 4th & 20 at UNC 36, up 25
    Close callPunted · 94.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.6%−0.4
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    94.0%
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    93.9%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:18UNC 4th & 13 at UNC 6, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%−1.4
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.9%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:28UNC 4th & 9 at UNC 38, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.4%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.5%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:31CLEM 4th & 3 at CLEM 39, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.0%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:57UNC 4th & 11 at CLEM 32, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.5%
    51% to make
    Punt
    1.4%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:01CLEM 4th & 13 at CLEM 29, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.7%
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:40UNC 4th & 4 at CLEM 36, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    0.9%−0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    0.9%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:40UNC 4th & 4 at CLEM 36, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    0.9%−0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    0.9%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:20CLEM 4th & 9 at UNC 9, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.3%
    89% to make
    Punt
    98.9%−0.5
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:35CLEM 4th & 5 at UNC 34, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.7%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−<0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:37UNC 4th & 7 at UNC 33, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  18. Q4 4:37UNC 4th & 7 at UNC 33, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  19. Q4 1:47CLEM 4th & 7 at UNC 34, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−<0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    99.7%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNC made the numbers' call on 1 of 1CLEM made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 14:49CLEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:54CLEM Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:15CLEM Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 0:01CLEM Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:02CLEM Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:25UNC Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CLEMDrive 1TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
12.6%
Antonio Williams pass complete to T.J. Moore for 75 yds for a TD (Nolan Hauser KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 2FG
12 plays · 58 yds · 4:3913% → 15%
Q1 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
12.7%
PENALTY CU Disconcerting Signals (Brown,Sammy) 5 yards from UNC26 to UNC31. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:37
1ST & 5
OWN 31
+4
12.7%
Max Johnson pass complete to Demon June for 4 yds Demon June fumbled, recovered by UNCSimilar
Q1 14:16
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+1
12.8%
Demon June run for 1 yd to the UNC 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
13.0%
Max Johnson pass complete to Jordan Shipp for 7 yds to the UNC 43Similar
Q1 12:49
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+21
13.3%
Max Johnson pass complete to Jordan Shipp for 21 yds to the CLEM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:01
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
13.6%
Benjamin Hall run for 3 yds to the CLEM 33Similar
Q1 11:19
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+8
13.9%
Max Johnson pass complete to Shanard Clower for 8 yds to the CLEM 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:43
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
14.1%
Benjamin Hall run for 9 yds to the CLEM 16Similar
Q1 10:08
2ND & 1
OPP 16
0
14.3%
Max Johnson pass incomplete to Jordan ShippSimilar
Q1 10:04
3RD & 1
OPP 16
0
14.2%
Max Johnson pass incomplete to Kobe PaysourSimilar
Q1 10:02
4TH & 1
OPP 16
+35
14.6%
Rece Verhoff 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 3TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:0186% → 87%
Q1 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
14.5%
Adam Randall run for 4 yds to the CLEM 29Similar
Q1 9:20
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+36
14.7%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Bryant Wesco Jr. for 36 yds to the UNC 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+35
13.4%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Adam Randall for 35 yds for a TD (Nolan Hauser KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:4114% → 14%
Q1 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
14.0%
Max Johnson pass complete to Jordan Shipp for 7 yds to the UNC 32Similar
Q1 8:14
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
14.2%
Demon June run for no gain to the UNC 32Similar
Q1 7:32
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-2
14.3%
North Carolina Penalty, Illegal Formation (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 7:03
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
14.2%
Tom Maginness punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CLEM 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 5TD
6 plays · 57 yds · 2:3686% → 89%
Q1 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
13.9%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Gideon Davidson for 4 yds to the CLEM 39Similar
Q1 6:15
2ND & 14
OWN 39
+4
14.2%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Tristan Smith for 4 yds to the CLEM 35Similar
Q1 5:30
3RD & 18
OWN 35
+14
14.7%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to T.J. Moore for 14 yds to the CLEM 49Similar
Q1 4:53
4TH & 4
OWN 49
+6
14.5%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Bryant Wesco Jr. for 6 yds to the UNC 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+45
11.2%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Christian Bentancur for 45 yds for a TD (Nolan Hauser KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 0:4712% → 12%
Q1 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-1
11.7%
Benjamin Hall run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNC 6Similar
Q1 3:19
2ND & 11
OWN 6
0
11.6%
Max Johnson pass incomplete to Benjamin HallSimilar
Q1 3:17
3RD & 11
OWN 6
0
11.6%
Max Johnson pass incomplete to Benjamin HallSimilar
Q1 3:08
4TH & 11
OWN 6
-3
11.5%
(03:15) Maginness,Tom punt 57 yards to the CU 37 Wesco Jr.,Bryant return 4 yards to the CU 41 (Smith III,Gregory) PENALTY UNC Illegal Formation 3 yards from UNC06 to UNC03. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:55
4TH & 14
OWN 3
+17
11.5%
Tom Maginness punt for 60 yds , Bryant Wesco Jr. returns for 17 yds to the UNC 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 7TD
7 plays · 46 yds · 2:4489% → 93%
Q1 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
10.9%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Adam Randall for 7 yds to the UNC 39Similar
Q1 2:14
2ND & 3
OPP 39
+4
10.4%
Cade Klubnik run for 4 yds to the UNC 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:37
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
10.4%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Bryant Wesco Jr.Similar
Q1 1:30
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+6
10.4%
Adam Randall run for 6 yds to the UNC 29Similar
Q1 1:06
3RD & 4
OPP 29
+3
10.2%
Adam Randall run for 3 yds to the UNC 26Similar
Q1 0:20
4TH & 1
OPP 26
+3
10.4%
Peter Woods run for 3 yds to the UNC 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
6.7%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Adam Randall for 23 yds for a TD (Nolan Hauser KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:587% → 6%
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
6.7%
Max Johnson pass complete to Demon June for no gain to the UNC 24Similar
Q2 14:09
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+2
6.5%
Max Johnson pass complete to Jordan Shipp for 2 yds to the UNC 22Similar
Q2 13:26
3RD & 12
OWN 22
-1
6.3%
Max Johnson pass complete to Demon June for a loss of 1 yard to the UNC 21Similar
Q2 12:50
4TH & 13
OWN 21
0
6.1%
Tom Maginness punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 9PUNT
12 plays · 23 yds · 5:3894% → 95%
Q2 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+19
6.2%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Tristan Smith for 19 yds to the UNC 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
5.9%
Gideon Davidson run for 4 yds to the UNC 36Similar
Q2 11:29
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+3
5.1%
Gideon Davidson run for 3 yds to the UNC 33Similar
Q2 10:46
3RD & 3
OPP 33
+7
5.0%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to T.J. Moore for 7 yds to the UNC 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:08
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
4.9%
(10:13) No Huddle-Shotgun Klubnik,Cade pass complete deep left to Wesco Jr.,Bryant caught at UNC00, for 26 yards to the UNC00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 10:08 PENALTY CU Ineligible Downfield on Pass declined CU Holding declined CU Pass Interference (Wesco Jr.,Bryant) 15 yards from UNC26 to UNC41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:02
1ST & 25
OPP 41
-7
5.0%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Antonio Williams for 3 yds to the UNC 38 Clemson Penalty, Offensive Holding (Christian Bentancur) to the UNC 48Similar
Q2 9:37
1ST & 32
OPP 48
-10
4.9%
Clemson Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the CLEM 44Similar
Q2 9:09
1ST & 40
OWN 44
+1
4.9%
Gideon Davidson run for 1 yd to the CLEM 45Similar
Q2 8:23
2ND & 39
OWN 45
+9
4.8%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to T.J. Moore for 9 yds to the UNC 46Similar
Q2 7:37
3RD & 30
OPP 46
+10
4.7%
Gideon Davidson run for 10 yds to the UNC 36Similar
Q2 6:59
4TH & 20
OPP 36
0
4.7%
Nolan Hauser punt for 27 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:323% → 2%
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-7
2.8%
Max Johnson sacked by Stephiylan Green for a loss of 7 yards to the UNC 2Similar
Q2 6:08
2ND & 17
OWN 2
+4
2.4%
Max Johnson run for 4 yds to the UNC 6Similar
Q2 5:25
3RD & 13
OWN 6
0
2.3%
Max Johnson pass incomplete to Benjamin HallSimilar
Q2 5:18
4TH & 13
OWN 6
0
2.3%
Tom Maginness punt for 31 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 11TD
6 plays · 37 yds · 3:0396% → 97%
Q2 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
3.9%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to David Eziomume for 4 yds to the UNC 33Similar
Q2 4:41
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+7
3.5%
Cade Klubnik run for 7 yds to the UNC 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:56
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-1
3.5%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Ian Schieffelin for a loss of 1 yard to the UNC 27Similar
Q2 3:25
2ND & 11
OPP 27
+16
3.6%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Antonio Williams for 16 yds to the UNC 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
3.3%
David Eziomume run for 3 yds to the UNC 8Similar
Q2 2:02
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+8
2.6%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Christian Bentancur for 8 yds for a TD (Nolan Hauser KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 12PUNT
9 plays · 13 yds · 0:282% → 2%
Q2 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
2.4%
Max Johnson pass complete to Jake Johnson for 8 yds to the UNC 33Similar
Q2 1:52
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+4
2.0%
Max Johnson run for 4 yds to the UNC 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
2.4%
Max Johnson pass incomplete to Kobe PaysourSimilar
Q2 1:41
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+1
2.3%
Max Johnson run for 1 yd to the UNC 38Similar
Q2 1:35
3RD & 9
OWN 38
0
2.4%
Max Johnson pass incomplete to Javarius GreenSimilar
Q2 1:28
4TH & 9
OWN 38
0
2.4%
Tom Maginness punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Bryant Wesco Jr. at the CLEM 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:4497% → 97%
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
2.7%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Josh Sapp for 9 yds to the CLEM 29Similar
Q2 1:03
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+3
2.6%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to T.J. Moore for 3 yds to the CLEM 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 10
OWN 32
-7
2.3%
Cade Klubnik sacked by CJ Mims for a loss of 7 yards to the CLEM 25Similar
Q2 0:36
3RD & 17
OWN 25
+14
3.5%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Tristan Smith for 14 yds to the CLEM 39Similar
Q2 0:31
4TH & 3
OWN 39
0
3.4%
Jack Smith punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Will Hardy at the UNC 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · 14 yds · 0:242% → 1%
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+8
1.6%
Max Johnson pass complete to Jordan Shipp for 8 yds to the UNC 26Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 2
OWN 26
+6
1.4%
Max Johnson pass complete to Davion Gause for 6 yds to the UNC 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 15MISSED FG
17 plays · 43 yds · 6:502% → 1%
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
2.3%
Max Johnson pass complete to Kobe Paysour for 10 yds to the UNC 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
2.4%
Max Johnson pass complete to Javarius Green for 6 yds to the UNC 41Similar
Q3 13:30
2ND & 4
OWN 41
-10
2.3%
(13:36) Shotgun June,Demon rush right for 3 yards gain to the UNC44 (Brown,Sammy) PENALTY UNC Holding (Moore,Jakai) 10 yards from UNC41 to UNC31. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:59
2ND & 14
OWN 31
+16
2.1%
Max Johnson pass complete to Javarius Green for 16 yds to the UNC 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
2.3%
Demon June run for 1 yd to the UNC 48Similar
Q3 11:48
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+2
2.0%
Max Johnson pass complete to Shanard Clower for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 11:10
3RD & 7
50
+8
1.9%
Max Johnson run for 8 yds to the CLEM 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:32
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+10
2.0%
Clemson Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 10:04
1ST & 18
50
0
1.8%
Max Johnson pass incomplete to Jake JohnsonSimilar
Q3 9:51
2ND & 18
50
+14
1.7%
Max Johnson pass complete to Benjamin Hall for 14 yds to the CLEM 36Similar
Q3 9:12
3RD & 4
OPP 36
+10
1.5%
(09:20) Shotgun Johnson,Max pass complete short left to Shipp,Jordan caught at CU 41, for 2 yards to the CU 34 (Strozier,Branden) PENALTY UNC Holding (Green,Javarius) 10 yards from CU 36 to CU 46. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:47
3RD & 14
OPP 46
+15
1.4%
PENALTY CU Personal Foul (Strozier,Branden) 15 yards from CU 46 to CU 31, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
1.5%
Max Johnson pass incomplete to Benjamin HallSimilar
Q3 8:41
2ND & 10
OPP 31
-1
1.5%
Demon June run for a loss of 1 yard to the CLEM 32Similar
Q3 8:01
3RD & 11
OPP 32
0
1.4%
Max Johnson pass incomplete to Kobe PaysourSimilar
Q3 7:57
4TH & 11
OPP 32
+50
1.3%
Rece Verhoff 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:4999% → 99%
Q3 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
1.3%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Antonio Williams for 3 yds to the CLEM 35Similar
Q3 7:19
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+2
1.2%
Adam Randall run for 2 yds to the CLEM 37Similar
Q3 6:43
3RD & 5
OWN 37
-8
1.1%
Cade Klubnik sacked by Andrew Simpson for a loss of 8 yards to the CLEM 29Similar
Q3 6:01
4TH & 13
OWN 29
0
1.2%
Jack Smith punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Will Hardy at the UNC 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 17DOWNS
8 plays · 40 yds · 2:111% → 1%
Q3 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
1.1%
Max Johnson pass complete to Demon June for 4 yds to the UNC 28Similar
Q3 5:16
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+15
0.9%
(05:19) Shotgun Johnson,Max pass incomplete short left thrown to UNC31 QB hurried by Green,Stephiylan and McCloud,Kobe PENALTY CU Roughing The Passer (Green,Stephiylan) 15 yards from UNC28 to UNC43, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+15
1.0%
Demon June run for 15 yds to the CLEM 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:29
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
1.0%
Max Johnson pass incomplete to Benjamin HallSimilar
Q3 4:21
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+6
1.0%
Nathan Leacock run for 6 yds to the CLEM 36Similar
Q3 3:46
3RD & 4
OPP 36
0
0.9%
Max Johnson pass incomplete to Chris CulliverSimilar
Q3 3:40
4TH & 4
OPP 36
0
0.9%
Max Johnson pass incomplete to Kobe PaysourSimilar
Q3 3:40
4TH & 4
OPP 36
0
0.9%
Max Johnson pass incomplete to Kobe PaysourSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 18FG
17 plays · 55 yds · 5:1699% → 100%
Q3 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
0.8%
Adam Randall run for 1 yd to the CLEM 37Similar
Q3 2:56
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+2
0.8%
Christopher Vizzina run for 2 yds to the CLEM 39Similar
Q3 2:10
3RD & 7
OWN 39
-15
0.6%
(02:21) No Huddle-Shotgun Vizzina,Christopher pass intercepted by Gibson,Gavin at UNC33 QB hurried by Simpson,Andrew Gibson,Gavin return 18 yards to the CU 49 (Sadler,Collin) PENALTY UNC Pass Interference (Allen,Marcus) 15 yards from CU 39 to UNC46, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
0.5%
Christopher Vizzina pass complete to Antonio Williams for no gain to the UNC 46Similar
Q3 1:21
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+15
0.5%
Christopher Vizzina pass complete to Antonio Williams for 15 yds to the UNC 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+9
0.5%
Adam Randall run for 9 yds to the UNC 22Similar
Q3 0:45
2ND & 1
OPP 22
0
0.5%
Christopher Vizzina pass incomplete to Josh SappSimilar
Q3 0:40
3RD & 1
OPP 22
+2
0.5%
Adam Randall run for 2 yds to the UNC 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+8
0.4%
Christopher Vizzina pass complete to Adam Randall for 8 yds to the UNC 12Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 2
OPP 12
0
0.4%
Christopher Vizzina pass incomplete to Tristan SmithSimilar
Q4 14:49
3RD & 2
OPP 12
+3
0.5%
Adam Randall run for 3 yds to the UNC 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
0.4%
Christopher Vizzina pass incomplete to Ian SchieffelinSimilar
Q4 14:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
0.4%
Christopher Vizzina run for no gain to the UNC 9Similar
Q4 13:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
0.4%
Christopher Vizzina pass incomplete to Antonio WilliamsSimilar
Q4 13:20
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+27
0.5%
Nolan Hauser 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 19TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:480% → 0%
Q4 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
0.3%
Max Johnson pass complete to Shanard Clower for 11 yds to the UNC 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
0.3%
(12:52) Shotgun Johnson,Max pass incomplete deep left to Green,Javarius thrown to CU 35 PENALTY CU Pass Interference (Lukus,Jeadyn) 15 yards from UNC36 to CU 49, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
0.3%
Max Johnson pass complete to Jake Johnson for 6 yds to the CLEM 43Similar
Q4 12:05
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+18
0.2%
Max Johnson pass complete to Nathan Leacock for 18 yds to the CLEM 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
0.3%
PENALTY UNC False Start (Leacock,Nathan) 5 yards from CU 25 to CU 30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:58
1ST & 15
OPP 30
+19
0.2%
Max Johnson pass complete to Jordan Owens for 19 yds to the CLEM 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
0.3%
Benjamin Hall run for 11 yds for a TD (Rece Verhoff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 20DOWNS
11 plays · 38 yds · 4:37100% → 100%
Q4 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
0.3%
Gideon Davidson run for 4 yds to the CLEM 36Similar
Q4 9:40
2ND & 6
OWN 36
-1
0.3%
Gideon Davidson run for a loss of 1 yard to the CLEM 35Similar
Q4 9:00
3RD & 7
OWN 35
-15
0.3%
(09:04) No Huddle-Shotgun Vizzina,Christopher pass incomplete deep left to Brown,Tyler thrown to UNC39 PENALTY UNC Pass Interference (Miller,Tre) 15 yards from CU 35 to CU 50, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:48
1ST & 10
50
+5
0.2%
Christopher Vizzina pass complete to Tyler Brown for 5 yds to the UNC 45Similar
Q4 8:10
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+4
0.2%
Gideon Davidson run for 4 yds to the UNC 41Similar
Q4 7:31
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+2
0.2%
David Eziomume run for 2 yds to the UNC 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:57
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-2
0.2%
Cole Turner run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNC 41Similar
Q4 6:19
2ND & 12
OPP 41
0
0.2%
Christopher Vizzina pass incomplete to Cole TurnerSimilar
Q4 6:10
3RD & 12
OPP 41
+7
0.2%
Christopher Vizzina pass complete to Cole Turner for 7 yds to the UNC 34Similar
Q4 5:35
4TH & 5
OPP 34
+4
0.2%
Christopher Vizzina pass complete to Tyler Brown for 4 yds to the UNC 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:530% → 0%
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
0.1%
Max Johnson pass complete to Shanard Clower for 3 yds to the UNC 33Similar
Q4 4:52
2ND & 7
OWN 33
0
0.1%
Max Johnson pass incomplete to Shanard ClowerSimilar
Q4 4:47
3RD & 7
OWN 33
0
0.1%
North Carolina Penalty, Illegal Formation (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 4:37
4TH & 7
OWN 33
+10
0.1%
Tom Maginness punt for 44 yds , Chase Byrd returns for 10 yds to the CLEM 33Similar
Q4 4:37
4TH & 7
OWN 33
+10
0.1%
Tom Maginness punt for 44 yds , Chase Byrd returns for 10 yds to the CLEM 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 22FUMBLE
9 plays · 61 yds · 3:06100% → 100%
Q4 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
0.2%
Keith Adams Jr. run for 9 yds to the CLEM 42Similar
Q4 4:04
2ND & 1
OWN 42
+8
0.2%
Keith Adams Jr. run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:22
1ST & 10
50
+4
0.2%
Trent Pearman run for 4 yds to the UNC 46Similar
Q4 2:52
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+9
0.2%
David Eziomume run for 9 yds to the UNC 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:08
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
0.1%
Trent Pearman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:02
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+3
0.1%
Keith Adams Jr. run for 3 yds to the UNC 34Similar
Q4 1:53
3RD & 7
OPP 34
0
0.1%
Trent Pearman pass incomplete to Chase ByrdSimilar
Q4 1:47
4TH & 7
OPP 34
+31
0.2%
Trent Pearman pass complete to Clark Sanderson for 31 yds to the UNC 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-3
0.1%
Trent Pearman run for a loss of 3 yards to the UNC 6 Trent Pearman fumbled, recovered by UNC Nicco MaggioSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 23END OF GAME
8 plays · 41 yds · 1:140% → 0%
Q4 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+3
0.1%
Jaylen McGill run for 3 yds to the UNC 9Similar
Q4 0:34
2ND & 7
OWN 9
+7
0.1%
Max Johnson pass complete to Connor Cox for 7 yds to the UNC 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
0.1%
Max Johnson pass complete to Connor Cox for 4 yds to the UNC 20Similar
Q4 0:10
2ND & 6
OWN 20
0
0.1%
Max Johnson pass incomplete to Shanard ClowerSimilar
Q4 0:01
3RD & 6
OWN 20
+11
0.1%
Max Johnson pass complete to Jaylen McGill for 11 yds to the UNC 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+16
0.0%
Max Johnson pass complete to Jake Johnson for 16 yds to the UNC 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 0:01
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Adam Randall for 23 yds for a TD (Nolan Hauser KICK)
-3.7
TD · Q1 4:15
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Christian Bentancur for 45 yds for a TD (Nolan Hauser KICK)
-3.3
TD · Q1 8:54
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Adam Randall for 35 yds for a TD (Nolan Hauser KICK)
-1.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com