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DUKE

Duke 38 at Syracuse 3

SYR
2025 · Week 5 · Sep 27, 2025 · JMA Wireless Dome
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Win probability · SYR
modelSYR aheadDUKE aheadconfidence bandkey playSYR scoreDUKE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 7:19 · Jack Stonehouse punt for 51 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+58.0+29.00−29.0−58.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 64Home team on offense−9.6Score differential−5.1Garbage-time factor−2.9Pregame prior−8.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:12: Nate Sheppard run for 49 yds for a TD (Todd Pelino KICK) — DUKE win probability +5.7 pts (now 64%) (top driver: DUKE has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:01: Darian Mensah pass complete to Cooper Barkate for 34 yds for a TD (Todd Pelino KICK) — DUKE win probability +6.3 pts (now 72%) (top driver: DUKE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:55: Darian Mensah pass complete to Cooper Barkate for 12 yds for a TD Syracuse Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Yards) declined (Todd Pelino KICK) — DUKE win probability +10.2 pts (now 89%) (top driver: DUKE has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:51: Darian Mensah pass complete to Nate Sheppard for 2 yds to the DUKE 24 — DUKE win probability +5.0 pts (now 89%) (top driver: DUKE has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 5:34: Nate Sheppard run for 12 yds for a TD (Todd Pelino KICK) — DUKE win probability +2.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: DUKE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SYR made the numbers' call on 10 of 12DUKE made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 9:42DUKE 4th & 5 at SYR 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 57.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.5%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.5%
    92% to make
    Punt
    56.8%−0.7
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:10SYR 4th & 11 at DUKE 11, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 43.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.7%−0.4
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.0%
    87% to make
    Punt
    41.2%−1.8
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:12SYR 4th & 8 at SYR 15, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.9%−0.7
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.5%
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00DUKE 4th & 10 at SYR 49, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.9%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:01SYR 4th & 1 at SYR 34, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    31.9%−0.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:19SYR 4th & 29 at SYR 17, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.6%−1.7
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:19DUKE 4th & 2 at DUKE 40, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 71.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    71.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    70.7%−0.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:19DUKE 4th & 2 at SYR 33, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 71.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    71.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    69.9%−1.6
    49% to make
    Punt
    69.0%−2.5
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:51SYR 4th & 2 at SYR 33, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.3%−0.3
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:09DUKE 4th & 11 at DUKE 24, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.4%−1.4
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.8%
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:49DUKE 4th & 18 at DUKE 49, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.0%−1.6
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.6%
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:48SYR 4th & 5 at SYR 10, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.4%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.5%
    average punt
  13. Q3 8:48SYR 4th & 5 at SYR 10, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.4%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.5%
    average punt
  14. Q3 1:37SYR 4th & 8 at DUKE 29, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.4%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    1.4%
    58% to make
    Punt
    1.1%−0.3
    average punt
  15. Q3 1:37SYR 4th & 8 at DUKE 29, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.4%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    1.4%
    58% to make
    Punt
    1.1%−0.3
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:23SYR 4th & 14 at SYR 34, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  17. Q4 9:23SYR 4th & 14 at SYR 34, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  18. Q4 4:47DUKE 4th & 6 at SYR 47, up 35
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 0:02SYR 4th & 2 at DUKE 2, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
DUKE made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 3:12DUKE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:01DUKE Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:55DUKE Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 5:34DUKE Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 11:04DUKE Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SYRDrive 1INT
6 plays · 53 yds · 1:1638% → 38%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+33
37.5%
Rickie Collins pass complete to Johntay Cook for 18 yds to the SYR 29 for a 1ST down Duke Penalty, Personal Foul (Chandler Rivers) to the SYR 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
37.7%
Will Nixon run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 14:04
2ND & 4
50
0
37.9%
Rickie Collins pass incomplete to Dan VillariSimilar
Q1 13:50
3RD & 4
50
+14
38.0%
Rickie Collins pass complete to Johntay Cook for 14 yds to the DUKE 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-40
38.2%
Rickie Collins pass intercepted Caleb Weaver return for 40 yds to the SYR 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 2FG
9 plays · 40 yds · 3:2962% → 61%
Q1 13:11
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-15
37.9%
(13:24) PENALTY DUKE Pass Interference 15 yards from SYRA45 to DUKE40. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:43
1ST & 25
OWN 40
+25
38.2%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Que'Sean Brown for 25 yds to the SYR 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
38.1%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Que'Sean Brown for 8 yds to the SYR 27Similar
Q1 12:02
2ND & 2
OPP 27
+17
38.1%
Nate Sheppard run for 17 yds to the SYR 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
38.2%
Nate Sheppard run for 2 yds to the SYR 8Similar
Q1 11:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
-15
38.3%
(11:08) PENALTY DUKE Pass Interference 15 yards from SYRA08 to SYRA23. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 23
+1
38.5%
Anderson Castle run for 1 yd to the SYR 22Similar
Q1 10:07
3RD & GOAL
OPP 22
+17
39.0%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Que'Sean Brown for 17 yds to the SYR 5Similar
Q1 9:42
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
38.8%
Todd Pelino 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 3FG
12 plays · 64 yds · 5:2139% → 41%
Q1 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
38.9%
Yasin Willis run for a loss of 3 yards to the SYR 22Similar
Q1 8:43
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+2
38.9%
Rickie Collins pass complete to Yasin Willis for 2 yds to the SYR 24Similar
Q1 7:52
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+18
38.8%
Rickie Collins pass complete to Darrell Gill Jr. for 18 yds to the SYR 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
40.0%
Will Nixon run for 3 yds to the SYR 45Similar
Q1 7:04
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+5
40.2%
Rickie Collins pass complete to Dan Villari for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 6:36
3RD & 2
50
+9
40.3%
Yasin Willis run for 9 yds to the DUKE 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:58
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+35
40.5%
Yasin Willis run for 35 yds to the DUKE 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
41.0%
Yasin Willis run for 2 yds to the DUKE 4Similar
Q1 4:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-7
41.3%
Rickie Collins sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the DUKE 11Similar
Q1 4:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
0
41.0%
Rickie Collins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:10
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+29
41.4%
Tripp Woody 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 4TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 0:4259% → 64%
Q1 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
41.1%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Nate Sheppard for 5 yds to the DUKE 30Similar
Q1 3:39
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
40.9%
Darian Mensah pass incomplete to Sahmir HagansSimilar
Q1 3:14
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+21
41.5%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Cooper Barkate for 21 yds to the SYR 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+49
35.8%
Nate Sheppard run for 49 yds for a TD (Todd Pelino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0837% → 37%
Q1 3:12
4TH & 8
OWN 15
0
36.5%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Que'Sean Brown at the DUKE 40Similar
Q1 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
37.1%
Duke Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Yards) to the SYR 13Similar
Q1 3:04
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+2
37.1%
Will Nixon run for 2 yds to the SYR 15Similar
Q1 3:04
3RD & 8
OWN 15
0
36.7%
Rickie Collins pass incomplete to Dan VillariSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 3:1264% → 64%
Q1 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
36.0%
Jaquez Moore run for no gain to the DUKE 40Similar
Q1 3:12
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+11
36.2%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Sahmir Hagans for 11 yds to the SYR 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-8
35.8%
Duke Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Chandler Rivers) to the DUKE 43Similar
Q1 3:12
2ND & 18
OWN 43
0
36.6%
Darian Mensah pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:12
3RD & 18
OWN 43
+8
36.8%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Sahmir Hagans for 8 yds to the SYR 49Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 10
OPP 49
0
36.4%
Kade Reynoldson punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Davien Kerr at the SYR 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 7FUMBLE
8 plays · 44 yds · 2:1137% → 37%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+9
36.7%
Yasin Willis run for 9 yds to the SYR 26Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 26
+1
37.4%
Will Nixon run for 1 yd to the SYR 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
36.9%
Will Nixon run for 2 yds to the SYR 29Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+8
36.9%
Rickie Collins pass complete to Johntay Cook for 8 yds to the SYR 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
37.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun Collins,Rickie pass incomplete short right to Ross-Simmons,Justus thrown to SYRA44 PENALTY DUKE Pass Interference 15 yards from SYRA37 to DUKE48, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-10
38.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun Collins,Rickie pass incomplete short left to Nixon,Will thrown to DUKE46 PENALTY SYRA Holding 10 yards from DUKE48 to SYRA42. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 20
OWN 42
0
37.1%
Rickie Collins pass incomplete to Johntay CookSimilar
Q2 12:49
2ND & 20
OWN 42
+19
36.9%
Rickie Collins pass complete to Johntay Cook for 19 yds Johntay Cook fumbled, recovered by DUKE Bradley GompersSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 8TD
3 plays · 61 yds · 0:4865% → 72%
Q2 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+18
35.1%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Nate Sheppard for 18 yds to the SYR 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+9
34.7%
Nate Sheppard run for 9 yds to the SYR 34Similar
Q2 12:01
2ND & 1
OPP 34
+34
28.4%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Cooper Barkate for 34 yds for a TD (Todd Pelino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 9PUNT
10 plays · -8 yds · 4:4230% → 26%
Q2 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
29.6%
Yasin Willis run for 5 yds to the SYR 30Similar
Q2 12:01
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
30.1%
Yasin Willis run for no gain to the SYR 30Similar
Q2 12:01
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+4
29.6%
Rickie Collins pass complete to Johntay Cook for 4 yds to the SYR 34Similar
Q2 12:01
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+2
29.9%
Yasin Willis run for 2 yds to the SYR 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-15
30.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun Collins,Rickie pass complete short middle to Nixon,Will caught at SYRA40, for 4 yards to the SYRA40 (Freeman,Tre; Mergott,Luke) PENALTY SYRA Pass Interference 15 yards from SYRA36 to SYRA21. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:01
1ST & 25
OWN 21
-10
29.4%
Rickie Collins run for a loss of 10 yards to the SYR 11 Rickie Collins fumbled, recovered by DUKE Rickie CollinsSimilar
Q2 12:01
2ND & 35
OWN 11
0
29.4%
Rickie Collins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:01
3RD & 35
OWN 11
+6
29.1%
Will Nixon run for 6 yds to the SYR 17Similar
Q2 7:19
4TH & 29
OWN 17
0
26.4%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 51 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 10TD
14 plays · 68 yds · 5:2473% → 89%
Q2 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
26.6%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Jeremiah Hasley for 5 yds to the DUKE 37Similar
Q2 7:19
2ND & 5
OWN 37
-2
26.3%
Darian Mensah run for a loss of 2 yards to the DUKE 35Similar
Q2 7:19
3RD & 7
OWN 35
+5
26.9%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Cooper Barkate for 5 yds to the DUKE 40Similar
Q2 7:19
4TH & 2
OWN 40
+4
26.8%
Anderson Castle run for 4 yds to the DUKE 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+15
25.6%
PENALTY SYRA Pass Interference 15 yards from DUKE44 to SYRA41, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
25.6%
Anderson Castle run for 3 yds to the SYR 38Similar
Q2 7:19
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+5
25.6%
Anderson Castle run for 5 yds to the SYR 33Similar
Q2 7:19
3RD & 2
OPP 33
0
25.8%
Anderson Castle run for no gain to the SYR 33Similar
Q2 7:19
4TH & 2
OPP 33
+3
26.9%
Darian Mensah run for 3 yds to the SYR 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
25.6%
Nate Sheppard run for 1 yd to the SYR 29Similar
Q2 7:19
2ND & 9
OPP 29
0
25.7%
Darian Mensah pass incomplete to Nate SheppardSimilar
Q2 7:19
3RD & 9
OPP 29
+17
25.9%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Anderson Castle for 17 yds to the SYR 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
10.8%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Cooper Barkate for 12 yds for a TD Syracuse Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Yards) declined (Todd Pelino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:0417% → 16%
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
16.5%
Will Nixon run for 5 yds to the SYR 30Similar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
17.0%
Rickie Collins pass complete to Johntay Cook for 2 yds to the SYR 32Similar
Q2 1:55
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+1
17.0%
Rickie Collins run for 1 yd to the SYR 33Similar
Q2 0:51
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
16.0%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Cooper Barkate at the DUKE 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 12MISSED FG
9 plays · 49 yds · 0:5189% → 89%
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
11.1%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Nate Sheppard for 2 yds to the DUKE 24Similar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+32
11.1%
Nate Sheppard run for 32 yds to the SYR 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
10.3%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Que'Sean Brown for 7 yds to the SYR 37Similar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 3
OPP 37
0
11.2%
Darian Mensah pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:30
3RD & 3
OPP 37
+8
11.5%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Nate Sheppard for 8 yds to the SYR 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
11.1%
Darian Mensah pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+45
10.7%
Todd Pelino 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 1:4689% → 89%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
11.5%
Darian Mensah pass incomplete to Sahmir HagansSimilar
Q3 14:48
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
11.4%
Nate Sheppard run for 7 yds to the DUKE 32Similar
Q3 14:13
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-15
11.4%
(14:15) No Huddle-Shotgun Mensah,Darian pass complete short middle to Brown,Que'Sean caught at DUKE35, for 0 yards to the DUKE32 PENALTY DUKE Pass Interference 15 yards from DUKE32 to DUKE17. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:35
3RD & 18
OWN 17
+7
11.7%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Que'Sean Brown for 7 yds to the DUKE 24Similar
Q3 13:09
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
11.4%
Kade Reynoldson punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Davien Kerr at the SYR 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 14FUMBLE
1 play · 13 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q3 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+13
14.2%
Rickie Collins pass complete to Johntay Cook for 13 yds Johntay Cook fumbled, recovered by DUKE Kimari RobinsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · -8 yds · 2:0190% → 91%
Q3 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-15
9.8%
Darian Mensah sacked by Antoine Deslauriers for a loss of 15 yards to the DUKE 42Similar
Q3 11:58
2ND & 25
OWN 42
-4
8.6%
Nate Sheppard run for a loss of 4 yards to the DUKE 38Similar
Q3 11:11
3RD & 29
OWN 38
+11
8.3%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Sahmir Hagans for 11 yds to the DUKE 49Similar
Q3 10:49
4TH & 18
OWN 49
0
8.6%
Kade Reynoldson punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Davien Kerr at the SYR 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:4712% → 10%
Q3 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+4
12.2%
Yasin Willis run for 4 yds to the SYR 9Similar
Q3 10:02
2ND & 6
OWN 9
-1
11.4%
Yasin Willis run for a loss of 1 yard to the SYR 8Similar
Q3 9:18
3RD & 7
OWN 8
+2
11.0%
Rickie Collins run for 2 yds to the SYR 10Similar
Q3 8:48
4TH & 5
OWN 10
0
9.8%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Que'Sean Brown at the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 8:48
4TH & 5
OWN 10
0
9.8%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Que'Sean Brown at the DUKE 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 17TD
7 plays · 60 yds · 3:0593% → 98%
Q3 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
6.7%
Anderson Castle run for 5 yds to the DUKE 45Similar
Q3 8:01
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+6
6.5%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Sahmir Hagans for 6 yds to the SYR 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-3
6.4%
Anderson Castle run for a loss of 3 yards to the DUKE 48Similar
Q3 6:58
2ND & 13
OWN 48
+7
5.8%
Anderson Castle run for 7 yds to the SYR 45Similar
Q3 6:17
3RD & 6
OPP 45
+23
4.7%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Sahmir Hagans for 23 yds to the SYR 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+10
4.3%
Nate Sheppard run for 10 yds to the SYR 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
2.0%
Nate Sheppard run for 12 yds for a TD (Todd Pelino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 18DOWNS
11 plays · 46 yds · 3:503% → 1%
Q3 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
2.5%
Rickie Collins pass incomplete to Darrell Gill Jr.Similar
Q3 5:14
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
2.3%
Rickie Collins pass complete to Johntay Cook for 6 yds to the SYR 31Similar
Q3 4:35
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+5
2.0%
Rickie Collins pass complete to Yasin Willis for 5 yds to the SYR 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+20
1.7%
Rickie Collins pass complete to Emanuel Ross for 20 yds to the DUKE 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:28
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+13
1.8%
Rickie Collins pass complete to Emanuel Ross for 13 yds to the DUKE 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:22
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
1.9%
Rickie Collins pass incomplete to Emanuel RossSimilar
Q3 3:14
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+1
1.8%
Yasin Willis run for 1 yd to the DUKE 30Similar
Q3 2:29
3RD & 9
OPP 30
+1
1.5%
Rickie Collins pass complete to Darrell Gill Jr. for 1 yd to the DUKE 29Similar
Q3 1:37
4TH & 8
OPP 29
0
1.4%
Rickie Collins pass incomplete to Justus Ross-SimmonsSimilar
Q3 1:37
4TH & 8
OPP 29
0
1.4%
Rickie Collins pass incomplete to Justus Ross-SimmonsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 19TD
9 plays · 71 yds · 5:2798% → 100%
Q3 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
1.9%
Nate Sheppard run for 6 yds to the DUKE 35Similar
Q3 0:45
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+12
1.8%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Chase Tyler for 12 yds to the DUKE 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
0.8%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Andrel Anthony for 6 yds to the SYR 47Similar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+14
0.8%
Nate Sheppard run for 14 yds to the SYR 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:56
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
0.7%
Nate Sheppard run for 9 yds to the SYR 24Similar
Q4 13:16
2ND & 1
OPP 24
+2
0.6%
Nate Sheppard run for 2 yds to the SYR 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:29
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
0.6%
Nate Sheppard run for 2 yds to the SYR 20Similar
Q4 11:46
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+7
0.5%
Anderson Castle run for 7 yds to the SYR 13Similar
Q4 11:04
3RD & 1
OPP 13
+13
0.4%
Anderson Castle run for 13 yds for a TD (Todd Pelino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 9 yds · 1:290% → 0%
Q4 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
0.3%
Rickie Collins pass complete to Justus Ross-Simmons for 13 yds to the SYR 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
0.3%
Rickie Collins pass incomplete to Justus Ross-SimmonsSimilar
Q4 10:23
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-15
0.3%
(10:38) No Huddle-Shotgun Collins,Rickie pass complete short left to Ross-Simmons,Justus caught at SYRA46, for 0 yards to the SYRA38 PENALTY SYRA Pass Interference 15 yards from SYRA38 to SYRA23. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:12
2ND & 25
OWN 23
0
0.2%
Rickie Collins pass incomplete to Johntay CookSimilar
Q4 9:53
3RD & 25
OWN 23
+11
0.2%
Rickie Collins pass complete to Justus Ross-Simmons for 11 yds to the SYR 34Similar
Q4 9:23
4TH & 14
OWN 34
0
0.2%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 56 yds, fair catch by Que'Sean Brown at the DUKE 10Similar
Q4 9:23
4TH & 14
OWN 34
0
0.2%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 56 yds, fair catch by Que'Sean Brown at the DUKE 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 48 yds · 3:34100% → 100%
Q4 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+4
0.4%
Travis Bates run for 4 yds to the DUKE 9Similar
Q4 8:02
2ND & 6
OWN 9
+1
0.3%
Travis Bates run for 1 yd to the DUKE 10Similar
Q4 7:36
3RD & 5
OWN 10
+39
0.3%
Travis Bates run for 39 yds to the DUKE 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
0.2%
Travis Bates run for no gain to the DUKE 49Similar
Q4 6:03
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+4
0.2%
Henry Belin IV run for 4 yds to the SYR 47Similar
Q4 5:26
3RD & 6
OPP 47
0
0.2%
Travis Bates run for no gain to the SYR 47Similar
Q4 4:47
4TH & 6
OPP 47
0
0.2%
Kade Reynoldson punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Davien Kerr at the SYR 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 22DOWNS
16 plays · 83 yds · 4:290% → 0%
Q4 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
0.1%
Rickie Collins pass complete to Dan Villari for 5 yds to the SYR 20Similar
Q4 3:50
2ND & 5
OWN 20
+5
0.1%
Rickie Collins pass complete to Emanuel Ross for 5 yds to the SYR 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
0.1%
Jaden Hart run for 1 yd to the SYR 26Similar
Q4 3:02
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+12
0.1%
Rickie Collins pass complete to Emanuel Ross for 12 yds to the SYR 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
0.1%
PENALTY DUKE Pass Interference 15 yards from SYRA38 to DUKE47, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
0.1%
Rickie Collins pass complete to Daunte Bacheyie for 6 yds to the DUKE 41Similar
Q4 2:17
2ND & 4
OPP 41
+18
0.1%
Rickie Collins pass complete to David Clement for 18 yds to the DUKE 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:43
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
0.1%
Jaden Hart run for 4 yds to the DUKE 19Similar
Q4 1:10
2ND & 6
OPP 19
+4
0.0%
Rickie Collins pass complete to Jaden Hart for 4 yds to the DUKE 15Similar
Q4 0:51
3RD & 2
OPP 15
+7
0.0%
Rickie Collins pass complete to Emanuel Ross for 7 yds to the DUKE 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
0.1%
Jaden Hart run for a loss of 1 yard to the DUKE 9Similar
Q4 0:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
0.1%
Rickie Collins run for 6 yds to the DUKE 3Similar
Q4 0:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
0.0%
Jaden Hart run for 1 yd to the DUKE 2Similar
Q4 0:02
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
0
0.0%
Rickie Collins pass incomplete to Jaden HartSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 23END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 2
-1
0.1%
(00:00) Kneel down by Duke at DUKE01 for loss of 1 yard.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:55
Darian Mensah pass complete to Cooper Barkate for 12 yds for a TD Syracuse Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Yards) declined (Todd Pelino KICK)
-10.2
TD · Q2 12:01
Darian Mensah pass complete to Cooper Barkate for 34 yds for a TD (Todd Pelino KICK)
-6.3
TD · Q1 3:12
Nate Sheppard run for 49 yds for a TD (Todd Pelino KICK)
-5.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com