Try the model
LT

Louisiana Tech 3 at Washington State 28

WSU
2025 · Week 12 · Nov 15, 2025 · Gesa Field
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · WSU
modelWSU aheadLT aheadconfidence bandkey playWSU scoreLT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 12:27 · (12:31) No Huddle #48 J.Chance pass incomplete short right to #18 M.Jackson thrown to WSU45 broken up by #19 K.Patu, TURNOVER ON DOWNS
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+35.5+17.80−17.8−35.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 9Pregame prior+23.9Home team on offense−0.1Score differential−0.2Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:11: (12:15) Shotgun #4 Z.Eckhaus rush left for 7 yards gain to the LAT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:11 #38 J.Stevens kick attempt good (H: #98 R.Harris, LS: #46 C.Peoples) — WSU win probability +5.3 pts (now 83%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 1:49: Timeout Louisiana Tech, clock 01:49 — LT win probability +3.5 pts (now 18%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:09: Timeout Washington State, clock 00:09 — WSU win probability +4.2 pts (now 89%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 0:00: Drew Henderson 51 Yd Field Goal — LT win probability +6.6 pts (now 18%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 13:30: (13:33) #4 Z.Eckhaus rush middle for 1 yard gain to the LAT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:30 #38 J.Stevens kick attempt good (H: #98 R.Harris, LS: #46 C.Peoples) #38 J.Stevens kick attempt good (H: #98 R.Harris, LS: #46 C.Peoples) PENALTY #38 J.Stevens kick attempt good (H: #98 R.Harris, LS: #46 C.Peoples) PENALTY WSU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct 15 yards from LAT00 to WSU20 #38 J.Stevens kick attempt good (H: #98 R.Harris, LS: #46 C.Peoples) PENALTY WSU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (#46 C.Peoples) 15 yards from LAT00 to WSU20 — WSU win probability +7.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7LT made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 12:27LT 4th & 7 at LT 48, tied
    Close callWent for it · 24.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.6%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    24.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:25LT 4th & 4 at LT 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.5%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:29WSU 4th & 11 at LT 38, up 7
    Close callPunted · 76.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.2%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    76.2%
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    76.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:38LT 4th & 12 at LT 10, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.4%−0.6
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:50WSU 4th & 1 at LT 8, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 76.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    76.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    75.9%−1.0
    90% to make
    Punt
    73.1%−3.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:33LT 4th & 6 at LT 42, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.8%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:30WSU 4th & 1 at WSU 29, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 82.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.7%−1.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:31LT 4th & 14 at WSU 29, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 15.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.4%−0.7
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    15.2%
    58% to make
    Punt
    13.0%−2.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:32WSU 4th & 4 at WSU 35, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.0%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:49WSU 4th & 10 at LT 48, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.1%−0.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.8%
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:17LT 4th & 12 at LT 18, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.1%−1.3
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.5%
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:19WSU 4th & 9 at WSU 33, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.6%−1.6
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.2%
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:49LT 4th & 2 at LT 16, down 11
    Close callPunted · 14.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.5%−0.3
    average punt
  14. Q3 1:14WSU 4th & 1 at LT 28, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 87.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    86.1%−1.8
    60% to make
    Punt
    82.2%−5.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 8:51WSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:11WSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 13:30WSU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 1:12WSU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LTDrive 1DOWNS
9 plays · 23 yds · 2:2625% → 26%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
74.9%
(14:59) Shotgun #7 E.Bullock pass incomplete short left to #1 D.Gandy thrown to LAT35Similar
Q1 14:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
74.9%
(14:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Kukuk rush middle for 2 yards gain to the LAT27 (#44 P.McKenna) PENALTY WSU Illegal Substitution 5 yards from LAT25 to LAT30. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 14:37
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
74.8%
(14:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Thevenin rush right for 0 yards to the LAT30 (#2 C.Humphrey; #24 S.Schlimgen)Similar
Q1 13:56
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+15
74.7%
(14:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 E.Bullock pass complete short left to #11 J.Mickens caught at LAT48, for 15 yards to the LAT45 QB hurried by #45 R.Stevenson (#5 J.Colson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
74.5%
(13:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Thevenin rush middle for 0 yards to the LAT45 (#5 J.Colson)Similar
Q1 13:01
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+3
74.4%
(13:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 E.Bullock pass complete short right to #11 J.Mickens caught at LAT48, for 3 yards to the LAT48 (#2 C.Humphrey), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 12:31
3RD & 7
OWN 48
0
74.2%
(12:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 E.Bullock pass incomplete short right to #16 M.Singleton Jr. thrown to WSU45Similar
Q1 12:27
4TH & 7
OWN 48
0
74.4%
(12:31) No Huddle #48 J.Chance pass incomplete short right to #18 M.Jackson thrown to WSU45 broken up by #19 K.Patu, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 2TD
7 plays · 48 yds · 3:2975% → 76%
Q1 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+10
74.6%
(12:25) Shotgun #9 K.Vorhees rush middle for 10 yards gain to the LAT38 (#8 J.Fields; #6 J.Foster), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
74.6%
(11:50) Shotgun #4 Z.Eckhaus rush middle for 8 yards gain to the LAT30 (#8 J.Fields)Similar
Q1 11:05
2ND & 2
OPP 30
+7
74.5%
(11:11) Shotgun #9 K.Vorhees rush middle for 7 yards gain to the LAT23 (#6 J.Foster), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 10:27
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
74.5%
(10:31) Shotgun #9 K.Vorhees rush middle for 2 yards gain to the LAT21 (#6 J.Foster; #96 Z.Nason)Similar
Q1 9:53
2ND & 8
OPP 21
+5
74.4%
(09:55) PENALTY WSU False Start (#61 C.Hilborn) 5 yards from LAT21 to LAT26. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 9:31
2ND & 13
OPP 26
+3
74.3%
(09:36) Shotgun #4 Z.Eckhaus rush middle for 3 yards gain to the LAT23 (#8 J.Fields)Similar
Q1 8:51
3RD & 10
OPP 23
+23
75.7%
(08:56) Shotgun #4 Z.Eckhaus pass complete short middle to #18 J.Meredith caught at LAT10, for 23 yards to the LAT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:51, 1ST DOWN #38 J.Stevens kick attempt good (H: #98 R.Harris, LS: #46 C.Peoples)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:1925% → 24%
Q1 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
75.3%
(08:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 O.Wiggins rush left for 2 yards gain to the LAT27 (#1 T.Large)Similar
Q1 8:13
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
75.3%
(08:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 O.Wiggins rush right for 4 yards gain to the LAT31 (#23 M.Durrance; #1 T.Large)Similar
Q1 7:32
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
75.4%
(07:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 E.Bullock pass incomplete deep left to #11 J.Mickens thrown to WSU45Similar
Q1 7:25
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
75.6%
(07:29) #48 J.Chance punt 44 yards to the WSU25 fair catch by #0 T.Freeman at WSU25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 4PUNT
11 plays · 37 yds · 4:4976% → 75%
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
75.5%
(07:23) Shotgun #9 K.Vorhees rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WSU27 (#11 C.Woods)Similar
Q1 6:39
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
75.6%
(06:46) Shotgun #4 Z.Eckhaus pass complete short left to #18 J.Meredith caught at WSU27, for 5 yards to the WSU32 (#8 J.Fields)Similar
Q1 5:59
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+8
75.5%
(06:03) Shotgun #4 Z.Eckhaus pass complete short right to #0 T.Freeman caught at WSU33, for 8 yards to the WSU40 (#8 J.Fields), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
76.1%
(05:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 Z.Eckhaus pass incomplete short right to #0 T.Freeman thrown to WSU45 QB hurried by #22 J.Mayfield and #6 J.FosterSimilar
Q1 5:22
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+23
75.9%
(05:30) Shotgun #4 Z.Eckhaus pass complete deep middle to #18 J.Meredith caught at LAT40, for 23 yards to the LAT37, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
76.5%
(04:44) Shotgun #4 Z.Eckhaus pass complete short middle to #21 C.Pabst caught at LAT33, for 5 yards to the LAT32 QB hurried by #9 M.Mason and #94 E.Oguns (#7 J.Shelby Jr.)Similar
Q1 4:03
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+10
76.6%
(04:03) Shotgun #4 Z.Eckhaus pass incomplete short middle to #61 C.Hilborn thrown to LAT32 PENALTY WSU Ineligible Downfield on Pass declined WSU Holding (#71 A.Tripp) 10 yards from LAT32 to LAT42. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 3:50
2ND & 15
OPP 42
0
76.2%
(03:59) Shotgun #4 Z.Eckhaus pass incomplete short left to #0 T.Freeman thrown to LAT25 broken up by #8 J.Fields QB hurried by #21 Z.HillSimilar
Q1 3:40
3RD & 15
OPP 42
+5
75.9%
(03:49) Shotgun #4 Z.Eckhaus pass complete short right to #3 M.Woods caught at LAT45, for 5 yards to the LAT37 (#8 J.Fields), out of bounds PENALTY WSU Holding (#65 B.Dieu) 10 yards from LAT37 to LAT47Similar
Q1 3:10
3RD & 20
OPP 47
+9
75.8%
(03:14) Shotgun #4 Z.Eckhaus pass complete short middle to #0 T.Freeman caught at LAT40, for 9 yards to the LAT38 (#0 S.Fongang)Similar
Q1 2:29
4TH & 11
OPP 38
0
75.3%
(02:35) #98 R.Harris punt 35 yards to the LAT03, out of bounds at LAT03Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 7 yds · 2:4525% → 24%
Q1 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+1
75.5%
(02:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Thevenin rush middle for 1 yard gain to the LAT04 (#44 P.McKenna; #92 D.Dalton)Similar
Q1 1:39
2ND & 9
OWN 4
+2
75.7%
PENALTY LAT Delay Of Game (#7 E.Bullock) 2 yards from LAT04 to LAT02. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 1:29
2ND & 11
OWN 2
+10
75.7%
(01:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 E.Bullock pass incomplete deep right to #1 D.Gandy thrown to LAT25 PENALTY WSU Holding (#2 C.Humphrey) 10 yards from LAT02 to LAT12, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-6
75.5%
(01:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 E.Bullock sacked for loss of 6 yards to the LAT06 (#98 M.Ta'ase)Similar
Q1 0:38
2ND & 16
OWN 6
+4
75.7%
(00:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 E.Bullock pass complete short middle to #84 E.Finley caught at LAT10, for 4 yards to the LAT10 (#23 M.Durrance)Similar
Q2 14:57
3RD & 12
OWN 10
0
76.1%
(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 E.Bullock pass incomplete short left to #4 C.Thevenin thrown to LAT06Similar
Q2 14:38
4TH & 12
OWN 10
+58
76.3%
(14:56) #48 J.Chance punt 65 yards to the WSU25 #0 T.Freeman return 58 yards to the LAT17 (#41 E.Burch)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 6TD
6 plays · 17 yds · 2:1577% → 83%
Q2 14:26
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
77.0%
(14:37) Shotgun #4 Z.Eckhaus pass complete short right to #18 J.Meredith caught at LAT16, for 7 yards to the LAT10 (#17 A.Butler)Similar
Q2 14:11
2ND & 3
OPP 10
+2
77.0%
(14:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 K.Vorhees rush left for 2 yards gain to the LAT08 (#1 M.Richard; #7 J.Shelby Jr.)Similar
Q2 13:27
3RD & 1
OPP 8
0
76.7%
(13:33) Shotgun #9 K.Vorhees rush middle for 0 yards to the LAT08 (#22 J.Mayfield; #9 M.Mason)Similar
Q2 12:50
4TH & 1
OPP 8
+1
76.2%
(12:54) #4 Z.Eckhaus rush middle for 1 yard gain to the LAT07 (#97 C.Davis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
77.3%
(12:17) Shotgun #4 Z.Eckhaus pass incomplete short right to #18 J.Meredith thrown to LAT05Similar
Q2 12:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
82.6%
(12:15) Shotgun #4 Z.Eckhaus rush left for 7 yards gain to the LAT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:11 #38 J.Stevens kick attempt good (H: #98 R.Harris, LS: #46 C.Peoples)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 2:2420% → 19%
Q2 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
80.4%
(12:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 E.Bullock pass incomplete short left to #15 D.Pierro thrown to LAT30 broken up by #5 J.ColsonSimilar
Q2 11:54
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
80.4%
(11:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 E.Bullock pass incomplete short middle to #18 M.Jackson thrown to LAT30 PENALTY LAT Illegal Formation declinedSimilar
Q2 11:44
3RD & 10
OWN 24
+14
80.7%
(11:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 E.Bullock pass complete short middle to #84 E.Finley caught at LAT30, for 14 yards to the LAT38 (#28 K.Peterson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
80.2%
(11:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 O.Wiggins rush middle for 4 yards gain to the LAT42 (#32 D.Russell; #53 S.Finau)Similar
Q2 10:47
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+1
80.0%
(10:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 O.Wiggins rush middle for 1 yard gain to the LAT43 (#23 M.Durrance; #9 C.Francl)Similar
Q2 10:10
3RD & 5
OWN 43
-1
80.5%
(10:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Thevenin rush left for 1 yard loss to the LAT42 (#93 J.Janikowski; #5 J.Colson)Similar
Q2 9:33
4TH & 6
OWN 42
0
81.3%
(09:40) #48 J.Chance punt 58 yards to the WSU00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:5783% → 82%
Q2 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
82.6%
(09:33) Shotgun #1 A.Johnson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WSU21 (#0 S.Fongang)Similar
Q2 8:45
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+5
82.8%
(08:54) Shotgun #4 Z.Eckhaus pass complete short right to #15 J.Noga caught at WSU26, for 5 yards to the WSU26 QB hurried by #21 Z.Hill, out of bounds at WSU26Similar
Q2 8:09
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+3
81.9%
(08:18) Shotgun #4 Z.Eckhaus rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WSU29 (#9 M.Mason; #93 J.Bradford)Similar
Q2 7:30
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
81.8%
(07:40) #98 R.Harris punt 38 yards to the LAT33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 9MISSED FG
10 plays · 38 yds · 4:4918% → 15%
Q2 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
81.8%
(07:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 A.Burnette rush middle for 6 yards gain to the LAT39 (#44 P.McKenna; #23 M.Durrance)Similar
Q2 6:49
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+4
81.3%
(06:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 A.Burnette rush middle for 4 yards gain to the LAT43 (#92 D.Dalton), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+10
81.9%
(06:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 E.Bullock rush middle for 10 yards gain to the WSU47 (#44 P.McKenna), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:33
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
81.5%
(05:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Kukuk rush middle for 5 yards gain to the WSU42 (#1 T.Large)Similar
Q2 4:57
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+17
81.4%
(05:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Kukuk rush middle for 17 yards gain to the WSU25 (#2 C.Humphrey), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 4:26
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
80.8%
(04:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Kukuk rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WSU24 (#53 S.Finau; #89 D.Fitzmaurice)Similar
Q2 3:45
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+4
81.0%
(03:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Kukuk rush left for 4 yards gain to the WSU20 (#1 T.Large) PENALTY LAT UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (#2 T.Kukuk) 15 yards from WSU20 to WSU35Similar
Q2 3:11
3RD & 20
OPP 35
+6
84.2%
(03:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Kukuk rush middle for 6 yards gain to the WSU29 (#44 P.McKenna)Similar
Q2 2:31
4TH & 14
OPP 29
+47
84.9%
(02:36) #43 D.Henderson field goal attempt from 47 yards NO GOOD (H: #48 J.Chance, LS: #41 E.Burch), clock 02:31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 0:5286% → 86%
Q2 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
85.8%
(02:31) Shotgun #4 Z.Eckhaus pass complete short left to #9 K.Vorhees caught at WSU27, for 1 yard to the WSU30 (#1 M.Richard), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 1:53
2ND & 9
OWN 30
0
85.2%
(01:59) Shotgun #4 Z.Eckhaus rush middle for 0 yards to the WSU30 (#97 C.Davis)Similar
Q2 1:39
3RD & 9
OWN 30
+5
86.0%
(01:49) Shotgun #4 Z.Eckhaus pass complete short middle to #3 M.Woods caught at WSU34, for 5 yards to the WSU35 (#22 J.Mayfield)Similar
Q2 1:32
4TH & 4
OWN 35
0
85.6%
(01:42) #98 R.Harris punt 28 yards to the LAT37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 11FG
10 plays · 30 yds · 1:2015% → 18%
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
85.5%
(01:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Kukuk pass complete short left to #84 E.Finley caught at LAT35, for 3 yards to the LAT40 (#2 C.Humphrey; #44 P.McKenna)Similar
Q2 0:57
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+10
85.4%
(00:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Thevenin rush right for 10 yards gain to the LAT50 (#1 T.Large), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
50
+1
84.5%
(00:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Kukuk pass complete short left to #15 D.Pierro caught at LAT47, for 1 yard to the WSU49 (#10 B.Peleti)Similar
Q2 0:26
2ND & 9
OPP 49
0
85.7%
(00:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Kukuk pass incomplete short left to #1 D.Gandy thrown to WSU45Similar
Q2 0:18
3RD & 9
OPP 49
+11
85.9%
(00:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Kukuk pass complete short left to #4 C.Thevenin caught at WSU48, for 11 yards to the WSU38 (#23 M.Durrance; #9 C.Francl), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
84.5%
(00:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Kukuk pass incomplete, SpikeSimilar
Q2 0:09
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
84.5%
(00:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Kukuk pass incomplete short right to #11 J.Mickens thrown to WSU30Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 5
OPP 33
+51
82.2%
Drew Henderson 51 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 12PUNT
10 plays · 27 yds · 4:0683% → 83%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
82.8%
(14:59) Shotgun #9 K.Vorhees rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WSU27 (#8 J.Fields; #96 Z.Nason)Similar
Q3 14:13
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+6
82.9%
(14:19) Shotgun #20 L.Pulalasi rush right for 6 yards gain to the WSU33 (#90 J.Madkins)Similar
Q3 13:35
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+8
82.9%
(13:40) Shotgun #4 Z.Eckhaus rush middle for 8 yards gain to the WSU41 (#22 J.Mayfield), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
84.2%
(13:05) Shotgun #20 L.Pulalasi rush middle for 7 yards gain to the WSU48 (#6 J.Foster)Similar
Q3 12:20
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+4
84.4%
(12:29) Shotgun #20 L.Pulalasi rush middle for 4 yards gain to the LAT48 (#21 Z.Hill), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:46
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
84.8%
(11:51) Shotgun #4 Z.Eckhaus pass incomplete deep right to #0 T.Freeman thrown to LAT18Similar
Q3 11:38
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
84.8%
(11:45) Shotgun #20 L.Pulalasi rush right for 0 yards to the LAT48 (#9 M.Mason)Similar
Q3 10:57
3RD & 10
OPP 48
0
84.1%
(11:03) Shotgun #4 Z.Eckhaus pass incomplete deep left to #21 C.Pabst thrown to LAT15 QB hurried by #21 Z.HillSimilar
Q3 10:49
4TH & 10
OPP 48
0
83.0%
(10:57) #98 R.Harris punt 48 yards to the LAT00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:3217% → 14%
Q3 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
82.7%
(10:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Kukuk rush middle for 0 yards to the LAT20 (#44 P.McKenna; #99 B.Lamb)Similar
Q3 10:36
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+1
84.7%
(10:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Thevenin rush left for 1 yard gain to the LAT21 (#88 I.Terrell)Similar
Q3 10:00
3RD & 9
OWN 21
-3
85.4%
(10:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 E.Bullock sacked for loss of 3 yards to the LAT18 (#10 B.Peleti)Similar
Q3 9:17
4TH & 12
OWN 18
0
86.2%
(09:24) #48 J.Chance punt 50 yards to the WSU32 fair catch by #0 T.Freeman at WSU32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:5686% → 85%
Q3 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
85.6%
(09:17) Shotgun #4 Z.Eckhaus pass incomplete short left to #0 T.Freeman thrown to WSU32Similar
Q3 9:10
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+1
85.6%
(09:15) Shotgun #1 A.Johnson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WSU33 (#23 A.Jackson Jr.)Similar
Q3 8:31
3RD & 9
OWN 33
0
85.2%
(08:34) Shotgun #4 Z.Eckhaus pass incomplete short middle to #18 J.Meredith thrown to WSU40Similar
Q3 8:19
4TH & 9
OWN 33
-3
84.8%
(08:30) #98 R.Harris punt 56 yards to the LAT11 #3 D.Latulas return for loss of 3 yards to the LAT08 (#24 S.Schlimgen)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:2214% → 13%
Q3 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+6
86.1%
(08:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Kukuk rush left for 6 yards gain to the LAT14 (#5 J.Colson)Similar
Q3 7:35
2ND & 4
OWN 14
+2
85.7%
(07:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Thevenin rush middle for 2 yards gain to the LAT16 (#98 M.Ta'ase)Similar
Q3 6:58
3RD & 2
OWN 16
0
86.4%
(07:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Thevenin pass incomplete short left to #2 T.Kukuk thrown to LAT12 broken up by #9 C.Francl QB hurried by #53 S.FinauSimilar
Q3 6:49
4TH & 2
OWN 16
0
86.9%
(06:55) #48 J.Chance punt 50 yards to the WSU34 fair catch by #0 T.Freeman at WSU34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 16TD
18 plays · 66 yds · 8:1186% → 98%
Q3 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
86.2%
(06:48) Shotgun #9 K.Vorhees rush middle for 5 yards gain to the WSU39 (#8 J.Fields; #21 Z.Hill)Similar
Q3 6:12
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+10
86.5%
(06:19) Shotgun #4 Z.Eckhaus pass complete short left to #0 T.Freeman caught at WSU40, for 10 yards to the WSU49 (#17 A.Butler), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
87.1%
(05:38) Shotgun #20 L.Pulalasi rush left for 2 yards gain to the LAT49 (#9 M.Mason)Similar
Q3 4:56
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+15
87.5%
(04:56) Shotgun #4 Z.Eckhaus pass incomplete short right to #18 J.Meredith thrown to LAT30, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY LAT Pass Interference (#1 M.Richard) WSU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (#66 A.Vaipulu) 30 yards from LAT49 to LAT49, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
87.7%
(04:49) Shotgun #4 Z.Eckhaus pass complete short right to #0 T.Freeman caught at LAT50, for 4 yards to the LAT45 (#23 A.Jackson Jr.)Similar
Q3 4:07
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+8
87.6%
(04:10) Shotgun #9 K.Vorhees rush middle for 8 yards gain to the LAT37 (#96 Z.Nason), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:26
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
88.1%
(03:31) Shotgun #9 K.Vorhees rush middle for 4 yards gain to the LAT33 (#21 Z.Hill; #7 J.Shelby Jr.)Similar
Q3 2:37
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+4
89.0%
(02:44) Shotgun #4 Z.Eckhaus pass complete short left to #23 T.Leckner caught at LAT35, for 4 yards to the LAT29 (#0 S.Fongang)Similar
Q3 1:58
3RD & 2
OPP 29
+1
88.7%
(02:05) Shotgun #9 K.Vorhees rush middle for 1 yard gain to the LAT28 (#98 D.Rieman)Similar
Q3 1:14
4TH & 1
OPP 28
+16
88.1%
(01:21) Shotgun #4 Z.Eckhaus rush middle for 16 yards gain to the LAT12 (#9 M.Mason), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+6
89.8%
(00:38) Shotgun #4 Z.Eckhaus rush middle for 6 yards gain to the LAT06 (#21 Z.Hill)Similar
Q3 0:10
2ND & 4
OPP 6
+3
90.1%
(00:10) PENALTY LAT Offside (#9 M.Mason) 3 yards from LAT06 to LAT03. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 1
OPP 3
+2
90.2%
(15:00) Shotgun #1 A.Johnson rush middle for 2 yards gain to the LAT01 (#9 M.Mason; #94 E.Oguns), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
90.7%
(14:12) Shotgun #1 A.Johnson rush middle for 0 yards to the LAT01 (#22 J.Mayfield; #21 Z.Hill)Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.4%
(13:33) #4 Z.Eckhaus rush middle for 1 yard gain to the LAT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:30 #38 J.Stevens kick attempt good (H: #98 R.Harris, LS: #46 C.Peoples) #38 J.Stevens kick attempt good (H: #98 R.Harris, LS: #46 C.Peoples) PENALTY #38 J.Stevens kick attempt good (H: #98 R.Harris, LS: #46 C.Peoples) PENALTY WSU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct 15 yards from LAT00 to WSU20 #38 J.Stevens kick attempt good (H: #98 R.Harris, LS: #46 C.Peoples) PENALTY WSU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (#46 C.Peoples) 15 yards from LAT00 to WSU20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 17INT
11 plays · 38 yds · 4:235% → 4%
Q4 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
95.1%
(13:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Kukuk pass complete short left to #87 B.Bockler caught at LAT37, for 5 yards to the LAT40 (#9 C.Francl)Similar
Q4 12:31
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+4
95.4%
(12:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Kukuk pass complete short right to #4 C.Thevenin caught at LAT35, for 4 yards to the LAT44 (#24 S.Schlimgen)Similar
Q4 12:00
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+15
96.0%
(12:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Kukuk pass incomplete short left to #8 J.Fields thrown to WSU41 PENALTY WSU Pass Interference (#2 C.Humphrey) 15 yards from LAT44 to WSU41, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+11
95.8%
(11:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 A.Burnette rush middle for 11 yards gain to the WSU30 (#24 S.Schlimgen), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 11:32
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
95.3%
(11:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 A.Burnette rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WSU27 (#2 C.Humphrey; #9 C.Francl)Similar
Q4 10:52
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+15
95.3%
(10:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 A.Burnette rush right for 15 yards gain to the WSU12 (#24 S.Schlimgen), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+15
95.3%
(10:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Kukuk rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WSU10 (#24 S.Schlimgen; #98 M.Ta'ase) PENALTY LAT Chop Block (#79 A.Cole) 15 yards from WSU12 to WSU27. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 10:13
1ST & 25
OPP 27
+6
95.7%
(10:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Kukuk rush left for 6 yards gain to the WSU21 (#9 C.Francl)Similar
Q4 9:33
2ND & 19
OPP 21
-3
95.7%
(09:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Kukuk sacked for loss of 6 yards to the WSU27 (#88 I.Terrell, #98 M.Ta'ase)Similar
Q4 8:46
3RD & 25
OPP 27
-15
96.2%
(08:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Kukuk pass intercepted by #2 C.Humphrey at WSU15 #2 C.Humphrey return 15 yards to the WSU30 (#4 C.Thevenin)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 18TD
13 plays · 70 yds · 7:2999% → 100%
Q4 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
98.8%
(08:45) Shotgun #9 K.Vorhees rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WSU33 (#90 J.Madkins)Similar
Q4 7:59
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+6
98.9%
(08:04) Shotgun #9 K.Vorhees rush middle for 6 yards gain to the WSU39 (#0 S.Fongang)Similar
Q4 7:21
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+3
99.0%
(07:25) Shotgun #4 Z.Eckhaus rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WSU42 (#90 J.Madkins), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+11
99.1%
(06:39) Shotgun #4 Z.Eckhaus pass complete short right to #9 K.Vorhees caught at WSU45, for 11 yards to the LAT47 (#0 S.Fongang), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
99.2%
(06:05) Shotgun #20 L.Pulalasi rush middle for 1 yard gain to the LAT46 (#2 J.Cobbs)Similar
Q4 5:15
2ND & 9
OPP 46
-1
99.3%
(05:20) Shotgun #3 M.Woods rush middle for 1 yard loss to the LAT47 (#91 C.Sims)Similar
Q4 4:25
3RD & 10
OPP 47
+12
99.4%
(04:33) Shotgun #4 Z.Eckhaus pass complete short left to #18 J.Meredith caught at LAT35, for 12 yards to the LAT35 QB hurried by #23 A.Jackson Jr., out of bounds at LAT35, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 3:49
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
99.4%
(03:53) Shotgun #9 K.Vorhees rush right for 4 yards gain to the LAT31 (#14 J.Mcrae)Similar
Q4 3:00
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+9
99.5%
(03:10) Shotgun #4 Z.Eckhaus pass complete short left to #88 M.Alleyne caught at LAT30, for 9 yards to the LAT22 (#7 J.Shelby Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:22
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
99.5%
(02:25) Shotgun #9 K.Vorhees rush middle for 1 yard gain to the LAT21 (#22 J.Mayfield)Similar
Q4 1:54
2ND & 9
OPP 21
+2
99.6%
(01:59) Shotgun #1 A.Johnson rush left for 2 yards gain to the LAT19 (#0 S.Fongang)Similar
Q4 1:12
3RD & 7
OPP 19
+19
99.9%
(01:16) Shotgun #9 K.Vorhees rush middle for 19 yards gain to the LAT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:12, 1ST DOWN #38 J.Stevens kick attempt good (H: #98 R.Harris, LS: #46 C.Peoples)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 19END OF GAME
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:310% → 0%
Q4 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
99.6%
(01:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 A.Givens rush left for 0 yards to the LAT13 (#4 K.Rapolla)Similar
Q4 0:28
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+4
99.6%
(00:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 A.Givens rush middle for 4 yards gain to the LAT17 (#94 T.Miller)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 13:30
(13:33) #4 Z.Eckhaus rush middle for 1 yard gain to the LAT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:30 #38 J.Stevens kick attempt good (H: #98 R.Harris, LS: #46 C.Peoples) #38 J.Stevens kick attempt good (H: #98 R.Harris, LS: #46 C.Peoples) PENALTY #38 J.Stevens kick attempt good (H: #98 R.Harris, LS: #46 C.Peoples) PENALTY WSU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct 15 yards from LAT00 to WSU20 #38 J.Stevens kick attempt good (H: #98 R.Harris, LS: #46 C.Peoples) PENALTY WSU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (#46 C.Peoples) 15 yards from LAT00 to WSU20
+7.7
FG · Q2 0:00
Drew Henderson 51 Yd Field Goal
-6.6
TD · Q2 12:11
(12:15) Shotgun #4 Z.Eckhaus rush left for 7 yards gain to the LAT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:11 #38 J.Stevens kick attempt good (H: #98 R.Harris, LS: #46 C.Peoples)
+5.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com