HOU
Houston 27 at Oregon State 24
ORST2025 · Week 5 · Sep 27, 2025 · Reser Stadium
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Win probability · ORST
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HOU · Drive 25FG · 7 plays · 19 yds
Q5 0:00
E.Sanchez 24 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-J.Garza, Holder-J.Sock.
6.9%
0.0
Q5 0:00
Timeout #1 by HOU.
22.9%
+16.0
Q5 0:00
C.Weigman kneels at the ORST 6.
22.9%
0.0
Q5 0:00
D.Connors rushed for 5 yards. Tackled by ORST at ORST 4.
22.9%
0.0
Q5 0:00
C.Weigman pass complete. Catch made by D.Connors for 12 yards. Tackled by ORST at ORST 9.
24.5%
+1.6
Q5 0:00
D.Connors rushed for 1 yards. Tackled by ORST at ORST 21.
24.5%
0.0
Q5 0:00
D.Connors rushed for 3 yards. Tackled by ORST at ORST 22.
24.5%
0.0
ORST · Drive 24DOWNS · 5 plays · 9 yds
Q5 0:00
C.Hatcher rushed for 0 yards. Tackled by HOU at HOU 16.
29.9%
+5.4
Q5 0:00
G.Johnson rushed for 0 yards. Tackled by HOU at HOU 16.
30.2%
+0.3
Q5 0:00
Timeout #1 by ORST.
30.2%
0.0
Q5 0:00
M.Murphy pass complete. Catch made by T.Reddicks for 8 yards. Tackled by HOU at HOU 16.
30.4%
+0.2
Q5 0:00
M.Murphy pass complete. Catch made by C.Hatcher for 1 yards. Tackled by HOU at HOU 24.
30.4%
0.0
ORST · Drive 1PUNT · 11 plays · 28 yds
Q1 15:00
Zac Yoakam kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
18.0%
-12.4
Q1 15:00
Maalik Murphy pass incomplete to Anthony Hankerson
19.5%
+1.5
Q1 14:55
Anthony Hankerson run for 8 yds to the ORST 33
19.5%
0.0
Q1 14:12
Jake Reichle run for 2 yds to the ORST 35 for a 1ST down
19.7%
+0.2
Q1 13:42
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Marquis Crosby for 6 yds to the ORST 41
19.7%
0.0
Q1 13:06
Anthony Hankerson run for 14 yds to the HOU 45 for a 1ST down
20.3%
+0.6
Q1 12:34
Anthony Hankerson run for 3 yds to the HOU 42
21.0%
+0.8
Q1 11:58
Anthony Hankerson run for a loss of 5 yards to the HOU 47 Anthony Hankerson fumbled, recovered by ORST Maalik Murphy
21.3%
+0.3
Q1 11:13
Maalik Murphy pass incomplete to Trent Walker
20.9%
-0.4
Q1 11:09
Maalik Murphy punt for 33 yds
20.6%
-0.2
Q1 11:04
Dean Connors run for 4 yds to the HOU 18
17.7%
0.0
ORST · Drive 2PUNT · 2 plays · 28 yds
Q1 14:59
Maalik Murphy pass incomplete to Anthony Hankerson
19.5%
0.0
Q1 14:04
Jake Reichle run for 2 yds to the ORST 35 for a 1ST down
19.7%
0.0
HOU · Drive 3PUNT · 5 plays · -1 yds
Q1 11:04
Dean Connors run for 4 yds to the HOU 18
17.7%
-3.0
Q1 10:35
Conner Weigman pass incomplete to Amare Thomas
17.7%
0.0
Q1 10:32
Conner Weigman sacked by Jacob Schuster for a loss of 5 yards to the HOU 13
17.7%
0.0
Q1 9:57
Liam Dougherty punt for 40 yds , Trent Walker returns for 8 yds to the HOU 45
17.7%
0.0
Q1 9:49
Maalik Murphy pass incomplete to David Wells Jr.
21.0%
0.0
ORST · Drive 4PUNT · 4 plays · 0 yds
Q1 9:49
Maalik Murphy pass incomplete to David Wells Jr., broken up by Zelmar Vedder
21.0%
+3.3
Q1 9:38
Anthony Hankerson run for no gain to the HOU 45
21.0%
0.0
Q1 9:00
Maalik Murphy pass incomplete to Anthony Hankerson Oregon State Penalty, inelgible downfield on pass (Yards) to the HOU 45
20.6%
-0.4
Q1 8:55
AJ Winsor punt for 33 yds
20.4%
-0.2
HOU · Drive 5INT · 3 plays · 0 yds
Q1 8:49
Conner Weigman pass intercepted Trey Glasper return for 25 yds to the HOU 7
17.5%
-2.9
Q1 8:39
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Bryce Caufield for 6 yds to the HOU 1
21.0%
-0.3
Q1 8:16
Timeout Oregon State, clock 08:16
21.8%
-11.1
ORST · Drive 6TD · 2 plays · 7 yds
Q1 8:39
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Bryce Caufield for 6 yds to the HOU 1
21.3%
+3.9
Q1 8:12
Jake Reichle 1 Yd Run (Caleb Ojeda Kick)
32.8%
+11.8
HOU · Drive 7PUNT · 9 plays · 9 yds
Q1 8:12
Caleb Ojeda kickoff for 57 yds , Mekhi Mews return for 20 yds to the HOU 28
31.8%
+10.0
Q1 8:07
Dean Connors run for 5 yds to the HOU 33
29.7%
-2.1
Q1 7:36
Dean Connors run for 3 yds to the HOU 36
29.7%
0.0
Q1 7:03
Dean Connors run for 8 yds to the HOU 44 for a 1ST down
29.7%
0.0
Q1 6:34
Conner Weigman run for no gain to the HOU 44 Houston Penalty, Offensive holding (Luke McGary) to the HOU 34
28.5%
-1.2
Q1 6:18
Conner Weigman pass incomplete to Stacy Sneed
29.8%
+1.2
Q1 6:14
Stacy Sneed run for a loss of 2 yards to the HOU 32
29.8%
0.0
Q1 5:44
Conner Weigman pass complete to Dean Connors for 5 yds to the HOU 37
29.8%
+0.1
Q1 5:10
Liam Dougherty punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ORST 30 , Trent Walker returns for 8 yds to the ORST 30
30.1%
+0.3
ORST · Drive 8TD · 11 plays · 70 yds
Q1 5:03
Cornell Hatcher Jr. run for 4 yds to the ORST 34
32.3%
+2.2
Q1 4:32
Cornell Hatcher Jr. run for 5 yds to the ORST 39
32.3%
0.0
Q1 4:00
Maalik Murphy run for 2 yds to the ORST 41 Maalik Murphy fumbled, recovered by ORST Cornell Hatcher Jr. for a 1ST down
32.7%
+0.3
Q1 3:11
Cornell Hatcher Jr. run for 4 yds to the ORST 45
32.9%
+0.3
Q1 2:28
Gabarri Johnson run for 4 yds to the ORST 49
32.9%
0.0
Q1 1:51
Anthony Hankerson run for 3 yds to the HOU 48 for a 1ST down
33.1%
+0.2
Q1 1:16
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Bryce Caufield for 30 yds to the HOU 18 for a 1ST down
33.4%
+0.3
Q1 0:38
Anthony Hankerson run for 3 yds to the HOU 15
33.7%
+0.2
Q2 15:00
Maalik Murphy run for 10 yds to the HOU 5 for a 1ST down
34.8%
+1.1
Q2 14:27
Anthony Hankerson run for no gain to the HOU 5
34.7%
0.0
Q2 13:43
Marquis Crosby 5 Yd pass from Maalik Murphy (Caleb Ojeda Kick)
45.6%
+10.8
HOU · Drive 9TD · 21 plays · 85 yds
Q2 13:43
Caleb Ojeda kickoff for 65 yds , Mekhi Mews return for 25 yds to the HOU 40 Houston Penalty, Offensive holding (Johnsley Barbas) to the HOU 15
45.2%
-0.3
Q2 13:34
Dean Connors run for 5 yds to the HOU 20
37.8%
-7.5
Q2 12:54
Amare Thomas run for 3 yds to the HOU 23
37.8%
0.0
Q2 12:16
Conner Weigman pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 15 yds to the HOU 38 for a 1ST down
37.8%
0.0
Q2 11:55
Dean Connors run for 5 yds to the HOU 43
37.5%
-0.3
Q2 11:23
Dean Connors run for no gain to the HOU 43
37.5%
0.0
Q2 10:47
Conner Weigman pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down
25.1%
-12.4
Q2 9:41
Dean Connors run for 3 yds to the ORST 34
38.6%
+13.5
Q2 9:07
DJ Butler run for 11 yds to the ORST 23 for a 1ST down
37.9%
-0.7
Q2 8:36
DJ Butler run for 4 yds to the ORST 19
37.9%
0.0
Q2 7:55
Conner Weigman pass incomplete to Luke McGary
38.4%
+0.5
Q2 7:51
Conner Weigman pass complete to Stephon Johnson for 17 yds to the ORST 2 for a 1ST down
38.4%
0.0
Q2 7:16
Dean Connors run for no gain to the ORST 2 Oregon State Penalty, substitution infraction (Yards) to the ORST 1
38.4%
0.0
Q2 7:00
Dean Connors run for no gain to the ORST 1 Houston Penalty, false start (Blake Thompson) to the ORST 6
38.4%
0.0
Q2 6:33
Dean Connors run for 1 yd to the ORST 5
38.4%
0.0
Q2 6:04
Conner Weigman pass incomplete to Tanner Koziol, broken up by Aiden Sullivan for a 1ST down Oregon State Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Aiden Sullivan) to the ORST 2 for a 1ST down
39.2%
+0.8
Q2 6:02
Conner Weigman pass complete to Dean Connors for no gain Houston Penalty, false start (Traville Frederick Jr.) to the ORST 7
39.2%
0.0
Q2 6:00
Conner Weigman pass incomplete to Stephon Johnson, broken up by Trey Glasper
39.2%
0.0
Q2 5:57
Conner Weigman pass incomplete to Tanner Koziol Houston Penalty, inelgible downfield on pass (Yards) to the ORST 7
39.2%
0.0
Q2 5:53
Conner Weigman pass incomplete to Stephon Johnson
39.2%
0.0
Q2 5:47
Ethan Sanchez 25 yd FG GOOD
39.1%
-0.1
HOU · Drive 10PUNT · 5 plays · -2 yds
Q3 15:00
Caleb Ojeda kickoff for 64 yds , Mekhi Mews return for 21 yds to the HOU 22
36.7%
-2.4
Q3 14:54
Dean Connors run for a loss of 2 yards to the HOU 20
34.2%
-2.5
Q3 14:17
Conner Weigman sacked by Jacob Schuster for a loss of 3 yards to the HOU 17
34.2%
0.0
Q3 13:40
Conner Weigman pass complete to Dean Connors for 3 yds to the HOU 20
34.2%
0.0
Q3 13:05
Liam Dougherty punt for 52 yds
34.2%
0.0
ORST · Drive 11PUNT · 4 plays · 8 yds
Q3 12:54
Anthony Hankerson run for 2 yds to the ORST 30
38.0%
+3.8
Q3 12:16
Anthony Hankerson run for 1 yd to the ORST 31
38.0%
0.0
Q3 11:32
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Bryce Caufield for 5 yds to the ORST 36
38.0%
0.0
Q3 10:59
AJ Winsor punt for 64 yds
39.1%
+1.0
HOU · Drive 12PUNT · 5 plays · -4 yds
Q3 10:53
Conner Weigman pass complete to Mekhi Mews for no gain to the HOU 20
36.1%
-3.0
Q3 10:23
Dean Connors run for no gain to the HOU 20 Houston Penalty, Offensive holding (Demetrius Hunter) to the HOU 10
37.3%
+1.2
Q3 9:53
Conner Weigman pass incomplete to Stephon Johnson
38.0%
+0.7
Q3 9:48
Dean Connors run for 6 yds to the HOU 16
38.0%
0.0
Q3 9:18
Liam Dougherty punt for 48 yds , Trent Walker returns for 3 yds to the ORST 39
38.0%
0.0
ORST · Drive 13FG · 7 plays · 48 yds
Q3 9:10
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Trent Walker for 22 yds to the HOU 39 for a 1ST down
41.8%
+3.8
Q3 8:37
Cornell Hatcher Jr. run for 9 yds to the HOU 30
42.8%
+1.0
Q3 7:55
Cornell Hatcher Jr. run for 14 yds to the HOU 16 for a 1ST down
42.8%
0.0
Q3 7:07
Cornell Hatcher Jr. run for 1 yd to the HOU 15
42.8%
0.0
Q3 6:28
Maalik Murphy pass complete to David Wells Jr. for 2 yds to the HOU 13
43.0%
+0.1
Q3 5:41
Maalik Murphy pass incomplete to David Wells Jr., broken up by Latrell McCutchin Sr.
42.7%
-0.2
Q3 5:31
Caleb Ojeda 31 Yd Field Goal
47.7%
+5.0
HOU · Drive 14PUNT · 6 plays · 3 yds
Q3 5:31
Caleb Ojeda kickoff for 63 yds , Mekhi Mews return for 35 yds to the HOU 37
47.0%
-0.8
Q3 5:23
Conner Weigman pass incomplete to Amare Thomas
38.2%
-8.8
Q3 5:15
Dean Connors run for 3 yds to the HOU 40
38.2%
0.0
Q3 4:50
Conner Weigman pass incomplete to Amare Thomas, broken up by Conrad Hussey
37.9%
-0.2
Q3 4:46
Liam Dougherty punt , Trent Walker returns for no gain to the HOU 40 Houston Penalty, Defensive holding (Shamar Meikle) to the HOU 40
38.3%
+0.3
Q3 4:37
Liam Dougherty punt for 60 yds
39.1%
+0.8
ORST · Drive 15TD · 14 plays · 80 yds
Q3 4:28
Cornell Hatcher Jr. run for 9 yds to the ORST 29
50.4%
+11.3
Q3 3:53
Cornell Hatcher Jr. run for 2 yds to the ORST 31 for a 1ST down
50.6%
+0.2
Q3 3:13
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Cornell Hatcher Jr. for 5 yds to the ORST 36
50.6%
0.0
Q3 2:35
Anthony Hankerson run for 8 yds to the ORST 44 for a 1ST down
53.9%
+3.3
Q3 1:48
Anthony Hankerson run for 4 yds to the ORST 48
55.0%
+1.0
Q3 1:07
Anthony Hankerson run for 3 yds to the HOU 49
57.2%
+2.3
Q3 0:30
Houston Penalty, off-side (Jalen Garner) to the HOU 44 for a 1ST down
57.0%
-0.2
Q3 0:11
Anthony Hankerson run for no gain to the HOU 44
59.3%
+2.3
Q4 15:00
Cornell Hatcher Jr. run for 8 yds to the HOU 36
59.3%
0.0
Q4 14:17
Cornell Hatcher Jr. run for 2 yds to the HOU 34 for a 1ST down
60.6%
+1.3
Q4 13:44
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Gabe Milbourn for 10 yds to the HOU 24 for a 1ST down
62.2%
+1.6
Q4 13:17
Cornell Hatcher Jr. run for 6 yds to the HOU 18
62.2%
0.0
Q4 12:34
Cornell Hatcher Jr. 18 Yd Run (Cameron Smith Kick)
81.5%
+19.3
Q4 12:37
Oregon State Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the HOU 8
57.0%
-24.5
HOU · Drive 16PUNT · 5 plays · 8 yds
Q4 12:34
Max Walker kickoff for 63 yds , Mekhi Mews return for 15 yds to the HOU 17
81.4%
+24.4
Q4 12:28
Conner Weigman pass incomplete to Stephon Johnson
75.3%
-6.1
Q4 12:22
DJ Butler run for 2 yds to the HOU 19
75.3%
0.0
Q4 11:42
Conner Weigman pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 6 yds to the HOU 25
74.9%
-0.5
Q4 11:17
Liam Dougherty punt for 39 yds Houston Penalty, illegal shift (Koby Young) to the ORST 41
75.5%
+0.6
ORST · Drive 17PUNT · 6 plays · 16 yds
Q4 11:13
Cornell Hatcher Jr. run for 4 yds to the ORST 45 Cornell Hatcher Jr. fumbled, recovered by ORST
82.7%
+7.3
Q4 10:32
Anthony Hankerson run for 7 yds to the HOU 48 for a 1ST down
82.7%
0.0
Q4 9:49
Anthony Hankerson run for 3 yds to the HOU 45
82.7%
0.0
Q4 9:10
Cornell Hatcher Jr. run for 2 yds to the HOU 43
83.9%
+1.2
Q4 8:23
Maalik Murphy pass incomplete to Bryce Caufield
83.9%
0.0
Q4 8:18
Maalik Murphy punt for 19 yds
83.9%
0.0
HOU · Drive 18TD · 8 plays · 76 yds
Q4 8:15
Conner Weigman pass complete to Amare Thomas for 13 yds to the HOU 37 for a 1ST down
76.6%
-7.3
Q4 7:51
Stacy Sneed run for 14 yds to the ORST 49 for a 1ST down
76.6%
0.0
Q4 7:32
Conner Weigman pass complete to Stacy Sneed for no gain to the HOU 49 Houston Penalty, Offensive holding (Alvin Ebosele) to the HOU 41
76.6%
0.0
Q4 7:15
Conner Weigman pass complete to Stacy Sneed for 3 yds to the HOU 44
78.9%
+2.4
Q4 6:52
Conner Weigman pass incomplete to Amare Thomas
79.1%
+0.2
Q4 6:49
Conner Weigman pass complete to Amare Thomas for 13 yds to the ORST 43
79.1%
0.0
Q4 6:28
Conner Weigman pass complete to Amare Thomas for 16 yds to the ORST 27 for a 1ST down
78.7%
-0.4
Q4 5:59
Stephon Johnson 27 Yd pass from Conner Weigman (Ethan Sanchez Kick)
60.0%
-18.7
ORST · Drive 19PUNT · 5 plays · 5 yds
Q4 5:59
Zac Yoakam kickoff for 62 yds
62.1%
+2.1
Q4 5:59
Cornell Hatcher Jr. run for 2 yds to the ORST 27
68.4%
+6.3
Q4 5:25
Cornell Hatcher Jr. run for 3 yds to the ORST 30
70.9%
+2.5
Q4 4:46
Maalik Murphy pass incomplete to Trent Walker, broken up by Wrook Brown
70.9%
0.0
Q4 4:40
AJ Winsor punt for 44 yds , Mekhi Mews returns for 10 yds to the HOU 36
70.9%
0.0
HOU · Drive 20TD · 4 plays · 64 yds
Q4 4:30
Conner Weigman pass complete to Amare Thomas for 8 yds to the HOU 44
63.2%
-7.7
Q4 4:12
Conner Weigman pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down
63.9%
+0.7
Q4 3:51
Conner Weigman pass incomplete to Dean Connors
63.3%
-0.6
Q4 3:40
Tanner Koziol 50 Yd pass from Conner Weigman (Ethan Sanchez Kick)
28.2%
-35.1
ORST · Drive 21PUNT · 7 plays · 13 yds
Q4 3:40
Zac Yoakam kickoff for 64 yds , David Wells Jr. return for 18 yds to the ORST 19
30.3%
+2.1
Q4 3:36
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Taz Reddicks for 9 yds to the ORST 28
38.8%
+8.5
Q4 3:11
Anthony Hankerson run for 2 yds to the ORST 30 for a 1ST down
38.8%
0.0
Q4 2:34
Maalik Murphy pass incomplete to Taz Reddicks
38.8%
0.0
Q4 2:28
Anthony Hankerson run for 2 yds to the ORST 32
38.8%
0.0
Q4 2:00
Maalik Murphy pass incomplete to Taz Reddicks
38.8%
0.0
Q4 1:54
AJ Winsor punt for 44 yds , Mekhi Mews returns for 3 yds to the HOU 27
39.4%
+0.7
HOU · Drive 22PUNT · 5 plays · 22 yds
Q4 1:45
Conner Weigman pass complete to Amare Thomas for 18 yds to the HOU 45 for a 1ST down
29.3%
-10.1
Q4 1:31
Dean Connors run for 4 yds to the HOU 49
27.7%
-1.6
Q4 1:10
Conner Weigman pass incomplete to Stephon Johnson
27.5%
-0.2
Q4 1:07
Conner Weigman pass incomplete to Harvey Broussard III
27.5%
0.0
Q4 1:02
Liam Dougherty punt for 41 yds
27.8%
+0.3
ORST · Drive 23MISSED FG · 10 plays · 61 yds
Q4 0:56
Anthony Hankerson run for 3 yds to the ORST 13
39.7%
+12.0
Q4 0:51
Anthony Hankerson run for 6 yds to the ORST 19
39.7%
0.0
Q4 0:43
Jake Reichle run for 3 yds to the ORST 22 for a 1ST down
39.7%
0.0
Q4 0:40
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Trent Walker for 18 yds to the ORST 40 for a 1ST down
39.7%
0.0
Q4 0:27
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Bryce Caufield for 7 yds Maalik Murphy fumbled, recovered by ORST
40.6%
+0.9
Q4 0:24
Maalik Murphy pass incomplete to Bryce Caufield
40.8%
+0.2
Q4 0:20
Anthony Hankerson run for 4 yds to the HOU 49 for a 1ST down
40.6%
-0.2
Q4 0:15
Maalik Murphy pass incomplete to Trent Walker, broken up by Eddie Walls III
41.8%
+1.2
Q4 0:11
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Trent Walker for 20 yds to the HOU 29 for a 1ST down
41.8%
0.0
Q4 0:05
Cameron Smith 46 yd FG MISSED
42.1%
+0.4
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:40
Tanner Koziol 50 Yd pass from Conner Weigman (Ethan Sanchez Kick)
-35.1
KEY PLAY · Q4 12:37
Oregon State Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the HOU 8
-24.5
KEY PLAY · Q4 12:34
Max Walker kickoff for 63 yds , Mekhi Mews return for 15 yds to the HOU 17
+24.4