STAN
Stanford 20 at Virginia 48
UVA2025 · Week 4 · Sep 20, 2025 · Scott Stadium
Speed4x
Win probability · UVA
modelUVA aheadSTAN aheadconfidence bandkey play
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
STAN · Drive 1PUNT · 5 plays · 5 yds
Q1 14:56
Elijah Slibeck kickoff for 58 yds , Cole Tabb return for 9 yds to the STAN 16
78.3%
0.0
Q1 14:48
Micah Ford run for 1 yd to the STAN 17
76.0%
-2.3
Q1 14:13
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Micah Ford for 4 yds to the STAN 21
75.1%
-0.9
Q1 13:41
Ben Gulbranson pass incomplete to C.J. Williams
75.1%
0.0
Q1 13:34
Aidan Flintoft punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UVA 35
75.1%
0.0
UVA · Drive 2TD · 8 plays · 65 yds
Q1 13:27
Chandler Morris pass incomplete to Trell Harris
78.1%
+3.0
Q1 13:08
Chandler Morris pass complete to Cam Ross for 20 yds to the STAN 45 for a 1ST down
78.1%
0.0
Q1 12:58
J'Mari Taylor run for 8 yds to the STAN 37
79.5%
+1.4
Q1 12:28
Chandler Morris pass complete to Cam Ross for 25 yds to the STAN 12 for a 1ST down
79.8%
+0.3
Q1 12:02
J'Mari Taylor run for 6 yds to the STAN 6
79.8%
0.0
Q1 11:44
J'Mari Taylor run for 3 yds to the STAN 3
79.8%
0.0
Q1 11:08
Chandler Morris pass complete to Trell Harris for 3 yds for a TD (Will Bettridge KICK)
88.1%
+8.4
Q1 11:08
Timeout Virginia, clock 11:08
71.6%
-16.5
STAN · Drive 3TD · 7 plays · 76 yds
Q1 11:03
Elijah Slibeck kickoff for 60 yds , Caden High return for 19 yds to the STAN 24
86.6%
+15.0
Q1 10:55
Bryce Farrell run for 1 yd to the STAN 25
86.5%
0.0
Q1 10:21
Micah Ford run for 4 yds to the STAN 29
86.5%
0.0
Q1 9:35
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to C.J. Williams for 6 yds to the STAN 35 for a 1ST down
86.5%
0.0
Q1 9:03
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Bryce Farrell for 60 yds to the UVA 5 for a 1ST down
86.6%
+0.1
Q1 8:27
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Benji Blackburn for 5 yds for a TD (Emmet Kenney KICK)
69.1%
-17.5
Q1 8:27
Timeout Virginia, clock 08:27
75.0%
+6.0
UVA · Drive 4TD · 2 plays · 75 yds
Q1 8:27
Emmet Kenney kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
71.7%
-3.3
Q1 8:17
Chandler Morris pass complete to Trell Harris for 75 yds for a TD (Will Bettridge KICK)
86.4%
+14.6
STAN · Drive 5PUNT · 5 plays · 4 yds
Q1 8:17
Elijah Slibeck kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
86.4%
0.0
Q1 8:10
Cole Tabb run for no gain to the STAN 25
86.6%
+0.2
Q1 7:30
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to C.J. Williams for 4 yds to the STAN 29
86.6%
0.0
Q1 7:04
Ben Gulbranson pass incomplete to Caden High
86.6%
0.0
Q1 6:56
Aidan Flintoft punt for 43 yds , Cam Ross returns for no gain to the UVA 28
86.6%
0.0
UVA · Drive 6TD · 9 plays · 72 yds
Q1 6:50
J'Mari Taylor run for 1 yd to the UVA 29
86.4%
-0.2
Q1 6:03
Chandler Morris pass complete to Cam Ross for 5 yds to the UVA 34
85.7%
-0.7
Q1 5:28
PENALTY STN Offside (Rowell,Zach) 5 yards from UVA34 to UVA39, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
85.6%
-0.1
Q1 4:50
Chandler Morris pass complete to Sage Ennis for 8 yds to the UVA 47
85.9%
+0.3
Q1 4:34
J'Mari Taylor run for 1 yd to the UVA 48
86.1%
+0.2
Q1 4:18
J'Mari Taylor run for 4 yds to the STAN 48 for a 1ST down
86.0%
-0.1
Q1 3:53
Chandler Morris pass complete to Dakota Twitty for 21 yds to the STAN 27 for a 1ST down
86.0%
0.0
Q1 3:36
Chandler Morris pass complete to Trell Harris for 27 yds for a TD (Will Bettridge KICK)
95.7%
+9.6
Q1 3:36
Timeout Virginia, clock 03:36
93.0%
-2.7
STAN · Drive 7PUNT · 9 plays · 25 yds
Q1 3:36
Elijah Slibeck kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
95.8%
+2.8
Q1 3:23
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Benji Blackburn for 1 yd to the STAN 26
93.0%
-2.8
Q1 2:53
Micah Ford run for 10 yds to the STAN 36 for a 1ST down
93.0%
0.0
Q1 2:18
Ben Gulbranson pass incomplete to C.J. Williams
92.9%
-0.1
Q1 2:10
Micah Ford run for 11 yds to the STAN 47 for a 1ST down
92.9%
0.0
Q1 1:37
Micah Ford run for 1 yd to the STAN 48
92.8%
-0.1
Q1 0:51
Ben Gulbranson run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line
92.8%
0.0
Q1 0:14
Ben Gulbranson pass incomplete to Bryce Farrell
92.6%
-0.2
Q1 0:05
Aidan Flintoft punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UVA 12
92.6%
0.0
UVA · Drive 8TD · 14 plays · 88 yds
Q1 0:00
Xavier Brown run for 3 yds to the UVA 15
96.0%
+3.4
Q2 15:00
Timeout Virginia, clock 15:00
96.0%
0.0
Q2 14:53
Xavier Brown run for 13 yds to the UVA 28 for a 1ST down
96.0%
0.0
Q2 14:08
Chandler Morris run for 2 yds to the UVA 30
96.6%
+0.6
Q2 13:32
Xavier Brown run for 6 yds to the UVA 36
96.6%
0.0
Q2 13:11
Xavier Brown run for 1 yd to the UVA 37
96.6%
0.0
Q2 12:28
J'Mari Taylor run for 4 yds to the UVA 41 for a 1ST down
96.5%
-0.1
Q2 11:44
Chandler Morris pass complete to Jahmal Edrine for 19 yds to the STAN 40 for a 1ST down
96.7%
+0.1
Q2 11:05
Kameron Courtney run for 6 yds to the STAN 34
96.7%
0.0
Q2 10:46
J'Mari Taylor run for 9 yds to the STAN 25 for a 1ST down
96.7%
0.0
Q2 10:06
Chandler Morris run for 6 yds to the STAN 19
96.7%
0.0
Q2 9:50
Xavier Brown run for 6 yds to the STAN 13 for a 1ST down
96.7%
0.0
Q2 9:05
Chandler Morris run for 13 yds for a TD (Will Bettridge KICK)
97.9%
+1.2
Q2 9:05
Timeout Virginia, clock 09:05
97.8%
-0.1
STAN · Drive 9PUNT · 9 plays · 15 yds
Q2 9:05
Elijah Slibeck kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
97.9%
+0.1
Q2 9:05
PENALTY STN Delay Of Game (Gulbranson,Ben) 5 yards from STN25 to STN20. NO PLAY.
97.8%
-0.1
Q2 8:53
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to C.J. Williams for 8 yds to the STAN 28
97.8%
0.0
Q2 8:33
Micah Ford run for 2 yds to the STAN 30
97.8%
0.0
Q2 8:06
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to C.J. Williams for 12 yds to the STAN 42 for a 1ST down
97.8%
0.0
Q2 7:44
Micah Ford run for 3 yds to the STAN 45
97.8%
0.0
Q2 7:13
Ben Gulbranson sacked by Daniel Rickert for a loss of 5 yards to the STAN 40
97.9%
+0.2
Q2 6:31
Ben Gulbranson sacked by Cazeem Moore for a loss of 10 yards to the STAN 30
97.9%
0.0
Q2 5:56
Aidan Flintoft punt for 45 yds , Cam Ross returns for 9 yds to the UVA 14
97.9%
0.0
UVA · Drive 10MISSED FG · 11 plays · 79 yds
Q2 5:56
Timeout Virginia, clock 05:56
98.3%
+0.4
Q2 5:48
Harrison Waylee run for 14 yds to the UVA 28 for a 1ST down
98.3%
0.0
Q2 5:30
Harrison Waylee run for 2 yds to the UVA 30
98.3%
0.0
Q2 4:57
Chandler Morris run for 2 yds to the UVA 32
98.3%
0.0
Q2 4:11
Chandler Morris pass complete to J'Mari Taylor for 19 yds to the STAN 49 for a 1ST down
98.3%
0.0
Q2 3:45
Chandler Morris pass complete to Trell Harris for 40 yds to the STAN 9 for a 1ST down
98.4%
0.0
Q2 3:05
(03:10) No Huddle-Shotgun Taylor,J'Mari rush left for 9 yards gain to the STN00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 03:05 PENALTY UVA Holding (Metcalf,Drake) 10 yards from STN09 to STN19. NO PLAY.
98.2%
-0.1
Q2 2:55
J'Mari Taylor run for 12 yds to the STAN 7
98.2%
0.0
Q2 2:34
Chandler Morris pass incomplete to Dakota Twitty
98.2%
0.0
Q2 2:28
Chandler Morris pass incomplete to Cam Ross
98.2%
0.0
Q2 2:24
Will Bettridge 25 yd FG MISSED
98.2%
0.0
STAN · Drive 11TD · 11 plays · 80 yds
Q2 2:24
Timeout Virginia, clock 02:24
98.4%
+0.1
Q2 2:16
Micah Ford run for 10 yds to the STAN 30 for a 1ST down
98.4%
0.0
Q2 1:56
Timeout Virginia, clock 01:56
98.4%
0.0
Q2 1:54
Micah Ford run for a loss of 1 yard to the STAN 29
98.4%
0.0
Q2 1:49
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to C.J. Williams for 29 yds to the UVA 42 for a 1ST down
98.4%
0.0
Q2 1:43
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Caden High for 12 yds to the UVA 30 for a 1ST down
98.3%
0.0
Q2 1:28
Sedrick Irvin run for 6 yds to the UVA 24
98.3%
0.0
Q2 1:03
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to C.J. Williams for 22 yds to the UVA 2 for a 1ST down
98.3%
0.0
Q2 0:59
Timeout Virginia, clock 00:59
98.3%
0.0
Q2 0:58
Sedrick Irvin run for a loss of 1 yard to the UVA 3
98.3%
0.0
Q2 0:55
Micah Ford run for 3 yds for a TD (Emmet Kenney KICK)
94.5%
-3.7
UVA · Drive 12PUNT · 8 plays · 17 yds
Q2 0:55
Emmet Kenney kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
95.0%
+0.5
Q2 0:47
Chandler Morris pass complete to Cam Ross for 8 yds to the UVA 33
97.0%
+2.0
Q2 0:47
Timeout Virginia, clock 00:47
98.2%
+1.2
Q2 0:40
Chandler Morris pass complete to J'Mari Taylor for 2 yds to the UVA 35 for a 1ST down
98.2%
0.0
Q2 0:29
Chandler Morris pass complete to Jahmal Edrine for 2 yds to the UVA 37
98.2%
0.0
Q2 0:25
Chandler Morris pass incomplete to Jahmal Edrine
98.2%
-0.1
Q2 0:18
Chandler Morris pass complete to Cam Ross for 5 yds to the UVA 42
98.2%
0.0
Q2 0:11
Elijah Slibeck punt for 58 yds for a touchback
98.1%
-0.1
STAN · Drive 13END OF HALF · 1 play · -2 yds
Q2 0:00
(00:08) Kneel down by Stanford at STN18 for loss of 2 yards.
95.2%
-2.9
UVA · Drive 14TD · 10 plays · 68 yds
Q3 14:53
Emmet Kenney kickoff for 65 yds , Cam Ross return for 32 yds to the UVA 32
95.5%
+0.3
Q3 14:53
Timeout Virginia, clock 14:53
97.0%
+1.5
Q3 14:46
J'Mari Taylor run for 1 yd to the UVA 33
97.0%
0.0
Q3 14:20
J'Mari Taylor run for 6 yds to the UVA 39
97.0%
0.0
Q3 13:42
J'Mari Taylor run for 5 yds to the UVA 44 for a 1ST down
97.1%
0.0
Q3 12:55
Chandler Morris pass complete to Dakota Twitty for 26 yds to the STAN 30 for a 1ST down
97.2%
+0.1
Q3 12:22
Xavier Brown run for 20 yds to the STAN 10 for a 1ST down
97.3%
+0.1
Q3 12:01
Xavier Brown run for a loss of 3 yards to the STAN 13
97.3%
0.0
Q3 11:21
Chandler Morris pass complete to Sage Ennis for 13 yds for a TD (Will Bettridge KICK)
98.4%
+1.2
Q3 11:21
Timeout Virginia, clock 11:21
98.3%
-0.2
STAN · Drive 15PUNT · 5 plays · -7 yds
Q3 11:21
Elijah Slibeck kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
98.3%
+0.1
Q3 11:15
Micah Ford run for no gain to the STAN 25
98.3%
-0.1
Q3 10:37
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to C.J. Williams for 5 yds to the STAN 30
98.3%
+0.1
Q3 10:01
Ben Gulbranson sacked for a loss of 12 yards to the STAN 18
98.3%
0.0
Q3 9:26
Aidan Flintoft punt for 21 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the STAN 39
98.3%
0.0
UVA · Drive 16FG · 12 plays · 29 yds
Q3 9:18
Harrison Waylee run for 2 yds to the STAN 37
98.4%
0.0
Q3 8:54
PENALTY UVA False Start (Josey,Noah) 5 yards from STN37 to STN42. NO PLAY.
98.4%
0.0
Q3 8:25
Chandler Morris pass complete to Harrison Waylee for 2 yds to the STAN 40
98.4%
0.0
Q3 8:25
Timeout Virginia, clock 08:25
98.4%
0.0
Q3 8:04
Chandler Morris pass complete to Jahmal Edrine for 25 yds to the STAN 15 for a 1ST down
98.3%
0.0
Q3 7:25
J'Mari Taylor run for 9 yds to the STAN 6
98.4%
0.0
Q3 6:44
PENALTY UVA Delay Of Game (Morris,Chandler) 5 yards from STN06 to STN11. NO PLAY.
98.4%
0.0
Q3 6:15
Chandler Morris pass incomplete to Trell Harris
98.4%
0.0
Q3 6:15
PENALTY UVA False Start 5 yards from STN11 to STN16. NO PLAY.
98.4%
0.0
Q3 6:08
Chandler Morris pass complete to J'Mari Taylor for 6 yds to the STAN 10
98.4%
0.0
Q3 5:35
Will Bettridge 28 yd FG GOOD
98.5%
+0.1
Q3 5:35
Timeout Virginia, clock 05:35
98.3%
-0.2
STAN · Drive 17TD · 4 plays · 75 yds
Q3 5:35
Elijah Slibeck kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
98.6%
+0.3
Q3 5:24
Cole Tabb run for 1 yd to the STAN 26
98.5%
-0.1
Q3 4:46
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Myles Libman for 6 yds to the STAN 32
98.6%
+0.1
Q3 4:18
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Bryce Farrell for 68 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
97.9%
-0.8
UVA · Drive 18PUNT · 5 plays · 3 yds
Q3 4:18
Emmet Kenney kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
97.9%
0.0
Q3 4:09
Xavier Brown run for 3 yds to the UVA 28
98.0%
+0.1
Q3 3:54
Xavier Brown run for no gain to the UVA 28
98.0%
0.0
Q3 3:22
Chandler Morris pass incomplete to Kameron Courtney
98.0%
0.0
Q3 3:14
Elijah Slibeck punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Liam Thorpe at the STAN 24
98.0%
0.0
STAN · Drive 19PUNT · 4 plays · -7 yds
Q3 3:09
Micah Ford run for a loss of 1 yard to the STAN 23
97.9%
-0.1
Q3 2:36
Ben Gulbranson sacked by Daniel Rickert for a loss of 8 yards to the STAN 15
97.9%
+0.1
Q3 1:46
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Caden High for 2 yds to the STAN 17
98.0%
0.0
Q3 1:16
Aidan Flintoft punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Cam Ross at the UVA 39
98.0%
0.0
UVA · Drive 20FG · 13 plays · 52 yds
Q3 1:08
Chandler Morris sacked by Zach Buckey for a loss of 4 yards to the UVA 35
98.2%
+0.3
Q3 0:37
(00:40) No Huddle-Shotgun Taylor,J'Mari rush middle for 7 yards gain to the UVA42 (Cooper,Ernest; Edwards,Scotty) PENALTY UVA Holding (Wigenton,Kevin) 10 yards from UVA35 to UVA25. NO PLAY.
98.2%
0.0
Q3 0:05
(00:11) No Huddle-Shotgun Morris,Chandler pass incomplete deep left to Harris,Trell thrown to STN34 PENALTY STN Pass Interference (Ojarikre,Che) 15 yards from UVA25 to UVA40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
98.2%
0.0
Q3 0:00
Chandler Morris pass incomplete to Eli Wood
98.2%
0.0
Q4 14:49
Chandler Morris pass complete to Cam Ross for 16 yds to the STAN 44 for a 1ST down
98.2%
0.0
Q4 14:26
Chandler Morris pass complete to Cam Ross for 9 yds to the STAN 35
98.2%
0.0
Q4 14:07
Xavier Brown run for 6 yds to the STAN 29 for a 1ST down
98.3%
0.0
Q4 13:54
(13:56) No Huddle-Shotgun Morris,Chandler pass incomplete deep left to Wood,Eli thrown to STN00 PENALTY STN Pass Interference (Eckhardt,Charlie) 15 yards from STN29 to STN14, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
98.3%
0.0
Q4 13:46
J'Mari Taylor run for 1 yd to the STAN 13
98.3%
0.0
Q4 12:58
Chandler Morris pass complete to Jayden Thomas for 4 yds to the STAN 9
98.3%
0.0
Q4 12:29
Chandler Morris pass incomplete to Dillon Newton-Short
98.3%
0.0
Q4 12:26
Will Bettridge 26 yd FG GOOD
98.8%
+0.5
Q4 12:26
Timeout Virginia, clock 12:26
98.7%
-0.1
STAN · Drive 21FUMBLE · 8 plays · 11 yds
Q4 12:26
Elijah Slibeck kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
98.8%
+0.1
Q4 12:20
Ben Gulbranson pass incomplete to C.J. Williams
98.7%
-0.1
Q4 12:06
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to C.J. Williams for 4 yds to the STAN 29
98.7%
0.0
Q4 11:41
Timeout Stanford, clock 11:41
98.7%
0.0
Q4 11:22
Tuna Altahir run for 5 yds to the STAN 34
98.7%
0.0
Q4 10:58
Micah Ford run for 1 yd to the STAN 35 for a 1ST down
98.7%
0.0
Q4 10:12
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to C.J. Williams for 13 yds to the STAN 48 for a 1ST down
98.7%
0.0
Q4 9:35
Ben Gulbranson sacked by Jason Hammond for a loss of 12 yards to the STAN 36 Ben Gulbranson fumbled, recovered by UVA Kam Robinson , return for 0 yards
98.7%
-0.1
UVA · Drive 22TD · 10 plays · 36 yds
Q4 9:22
Harrison Waylee run for 2 yds to the STAN 34
98.9%
+0.2
Q4 8:51
Harrison Waylee run for 10 yds to the STAN 24 for a 1ST down
98.9%
0.0
Q4 8:20
(08:21) No Huddle-Shotgun Waylee,Harrison rush left for 1 yard gain to the STN23 (Johnson,Zach) PENALTY UVA Holding (Wigenton,Kevin) 10 yards from STN24 to STN34. NO PLAY.
98.9%
0.0
Q4 7:54
J'Mari Taylor run for 15 yds to the STAN 19
98.9%
0.0
Q4 7:09
Harrison Waylee run for 4 yds to the STAN 15
98.9%
+0.1
Q4 6:31
Harrison Waylee run for 10 yds to the STAN 5 for a 1ST down
98.9%
0.0
Q4 5:48
Harrison Waylee run for 1 yd to the STAN 4
98.9%
0.0
Q4 5:06
Harrison Waylee run for no gain to the STAN 4
98.9%
0.0
Q4 4:26
Daniel Kaelin pass complete to Eli Wood for 4 yds for a TD (Will Bettridge KICK)
99.3%
+0.4
Q4 4:26
Timeout Virginia, clock 04:26
99.0%
-0.3
STAN · Drive 23MISSED FG · 15 plays · 51 yds
Q4 4:26
Elijah Slibeck kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
99.3%
+0.3
Q4 4:16
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Bryce Farrell for 2 yds to the STAN 27
99.0%
-0.3
Q4 3:56
Cole Tabb run for 4 yds to the STAN 31
99.0%
0.0
Q4 3:30
Cole Tabb run for 14 yds to the STAN 45 for a 1ST down
99.0%
0.0
Q4 3:07
Ben Gulbranson pass incomplete to C.J. Williams
99.0%
0.0
Q4 2:59
Cole Tabb run for 2 yds to the STAN 47
99.0%
0.0
Q4 2:27
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Myles Libman for 18 yds to the UVA 35 for a 1ST down
99.0%
0.0
Q4 2:10
Cole Tabb run for 2 yds to the UVA 33
98.9%
0.0
Q4 2:00
Timeout Virginia, clock 02:00
98.9%
0.0
Q4 1:46
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Bryce Farrell for 5 yds to the UVA 28
98.9%
0.0
Q4 1:38
Cole Tabb run for 4 yds to the UVA 24 for a 1ST down
98.9%
0.0
Q4 1:19
Ben Gulbranson pass incomplete to Liam Thorpe
98.9%
0.0
Q4 1:14
Ben Gulbranson pass incomplete to Sam Roush
98.9%
0.0
Q4 1:08
Ben Gulbranson pass incomplete to Benji Blackburn
98.9%
0.0
Q4 1:03
Emmet Kenney 42 yd FG MISSED
98.9%
0.0
UVA · Drive 24END OF GAME · 2 plays · -4 yds
Q4 0:54
(01:00) Kneel down by Virginia at UVA22 for loss of 2 yards.
99.3%
+0.4
Q4 0:00
(00:27) Kneel down by Virginia at UVA20 for loss of 2 yards.
99.3%
0.0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 8:27
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Benji Blackburn for 5 yds for a TD (Emmet Kenney KICK)
-17.5
KEY PLAY · Q1 11:08
Timeout Virginia, clock 11:08
-16.5
KEY PLAY · Q1 11:03
Elijah Slibeck kickoff for 60 yds , Caden High return for 19 yds to the STAN 24
+15