WSU
Washington State 20 at Virginia 22
UVA2025 · Week 8 · Oct 18, 2025 · Scott Stadium
Win probability · UVA
modelUVA aheadWSU aheadconfidence bandkey play
What moved it - hover a play below
Q4 0:00 · (00:22) Kneel down by Virginia at UVA41 for loss of 1 yard.
01
Market gave UVA a 87% pregame chance
+20
02
UVA has the ball
+9
03
Blowout context favors the offense
+5
04
0:00 left in regulation
−1
Play by play - hover to pin the curve
Q1 15:00
Ryan Harris kickoff for 65 yds , Cam Ross return for 31 yds to the UVA 31
0.0
Q1 15:00
Chandler Morris pass incomplete to Trell Harris
+1.5
Q1 14:39
Chandler Morris run for 1 yd to the UVA 32
-0.2
Q1 14:00
Chandler Morris pass incomplete to Jahmal Edrine
0.0
Q1 13:49
Daniel Sparks punt for 52 yds , Tony Freeman returns for 6 yds to the WSU 22
-0.1
Q1 13:40
Zevi Eckhaus pass complete to Trey Leckner for 5 yds to the WSU 27
-1.8
Q1 13:02
Zevi Eckhaus pass complete to Julian Dugger for 8 yds to the WSU 35 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 12:28
Zevi Eckhaus pass complete to Joshua Meredith for 22 yds to the UVA 43 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 11:56
Kirby Vorhees run for 5 yds to the UVA 38
-1.4
Q1 11:17
Zevi Eckhaus pass complete to Joshua Meredith for 5 yds to the UVA 33 for a 1ST down
-1.0
Q1 11:17
Zevi Eckhaus run for 2 yds to the UVA 32 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 9:47
Zevi Eckhaus pass complete to Joshua Meredith for 32 yds for a TD (Jack Stevens KICK)
-8.6
Q1 9:47
Timeout Virginia, clock 09:47
+11.9
Q1 9:47
Ryan Harris kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
-11.2
Q1 9:40
J'Mari Taylor run for 2 yds to the UVA 27
-1.3
Q1 9:05
Chandler Morris pass incomplete to J'Mari Taylor
+0.2
Q1 9:01
Chandler Morris pass incomplete to Jahmal Edrine
0.0
Q1 8:52
Daniel Sparks punt for 58 yds, fair catch by Tony Freeman at the WSU 15
-0.3
Q1 8:52
Timeout Virginia, clock 08:52
+1.6
Q1 8:48
Zevi Eckhaus pass incomplete to Joshua Meredith
0.0
Q1 8:42
Kirby Vorhees run for 5 yds to the WSU 20
0.0
Q1 8:05
(08:07) PENALTY WSU False Start (Vaipulu,AJ) 5 yards from WSU20 to WSU15. NO PLAY.
+0.1
Q1 7:49
PENALTY WSU False Start (Freeman,Tony) 5 yards from WSU15 to WSU10. NO PLAY.
0.0
Q1 7:20
Zevi Eckhaus pass complete to Maxwell Woods for 5 yds to the WSU 15
0.0
Q1 6:50
Ryan Harris punt for 54 yds , Cam Ross returns for 10 yds to the UVA 41
0.0
Q1 6:50
Timeout Virginia, clock 06:50
+0.9
Q1 6:39
Chandler Morris pass complete to Jahmal Edrine for 30 yds to the WSU 29 for a 1ST down
-1.8
Q1 6:22
J'Mari Taylor run for 7 yds to the WSU 22
+0.4
Q1 6:01
J'Mari Taylor run for 2 yds to the WSU 20
-0.2
Q1 5:23
J'Mari Taylor run for 1 yd to the WSU 19 for a 1ST down
-0.3
Q1 4:48
Cam Ross run for 19 yds for a TD (Will Bettridge KICK)
+11.8
Q1 4:48
Elijah Slibeck kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
-1.3
Q1 4:37
Zevi Eckhaus pass intercepted Donavon Platt return for 10 yds to the WSU 40
-3.7
Q1 4:31
Xavier Brown run for 7 yds to the WSU 33
+5.0
Q1 4:04
Xavier Brown run for 2 yds to the WSU 31
0.0
Q1 3:28
Chandler Morris pass incomplete to Jayden Thomas
-0.2
Q1 3:23
Chandler Morris pass complete to Jayden Thomas for a loss of 1 yard to the WSU 32
-0.2
Q1 3:14
Kirby Vorhees run for no gain to the WSU 32
-4.7
Q1 2:31
Angel Johnson run for 15 yds to the WSU 47 for a 1ST down
-0.2
Q1 1:50
Angel Johnson run for 9 yds to the UVA 44
-2.2
Q1 1:13
Kirby Vorhees run for 4 yds to the UVA 40 for a 1ST down
-0.2
Q1 0:33
(00:37) No Huddle-Shotgun Vorhees,Kirby rush right for 1 yard loss to the UVA41 (Carter,Jahmeer; Danley,Landon) PENALTY WSU Illegal Shift (Leckner,Trey) 5 yards from UVA40 to UVA45. NO PLAY.
-0.7
Q1 0:00
Zevi Eckhaus run for 4 yds to the UVA 41
+0.3
Q2 15:00
Timeout Virginia, clock 15:00
-0.4
Q2 14:54
Zevi Eckhaus run for 3 yds to the UVA 38
+0.3
Q2 14:08
Zevi Eckhaus pass incomplete to Joshua Meredith
-0.4
Q2 14:07
Ryan Harris punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Cam Ross at the UVA 7
+0.5
Q2 13:56
Chandler Morris pass complete to Trell Harris for 13 yds to the UVA 20 for a 1ST down
+5.2
Q2 13:25
Chandler Morris pass complete to Kameron Courtney for 5 yds to the UVA 25
0.0
Q2 12:57
J'Mari Taylor run for no gain to the UVA 25
0.0
Q2 12:14
Chandler Morris pass complete to Kameron Courtney for 3 yds to the UVA 28
0.0
Q2 11:46
PENALTY UVA False Start (Charles,Christian) 5 yards from UVA28 to UVA23. NO PLAY.
-0.2
Q2 11:36
Daniel Sparks punt for 41 yds
0.0
Q2 11:30
Kirby Vorhees run for 12 yds to the WSU 48 for a 1ST down
-3.6
Q2 10:49
Leo Pulalasi run for 9 yds to the UVA 43
-1.4
Q2 10:07
Leo Pulalasi run for 3 yds to the UVA 40 for a 1ST down
-0.3
Q2 9:31
PENALTY UVA Delay Of Game (Robinson,Jordan) 5 yards from UVA40 to UVA35. NO PLAY.
-0.3
Q2 9:02
Zevi Eckhaus pass complete to Leo Pulalasi for 17 yds to the UVA 18 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 8:19
Leo Pulalasi run for 12 yds to the UVA 6 for a 1ST down
-0.2
Q2 7:35
Kirby Vorhees run for 5 yds to the UVA 1
-1.7
Q2 7:18
Zevi Eckhaus run for no gain to the UVA 1
-0.3
Q2 6:35
Zevi Eckhaus run for 1 yd for a TD (Jack Stevens KICK)
-9.3
Q2 6:35
Timeout Virginia, clock 06:35
+16.5
Q2 6:35
Ryan Harris kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
-14.8
Q2 6:35
PENALTY UVA False Start (Rogers,John) 5 yards from UVA25 to UVA20. NO PLAY.
-3.3
Q2 6:35
Chandler Morris run for 2 yds to the UVA 22
0.0
Q2 6:35
Chandler Morris pass complete to Trell Harris for 8 yds to the UVA 30
0.0
Q2 6:35
Chandler Morris pass incomplete to Cam Ross
0.0
Q2 4:56
Daniel Sparks punt for 65 yds , Tony Freeman returns for 13 yds to the WSU 18
-0.9
Q2 4:50
Kirby Vorhees run for no gain to the WSU 18
+4.5
Q2 4:06
Zevi Eckhaus pass complete to Joshua Meredith for 12 yds to the WSU 30 for a 1ST down
-0.5
Q2 3:30
Kirby Vorhees run for 2 yds to the WSU 32
-0.2
Q2 2:42
Zevi Eckhaus pass complete to Kirby Vorhees for 10 yds to the WSU 42 for a 1ST down
-4.6
Q2 2:10
Zevi Eckhaus pass complete to Joshua Meredith for 3 yds to the WSU 45
-1.5
Q2 2:00
Timeout Virginia, clock 02:00
0.0
Q2 1:54
Zevi Eckhaus run for 10 yds to the UVA 45 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 1:24
Zevi Eckhaus pass complete to Leon Neal Jr. for 18 yds to the UVA 27 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 0:51
Timeout Virginia, clock 00:51
+2.3
Q2 0:50
Zevi Eckhaus pass complete to Angel Johnson for 3 yds to the UVA 24
0.0
Q2 0:48
Angel Johnson run for 1 yd to the UVA 23
0.0
Q2 0:48
Timeout Virginia, clock 00:48
0.0
Q2 0:40
Zevi Eckhaus run for 3 yds to the UVA 20
-0.2
Q2 0:35
Jack Stevens 37 yd FG GOOD
-18.2
Q2 0:35
Ryan Harris kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
+1.9
Q2 0:31
Chandler Morris pass complete to J'Mari Taylor for 5 yds to the UVA 30
+7.1
Q2 0:25
Chandler Morris pass incomplete to Cam Ross
-1.0
Q2 0:18
Chandler Morris pass complete to Kameron Courtney for 3 yds to the UVA 33
0.0
Q2 0:11
Daniel Sparks punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Tony Freeman at the WSU 16
-2.8
Q2 0:00
(00:09) Kneel down by Washington St. at WSU24 for loss of 8 yards.
-8.1
Q3 15:00
Elijah Slibeck kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
+7.9
Q3 14:55
Kirby Vorhees run for 1 yd to the WSU 26
-6.3
Q3 14:17
Kirby Vorhees run for a loss of 1 yard to the WSU 25
-0.8
Q3 13:27
Zevi Eckhaus pass complete to Tony Freeman for 5 yds to the WSU 30
+0.2
Q3 12:54
Ryan Harris punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Jayden Thomas at the UVA 25
-4.0
Q3 12:48
J'Mari Taylor run for 2 yds to the UVA 27
+9.9
Q3 12:18
Chandler Morris pass complete to Jahmal Edrine for 37 yds to the WSU 36 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 11:56
Chandler Morris pass complete to J'Mari Taylor for 8 yds to the WSU 28
+0.6
Q3 11:36
J'Mari Taylor run for 1 yd to the WSU 27
-0.3
Q3 10:57
J'Mari Taylor run for 2 yds to the WSU 25 for a 1ST down
-0.9
Q3 10:17
Chandler Morris pass incomplete to Sage Ennis
0.0
Q3 10:11
(10:17) Shotgun Morris,Chandler pass complete short right to Waylee,Harrison caught at WSU30, for 0 yards to the WSU25 (Lamb,Bryson) PENALTY UVA Tripping (Josey,Noah) 15 yards from WSU25 to WSU40. NO PLAY.
0.0
Q3 9:49
Chandler Morris pass complete to Sage Ennis for 10 yds to the WSU 30
+0.4
Q3 9:13
Chandler Morris pass complete to Jahmal Edrine for 1 yd to the WSU 29
0.0
Q3 8:38
Will Bettridge 47 yd FG GOOD
+12.2
Q3 8:38
Timeout Virginia, clock 08:38
-26.1
Q3 8:38
Elijah Slibeck kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
+23.7
Q3 8:34
Zevi Eckhaus pass incomplete to Jeremiah Noga
-2.4
Q3 8:25
Zevi Eckhaus run for 9 yds to the WSU 34
0.0
Q3 7:45
Kirby Vorhees run for 1 yd to the WSU 35 for a 1ST down
-0.3
Q3 6:57
Zevi Eckhaus pass complete to Joshua Meredith for 26 yds to the UVA 39 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 6:05
Zevi Eckhaus pass incomplete to Leo Pulalasi
-2.5
Q3 6:01
Zevi Eckhaus pass incomplete to Jeremiah Noga
0.0
Q3 5:56
Zevi Eckhaus pass complete to Joshua Meredith for 9 yds to the UVA 30
0.0
Q3 5:13
Kirby Vorhees run for 3 yds to the UVA 27 for a 1ST down
-0.1
Q3 4:29
Zevi Eckhaus sacked by Fisher Camac for a loss of 1 yard to the UVA 28
-3.7
Q3 3:44
Zevi Eckhaus run for 2 yds to the UVA 26
+0.2
Q3 2:56
Zevi Eckhaus pass complete to Leo Pulalasi for 1 yd to the UVA 25
0.0
Q3 2:18
Jack Stevens 42 yd FG GOOD
-27.1
Q3 2:18
Timeout Virginia, clock 02:18
+28.9
Q3 2:18
Ryan Harris kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
-28.0
Q3 2:18
Timeout Virginia, clock 02:18
+13.2
Q3 2:12
Chandler Morris pass incomplete to Kameron Courtney
0.0
Q3 2:05
Xavier Brown run for 5 yds to the UVA 30
0.0
Q3 1:33
Chandler Morris pass incomplete to Trell Harris
0.0
Q3 1:20
Daniel Sparks punt for 51 yds , Tony Freeman returns for 5 yds to the WSU 24
-2.8
Q3 1:07
Zevi Eckhaus pass complete to Leon Neal Jr. for 1 yd to the WSU 25
-11.3
Q3 0:29
Virginia Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the WSU 48 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 0:00
Kirby Vorhees run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line
-1.6
Q4 15:00
Timeout Virginia, clock 15:00
+1.1
Q4 14:55
Angel Johnson run for no gain to the 50 yard line
0.0
Q4 14:04
Zevi Eckhaus pass complete to Landon Wright for 2 yds to the UVA 48
-0.6
Q4 13:26
Ryan Harris punt for 45 yds
-1.3
Q4 13:26
Timeout Virginia, clock 13:26
+9.4
Q4 13:19
J'Mari Taylor run for 7 yds to the UVA 10
-0.5
Q4 12:48
J'Mari Taylor run for no gain to the UVA 10
0.0
Q4 12:11
J'Mari Taylor run for 7 yds to the UVA 17 for a 1ST down
-0.3
Q4 11:33
Chandler Morris pass complete to Jahmal Edrine for 19 yds to the UVA 36 for a 1ST down
-0.4
Q4 11:16
Chandler Morris pass complete to Jahmal Edrine for 15 yds to the WSU 49 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 10:48
Harrison Waylee run for 22 yds to the WSU 27 for a 1ST down
+0.4
Q4 10:31
Harrison Waylee run for 2 yds to the WSU 25
+0.5
Q4 9:55
Chandler Morris pass complete to Sage Ennis for 23 yds to the WSU 2 for a 1ST down
-0.4
Q4 9:45
Harrison Waylee run for 2 yds for a TD (Will Bettridge KICK)
+35.3
Q4 9:45
Timeout Virginia, clock 09:45
-48.5
Q4 9:45
Elijah Slibeck kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
+48.7
Q4 9:39
Kirby Vorhees run for no gain to the WSU 25
-11.4
Q4 9:01
PENALTY WSU False Start (Vaipulu,AJ) 5 yards from WSU25 to WSU20. NO PLAY.
-0.7
Q4 8:43
PENALTY WSU False Start (Vaipulu,AJ) 5 yards from WSU20 to WSU15. NO PLAY.
0.0
Q4 8:22
(08:28) No Huddle-Shotgun Eckhaus,Zevi pass complete short middle to Meredith,Joshua caught at WSU25, for 10 yards to the WSU25 (Clary,Antonio) PENALTY WSU Holding (Vaipulu,AJ) 7 yards from WSU15 to WSU08. NO PLAY.
-0.9
Q4 7:58
Kirby Vorhees run for 7 yds to the WSU 15
-0.2
Q4 7:09
Zevi Eckhaus pass intercepted Ja'son Prevard return for 19 yds to the WSU 15
-2.2
Q4 7:09
Virginia Penalty, Illegal Block (19 Yards) to the WSU 15
0.0
Q4 7:09
Virginia Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the WSU 35
0.0
Q4 7:02
Chandler Morris run for 5 yds to the WSU 30
+16.0
Q4 5:47
Harrison Waylee run for 4 yds to the WSU 26 Harrison Waylee fumbled, recovered by UVA Noah Josey
-1.6
Q4 5:38
J'Mari Taylor run for 4 yds to the WSU 22 for a 1ST down
-0.2
Q4 5:00
J'Mari Taylor run for 1 yd to the WSU 21
+0.2
Q4 4:16
Chandler Morris run for 7 yds to the WSU 14
0.0
Q4 3:28
J'Mari Taylor run for a loss of 3 yards to the WSU 17
-0.2
Q4 2:55
Will Bettridge 34 yd FG GOOD
+7.7
Q4 2:55
Elijah Slibeck kickoff for 63 yds , Leyton Smithson return for no gain to the WSU 2
+0.4
Q4 2:52
Zevi Eckhaus pass incomplete to Ademola Faleye
-9.7
Q4 2:52
PENALTY WSU False Start (Lester,Jonny) 1 yard from WSU02 to WSU01. NO PLAY.
0.0
Q4 2:46
Zevi Eckhaus pass incomplete to Joshua Meredith
0.0
Q4 2:46
Timeout Virginia, clock 02:46
+1.2
Q4 2:41
Kirby Vorhees run for a loss of 1 yard for a SAFETY
+15.9
Q4 2:35
Ryan Harris kickoff for 60 yds , J'Mari Taylor return for 24 yds to the UVA 44 Virginia Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the UVA 30
-15.9
Q4 2:30
J'Mari Taylor run for 3 yds to the UVA 33
+18.6
Q4 2:30
Timeout Virginia, clock 02:30
0.0
Q4 2:23
J'Mari Taylor run for 4 yds to the UVA 37
+1.4
Q4 2:00
Timeout Virginia, clock 02:00
+0.8
Q4 1:54
J'Mari Taylor run for 7 yds to the UVA 44 for a 1ST down
+0.5
Q4 1:16
(01:22) Kneel down by Virginia at UVA43 for loss of 1 yard.
+2.2
Q4 0:36
(00:41) Kneel down by Virginia at UVA42 for loss of 1 yard.
+2.8
Q4 0:00
(00:22) Kneel down by Virginia at UVA41 for loss of 1 yard.
+3.5
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q4 9:45
Elijah Slibeck kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
+48.7
KEY PLAY · Q4 9:45
Timeout Virginia, clock 09:45
-48.5
TD · Q4 9:45
Harrison Waylee run for 2 yds for a TD (Will Bettridge KICK)
+35.3