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ETAM

East Texas A&M 13 at SMU 42

SMU
2025 · Week 1 · Aug 30, 2025 · Gerald J. Ford Stadium
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Win probability · SMU
modelSMU aheadETAM aheadconfidence bandkey playSMU scoreETAM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 4:03 · Ben Mahen punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SMU 45
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+50.0+25.00−25.0−50.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 32Pregame prior+46.7Home team on offense+3.8Score differential+1.2Blowout margin+0.3Garbage-time factor+0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:32: Will Madonna pass intercepted Alexander Kilgore return for 10 yds for a TD (Collin Rogers KICK) — SMU win probability +0.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ETAM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:12: Chris Johnson Jr. run for 22 yds for a TD (Collin Rogers KICK) — SMU win probability +0.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: SMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 9:32: Eric Rodriguez pass intercepted Ahmaad Moses return for 95 yds for a TD (Collin Rogers KICK) — ETAM win probability +0.4 pts (now 1%) (top driver: ETAM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:12: Kevin Jennings run for 7 yds for a TD (Collin Rogers KICK) — SMU win probability +0.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: SMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5ETAM made the numbers' call on 11 of 13
  1. Q1 9:07ETAM 4th & 3 at SMU 45, down 7
    Close callPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    0.5%−0.2
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:23SMU 4th & 20 at SMU 35, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%−0.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:03ETAM 4th & 4 at ETAM 23, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:13ETAM 4th & 5 at SMU 5, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.9%
    92% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:01ETAM 4th & 11 at ETAM 24, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:01ETAM 4th & 11 at ETAM 24, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:20ETAM 4th & 8 at SMU 12, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.2%
    86% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:35SMU 4th & 6 at SMU 44, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:59ETAM 4th & 8 at ETAM 38, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:49SMU 4th & 22 at SMU 31, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:54ETAM 4th & 13 at ETAM 21, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:01SMU 4th & 1 at SMU 44, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.5%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:25SMU 4th & 1 at ETAM 31, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.6%−0.2
    54% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:02ETAM 4th & 1 at ETAM 34, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 10:18ETAM 4th & 14 at ETAM 32, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:20ETAM 4th & 2 at SMU 21, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    74% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.2
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:56ETAM 4th & 4 at SMU 40, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    34% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:00ETAM 4th & 15 at SMU 15, down 32
    Close callKicked a field goal · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    83% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5ETAM made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 14:07SMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:32SMU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:12SMU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 14:12SMU Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 9:34SMU Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 2:55ETAM Touchdown, down 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SMUDrive 1TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 0:40100% → 100%
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.5%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Jordan Hudson for 7 yds to the SMU 32Similar
Q1 14:26
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+5
99.5%
Derrick McFall run for 5 yds to the SMU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+63
99.5%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Romello Brinson for 63 yds for a TD (Collin Rogers KICK)Similar
Q1 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-15
99.5%
PENALTY SMU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Brinson,Romello) 15 yards from SMU35 to SMU20. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETAMDrive 2PUNT
10 plays · 18 yds · 4:491% → 1%
Q1 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
99.5%
EJ Oakmon run for 3 yds to the ETAM 40Similar
Q1 13:16
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+6
99.5%
Will Madonna pass complete to Christian Jourdain for 6 yds to the ETAM 46Similar
Q1 13:16
3RD & 1
OWN 46
-5
99.5%
PENALTY ETA False Start (Donaway,Chandler) 5 yards from ETA46 to ETA41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:09
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+7
99.5%
Will Madonna pass complete to Christian Jourdain for 7 yds to the ETAM 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
99.4%
PENALTY SMU Offside (Spears,Keveion'ta) 5 yards from ETA48 to SMU47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:17
1ST & 5
OPP 47
-1
99.4%
Will Madonna run for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 48Similar
Q1 10:41
2ND & 6
OPP 48
0
99.4%
KJ Shankle run for no gain to the SMU 48Similar
Q1 9:50
3RD & 6
OPP 48
+3
99.4%
Will Madonna run for 3 yds to the SMU 45Similar
Q1 9:07
4TH & 3
OPP 45
0
99.3%
Ben Mahen punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Yamir Knight at the SMU 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 26 yds · 2:3899% → 99%
Q1 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+9
99.3%
T.J. Harden run for 9 yds to the SMU 18Similar
Q1 8:39
2ND & 1
OWN 18
+12
99.3%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Jalen Cooper for 12 yds to the SMU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
99.3%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Jalen Cooper for 9 yds to the SMU 39Similar
Q1 8:06
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+6
99.3%
T.J. Harden run for 6 yds to the SMU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
99.3%
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to Matthew HibnerSimilar
Q1 7:39
2ND & 10
OWN 45
-10
99.3%
(07:42) No Huddle Johnson Jr.,Chris rush right for 8 yards gain to the ETA47 (Kupu,Orion) PENALTY SMU Holding (Byrd,Savion) 10 yards from SMU45 to SMU35. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:11
2ND & 20
OWN 35
0
99.2%
Kevin Jennings run for no gain to the SMU 35Similar
Q1 6:34
3RD & 20
OWN 35
0
99.2%
Kevin Jennings pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:23
4TH & 20
OWN 35
0
99.2%
Wade McSparron punt for 53 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETAMDrive 4INT TD
3 plays · -3 yds · 0:381% → 1%
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
99.2%
Will Madonna pass complete to EJ Oakmon for 3 yds to the ETAM 9Similar
Q1 5:38
2ND & 13
OWN 9
0
99.2%
Will Madonna pass incomplete to Christian JourdainSimilar
Q1 5:32
3RD & 13
OWN 9
-10
99.3%
Will Madonna pass intercepted Alexander Kilgore return for 10 yds for a TD (Collin Rogers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETAMDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:171% → 1%
Q1 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
99.3%
Will Madonna run for 1 yd to the ETAM 18Similar
Q1 4:54
2ND & 9
OWN 18
+5
99.2%
KJ Shankle run for 5 yds to the ETAM 23Similar
Q1 4:12
3RD & 4
OWN 23
0
99.2%
Will Madonna pass incomplete to Paul OdidiSimilar
Q1 4:03
4TH & 4
OWN 23
0
99.2%
Ben Mahen punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SMU 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 6FUMBLE
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:2399% → 99%
Q1 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-10
99.3%
(04:01) No Huddle-Shotgun McFall,Derrick rush left for 3 yards gain to the SMU48 (Gilbert,Tramar), out of bounds PENALTY SMU Holding (Kilgore,Alexander) 10 yards from SMU45 to SMU35. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:43
1ST & 20
OWN 35
+1
99.2%
Derrick McFall run for 1 yd to the SMU 36Similar
Q1 3:19
2ND & 19
OWN 36
+10
99.2%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Romello Brinson for 10 yds to the SMU 46Similar
Q1 2:36
3RD & 9
OWN 46
-7
99.2%
Kevin Jennings sacked by Koby-Sebasyen King for a loss of 7 yards to the SMU 39 Kevin Jennings fumbled, recovered by ETAM Lavon Williams , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETAMDrive 7MISSED FG
7 plays · 34 yds · 1:131% → 1%
Q1 2:26
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+29
99.1%
Will Madonna pass complete to EJ Oakmon for 29 yds to the SMU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
99.0%
Will Madonna pass incomplete to Jaden ProctorSimilar
Q1 1:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
99.0%
Will Madonna pass complete to Jaden Proctor for 5 yds to the SMU 5Similar
Q1 1:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
99.0%
Will Madonna pass incomplete to Jaden ProctorSimilar
Q1 1:13
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
99.0%
Ozlo Rigby 22 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 8TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 1:5499% → 99%
Q1 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
99.1%
T.J. Harden run for 6 yds to the SMU 26Similar
Q1 0:59
2ND & 4
OWN 26
-5
99.1%
(01:01) No Huddle-Shotgun Jennings,Kevin pass complete short left to Brinson,Romello caught at SMU27, for 4 yards to the SMU30 (Wiggins,Joshua), out of bounds PENALTY SMU Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Bates,Joshua) 5 yards from SMU26 to SMU21. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:34
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+9
99.1%
T.J. Harden run for 9 yds to the SMU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+10
99.1%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Romello Brinson for 10 yds to the SMU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
99.1%
PENALTY ETA UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct 15 yards from SMU40 to ETA45, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:21
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
99.1%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to RJ Maryland for 9 yds to the ETAM 36Similar
Q2 14:12
2ND & 1
OPP 36
+14
99.1%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to RJ Maryland for 14 yds to the ETAM 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:12
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
99.4%
Chris Johnson Jr. run for 22 yds for a TD (Collin Rogers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETAMDrive 9PUNT RETURN TD
8 plays · -1 yds · 1:061% → 0%
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.4%
Will Madonna pass incomplete to Christian JourdainSimilar
Q2 14:04
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.4%
Will Madonna pass incomplete to Christian JourdainSimilar
Q2 14:04
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.4%
PENALTY ETA False Start (Bilbo,Dayan) 5 yards from ETA25 to ETA20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:03
3RD & 15
OWN 20
-5
99.4%
(14:04) PENALTY ETA Delay Of Game 5 yards from ETA20 to ETA15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:54
3RD & 20
OWN 15
+9
99.4%
Will Madonna pass complete to Tyler Daniels for 9 yds to the ETAM 24Similar
Q2 13:01
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+76
99.7%
Ben Mahen punt for 52 yds , Marcellus Barnes Jr. returns for 76 yds for a TD SMU Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jaelyn Davis-Robinson) to the ETAM 0Similar
Q2 13:01
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+76
99.7%
Ben Mahen punt for 52 yds , Yamir Knight returns for 76 yds SMU Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jaelyn Davis-Robinson) to the SMU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 10INT
11 plays · 58 yds · 3:52100% → 100%
Q2 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
99.5%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Matthew Hibner for 2 yds to the SMU 33Similar
Q2 12:27
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+16
99.5%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Dylan Goffney for 16 yds to the SMU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
99.6%
Derrick McFall run for 2 yds to the ETAM 49Similar
Q2 11:44
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+2
99.6%
T.J. Harden run for 2 yds to the ETAM 47Similar
Q2 11:06
3RD & 6
OPP 47
+15
99.6%
Kevin Jennings run for 15 yds to the ETAM 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:39
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+6
99.6%
Chris Johnson Jr. run for 6 yds to the ETAM 26Similar
Q2 10:17
2ND & 4
OPP 26
+9
99.6%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Romello Brinson for 9 yds to the ETAM 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:59
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
99.6%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Jalen Cooper for 3 yds to the ETAM 14Similar
Q2 9:32
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+4
99.6%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Yamir Knight for 4 yds to the ETAM 10Similar
Q2 9:13
3RD & 3
OPP 10
+3
99.6%
Derrick McFall run for 3 yds to the ETAM 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
99.6%
Kevin Jennings pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETAMDrive 11FG
8 plays · 68 yds · 3:300% → 0%
Q2 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-3
99.7%
JaiSean McMillian run for a loss of 3 yards to the ETAM 17Similar
Q2 8:16
2ND & 13
OWN 17
+32
99.7%
JaiSean McMillian run for 32 yds to the ETAM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+10
99.7%
Eric Rodriguez pass complete to Randy Reece for 10 yds to the SMU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+27
99.7%
Eric Rodriguez pass complete to Jaden Proctor for 13 yds to the SMU 28 for a 1ST down SMU Penalty, Roughing The Passer (Isaiah Smith) to the SMU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
99.6%
Eric Rodriguez run for 2 yds to the SMU 12Similar
Q2 6:08
2ND & 8
OPP 12
0
99.6%
EJ Oakmon run for no gain to the SMU 12Similar
Q2 5:24
3RD & 8
OPP 12
0
99.7%
Eric Rodriguez pass incomplete to EJ OakmonSimilar
Q2 5:20
4TH & 8
OPP 12
+29
99.7%
Ozlo Rigby 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:45100% → 100%
Q2 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
99.7%
PENALTY ETA Personal Foul (Jeffery,Tez) 15 yards from SMU25 to SMU40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
99.7%
Link Rhodes run for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 39Similar
Q2 4:54
2ND & 11
OWN 39
0
99.7%
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to Carterrious BrownSimilar
Q2 4:47
3RD & 11
OWN 39
+5
99.7%
(04:54) No Huddle-Shotgun Jennings,Kevin pass incomplete deep right to Brown,Carterrious thrown to ETA33 PENALTY ETA Offside (Owens,Micah) 5 yards from SMU39 to SMU44. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:45
3RD & 6
OWN 44
0
99.7%
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to Yamir KnightSimilar
Q2 4:35
4TH & 6
OWN 44
0
99.7%
Wade McSparron punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Nick Johnson at the ETAM 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETAMDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:300% → 0%
Q2 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
99.8%
Eric Rodriguez run for 7 yds to the ETAM 43Similar
Q2 3:53
2ND & 3
OWN 43
0
99.8%
Eric Rodriguez pass incomplete to Tyler DanielsSimilar
Q2 3:43
3RD & 3
OWN 43
-5
99.8%
Eric Rodriguez sacked by Terry Webb for a loss of 5 yards to the ETAM 38Similar
Q2 2:59
4TH & 8
OWN 38
0
99.8%
Ben Mahen punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Yamir Knight at the SMU 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 14PUNT
11 plays · 10 yds · 2:01100% → 100%
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
99.7%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Yamir Knight for 3 yds to the SMU 18Similar
Q2 2:32
2ND & 13
OWN 18
+2
99.7%
Chris Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the SMU 20Similar
Q2 2:02
3RD & 11
OWN 20
+13
99.7%
Kevin Jennings run for 13 yds to the SMU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+10
99.7%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Romello Brinson for 10 yds to the SMU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
99.7%
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to Yamir KnightSimilar
Q2 1:32
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+4
99.7%
Chris Johnson Jr. run for 4 yds to the SMU 47Similar
Q2 1:02
3RD & 6
OWN 47
-16
99.7%
Kevin Jennings sacked by Micah Owens for a loss of 16 yards to the SMU 31Similar
Q2 0:49
4TH & 22
OWN 31
0
99.7%
Wade McSparron punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Nick Johnson at the ETAM 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETAMDrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:460% → 0%
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
99.8%
Eric Rodriguez pass incomplete to Dayan BilboSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+4
99.8%
EJ Oakmon run for 4 yds to the ETAM 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETAMDrive 16INT TD
12 plays · 67 yds · 5:200% → 1%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.7%
Eric Rodriguez pass complete to Paul Odidi for 5 yds to the ETAM 30Similar
Q3 14:10
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+15
99.4%
Eric Rodriguez pass complete to Jaden Proctor for 15 yds to the ETAM 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+21
99.4%
Eric Rodriguez pass complete to Christian Jourdain for 21 yds to the SMU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
99.4%
EJ Oakmon run for 9 yds to the SMU 25Similar
Q3 13:02
2ND & 1
OPP 25
0
99.5%
Eric Rodriguez run for no gain to the SMU 25Similar
Q3 12:23
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+3
99.8%
Hymond Drinkard run for 3 yds to the SMU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-1
99.8%
Hymond Drinkard run for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 23Similar
Q3 11:12
2ND & 11
OPP 23
0
99.8%
Eric Rodriguez pass incomplete to Christian JourdainSimilar
Q3 11:02
3RD & 11
OPP 23
+15
99.8%
Eric Rodriguez pass complete to Paul Odidi for 15 yds to the SMU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
99.8%
EJ Oakmon run for no gain to the SMU 8Similar
Q3 9:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
-95
99.4%
Eric Rodriguez pass intercepted Ahmaad Moses return for 95 yds for a TD (Collin Rogers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETAMDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · -3 yds · 1:291% → 1%
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
99.5%
Eric Rodriguez pass incomplete to Tanner HarrisonSimilar
Q3 9:17
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+7
99.5%
KJ Shankle run for 7 yds to the ETAM 31Similar
Q3 8:55
3RD & 3
OWN 31
-5
99.5%
(08:55) PENALTY ETA False Start (Watson,Romello) 5 yards from ETA31 to ETA26. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:26
3RD & 8
OWN 26
-5
99.6%
PENALTY ETA Delay Of Game 5 yards from ETA26 to ETA21. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:05
3RD & 13
OWN 21
0
99.5%
Eric Rodriguez pass incomplete to Tyler DanielsSimilar
Q3 7:54
4TH & 13
OWN 21
0
99.5%
Ben Mahen punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 18DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:46100% → 100%
Q3 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
99.6%
Derrick McFall run for 3 yds to the SMU 38Similar
Q3 7:24
2ND & 7
OWN 38
-1
99.6%
Derrick McFall run for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 37Similar
Q3 7:06
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+7
99.7%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Romello Brinson for 7 yds to the SMU 44Similar
Q3 7:01
4TH & 1
OWN 44
0
99.6%
Derrick McFall run for no gain to the SMU 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETAMDrive 19FUMBLE
6 plays · 25 yds · 3:201% → 0%
Q3 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+16
99.5%
KJ Shankle run for 16 yds to the SMU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
99.5%
Nick Johnson run for 5 yds to the SMU 23Similar
Q3 5:30
2ND & 5
OPP 23
+15
99.4%
Eric Rodriguez pass complete to Christian Jourdain for 15 yds to the SMU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
99.5%
Jaden Proctor run for 4 yds to the SMU 4Similar
Q3 4:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
99.6%
EJ Oakmon run for no gain to the SMU 4Similar
Q3 3:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
-15
99.6%
Eric Rodriguez sacked by Cameron Robertson for a loss of 15 yards to the SMU 19 Eric Rodriguez fumbled, recovered by SMU Isaiah Smith , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 20TD
14 plays · 81 yds · 4:09100% → 100%
Q3 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+11
99.7%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to RJ Maryland for 11 yds to the SMU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+12
99.7%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Romello Brinson for 12 yds to the SMU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
99.7%
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to Romello BrinsonSimilar
Q3 2:56
2ND & 10
OWN 42
-2
99.7%
T.J. Harden run for a loss of 2 yards to the SMU 40Similar
Q3 2:18
3RD & 12
OWN 40
+10
99.7%
(02:26) No Huddle-Shotgun Jennings,Kevin pass incomplete deep left to Cooper,Jalen thrown to ETA19 PENALTY ETA Holding (Kupu,Orion) 10 yards from SMU40 to SMU50, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:12
1ST & 10
50
+10
99.7%
Chris Johnson Jr. run for 10 yds to the ETAM 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
99.7%
Chris Johnson Jr. run for no gain to the ETAM 40Similar
Q3 1:26
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+2
99.7%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Yamir Knight for 2 yds to the ETAM 42Similar
Q3 0:56
3RD & 12
OPP 42
+11
99.7%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Jalen Cooper for 11 yds to the ETAM 31Similar
Q3 0:25
4TH & 1
OPP 31
+1
99.7%
T.J. Harden run for 1 yd to the ETAM 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
99.8%
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to Jalen CooperSimilar
Q4 14:47
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+12
99.8%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Carterrious Brown for 12 yds to the ETAM 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:31
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+11
99.8%
T.J. Harden run for 11 yds to the ETAM 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.9%
Kevin Jennings run for 7 yds for a TD (Collin Rogers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETAMDrive 21PUNT
12 plays · 7 yds · 3:540% → 0%
Q4 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.9%
PENALTY ETA False Start (Septs,Kendal) 5 yards from ETA25 to ETA20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:02
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+3
99.9%
Eric Rodriguez pass complete to EJ Oakmon for 3 yds to the ETAM 23Similar
Q4 13:21
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+11
99.9%
Eric Rodriguez run for 11 yds to the ETAM 34Similar
Q4 12:45
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
99.9%
JaiSean McMillian run for no gain to the ETAM 34Similar
Q4 12:02
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+2
99.9%
JaiSean McMillian run for 2 yds to the ETAM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Eric Rodriguez pass incomplete to Randy ReeceSimilar
Q4 11:16
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-5
99.9%
PENALTY ETA False Start (Reece,Randy) 5 yards from ETA36 to ETA31. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:09
2ND & 15
OWN 31
+1
100.0%
EJ Oakmon run for 1 yd to the ETAM 32Similar
Q4 10:30
3RD & 14
OWN 32
0
100.0%
Eric Rodriguez pass incomplete to Paul OdidiSimilar
Q4 10:18
4TH & 14
OWN 32
+27
100.0%
Ben Mahen punt for 42 yds , Yamir Knight returns for 27 yds to the ETAM 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 22TD
3 plays · 47 yds · 0:38100% → 100%
Q4 10:12
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+9
99.9%
Derrick McFall run for 9 yds to the ETAM 38Similar
Q4 9:55
2ND & 1
OPP 38
0
99.9%
Derrick McFall run for no gain to the ETAM 38Similar
Q4 9:34
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+38
100.0%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Jalen Cooper for 38 yds for a TD (Collin Rogers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETAMDrive 23TD
16 plays · 80 yds · 6:250% → 0%
Q4 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
100.0%
Hymond Drinkard run for 5 yds to the ETAM 25Similar
Q4 8:51
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+2
100.0%
Hymond Drinkard run for 2 yds to the ETAM 27Similar
Q4 8:06
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+44
100.0%
Eric Rodriguez pass complete to Devin Matthews for 44 yds to the SMU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
100.0%
Eric Rodriguez pass incomplete to Paul OdidiSimilar
Q4 7:24
2ND & 10
OPP 29
0
100.0%
Eric Rodriguez pass incomplete to Tanner HarrisonSimilar
Q4 7:13
3RD & 10
OPP 29
+8
100.0%
Eric Rodriguez run for 8 yds to the SMU 21Similar
Q4 6:20
4TH & 2
OPP 21
+3
100.0%
Eric Rodriguez pass complete to Preston Kilgore for 3 yds to the SMU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
100.0%
Eric Rodriguez pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:32
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+4
100.0%
Eric Rodriguez pass complete to Christian Jourdain for 4 yds to the SMU 14Similar
Q4 4:51
3RD & 6
OPP 14
+6
100.0%
Eric Rodriguez pass complete to Devin Matthews for 6 yds to the SMU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
100.0%
EJ Oakmon run for 6 yds to the SMU 2Similar
Q4 3:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
100.0%
EJ Oakmon run for 1 yd to the SMU 1Similar
Q4 2:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Eric Rodriguez run for 1 yd for a TD (Ozlo Rigby KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 24FUMBLE
5 plays · 21 yds · 0:50100% → 100%
Q4 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
100.0%
Ty Hawkins run for 12 yds to the SMU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
100.0%
Zach Hernandez run for 5 yds to the SMU 42Similar
Q4 1:54
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+4
100.0%
Zach Hernandez run for 4 yds to the SMU 46 Zach Hernandez fumbled, recovered by ETAM Kyree AndersonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETAMDrive 25FG
9 plays · 31 yds · 1:390% → 0%
Q4 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
100.0%
Eric Rodriguez pass incomplete to Nick JohnsonSimilar
Q4 1:25
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+6
100.0%
Eric Rodriguez pass complete to Devin Matthews for 6 yds to the SMU 40Similar
Q4 1:06
3RD & 4
OPP 40
0
100.0%
Eric Rodriguez pass incomplete to Christian JourdainSimilar
Q4 0:56
4TH & 4
OPP 40
+31
100.0%
Eric Rodriguez pass complete to Devin Matthews for 31 yds to the SMU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
100.0%
Eric Rodriguez pass incomplete to Christian JourdainSimilar
Q4 0:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
100.0%
Eric Rodriguez pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
-6
100.0%
Eric Rodriguez sacked by Kevin Allen for a loss of 6 yards to the SMU 15Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 15
+32
100.0%
Ozlo Rigby 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 14:12
Chris Johnson Jr. run for 22 yds for a TD (Collin Rogers KICK)
+0.4
TD · Q3 9:32
Eric Rodriguez pass intercepted Ahmaad Moses return for 95 yds for a TD (Collin Rogers KICK)
-0.4
TD · Q4 14:12
Kevin Jennings run for 7 yds for a TD (Collin Rogers KICK)
+0.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com