CAL
California 0 at San Diego State 34
SDSU2025 · Week 4 · Sep 21, 2025 · Snapdragon Stadium
Speed4x
Win probability · SDSU
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SDSU · Drive 1PUNT · 6 plays · 15 yds
Q1 14:57
Chase Meyer kickoff for 65 yds , Jordan Napier return for 16 yds to the SDSU 16
18.6%
0.0
Q1 14:39
Lucky Sutton run for 11 yds to the SDSU 27 for a 1ST down
20.2%
+1.7
Q1 14:06
Jayden Denegal pass complete to Jacob Bostick for 2 yds to the SDSU 25
20.2%
0.0
Q1 13:33
Jayden Denegal pass complete to Jordan Napier for 6 yds to the SDSU 31
20.2%
0.0
Q1 13:09
Jayden Denegal pass incomplete to Jordan Napier
20.2%
0.0
Q1 13:01
Hunter Green punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Jacob De Jesus at the CAL 23
20.0%
-0.2
CAL · Drive 2DOWNS · 21 plays · 75 yds
Q1 12:51
Kendrick Raphael run for 3 yds to the CAL 26
18.2%
-1.8
Q1 12:13
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele pass complete to Trond Grizzell for 8 yds to the CAL 34 for a 1ST down
18.2%
0.0
Q1 11:44
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele pass complete to Mark Hamper for 1 yd to the CAL 35
18.2%
0.0
Q1 11:30
PENALTY SDSU Offside (Phillips,Bryce) 5 yards from Cal35 to Cal40. NO PLAY.
18.2%
0.0
Q1 11:17
Kendrick Raphael run for 2 yds to the CAL 42
17.5%
-0.7
Q1 10:42
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele pass complete to Mason Mini for 7 yds to the CAL 49 for a 1ST down
17.4%
-0.2
Q1 10:13
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele pass incomplete to Mark Hamper
16.9%
-0.5
Q1 9:59
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele pass complete to Mason Mini for 19 yds to the SDSU 32 for a 1ST down
16.9%
0.0
Q1 9:32
Kendrick Raphael run for 3 yds to the SDSU 29
16.7%
-0.2
Q1 8:52
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele pass complete to Mason Mini for no gain to the SDSU 29
16.5%
-0.2
Q1 8:13
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele run for 6 yds to the SDSU 23
16.8%
+0.4
Q1 7:37
LJ Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds to the SDSU 20 for a 1ST down
17.3%
+0.4
Q1 6:58
LJ Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the SDSU 18
16.8%
-0.4
Q1 6:24
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele pass complete to Jacob De Jesus for 6 yds to the SDSU 12
16.9%
0.0
Q1 5:50
Kendrick Raphael run for 1 yd to the SDSU 11
16.9%
0.0
Q1 5:11
Kendrick Raphael run for 2 yds to the SDSU 9 for a 1ST down
17.5%
+0.6
Q1 4:33
Kendrick Raphael run for 2 yds to the SDSU 7
17.1%
-0.4
Q1 3:45
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele pass complete to Mason Mini for 6 yds to the SDSU 1
17.1%
0.0
Q1 3:22
Kendrick Raphael run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSU 2
17.1%
0.0
Q1 2:59
Timeout California, clock 02:59
17.8%
+0.7
Q1 2:54
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele pass incomplete to Landon Morris
17.8%
0.0
SDSU · Drive 3PUNT · 7 plays · 6 yds
Q1 2:45
Lucky Sutton run for 10 yds to the SDSU 12 for a 1ST down
20.5%
+2.6
Q1 2:26
Lucky Sutton run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSU 11
20.5%
0.0
Q1 1:46
Jayden Denegal sacked by Cam Sidney for a loss of 9 yards to the SDSU 2
20.5%
0.0
Q1 1:18
Timeout San Diego State, clock 01:18
20.8%
+0.4
Q1 1:12
Lucky Sutton run for 6 yds to the SDSU 8
20.8%
0.0
Q1 0:33
Hunter Green punt for 49 yds , Jacob De Jesus returns for 15 yds to the SDSU 42
20.7%
-0.1
Q1 0:33
Hunter Green punt for 49 yds , Jacob De Jesus returns for 15 yds to the CAL 36
20.7%
0.0
CAL · Drive 4PUNT · 7 plays · 22 yds
Q1 0:22
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele pass incomplete to Mark Hamper
18.5%
-2.3
Q1 0:00
LJ Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds to the CAL 39
19.2%
+0.8
Q2 14:51
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele pass complete to Jacob De Jesus for 7 yds to the SDSU 46 for a 1ST down San Diego State Penalty, (15 Yards) to the SDSU 39 for a 1ST down
18.8%
-0.4
Q2 14:37
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele pass incomplete to Jacob De Jesus
17.6%
-1.2
Q2 14:31
LJ Johnson Jr. run for 5 yds to the SDSU 34
17.6%
0.0
Q2 14:02
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele sacked by Trey White for a loss of 8 yards to the SDSU 42
17.6%
0.0
Q2 13:19
Michael Kern punt for 42 yds for a touchback
18.3%
+0.7
SDSU · Drive 5TD · 5 plays · 80 yds
Q2 13:10
(13:16) No Huddle-Shotgun Denegal,Jayden rush middle for 14 yards gain to the SDSU34 (Manutai,Aiden) PENALTY SDSU Holding (Borjon,Joseph) 10 yards from SDSU20 to SDSU10. NO PLAY.
21.9%
+3.6
Q2 12:35
Jayden Denegal pass complete to Jordan Napier for 80 yds to the CAL 10 for a 1ST down
21.9%
0.0
Q2 12:15
Timeout San Diego State, clock 12:15
23.5%
+1.6
Q2 12:01
Jayden Denegal pass complete to Jacob Bostick for 4 yds to the CAL 6
23.5%
0.0
Q2 11:42
Jayden Denegal pass complete to Jordan Napier for 6 yds for a TD (Gabriel Plascencia KICK)
36.0%
+12.5
CAL · Drive 6PUNT · 8 plays · -7 yds
Q2 11:42
Gabriel Plascencia kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
34.9%
-1.2
Q2 11:35
Kendrick Raphael run for 2 yds to the CAL 27
32.2%
-2.6
Q2 10:57
Timeout California, clock 10:57
33.4%
+1.2
Q2 10:54
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele pass incomplete to Jacob De Jesus
33.4%
0.0
Q2 10:54
(10:52) PENALTY Cal False Start (Vatikani,Sioape) 5 yards from Cal27 to Cal22. NO PLAY.
33.4%
0.0
Q2 10:43
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele sacked by August Salvati for a loss of 4 yards to the CAL 18
33.5%
+0.1
Q2 10:04
Michael Kern punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CAL 41 , Eric Butler returns for 22 yds to the CAL 41
33.6%
+0.1
Q2 10:04
Michael Kern punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CAL 41 , Eric Butler returns for 22 yds to the CAL 41
33.6%
0.0
SDSU · Drive 7FG · 8 plays · 25 yds
Q2 9:44
Jayden Denegal pass complete to Christian Washington for 11 yds to the CAL 30 for a 1ST down
37.0%
+3.3
Q2 9:26
Christian Washington run for 8 yds to the CAL 22
37.0%
0.0
Q2 9:01
Christian Washington run for 6 yds to the CAL 16 for a 1ST down
37.0%
0.0
Q2 8:35
Christian Washington run for 4 yds to the CAL 12
37.0%
0.0
Q2 8:02
(08:07) No Huddle-Shotgun Denegal,Jayden pass complete short right to Bostick,Jacob caught at Cal06, for 6 yards to the Cal06 (Crosby,Isaiah) PENALTY SDSU Pass Interference (Acevedo,Nathan) 15 yards from Cal12 to Cal27. NO PLAY.
38.0%
+1.0
Q2 7:41
Christian Washington run for 7 yds to the CAL 20
38.0%
0.0
Q2 7:02
Christian Washington run for 4 yds to the CAL 16
37.8%
-0.2
Q2 6:20
Gabriel Plascencia 34 yd FG GOOD
42.2%
+4.5
CAL · Drive 8MISSED FG · 11 plays · 49 yds
Q2 6:20
Gabriel Plascencia kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
42.0%
-0.2
Q2 6:04
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele run for 4 yds to the CAL 29
42.4%
+0.4
Q2 5:25
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele pass complete to Mark Hamper for 21 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down
42.4%
0.0
Q2 5:00
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele pass incomplete to LJ Johnson Jr.
42.2%
-0.2
Q2 4:47
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele pass complete to Trond Grizzell for 33 yds to the SDSU 17 for a 1ST down
42.4%
+0.2
Q2 4:35
Brandon High Jr. run for 1 yd to the SDSU 16
41.1%
-1.4
Q2 4:01
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele pass incomplete to Trond Grizzell
43.2%
+2.2
Q2 4:01
(04:01) PENALTY Cal False Start (Vatikani,Sioape) 5 yards from SDSU16 to SDSU21. NO PLAY.
43.2%
0.0
Q2 4:01
(03:59) PENALTY Cal False Start (King,Jordan) 5 yards from SDSU21 to SDSU26. NO PLAY.
43.2%
0.0
Q2 3:55
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele pass incomplete
43.2%
0.0
Q2 3:49
Chase Meyer 44 yd FG MISSED
44.2%
+0.9
SDSU · Drive 9FG · 13 plays · 51 yds
Q2 3:40
Lucky Sutton run for 7 yds to the SDSU 33
45.1%
+1.0
Q2 3:23
Lucky Sutton run for 2 yds to the SDSU 35
46.4%
+1.3
Q2 2:48
Lucky Sutton run for 5 yds to the SDSU 40 for a 1ST down
46.4%
0.0
Q2 2:20
Jayden Denegal pass complete to Jacob Bostick for 19 yds to the CAL 41 for a 1ST down
46.8%
+0.4
Q2 1:54
Jayden Denegal run for 16 yds to the CAL 25 for a 1ST down
47.5%
+0.7
Q2 1:36
Jayden Denegal pass intercepted Isaiah Crosby return for no gain to the CAL 0
47.5%
0.0
Q2 1:36
(01:42) No Huddle-Shotgun Denegal,Jayden pass intercepted by Crosby,Isaiah at Cal00, End Of Play PENALTY Cal Offside 5 yards from Cal25 to Cal20. NO PLAY.
47.5%
0.0
Q2 1:12
Jordan Napier run for 3 yds to the CAL 17
52.1%
+4.6
Q2 0:46
Lucky Sutton run for 5 yds to the CAL 12 for a 1ST down
52.2%
+0.1
Q2 0:33
(00:35) No Huddle-Shotgun Acevedo,Nathan rush right for 1 yard gain to the Cal11 (Uluave,Cade) PENALTY SDSU Holding 10 yards from Cal12 to Cal22. NO PLAY.
52.2%
0.0
Q2 0:11
Jayden Denegal run for a loss of 1 yard to the CAL 23
51.9%
-0.3
Q2 0:02
Timeout San Diego State, clock 00:02
52.1%
+0.1
Q2 0:00
Gabriel Plascencia 41 yd FG GOOD
61.4%
+9.3
CAL · Drive 10PUNT · 6 plays · -10 yds
Q3 14:55
Gabriel Plascencia kickoff for 60 yds , Jacob De Jesus return for 15 yds to the CAL 20
58.2%
-3.2
Q3 14:49
(14:53) No Huddle-Shotgun Sagapolutele,Jaron-Keawe pass complete short middle to Grizzell,Trond caught at Cal23, for 3 yards to the Cal23 (Buxton,Isaiah) PENALTY Cal Holding (Bell,Leon) 10 yards from Cal20 to Cal10. NO PLAY.
52.7%
-5.5
Q3 14:26
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele pass incomplete
53.0%
+0.3
Q3 14:16
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele pass incomplete to Trond Grizzell
53.0%
0.0
Q3 14:12
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele pass incomplete to Trond Grizzell
53.0%
0.0
Q3 14:04
Michael Kern punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Jordan Napier at the CAL 42
53.0%
0.0
SDSU · Drive 11PUNT · 5 plays · 1 yds
Q3 13:57
(14:04) No Huddle-Shotgun Sutton,Lucky rush left for 3 yards gain to the Cal39 (Crosby,Isaiah; Bollers,T.J.) PENALTY SDSU Holding (Adams,Seth) 10 yards from Cal42 to SDSU48. NO PLAY.
61.3%
+8.3
Q3 13:43
Lucky Sutton run for 9 yds to the CAL 43
60.8%
-0.5
Q3 12:51
Jayden Denegal pass complete to Jackson Ford for a loss of 1 yard to the CAL 44
62.9%
+2.1
Q3 12:15
Jayden Denegal run for 3 yds to the CAL 41
62.2%
-0.7
Q3 11:41
Hunter Green punt for 37 yds
62.7%
+0.5
CAL · Drive 12FUMBLE RETURN TD · 2 plays · 31 yds
Q3 11:22
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele pass complete to Trond Grizzell for 24 yds to the CAL 28 for a 1ST down
58.0%
-4.6
Q3 11:03
Dwayne McDougle 35 Yd Fumble Return (Gabriel Plascencia Kick)
78.0%
+20.0
CAL · Drive 13PUNT · 5 plays · 4 yds
Q3 11:03
Gabriel Plascencia kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
93.6%
+15.6
Q3 10:58
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele pass incomplete to LJ Johnson Jr.
78.0%
-15.6
Q3 10:54
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele pass incomplete to Trond Grizzell
78.0%
0.0
Q3 10:42
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele pass complete to Mark Hamper for 4 yds to the CAL 29
78.4%
+0.4
Q3 10:03
Michael Kern punt for 41 yds
78.8%
+0.4
SDSU · Drive 14PUNT · 4 plays · 6 yds
Q3 9:57
Lucky Sutton run for 2 yds to the SDSU 32
93.9%
+15.1
Q3 9:10
Jayden Denegal pass complete to Jacob Bostick for 4 yds to the SDSU 36
93.9%
0.0
Q3 8:40
Jayden Denegal pass incomplete
93.9%
0.0
Q3 8:28
Hunter Green punt for 45 yds , Jacob De Jesus returns for 8 yds to the CAL 27
93.9%
0.0
CAL · Drive 15INT TD · 8 plays · 53 yds
Q3 8:04
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele pass complete to Mason Mini for 16 yds to the CAL 43 for a 1ST down
79.7%
-14.2
Q3 8:02
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele pass incomplete to Jaiven Plummer
79.7%
0.0
Q3 7:55
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele pass incomplete to Jacob De Jesus
79.7%
0.0
Q3 7:37
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele pass complete to Trond Grizzell for 26 yds to the SDSU 31 for a 1ST down
79.7%
0.0
Q3 7:16
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele pass incomplete to Jacob De Jesus
79.6%
-0.1
Q3 7:10
Brandon High Jr. run for 9 yds to the SDSU 22
79.6%
0.0
Q3 6:44
Brandon High Jr. run for 2 yds to the SDSU 20 for a 1ST down
79.3%
-0.3
Q3 5:59
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele pass intercepted Chris Johnson return for 97 yds for a TD (Gabriel Plascencia KICK)
88.2%
+8.9
CAL · Drive 16INT · 4 plays · 12 yds
Q3 5:59
Gabriel Plascencia kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
95.6%
+7.4
Q3 5:52
LJ Johnson Jr. run for 6 yds to the CAL 31
88.5%
-7.1
Q3 5:33
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele pass complete to Mason Mini for 6 yds to the CAL 37 for a 1ST down
88.7%
+0.3
Q3 5:03
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele pass intercepted Dalesean Staley return for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSU 41
88.7%
0.0
SDSU · Drive 17PUNT · 4 plays · 3 yds
Q3 5:03
Christian Washington run for 1 yd to the SDSU 42
95.6%
+6.9
Q3 4:34
(00:50) No Huddle-Shotgun Washington,Christian rush left for 11 yards gain to the Cal47 (Polidore Jr.,Dru) PENALTY SDSU Holding 10 yards from SDSU42 to SDSU32. NO PLAY.
95.6%
0.0
Q3 3:16
Jayden Denegal pass complete to Jordan Napier for 12 yds to the SDSU 44
96.0%
+0.4
Q3 2:23
Hunter Green punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Jacob De Jesus at the CAL 6
96.1%
+0.1
CAL · Drive 18PUNT · 7 plays · 27 yds
Q3 2:23
Brandon High Jr. run for 3 yds to the CAL 9
92.5%
-3.6
Q3 1:15
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele pass complete to Mark Hamper for 2 yds to the CAL 11
94.1%
+1.6
Q3 0:42
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele pass complete to Jacob De Jesus for 22 yds to the CAL 33 for a 1ST down
94.5%
+0.3
Q3 0:37
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele pass incomplete to Mason Mini
94.5%
0.0
Q3 0:35
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele pass incomplete
94.5%
0.0
Q3 0:31
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele pass incomplete to Hezekiah Masses
94.5%
0.0
Q3 0:28
Michael Kern punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Jordan Napier at the SDSU 24
94.5%
0.0
SDSU · Drive 19TD · 13 plays · 76 yds
Q3 0:00
Jayden Denegal pass complete to Jordan Napier for 8 yds to the SDSU 32
96.4%
+1.9
Q4 14:38
Jayden Denegal pass complete to Jordan Napier for 10 yds to the SDSU 42 for a 1ST down
96.9%
+0.5
Q4 14:15
Christian Washington run for 10 yds to the CAL 48 for a 1ST down
96.9%
0.0
Q4 13:28
Christian Washington run for a loss of 3 yards to the SDSU 49
96.9%
0.0
Q4 12:51
Jayden Denegal pass complete to Jordan Napier for 4 yds to the CAL 47
96.9%
0.0
Q4 12:12
Christian Washington run for 11 yds to the CAL 36 for a 1ST down
97.3%
+0.4
Q4 11:38
Jayden Denegal pass incomplete to Christian Washington
97.3%
0.0
Q4 11:38
Timeout San Diego State, clock 11:38
97.3%
0.0
Q4 11:17
Jordan Napier run for 3 yds to the CAL 33
97.3%
0.0
Q4 10:41
Jayden Denegal pass complete to Jordan Napier for 8 yds to the CAL 25 for a 1ST down
97.3%
0.0
Q4 10:09
Lucky Sutton run for 2 yds to the CAL 23
97.3%
0.0
Q4 9:35
Jayden Denegal pass complete to Jordan Napier for 20 yds to the CAL 3 for a 1ST down California Penalty, Defensive Offside (Cade Uluave) declined for a 1ST down
97.3%
0.0
Q4 9:20
Lucky Sutton run for 3 yds for a TD (Gabriel Plascencia KICK)
97.6%
+0.3
CAL · Drive 20PUNT · 6 plays · 1 yds
Q4 9:20
Gabriel Plascencia kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
97.6%
0.0
Q4 9:12
LJ Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the CAL 27
95.6%
-2.1
Q4 8:46
LJ Johnson Jr. run for 1 yd to the CAL 28
95.6%
0.0
Q4 8:09
Timeout California, clock 08:09
95.6%
+0.1
Q4 7:51
Devin Brown sacked by August Salvati for a loss of 2 yards to the CAL 26
95.6%
0.0
Q4 7:22
Michael Kern punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Mikey Welsh at the SDSU 26
95.6%
0.0
SDSU · Drive 21PUNT · 4 plays · 6 yds
Q4 7:14
Bert Emanuel Jr. run for no gain to the SDSU 26
97.9%
+2.3
Q4 6:34
Bert Emanuel Jr. run for 5 yds to the SDSU 31
98.2%
+0.3
Q4 5:51
Bert Emanuel Jr. run for 1 yd to the SDSU 32
98.2%
0.0
Q4 5:06
Hunter Green punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jacob De Jesus at the CAL 30
98.1%
0.0
CAL · Drive 22DOWNS · 10 plays · 27 yds
Q4 5:00
LJ Johnson Jr. run for 6 yds to the CAL 36
96.0%
-2.1
Q4 4:34
LJ Johnson Jr. run for 4 yds to the CAL 40 for a 1ST down
96.0%
0.0
Q4 4:04
Devin Brown pass incomplete to Kyion Grayes
96.1%
+0.2
Q4 3:58
LJ Johnson Jr. run for 7 yds to the CAL 47
96.1%
0.0
Q4 2:58
Devin Brown pass complete to QuaRon Adams for 16 yds to the SDSU 37 for a 1ST down
96.2%
0.0
Q4 2:58
Timeout San Diego State, clock 02:58
96.1%
-0.1
Q4 2:51
Kendrick Raphael run for 4 yds to the SDSU 33
96.1%
0.0
Q4 2:23
Kendrick Raphael run for 2 yds to the SDSU 31
96.1%
0.0
Q4 1:54
Devin Brown pass incomplete to Kyion Grayes
96.4%
+0.3
Q4 1:46
Devin Brown sacked by Ryan Henderson for a loss of 12 yards to the SDSU 43
96.3%
-0.1
SDSU · Drive 23END OF GAME · 3 plays · 2 yds
Q4 1:30
Byron Cardwell Jr. run for 4 yds to the SDSU 47
98.3%
+2.0
Q4 0:45
B. Emanuel Jr. takes a knee
98.3%
0.0
Q4 0:00
B. Emanuel Jr. takes a knee
97.9%
-0.4
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 11:03
Dwayne McDougle 35 Yd Fumble Return (Gabriel Plascencia Kick)
+20
KEY PLAY · Q3 11:03
Gabriel Plascencia kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
+15.6
KEY PLAY · Q3 10:58
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele pass incomplete to LJ Johnson Jr.
-15.6