Try the model
2025 · Week 3 · Sep 13, 2025 · DATCU Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · UNT
modelUNT aheadWSU aheadconfidence bandkey playUNT scoreWSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Ashton Gray run for 3 yds to the UNT 35 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:33: Jayden Becks run for 12 yds for a TD (Kali Nguma KICK) — UNT win probability +4.3 pts (now 72%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  2. FG · Q1 1:27: Jack Stevens 26 yd FG GOOD — WSU win probability +1.9 pts (now 30%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 7:07: Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Brandon Young Jr. for 2 yds for a TD (Kali Nguma KICK) — UNT win probability +6.3 pts (now 82%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 3:24: Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Tre Williams III for 6 yds for a TD (Kali Nguma KICK) — UNT win probability +7.3 pts (now 91%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 1:39: Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Landon Sides for 12 yds for a TD (Kali Nguma KICK) — UNT win probability +13.2 pts (now 97%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNT made the numbers' call on 3 of 4WSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 12:18UNT 4th & 1 at WSU 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 68.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    67.8%−0.1
    74% to make
    Punt
    67.4%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:27WSU 4th & 9 at UNT 9, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 25.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.9%−0.6
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.4%
    89% to make
    Punt
    21.7%−3.8
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:53UNT 4th & 15 at UNT 43, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.3%−1.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:07WSU 4th & 2 at UNT 45, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    24.9%−1.4
    25% to make
    Punt
    25.6%−0.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:30UNT 4th & 6 at UNT 34, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.9%−0.9
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:03WSU 4th & 16 at WSU 19, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.8%−1.9
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.7%
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:34WSU 4th & 5 at WSU 30, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:46UNT 4th & 2 at WSU 8, up 39
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%
    54% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.1%−0.1
    90% to make
    Punt
    98.7%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:23WSU 4th & 18 at WSU 17, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:51WSU 4th & 11 at UNT 39, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNT made the numbers' call on 8 of 8WSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 10:33UNT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:33UNT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:07UNT Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:24UNT Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:39UNT Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:54UNT Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 2:30UNT Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 8:54UNT Touchdown, up 55 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 1:57WSU Touchdown, down 50 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNTDrive 1TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:2266% → 68%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
66.0%
Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Landon Sides for 7 yds to the UNT 32Similar
Q1 14:41
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+14
66.0%
Makenzie McGill II run for 14 yds to the UNT 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+24
66.0%
Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Miles Coleman for 24 yds to the WSU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:56
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-1
66.0%
Makenzie McGill II run for a loss of 1 yard to the WSU 31Similar
Q1 13:14
2ND & 11
OPP 31
+6
66.1%
Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Miles Coleman for 6 yds to the WSU 25Similar
Q1 12:49
3RD & 5
OPP 25
+4
66.0%
Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Miles Coleman for 4 yds to the WSU 21Similar
Q1 12:18
4TH & 1
OPP 21
+2
66.0%
Makenzie McGill II run for 2 yds to the WSU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-6
66.2%
Drew Mestemaker sacked by Caleb Francl for a loss of 6 yards to the WSU 25Similar
Q1 10:58
2ND & 16
OPP 25
+18
66.0%
Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Landon Sides for 18 yds to the WSU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
67.6%
Makenzie McGill II run for 7 yds for a TD (Kali Nguma KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 2INT
6 plays · 21 yds · 2:3233% → 33%
Q1 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
67.0%
Jaxon Potter pass complete to Kirby Vorhees for 3 yds to the WSU 30Similar
Q1 9:43
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+3
67.0%
Jaxon Potter pass complete to Jeremiah Noga for 3 yds to the WSU 33Similar
Q1 8:57
3RD & 4
OWN 33
+13
67.4%
Jaxon Potter pass complete to Tony Freeman for 13 yds to the WSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
67.1%
Angel Johnson run for 2 yds to the WSU 48Similar
Q1 7:41
2ND & 8
OWN 48
-60
67.2%
Jaxon Potter pass intercepted Evan Jackson return for 60 yds to the WSU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 3TD
3 plays · 12 yds · 0:0072% → 72%
Q1 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
71.5%
Jayden Becks run for 12 yds for a TD (Kali Nguma KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 4FG
15 plays · 82 yds · 5:5029% → 30%
Q1 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+1
70.7%
Angel Johnson run for 1 yd to the WSU 10Similar
Q1 6:34
2ND & 9
OWN 10
+4
71.0%
Jaxon Potter pass complete to Maxwell Woods for 4 yds to the WSU 14Similar
Q1 5:53
3RD & 5
OWN 14
+11
71.4%
Jaxon Potter pass complete to Tony Freeman for 11 yds to the WSU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+43
71.5%
Jaxon Potter pass complete to Carter Pabst for 43 yds to the UNT 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+7
70.7%
Kirby Vorhees run for 7 yds to the UNT 25Similar
Q1 4:13
2ND & 3
OPP 25
0
70.7%
Jaxon Potter pass incomplete to Jeremiah NogaSimilar
Q1 4:03
3RD & 3
OPP 25
+6
71.2%
Jaxon Potter pass complete to Maxwell Woods for 6 yds to the UNT 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
70.7%
Jaxon Potter pass complete to Joshua Meredith for 2 yds to the UNT 17Similar
Q1 2:51
2ND & 8
OPP 17
+6
70.9%
Kirby Vorhees run for 6 yds to the UNT 11Similar
Q1 2:14
3RD & 2
OPP 11
+2
71.0%
Kirby Vorhees run for 2 yds to the UNT 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
70.8%
Jaxon Potter pass incomplete to Trey LecknerSimilar
Q1 1:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
70.8%
Jaxon Potter pass incomplete to Jeremiah NogaSimilar
Q1 1:31
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
71.5%
Jaxon Potter pass incomplete to Joshua MeredithSimilar
Q1 1:27
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+26
69.6%
Jack Stevens 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 18 yds · 2:2870% → 70%
Q1 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
70.0%
Makenzie McGill II run for 4 yds to the UNT 29Similar
Q1 1:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+19
70.1%
Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Cameron Dorner for 19 yds to the UNT 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
71.2%
Makenzie McGill II run for 3 yds to the WSU 49Similar
Q1 0:12
2ND & 7
OPP 49
-10
71.5%
(00:16) No Huddle-Shotgun Mestemaker,Drew pass incomplete short right to McGill II,Makenzie thrown to UNT49 QB hurried by Hughes,Michael PENALTY UNT Holding (Williams III,Tre) 10 yards from WSU49 to UNT41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 17
OWN 41
+8
71.0%
Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Simeon Evans for 8 yds to the UNT 49Similar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 9
OWN 49
-10
70.8%
(14:56) No Huddle-Shotgun Mestemaker,Drew rush middle for 16 yards gain to the WSU35 (Colson,Jamorri) PENALTY UNT Holding (Dickson III,Johnny) 10 yards from UNT49 to UNT39. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:30
3RD & 19
OWN 39
+4
70.6%
Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Jayden Becks for 4 yds to the UNT 43Similar
Q2 13:53
4TH & 15
OWN 43
0
70.1%
Sawyer Evans punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Tony Freeman at the WSU 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 6INT
10 plays · 41 yds · 4:1629% → 28%
Q2 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
71.2%
Angel Johnson run for 4 yds to the WSU 17Similar
Q2 13:03
2ND & 6
OWN 17
+4
71.5%
Jaxon Potter pass complete to Kirby Vorhees for 4 yds to the WSU 13Similar
Q2 12:21
3RD & 10
OWN 13
+34
72.1%
Jaxon Potter pass complete to Landon Wright for 34 yds to the WSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
70.1%
Jaxon Potter pass complete to Leon Neal Jr. for 4 yds to the UNT 49Similar
Q2 11:33
2ND & 6
OPP 49
0
70.0%
Leo Pulalasi run for no gain to the UNT 49Similar
Q2 10:49
3RD & 6
OPP 49
+4
70.7%
Leo Pulalasi run for 4 yds to the UNT 45Similar
Q2 10:07
4TH & 2
OPP 45
+4
71.5%
Jaxon Potter pass complete to Joshua Meredith for 4 yds to the UNT 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-5
71.2%
(09:40) Shotgun Potter,Jaxon pass incomplete short left to Meredith,Joshua thrown to UNT27 QB hurried by Pierce,Joshua PENALTY WSU Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Dieu,Brock) 5 yards from UNT41 to UNT46. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:32
1ST & 15
OPP 46
0
71.7%
Jaxon Potter pass intercepted Kollin Lewis return for no gain to the UNT 30Similar
Q2 9:32
1ST & 15
OPP 46
0
71.7%
Jaxon Potter pass intercepted Kollin Lewis return for no gain to the UNT 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:5874% → 73%
Q2 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
73.8%
Drew Mestemaker pass incomplete to Landon SidesSimilar
Q2 9:17
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+6
73.7%
Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Simeon Evans for 6 yds to the UNT 36Similar
Q2 8:43
3RD & 4
OWN 36
+2
74.2%
Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Gabe Blair for 2 yds to the UNT 34Similar
Q2 8:30
4TH & 6
OWN 34
0
73.2%
Sawyer Evans punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Tony Freeman at the WSU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 8FUMBLE
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:0027% → 27%
Q2 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
73.4%
Kirby Vorhees run for 4 yds to the WSU 19 Kirby Vorhees fumbled, recovered by UNT Zhaiylen ScottSimilar
Q2 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
73.4%
Kirby Vorhees run for 4 yds to the WSU 19 Kirby Vorhees fumbled, recovered by UNT Zhaiylen ScottSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 9TD
4 plays · 19 yds · 1:0876% → 82%
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
75.7%
Cameron Dorner run for 2 yds to the WSU 17Similar
Q2 7:47
2ND & 8
OPP 17
0
75.6%
Jayden Becks run for no gain to the WSU 17Similar
Q2 7:10
3RD & 8
OPP 17
+15
75.3%
(07:12) No Huddle-Shotgun Mestemaker,Drew pass incomplete short right to Coleman,Miles thrown to WSU00, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY WSU Pass Interference (Large,Tucker) 15 yards from WSU17 to WSU02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
81.7%
Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Brandon Young Jr. for 2 yds for a TD (Kali Nguma KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:5619% → 17%
Q2 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
81.2%
Angel Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the WSU 24Similar
Q2 6:11
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+2
81.8%
Jaxon Potter pass complete to Angel Johnson for 2 yds to the WSU 22Similar
Q2 5:36
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+3
82.4%
Jaxon Potter pass complete to Leo Pulalasi for 3 yds to the WSU 19Similar
Q2 5:03
4TH & 16
OWN 19
+11
82.8%
Ryan Harris punt blocked by JJ Jean-Louis blocked by JJ Jean-LouisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 11TD
6 plays · 30 yds · 1:3083% → 91%
Q2 4:54
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
83.1%
Miles Coleman run for 4 yds to the WSU 26Similar
Q2 4:43
2ND & 6
OPP 26
0
83.0%
Drew Mestemaker pass incomplete to Miles ColemanSimilar
Q2 4:32
3RD & 6
OPP 26
+9
82.6%
Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Simeon Evans for 9 yds to the WSU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:05
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+10
83.3%
Drew Mestemaker pass incomplete to Terrence Lewis for a 1ST down Washington State Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Jamorri Colson) to the WSU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
83.4%
Drew Mestemaker run for 1 yd to the WSU 6Similar
Q2 3:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
90.7%
Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Tre Williams III for 6 yds for a TD (Kali Nguma KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 12INT
7 plays · 15 yds · 1:1514% → 16%
Q2 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+11
86.3%
Jaxon Potter pass complete to Maxwell Woods for 11 yds to the WSU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+10
86.1%
Jaxon Potter pass complete to Maxwell Woods for 10 yds to the WSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-10
85.1%
(02:36) No Huddle-Shotgun Potter,Jaxon pass incomplete short left to Woods,Maxwell thrown to WSU40 PENALTY WSU Holding (Vaipulu,AJ) 10 yards from WSU39 to WSU29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:29
1ST & 20
OWN 29
+4
85.8%
Leo Pulalasi run for 4 yds to the WSU 33Similar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 16
OWN 33
-43
84.0%
Jaxon Potter pass intercepted Shane Whitter return for 43 yds to the WSU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 13TD
1 play · 12 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q2 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
97.2%
Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Landon Sides for 12 yds for a TD (Kali Nguma KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 14FUMBLE
3 plays · -5 yds · 0:053% → 3%
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.3%
Julian Dugger pass incomplete to Tony FreemanSimilar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
97.3%
Julian Dugger run for a loss of 5 yards to the WSU 20 Julian Dugger fumbled, recovered by UNT Trey FieldsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 15TD
2 plays · 20 yds · 0:3097% → 98%
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
97.3%
Jayden Becks run for 6 yds to the WSU 14Similar
Q2 0:54
2ND & 4
OPP 14
+14
98.2%
Jayden Becks run for 14 yds for a TD (Kali Nguma KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 16END OF HALF
3 plays · 10 yds · 0:482% → 2%
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
98.1%
Leo Pulalasi run for 1 yd to the WSU 26Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+9
98.3%
Julian Dugger run for 9 yds to the WSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:202% → 1%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
98.3%
Angel Johnson run for 2 yds to the WSU 27Similar
Q3 14:17
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
98.4%
Julian Dugger run for 3 yds to the WSU 30Similar
Q3 13:44
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
98.5%
Julian Dugger pass incomplete to Kirby VorheesSimilar
Q3 13:34
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+3
98.6%
Ryan Harris punt for 48 yds , Miles Coleman returns for 3 yds to the UNT 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 18FG
9 plays · 67 yds · 3:4099% → 99%
Q3 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.6%
Drew Mestemaker pass incomplete to Makenzie McGill IISimilar
Q3 13:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+20
98.7%
Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Tre Williams III for 20 yds to the UNT 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+10
98.8%
Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Miles Coleman for 10 yds to the WSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
98.9%
Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Makenzie McGill II for 7 yds to the WSU 38Similar
Q3 11:47
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+22
99.0%
Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Terrence Lewis for 22 yds to the WSU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:18
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+8
99.1%
Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Jayden Becks for 8 yds to the WSU 8Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 2
OPP 8
+2
99.1%
Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Wyatt Young for 2 yds to the WSU 10Similar
Q3 10:27
3RD & 4
OPP 10
+2
99.1%
Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Makenzie McGill II for 2 yds to the WSU 8Similar
Q3 9:46
4TH & 2
OPP 8
+26
99.2%
Kali Nguma 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 2:151% → 1%
Q3 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
99.3%
Julian Dugger sacked by Keviyan Huddleston for a loss of 7 yards to the WSU 18Similar
Q3 8:52
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+5
99.4%
Julian Dugger run for 5 yds to the WSU 23Similar
Q3 8:18
3RD & 12
OWN 23
-6
99.4%
Julian Dugger sacked by Keviyan Huddleston for a loss of 6 yards to the WSU 17Similar
Q3 7:23
4TH & 18
OWN 17
+3
99.5%
Ryan Harris punt for 54 yds , Miles Coleman returns for 3 yds to the UNT 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 20TD
10 plays · 68 yds · 4:4799% → 100%
Q3 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
99.4%
Makenzie McGill II run for 5 yds to the UNT 37Similar
Q3 6:41
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+6
99.4%
Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Wyatt Young for 6 yds to the UNT 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
99.5%
Makenzie McGill II run for 6 yds to the UNT 49Similar
Q3 5:42
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+5
99.5%
Jayden Becks run for 5 yds to the WSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
99.5%
Jayden Becks run for 4 yds to the WSU 42Similar
Q3 4:27
2ND & 6
OPP 42
0
99.6%
Drew Mestemaker pass incomplete to Brandon Young Jr.Similar
Q3 4:19
3RD & 6
OPP 42
+27
99.6%
Makenzie McGill II run for 27 yds to the WSU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+13
99.6%
Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Dalton Carnes for 13 yds to the WSU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
99.6%
Caleb Hawkins run for no gain to the WSU 2Similar
Q3 2:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.7%
Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Ethan Day for 2 yds for a TD (Kali Nguma KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 36 yds · 2:340% → 0%
Q3 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.8%
Kirby Vorhees run for 2 yds to the WSU 27Similar
Q3 1:44
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+23
99.8%
Zevi Eckhaus pass complete to Tony Freeman for 23 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:11
1ST & 10
50
+12
99.8%
Kirby Vorhees run for 12 yds to the UNT 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
99.8%
Zevi Eckhaus pass incomplete to Joshua MeredithSimilar
Q3 0:48
2ND & 10
OPP 38
-3
99.8%
Zevi Eckhaus sacked by Joshua Pierce for a loss of 3 yards to the UNT 41Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 13
OPP 41
+2
99.9%
Zevi Eckhaus pass complete to Leyton Smithson for 2 yds to the UNT 39Similar
Q4 14:51
4TH & 11
OPP 39
0
99.9%
Ryan Harris punt for 39 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 22TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 5:52100% → 100%
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
99.8%
Caleb Hawkins run for 6 yds to the UNT 26Similar
Q4 14:17
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+8
99.8%
Caleb Hawkins run for 8 yds to the UNT 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
99.8%
Reese Poffenbarger pass complete to Caleb Hawkins for 8 yds to the UNT 42Similar
Q4 12:48
2ND & 2
OWN 42
+7
99.8%
Reese Poffenbarger pass complete to Shandon King for 7 yds to the UNT 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
99.8%
Reese Poffenbarger pass complete to Shandon King for 5 yds to the WSU 46Similar
Q4 11:50
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+11
99.8%
Reese Poffenbarger pass complete to Caleb Hawkins for 11 yds to the WSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
99.9%
Reese Poffenbarger pass complete to Dalton Carnes for 5 yds to the WSU 30Similar
Q4 10:35
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+4
99.9%
Caleb Hawkins run for 4 yds to the WSU 26Similar
Q4 9:58
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+7
99.9%
Caleb Hawkins run for 7 yds to the WSU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+16
99.9%
Caleb Hawkins run for 16 yds to the WSU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.9%
Caleb Hawkins run for 3 yds for a TD (Kali Nguma KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 23TD
18 plays · 75 yds · 6:510% → 0%
Q4 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.9%
Leo Pulalasi run for 4 yds to the WSU 29Similar
Q4 8:10
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+10
99.9%
Zevi Eckhaus pass complete to Carter Pabst for 10 yds to the WSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
99.9%
Leo Pulalasi run for 2 yds to the WSU 41Similar
Q4 6:46
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+4
100.0%
Zevi Eckhaus run for 4 yds to the WSU 45Similar
Q4 6:05
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+10
100.0%
Zevi Eckhaus pass complete to Leon Neal Jr. for 10 yds to the UNT 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:31
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
100.0%
Zevi Eckhaus pass incomplete to Mackenzie AlleyneSimilar
Q4 5:30
2ND & 10
OPP 45
-5
100.0%
PENALTY WSU False Start 5 yards from UNT45 to UNT50. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:09
2ND & 15
50
+11
100.0%
Zevi Eckhaus pass complete to Maxwell Woods for 11 yds to the UNT 39Similar
Q4 4:45
3RD & 4
OPP 39
+4
100.0%
Maxwell Woods run for 4 yds to the UNT 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
100.0%
Zevi Eckhaus pass incomplete to Carter PabstSimilar
Q4 3:42
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+12
100.0%
Zevi Eckhaus pass complete to Carter Pabst for 12 yds to the UNT 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+15
100.0%
(03:29) Shotgun Eckhaus,Zevi pass incomplete deep left to Alleyne,Mackenzie thrown to UNT00, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY UNT Pass Interference (Allen Jr.,BJ) 15 yards from UNT23 to UNT08, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
100.0%
Leo Pulalasi run for 2 yds to the UNT 6Similar
Q4 2:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
100.0%
Zevi Eckhaus pass complete to Hudson Cedarland for 4 yds to the UNT 2Similar
Q4 1:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
100.0%
Zevi Eckhaus run for 2 yds for a TD (Jack Stevens KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 24END OF GAME
4 plays · 10 yds · 1:50100% → 100%
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
100.0%
Caleb Hawkins run for 6 yds to the UNT 31Similar
Q4 1:03
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
100.0%
Ashton Gray run for 1 yd to the UNT 32Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+3
100.0%
Ashton Gray run for 3 yds to the UNT 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:39
Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Landon Sides for 12 yds for a TD (Kali Nguma KICK)
+13.2
TD · Q2 3:24
Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Tre Williams III for 6 yds for a TD (Kali Nguma KICK)
+7.3
TD · Q2 7:07
Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Brandon Young Jr. for 2 yds for a TD (Kali Nguma KICK)
+6.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com