Try the model
TOL

Toledo 7 at Washington State 28

WSU
2025 · Week 9 · Oct 25, 2025 · Gesa Field
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · WSU
modelWSU aheadTOL aheadconfidence bandkey playWSU scoreTOL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · End of 4th quarter.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:07: (12:11) Shotgun #4 Z.Eckhaus rush left for 7 yards gain to the TOL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:07 #38 J.Stevens kick attempt good (H: #98 R.Harris, LS: #46 C.Peoples) — WSU win probability +6.7 pts (now 53%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:51: (00:57) Shotgun #4 Z.Eckhaus pass complete deep right to #21 C.Pabst caught at TOL01, for 35 yards to the TOL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:51, 1ST DOWN #38 J.Stevens kick attempt good (H: #98 R.Harris, LS: #46 C.Peoples) — WSU win probability +14.6 pts (now 90%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:13: (00:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Gleason pass complete short middle to #2 J.Vandeross III caught at WSU05, for 24 yards to the WSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:13, 1ST DOWN #45 D.Cunanan kick attempt good (H: #36 E.Duran, LS: #40 J.Roe) — TOL win probability +17.0 pts (now 30%) (top driver: TOL has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 15:00: (15:00) #37 R.Hammond III kickoff 58 yards to the WSU07 fair catch by #9 K.Vorhees at WSU07 — TOL win probability +6.1 pts (now 28%) (top driver: TOL has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q3 2:43: (02:48) Shotgun #2 J.Dugger rush left for 6 yards gain to the WSU37 (#39 D.Hohler), out of bounds — WSU win probability +7.1 pts (now 90%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4TOL made the numbers' call on 4 of 10
  1. Q1 13:29TOL 4th & 5 at TOL 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.4%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:42WSU 4th & 8 at WSU 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.5%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:31TOL 4th & 5 at WSU 44, tied
    Close callPunted · 51.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.0%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    51.8%−0.2
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    51.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:14WSU 4th & 19 at WSU 2, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.4%−0.8
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.1%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:49TOL 4th & 7 at WSU 38, tied
    Close callPunted · 51.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.2%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    51.0%−0.2
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    51.0%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:33TOL 4th & 4 at WSU 40, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 42.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    40.8%−1.5
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    41.2%−1.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:07TOL 4th & 8 at TOL 33, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.5%−0.6
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.0%
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:51TOL 4th & 1 at WSU 34, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 23.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    20.7%−2.8
    47% to make
    Punt
    19.9%−3.7
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:53TOL 4th & 21 at WSU 33, down 14
    Close callPunted · 18.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.5%−2.3
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    18.8%
    49% to make
    PuntTheir call
    17.9%−0.9
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:31WSU 4th & 11 at WSU 32, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.4%−2.9
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:07TOL 4th & 1 at WSU 31, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    13.4%−2.9
    54% to make
    Punt
    12.0%−4.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:51TOL 4th & 5 at WSU 19, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 11.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.5%−0.7
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    11.1%
    77% to make
    Punt
    4.0%−7.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:28WSU 4th & 1 at WSU 28, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.8 ptsPunted · 93.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.5%−1.8
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:12TOL 4th & 7 at TOL 28, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.5%
    average punt
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TOLDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:2662% → 61%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
38.1%
(14:59) #10 K.Christian rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TOL29 (#0 A.Palano; #44 P.McKenna)Similar
Q1 14:19
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
38.3%
(14:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 K.Christian rush left for 1 yard gain to the TOL30 (#98 M.Ta'ase; #0 A.Palano)Similar
Q1 13:37
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
38.6%
(13:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Gleason pass incomplete short right to #2 J.Vandeross III thrown to TOL45Similar
Q1 13:29
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
38.7%
(13:36) #36 E.Duran punt 34 yards to the WSU36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:4239% → 39%
Q1 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
38.8%
(13:29) Shotgun #9 K.Vorhees rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WSU38 (#93 M.Davis)Similar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 8
OWN 38
0
39.0%
(12:53) Shotgun #4 Z.Eckhaus pass incomplete short middle to #83 A.Faleye thrown to WSU41Similar
Q1 12:44
3RD & 8
OWN 38
0
38.9%
(12:50) Shotgun #4 Z.Eckhaus pass incomplete deep right to #18 J.Meredith thrown to TOL35 QB hurried by #93 M.DavisSimilar
Q1 12:42
4TH & 8
OWN 38
0
38.8%
(12:42) #98 R.Harris punt 38 yards to the TOL24 PENALTY WSU Kick Catch Interference (#88 M.Alleyne) 15 yards from TOL24 to TOL39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:0561% → 60%
Q1 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
39.1%
(11:49) No Huddle #10 K.Christian rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TOL42 (#1 T.Large; #10 B.Peleti)Similar
Q1 11:17
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+4
39.0%
(11:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Gleason pass complete short left to #2 J.Vandeross III caught at TOL45, for 4 yards to the TOL46 (#9 C.Francl)Similar
Q1 11:00
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+5
39.2%
(11:11) No Huddle #4 T.Gleason pass complete short right to #11 R.Treadway caught at TOL50, for 5 yards to the WSU49 (#1 T.Large; #44 P.McKenna), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
39.2%
(10:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Gleason pass incomplete short middle to #2 J.Vandeross III thrown to WSU31Similar
Q1 10:27
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+2
39.2%
(10:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 C.Walendzak rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WSU47 (#44 P.McKenna; #25 C.Reeder)Similar
Q1 9:43
3RD & 8
OPP 47
+3
39.6%
(09:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Gleason pass complete short middle to #9 T.Rudolph caught at WSU45, for 3 yards to the WSU44 (#2 C.Humphrey)Similar
Q1 9:31
4TH & 5
OPP 44
0
39.8%
(09:35) #36 E.Duran punt 33 yards to the WSU11 fair catch by #0 T.Freeman at WSU11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · -9 yds · 2:0340% → 40%
Q1 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-1
40.2%
(09:30) Shotgun #9 K.Vorhees rush middle for 1 yard loss to the WSU10 (#93 M.Davis)Similar
Q1 8:42
2ND & 11
OWN 10
-3
40.1%
(08:50) Shotgun #4 Z.Eckhaus pass complete short left to #18 J.Meredith caught at WSU07, for 3 yards loss to the WSU07 (#4 A.Smith)Similar
Q1 8:00
3RD & 14
OWN 7
-5
39.9%
(08:09) Shotgun #4 Z.Eckhaus sacked for loss of 5 yards to the WSU02 (#93 M.Davis)Similar
Q1 7:14
4TH & 19
OWN 2
+5
40.0%
(07:25) #98 R.Harris punt 55 yards to the TOL43 #12 B.Hammer return 5 yards to the TOL48 (#51 B.Beatty)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 14 yds · 3:1960% → 59%
Q1 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
39.9%
(07:12) Shotgun #10 K.Christian rush left for 2 yards gain to the TOL50 (#98 M.Ta'ase; #89 D.Fitzmaurice)Similar
Q1 6:51
2ND & 8
50
+5
39.9%
PENALTY TOL False Start (#66 C.Fouty) 5 yards from TOL50 to TOL45. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 6:14
2ND & 13
OWN 45
+10
40.7%
(06:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Gleason pass complete short middle to #10 K.Christian caught at TOL50, for 10 yards to the WSU45 (#2 C.Humphrey)Similar
Q1 5:47
3RD & 3
OPP 45
+4
40.3%
(05:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 C.Walendzak rush middle for 4 yards gain to the WSU41 (#89 D.Fitzmaurice; #92 D.Dalton), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:14
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
40.3%
(05:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 C.Walendzak rush left for 0 yards to the WSU41 (#24 S.Schlimgen)Similar
Q1 4:26
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+8
40.5%
(04:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Gleason pass complete short right to #5 T.Crosby Jr. caught at WSU36, for 8 yards to the WSU33 QB hurried by #9 C.Francl (#8 K.Worthy III), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 3:57
3RD & 2
OPP 33
0
40.6%
(04:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Gleason pass incomplete short right to #81 E.Holley III thrown to WSU28Similar
Q1 3:57
4TH & 2
OPP 33
+5
41.3%
PENALTY TOL Illegal Snap (#52 A.Boswell) 5 yards from WSU33 to WSU38. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 3:49
4TH & 7
OPP 38
0
41.5%
(03:56) #36 E.Duran punt 27 yards to the WSU11 #0 T.Freeman return 0 yards to the WSU11, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 6TD
15 plays · 89 yds · 6:3842% → 53%
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
41.9%
(03:48) Shotgun #1 A.Johnson rush middle for 0 yards to the WSU11 (#4 A.Smith)Similar
Q1 3:06
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+6
42.0%
(03:12) Shotgun #4 Z.Eckhaus rush left for 6 yards gain to the WSU17 (#38 K.Sherman; #49 C.D'Appolonia)Similar
Q1 2:17
3RD & 4
OWN 17
+7
42.0%
(02:23) Shotgun #4 Z.Eckhaus pass complete short left to #23 T.Leckner caught at WSU21, for 7 yards to the WSU24 (#49 C.D'Appolonia; #22 N.Thompson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
42.9%
(01:48) Shotgun #4 Z.Eckhaus rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WSU25 (#8 M.Poynter)Similar
Q1 1:02
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+10
43.1%
(01:02) Shotgun #4 Z.Eckhaus rush left for 10 yards gain to the WSU35, End Of Play PENALTY WSU Holding (#71 A.Tripp) 10 yards from WSU25 to WSU15. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 0:25
2ND & 19
OWN 15
+16
43.2%
(00:32) Shotgun #4 Z.Eckhaus rush middle for 16 yards gain to the WSU31 (#7 E.McNeil-Warren; #8 M.Poynter)Similar
Q1 0:01
3RD & 3
OWN 31
+5
43.3%
PENALTY TOL Offside (#93 M.Davis) 5 yards from WSU31 to WSU36, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
44.0%
(14:58) Shotgun #1 A.Johnson rush left for 1 yard gain to the WSU37 (#49 C.D'Appolonia; #12 E.Carter)Similar
Q2 14:12
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+40
44.1%
(14:21) Shotgun #4 Z.Eckhaus pass complete deep left to #18 J.Meredith caught at TOL25, for 40 yards to the TOL23 (#4 A.Smith), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+6
46.2%
(13:25) Shotgun #20 L.Pulalasi rush right for 6 yards gain to the TOL17 (#6 B.Awls)Similar
Q2 12:34
2ND & 4
OPP 17
0
46.6%
(12:42) Shotgun #4 Z.Eckhaus pass incomplete short right to #20 L.Pulalasi thrown to TOL15 QB hurried by #93 M.DavisSimilar
Q2 12:28
3RD & 4
OPP 17
+10
45.9%
(12:34) Shotgun #4 Z.Eckhaus pass complete short right to #23 T.Leckner caught at TOL15, for 10 yards to the TOL07 (#7 E.McNeil-Warren), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
52.7%
(12:11) Shotgun #4 Z.Eckhaus rush left for 7 yards gain to the TOL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:07 #38 J.Stevens kick attempt good (H: #98 R.Harris, LS: #46 C.Peoples)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 48 yds · 2:2150% → 49%
Q2 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+31
50.5%
(12:01) Shotgun #4 T.Gleason pass complete short middle to #10 K.Christian caught at TOL18, for 31 yards to the TOL43 (#1 T.Large), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
49.5%
(11:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 K.Christian rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TOL47 (#92 D.Dalton)Similar
Q2 10:46
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+7
49.2%
(10:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Gleason pass complete short left to #2 J.Vandeross III caught at WSU47, for 7 yards to the WSU46 (#1 T.Large), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
49.1%
(10:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Gleason pass complete short right to #10 K.Christian caught at WSU44, for 6 yards to the WSU40 (#44 P.McKenna), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 9:46
2ND & 4
OPP 40
0
49.4%
(09:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Gleason pass incomplete short left to #2 J.Vandeross III thrown to WSU35 broken up by #99 B.Lamb QB hurried by #84 M.Wrice and #90 M.HughesSimilar
Q2 9:40
3RD & 4
OPP 40
0
50.0%
(09:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Gleason pass incomplete deep right to #11 R.Treadway thrown to WSU15 QB hurried by #84 M.WriceSimilar
Q2 9:33
4TH & 4
OPP 40
0
50.9%
(09:39) #36 E.Duran punt 40 yards to the WSU00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 8TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 5:2653% → 66%
Q2 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
52.7%
(09:29) Shotgun #9 K.Vorhees rush middle for 8 yards gain to the WSU28 (#4 A.Smith)Similar
Q2 8:48
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+4
53.9%
(08:52) Shotgun #4 Z.Eckhaus rush middle for 4 yards gain to the WSU32 (#38 K.Sherman), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
54.7%
(08:16) Shotgun #4 Z.Eckhaus pass complete short left to #18 J.Meredith caught at WSU30, for 4 yards to the WSU36 (#4 A.Smith), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 7:36
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+9
56.0%
(07:42) Shotgun #9 K.Vorhees rush middle for 9 yards gain to the WSU45 (#6 B.Awls; #7 E.McNeil-Warren), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+40
57.5%
(06:59) Shotgun #4 Z.Eckhaus pass complete deep middle to #18 J.Meredith caught at TOL20, for 40 yards to the TOL15 (#4 A.Smith), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
58.6%
(06:13) Shotgun #4 Z.Eckhaus rush middle for 5 yards gain to the TOL10 (#6 B.Awls; #49 C.D'Appolonia)Similar
Q2 5:28
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+3
59.1%
(05:34) Shotgun #9 K.Vorhees rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TOL07 (#93 M.Davis)Similar
Q2 4:53
3RD & 2
OPP 7
+2
58.7%
(04:57) #4 Z.Eckhaus rush middle for 2 yards gain to the TOL05 (#8 M.Poynter), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 4:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
60.2%
(04:15) Shotgun #4 Z.Eckhaus pass incomplete short middle to #83 A.Faleye thrown to TOL00 QB hurried by #93 M.DavisSimilar
Q2 4:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-10
60.3%
(04:12) #4 Z.Eckhaus pass incomplete short right thrown to TOL05 PENALTY WSU Intentional Grounding (#4 Z.Eckhaus)Similar
Q2 4:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 15
+15
65.7%
(04:07) Shotgun #4 Z.Eckhaus pass complete short middle to #0 T.Freeman caught at TOL00, for 15 yards to the TOL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:00. The previous play is under automatic review - "Pass completion". CALL UPHELD #38 J.Stevens kick attempt good (H: #98 R.Harris, LS: #46 C.Peoples)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 9PUNT
10 plays · 14 yds · 1:4035% → 30%
Q2 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
65.3%
(03:53) Shotgun #4 T.Gleason pass complete short left to #89 J.Petersen caught at TOL23, for 4 yards to the TOL23 (#1 T.Large), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 3:25
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+4
65.4%
(03:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Gleason pass complete short left to #2 J.Vandeross III caught at TOL20, for 4 yards to the TOL27 (#1 T.Large; #2 C.Humphrey)Similar
Q2 2:45
3RD & 2
OWN 27
+4
68.8%
(02:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Gleason pass complete short left to #2 J.Vandeross III caught at TOL30, for 4 yards to the TOL31 (#2 C.Humphrey), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
68.9%
(02:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Gleason pass incomplete deep left to #2 J.Vandeross III thrown to WSU45 QB hurried by #98 M.Ta'ase and #10 B.PeletiSimilar
Q2 2:22
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+2
69.6%
(02:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 C.Walendzak rush left for 2 yards gain to the TOL33 (#2 C.Humphrey)Similar
Q2 2:15
3RD & 8
OWN 33
0
69.6%
(02:22) Shotgun #4 T.Gleason pass incomplete short middle to #11 R.Treadway thrown to WSU50 QB hurried by #99 B.Lamb PENALTY TOL Holding declinedSimilar
Q2 2:07
4TH & 8
OWN 33
+49
70.3%
(02:13) #36 E.Duran punt 49 yards to the WSU18 muffed by #0 T.Freeman at WSU18 recovered by WSU #0 T.Freeman at WSU17, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 10TD
11 plays · 83 yds · 1:0972% → 90%
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+7
71.6%
(02:05) Shotgun #20 L.Pulalasi rush left for 7 yards gain to the WSU24 (#7 E.McNeil-Warren)Similar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 3
OWN 24
+4
71.4%
(01:59) Shotgun #20 L.Pulalasi rush middle for 4 yards gain to the WSU28 (#6 B.Awls), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-3
71.9%
(01:44) Shotgun #4 Z.Eckhaus pass complete short left to #20 L.Pulalasi caught at WSU24, for 3 yards loss to the WSU25, out of bounds at WSU25Similar
Q2 1:26
2ND & 13
OWN 25
+18
72.4%
(01:41) Shotgun #4 Z.Eckhaus rush right for 18 yards gain to the WSU43, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY TOL Holding (#3 A.Fuller) 10 yards from WSU43 to TOL47, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
74.4%
(01:17) Shotgun #4 Z.Eckhaus pass incomplete short left to #20 L.Pulalasi thrown to TOL50 QB hurried by #8 M.PoynterSimilar
Q2 1:12
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
74.5%
(01:16) Shotgun #4 Z.Eckhaus pass incomplete short left to #23 T.Leckner thrown to TOL32 QB hurried by #58 A.Dunn JrSimilar
Q2 1:06
3RD & 10
OPP 47
+7
73.6%
(01:10) Shotgun #4 Z.Eckhaus rush middle for 7 yards gain to the TOL40 (#6 B.Awls)Similar
Q2 0:59
4TH & 3
OPP 40
+5
75.1%
(01:05) Shotgun #4 Z.Eckhaus pass incomplete deep left to #15 J.Noga thrown to TOL15 PENALTY TOL Offside (#9 L.Julien) 5 yards from TOL40 to TOL35, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+35
89.7%
(00:57) Shotgun #4 Z.Eckhaus pass complete deep right to #21 C.Pabst caught at TOL01, for 35 yards to the TOL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:51, 1ST DOWN #38 J.Stevens kick attempt good (H: #98 R.Harris, LS: #46 C.Peoples)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 11TD
8 plays · 65 yds · 0:3215% → 30%
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
85.2%
(00:48) Shotgun #4 T.Gleason pass complete short left to #9 T.Rudolph caught at TOL45, for 12 yards to the TOL47 (#24 S.Schlimgen), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
85.1%
(00:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Gleason pass complete short middle to #24 C.Walendzak caught at WSU47, for 8 yards to the WSU45 (#92 D.Dalton; #9 C.Francl)Similar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 2
OPP 45
0
85.3%
(00:34) Shotgun #4 T.Gleason pass incomplete short middle to #11 R.Treadway thrown to WSU30Similar
Q2 0:19
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+21
85.6%
(00:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Gleason pass complete short middle to #89 J.Petersen caught at WSU30, for 21 yards to the WSU24 QB hurried by #90 M.Hughes (#9 C.Francl), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
87.1%
(00:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Gleason pass incomplete, SpikeSimilar
Q2 0:13
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+24
70.1%
(00:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Gleason pass complete short middle to #2 J.Vandeross III caught at WSU05, for 24 yards to the WSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:13, 1ST DOWN #45 D.Cunanan kick attempt good (H: #36 E.Duran, LS: #40 J.Roe)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 12END OF HALF
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
76.9%
(00:11) Kneel down by Washington St. at WSU23 for loss of 2 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 13INT
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:3874% → 75%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
74.2%
(14:59) Shotgun #9 K.Vorhees rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WSU27 (#7 E.McNeil-Warren)Similar
Q3 14:17
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
74.7%
(14:23) Shotgun #4 Z.Eckhaus pass intercepted by #6 B.Awls at WSU43 QB hurried by #8 M.Poynter, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 14DOWNS
12 plays · 10 yds · 5:1429% → 20%
Q3 14:07
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-1
71.3%
(14:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 K.Christian rush left for 1 yard loss to the WSU44 (#1 T.Large)Similar
Q3 13:31
2ND & 11
OPP 44
0
72.5%
(13:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Gleason pass incomplete deep middle to #2 J.Vandeross III thrown to WSU15Similar
Q3 13:21
3RD & 11
OPP 44
+10
75.1%
(13:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Gleason rush middle for 10 yards gain to the WSU34, End Of PlaySimilar
Q3 12:51
4TH & 1
OPP 34
+1
74.4%
(12:57) No Huddle #4 T.Gleason rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WSU33 (#90 M.Hughes; #9 C.Francl), 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "First down". CALL UPHELDSimilar
Q3 12:09
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
73.9%
(12:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 K.Christian rush middle for 9 yards gain to the WSU24 (#1 T.Large; #2 C.Humphrey)Similar
Q3 11:29
2ND & 1
OPP 24
-1
74.1%
(11:37) No Huddle #10 K.Christian rush left for 1 yard loss to the WSU25 (#44 P.McKenna)Similar
Q3 11:03
3RD & 2
OPP 25
+3
75.7%
(11:09) No Huddle #4 T.Gleason pass complete short right to #9 T.Rudolph caught at WSU23, for 3 yards to the WSU22 (#1 T.Large), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:26
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
75.1%
(10:30) No Huddle #24 C.Walendzak rush middle for 4 yards gain to the WSU18 (#1 T.Large; #89 D.Fitzmaurice)Similar
Q3 9:21
2ND & 6
OPP 18
-15
76.1%
(09:46) No Huddle #4 T.Gleason sacked for loss of 15 yards to the WSU33 (#93 J.Janikowski), fumble by #4 T.Gleason recovered by TOL #74 C.Rhett at WSU33, End Of PlaySimilar
Q3 9:01
3RD & 21
OPP 33
0
79.3%
(09:02) No Huddle #4 T.Gleason pass incomplete short middle to #2 J.Vandeross III thrown to WSU33 QB hurried by #9 C.FranclSimilar
Q3 8:53
4TH & 21
OPP 33
0
80.5%
(09:00) #36 E.Duran punt 33 yards to the WSU00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 2:1382% → 84%
Q3 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
82.4%
(08:51) Shotgun #1 A.Johnson rush middle for 1 yard loss to the WSU19 (#9 L.Julien)Similar
Q3 8:06
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+14
82.9%
(08:13) Shotgun #4 Z.Eckhaus pass complete short right to #21 C.Pabst caught at WSU20, for 14 yards to the WSU33 (#3 A.Fuller), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-1
84.3%
(07:31) Shotgun #1 A.Johnson rush middle for 1 yard loss to the WSU32 (#38 K.Sherman)Similar
Q3 6:44
2ND & 11
OWN 32
0
84.7%
(06:49) Shotgun #4 Z.Eckhaus pass incomplete short middle to #15 J.Noga thrown to WSU45Similar
Q3 6:35
3RD & 11
OWN 32
0
84.3%
(06:41) Shotgun #4 Z.Eckhaus pass incomplete deep right to #23 T.Leckner thrown to TOL40 broken up by #49 C.D'AppoloniaSimilar
Q3 6:31
4TH & 11
OWN 32
0
84.0%
(06:34) #98 R.Harris punt 47 yards to the TOL21 fair catch by #12 B.Hammer at TOL21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 16DOWNS
10 plays · 48 yds · 3:1618% → 17%
Q3 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
82.1%
(06:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 K.Christian rush left for 9 yards gain to the TOL30 (#23 M.Durrance)Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 1
OWN 30
+10
81.2%
(06:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Gleason pass complete short right to #9 T.Rudolph caught at TOL31, for 10 yards to the TOL40 (#2 C.Humphrey), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
81.6%
(05:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Gleason pass complete short middle to #89 J.Petersen caught at TOL45, for 8 yards to the TOL48 (#5 J.Colson)Similar
Q3 5:01
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+1
81.7%
(05:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Gleason pass complete short left to #2 J.Vandeross III caught at TOL45, for 1 yard to the TOL49 (#2 C.Humphrey)Similar
Q3 4:36
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+11
82.6%
(04:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Gleason rush right for 11 yards gain to the WSU40 (#44 P.McKenna), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
81.3%
(04:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 K.Christian rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WSU39 (#9 C.Francl)Similar
Q3 3:50
2ND & 9
OPP 39
0
82.8%
(03:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Gleason pass incomplete short right to #81 E.Holley III thrown to WSU35Similar
Q3 3:41
3RD & 9
OPP 39
+8
83.7%
(03:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Gleason pass complete short middle to #2 J.Vandeross III caught at WSU35, for 8 yards to the WSU31 (#1 T.Large)Similar
Q3 3:07
4TH & 1
OPP 31
0
82.9%
(03:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Gleason pass incomplete short middle to #2 J.Vandeross III thrown to WSU16, TURNOVER ON DOWNS. The previous play is under automatic review - "Incomplete pass". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (03:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Gleason pass complete short middle to #2 J.Vandeross III caught at WSU16, for 15 yards to the WSU16, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 17INT
5 plays · 17 yds · 2:0590% → 92%
Q3 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
90.0%
(02:48) Shotgun #2 J.Dugger rush left for 6 yards gain to the WSU37 (#39 D.Hohler), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 2:10
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+8
90.5%
(02:15) Shotgun #4 Z.Eckhaus rush middle for 8 yards gain to the WSU45 (#46 J.Peters), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
91.7%
(01:35) Shotgun #20 L.Pulalasi rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WSU48 (#6 B.Awls; #7 E.McNeil-Warren)Similar
Q3 0:46
2ND & 7
OWN 48
0
92.0%
(00:46) Shotgun #4 Z.Eckhaus pass incomplete deep right to #21 C.Pabst thrown to TOL25 broken up by #3 A.Fuller QB hurried by #46 J.PetersSimilar
Q3 0:38
3RD & 7
OWN 48
-7
91.8%
(00:46) Shotgun #4 Z.Eckhaus pass intercepted by #6 B.Awls at TOL37 QB hurried by #38 K.Sherman #6 B.Awls return 7 yards to the TOL44 (#23 T.Leckner)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 18DOWNS
8 plays · 37 yds · 2:3813% → 10%
Q3 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+16
87.1%
(00:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Gleason pass complete short right to #89 J.Petersen caught at TOL48, for 16 yards to the WSU40 QB hurried by #53 S.Finau (#44 P.McKenna), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:08
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
88.3%
(00:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Gleason rush right for 4 yards gain to the WSU36 (#44 P.McKenna), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+12
87.8%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Gleason pass complete short left to #9 T.Rudolph caught at WSU25, for 12 yards to the WSU24 (#9 C.Francl), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:36
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
87.3%
(14:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Gleason rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WSU22 (#53 S.Finau)Similar
Q4 13:55
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+2
87.7%
(14:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 C.Walendzak rush right for 2 yards gain to the WSU20 (#9 C.Francl; #24 S.Schlimgen)Similar
Q4 13:35
3RD & 6
OPP 20
+1
89.0%
(13:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 C.Walendzak rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WSU19 (#44 P.McKenna)Similar
Q4 12:51
4TH & 5
OPP 19
0
90.1%
(12:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Gleason pass incomplete short right to #24 C.Walendzak thrown to WSU08 QB hurried by #10 B.Peleti, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:1793% → 94%
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
93.1%
(12:48) Shotgun #9 K.Vorhees rush middle for 4 yards gain to the WSU23 (#6 B.Awls; #8 M.Poynter)Similar
Q4 12:04
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+2
93.7%
(12:09) Shotgun #4 Z.Eckhaus rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WSU25 (#7 E.McNeil-Warren; #49 C.D'Appolonia)Similar
Q4 11:17
3RD & 4
OWN 25
+3
94.1%
(11:23) Shotgun #20 L.Pulalasi rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WSU28 (#7 E.McNeil-Warren; #20 L.Long)Similar
Q4 10:28
4TH & 1
OWN 28
0
93.8%
(10:40) #98 R.Harris punt 37 yards to the TOL35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 20INT
4 plays · 22 yds · 1:277% → 7%
Q4 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
92.7%
(10:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 K.Christian rush left for 2 yards gain to the TOL37 (#24 S.Schlimgen; #89 D.Fitzmaurice)Similar
Q4 9:43
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+5
92.8%
(09:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Gleason pass complete short right to #9 T.Rudolph caught at TOL42, for 5 yards to the TOL42 (#1 T.Large)Similar
Q4 9:07
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+15
93.4%
(09:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Gleason pass incomplete deep middle to #2 J.Vandeross III thrown to WSU35 PENALTY WSU Pass Interference (#2 C.Humphrey) 15 yards from TOL42 to WSU43, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
93.2%
(09:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Gleason pass intercepted by #44 P.McKenna at WSU40 #44 P.McKenna return for loss of 5 yards to the WSU35 (#2 J.Vandeross III)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 21TD
17 plays · 65 yds · 6:2995% → 100%
Q4 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
95.4%
(08:54) Shotgun #9 K.Vorhees rush middle for 4 yards gain to the WSU39 (#7 E.McNeil-Warren)Similar
Q4 8:09
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+6
95.9%
(08:16) Shotgun #4 Z.Eckhaus rush left for 6 yards gain to the WSU45 (#6 B.Awls), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
96.1%
(07:38) Shotgun #4 Z.Eckhaus pass incomplete short right to #18 J.Meredith thrown to TOL40 broken up by #3 A.FullerSimilar
Q4 7:25
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+7
96.1%
(07:30) Shotgun #9 K.Vorhees rush middle for 7 yards gain to the TOL48 (#7 E.McNeil-Warren)Similar
Q4 6:45
3RD & 3
OPP 48
+4
96.4%
(06:49) Shotgun #9 K.Vorhees rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TOL44 (#7 E.McNeil-Warren; #9 L.Julien), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 6:01
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
96.9%
(06:03) Shotgun #9 K.Vorhees rush middle for 7 yards gain to the TOL37 (#6 B.Awls; #7 E.McNeil-Warren)Similar
Q4 5:17
2ND & 3
OPP 37
+2
97.0%
(05:21) Shotgun #9 K.Vorhees rush middle for 2 yards gain to the TOL35 (#38 K.Sherman)Similar
Q4 4:41
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+5
97.3%
(04:41) Shotgun #4 Z.Eckhaus rush middle for 1 yard gain to the TOL34 (#8 M.Poynter) PENALTY TOL Offside (#8 M.Poynter) 5 yards from TOL35 to TOL30, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+15
97.5%
(04:18) Shotgun #4 Z.Eckhaus pass incomplete deep left to #21 C.Pabst thrown to TOL05 QB hurried by #9 L.Julien and #55 D.Ray Jr. PENALTY TOL Pass Interference (#7 E.McNeil-Warren) 15 yards from TOL30 to TOL15, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
97.5%
(04:09) Shotgun #3 M.Woods rush middle for 2 yards gain to the TOL13 (#55 D.Ray Jr.)Similar
Q4 3:57
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+7
98.2%
(04:05) Shotgun #4 Z.Eckhaus rush right for 7 yards gain to the TOL06 (#38 K.Sherman)Similar
Q4 3:49
3RD & 1
OPP 6
+4
98.2%
(03:53) Shotgun #9 K.Vorhees rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TOL02 (#6 B.Awls), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 3:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
98.4%
(03:06) Shotgun #9 K.Vorhees rush middle for 1 yard gain to the TOL01 (#7 E.McNeil-Warren)Similar
Q4 2:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+5
98.5%
PENALTY WSU False Start (#67 J.Lester) 5 yards from TOL01 to TOL06. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 2:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.7%
(02:24) Shotgun #9 K.Vorhees rush middle for 6 yards gain to the TOL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:21 #38 J.Stevens kick attempt good (H: #98 R.Harris, LS: #46 C.Peoples)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 22DOWNS
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:530% → 0%
Q4 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.8%
(02:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Gleason pass complete short middle to #89 J.Petersen caught at TOL30, for 9 yards to the TOL34 (#8 K.Worthy III)Similar
Q4 1:55
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+15
99.7%
(01:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Gleason pass complete short left to #24 C.Walendzak caught at TOL40, for 12 yards to the TOL46 (#24 S.Schlimgen), out of bounds PENALTY TOL Face Mask (#55 I.Traore) 15 yards from TOL34 to TOL19. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 16
OWN 19
0
99.8%
(01:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Gleason pass incomplete short left to #24 C.Walendzak thrown to TOL22Similar
Q4 1:39
3RD & 16
OWN 19
+9
99.8%
(01:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Gleason pass complete short right to #5 T.Crosby Jr. caught at TOL22, for 9 yards to the TOL28 (#1 T.Large)Similar
Q4 1:12
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+6
99.8%
(01:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Gleason pass complete short right to #24 C.Walendzak caught at TOL32, for 6 yards to the TOL34 (#44 P.McKenna), out of bounds, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 23END OF GAME
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:22100% → 100%
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-1
99.8%
(01:07) Washington St. rush for 1 yard loss to the TOL35, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 0:38
2ND & 11
OPP 35
-1
99.8%
(00:38) Kneel down by Washington St. at TOL36 for loss of 1 yardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:13
(00:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Gleason pass complete short middle to #2 J.Vandeross III caught at WSU05, for 24 yards to the WSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:13, 1ST DOWN #45 D.Cunanan kick attempt good (H: #36 E.Duran, LS: #40 J.Roe)
-17
TD · Q2 0:51
(00:57) Shotgun #4 Z.Eckhaus pass complete deep right to #21 C.Pabst caught at TOL01, for 35 yards to the TOL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:51, 1ST DOWN #38 J.Stevens kick attempt good (H: #98 R.Harris, LS: #46 C.Peoples)
+14.6
KEY PLAY · Q3 2:43
(02:48) Shotgun #2 J.Dugger rush left for 6 yards gain to the WSU37 (#39 D.Hohler), out of bounds
+7.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com