Try the model
ORST

Oregon State 14 at Texas Tech 45

TTU
2025 · Week 3 · Sep 13, 2025 · Jones AT&T Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · TTU
modelTTU aheadORST aheadconfidence bandkey playTTU scoreORST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 11:37 · AJ Winsor punt for 23 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+44.5+22.30−22.3−44.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 17Pregame prior+42.7Home team on offense+0.6Score differential+0.1Blowout margin+0.1Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 12:00: Behren Morton pass complete to Coy Eakin for 38 yds for a TD (Stone Harrington KICK) — TTU win probability +0.2 pts (now 94%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 6:27: Behren Morton pass complete to Caleb Douglas for 61 yds for a TD (Upton Bellenfant KICK) — TTU win probability +0.9 pts (now 94%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 10:01: J'Koby Williams 30 Yd pass from Behren Morton (Stone Harrington Kick) — TTU win probability +0.3 pts (now 97%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 6:35: J'Koby Williams 3 Yd Run (Upton Bellenfant Kick) — ORST win probability +0.3 pts (now 2%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TTU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4ORST made the numbers' call on 6 of 10
  1. Q1 12:57ORST 4th & 14 at ORST 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.1%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:37ORST 4th & 10 at ORST 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.1%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:29TTU 4th & 9 at ORST 37, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.6%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    92.6%−<0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    92.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:27ORST 4th & 4 at ORST 43, down 7
    Close callPunted · 7.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:02ORST 4th & 8 at TTU 29, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.3%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.4%
    58% to make
    Punt
    6.4%−1.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:07ORST 4th & 18 at TTU 41, down 35
    Close callPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    0.7%
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:40ORST 4th & 10 at ORST 25, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:26TTU 4th & 14 at TTU 3, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%−0.3
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:32ORST 4th & 4 at TTU 24, down 35
    Close callWent for it · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.2%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    1.3%
    68% to make
    Punt
    1.0%−0.3
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:07TTU 4th & 3 at ORST 3, up 35
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.6
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:54ORST 4th & 11 at ORST 24, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:19ORST 4th & 4 at ORST 43, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:08TTU 4th & 15 at TTU 15, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:53ORST 4th & 12 at TTU 26, down 38
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%
    64% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TTU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3ORST made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 12:00TTU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:27TTU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 10:43TTU Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 5:05ORST Touchdown, down 39 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 1:53ORST Touchdown, down 32 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ORSTDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · -4 yds · 2:036% → 6%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
94.1%
PENALTY OSU False Start (Anderson,Jacob) 5 yards from OSU25 to OSU20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
94.1%
Anthony Hankerson run for no gain to the ORST 20Similar
Q1 14:14
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+6
93.9%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Trent Walker for 6 yds to the ORST 26Similar
Q1 13:37
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-5
93.8%
PENALTY OSU False Start (Elu,Nathan) 5 yards from OSU26 to OSU21. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:09
3RD & 14
OWN 21
0
93.7%
Maalik Murphy pass incomplete to David Wells Jr.Similar
Q1 12:57
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
93.7%
AJ Winsor punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 2TD
5 plays · 50 yds · 0:3694% → 94%
Q1 12:36
1ST & 10
50
+6
93.6%
Behren Morton pass complete to J'Koby Williams for 6 yds to the ORST 44Similar
Q1 12:34
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+3
93.6%
J'Koby Williams run for 3 yds to the ORST 41Similar
Q1 12:21
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+3
93.6%
Cameron Dickey run for 3 yds to the ORST 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
93.5%
Behren Morton pass incomplete to Caleb DouglasSimilar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+38
93.8%
Behren Morton pass complete to Coy Eakin for 38 yds for a TD (Stone Harrington KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:166% → 6%
Q1 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
93.6%
Maalik Murphy pass incomplete to Salahadin AllahSimilar
Q1 11:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
93.6%
Maalik Murphy pass incomplete to David Wells Jr.Similar
Q1 11:45
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
93.7%
Maalik Murphy pass incomplete to Bryce CaufieldSimilar
Q1 11:37
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
93.7%
AJ Winsor punt for 23 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 4DOWNS
5 plays · 11 yds · 1:0294% → 94%
Q1 11:31
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+10
93.7%
Behren Morton pass complete to Terrance Carter Jr. for 10 yds to the ORST 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
93.7%
Behren Morton pass incomplete to Reggie VirgilSimilar
Q1 11:13
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+1
93.7%
Cameron Dickey run for 1 yd to the ORST 37Similar
Q1 10:35
3RD & 9
OPP 37
0
93.6%
Behren Morton pass incomplete to Reggie VirgilSimilar
Q1 10:29
4TH & 9
OPP 37
0
93.5%
Behren Morton pass incomplete to Reggie VirgilSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:557% → 7%
Q1 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
93.4%
Anthony Hankerson run for 3 yds to the ORST 40Similar
Q1 9:50
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+1
93.2%
Anthony Hankerson run for 1 yd to the ORST 41Similar
Q1 8:59
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+2
93.2%
Maalik Murphy run for 2 yds to the ORST 43Similar
Q1 8:27
4TH & 4
OWN 43
0
93.2%
Maalik Murphy punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 6TD
5 plays · 79 yds · 1:5393% → 94%
Q1 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
93.2%
J'Koby Williams run for 3 yds to the TTU 24Similar
Q1 7:55
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+4
93.1%
J'Koby Williams run for 4 yds to the TTU 28Similar
Q1 7:09
3RD & 3
OWN 28
+14
92.9%
Behren Morton pass complete to Terrance Carter Jr. for 14 yds to the TTU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-3
93.1%
J'Koby Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the TTU 39Similar
Q1 6:27
2ND & 13
OWN 39
+61
94.0%
Behren Morton pass complete to Caleb Douglas for 61 yds for a TD (Upton Bellenfant KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 7MISSED FG
11 plays · 46 yds · 4:176% → 7%
Q1 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
93.7%
Salahadin Allah run for 1 yd to the ORST 26Similar
Q1 5:38
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
93.6%
Salahadin Allah run for 5 yds to the ORST 31Similar
Q1 5:03
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+11
93.6%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Trent Walker for 11 yds to the ORST 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
93.5%
Maalik Murphy pass incomplete to Trent WalkerSimilar
Q1 4:22
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+3
93.4%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to David Wells Jr. for 3 yds to the ORST 39Similar
Q1 3:47
3RD & 13
OWN 39
+30
93.4%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Trent Walker for 15 yds to the TTU 46 for a 1ST down Texas Tech Penalty, Personal Foul (A.J. Holmes Jr.) to the TTU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:47
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
93.2%
Anthony Hankerson run for 1 yd to the TTU 30Similar
Q1 2:24
2ND & 9
OPP 30
+1
93.0%
Gabarri Johnson run for 1 yd to the TTU 29Similar
Q1 2:07
3RD & 8
OPP 29
0
93.1%
Maalik Murphy pass incomplete to Trent WalkerSimilar
Q1 2:02
4TH & 8
OPP 29
+47
93.3%
Caleb Ojeda 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 8INT
8 plays · 64 yds · 8:4094% → 97%
Q1 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+19
93.7%
Behren Morton pass complete to J'Koby Williams for 19 yds to the TTU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-10
93.9%
(01:33) No Huddle-Shotgun Williams,J'Koby rush middle for 11 yards gain to the OSU41 (Vadrawale III,Sailasa) PENALTY TTU Holding (Jados,Will) 10 yards from TTU48 to TTU38. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:32
1ST & 20
OWN 38
-15
93.8%
PENALTY TTU Personal Foul (Sampson,Howard) 15 yards from TTU38 to TTU23. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:24
1ST & 35
OWN 23
+39
93.7%
Behren Morton pass complete to J'Koby Williams for 39 yds to the ORST 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
93.9%
Behren Morton pass complete to Terrance Carter Jr. for 1 yd to the ORST 37Similar
Q2 14:35
2ND & 9
OPP 37
-56
93.9%
J'Koby Williams run for 7 yards to the ORST 7Similar
Q2 14:21
4TH & 65
OWN 7
0
93.3%
Behren Morton pass intercepted, touchback. Skyler Thomas return for no gainSimilar
Q2 8:16
3RD & 65
OWN 7
0
96.5%
Behren Morton pass incomplete to Reggie VirgilSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 9TD
11 plays · 49 yds · 3:2697% → 99%
Q2 10:01
3RD & 26
OPP 30
+30
96.7%
J'Koby Williams 30 Yd pass from Behren Morton (Stone Harrington Kick)Similar
Q2 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
97.0%
Cameron Dickey run for 9 yds to the ORST 40Similar
Q2 6:35
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+3
98.5%
Cameron Dickey run for 3 yds to the ORST 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
98.6%
Behren Morton run for 7 yds to the ORST 30Similar
Q2 6:35
2ND & 3
OPP 30
0
98.5%
Behren Morton pass incomplete to Johncarlos Miller IISimilar
Q2 6:35
3RD & 3
OPP 30
+4
98.5%
Cameron Dickey run for 4 yds to the ORST 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+8
98.6%
Behren Morton pass complete to Terrance Carter Jr. for 8 yds to the ORST 18Similar
Q2 6:35
2ND & 2
OPP 18
+4
98.5%
Cameron Dickey run for 4 yds to the ORST 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-16
98.6%
Texas Tech Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Behren Morton) to the ORST 30Similar
Q2 6:35
2ND & 26
OPP 30
0
98.6%
Behren Morton pass incomplete to J'Koby WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 10INT
4 plays · 11 yds · 0:211% → 1%
Q2 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
98.8%
Maalik Murphy pass incomplete to David Wells Jr.Similar
Q2 7:06
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+10
98.8%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Bryce Caufield for 10 yds to the ORST 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
98.8%
Anthony Hankerson run for 1 yd to the ORST 31Similar
Q2 7:06
2ND & 9
OWN 31
0
98.8%
Maalik Murphy pass intercepted Brice Pollock return for no gain to the ORST 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 11TD
8 plays · 70 yds · 4:2199% → 99%
Q2 6:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
98.5%
J'Koby Williams 3 Yd Run (Upton Bellenfant Kick)Similar
Q2 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+16
98.9%
Cameron Dickey run for 16 yds to the TTU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+26
99.0%
Behren Morton pass complete to Coy Eakin for 26 yds to the ORST 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:19
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+13
99.0%
Behren Morton pass complete to Coy Eakin for 13 yds to the ORST 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:19
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-2
99.0%
J'Koby Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the ORST 17Similar
Q2 2:19
2ND & 12
OPP 17
-10
99.0%
(02:19) No Huddle-Shotgun Williams,J'Koby rush left for 15 yards gain to the OSU02, End Of Play PENALTY TTU Holding (Miller II,Johncarlos) 10 yards from OSU17 to OSU27. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:19
2ND & 22
OPP 27
0
99.0%
Behren Morton pass incomplete to Johncarlos Miller IISimilar
Q2 2:14
3RD & 22
OPP 27
+24
99.0%
Behren Morton pass complete to Terrance Carter Jr. for 24 yds to the ORST 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 12PUNT
12 plays · 34 yds · 3:031% → 1%
Q2 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
99.2%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Trent Walker for 15 yds to the ORST 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
99.2%
Anthony Hankerson run for no gain to the ORST 40Similar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+8
99.2%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Trent Walker for 8 yds to the ORST 48Similar
Q2 4:00
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+3
99.2%
Maalik Murphy run for 3 yds to the TTU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:29
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
99.2%
Maalik Murphy pass incomplete to Eddie FreauffSimilar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+16
99.3%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to David Wells Jr. for 16 yds to the TTU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-8
99.2%
Maalik Murphy run for a loss of 8 yards to the TTU 41Similar
Q2 2:20
2ND & 18
OPP 41
0
99.3%
Maalik Murphy pass incomplete to Trent WalkerSimilar
Q2 2:08
3RD & 18
OPP 41
0
99.5%
Maalik Murphy pass incomplete to Bryce CaufieldSimilar
Q2 2:07
4TH & 18
OPP 41
0
99.5%
Maalik Murphy punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TTU 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:021% → 1%
Q2 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.4%
Maalik Murphy pass incomplete to Anthony HankersonSimilar
Q2 4:17
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.4%
Maalik Murphy pass incomplete to Malachi DurantSimilar
Q2 3:44
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
99.4%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Bryce Caufield for no gain to the ORST 25Similar
Q2 3:40
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+13
99.4%
AJ Winsor punt for 58 yds , Tristian Gentry returns for 13 yds to the TTU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:3499% → 99%
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+4
99.1%
Cameron Dickey run for 4 yds to the TTU 11Similar
Q2 1:52
2ND & 6
OWN 11
-8
99.2%
Behren Morton sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the TTU 3Similar
Q2 1:37
3RD & 14
OWN 3
0
99.1%
Behren Morton pass incomplete to Caleb DouglasSimilar
Q2 1:26
4TH & 14
OWN 3
0
99.1%
Jack Burgess punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 15END OF HALF
11 plays · 6 yds · 1:241% → 1%
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
99.5%
Maalik Murphy pass incomplete to Trent WalkerSimilar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+3
99.5%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to David Wells Jr. for 3 yds to the TTU 41Similar
Q2 1:09
3RD & 7
OPP 41
+11
99.5%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Taz Reddicks for 11 yds to the TTU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
99.4%
Anthony Hankerson run for 2 yds to the TTU 28Similar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+1
99.4%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Trent Walker for 1 yd to the TTU 27Similar
Q2 0:37
3RD & 7
OPP 27
+3
99.5%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Bryce Caufield for 3 yds to the TTU 24Similar
Q2 0:32
4TH & 4
OPP 24
+6
99.0%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Taz Reddicks for 6 yds to the TTU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
99.4%
Maalik Murphy pass incomplete to Anthony HankersonSimilar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 10
OPP 18
-5
99.4%
PENALTY OSU Delay Of Game 5 yards from TTU18 to TTU23. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 15
OPP 23
-15
99.5%
Maalik Murphy sacked by David Bailey for a loss of 15 yards to the TTU 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 16TD
12 plays · 84 yds · 3:1699% → 100%
Q3 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+17
99.3%
Behren Morton pass complete to Johncarlos Miller II for 17 yds to the TTU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:27
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
99.3%
J'Koby Williams run for 6 yds to the TTU 39Similar
Q3 14:18
2ND & 4
OWN 39
0
99.3%
Behren Morton pass incomplete to Reggie VirgilSimilar
Q3 14:02
3RD & 4
OWN 39
+15
99.3%
Behren Morton pass complete to J'Koby Williams for 15 yds to the ORST 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:38
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+8
99.4%
Behren Morton pass complete to Reggie Virgil for 8 yds to the ORST 38Similar
Q3 13:24
2ND & 2
OPP 38
+1
99.5%
J'Koby Williams run for 1 yd to the ORST 37Similar
Q3 12:44
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+2
99.5%
Behren Morton run for 2 yds to the ORST 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
99.5%
Behren Morton pass complete to J'Koby Williams for 1 yd to the ORST 34Similar
Q3 11:51
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+16
99.6%
Behren Morton pass complete to Coy Eakin for 16 yds to the ORST 18 for a 1ST down Oregon State Penalty, Defensive Holding (Kobe Singleton) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-5
99.6%
PENALTY TTU False Start (Wilson,Sheridan) 5 yards from OSU18 to OSU23. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:26
1ST & 15
OPP 23
+23
99.6%
Behren Morton pass complete to Terrance Carter Jr. for 23 yds for a TD (Stone Harrington KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 17INT
9 plays · 64 yds · 4:400% → 0%
Q3 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.6%
Anthony Hankerson run for 1 yd to the ORST 26Similar
Q3 10:34
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
99.6%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to David Wells Jr. for 6 yds to the ORST 32Similar
Q3 9:55
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+25
99.6%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to David Wells Jr. for 25 yds to the TTU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-2
99.6%
Anthony Hankerson run for a loss of 2 yards to the TTU 45Similar
Q3 8:34
2ND & 12
OPP 45
+10
99.6%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Bryce Caufield for 10 yds to the TTU 35Similar
Q3 8:07
3RD & 2
OPP 35
+2
99.6%
Anthony Hankerson run for 2 yds to the TTU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+22
99.7%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Taz Reddicks for 22 yds to the TTU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
99.7%
Maalik Murphy pass intercepted Brice Pollock return for no gain to the TTU 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 18FG
14 plays · 94 yds · 5:25100% → 100%
Q3 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+5
99.7%
Cameron Dickey run for 5 yds to the TTU 8Similar
Q3 6:15
2ND & 5
OWN 8
+1
99.7%
Cameron Dickey run for 1 yd to the TTU 9Similar
Q3 5:37
3RD & 4
OWN 9
+21
99.7%
Behren Morton pass complete to Reggie Virgil for 21 yds to the TTU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
99.7%
Behren Morton pass incomplete to Coy EakinSimilar
Q3 4:58
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+34
99.7%
Behren Morton pass complete to Coy Eakin for 34 yds to the ORST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:32
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+12
99.8%
Behren Morton pass complete to Coy Eakin for 12 yds to the ORST 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
99.8%
Behren Morton run for 6 yds to the ORST 18Similar
Q3 3:21
2ND & 4
OPP 18
+8
99.8%
Oregon State Penalty, Defensive Holding (8 Yards) to the ORST 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
99.8%
Will Hammond run for 5 yds to the ORST 3Similar
Q3 2:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
99.8%
Cameron Dickey run for a loss of 1 yard to the ORST 4Similar
Q3 2:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
99.8%
PENALTY TTU False Start (Jados,Will) 5 yards from OSU04 to OSU09. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
99.8%
Behren Morton pass complete to J'Koby Williams for 6 yds to the ORST 3Similar
Q3 1:07
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
99.8%
Upton Bellenfant 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:090% → 0%
Q3 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Maalik Murphy pass incomplete to Bryce CaufieldSimilar
Q3 0:57
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
Anthony Hankerson run for 2 yds to the ORST 27Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-3
99.9%
Maalik Murphy sacked by Cole Wisniewski for a loss of 3 yards to the ORST 24Similar
Q4 14:54
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
99.9%
AJ Winsor punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TTU 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 20TD
9 plays · 55 yds · 4:03100% → 100%
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+10
99.8%
J'Koby Williams run for 10 yds to the ORST 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:16
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
99.8%
J'Koby Williams run for 9 yds to the ORST 36Similar
Q4 13:52
2ND & 1
OPP 36
+6
99.9%
J'Koby Williams run for 6 yds to the ORST 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
99.9%
Cameron Dickey run for no gain to the ORST 30Similar
Q4 12:45
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+7
99.9%
Cameron Dickey run for 7 yds to the ORST 23Similar
Q4 12:16
3RD & 3
OPP 23
+5
99.9%
Cameron Dickey run for 5 yds to the ORST 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
99.9%
Will Hammond pass complete to T.J. West for 4 yds to the ORST 14Similar
Q4 11:11
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+10
99.9%
Cameron Dickey run for 10 yds to the ORST 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.9%
Cameron Dickey run for 4 yds for a TD (Ian Hershey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:110% → 0%
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
99.9%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Trent Walker for 12 yds to the ORST 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
99.9%
Maalik Murphy pass incomplete to Trent WalkerSimilar
Q4 9:48
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+6
99.9%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Bryce Caufield for 6 yds to the ORST 43Similar
Q4 9:26
3RD & 4
OWN 43
0
99.9%
Maalik Murphy pass incomplete to Trent WalkerSimilar
Q4 9:19
4TH & 4
OWN 43
0
99.9%
AJ Winsor punt for 57 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:54100% → 100%
Q4 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
99.9%
Will Hammond pass complete to Tristian Gentry for 3 yds to the TTU 17Similar
Q4 8:35
2ND & 13
OWN 17
-2
99.9%
Will Hammond run for a loss of 2 yards to the TTU 15Similar
Q4 8:15
3RD & 15
OWN 15
0
99.9%
Will Hammond pass incomplete to Jason LlewellynSimilar
Q4 8:08
4TH & 15
OWN 15
0
99.9%
Jack Burgess punt for 57 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ORST 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 23TD
5 plays · 72 yds · 2:430% → 0%
Q4 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+56
99.9%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to David Wells Jr. for 56 yds to the TTU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
99.9%
Gabarri Johnson run for 2 yds to the TTU 14Similar
Q4 6:23
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+7
99.9%
Kourdey Glass run for 7 yds to the TTU 7Similar
Q4 5:37
3RD & 1
OPP 7
+1
99.9%
Maalik Murphy run for 1 yd to the TTU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.9%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Bryce Caufield for 6 yds for a TD (Caleb Ojeda KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 24INT
6 plays · -7 yds · 1:41100% → 100%
Q4 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
Adam Hill run for 2 yds to the TTU 27Similar
Q4 4:16
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+1
99.9%
Will Hammond pass complete to Adam Hill for 1 yd to the TTU 28Similar
Q4 3:38
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-10
99.9%
(03:44) No Huddle-Shotgun Hammond,Will rush right for 6 yards gain to the TTU34, out of bounds at TTU34 PENALTY TTU Holding (Sill,Daniel) 10 yards from TTU28 to TTU18. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:16
3RD & 17
OWN 18
-25
100.0%
Will Hammond pass intercepted Harlem Howard return for 25 yds to the TTU 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 25TD
7 plays · 40 yds · 2:580% → 0%
Q4 2:58
1ST & 15
OPP 40
+6
99.9%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Bryce Caufield for 6 yds to the TTU 34Similar
Q4 2:54
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+5
99.9%
PENALTY TTU Offside (Williams,Keyshawn) 5 yards from TTU34 to TTU29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:42
2ND & 4
OPP 29
+5
99.9%
(02:41) Shotgun Johnson,Gabarri pass incomplete short right to Hatcher Jr.,Cornell thrown to TTU35 PENALTY TTU Offside (Williams,Keyshawn) 5 yards from TTU29 to TTU24, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:53
4TH & 12
OPP 26
+26
99.9%
Karson Boschma 26 Yd pass from Maalik Murphy (Caleb Ojeda Kick)Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
99.9%
Gabarri Johnson pass incomplete to Cornell Hatcher Jr.Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 24
0
99.9%
Gabarri Johnson pass incomplete to Eddie FreauffSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 24
+2
100.0%
Gabarri Johnson pass complete to Eddie Freauff for 2 yds to the TTU 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 26END OF GAME
4 plays · 12 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+14
100.0%
Will Hammond run for 14 yds to the TTU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-1
100.0%
(00:00) Kneel down by Texas Tech at TTU33 for loss of 1 yard.Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OWN 33
-1
99.9%
(00:00) Kneel down by Texas Tech at TTU32 for loss of 1 yard.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 6:27
Behren Morton pass complete to Caleb Douglas for 61 yds for a TD (Upton Bellenfant KICK)
+0.9
TD · Q2 10:01
J'Koby Williams 30 Yd pass from Behren Morton (Stone Harrington Kick)
+0.3
TD · Q2 6:35
J'Koby Williams 3 Yd Run (Upton Bellenfant Kick)
-0.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com