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TXSO

Texas Southern 3 at California 35

CAL
2025 · Week 2 · Sep 6, 2025 · California Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · CAL
modelCAL aheadTXSO aheadconfidence bandkey playCAL scoreTXSO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q1Q3Q1Q2Q1Q2Q3Q2Q3Q4Q3Q4Q3Q4FGFGTDTDFGFGTDEnd of GameFG—CAL 99.3%Abram Murray 44 yd FG GOODAWAY 0 - HOME 3 · Q1 11:37
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 11:37 · Abram Murray 44 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorBlowout margin
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q1Q3Q1Q2Q1Q2Q3Q2Q3Q4Q3Q4Q3Q4Play 26Pregame prior+48.6Home team on offense+0.3Score differential+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Blowout margin−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q1 6:00: KJ Cooper pass to Kerien Charlo for 5 yds to the TXSO 41 — CAL win probability +8.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q3 9:38: Kendrick Raphael run for 1 yd for a TD Texas Southern Penalty, Illegal Substitution (Michael Akins) declined (Chase Meyer KICK) — CAL win probability +1.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: CAL has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 9:38: Timeout California, clock 09:38 — TXSO win probability +0.5 pts (now 2%) (top driver: TXSO has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 10:18: Chase Meyer 43 yd FG GOOD — CAL win probability +0.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: CAL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CAL made the numbers' call on 7 of 9TXSO made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q2 13:13CAL 4th & 3 at TXSO 29, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    97.4%−0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    97.1%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 14:02CAL 4th & 11 at CAL 19, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 12:24TXSO 4th & 13 at TXSO 23, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 11:37CAL 4th & 7 at TXSO 26, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.0%
    64% to make
    Punt
    98.6%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q1 9:27TXSO 4th & 8 at TXSO 36, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  6. Q1 9:27TXSO 4th & 8 at TXSO 36, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  7. Q1 3:32TXSO 4th & 6 at CAL 48, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
  8. Q1 7:43CAL 4th & 3 at CAL 35, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    98.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q1 7:43CAL 4th & 3 at CAL 35, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    98.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q1 2:02CAL 4th & 1 at CAL 20, up 3
    Close callPunted · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.9%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q1 3:32TXSO 4th & 6 at CAL 48, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
  12. Q1 0:05TXSO 4th & 14 at CAL 38, down 3
    Close callPunted · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    2.2%
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q1 2:12CAL 4th & 1 at CAL 20, up 3
    Close callPunted · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.9%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q2 13:13CAL 4th & 3 at TXSO 29, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    97.4%−0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    97.1%−0.4
    average punt
  15. Q2 10:31TXSO 4th & 8 at CAL 36, down 3
    Close callPunted · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    3.0%−<0.1
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q3 7:57TXSO 4th & 6 at TXSO 17, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%
    average punt
  17. Q3 12:53TXSO 4th & 1 at TXSO 34, down 18
    Close callPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%−0.2
    average punt
  18. Q4 10:18CAL 4th & 15 at TXSO 25, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.3%
    66% to make
    Punt
    98.8%−0.5
    average punt
  19. Q4 8:41TXSO 4th & 5 at TXSO 45, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CAL made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q3 9:38CAL Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 3:09CAL Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CALDrive 1INT
12 plays · 21 yds · 21:3399% → 97%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.4%
Kendrick Raphael run for 6 yds to the CAL 31Similar
Q2 14:51
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+33
98.2%
Kendrick Raphael run for 33 yds to the TXSO 36Similar
Q2 14:25
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
98.2%
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele run for 6 yds to the TXSO 30Similar
Q2 14:02
2ND & 4
OPP 30
+5
98.2%
California Penalty, falsestart (Braden Miller)Similar
Q2 13:51
2ND & 9
OPP 35
0
98.2%
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:39
3RD & 9
OPP 35
+6
98.1%
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele pass to Jacob De Jesus for 6 yds to the TXSO 29Similar
Q2 13:13
4TH & 3
OPP 29
0
98.0%
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
97.5%
Kendrick Raphael run for 9 yds to the CAL 29Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+10
97.5%
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele pass complete to Landon Morris for 10 yds to the CAL 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
97.3%
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele pass complete to LJ Johnson Jr. for 2 yds to the CAL 41Similar
Q2 8:27
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+15
97.2%
Texas Southern Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (15 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:3599% → 99%
Q1 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
99.4%
QuaRon Adams run for a loss of 1 yard to the CAL 19Similar
Q1 14:17
2ND & 11
OWN 19
0
99.4%
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele pass incomplete to Mark HamperSimilar
Q1 14:13
3RD & 11
OWN 19
0
99.4%
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele pass incomplete to Trond GrizzellSimilar
Q1 14:02
4TH & 11
OWN 19
0
99.4%
Michael Kern punt for 55 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSODrive 3PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:211% → 1%
Q1 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
99.4%
KJ Cooper pass complete to Kerien Charlo for 4 yds to the TXSO 30Similar
Q1 13:16
2ND & 6
OWN 30
-7
99.3%
KJ Cooper sacked by Ryan McCulloch for a loss of 7 yards to the TXSO 23Similar
Q1 12:36
3RD & 13
OWN 23
0
99.3%
KJ Cooper pass incomplete to Athean RenfroSimilar
Q1 12:24
4TH & 13
OWN 23
+25
99.3%
Jeremy Ramirez punt for 31 yds , Jacob De Jesus returns for 25 yds to the TXSO 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 4FG
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:4499% → 99%
Q1 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
99.3%
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele pass incomplete to Mark HamperSimilar
Q1 12:15
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+3
99.3%
Kendrick Raphael run for 3 yds to the TXSO 26Similar
Q1 11:42
3RD & 7
OPP 26
0
99.3%
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele pass incomplete to Jacob De JesusSimilar
Q1 11:37
4TH & 7
OPP 26
+44
99.3%
Abram Murray 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSODrive 5PUNT
11 plays · 15 yds · 2:541% → 1%
Q1 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
99.3%
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:15
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+3
99.3%
Kendrick Raphael run for 3 yds to the TXSO 26Similar
Q1 11:42
3RD & 7
OPP 26
0
99.3%
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:37
4TH & 7
OPP 26
+44
99.3%
Abram Murray 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q1 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
99.2%
Athean Renfro run for 2 yds to the TXSO 23Similar
Q1 10:16
3RD & 8
OWN 23
+11
99.2%
KJ Cooper run for 11 yds to the TXSO 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
99.1%
Athean Renfro run for 2 yds to the TXSO 36Similar
Q1 9:43
2ND & 8
OWN 36
0
99.1%
KJ Cooper pass incomplete to Kerien CharloSimilar
Q1 9:35
3RD & 8
OWN 36
0
99.1%
KJ Cooper pass incomplete to Roriyon RichardsonSimilar
Q1 9:27
4TH & 8
OWN 36
0
99.1%
Jeremy Ramirez punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CAL 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSODrive 6PUNT
13 plays · 16 yds · 7:481% → 1%
Q1 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
99.2%
Athean Renfro run for 2 yds to the TXSO 23Similar
Q1 10:50
2ND & 8
OWN 23
0
99.2%
KJ Cooper pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:16
3RD & 8
OWN 23
+11
99.2%
KJ Cooper run for 11 yds to the TXSO 34Similar
Q1 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
99.1%
Athean Renfro run for 2 yds to the TXSO 36Similar
Q1 9:43
2ND & 8
OWN 36
0
99.1%
KJ Cooper pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:35
3RD & 8
OWN 36
0
99.1%
KJ Cooper pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:27
4TH & 8
OWN 36
0
99.1%
Jeremy Ramirez punt for 36 yds to the TXSO , punt out-of-bounds at the TXSO Similar
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
98.9%
KJ Cooper pass complete to Kerien Charlo for 5 yds to the TXSO 41Similar
Q1 5:35
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+7
98.8%
Athean Renfro run for 7 yds to the TXSO 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
98.7%
Athean Renfro run for 1 yd to the TXSO 49Similar
Q1 4:21
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+3
98.7%
KJ Cooper pass complete to Roriyon Richardson for 3 yds to the CAL 48Similar
Q1 3:39
3RD & 6
OPP 48
0
98.6%
KJ Cooper pass incomplete to Trenton LearySimilar
Q1 3:32
4TH & 6
OPP 48
0
98.6%
Jeremy Ramirez punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jacob De Jesus at the CAL 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 7FUMBLE
8 plays · 36 yds · 3:0799% → 99%
Q1 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
99.1%
Brandon High Jr. run for 4 yds to the CAL 32Similar
Q1 8:53
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+3
99.1%
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele pass complete to Mason Mini for 3 yds to the CAL 35Similar
Q1 8:34
3RD & 3
OWN 35
0
99.1%
Brandon High Jr. run for no gain to the CAL 35Similar
Q1 7:43
4TH & 3
OWN 35
+9
99.0%
T.J. Bollers run for 9 yds to the CAL 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+12
99.0%
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele pass complete to Mason Mini for 12 yds to the TXSO 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:34
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
99.0%
Jacob De Jesus run for 8 yds to the TXSO 36Similar
Q1 6:13
2ND & 2
OPP 36
0
98.9%
Brandon High Jr. run for no gain to the TXSO 36 Brandon High Jr. fumbled, recovered by TXSO Michael AkinsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 8PUNT
14 plays · 9 yds · 7:1899% → 98%
Q1 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
99.1%
Brandon High Jr. run for 4 yds to the CAL 32Similar
Q1 8:53
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+3
99.1%
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele pass to Mason Mini for 3 yds to the CAL 35Similar
Q1 8:34
3RD & 3
OWN 35
+30
99.1%
Brandon High Jr. runSimilar
Q1 7:43
4TH & 3
OWN 35
+9
99.0%
T.J. Bollers run for 9 yds to the CAL 44Similar
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+12
99.0%
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele pass to Mason Mini for 12 yds to the TXSO 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:34
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
99.0%
Jacob De Jesus run for 8 yds to the TXSO 36Similar
Q1 6:13
2ND & 2
OPP 36
0
98.9%
Brandon High Jr. run, Michael Akins runSimilar
Q1 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+3
98.6%
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele pass complete to Jacob De Jesus for 3 yds to the CAL 14Similar
Q1 2:59
2ND & 7
OWN 14
0
98.6%
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele pass incomplete to Jacob De JesusSimilar
Q1 2:53
3RD & 7
OWN 14
+5
98.5%
(02:59) No Huddle-Shotgun Sagapolutele,Jaron-Keawe pass incomplete deep right to Grizzell,Trond thrown to TSU45 PENALTY TSU Offside (Cherry,Jamaal) 5 yards from CAL14 to CAL19. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:35
3RD & 2
OWN 19
+1
98.5%
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele pass complete to Landon Morris for 1 yd to the CAL 20Similar
Q1 2:02
4TH & 1
OWN 20
+7
98.4%
Michael Kern punt for 40 yds , Trenton Leary returns for 7 yds to the TXSO 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSODrive 9PUNT
12 plays · 15 yds · 5:551% → 2%
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
98.8%
KJ Cooper pass to Kerien Charlo for 5 yds to the TXSO 41Similar
Q1 5:35
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+7
98.8%
Athean Renfro run for 7 yds to the TXSO 48Similar
Q1 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
98.7%
Athean Renfro run for 1 yd to the TXSO 49Similar
Q1 4:21
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+3
98.7%
KJ Cooper pass to Roriyon Richardson for 3 yds to the CAL 48Similar
Q1 3:39
3RD & 6
OPP 48
0
98.6%
KJ Cooper pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:32
4TH & 6
OPP 48
0
98.6%
Jeremy Ramirez punt for 37 yds to the TXSO Similar
Q1 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+19
98.3%
KJ Cooper pass complete to Kerien Charlo for 19 yds to the CAL 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
98.2%
KJ Cooper pass complete to Jalen Williams for 1 yd to the CAL 33Similar
Q1 0:40
2ND & 9
OPP 33
-5
98.1%
PENALTY TSU False Start (Williams,Jalen) 5 yards from CAL33 to CAL38. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:13
2ND & 14
OPP 38
0
98.1%
KJ Cooper pass incomplete to Roriyon RichardsonSimilar
Q1 0:11
3RD & 14
OPP 38
0
98.2%
KJ Cooper pass incomplete to Zyion ClavilleSimilar
Q1 0:05
4TH & 14
OPP 38
0
98.2%
Jeremy Ramirez punt for 28 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 10DOWNS
12 plays · 46 yds · 5:0599% → 98%
Q1 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+3
98.6%
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele pass to Jacob De Jesus for 3 yds to the CAL 14Similar
Q1 2:59
2ND & 7
OWN 14
0
98.6%
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:59
3RD & 7
OWN 14
+5
98.5%
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele pass incomplete, Texas Southern Penalty, offside (Jamaal Cherry)Similar
Q1 2:35
3RD & 2
OWN 19
+1
98.5%
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele pass to Landon Morris for 1 yd to the CAL 20Similar
Q1 2:12
4TH & 1
OWN 20
+7
98.4%
Michael Kern punt for 40 yds to the TXSO 47, Trenton Leary returns for 7 yds to the TXSO 47Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
98.2%
Kendrick Raphael run for 6 yds to the CAL 31Similar
Q2 14:51
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+33
98.2%
Kendrick Raphael run for 33 yds to the TXSO 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:25
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
98.3%
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele run for 6 yds to the TXSO 30Similar
Q2 14:02
2ND & 4
OPP 30
-5
98.2%
PENALTY CAL False Start (Miller,Braden) 5 yards from TSU30 to TSU35. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:51
2ND & 9
OPP 35
0
98.2%
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele pass incomplete to Jordan KingSimilar
Q2 13:39
3RD & 9
OPP 35
+6
98.1%
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele pass complete to Jacob De Jesus for 6 yds to the TXSO 29Similar
Q2 13:13
4TH & 3
OPP 29
0
98.0%
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele pass incomplete to Mason MiniSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSODrive 11PUNT
15 plays · 35 yds · 6:072% → 3%
Q1 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+19
98.3%
KJ Cooper pass to Kerien Charlo for 19 yds to the CAL 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
98.2%
KJ Cooper pass to Jalen Williams for 1 yd to the CAL 33Similar
Q1 0:40
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+5
98.1%
Texas Southern Penalty, falsestart (Jalen Williams)Similar
Q1 0:13
2ND & 14
OPP 38
0
98.1%
KJ Cooper pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:11
3RD & 14
OPP 38
0
98.2%
KJ Cooper pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:06
4TH & 14
OPP 38
+18
98.2%
Jeremy Ramirez punt for 28 yds to the , Jacob De Jesus returns for 3 yds to the CAL 10, Jordan Sanford returns, Texas Southern Penalty, kickcatchinterference (Ifeanyichukwu Mbagwu)Similar
Q2 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+20
97.9%
KJ Cooper pass complete to Roriyon Richardson for 20 yds to the TXSO 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-2
97.6%
Jacob Washington run for a loss of 2 yards to the TXSO 47Similar
Q2 11:57
2ND & 12
OWN 47
0
97.6%
KJ Cooper pass incomplete to Zyion ClavilleSimilar
Q2 11:49
3RD & 12
OWN 47
+15
97.7%
(11:55) Shotgun Cooper,KJ pass incomplete short middle to Claville,Zyion thrown to CAL40 PENALTY CAL Roughing The Passer (Wayne,Jayden) 15 yards from TSU47 to CAL38, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:39
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
97.5%
Jacob Washington run for 2 yds to the CAL 36Similar
Q2 10:58
2ND & 8
OPP 36
0
97.4%
KJ Cooper pass complete to Trenton Leary for no gain to the CAL 36Similar
Q2 10:38
3RD & 8
OPP 36
0
97.3%
KJ Cooper pass incomplete to Jaquan McGeeSimilar
Q2 10:31
4TH & 8
OPP 36
0
97.4%
Jeremy Ramirez punt for 36 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 12TD
13 plays · 65 yds · 6:2097% → 99%
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
97.2%
KJ Cooper pass to Jalen Williams for 5 yds to the CAL 48Similar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+13
97.0%
KJ Cooper pass to Jalen Williams for 13 yds to the CAL 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
96.7%
KJ Cooper run for 6 yds to the CAL 29Similar
Q2 0:21
2ND & 4
OPP 29
+7
96.7%
KJ Cooper run for 7 yds to the CAL 22Similar
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-28
96.6%
KJ Cooper pass intercepted, Hezekiah Masses return for 28 yds to the CAL 36Similar
Q3 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+13
97.2%
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele pass complete to Trond Grizzell for 13 yds to the CAL 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+13
97.3%
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele pass complete to Mark Hamper for 13 yds to the TXSO 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
97.3%
Kendrick Raphael run for 2 yds to the TXSO 37Similar
Q3 11:03
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+9
97.2%
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele pass complete to Isaac Torres for 9 yds to the TXSO 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+27
97.2%
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele pass complete to Jacob De Jesus for 27 yds to the TXSO 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
97.2%
Kendrick Raphael run for no gain to the TXSO 1Similar
Q3 9:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.9%
Kendrick Raphael run for 1 yd for a TD Texas Southern Penalty, Illegal Substitution (Michael Akins) declined (Chase Meyer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSODrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 4 yds · 7:082% → 2%
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
98.4%
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:03
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+9
98.3%
Kendrick Raphael run for 9 yds to the CAL 45Similar
Q3 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
98.3%
KJ Cooper pass complete to Trenton Leary for 3 yds to the TXSO 16Similar
Q3 8:51
2ND & 7
OWN 16
+1
98.3%
Athean Renfro run for 1 yd to the TXSO 17Similar
Q3 8:13
3RD & 6
OWN 17
0
98.3%
KJ Cooper pass incomplete to Jalen WilliamsSimilar
Q3 7:57
4TH & 6
OWN 17
+16
98.3%
Jeremy Ramirez punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TXSO 32 , Jacob De Jesus returns for 16 yds to the TXSO 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSODrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:592% → 2%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
98.3%
Athean Renfro run for 1 yd to the TXSO 26Similar
Q3 14:08
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
98.3%
KJ Cooper pass complete to Xavier Phipps for 4 yds to the TXSO 30Similar
Q3 13:22
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+4
98.1%
KJ Cooper pass complete to Xavier Phipps for 4 yds to the TXSO 34Similar
Q3 12:53
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
98.2%
Jeremy Ramirez punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CAL 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 15FG
20 plays · 38 yds · 17:2599% → 100%
Q3 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+13
98.8%
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele pass to Trond Grizzell for 13 yds to the CAL 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+13
98.9%
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele pass to Mark Hamper for 13 yds to the TXSO 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
98.9%
Kendrick Raphael run for 2 yds to the TXSO 37Similar
Q3 11:03
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+9
98.9%
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele pass to Isaac Torres for 9 yds to the TXSO 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+27
98.9%
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele pass to Jacob De Jesus for 27 yds to the TXSO 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
98.9%
Kendrick Raphael runSimilar
Q3 9:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.9%
Similar
Q4 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
99.7%
Kendrick Raphael run for 6 yds to the CAL 43Similar
Q4 13:11
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+14
99.7%
Kendrick Raphael run for 14 yds to the TXSO 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:26
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
99.7%
Kendrick Raphael run for 4 yds to the TXSO 39Similar
Q4 11:43
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+19
99.7%
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele pass complete to Trond Grizzell for 19 yds to the TXSO 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:04
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
99.7%
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele pass complete to Jordan King for 5 yds to the TXSO 15Similar
Q4 10:40
2ND & 5
OPP 15
-10
99.7%
(10:44) No Huddle-Shotgun Johnson Jr.,LJ rush middle for 1 yard gain to the TSU14 (Vaka,Victory; Bogerty,Isaiah) PENALTY CAL Holding (Johnson,Jeffrey) 10 yards from TSU15 to TSU25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:28
2ND & 15
OPP 25
0
99.7%
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele pass incomplete to Jayden Dixon-VealSimilar
Q4 10:23
3RD & 15
OPP 25
0
99.7%
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele pass incomplete to Trond GrizzellSimilar
Q4 10:18
4TH & 15
OPP 25
+43
99.9%
Chase Meyer 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 16TD
18 plays · 90 yds · 21:08100% → 100%
Q3 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
99.6%
KJ Cooper pass to Trenton Leary for 3 yds to the TXSO 16Similar
Q3 8:51
2ND & 7
OWN 16
+1
99.6%
Athean Renfro run for 1 yd to the TXSO 17Similar
Q3 8:13
3RD & 6
OWN 17
0
99.6%
KJ Cooper pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:57
4TH & 6
OWN 17
+16
99.6%
Jeremy Ramirez punt for 31 yds to the , punt out-of-bounds at the , Jacob De Jesus returns for 16 yds to the TXSO 48Similar
Q4 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+25
99.9%
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele pass complete to QuaRon Adams for 25 yds to the CAL 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-10
99.9%
(08:08) No Huddle-Shotgun Raphael,Kendrick rush right for 10 yards gain to the CAL45 (Miller,Jaheim; Murray Jr,Quinton) PENALTY CAL Holding (Spasojevic-Moko,Jordan) 10 yards from CAL35 to CAL25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:40
1ST & 20
OWN 25
+4
99.9%
Kendrick Raphael run for 4 yds to the CAL 29Similar
Q4 7:24
2ND & 16
OWN 29
+5
99.9%
(07:30) No Huddle-Shotgun Sagapolutele,Jaron-Keawe pass incomplete deep left to Rogers,Trevor thrown to TSU30 broken up by Ugo,Justice PENALTY TSU Offside (Cherry,Jamaal) 5 yards from CAL29 to CAL34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:11
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+9
99.9%
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele pass complete to Kendrick Raphael for 9 yds to the CAL 43Similar
Q4 6:36
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+13
99.9%
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele pass complete to Mason Mini for 13 yds to the TXSO 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
99.9%
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele pass complete to Mason Mini for 5 yds to the TXSO 39Similar
Q4 5:39
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+4
99.9%
Kendrick Raphael run for 4 yds to the TXSO 35Similar
Q4 5:12
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+7
99.9%
Kendrick Raphael run for 7 yds to the TXSO 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
99.9%
Brandon High Jr. run for no gain to the TXSO 28Similar
Q4 3:59
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+13
99.9%
Devin Brown pass complete to QuaRon Adams for 13 yds to the TXSO 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:41
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
99.9%
Brandon High Jr. run for 1 yd to the TXSO 14Similar
Q4 3:09
2ND & 9
OPP 14
+14
100.0%
Devin Brown pass complete to Jayden Dixon-Veal for 14 yds for a TD (Chase Meyer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 17PUNT
13 plays · 7 yds · 21:37100% → 100%
Q3 7:48
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
99.9%
Kendrick Raphael run for 3 yds to the TXSO 29Similar
Q3 7:13
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+4
99.9%
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele pass to Jacob De Jesus for 4 yds to the TXSO 25Similar
Q3 6:40
3RD & 3
OPP 25
+6
99.9%
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele pass to Mark Hamper for 6 yds to the TXSO 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
99.9%
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele run for 5 yds to the Similar
Q3 5:56
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+2
99.9%
LJ Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the TXSO 12Similar
Q3 5:27
3RD & 3
OPP 12
+12
99.9%
LJ Johnson Jr. run for 12 yds to the TXSO 0, for a TD (Chase Meyer KICK)Similar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
100.0%
Jordon Davis run for 5 yds to the TXSO 21Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 5
OWN 21
+3
100.0%
Jordon Davis pass complete to Kerien Charlo for 3 yds to the TXSO 24Similar
Q4 1:52
3RD & 2
OWN 24
-1
100.0%
Jordon Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the TXSO 23Similar
Q4 1:11
4TH & 3
OWN 23
0
100.0%
Jeremy Ramirez punt for 44 yds , QuaRon Adams returns for no gain to the CAL 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSODrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:170% → 0%
Q4 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
100.0%
KJ Cooper pass complete to Trenton Leary for 5 yds to the TXSO 45Similar
Q4 9:30
2ND & 5
OWN 45
0
100.0%
KJ Cooper pass complete to Kerien Charlo for no gain to the TXSO 45Similar
Q4 8:54
3RD & 5
OWN 45
0
100.0%
KJ Cooper pass incomplete to Xavier PhippsSimilar
Q4 8:41
4TH & 5
OWN 45
0
100.0%
Jeremy Ramirez punt for 45 yds , Jacob De Jesus returns for no gain to the CAL 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 19END OF GAME
2 plays · 8 yds · 1:01100% → 100%
Q4 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
100.0%
Dean-Taylor Chapman run for 5 yds to the CAL 38Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+3
100.0%
Jayden Parker run for 3 yds to the CAL 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q1 6:00
KJ Cooper pass to Kerien Charlo for 5 yds to the TXSO 41
+8.2
TD · Q3 9:38
Kendrick Raphael run for 1 yd for a TD Texas Southern Penalty, Illegal Substitution (Michael Akins) declined (Chase Meyer KICK)
+1.7
TD · Q3 9:38
Timeout California, clock 09:38
-0.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com