KENT
Kent State 10 at Florida State 66
FSU2025 · Week 4 · Sep 20, 2025 · Doak Campbell Stadium
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Win probability · FSU
modelFSU aheadKENT aheadconfidence bandkey play
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FSU · Drive 1TD · 5 plays · 65 yds
Q1 15:00
Will Hryszko kickoff for 64 yds
94.7%
0.0
Q1 14:49
Gavin Sawchuk run for 40 yds to the KENT 25 for a 1ST down
95.3%
+0.6
Q1 14:32
Gavin Sawchuk run for 11 yds to the KENT 14 for a 1ST down
95.6%
+0.3
Q1 14:10
Tommy Castellanos run for 10 yds to the KENT 4 for a 1ST down
95.6%
0.0
Q1 13:39
Gavin Sawchuk run for 4 yds for a TD (Jake Weinberg KICK)
99.4%
+3.8
KENT · Drive 2PUNT · 5 plays · 7 yds
Q1 13:39
Jake Weinberg kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
99.4%
0.0
Q1 13:19
run for a loss of 7 yards to the KENT 18
96.9%
-2.5
Q1 12:54
Dru DeShields pass complete to Wayne Harris for 8 yds to the KENT 26
96.8%
-0.1
Q1 12:31
Dru DeShields pass complete to Cade Wolford for 6 yds to the KENT 32
96.8%
0.0
Q1 11:42
Charlie Durkin punt for 63 yds
97.2%
+0.4
FSU · Drive 3TD · 9 plays · 95 yds
Q1 11:26
Tommy Castellanos pass complete to Micahi Danzy for 47 yds to the KENT 48 for a 1ST down
99.4%
+2.2
Q1 11:08
Tommy Castellanos run for 7 yds to the KENT 41
99.4%
0.0
Q1 10:44
Samuel Singleton Jr. run for 4 yds to the KENT 37 for a 1ST down
99.4%
0.0
Q1 10:25
Samuel Singleton Jr. run for 4 yds to the KENT 33
99.4%
0.0
Q1 9:51
Gavin Sawchuk run for 6 yds to the KENT 27 for a 1ST down
99.4%
0.0
Q1 9:16
Tommy Castellanos pass complete to Jayvan Boggs for 10 yds to the KENT 17 for a 1ST down
99.4%
0.0
Q1 8:49
Gavin Sawchuk run for 5 yds to the KENT 12
99.4%
0.0
Q1 8:19
Tommy Castellanos run for 12 yds for a TD (Jake Weinberg KICK)
99.6%
+0.3
Q1 8:19
PENALTY FSU Illegal Snap (Arnold,Mason) 5 yards from KSU03 to KSU08. NO PLAY.
99.4%
-0.3
KENT · Drive 4TD · 2 plays · 75 yds
Q1 8:19
Jake Weinberg kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
99.6%
+0.3
Q1 8:08
Dru DeShields pass complete to Dashawn Martin for 75 yds for a TD (Will Hryszko KICK)
97.2%
-2.5
FSU · Drive 5TD · 3 plays · 75 yds
Q1 8:08
Will Hryszko kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
97.2%
0.0
Q1 7:54
Tommy Castellanos pass complete to Micahi Danzy for 65 yds to the KENT 10 for a 1ST down
99.4%
+2.2
Q1 7:33
Tommy Castellanos run for 10 yds for a TD (Jake Weinberg KICK)
99.6%
+0.3
KENT · Drive 6PUNT · 5 plays · 5 yds
Q1 7:33
Jake Weinberg kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
99.6%
0.0
Q1 7:25
Gavin Garcia run for 5 yds to the KENT 30
99.5%
-0.2
Q1 6:48
Gavin Garcia run for no gain to the KENT 30
99.5%
0.0
Q1 6:18
Dru DeShields pass incomplete to Jay Jay Etheridge
99.4%
-0.1
Q1 6:05
Charlie Durkin punt for 48 yds , Jaylin Lucas returns for no gain to the FSU 16
99.4%
0.0
FSU · Drive 7TD · 7 plays · 84 yds
Q1 5:56
Tommy Castellanos run for 1 yd to the FSU 17
99.6%
+0.2
Q1 5:25
Tommy Castellanos run for a loss of 3 yards to the FSU 14
99.6%
0.0
Q1 4:40
Tommy Castellanos pass complete to Jayvan Boggs for 12 yds to the FSU 26 for a 1ST down
99.6%
0.0
Q1 4:17
Tommy Castellanos pass complete to Jayvan Boggs for 8 yds to the FSU 34
99.6%
0.0
Q1 4:06
Tommy Castellanos pass incomplete to Jayvan Boggs
99.6%
0.0
Q1 3:59
Gavin Sawchuk run for 2 yds to the FSU 36 for a 1ST down
99.6%
0.0
Q1 3:18
Micahi Danzy run for 64 yds for a TD (Jake Weinberg KICK)
99.7%
+0.2
KENT · Drive 8PUNT · 7 plays · -17 yds
Q1 3:18
Jake Weinberg kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
99.7%
0.0
Q1 3:13
(03:18) No Huddle-Shotgun Garcia,Gavin rush middle for 4 yards gain to the KSU29 (Thompson,Stefon) PENALTY KSU Face Mask (Mulder,Terik) 12 yards from KSU25 to KSU13. NO PLAY.
99.7%
-0.1
Q1 2:44
Gavin Garcia run for 6 yds to the KENT 19
99.7%
0.0
Q1 2:10
Kent State Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Dru DeShields) to the KENT 12
99.7%
0.0
Q1 2:05
Dru DeShields pass complete to Terik Mulder for 1 yd to the KENT 13
99.7%
0.0
Q1 1:42
PENALTY KSU Delay Of Game 5 yards from KSU13 to KSU08. NO PLAY.
99.7%
0.0
Q1 1:14
Charlie Durkin punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KENT 47
99.7%
0.0
FSU · Drive 9TD · 5 plays · 47 yds
Q1 1:14
Timeout Florida State, clock 01:14
99.9%
+0.2
Q1 1:07
Gavin Sawchuk run for 9 yds to the KENT 38
99.9%
0.0
Q1 0:51
Tommy Castellanos run for 17 yds to the KENT 21 for a 1ST down Kent State Penalty, Personal Foul (Martell Buchanan) to the KENT 11 for a 1ST down
99.9%
0.0
Q1 0:26
Gavin Sawchuk run for 9 yds to the KENT 2
99.9%
0.0
Q1 0:00
Gavin Sawchuk run for 2 yds for a TD (Jake Weinberg KICK)
99.9%
+0.1
KENT · Drive 10PUNT · 10 plays · 28 yds
Q2 15:00
Jake Weinberg kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
99.9%
0.0
Q2 14:53
Gavin Garcia run for 2 yds to the KENT 27
99.8%
-0.1
Q2 14:19
Dru DeShields pass incomplete to Wayne Harris
99.8%
0.0
Q2 14:09
Dru DeShields pass complete to Dashawn Martin for 7 yds to the KENT 34
99.8%
0.0
Q2 13:39
Gavin Garcia run for 3 yds to the KENT 37 for a 1ST down
99.8%
0.0
Q2 13:02
(13:08) No Huddle-Shotgun DeShields,Dru pass incomplete deep left to Clark,Da'Realyst thrown to FSU20 QB hurried by Desir,Mandrell PENALTY FSU Face Mask (Jones,Quindarrius) 15 yards from KSU37 to FSU48, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
99.8%
0.0
Q2 12:56
Jahzae Kimbrough run for 1 yd to the FSU 47
99.8%
0.0
Q2 12:15
Dru DeShields pass incomplete to Wayne Harris
99.8%
0.0
Q2 12:09
Dru DeShields pass incomplete to Dashawn Martin
99.8%
0.0
Q2 12:02
Charlie Durkin punt for 47 yds for a touchback
99.8%
0.0
FSU · Drive 11INT · 5 plays · 48 yds
Q2 11:51
Tommy Castellanos pass complete to Kam Davis for 32 yds to the KENT 48 for a 1ST down
99.9%
+0.1
Q2 11:37
Kam Davis run for 2 yds to the KENT 46
99.9%
0.0
Q2 11:08
Tommy Castellanos pass complete to Duce Robinson for 8 yds to the KENT 38 for a 1ST down
99.9%
0.0
Q2 10:35
Tommy Castellanos pass complete to Kam Davis for 6 yds to the KENT 32
99.9%
0.0
Q2 10:03
Tommy Castellanos pass intercepted CJ Young return for 29 yds to the FSU 41
99.9%
0.0
KENT · Drive 12DOWNS · 7 plays · 14 yds
Q2 9:57
Gavin Garcia run for 3 yds to the FSU 38
99.8%
-0.1
Q2 9:30
Wayne Harris run for a loss of 2 yards to the FSU 40
99.8%
0.0
Q2 8:54
Dru DeShields pass complete to Ardell Banks for 9 yds to the FSU 31 for a 1ST down
99.8%
0.0
Q2 8:25
Jahzae Kimbrough run for 4 yds to the FSU 27
99.8%
0.0
Q2 7:44
Dru DeShields pass complete to Hunter Hopperton for 2 yds to the FSU 25
99.8%
0.0
Q2 7:01
Gavin Garcia run for no gain to the FSU 25
99.8%
0.0
Q2 6:27
Dru DeShields sacked by Elijah Herring for a loss of 2 yards to the FSU 27
99.8%
0.0
FSU · Drive 13TD · 9 plays · 73 yds
Q2 6:17
Ousmane Kromah run for 16 yds to the FSU 43 for a 1ST down
100.0%
+0.2
Q2 5:46
Ousmane Kromah run for 4 yds to the FSU 47
100.0%
0.0
Q2 5:01
Ousmane Kromah run for 12 yds to the KENT 41 for a 1ST down
100.0%
0.0
Q2 4:36
Tommy Castellanos pass incomplete to Duce Robinson
100.0%
0.0
Q2 4:25
Tommy Castellanos pass complete to Kam Davis for 8 yds to the KENT 33
100.0%
0.0
Q2 3:48
Gavin Sawchuk run for 5 yds to the KENT 28 for a 1ST down
100.0%
0.0
Q2 3:18
Tommy Castellanos pass complete to Lawayne McCoy for 9 yds to the KENT 19
100.0%
0.0
Q2 2:39
Gavin Sawchuk run for 4 yds to the KENT 15 for a 1ST down
100.0%
0.0
Q2 2:16
Samuel Singleton Jr. run for 15 yds for a TD (Jake Weinberg KICK)
100.0%
0.0
KENT · Drive 14INT · 9 plays · 25 yds
Q2 2:16
Jake Weinberg kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
100.0%
0.0
Q2 2:08
Gavin Garcia run for 7 yds to the KENT 32
99.9%
-0.1
Q2 2:00
Timeout Florida State, clock 02:00
99.9%
0.0
Q2 1:52
Gavin Garcia run for 4 yds to the KENT 36 for a 1ST down
99.9%
0.0
Q2 1:26
Gavin Garcia run for 1 yd to the KENT 37
99.8%
0.0
Q2 1:26
Timeout Florida State, clock 01:26
99.8%
0.0
Q2 1:21
Dru DeShields pass complete to Jay Jay Etheridge for 9 yds to the KENT 46 for a 1ST down
99.8%
0.0
Q2 1:01
Gavin Garcia run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line
99.9%
0.0
Q2 0:35
Dru DeShields pass intercepted Jeremiah Wilson return for 1 yd to the FSU 46
99.8%
0.0
FSU · Drive 15FG · 7 plays · 47 yds
Q2 0:30
Kevin Sperry pass incomplete to Chase Loftin
100.0%
+0.1
Q2 0:25
Kevin Sperry pass complete to Elijah Moore for 18 yds to the KENT 36 for a 1ST down
100.0%
0.0
Q2 0:18
Kevin Sperry sacked by Amon Williams for a loss of 5 yards to the KENT 41
100.0%
0.0
Q2 0:18
Timeout Florida State, clock 00:18
100.0%
0.0
Q2 0:07
Jaylin Lucas run for 18 yds to the KENT 23 for a 1ST down
100.0%
0.0
Q2 0:03
Kevin Sperry pass complete to Amaree Williams for 16 yds to the KENT 7 for a 1ST down
99.9%
0.0
Q2 0:00
Jake Weinberg 25 yd FG GOOD
99.9%
0.0
KENT · Drive 16PUNT · 6 plays · 16 yds
Q3 15:00
Jake Weinberg kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
100.0%
0.0
Q3 14:43
Dru DeShields pass complete to Dashawn Martin for 12 yds to the KENT 37 for a 1ST down
99.9%
0.0
Q3 14:19
Gavin Garcia run for 4 yds to the KENT 41
99.9%
0.0
Q3 13:50
Dru DeShields pass incomplete to Gavin Garcia
99.9%
0.0
Q3 13:45
Dru DeShields pass incomplete to Ardell Banks
99.9%
0.0
Q3 13:37
Charlie Durkin punt for 34 yds
99.9%
0.0
FSU · Drive 17TD · 7 plays · 75 yds
Q3 13:29
Samuel Singleton Jr. run for 4 yds to the FSU 29
100.0%
0.0
Q3 12:51
Kevin Sperry pass complete to Lawayne McCoy for 21 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down
100.0%
0.0
Q3 12:18
Kevin Sperry pass complete to Ousmane Kromah for 9 yds to the KENT 41
100.0%
0.0
Q3 11:46
Ousmane Kromah run for 11 yds to the KENT 30 for a 1ST down
100.0%
0.0
Q3 11:08
Jaylin Lucas run for 26 yds to the KENT 4 for a 1ST down
100.0%
0.0
Q3 10:30
Kam Davis run for 3 yds to the KENT 1
100.0%
0.0
Q3 10:04
Kam Davis run for 1 yd for a TD (Jake Weinberg KICK)
100.0%
0.0
KENT · Drive 18PUNT · 5 plays · 2 yds
Q3 10:04
Brunno Reus kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
100.0%
0.0
Q3 9:58
Dru DeShields pass incomplete to Dashawn Martin
99.9%
0.0
Q3 9:52
Jahzae Kimbrough run for 2 yds to the KENT 27
99.9%
0.0
Q3 9:11
Dru DeShields pass incomplete to Cade Wolford
99.9%
0.0
Q3 9:04
Charlie Durkin punt for 31 yds
99.9%
0.0
FSU · Drive 19TD · 12 plays · 58 yds
Q3 8:59
Brock Glenn pass incomplete to Willy Suarez
100.0%
0.0
Q3 8:53
Brock Glenn pass incomplete to Elijah Moore
100.0%
0.0
Q3 8:48
(08:53) No Huddle-Shotgun Glenn,Brock pass incomplete deep right to Moore,Elijah thrown to KSU20 PENALTY KSU Offside (Blachewicz,Darian) 5 yards from FSU42 to FSU47. NO PLAY.
100.0%
0.0
Q3 8:37
Brock Glenn run for 8 yds to the KENT 45 for a 1ST down
100.0%
0.0
Q3 8:04
Samuel Singleton Jr. run for 8 yds to the KENT 37
100.0%
0.0
Q3 7:27
Samuel Singleton Jr. run for 1 yd to the KENT 36
100.0%
0.0
Q3 6:50
Brock Glenn run for 8 yds to the KENT 28 for a 1ST down
100.0%
0.0
Q3 6:09
Kam Davis run for 24 yds to the KENT 4 for a 1ST down
100.0%
0.0
Q3 5:41
Brock Glenn pass incomplete to Greyson Labiad
100.0%
0.0
Q3 5:41
Timeout Florida State, clock 05:41
100.0%
0.0
Q3 5:31
Samuel Singleton Jr. run for 2 yds to the KENT 2
100.0%
0.0
Q3 5:02
Brock Glenn pass complete to Landen Thomas for 2 yds for a TD (Jake Weinberg KICK)
100.0%
0.0
KENT · Drive 20FG · 16 plays · 54 yds
Q3 5:02
Brunno Reus kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
100.0%
0.0
Q3 4:56
Gavin Garcia run for 1 yd to the KENT 26
99.9%
-0.1
Q3 4:15
Nolan Good run for a loss of 1 yard to the KENT 25
99.9%
0.0
Q3 3:35
Nolan Good pass complete to Jahzae Kimbrough for 10 yds to the KENT 35 for a 1ST down
99.9%
0.0
Q3 3:05
Jahzae Kimbrough run for a loss of 3 yards to the KENT 32
99.9%
0.0
Q3 2:28
Gavin Garcia run for no gain to the KENT 32
99.9%
0.0
Q3 1:47
Nolan Good pass complete to Cade Wolford for 9 yds to the KENT 41
99.9%
0.0
Q3 1:00
(01:06) Durkin,Charlie punt 51 yards to the FSU08 Gibson,BJ return 17 yards to the FSU25 (Cross,Semaj; Clark,Da'Realyst) PENALTY FSU Roughing The Kicker (Suarez,Willy) 15 yards from KSU41 to FSU44, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
99.9%
0.0
Q3 0:51
Nolan Good pass complete to Sebastian Brown for 5 yds to the FSU 39
99.9%
0.0
Q3 0:00
Jahzae Kimbrough run for 4 yds to the FSU 35
99.9%
0.0
Q4 14:52
Jahzae Kimbrough run for 2 yds to the FSU 33 for a 1ST down
99.9%
0.0
Q4 14:03
Nolan Good pass complete to Christian Berry for 10 yds to the FSU 23 for a 1ST down
99.9%
0.0
Q4 13:25
Nolan Good pass incomplete to Ardell Banks
99.9%
0.0
Q4 13:17
Marques Hicks run for 2 yds to the FSU 21
99.9%
0.0
Q4 12:45
Nolan Good pass incomplete to Ardell Banks
99.9%
0.0
Q4 12:41
Will Hryszko 38 yd FG GOOD
99.9%
0.0
FSU · Drive 21TD · 8 plays · 65 yds
Q4 12:41
Will Hryszko kickoff for 60 yds
99.9%
0.0
Q4 12:29
Brock Glenn pass complete to Greyson Labiad for 6 yds to the FSU 41
100.0%
+0.1
Q4 11:46
Samuel Singleton Jr. run for 5 yds to the FSU 46 for a 1ST down
100.0%
0.0
Q4 11:00
Zay Parks run for 5 yds to the KENT 49
100.0%
0.0
Q4 10:23
Jaylen King run for 6 yds to the KENT 43 for a 1ST down
100.0%
0.0
Q4 9:49
Samuel Singleton Jr. run for 6 yds to the KENT 37
100.0%
0.0
Q4 9:07
Jaylen King run for no gain to the KENT 37
100.0%
0.0
Q4 8:20
Samuel Singleton Jr. run for 37 yds for a TD (Brunno Reus KICK)
100.0%
0.0
KENT · Drive 22PUNT · 7 plays · 17 yds
Q4 8:20
Brunno Reus kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
100.0%
0.0
Q4 8:09
Nolan Good run for 2 yds to the KENT 27
99.9%
-0.1
Q4 7:36
(07:38) No Huddle-Shotgun Hicks,Marques rush right for 2 yards loss to the KSU25 (Lee,Tylon) PENALTY FSU Face Mask (Lee,Tylon) 15 yards from KSU27 to KSU42, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
99.9%
0.0
Q4 7:09
Nolan Good pass incomplete to Marques Hicks
99.9%
0.0
Q4 7:06
Nolan Good pass incomplete to Cade Wolford
99.9%
0.0
Q4 7:03
Nolan Good pass incomplete to Ayden Harris
99.9%
0.0
Q4 6:56
Charlie Durkin punt for 44 yds, fair catch by BJ Gibson at the FSU 14
99.9%
0.0
FSU · Drive 23DOWNS · 12 plays · 49 yds
Q4 6:51
Jaylen King pass incomplete to Teriq Mallory
100.0%
+0.1
Q4 6:40
Zay Parks run for 4 yds to the FSU 18
100.0%
0.0
Q4 6:00
(06:01) No Huddle-Shotgun King,Jaylen rush left for 11 yards gain to the FSU29 (Cordoba,Joel), out of bounds PENALTY FSU Holding (Raymond,Josh) 9 yards from FSU18 to FSU09. NO PLAY.
100.0%
0.0
Q4 5:28
Zay Parks run for 22 yds to the FSU 31 for a 1ST down
100.0%
0.0
Q4 4:47
Zay Parks run for 4 yds to the FSU 35
100.0%
0.0
Q4 4:00
Jeremiah Johnson run for 5 yds to the FSU 40
100.0%
0.0
Q4 3:12
Jeremiah Johnson run for 16 yds to the KENT 44 for a 1ST down
100.0%
0.0
Q4 2:30
Zay Parks run for a loss of 1 yard to the KENT 45
100.0%
0.0
Q4 2:00
Timeout Florida State, clock 02:00
100.0%
0.0
Q4 1:49
Jeremiah Johnson run for 1 yd to the KENT 44
100.0%
0.0
Q4 1:07
Jeremiah Johnson run for 4 yds to the KENT 40
100.0%
0.0
Q4 0:26
Jeremiah Johnson run for 3 yds to the KENT 37
100.0%
0.0
KENT · Drive 24END OF GAME · 1 play · 8 yds
Q4 0:00
Ayden Harris run for 8 yds to the KENT 45
99.9%
-0.1
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 13:39
Gavin Sawchuk run for 4 yds for a TD (Jake Weinberg KICK)
+3.8
KEY PLAY · Q1 13:19
run for a loss of 7 yards to the KENT 18
-2.5
TD · Q1 8:08
Dru DeShields pass complete to Dashawn Martin for 75 yds for a TD (Will Hryszko KICK)
-2.5