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ELON

Elon 17 at Duke 45

DUKE
2025 · Week 1 · Aug 28, 2025 · Wallace Wade Stadium
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Win probability · DUKE
modelDUKE aheadELON aheadconfidence bandkey playDUKE scoreELON score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 9:18 · Jeff Yurk punt for 52 yds , Que'Sean Brown returns for 78 yds for a TD (Todd Pelino KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorBlowout margin
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 143Pregame prior+13.6Home team on offense+29.5Score differential+21.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+7.9Garbage-time factor+8.0Blowout margin+0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:43: Landen Clark run for 2 yds for a TD (Luke Barnes KICK) — ELON win probability +4.0 pts (now 10%) (top driver: ELON has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 10:59: Darian Mensah pass complete to Sahmir Hagans for 15 yds for a TD (Todd Pelino KICK) — DUKE win probability +3.9 pts (now 93%) (top driver: DUKE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 5:46: Darian Mensah pass complete to Andrel Anthony for 27 yds for a TD (Todd Pelino KICK) — DUKE win probability +2.9 pts (now 96%) (top driver: DUKE has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:12: Landyn Backey run for 3 yds for a TD (Luke Barnes KICK) — ELON win probability +7.5 pts (now 13%) (top driver: ELON has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:28: Darian Mensah pass complete to Sahmir Hagans for 6 yds for a TD (Todd Pelino KICK) — DUKE win probability +4.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: DUKE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
DUKE made the numbers' call on 3 of 3ELON made the numbers' call on 9 of 9
  1. Q1 13:19ELON 4th & 16 at ELON 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:47DUKE 4th & 5 at ELON 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.8%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.8%
    62% to make
    Punt
    97.4%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:59ELON 4th & 12 at ELON 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.4%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:43DUKE 4th & 4 at DUKE 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.3%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.3%
    average punt
  5. Q1 6:03ELON 4th & 14 at ELON 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%−0.1
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.1%
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:31DUKE 4th & 8 at ELON 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.0%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.0%
    70% to make
    Punt
    95.6%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:50ELON 4th & 13 at DUKE 17, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.2%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.5%
    80% to make
    Punt
    4.6%−0.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:49ELON 4th & 14 at ELON 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.5%−1.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:22ELON 4th & 15 at ELON 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.2%−1.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.4%
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:12ELON 4th & 3 at DUKE 3, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.4%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    4.7%−0.6
    93% to make
    Punt
    0.9%−4.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 9:18ELON 4th & 9 at ELON 26, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.8%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.9%
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:55ELON 4th & 1 at ELON 47, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.6%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
DUKE made the numbers' call on 4 of 5ELON made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 8:01DUKE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 3:43ELON Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 10:59DUKE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 5:46DUKE Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:12ELON Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:28DUKE Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.7%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.8%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 1:55DUKE Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ELONDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:372% → 2%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.2%
Landen Clark pass incomplete to Dylan MagazuSimilar
Q1 14:34
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+3
98.2%
Landen Clark run for 3 yds to the ELON 22Similar
Q1 14:02
3RD & 13
OWN 22
-3
98.1%
TJ Thomas Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the ELON 19Similar
Q1 13:19
4TH & 16
OWN 19
+1
98.0%
Jeff Yurk punt for 44 yds , Que'Sean Brown returns for 1 yd to the DUKE 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 2MISSED FG
5 plays · 35 yds · 1:2498% → 98%
Q1 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+30
98.0%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Cooper Barkate for 30 yds to the ELON 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
98.0%
Jaquez Moore run for no gain to the ELON 32Similar
Q1 12:21
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+5
98.0%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Jeremiah Hasley for 5 yds to the ELON 27Similar
Q1 11:52
3RD & 5
OPP 27
0
97.9%
Darian Mensah pass incomplete to Cooper BarkateSimilar
Q1 11:47
4TH & 5
OPP 27
+45
97.9%
Todd Pelino 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:432% → 2%
Q1 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
97.8%
TJ Thomas Jr. run for 3 yds to the ELON 30Similar
Q1 11:12
2ND & 7
OWN 30
0
97.8%
Landen Clark pass complete to TJ Thomas Jr. for no gain to the ELON 30Similar
Q1 10:35
3RD & 7
OWN 30
-5
97.7%
Landen Clark sacked by Vincent Anthony Jr. for a loss of 5 yards to the ELON 25Similar
Q1 9:59
4TH & 12
OWN 25
0
97.6%
Jeff Yurk punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:0798% → 97%
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
97.6%
Jaquez Moore run for 9 yds to the DUKE 38Similar
Q1 9:34
2ND & 1
OWN 38
-5
97.6%
PENALTY Duke False Start (Fina,Bruno) 5 yards from Duke38 to Duke33. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:22
2ND & 6
OWN 33
0
97.5%
Darian Mensah pass incomplete to Cooper BarkateSimilar
Q1 9:14
3RD & 6
OWN 33
+2
97.5%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Sahmir Hagans for 2 yds to the DUKE 35Similar
Q1 8:43
4TH & 4
OWN 35
0
97.4%
Kade Reynoldson punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Ben Kirsch at the ELON 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 2:323% → 3%
Q1 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+9
97.4%
Landen Clark run for 9 yds to the ELON 28Similar
Q1 8:00
2ND & 1
OWN 28
+14
97.3%
Landen Clark run for 14 yds to the ELON 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
97.1%
Landen Clark pass incomplete to Zimere WinstonSimilar
Q1 7:17
2ND & 10
OWN 42
-2
97.1%
Dan Frederick run for a loss of 2 yards to the ELON 40Similar
Q1 6:45
3RD & 12
OWN 40
-2
97.1%
Landen Clark sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the ELON 38Similar
Q1 6:03
4TH & 14
OWN 38
0
97.0%
Jeff Yurk punt for 57 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 6FG
15 plays · 72 yds · 4:2097% → 96%
Q1 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+10
96.9%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Sahmir Hagans for 10 yds to the DUKE 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
96.9%
Darian Mensah pass incomplete to Que'Sean BrownSimilar
Q1 5:29
2ND & 10
OWN 15
0
96.9%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Que'Sean Brown for no gain to the DUKE 15Similar
Q1 4:41
3RD & 10
OWN 15
+25
96.6%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Que'Sean Brown for 25 yds to the DUKE 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
96.7%
Darian Mensah pass incomplete to Cooper BarkateSimilar
Q1 3:59
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+8
96.6%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Andrel Anthony for 8 yds to the DUKE 48Similar
Q1 3:26
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+4
96.6%
Anderson Castle run for 4 yds to the ELON 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+8
96.5%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Jayden Moore for 8 yds to the ELON 40Similar
Q1 2:34
2ND & 2
OPP 40
+15
96.5%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Jayden Moore for 15 yds to the ELON 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
96.5%
Darian Mensah pass incomplete to Peyton JonesSimilar
Q1 2:14
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+2
96.5%
Peyton Jones run for 2 yds to the ELON 23Similar
Q1 1:35
3RD & 8
OPP 23
0
96.3%
Darian Mensah pass incomplete to Sahmir HagansSimilar
Q1 1:31
4TH & 8
OPP 23
+41
96.3%
T. Pelino 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 7FG
17 plays · 58 yds · 6:354% → 6%
Q1 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-12
96.3%
(01:31) No Huddle-Shotgun Thomas Jr.,TJ rush left for 1 yard gain to the Elon26 (Mergott,Luke) PENALTY Elon Personal Foul (Backey,Landyn) 12 yards from Elon25 to Elon13. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:11
1ST & 22
OWN 13
0
96.2%
Elon Penalty, Offensive Holding (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 0:45
2ND & 22
OWN 13
+2
96.2%
Landen Clark pass complete to Kenaz McMillian for 2 yds to the ELON 15Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 20
OWN 15
+44
96.1%
TJ Thomas Jr. run for 44 yds to the DUKE 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
95.7%
Landen Clark run for 3 yds to the DUKE 38Similar
Q2 14:24
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+2
95.5%
TJ Thomas Jr. run for 2 yds to the DUKE 36Similar
Q2 13:39
3RD & 5
OPP 36
+7
95.4%
Landen Clark pass complete to TJ Thomas Jr. for 7 yds to the DUKE 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:52
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
95.0%
Landen Clark pass complete to Ross Smith for 6 yds to the DUKE 23Similar
Q2 12:21
2ND & 4
OPP 23
+2
94.8%
Jimmyll Williams run for 2 yds to the DUKE 21Similar
Q2 11:43
3RD & 2
OPP 21
+7
94.8%
Landen Clark run for 7 yds to the DUKE 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
94.4%
TJ Thomas Jr. run for 5 yds to the DUKE 9Similar
Q2 10:27
2ND & 5
OPP 9
-3
94.2%
TJ Thomas Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the DUKE 12Similar
Q2 9:54
3RD & 8
OPP 12
0
94.5%
Landen Clark pass incomplete to Dylan MagazuSimilar
Q2 9:54
4TH & 8
OPP 12
-5
94.9%
PENALTY Elon Delay Of Game (Yurk,Jeff) 5 yards from Duke12 to Duke17. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:50
4TH & 13
OPP 17
+35
94.0%
Luke Barnes 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 8TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:4095% → 96%
Q2 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
94.5%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Nate Sheppard for 20 yds to the DUKE 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+21
94.7%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Sahmir Hagans for 21 yds to the ELON 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
94.9%
Nate Sheppard run for 2 yds to the ELON 32Similar
Q2 8:01
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+32
96.1%
Jaquez Moore run for 32 yds for a TD (Todd Pelino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 9TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:104% → 10%
Q2 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+28
95.8%
Jimmyll Williams run for 28 yds to the DUKE 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:22
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
95.2%
Landen Clark run for 3 yds to the DUKE 44Similar
Q2 6:39
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+29
95.0%
Landen Clark pass complete to Zimere Winston for 29 yds to the DUKE 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:09
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
94.5%
Landen Clark run for 4 yds to the DUKE 11Similar
Q2 5:33
2ND & 6
OPP 11
+2
94.4%
Landen Clark run for 2 yds to the DUKE 9Similar
Q2 4:51
3RD & 4
OPP 9
+5
94.5%
Landen Clark run for 5 yds to the DUKE 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
94.2%
Jimmyll Williams run for 2 yds to the DUKE 2Similar
Q2 3:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
94.0%
Landen Clark pass incomplete to Kenaz McMillianSimilar
Q2 3:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
90.0%
Landen Clark run for 2 yds for a TD (Luke Barnes KICK)Similar
Q2 3:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
89.6%
PENALTY Elon Delay Of Game (Barnes,Luke) 5 yards from Duke03 to Duke08. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 10FUMBLE
7 plays · 56 yds · 1:3492% → 93%
Q2 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
92.3%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Anderson Castle for 5 yds to the DUKE 30Similar
Q2 2:50
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+44
92.1%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Que'Sean Brown for 44 yds to the ELON 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:16
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
92.8%
Darian Mensah pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:06
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+14
92.7%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Que'Sean Brown for 14 yds to the ELON 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-7
92.6%
Jaquez Moore run for a loss of 7 yards to the ELON 19 Jaquez Moore fumbled, recovered by ELON Dillon PardueSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 1:0110% → 10%
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-4
90.0%
TJ Thomas Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the ELON 15Similar
Q2 1:47
2ND & 14
OWN 15
+1
90.2%
TJ Thomas Jr. run for 1 yd to the ELON 16Similar
Q2 1:00
3RD & 13
OWN 16
-1
90.2%
TJ Thomas Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the ELON 15Similar
Q2 0:49
4TH & 14
OWN 15
+22
90.4%
Jeff Yurk punt blocked by Nate Sheppard blocked by Nate SheppardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 12END OF HALF
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:4192% → 91%
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-8
92.1%
Darian Mensah sacked by Dillon Pardue for a loss of 8 yards to the ELON 45Similar
Q2 0:16
2ND & 18
OPP 45
+3
91.3%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Anderson Castle for 3 yds to the ELON 42Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 15
OPP 42
+6
90.8%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Que'Sean Brown for 6 yds to the ELON 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 13TD
10 plays · 83 yds · 3:5290% → 93%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
89.9%
Jaquez Moore run for 1 yd to the DUKE 18Similar
Q3 14:23
2ND & 9
OWN 18
-3
89.6%
Darian Mensah sacked by Parris Lowery for a loss of 3 yards to the DUKE 15Similar
Q3 13:39
3RD & 12
OWN 15
+17
88.5%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Cooper Barkate for 17 yds to the DUKE 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+46
89.2%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Cooper Barkate for 46 yds to the ELON 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:57
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
90.4%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Que'Sean Brown for 4 yds to the ELON 18Similar
Q3 12:13
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+10
90.0%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Cooper Barkate for 10 yds to the ELON 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-5
89.8%
PENALTY Duke False Start 5 yards from Elon08 to Elon13. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 13
-2
89.5%
Darian Mensah run for a loss of 2 yards to the ELON 15Similar
Q3 10:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 15
+15
93.4%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Sahmir Hagans for 15 yds for a TD (Todd Pelino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:219% → 8%
Q3 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-1
91.3%
TJ Thomas Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the ELON 45Similar
Q3 10:03
2ND & 11
OWN 45
+4
91.5%
Landen Clark pass complete to TJ Thomas Jr. for 4 yds to the ELON 41Similar
Q3 9:32
3RD & 15
OWN 41
0
92.0%
Landen Clark pass incomplete to Kenaz McMillianSimilar
Q3 9:22
4TH & 15
OWN 41
+3
92.3%
Jeff Yurk punt for 50 yds , Que'Sean Brown returns for 3 yds to the DUKE 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 15TD
9 plays · 88 yds · 3:2892% → 96%
Q3 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-1
92.2%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Jayden Moore for a loss of 1 yard to the DUKE 11Similar
Q3 8:48
2ND & 11
OWN 11
+16
92.0%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Andrel Anthony for 16 yds to the DUKE 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
92.2%
Peyton Jones run for 8 yds to the DUKE 35Similar
Q3 7:58
2ND & 2
OWN 35
+4
92.8%
Peyton Jones run for 4 yds to the DUKE 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+19
92.9%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Landen King for 19 yds to the ELON 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
93.2%
Nate Sheppard run for 1 yd to the ELON 41Similar
Q3 6:21
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+14
93.0%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Cooper Barkate for 14 yds to the ELON 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:46
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
95.9%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Andrel Anthony for 27 yds for a TD (Todd Pelino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 16TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 6:245% → 13%
Q3 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+27
94.9%
Landen Clark pass complete to Dylan Magazu for 27 yds to the DUKE 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-5
93.8%
(05:15) Shotgun Clark,Landen rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Duke46 (Johnson,Kendall) PENALTY Elon False Start 5 yards from Duke48 to Elon47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:27
1ST & 15
OWN 47
+15
94.5%
Landen Clark pass complete to Dylan Magazu for 15 yds to the DUKE 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-5
93.8%
PENALTY Elon False Start (Safreed,Evan) 5 yards from Duke38 to Duke43. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:47
1ST & 15
OPP 43
+4
94.4%
Landen Clark run for 4 yds to the DUKE 39Similar
Q3 3:16
2ND & 11
OPP 39
0
94.2%
Landen Clark pass incomplete to Jaedon AlfordSimilar
Q3 3:06
3RD & 11
OPP 39
+19
94.3%
Landen Clark pass complete to Dylan Magazu for 19 yds to the DUKE 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:39
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
93.4%
PENALTY Duke Offside (Anthony Jr.,Vincent) 5 yards from Duke20 to Duke15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:10
1ST & 5
OPP 15
0
93.3%
Landen Clark pass complete to Dan Frederick for no gain to the DUKE 15Similar
Q3 1:37
2ND & 5
OPP 15
+1
93.2%
Landyn Backey run for 1 yd to the DUKE 14Similar
Q3 1:02
3RD & 4
OPP 14
+4
93.7%
Landen Clark run for 4 yds to the DUKE 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
93.7%
Dan Frederick run for 1 yd to the DUKE 9Similar
Q4 14:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
93.7%
Landen Clark pass incomplete to TJ Thomas Jr.Similar
Q4 14:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
94.3%
Landen Clark run for 6 yds to the DUKE 3Similar
Q4 14:12
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
86.8%
Landyn Backey run for 3 yds for a TD (Luke Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 17TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 2:3392% → 97%
Q4 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
91.6%
Jaquez Moore run for 4 yds to the DUKE 24Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+5
91.6%
Jaquez Moore run for 5 yds to the DUKE 29Similar
Q4 12:41
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+63
91.3%
Anderson Castle run for 63 yds to the ELON 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
93.0%
Anderson Castle run for 2 yds to the ELON 6Similar
Q4 11:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
97.2%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Sahmir Hagans for 6 yds for a TD (Todd Pelino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 18PUNT RETURN TD
7 plays · 1 yds · 2:015% → 1%
Q4 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
95.1%
Landen Clark run for 8 yds to the ELON 33Similar
Q4 11:01
2ND & 2
OWN 33
-10
94.4%
(11:06) No Huddle-Shotgun Lainez,Marco rush middle for 8 yards gain to the Elon41, End Of Play PENALTY Elon Holding (Walker,Brayden) 10 yards from Elon33 to Elon23. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:46
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+3
95.0%
TJ Thomas Jr. run for 3 yds to the ELON 26Similar
Q4 10:04
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
95.3%
Marco Lainez run for no gain to the ELON 26Similar
Q4 9:18
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+78
99.3%
Jeff Yurk punt for 52 yds , Que'Sean Brown returns for 78 yds for a TD (Todd Pelino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 19DOWNS
7 plays · 22 yds · 2:171% → 1%
Q4 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.2%
Marco Lainez run for 2 yds to the ELON 27Similar
Q4 8:36
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+11
99.2%
Marco Lainez pass complete to Jimmyll Williams for 11 yds to the ELON 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.2%
Jimmyll Williams run for no gain to the ELON 38Similar
Q4 7:36
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
99.2%
Marco Lainez pass incomplete to Ross SmithSimilar
Q4 7:28
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+9
99.3%
Jimmyll Williams run for 9 yds to the ELON 47Similar
Q4 6:55
4TH & 1
OWN 47
0
99.3%
Landyn Backey run for no gain to the ELON 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 20TD
9 plays · 47 yds · 4:53100% → 100%
Q4 6:48
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+11
99.7%
Nate Sheppard run for 11 yds to the ELON 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:03
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+10
99.7%
Nate Sheppard run for 10 yds to the ELON 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
99.7%
Darian Mensah run for 3 yds to the ELON 23Similar
Q4 4:30
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+4
99.7%
Nate Sheppard run for 4 yds to the ELON 19Similar
Q4 3:46
3RD & 3
OPP 19
+5
99.7%
(03:52) Shotgun Sheppard,Nate rush left for 4 yards loss to the Elon23 (Kirksey,Jared) PENALTY Elon Offside (Kirksey,Jared) 5 yards from Elon19 to Elon14, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:18
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
99.8%
Peyton Jones run for 3 yds to the ELON 11Similar
Q4 2:31
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+6
99.8%
Peyton Jones run for 6 yds to the ELON 5Similar
Q4 1:55
3RD & 1
OPP 5
+5
100.0%
Peyton Jones run for 5 yds for a TD (Todd Pelino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 21END OF GAME
4 plays · 10 yds · 1:500% → 0%
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
100.0%
Dan Frederick run for 4 yds to the ELON 29Similar
Q4 1:06
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
99.9%
Dan Frederick run for 5 yds to the ELON 34Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
99.9%
Dan Frederick run for 1 yd to the ELON 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:12
Landyn Backey run for 3 yds for a TD (Luke Barnes KICK)
-7.5
TD · Q4 11:28
Darian Mensah pass complete to Sahmir Hagans for 6 yds for a TD (Todd Pelino KICK)
+4.1
TD · Q2 3:43
Landen Clark run for 2 yds for a TD (Luke Barnes KICK)
-4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com