Try the model
SDSU

San Diego State 13 at Washington State 36

WSU
2025 · Week 2 · Sep 6, 2025 · Gesa Field
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · WSU
modelWSU aheadSDSU aheadconfidence bandkey playWSU scoreSDSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGSAFETYTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 13:04 · Hunter Green punt for 67 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WSU 19 , Tony Freeman returns for 9 yds to the WSU 19
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.0+17.00−17.0−34.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 58Home team on offense+0.5Score differential+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.6Garbage-time factor+0.0Pregame prior+4.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:18: Jaxon Potter pass complete to Trey Leckner for 3 yds for a TD (Jack Stevens KICK) — WSU win probability +3.8 pts (now 58%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  2. SAFETY · Q2 1:06: Isaac Terrell Safety — WSU win probability +2.8 pts (now 67%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:26: Jaxon Potter pass complete to Trey Leckner for 3 yds for a TD (Jack Stevens KICK) — WSU win probability +13.2 pts (now 77%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 10:55: Jaxon Potter pass complete to Leon Neal Jr. for 18 yds for a TD (Jack Stevens KICK) — WSU win probability +10.2 pts (now 92%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:57: Jayden Denegal run for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — SDSU win probability +10.0 pts (now 13%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WSU made the numbers' call on 11 of 11SDSU made the numbers' call on 10 of 12
  1. Q1 13:05SDSU 4th & 5 at SDSU 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.3%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:00WSU 4th & 9 at WSU 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.4%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:00SDSU 4th & 5 at WSU 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 42.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    42.5%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    42.4%−0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    42.3%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 9:05WSU 4th & 3 at WSU 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.6%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.6%
    average punt
  5. Q1 8:07SDSU 4th & 8 at SDSU 21, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.4%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.8%
    average punt
  6. Q1 6:14WSU 4th & 1 at SDSU 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 55.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    55.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    54.2%−0.8
    36% to make
    Punt
    54.2%−0.8
    average punt
  7. Q1 3:43SDSU 4th & 4 at SDSU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.9%−0.3
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.2%
    average punt
  8. Q1 0:40WSU 4th & 1 at SDSU 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 58.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    58.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    57.8%−0.9
    42% to make
    Punt
    57.6%−1.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 14:48WSU 4th & 8 at SDSU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 58.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.2%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.3%
    54% to make
    Punt
    57.9%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q2 13:04SDSU 4th & 12 at SDSU 23, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.2%−1.3
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.5%
    average punt
  11. Q2 10:24WSU 4th & 16 at WSU 24, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.8%−1.8
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.6%
    average punt
  12. Q2 8:41SDSU 4th & 4 at SDSU 26, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.5%−0.2
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.7%
    average punt
  13. Q2 6:32WSU 4th & 2 at SDSU 32, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 61.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    61.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    60.3%−1.5
    51% to make
    Punt
    59.4%−2.4
    average punt
  14. Q2 4:12SDSU 4th & 4 at WSU 48, down 3
    Close callPunted · 39.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.1%−0.7
    average punt
  15. Q2 1:16WSU 4th & 18 at SDSU 43, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.0%−0.9
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    59.7%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    59.9%
    average punt
  16. Q3 7:40SDSU 4th & 3 at WSU 49, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.5%−0.7
    average punt
  17. Q3 7:40SDSU 4th & 3 at WSU 49, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.5%−0.7
    average punt
  18. Q3 5:21WSU 4th & 9 at SDSU 25, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.0%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.2%
    66% to make
    Punt
    91.0%−3.2
    average punt
  19. Q4 14:05WSU 4th & 18 at WSU 9, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.4%−1.6
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.0%
    average punt
  20. Q4 12:24SDSU 4th & 7 at WSU 37, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.2%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    7.7%−0.5
    40% to make
    Punt
    7.4%−0.7
    average punt
  21. Q4 10:49WSU 4th & 16 at WSU 31, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.5%−1.8
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.3%
    average punt
  22. Q4 9:05SDSU 4th & 9 at WSU 46, down 16
    Close callWent for it · 5.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.1%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    4.7%−0.6
    23% to make
    Punt
    5.3%
    average punt
  23. Q4 1:49SDSU 4th & 20 at SDSU 15, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−<0.1
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4SDSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 10:00SDSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:18WSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:26WSU Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 10:55WSU Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 0:57SDSU Touchdown, down 16 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    8.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    8.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 2:48WSU Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SDSUDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 1:4944% → 43%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
56.5%
Lucky Sutton run for 5 yds to the SDSU 30Similar
Q1 14:33
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+7
56.5%
Lucky Sutton run for 7 yds to the SDSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
56.6%
Lucky Sutton run for 5 yds to the SDSU 42Similar
Q1 13:22
2ND & 5
OWN 42
0
56.5%
Jayden Denegal pass incomplete to Jordan NapierSimilar
Q1 13:15
3RD & 5
OWN 42
0
56.5%
Jayden Denegal pass incomplete to Jacob BostickSimilar
Q1 13:05
4TH & 5
OWN 42
+1
56.7%
Hunter Green punt for 40 yds , Tony Freeman returns for 1 yd to the WSU 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:5757% → 57%
Q1 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
56.7%
Jaxon Potter pass complete to Trey Leckner for 1 yd to the WSU 20Similar
Q1 12:20
2ND & 9
OWN 20
0
56.7%
Jaxon Potter pass incomplete to Kirby VorheesSimilar
Q1 12:13
3RD & 9
OWN 20
0
56.6%
Jaxon Potter pass incomplete to Joshua MeredithSimilar
Q1 12:00
4TH & 9
OWN 20
0
56.5%
Ryan Harris punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 3TD
5 plays · 56 yds · 1:5344% → 45%
Q1 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+16
56.4%
Jayden Denegal pass complete to Seth Adams for 16 yds to the WSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
56.4%
Lucky Sutton run for 4 yds to the WSU 36Similar
Q1 11:14
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+3
56.2%
Jayden Denegal pass complete to Jordan Napier for 3 yds to the WSU 33Similar
Q1 10:44
3RD & 3
OPP 33
+2
56.3%
Jayden Denegal pass complete to Donovan Brown for 2 yds to the WSU 35Similar
Q1 10:00
4TH & 5
OPP 35
+35
54.8%
Jayden Denegal pass complete to Jacob Bostick for 35 yds for a TD (Gabriel Plascencia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:5555% → 55%
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
55.0%
PENALTY WSU Delay Of Game 5 yards from WSU25 to WSU20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:52
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+12
54.9%
Angel Johnson run for 12 yds to the WSU 32Similar
Q1 9:17
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
55.1%
Jaxon Potter pass incomplete to Branden GanashamoorthySimilar
Q1 9:13
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
54.7%
Jaxon Potter pass incomplete to Kirby VorheesSimilar
Q1 9:05
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
54.5%
Ryan Harris punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Jordan Napier at the SDSU 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:4346% → 46%
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
54.3%
Jayden Denegal pass complete to Jacob Bostick for 2 yds to the SDSU 21Similar
Q1 8:19
2ND & 8
OWN 21
0
54.1%
Jayden Denegal pass incomplete to Donovan BrownSimilar
Q1 8:14
3RD & 8
OWN 21
0
54.3%
Jayden Denegal pass incomplete to Jacob BostickSimilar
Q1 8:07
4TH & 8
OWN 21
0
54.5%
Hunter Green punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Tony Freeman at the SDSU 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 6TD
6 plays · 48 yds · 2:3955% → 58%
Q1 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
55.0%
Julian Dugger run for 6 yds to the SDSU 42Similar
Q1 7:20
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+3
54.9%
Kirby Vorhees run for 3 yds to the SDSU 39Similar
Q1 6:57
3RD & 1
OPP 39
0
54.8%
Jaxon Potter run for no gain to the SDSU 39Similar
Q1 6:14
4TH & 1
OPP 39
+2
54.1%
Kirby Vorhees run for 2 yds to the SDSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+34
54.5%
Jaxon Potter pass complete to Carter Pabst for 34 yds to the SDSU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
58.3%
Jaxon Potter pass complete to Trey Leckner for 3 yds for a TD (Jack Stevens KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:2843% → 43%
Q1 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
56.8%
Lucky Sutton run for 6 yds to the SDSU 31Similar
Q1 4:40
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
56.4%
Jayden Denegal run for no gain to the SDSU 31Similar
Q1 3:54
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
56.6%
Jayden Denegal pass incomplete to Donovan BrownSimilar
Q1 3:43
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+11
57.2%
Hunter Green punt for 50 yds , Tony Freeman returns for 11 yds to the WSU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 8FG
14 plays · 39 yds · 3:5057% → 59%
Q1 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
57.0%
Jaxon Potter pass complete to Angel Johnson for 4 yds to the WSU 34Similar
Q1 3:05
2ND & 6
OWN 34
0
57.3%
Jaxon Potter pass incomplete to Leyton SmithsonSimilar
Q1 2:57
3RD & 6
OWN 34
+9
56.6%
Jaxon Potter pass complete to Jeremiah Noga for 9 yds to the WSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
58.1%
Jaxon Potter pass complete to Joshua Meredith for 8 yds to the SDSU 49Similar
Q1 2:25
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+4
58.5%
Leo Pulalasi run for 4 yds to the SDSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:01
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
58.6%
Jaxon Potter pass complete to Trey Leckner for 1 yd to the SDSU 44Similar
Q1 1:29
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+6
58.6%
Jaxon Potter pass complete to Tony Freeman for 6 yds to the SDSU 38Similar
Q1 0:50
3RD & 3
OPP 38
+2
58.5%
Kirby Vorhees run for 2 yds to the SDSU 36Similar
Q1 0:40
4TH & 1
OPP 36
+3
57.8%
Jaxon Potter pass complete to Joshua Meredith for 3 yds to the SDSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:06
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
59.3%
Jaxon Potter pass incomplete to Carter PabstSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+2
59.2%
Kirby Vorhees run for 2 yds to the SDSU 31Similar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 8
OPP 31
0
58.6%
Jaxon Potter pass incomplete to Landon WrightSimilar
Q2 14:48
4TH & 8
OPP 31
+49
58.9%
Jack Stevens 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 1:3642% → 40%
Q2 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
58.4%
Bert Emanuel Jr. run for 2 yds to the SDSU 27Similar
Q2 14:12
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+1
58.3%
Bert Emanuel Jr. run for 1 yd to the SDSU 28Similar
Q2 13:27
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+39
59.1%
Jayden Denegal pass complete to Jacob Bostick for 39 yds to the WSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:10
4TH & 7
OWN 28
-5
59.7%
PENALTY SDSU False Start (Bostick,Jacob) 5 yards from SDSU28 to SDSU23. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:04
4TH & 12
OWN 23
+9
60.0%
Hunter Green punt for 67 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WSU 19 , Tony Freeman returns for 9 yds to the WSU 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 5 yds · 2:2959% → 58%
Q2 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+11
58.9%
Jaxon Potter pass complete to Joshua Meredith for 11 yds to the WSU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
59.1%
Angel Johnson run for 5 yds to the WSU 35Similar
Q2 11:38
2ND & 5
OWN 35
-10
59.8%
(11:48) Shotgun Johnson,Angel rush left for 24 yards gain to the SDSU41 (Phillips,Bryce) PENALTY WSU Holding (Faleye,Ademola) 10 yards from WSU35 to WSU25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:14
2ND & 15
OWN 25
+4
58.8%
Maxwell Woods run for 4 yds to the WSU 29Similar
Q2 10:36
3RD & 11
OWN 29
0
58.2%
Jaxon Potter pass incomplete to Maxwell WoodsSimilar
Q2 10:36
4TH & 11
OWN 29
-5
57.5%
PENALTY WSU False Start (Jones,Gage) 5 yards from WSU29 to WSU24. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:24
4TH & 16
OWN 24
+4
57.6%
Ryan Harris punt for 60 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SDSU 20 , Jordan Napier returns for 4 yds to the SDSU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:3741% → 40%
Q2 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
58.9%
Christian Washington run for 7 yds to the SDSU 27Similar
Q2 9:59
2ND & 3
OWN 27
-1
57.9%
Christian Washington run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSU 26Similar
Q2 9:16
3RD & 4
OWN 26
0
59.1%
Jayden Denegal pass complete to Donovan Brown for no gain to the SDSU 26Similar
Q2 8:41
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
60.3%
Hunter Green punt for 26 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 12DOWNS
5 plays · 20 yds · 2:0262% → 62%
Q2 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+12
61.8%
Kirby Vorhees run for 12 yds to the SDSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:58
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
63.0%
Jaxon Potter pass complete to Tony Freeman for 6 yds to the SDSU 34Similar
Q2 7:23
2ND & 4
OPP 34
-2
63.2%
Kirby Vorhees run for a loss of 2 yards to the SDSU 36Similar
Q2 6:44
3RD & 6
OPP 36
+4
62.5%
Jaxon Potter pass complete to Joshua Meredith for 4 yds Joshua Meredith fumbled, recovered by SDSU Brady NassarSimilar
Q2 6:32
4TH & 2
OPP 32
0
61.7%
Kirby Vorhees run for no gain to the SDSU 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 2:1641% → 41%
Q2 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
58.9%
Jayden Denegal pass incomplete to Jordan NapierSimilar
Q2 6:19
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+14
59.5%
Jayden Denegal pass complete to Jordan Napier for 14 yds to the SDSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
57.4%
Jayden Denegal pass complete to Jordan Napier for no gain to the SDSU 46Similar
Q2 5:29
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+4
58.1%
Jordan Napier run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 4:55
3RD & 6
50
+2
57.5%
Lucky Sutton run for 2 yds to the WSU 48Similar
Q2 4:12
4TH & 4
OPP 48
0
59.0%
Hunter Green punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Tony Freeman at the WSU 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 14PUNT
14 plays · 44 yds · 2:5061% → 60%
Q2 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
61.1%
Angel Johnson run for 5 yds to the WSU 18Similar
Q2 3:30
2ND & 5
OWN 18
+7
61.1%
Jaxon Potter pass complete to Leyton Smithson for 7 yds to the WSU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
61.1%
Jaxon Potter pass complete to Tony Freeman for 6 yds to the WSU 31Similar
Q2 2:37
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
62.2%
Jaxon Potter pass complete to Tony Freeman for 3 yds to the WSU 34Similar
Q2 2:03
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+31
61.6%
Kirby Vorhees run for 31 yds to the SDSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-10
64.8%
(02:00) Shotgun Johnson,Angel rush left for 4 yards gain to the SDSU31 (Phillips,Bryce), out of bounds PENALTY WSU Holding (Faleye,Ademola) 10 yards from SDSU35 to SDSU45. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:41
1ST & 20
OPP 45
0
63.1%
Jaxon Potter pass incomplete to Branden GanashamoorthySimilar
Q2 1:37
2ND & 20
OPP 45
+2
62.0%
Leo Pulalasi run for 2 yds to the SDSU 43Similar
Q2 1:30
3RD & 18
OPP 43
+5
61.3%
Jaxon Potter run for 5 yds to the SDSU 38Similar
Q2 1:23
4TH & 13
OPP 38
-5
59.9%
(01:29) Harris,Ryan punt 28 yards to the SDSU10 fair catch by Napier,Jordan at SDSU10 PENALTY WSU Illegal Formation 5 yards from SDSU38 to SDSU43. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:16
4TH & 18
OPP 43
0
59.7%
Ryan Harris punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jordan Napier at the SDSU 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 15SF
2 plays · -8 yds · 0:0536% → 34%
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
63.7%
Jayden Denegal pass incomplete to Jacob BostickSimilar
Q2 1:06
2ND & 10
OWN 8
-8
66.5%
Isaac Terrell SafetySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 16TD
6 plays · 62 yds · 0:2558% → 77%
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+34
58.0%
Jaxon Potter pass complete to Joshua Meredith for 34 yds to the SDSU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+20
60.1%
Leo Pulalasi run for 20 yds to the SDSU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
60.1%
Jaxon Potter pass complete to Joshua Meredith for 5 yds to the SDSU 3Similar
Q2 0:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
76.7%
Jaxon Potter pass complete to Trey Leckner for 3 yds for a TD (Jack Stevens KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 17END OF HALF
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
77.0%
Lucky Sutton run for 6 yds to the SDSU 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 18TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:5979% → 92%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
78.6%
Jaxon Potter pass complete to Tony Freeman for 11 yds to the WSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
79.5%
Jaxon Potter pass complete to Leo Pulalasi for 5 yds to the WSU 41Similar
Q3 13:39
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+5
80.4%
Angel Johnson run for 5 yds to the WSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
80.9%
Jaxon Potter pass complete to Trey Leckner for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 12:16
2ND & 6
50
+31
81.4%
Jaxon Potter pass complete to Angel Johnson for 31 yds to the SDSU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
82.1%
Jaxon Potter pass complete to Leon Neal Jr. for 1 yd to the SDSU 18Similar
Q3 10:55
2ND & 9
OPP 18
+18
92.3%
Jaxon Potter pass complete to Leon Neal Jr. for 18 yds for a TD (Jack Stevens KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 19DOWNS
9 plays · 26 yds · 3:1012% → 11%
Q3 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
88.3%
Lucky Sutton run for 8 yds to the SDSU 33Similar
Q3 10:16
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
87.6%
Jayden Denegal pass incomplete to Jordan NapierSimilar
Q3 10:09
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+11
88.0%
Lucky Sutton run for 11 yds to the SDSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
88.1%
Lucky Sutton run for 3 yds to the SDSU 47Similar
Q3 9:06
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+5
88.6%
Christian Washington run for 5 yds to the WSU 48Similar
Q3 8:25
3RD & 2
OPP 48
-1
89.1%
Jayden Denegal run for a loss of 1 yard to the WSU 49Similar
Q3 7:40
4TH & 3
OPP 49
0
89.5%
Jayden Denegal pass incomplete to Jackson FordSimilar
Q3 7:40
4TH & 3
OPP 49
0
89.5%
Jayden Denegal pass incomplete to Jackson FordSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 20FG
6 plays · 26 yds · 2:1494% → 95%
Q3 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
93.8%
Angel Johnson run for 4 yds to the SDSU 47Similar
Q3 6:53
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+21
94.0%
Jaxon Potter pass complete to Joshua Meredith for 21 yds to the SDSU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
94.3%
Jaxon Potter pass incomplete to Joshua MeredithSimilar
Q3 6:05
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+1
94.3%
Julian Dugger run for 1 yd to the SDSU 25Similar
Q3 5:27
3RD & 9
OPP 25
0
94.5%
Jaxon Potter pass incomplete to Jeremiah NogaSimilar
Q3 5:21
4TH & 9
OPP 25
+42
95.3%
Jack Stevens 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 21TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:204% → 13%
Q3 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
95.7%
(05:20) Shotgun Denegal,Jayden pass incomplete short right to Bostick,Jacob thrown to SDSU27 PENALTY SDSU Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Kannike,Bayo) 5 yards from SDSU25 to SDSU20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:07
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+9
95.8%
Jayden Denegal pass complete to Jordan Napier for 9 yds to the SDSU 29Similar
Q3 4:31
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
95.8%
Jayden Denegal run for 5 yds to the SDSU 34Similar
Q3 3:51
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
96.0%
Lucky Sutton run for 4 yds to the SDSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+23
96.2%
Jayden Denegal pass complete to Jordan Napier for 23 yds to the WSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:06
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
96.4%
Jayden Denegal pass incomplete to Jordan NapierSimilar
Q3 2:58
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+13
96.0%
Lucky Sutton run for 13 yds to the WSU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
95.6%
Donovan Brown run for 4 yds to the WSU 22Similar
Q3 1:53
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+16
96.3%
Jayden Denegal pass complete to Jordan Napier for 16 yds to the WSU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
96.8%
Lucky Sutton run for 5 yds to the WSU 1Similar
Q3 0:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
86.8%
Jayden Denegal run for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · -8 yds · 1:4193% → 93%
Q3 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
92.5%
Kirby Vorhees run for 5 yds to the WSU 22Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 22
-10
92.9%
(00:32) Shotgun Vorhees,Kirby rush left for 6 yards gain to the WSU28 (Williams,Mister) PENALTY WSU Holding (Vaipulu,AJ) 10 yards from WSU22 to WSU12. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 15
OWN 12
+2
92.6%
Jaxon Potter pass complete to Joshua Meredith for 2 yds to the WSU 14Similar
Q4 14:15
3RD & 13
OWN 14
0
93.0%
Jaxon Potter pass incomplete to Carter PabstSimilar
Q4 14:15
4TH & 13
OWN 14
-5
92.4%
(14:15) PENALTY WSU False Start (Schlimgen,Sullivan) 5 yards from WSU14 to WSU09. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:05
4TH & 18
OWN 9
0
92.6%
Ryan Harris punt for 31 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 23DOWNS
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:3410% → 10%
Q4 13:58
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
89.6%
Jayden Denegal run for 2 yds to the WSU 38Similar
Q4 13:26
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+3
89.8%
Jayden Denegal pass complete to Donovan Brown for 3 yds to the WSU 41Similar
Q4 12:51
3RD & 11
OPP 41
+4
90.2%
Jayden Denegal pass complete to Jordan Napier for 4 yds to the WSU 37Similar
Q4 12:24
4TH & 7
OPP 37
0
90.5%
Jayden Denegal pass incomplete to Donovan BrownSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:2497% → 97%
Q4 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-5
97.1%
(12:22) Shotgun Potter,Jaxon pass complete short left to Noga,Jeremiah caught at WSU41, for 4 yards to the WSU41 (Phillips,Bryce) PENALTY WSU Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Leckner,Trey) 5 yards from WSU37 to WSU32. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:46
1ST & 15
OWN 32
0
97.0%
Jaxon Potter pass incomplete to Tony FreemanSimilar
Q4 11:40
2ND & 15
OWN 32
-1
97.0%
Angel Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the WSU 31Similar
Q4 10:59
3RD & 16
OWN 31
0
97.1%
Jaxon Potter pass incomplete to Kirby VorheesSimilar
Q4 10:49
4TH & 16
OWN 31
0
97.0%
Ryan Harris punt for 30 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 25DOWNS
7 plays · 3 yds · 1:398% → 6%
Q4 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
92.2%
Lucky Sutton run for 3 yds to the SDSU 42Similar
Q4 10:03
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+11
92.9%
Jayden Denegal pass complete to Jacob Bostick for 11 yds to the WSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
92.6%
Lucky Sutton run for 6 yds to the WSU 41Similar
Q4 9:17
2ND & 4
OPP 41
0
92.7%
Jayden Denegal pass incomplete to Jordan NapierSimilar
Q4 9:17
3RD & 4
OPP 41
-5
93.3%
(09:17) PENALTY SDSU False Start (Napier,Jordan) 5 yards from WSU41 to WSU46. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:12
3RD & 9
OPP 46
0
93.3%
Jayden Denegal pass incomplete to Jackson FordSimilar
Q4 9:05
4TH & 9
OPP 46
-12
93.6%
Jayden Denegal sacked for a loss of 12 yards to the SDSU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 26TD
18 plays · 42 yds · 6:1098% → 100%
Q4 8:58
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
97.8%
Leo Pulalasi run for 2 yds to the SDSU 40Similar
Q4 8:15
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+2
97.9%
Leo Pulalasi run for 2 yds to the SDSU 38Similar
Q4 7:30
3RD & 6
OPP 38
+11
98.0%
Jaxon Potter pass complete to Tony Freeman for 11 yds to the SDSU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
98.2%
Kirby Vorhees run for 3 yds to the SDSU 24Similar
Q4 6:05
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+5
98.3%
Jaxon Potter pass complete to Trey Leckner for 5 yds Trey Leckner fumbled, recovered by WSUSimilar
Q4 5:41
3RD & 2
OPP 19
+5
98.3%
Kirby Vorhees run for 5 yds to the SDSU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:59
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
98.5%
Kirby Vorhees run for 2 yds to the SDSU 12Similar
Q4 4:16
2ND & 8
OPP 12
0
98.7%
Angel Johnson run for no gain to the SDSU 12Similar
Q4 4:08
3RD & 8
OPP 12
+1
99.0%
Jaxon Potter run for 1 yd to the SDSU 11Similar
Q4 3:57
4TH & 7
OPP 11
+5
99.2%
(04:06) Stevens,Jack field goal attempt from 28 yards NO GOOD blocked by Johnson,Chris (H: Harris,Ryan, LS: Peoples,Colton), clock 03:57 recovered by SDSU Phillips,Bryce at SDSU33 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 03:57 PENALTY SDSU Offside (Johnson,Chris) 5 yards from SDSU11 to SDSU06. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:53
4TH & 2
OPP 6
+3
99.1%
(03:57) Stevens,Jack field goal attempt from 23 yards nullified by penaltyGOOD (H: Harris,Ryan, LS: Peoples,Colton), clock 03:53 PENALTY SDSU Offside (Johnson,Chris) 3 yards from SDSU06 to SDSU03, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
99.2%
Angel Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the SDSU 5Similar
Q4 3:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
99.2%
Kirby Vorhees run for 2 yds to the SDSU 3Similar
Q4 2:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.8%
Julian Dugger run for 3 yds for a TD (Jack Stevens KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 27PUNT
6 plays · -10 yds · 0:540% → 0%
Q4 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.6%
Jayden Denegal pass incomplete to Donovan BrownSimilar
Q4 2:35
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-15
99.6%
Jayden Denegal sacked by Max Baloun for a loss of 15 yards to the SDSU 10Similar
Q4 1:52
3RD & 25
OWN 10
+5
99.7%
Jayden Denegal pass complete to Christian Washington for 5 yds to the SDSU 15Similar
Q4 1:49
4TH & 20
OWN 15
0
99.7%
Hunter Green punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Tony Freeman at the WSU 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 28END OF GAME
3 plays · -6 yds · 1:45100% → 100%
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-2
99.8%
J. Potter takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 1:04
2ND & 12
OWN 36
-2
99.8%
J. Potter takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 14
OWN 34
-2
99.8%
J. Potter takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:26
Jaxon Potter pass complete to Trey Leckner for 3 yds for a TD (Jack Stevens KICK)
+13.2
TD · Q3 10:55
Jaxon Potter pass complete to Leon Neal Jr. for 18 yds for a TD (Jack Stevens KICK)
+10.2
TD · Q3 0:57
Jayden Denegal run for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
-10
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com