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KENT

Kent State 10 at Florida State 66

FSU
2025 · Week 4 · Sep 20, 2025 · Doak Campbell Stadium
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Win probability · FSU
modelFSU aheadKENT aheadconfidence bandkey playFSU scoreKENT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Ayden Harris run for 8 yds to the KENT 45
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:19: Tommy Castellanos run for 12 yds for a TD (Jake Weinberg KICK) — FSU win probability +0.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 8:08: Dru DeShields pass complete to Dashawn Martin for 75 yds for a TD (Will Hryszko KICK) — KENT win probability +0.1 pts (now 1%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 7:33: Tommy Castellanos run for 10 yds for a TD (Jake Weinberg KICK) — FSU win probability +0.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q1 3:18: Micahi Danzy run for 64 yds for a TD (Jake Weinberg KICK) — FSU win probability +0.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q1 0:00: Gavin Sawchuk run for 2 yds for a TD (Jake Weinberg KICK) — FSU win probability +0.3 pts (now 100%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FSU made the numbers' call on 0 of 1KENT made the numbers' call on 10 of 10
  1. Q1 11:42KENT 4th & 3 at KENT 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:05KENT 4th & 5 at KENT 30, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:14KENT 4th & 27 at KENT 8, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:39KENT 4th & 1 at KENT 34, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.5%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:02KENT 4th & 9 at FSU 47, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:27KENT 4th & 4 at FSU 25, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%−0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    -0.3%−0.7
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:37KENT 4th & 6 at KENT 41, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:04KENT 4th & 8 at KENT 27, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  9. Q4 12:41KENT 4th & 8 at FSU 21, down 52
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.0%
    74% to make
    Punt
    -0.3%−0.3
    average punt
  10. Q4 6:56KENT 4th & 10 at KENT 42, down 56
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  11. Q4 0:26FSU 4th & 6 at KENT 40, up 56
    Close callWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    100.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    100.0%
    34% to make
    Punt
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FSU made the numbers' call on 9 of 9KENT made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 13:39FSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:19FSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 8:08KENT Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 7:33FSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q1 3:18FSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q1 0:00FSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 2:16FSU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 10:04FSU Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 5:02FSU Touchdown, up 51 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 8:20FSU Touchdown, up 55 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FSUDrive 1TD
5 plays · 65 yds · 1:1099% → 99%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+40
99.4%
Gavin Sawchuk run for 40 yds to the KENT 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:32
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+11
99.4%
Gavin Sawchuk run for 11 yds to the KENT 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+10
99.4%
Tommy Castellanos run for 10 yds to the KENT 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.4%
Gavin Sawchuk run for 4 yds for a TD (Jake Weinberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:371% → 1%
Q1 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
99.3%
run for a loss of 7 yards to the KENT 18Similar
Q1 12:54
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+8
99.3%
Dru DeShields pass complete to Wayne Harris for 8 yds to the KENT 26Similar
Q1 12:31
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+6
99.3%
Dru DeShields pass complete to Cade Wolford for 6 yds to the KENT 32Similar
Q1 11:42
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
99.3%
Charlie Durkin punt for 63 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 3TD
9 plays · 95 yds · 3:0799% → 99%
Q1 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+47
99.3%
Tommy Castellanos pass complete to Micahi Danzy for 47 yds to the KENT 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
99.3%
Tommy Castellanos run for 7 yds to the KENT 41Similar
Q1 10:44
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+4
99.2%
Samuel Singleton Jr. run for 4 yds to the KENT 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
99.2%
Samuel Singleton Jr. run for 4 yds to the KENT 33Similar
Q1 9:51
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+6
99.2%
Gavin Sawchuk run for 6 yds to the KENT 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:16
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+10
99.2%
Tommy Castellanos pass complete to Jayvan Boggs for 10 yds to the KENT 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
99.2%
Gavin Sawchuk run for 5 yds to the KENT 12Similar
Q1 8:19
2ND & 5
OPP 12
+12
99.2%
Tommy Castellanos run for 12 yds for a TD (Jake Weinberg KICK)Similar
Q1 8:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
99.2%
PENALTY FSU Illegal Snap (Arnold,Mason) 5 yards from KSU03 to KSU08. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 4TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
99.1%
Dru DeShields pass complete to Dashawn Martin for 75 yds for a TD (Will Hryszko KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 5TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:2199% → 99%
Q1 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+65
99.1%
Tommy Castellanos pass complete to Micahi Danzy for 65 yds to the KENT 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
99.2%
Tommy Castellanos run for 10 yds for a TD (Jake Weinberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:201% → 1%
Q1 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.2%
Gavin Garcia run for 5 yds to the KENT 30Similar
Q1 6:48
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
99.1%
Gavin Garcia run for no gain to the KENT 30Similar
Q1 6:18
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
99.1%
Dru DeShields pass incomplete to Jay Jay EtheridgeSimilar
Q1 6:05
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
99.1%
Charlie Durkin punt for 48 yds , Jaylin Lucas returns for no gain to the FSU 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 7TD
7 plays · 84 yds · 2:3899% → 99%
Q1 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
99.1%
Tommy Castellanos run for 1 yd to the FSU 17Similar
Q1 5:25
2ND & 9
OWN 17
-3
99.1%
Tommy Castellanos run for a loss of 3 yards to the FSU 14Similar
Q1 4:40
3RD & 12
OWN 14
+12
99.1%
Tommy Castellanos pass complete to Jayvan Boggs for 12 yds to the FSU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
99.1%
Tommy Castellanos pass complete to Jayvan Boggs for 8 yds to the FSU 34Similar
Q1 4:06
2ND & 2
OWN 34
0
99.1%
Tommy Castellanos pass incomplete to Jayvan BoggsSimilar
Q1 3:59
3RD & 2
OWN 34
+2
99.0%
Gavin Sawchuk run for 2 yds to the FSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+64
99.2%
Micahi Danzy run for 64 yds for a TD (Jake Weinberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · -17 yds · 1:591% → 1%
Q1 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-12
99.3%
(03:18) No Huddle-Shotgun Garcia,Gavin rush middle for 4 yards gain to the KSU29 (Thompson,Stefon) PENALTY KSU Face Mask (Mulder,Terik) 12 yards from KSU25 to KSU13. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:44
1ST & 22
OWN 13
+6
99.2%
Gavin Garcia run for 6 yds to the KENT 19Similar
Q1 2:10
2ND & 16
OWN 19
-7
99.3%
Kent State Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Dru DeShields) to the KENT 12Similar
Q1 2:05
3RD & 23
OWN 12
+1
99.3%
Dru DeShields pass complete to Terik Mulder for 1 yd to the KENT 13Similar
Q1 1:42
4TH & 22
OWN 13
-5
99.2%
PENALTY KSU Delay Of Game 5 yards from KSU13 to KSU08. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:14
4TH & 27
OWN 8
0
99.3%
Charlie Durkin punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KENT 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 9TD
5 plays · 47 yds · 1:0799% → 100%
Q1 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+9
99.3%
Gavin Sawchuk run for 9 yds to the KENT 38Similar
Q1 0:51
2ND & 1
OPP 38
+27
99.2%
Tommy Castellanos run for 17 yds to the KENT 21 for a 1ST down Kent State Penalty, Personal Foul (Martell Buchanan) to the KENT 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+9
99.2%
Gavin Sawchuk run for 9 yds to the KENT 2Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 1
OPP 2
+2
99.5%
Gavin Sawchuk run for 2 yds for a TD (Jake Weinberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 10PUNT
10 plays · 28 yds · 2:511% → 1%
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.5%
Gavin Garcia run for 2 yds to the KENT 27Similar
Q2 14:19
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
99.5%
Dru DeShields pass incomplete to Wayne HarrisSimilar
Q2 14:09
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+7
99.5%
Dru DeShields pass complete to Dashawn Martin for 7 yds to the KENT 34Similar
Q2 13:39
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+3
99.5%
Gavin Garcia run for 3 yds to the KENT 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
99.5%
(13:08) No Huddle-Shotgun DeShields,Dru pass incomplete deep left to Clark,Da'Realyst thrown to FSU20 QB hurried by Desir,Mandrell PENALTY FSU Face Mask (Jones,Quindarrius) 15 yards from KSU37 to FSU48, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
99.5%
Jahzae Kimbrough run for 1 yd to the FSU 47Similar
Q2 12:15
2ND & 9
OPP 47
0
99.5%
Dru DeShields pass incomplete to Wayne HarrisSimilar
Q2 12:09
3RD & 9
OPP 47
0
99.5%
Dru DeShields pass incomplete to Dashawn MartinSimilar
Q2 12:02
4TH & 9
OPP 47
0
99.5%
Charlie Durkin punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 11INT
5 plays · 48 yds · 1:48100% → 100%
Q2 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+32
99.5%
Tommy Castellanos pass complete to Kam Davis for 32 yds to the KENT 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
99.5%
Kam Davis run for 2 yds to the KENT 46Similar
Q2 11:08
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+8
99.5%
Tommy Castellanos pass complete to Duce Robinson for 8 yds to the KENT 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
99.5%
Tommy Castellanos pass complete to Kam Davis for 6 yds to the KENT 32Similar
Q2 10:03
2ND & 4
OPP 32
-29
99.5%
Tommy Castellanos pass intercepted CJ Young return for 29 yds to the FSU 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 12DOWNS
7 plays · 14 yds · 3:301% → 0%
Q2 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
99.5%
Gavin Garcia run for 3 yds to the FSU 38Similar
Q2 9:30
2ND & 7
OPP 38
-2
99.5%
Wayne Harris run for a loss of 2 yards to the FSU 40Similar
Q2 8:54
3RD & 9
OPP 40
+9
99.5%
Dru DeShields pass complete to Ardell Banks for 9 yds to the FSU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
99.5%
Jahzae Kimbrough run for 4 yds to the FSU 27Similar
Q2 7:44
2ND & 6
OPP 27
+2
99.5%
Dru DeShields pass complete to Hunter Hopperton for 2 yds to the FSU 25Similar
Q2 7:01
3RD & 4
OPP 25
0
99.6%
Gavin Garcia run for no gain to the FSU 25Similar
Q2 6:27
4TH & 4
OPP 25
-2
99.6%
Dru DeShields sacked by Elijah Herring for a loss of 2 yards to the FSU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 13TD
9 plays · 73 yds · 4:01100% → 100%
Q2 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+16
99.6%
Ousmane Kromah run for 16 yds to the FSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
99.6%
Ousmane Kromah run for 4 yds to the FSU 47Similar
Q2 5:01
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+12
99.6%
Ousmane Kromah run for 12 yds to the KENT 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:36
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
99.6%
Tommy Castellanos pass incomplete to Duce RobinsonSimilar
Q2 4:25
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+8
99.6%
Tommy Castellanos pass complete to Kam Davis for 8 yds to the KENT 33Similar
Q2 3:48
3RD & 2
OPP 33
+5
99.6%
Gavin Sawchuk run for 5 yds to the KENT 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:18
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+9
99.7%
Tommy Castellanos pass complete to Lawayne McCoy for 9 yds to the KENT 19Similar
Q2 2:39
2ND & 1
OPP 19
+4
99.6%
Gavin Sawchuk run for 4 yds to the KENT 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:16
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
99.7%
Samuel Singleton Jr. run for 15 yds for a TD (Jake Weinberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 14INT
9 plays · 25 yds · 1:330% → 0%
Q2 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.8%
Gavin Garcia run for 7 yds to the KENT 32Similar
Q2 1:52
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
99.8%
Gavin Garcia run for 4 yds to the KENT 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
99.8%
Gavin Garcia run for 1 yd to the KENT 37Similar
Q2 1:21
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+9
99.8%
Dru DeShields pass complete to Jay Jay Etheridge for 9 yds to the KENT 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
99.8%
Gavin Garcia run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:35
2ND & 6
50
-1
99.8%
Dru DeShields pass intercepted Jeremiah Wilson return for 1 yd to the FSU 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 15FG
7 plays · 47 yds · 0:30100% → 100%
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
99.7%
Kevin Sperry pass incomplete to Chase LoftinSimilar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+18
99.7%
Kevin Sperry pass complete to Elijah Moore for 18 yds to the KENT 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-5
99.7%
Kevin Sperry sacked by Amon Williams for a loss of 5 yards to the KENT 41Similar
Q2 0:07
2ND & 15
OPP 41
+18
99.8%
Jaylin Lucas run for 18 yds to the KENT 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:03
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+16
99.8%
Kevin Sperry pass complete to Amaree Williams for 16 yds to the KENT 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+25
99.8%
Jake Weinberg 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:060% → 0%
Q3 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
99.8%
Dru DeShields pass complete to Dashawn Martin for 12 yds to the KENT 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:19
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
99.8%
Gavin Garcia run for 4 yds to the KENT 41Similar
Q3 13:50
2ND & 6
OWN 41
0
99.8%
Dru DeShields pass incomplete to Gavin GarciaSimilar
Q3 13:45
3RD & 6
OWN 41
0
99.8%
Dru DeShields pass incomplete to Ardell BanksSimilar
Q3 13:37
4TH & 6
OWN 41
0
99.8%
Charlie Durkin punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 17TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 3:25100% → 100%
Q3 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.8%
Samuel Singleton Jr. run for 4 yds to the FSU 29Similar
Q3 12:51
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+21
99.8%
Kevin Sperry pass complete to Lawayne McCoy for 21 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:18
1ST & 10
50
+9
99.9%
Kevin Sperry pass complete to Ousmane Kromah for 9 yds to the KENT 41Similar
Q3 11:46
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+11
99.9%
Ousmane Kromah run for 11 yds to the KENT 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+26
99.9%
Jaylin Lucas run for 26 yds to the KENT 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
99.9%
Kam Davis run for 3 yds to the KENT 1Similar
Q3 10:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Kam Davis run for 1 yd for a TD (Jake Weinberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:540% → 0%
Q3 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Dru DeShields pass incomplete to Dashawn MartinSimilar
Q3 9:52
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
Jahzae Kimbrough run for 2 yds to the KENT 27Similar
Q3 9:11
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
99.9%
Dru DeShields pass incomplete to Cade WolfordSimilar
Q3 9:04
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
99.9%
Charlie Durkin punt for 31 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 19TD
12 plays · 58 yds · 3:57100% → 100%
Q3 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
99.9%
Brock Glenn pass incomplete to Willy SuarezSimilar
Q3 8:53
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
99.9%
Brock Glenn pass incomplete to Elijah MooreSimilar
Q3 8:48
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+5
99.9%
(08:53) No Huddle-Shotgun Glenn,Brock pass incomplete deep right to Moore,Elijah thrown to KSU20 PENALTY KSU Offside (Blachewicz,Darian) 5 yards from FSU42 to FSU47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:37
3RD & 5
OWN 47
+8
99.9%
Brock Glenn run for 8 yds to the KENT 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:04
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
99.9%
Samuel Singleton Jr. run for 8 yds to the KENT 37Similar
Q3 7:27
2ND & 2
OPP 37
+1
99.9%
Samuel Singleton Jr. run for 1 yd to the KENT 36Similar
Q3 6:50
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+8
99.9%
Brock Glenn run for 8 yds to the KENT 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:09
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+24
99.9%
Kam Davis run for 24 yds to the KENT 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
99.9%
Brock Glenn pass incomplete to Greyson LabiadSimilar
Q3 5:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
99.9%
Samuel Singleton Jr. run for 2 yds to the KENT 2Similar
Q3 5:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
Brock Glenn pass complete to Landen Thomas for 2 yds for a TD (Jake Weinberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 20FG
16 plays · 54 yds · 7:150% → 0%
Q3 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
Gavin Garcia run for 1 yd to the KENT 26Similar
Q3 4:15
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-1
99.9%
Nolan Good run for a loss of 1 yard to the KENT 25Similar
Q3 3:35
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+10
99.9%
Nolan Good pass complete to Jahzae Kimbrough for 10 yds to the KENT 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-3
99.9%
Jahzae Kimbrough run for a loss of 3 yards to the KENT 32Similar
Q3 2:28
2ND & 13
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Gavin Garcia run for no gain to the KENT 32Similar
Q3 1:47
3RD & 13
OWN 32
+9
100.0%
Nolan Good pass complete to Cade Wolford for 9 yds to the KENT 41Similar
Q3 1:00
4TH & 4
OWN 41
+15
100.0%
(01:06) Durkin,Charlie punt 51 yards to the FSU08 Gibson,BJ return 17 yards to the FSU25 (Cross,Semaj; Clark,Da'Realyst) PENALTY FSU Roughing The Kicker (Suarez,Willy) 15 yards from KSU41 to FSU44, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
100.0%
Nolan Good pass complete to Sebastian Brown for 5 yds to the FSU 39Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+4
99.9%
Jahzae Kimbrough run for 4 yds to the FSU 35Similar
Q4 14:52
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+2
99.9%
Jahzae Kimbrough run for 2 yds to the FSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:03
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+10
99.9%
Nolan Good pass complete to Christian Berry for 10 yds to the FSU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
99.9%
Nolan Good pass incomplete to Ardell BanksSimilar
Q4 13:17
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+2
100.0%
Marques Hicks run for 2 yds to the FSU 21Similar
Q4 12:45
3RD & 8
OPP 21
0
100.0%
Nolan Good pass incomplete to Ardell BanksSimilar
Q4 12:41
4TH & 8
OPP 21
+38
99.9%
Will Hryszko 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 21TD
8 plays · 65 yds · 4:09100% → 100%
Q4 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
99.9%
Brock Glenn pass complete to Greyson Labiad for 6 yds to the FSU 41Similar
Q4 11:46
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+5
99.9%
Samuel Singleton Jr. run for 5 yds to the FSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
99.9%
Zay Parks run for 5 yds to the KENT 49Similar
Q4 10:23
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+6
99.9%
Jaylen King run for 6 yds to the KENT 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:49
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
99.9%
Samuel Singleton Jr. run for 6 yds to the KENT 37Similar
Q4 9:07
2ND & 4
OPP 37
0
99.9%
Jaylen King run for no gain to the KENT 37Similar
Q4 8:20
3RD & 4
OPP 37
+37
100.0%
Samuel Singleton Jr. run for 37 yds for a TD (Brunno Reus KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 1:130% → 0%
Q4 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
100.0%
Nolan Good run for 2 yds to the KENT 27Similar
Q4 7:36
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+15
100.0%
(07:38) No Huddle-Shotgun Hicks,Marques rush right for 2 yards loss to the KSU25 (Lee,Tylon) PENALTY FSU Face Mask (Lee,Tylon) 15 yards from KSU27 to KSU42, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
100.0%
Nolan Good pass incomplete to Marques HicksSimilar
Q4 7:06
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
100.0%
Nolan Good pass incomplete to Cade WolfordSimilar
Q4 7:03
3RD & 10
OWN 42
0
100.0%
Nolan Good pass incomplete to Ayden HarrisSimilar
Q4 6:56
4TH & 10
OWN 42
0
100.0%
Charlie Durkin punt for 44 yds, fair catch by BJ Gibson at the FSU 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 23DOWNS
12 plays · 49 yds · 6:25100% → 100%
Q4 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
100.0%
Jaylen King pass incomplete to Teriq MallorySimilar
Q4 6:40
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+4
100.0%
Zay Parks run for 4 yds to the FSU 18Similar
Q4 6:00
3RD & 6
OWN 18
-9
100.0%
(06:01) No Huddle-Shotgun King,Jaylen rush left for 11 yards gain to the FSU29 (Cordoba,Joel), out of bounds PENALTY FSU Holding (Raymond,Josh) 9 yards from FSU18 to FSU09. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:28
3RD & 15
OWN 9
+22
100.0%
Zay Parks run for 22 yds to the FSU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
100.0%
Zay Parks run for 4 yds to the FSU 35Similar
Q4 4:00
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+5
100.0%
Jeremiah Johnson run for 5 yds to the FSU 40Similar
Q4 3:12
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+16
100.0%
Jeremiah Johnson run for 16 yds to the KENT 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
100.0%
Zay Parks run for a loss of 1 yard to the KENT 45Similar
Q4 1:49
2ND & 11
OPP 45
+1
100.0%
Jeremiah Johnson run for 1 yd to the KENT 44Similar
Q4 1:07
3RD & 10
OPP 44
+4
100.0%
Jeremiah Johnson run for 4 yds to the KENT 40Similar
Q4 0:26
4TH & 6
OPP 40
+3
100.0%
Jeremiah Johnson run for 3 yds to the KENT 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 24END OF GAME
1 play · 8 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
100.0%
Ayden Harris run for 8 yds to the KENT 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 0:00
Gavin Sawchuk run for 2 yds for a TD (Jake Weinberg KICK)
+0.3
TD · Q1 3:18
Micahi Danzy run for 64 yds for a TD (Jake Weinberg KICK)
+0.2
TD · Q1 8:19
Tommy Castellanos run for 12 yds for a TD (Jake Weinberg KICK)
+0.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com