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SJSU

San José State 29 at Stanford 30

STAN
2025 · Week 5 · Sep 27, 2025 · Stanford Stadium
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Win probability · STAN
modelSTAN aheadSJSU aheadconfidence bandkey playSTAN scoreSJSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 13:12 · Trent Carrizosa punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Liam Thorpe at the STAN 20
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+27.5+13.80−13.8−27.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 45Home team on offense−1.7Pregame prior+7.5Garbage-time factor−0.1Score differential−1.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:06: Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Sam Roush for 15 yds for a TD (Emmet Kenney KICK) — STAN win probability +15.2 pts (now 67%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:59: Walker Eget pass complete to Kyri Shoels for 29 yds for a TD (Denis Lynch KICK) — SJSU win probability +13.6 pts (now 53%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:15: Walker Eget pass complete to Danny Scudero for 5 yds for a TD — SJSU win probability +12.9 pts (now 85%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:19: Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Myles Libman for 14 yds for a TD (Emmet Kenney KICK) — STAN win probability +19.9 pts (now 43%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:19: Sedrick Irvin run for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — STAN win probability +70.5 pts (now 89%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
STAN made the numbers' call on 7 of 9SJSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 4:46SJSU 4th & 15 at STAN 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 36.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.5%−0.5
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.0%
    70% to make
    Punt
    34.7%−1.3
    average punt
  2. Q2 14:49STAN 4th & 12 at STAN 23, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.9%−1.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.1%
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:12SJSU 4th & 10 at SJSU 34, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.7%−0.9
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:26STAN 4th & 2 at STAN 39, down 3
    Close callPunted · 56.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.9%−0.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:59SJSU 4th & 6 at STAN 18, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 45.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.1%−0.3
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.4%
    79% to make
    Punt
    40.3%−5.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:27STAN 4th & 24 at STAN 20, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.9%−2.9
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:59SJSU 4th & 5 at STAN 10, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 56.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.2%−0.8
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.9%
    88% to make
    Punt
    49.5%−6.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:16STAN 4th & 10 at SJSU 41, down 6
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.2 ptsPunted · 47.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.3%−0.8
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    48.0%
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    46.8%−1.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:06SJSU 4th & 7 at STAN 29, up 6
    Close callWent for it · 56.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    56.3%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    56.6%
    58% to make
    Punt
    49.8%−6.8
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:48STAN 4th & 1 at SJSU 25, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 47.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    47.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    44.4%−3.2
    66% to make
    Punt
    35.0%−12.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:42STAN 4th & 1 at SJSU 8, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 46.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    46.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    42.5%−4.2
    90% to make
    Punt
    30.5%−16.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:50SJSU 4th & 1 at STAN 12, up 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 64.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.7%−3.1
    86% to make
    Punt
    50.4%−13.4
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:58STAN 4th & 9 at STAN 21, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.9%−3.5
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.5%
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:51SJSU 4th & 10 at STAN 13, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 71.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.4%−2.6
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.0%
    85% to make
    Punt
    51.7%−18.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:54STAN 4th & 10 at SJSU 18, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 17.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.4%−5.4
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.8%
    79% to make
    Punt
    7.6%−12.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:45SJSU 4th & 15 at SJSU 47, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.0%−2.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.5%
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:12STAN 4th & 10 at STAN 41, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.4%
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    12.1%−2.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
STAN made the numbers' call on 4 of 4SJSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 7:42STAN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:55SJSU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:06STAN Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:59SJSU Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 12:19STAN Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.7%−0.3
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 0:19STAN Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    78.5%−2.3
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    80.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
STANDrive 1TD
16 plays · 81 yds · 7:0661% → 64%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-10
60.5%
(14:53) Shotgun Ford,Micah rush middle for 2 yards gain to the STAN21 (Latu,Taniela) PENALTY STAN Illegal Use Of Hands (Prongos,Niki) 10 yards from STAN19 to STAN09. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:21
1ST & 20
OWN 9
+6
60.4%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Bryce Farrell for 6 yds to the STAN 15Similar
Q1 13:44
2ND & 14
OWN 15
+15
60.5%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to CJ Williams for 15 yds to the STAN 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
60.5%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Micah Ford for 5 yds to the STAN 35Similar
Q1 12:33
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+15
60.6%
Cole Tabb run for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:08
1ST & 10
50
+5
60.8%
(12:13) No Huddle-Shotgun Ford,Micah rush left for 11 yards gain to the SJSU39 fumbled by Ford,Micah at SJSU39 forced by Apalit-Williams,Jalen recovered by SJSU Revis,Isiah at SJSU39, End Of Play PENALTY SJSU Illegal Substitution (Thomas,Jaylen) 5 yards from STAN50 to SJSU45. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:46
1ST & 5
OPP 45
-10
60.9%
(11:50) Tabb,Cole rush left for 10 yards gain to the SJSU35 (McNeal-Franklin,Noah), out of bounds PENALTY STAN Holding (Roush,Sam) 10 yards from SJSU45 to STAN45. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:19
1ST & 15
OWN 45
-5
60.7%
Ben Gulbranson sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the STAN 40Similar
Q1 10:47
2ND & 20
OWN 40
+5
60.6%
PENALTY SJSU Delay Of Game (Stearns,Justin) 5 yards from STAN40 to STAN45. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:24
2ND & 15
OWN 45
+21
60.6%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Sam Roush for 21 yds to the SJSU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
61.2%
Cole Tabb run for 4 yds to the SJSU 30Similar
Q1 9:18
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+12
61.3%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Jordan Onovughe for 12 yds to the SJSU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+9
61.2%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to CJ Williams for 9 yds to the SJSU 9Similar
Q1 8:23
2ND & 1
OPP 9
+1
61.3%
Cole Tabb run for 1 yd to the SJSU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
63.8%
Cole Tabb run for 8 yds for a TD (Emmet Kenney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 2FG
9 plays · 61 yds · 2:3537% → 38%
Q1 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+15
63.1%
Walker Eget pass complete to Leland Smith for 15 yds to the SJSU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
63.1%
Walker Eget pass complete to Kyri Shoels for 7 yds to the SJSU 38Similar
Q1 6:28
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+44
62.7%
Walker Eget pass complete to Jackson Canaan for 44 yds to the STAN 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
62.2%
Walker Eget pass incomplete to Jackson CanaanSimilar
Q1 5:43
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
62.3%
Floyd Chalk IV run for no gain to the STAN 18Similar
Q1 5:06
3RD & 10
OPP 18
-5
63.0%
PENALTY SJSU False Start (Chalk,Floyd) 5 yards from STAN18 to STAN23. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:51
3RD & 15
OPP 23
0
63.6%
Walker Eget pass incomplete to Jackson CanaanSimilar
Q1 4:46
4TH & 15
OPP 23
+41
62.3%
Denis Lynch 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 3FUMBLE
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:1062% → 62%
Q1 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
61.7%
Cole Tabb run for 4 yds to the STAN 29Similar
Q1 4:08
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
61.8%
Cole Tabb run for 3 yds to the STAN 32Similar
Q1 3:32
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-8
61.7%
Ben Gulbranson sacked by Taniela Latu for a loss of 8 yards to the STAN 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 4TD
5 plays · 24 yds · 1:5040% → 44%
Q1 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
59.8%
Walker Eget pass incomplete to Cooper HochSimilar
Q1 2:35
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+5
59.7%
Walker Eget pass complete to Kyri Shoels for 5 yds to the STAN 19Similar
Q1 2:02
3RD & 5
OPP 19
+9
60.0%
Walker Eget pass complete to Kyri Shoels for 9 yds to the STAN 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
59.4%
Walker Eget pass complete to Walker Eget for no gain to the STAN 10Similar
Q1 0:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
56.0%
Walker Eget pass complete to Danny Scudero for 10 yds for a TD (Denis Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 1:0058% → 56%
Q1 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
57.5%
Micah Ford run for 1 yd to the STAN 26Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
57.3%
Micah Ford run for 2 yds to the STAN 28Similar
Q2 14:59
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-5
56.7%
(14:58) PENALTY STAN False Start (Anderson,Fisher) 5 yards from STAN28 to STAN23. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
56.5%
Ben Gulbranson pass incomplete to CJ WilliamsSimilar
Q2 14:49
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
56.2%
Aidan Flintoft punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Jaylen Thomas at the SJSU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:3143% → 42%
Q2 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
56.7%
Walker Eget pass incomplete to Danny ScuderoSimilar
Q2 14:36
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+7
57.0%
Walker Eget pass complete to Jackson Canaan for 7 yds to the SJSU 41Similar
Q2 13:42
3RD & 3
OWN 41
+7
56.0%
Walker Eget pass complete to Danny Scudero for 7 yds to the SJSU 34Similar
Q2 13:12
4TH & 10
OWN 34
0
58.0%
Trent Carrizosa punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Liam Thorpe at the STAN 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 2:3257% → 56%
Q2 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
56.9%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to CJ Williams for 11 yds to the STAN 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
57.1%
Cole Tabb run for 4 yds to the STAN 35Similar
Q2 11:52
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+2
57.8%
Cole Tabb run for 2 yds to the STAN 37Similar
Q2 11:03
3RD & 4
OWN 37
+2
57.3%
Tuna Altahir run for 2 yds to the STAN 39Similar
Q2 10:26
4TH & 2
OWN 39
0
56.2%
Aidan Flintoft punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SJSU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 8FG
10 plays · 52 yds · 2:1244% → 52%
Q2 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+33
55.7%
Walker Eget pass complete to Kyri Shoels for 33 yds to the STAN 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:38
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+15
53.6%
(09:44) No Huddle-Shotgun Eget,Walker pass incomplete deep left to Smith,Leland thrown to STAN02 QB hurried by Staples,Omar PENALTY STAN Pass Interference (Morris,Aaron) 15 yards from STAN37 to STAN22, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
52.6%
Walker Eget pass incomplete to Danny ScuderoSimilar
Q2 9:27
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+7
52.9%
Walker Eget pass complete to Danny Scudero for 7 yds to the STAN 15Similar
Q2 8:57
3RD & 3
OPP 15
-5
53.2%
(08:57) PENALTY SJSU False Start (Moleni,Daniel) 5 yards from STAN15 to STAN20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:13
3RD & 8
OPP 20
+2
52.3%
Walker Eget pass complete to Matthew Coleman for 2 yds to the STAN 18Similar
Q2 7:59
4TH & 6
OPP 18
+36
47.9%
Denis Lynch 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 9TD
8 plays · 77 yds · 3:4150% → 67%
Q2 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
50.3%
Micah Ford run for 3 yds to the STAN 26Similar
Q2 7:06
2ND & 7
OWN 26
-1
50.0%
Micah Ford run for a loss of 1 yard to the STAN 25Similar
Q2 6:25
3RD & 8
OWN 25
+9
49.0%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to CJ Williams for 9 yds to the STAN 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+29
49.7%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Caden High for 29 yds to the SJSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:17
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
51.9%
Tuna Altahir run for 1 yd to the SJSU 36Similar
Q2 4:44
2ND & 9
OPP 36
+21
51.6%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Caden High for 21 yds to the SJSU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
66.8%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Sam Roush for 15 yds for a TD (Emmet Kenney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 10TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:5836% → 53%
Q2 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
64.5%
Walker Eget pass complete to Leland Smith for 11 yds to the SJSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
63.9%
(03:31) PENALTY SJSU False Start (Nomani,Sione) 5 yards from SJSU36 to SJSU31. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:03
1ST & 15
OWN 31
+37
64.7%
Walker Eget pass complete to Leland Smith for 37 yds to the STAN 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
60.7%
Walker Eget pass complete to Danny Scudero for 3 yds to the STAN 29Similar
Q2 1:59
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+29
47.2%
Walker Eget pass complete to Kyri Shoels for 29 yds for a TD (Denis Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · -14 yds · 0:2255% → 54%
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-6
54.6%
Ben Gulbranson sacked by Gafa Faga for a loss of 6 yards to the STAN 28Similar
Q2 1:42
2ND & 16
OWN 28
0
54.4%
Ben Gulbranson pass incomplete to Bryce FarrellSimilar
Q2 1:36
3RD & 16
OWN 28
-8
53.9%
Ben Gulbranson sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the STAN 20Similar
Q2 1:27
4TH & 24
OWN 20
0
53.6%
Aidan Flintoft punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Jaylen Thomas at the SJSU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 12MISSED FG
6 plays · 48 yds · 0:2146% → 46%
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+43
54.4%
Walker Eget pass complete to Danny Scudero for 43 yds to the STAN 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
52.0%
Walker Eget pass incomplete to Kyri ShoelsSimilar
Q2 1:08
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+5
51.9%
Walker Eget pass complete to Tuli Tagovailoa-Amosa for 5 yds to the STAN 10Similar
Q2 1:03
3RD & 5
OPP 10
0
52.5%
Walker Eget pass incomplete to Danny ScuderoSimilar
Q2 0:59
4TH & 5
OPP 10
+28
54.2%
Denis Lynch 28 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 39 yds · 0:3654% → 42%
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+19
54.0%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to CJ Williams for 19 yds to the STAN 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+20
55.0%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Caden High for 20 yds to the SJSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
57.3%
Ben Gulbranson pass incomplete to Caden HighSimilar
Q2 0:36
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
57.1%
(00:40) No Huddle-Shotgun Gulbranson,Ben pass incomplete deep right to Roush,Sam thrown to SJSU10 PENALTY STAN Holding offsetting SJSU Pass Interference offsetting. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:29
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
57.1%
Ben Gulbranson pass incomplete to CJ WilliamsSimilar
Q2 0:24
3RD & 10
OPP 41
0
56.0%
Ben Gulbranson pass incomplete to Sam RoushSimilar
Q2 0:16
4TH & 10
OPP 41
0
42.4%
Aidan Flintoft punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
56.4%
(00:16) Kneel down by San Jose St. at SJSU19 for loss of 1 yard.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 15DOWNS
9 plays · 46 yds · 2:4555% → 57%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
45.0%
Walker Eget pass complete to Kyri Shoels for 13 yds to the SJSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:24
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
43.1%
Walker Eget pass incomplete to Jackson CanaanSimilar
Q3 14:11
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+15
43.1%
Walker Eget pass complete to Kyri Shoels for 15 yds to the STAN 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+15
41.8%
(13:44) No Huddle-Shotgun Eget,Walker pass incomplete deep left to Smith,Leland thrown to STAN25 PENALTY STAN Pass Interference (Morris,Aaron) 15 yards from STAN47 to STAN32, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:33
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-2
41.4%
Jabari Bates run for a loss of 2 yards to the STAN 34Similar
Q3 12:53
2ND & 12
OPP 34
0
40.9%
Walker Eget pass incomplete to Danny ScuderoSimilar
Q3 12:46
3RD & 12
OPP 34
+5
42.0%
Walker Eget pass complete to Leland Smith for 5 yds to the STAN 29Similar
Q3 12:06
4TH & 7
OPP 29
0
43.4%
Walker Eget pass incomplete to Leland SmithSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 16DOWNS
10 plays · 60 yds · 4:1747% → 47%
Q3 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+24
46.7%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to CJ Williams for 24 yds to the SJSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+13
50.0%
(11:37) No Huddle-Shotgun Gulbranson,Ben pass incomplete short right to High,Caden thrown to SJSU34, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY SJSU Pass Interference (Apalit-Williams,Jalen) 13 yards from SJSU47 to SJSU34, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
51.5%
Cole Tabb run for 1 yd to the SJSU 33Similar
Q3 10:42
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+7
51.3%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Sam Roush for 7 yds to the SJSU 26Similar
Q3 10:22
3RD & 2
OPP 26
+1
49.5%
Cole Tabb run for 1 yd to the SJSU 25Similar
Q3 9:48
4TH & 1
OPP 25
+8
47.7%
Micah Ford run for 8 yds to the SJSU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:04
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
51.0%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Micah Ford for 1 yd to the SJSU 16Similar
Q3 8:32
2ND & 9
OPP 16
0
50.8%
Ben Gulbranson pass incomplete to Sam RoushSimilar
Q3 8:12
3RD & 9
OPP 16
+8
48.7%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to CJ Williams for 8 yds to the SJSU 8Similar
Q3 7:42
4TH & 1
OPP 8
-3
46.8%
Micah Ford run for a loss of 3 yards to the SJSU 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 17MISSED FG
15 plays · 77 yds · 3:4860% → 66%
Q3 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
40.3%
Walker Eget pass incomplete to Danny ScuderoSimilar
Q3 7:34
2ND & 10
OWN 11
0
40.7%
Walker Eget pass incomplete to Jackson CanaanSimilar
Q3 7:29
3RD & 10
OWN 11
+5
41.5%
(07:32) No Huddle-Shotgun Eget,Walker pass incomplete short left to Tagovailoa-Amosa,Tuli thrown to SJSU23 PENALTY STAN Offside (Tafiti,Tevarua) 5 yards from SJSU11 to SJSU16. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:17
3RD & 5
OWN 16
+5
41.2%
Walker Eget pass complete to Danny Scudero for 5 yds to the SJSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
37.4%
Walker Eget pass incomplete to Tuli Tagovailoa-AmosaSimilar
Q3 6:53
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+23
38.0%
Walker Eget pass complete to Danny Scudero for 23 yds to the STAN 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
35.1%
Walker Eget pass incomplete to Danny ScuderoSimilar
Q3 6:33
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
35.2%
Walker Eget pass incomplete to Danny ScuderoSimilar
Q3 6:29
3RD & 10
OPP 41
+5
35.5%
(06:32) No Huddle-Shotgun Eget,Walker pass incomplete short right to Tagovailoa-Amosa,Tuli thrown to STAN30 PENALTY STAN Offside (Barth,Hunter) 5 yards from STAN41 to STAN36. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:21
3RD & 5
OPP 36
+15
35.3%
Walker Eget pass complete to Leland Smith for 15 yds to the STAN 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:43
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
33.6%
Floyd Chalk IV run for 5 yds to the STAN 16Similar
Q3 5:17
2ND & 5
OPP 16
+2
33.4%
Walker Eget pass complete to Jackson Canaan for 2 yds to the STAN 18Similar
Q3 4:32
3RD & 7
OPP 18
+6
32.8%
Walker Eget run for 6 yds to the STAN 12Similar
Q3 3:50
4TH & 1
OPP 12
+29
34.1%
Denis Lynch 29 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:4539% → 36%
Q3 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
38.6%
Cole Tabb run for 1 yd to the STAN 21Similar
Q3 3:12
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
38.0%
Ben Gulbranson pass incomplete to Sam RoushSimilar
Q3 3:07
3RD & 9
OWN 21
0
36.6%
Ben Gulbranson pass incomplete to CJ WilliamsSimilar
Q3 2:58
4TH & 9
OWN 21
+4
35.8%
Aidan Flintoft punt for 44 yds , Jaylen Thomas returns for 4 yds to the SJSU 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 19TD
8 plays · 61 yds · 3:3867% → 85%
Q3 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
32.6%
Walker Eget pass incomplete to Danny ScuderoSimilar
Q3 2:43
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+12
33.1%
Walker Eget pass complete to Jackson Canaan for 12 yds to the STAN 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:03
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+13
31.2%
Walker Eget run for 13 yds to the STAN 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
29.3%
Walker Eget pass incomplete to Leland SmithSimilar
Q3 1:15
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+4
29.4%
Floyd Chalk IV run for 4 yds to the STAN 32Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 6
OPP 32
+24
28.7%
Walker Eget pass complete to Danny Scudero for 24 yds to the STAN 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
27.4%
Tama Amisone run for 3 yds to the STAN 5Similar
Q4 14:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
14.6%
Walker Eget pass complete to Danny Scudero for 5 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 20TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:5220% → 43%
Q4 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
19.9%
Ben Gulbranson pass incomplete to CJ WilliamsSimilar
Q4 13:54
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
19.5%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Bryce Farrell for 7 yds to the STAN 32Similar
Q4 13:28
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+50
19.5%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Bryce Farrell for 50 yds to the SJSU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
22.9%
Cole Tabb run for 4 yds to the SJSU 14Similar
Q4 12:19
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+14
42.8%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Myles Libman for 14 yds for a TD (Emmet Kenney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 21FG
12 plays · 62 yds · 4:2168% → 86%
Q4 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
32.3%
Walker Eget pass complete to Danny Scudero for 7 yds to the SJSU 32Similar
Q4 11:37
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+9
28.9%
Jabari Bates run for 9 yds to the SJSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+18
27.5%
Walker Eget pass complete to Leland Smith for 18 yds to the STAN 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
25.3%
Jabari Bates run for 7 yds to the STAN 34Similar
Q4 9:51
2ND & 3
OPP 34
+3
22.9%
Jabari Bates run for 3 yds to the STAN 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+18
22.3%
Walker Eget pass complete to Jackson Canaan for 18 yds to the STAN 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:23
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
21.3%
Walker Eget pass incomplete to Kyri ShoelsSimilar
Q4 8:18
2ND & 10
OPP 13
0
21.3%
Jabari Bates run for no gain to the STAN 13Similar
Q4 7:56
3RD & 10
OPP 13
0
23.4%
Walker Eget pass incomplete to Leland SmithSimilar
Q4 7:51
4TH & 10
OPP 13
+31
13.8%
Denis Lynch 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 22FG
9 plays · 54 yds · 1:4614% → 25%
Q4 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+54
13.8%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Micah Ford for 54 yds to the SJSU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-5
18.4%
(07:19) PENALTY STAN False Start (Prongos,Niki) 5 yards from SJSU18 to SJSU23. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:55
1ST & 15
OPP 23
+6
16.4%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Caden High for 6 yds to the SJSU 17Similar
Q4 6:33
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+4
16.7%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Micah Ford for 4 yds to the SJSU 13Similar
Q4 5:59
3RD & 5
OPP 13
0
14.8%
Ben Gulbranson pass incomplete to CJ WilliamsSimilar
Q4 5:59
4TH & 5
OPP 13
-5
13.6%
PENALTY STAN Delay Of Game (Kenney,Emmet) 5 yards from SJSU13 to SJSU18. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:54
4TH & 10
OPP 18
+36
25.1%
Emmet Kenney 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 23PUNT
12 plays · 22 yds · 3:0778% → 87%
Q4 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
21.9%
Walker Eget pass incomplete to Jackson CanaanSimilar
Q4 5:44
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
22.4%
Walker Eget pass complete to Jabari Bates for 12 yds to the SJSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
17.7%
Jabari Bates run for no gain to the SJSU 37Similar
Q4 4:29
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+15
16.5%
Walker Eget pass complete to Danny Scudero for 15 yds to the STAN 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
13.6%
Floyd Chalk IV run for 4 yds to the STAN 44Similar
Q4 3:00
2ND & 16
OWN 46
+7
11.5%
Walker Eget pass complete to Kyri Shoels for 7 yds to the STAN 47Similar
Q4 2:55
3RD & 9
OPP 47
0
11.1%
Walker Eget pass incomplete to Jackson CanaanSimilar
Q4 2:55
4TH & 9
OPP 47
-6
13.5%
PENALTY SJSU Delay Of Game 6 yards from STAN47 to SJSU47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:45
4TH & 15
OWN 47
0
13.3%
Trent Carrizosa punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 24TD
15 plays · 80 yds · 2:1817% → 89%
Q4 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
16.6%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to CJ Williams for 3 yds to the STAN 23Similar
Q4 2:14
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+5
17.7%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to CJ Williams for 5 yds to the STAN 28Similar
Q4 1:55
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+2
12.6%
Micah Ford run for 2 yds to the STAN 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+11
14.1%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to CJ Williams for 11 yds to the STAN 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
14.5%
Ben Gulbranson pass incomplete to CJ WilliamsSimilar
Q4 1:22
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
13.5%
Ben Gulbranson pass incomplete to CJ WilliamsSimilar
Q4 1:18
3RD & 10
OWN 41
0
12.2%
Ben Gulbranson pass incomplete to Bryce FarrellSimilar
Q4 1:12
4TH & 10
OWN 41
+34
11.1%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Caden High for 34 yds to the SJSU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:57
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+10
19.5%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to CJ Williams for 10 yds to the SJSU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
18.8%
Ben Gulbranson pass incomplete to Caden HighSimilar
Q4 0:33
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+14
18.7%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to CJ Williams for 14 yds to the SJSU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
89.2%
Sedrick Irvin run for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 25FUMBLE
5 plays · 21 yds · 0:1125% → 22%
Q4 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
75.1%
Walker Eget pass complete to Kyri Shoels for 13 yds to the SJSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
75.1%
Walker Eget pass incomplete to Leland SmithSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+8
78.5%
Walker Eget pass complete to Kyri Shoels for 8 yds Tama Amisone fumbled, recovered by SJSU Zach JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:19
Sedrick Irvin run for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
+70.5
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+21.5
TD · Q4 12:19
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Myles Libman for 14 yds for a TD (Emmet Kenney KICK)
+19.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com