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IU

Indiana 56 at Purdue 3

PUR
2025 · Week 14 · Nov 28, 2025 · Ross-Ade Stadium
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Win probability · PUR
modelPUR aheadIU aheadconfidence bandkey playPUR scoreIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 4:23 · (04:34) #44 M.McCarthy punt 52 yards to the PUR27
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+59.5+29.80−29.8−59.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 155Pregame prior−5.6Home team on offense−57.2Score differential−36.3Garbage-time factor−16.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−7.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−9.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:03: (08:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 K.Black rush middle for 1 yard gain to the PUR00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:03 #15 N.Radicic kick attempt good (H: #44 M.McCarthy, LS: #47 M.Langston) — IU win probability +0.4 pts (now 95%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q1 0:46: (00:48) #35 S.Porath field goal attempt from 22 yards GOOD (H: #38 J.McCallister, LS: #46 L.Raab), clock 00:46 — PUR win probability +1.0 pts (now 8%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  3. TD · Q2 10:29: (10:33) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza rush left for 7 yards gain to the PUR00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:29, 1ST DOWN #15 N.Radicic kick attempt good (H: #44 M.McCarthy, LS: #47 M.Langston) — IU win probability +2.2 pts (now 93%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 3:40: (03:43) Shotgun #8 K.Black rush middle for 16 yards gain to the PUR00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:40, 1ST DOWN #15 N.Radicic kick attempt good (H: #44 M.McCarthy, LS: #47 M.Langston) — IU win probability +4.2 pts (now 96%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 1:33: (01:44) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush middle for 82 yards gain to the PUR00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:33, 1ST DOWN #15 N.Radicic kick attempt good (H: #44 M.McCarthy, LS: #47 M.Langston) — IU win probability +2.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PUR made the numbers' call on 8 of 11IU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 13:14IU 4th & 10 at PUR 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.7%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:50PUR 4th & 17 at PUR 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.1%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:31PUR 4th & 10 at PUR 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.3%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:28IU 4th & 7 at IU 33, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.3%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.4%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:46PUR 4th & 2 at IU 5, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 8.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.3%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.0%−0.3
    92% to make
    Punt
    6.6%−1.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:57PUR 4th & 13 at PUR 35, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.8%−0.4
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:47IU 4th & 8 at IU 39, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.5%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:25PUR 4th & 15 at PUR 10, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.0%−0.6
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:51PUR 4th & 8 at IU 49, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.2%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 0:46PUR 4th & 10 at PUR 40, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  11. Q4 11:35PUR 4th & 13 at IU 46, down 46
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:54PUR 4th & 16 at PUR 39, down 53
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 4:23IU 4th & 3 at IU 21, up 53
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−<0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:07PUR 4th & 3 at IU 45, down 53
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    25% to make
    Punt
    0.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:01PUR 4th & 3 at IU 34, down 53
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 8:03IU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:29IU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:40IU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:33IU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:37IU Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 4:02IU Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:46IU Touchdown, up 45 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PURDrive 1INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:254% → 4%
Q1 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
4.1%
(14:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short left to #13 E.Horton caught at PUR23, for 0 yards to the PUR27 (#22 J.Sharpe)Similar
Q1 14:12
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
4.2%
(14:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass intercepted by #1 A.Ferrell at PUR47, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:5196% → 96%
Q1 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
4.2%
(14:11) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush middle for 0 yards to the PUR47 (#10 A.Sanford)Similar
Q1 13:30
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
4.3%
(13:33) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass incomplete short left to #13 E.Sarratt thrown to PUR35 broken up by #0 T.GrimesSimilar
Q1 13:25
3RD & 10
OPP 47
0
4.4%
(13:29) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass incomplete short right to #80 C.Becker thrown to PUR28 broken up by #4 H.HinesSimilar
Q1 13:14
4TH & 10
OPP 47
0
4.4%
(13:23) #44 M.McCarthy punt 43 yards to the PUR04Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 3:155% → 5%
Q1 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+5
4.5%
(13:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 A.Harris rush right for 5 yards gain to the PUR09 (#21 R.Hardy; #12 D.Boykin)Similar
Q1 12:27
2ND & 5
OWN 9
-3
4.6%
(12:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 A.Harris rush left for 3 yards loss to the PUR06 (#8 S.Daley)Similar
Q1 11:37
3RD & 8
OWN 6
+18
4.8%
(11:50) Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short right to #2 M.Jackson III caught at PUR24, for 18 yards to the PUR24, out of bounds at PUR24, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-9
5.0%
(11:15) Shotgun #13 E.Horton rush left for 9 yards loss to the PUR15 (#8 S.Daley)Similar
Q1 10:30
2ND & 19
OWN 15
0
5.2%
(10:33) Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass incomplete deep right to #13 E.Horton thrown to PUR35Similar
Q1 10:22
3RD & 19
OWN 15
+2
5.2%
(10:29) Shotgun #24 M.Thomas rush right for 2 yards gain to the PUR17 (#12 D.Boykin)Similar
Q1 9:50
4TH & 17
OWN 17
0
5.3%
(09:54) #38 J.McCallister punt 23 yards to the PUR40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 4TD
5 plays · 40 yds · 1:4095% → 95%
Q1 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
5.3%
(09:49) Shotgun #8 K.Black rush middle for 5 yards gain to the PUR35 (#91 C.Nunnally)Similar
Q1 9:06
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+18
5.4%
(09:16) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short left to #13 E.Sarratt caught at PUR17, for 18 yards to the PUR17 (#15 V.Cobb), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:39
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+6
5.5%
(08:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short left to #13 E.Sarratt caught at PUR11, for 6 yards to the PUR11 QB hurried by #16 M.Powell, out of bounds at PUR11Similar
Q1 8:19
2ND & 4
OPP 11
+10
5.6%
(08:28) Shotgun #8 K.Black rush middle for 10 yards gain to the PUR01 (#21 T.Ra-El; #4 H.Hines), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
5.2%
(08:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 K.Black rush middle for 1 yard gain to the PUR00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:03 #15 N.Radicic kick attempt good (H: #44 M.McCarthy, LS: #47 M.Langston)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:185% → 5%
Q1 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
5.4%
(07:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass incomplete short middle to #2 M.Jackson III thrown to PUR31Similar
Q1 7:45
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
5.4%
(07:48) Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass incomplete short middle to #12 C.Smith thrown to PUR45Similar
Q1 7:41
3RD & 10
OWN 27
0
5.4%
(07:44) Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass incomplete short right to #24 M.Thomas thrown to PUR24Similar
Q1 7:31
4TH & 10
OWN 27
0
5.4%
(07:37) #38 J.McCallister punt 43 yards to the IND30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:5895% → 94%
Q1 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
5.4%
(07:30) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass incomplete deep right to #3 O.Cooper Jr. thrown to PUR50Similar
Q1 7:19
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+3
5.4%
(07:25) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush middle for 3 yards gain to the IND33 (#5 C.Correa)Similar
Q1 6:39
3RD & 7
OWN 33
0
5.6%
(06:44) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass incomplete deep middle to #80 C.Becker thrown to PUR42 QB hurried by #16 M.Powell and #8 C.MaddenSimilar
Q1 6:28
4TH & 7
OWN 33
+9
5.7%
(06:36) #44 M.McCarthy punt 48 yards to the PUR19 #2 M.Jackson III return 9 yards to the PUR28 (#21 R.Hardy; #46 I.Jones)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 7FG
12 plays · 67 yds · 5:336% → 8%
Q1 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
5.8%
(06:27) Shotgun #22 A.Harris rush left for 7 yards gain to the PUR35 (#1 A.Ferrell)Similar
Q1 5:34
2ND & 3
OWN 35
-5
6.1%
(05:44) Shotgun #22 A.Harris rush middle for 5 yards loss to the PUR30 (#6 M.Kamara)Similar
Q1 4:56
3RD & 8
OWN 30
+28
6.0%
(05:09) Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete deep middle to #13 E.Horton caught at IND45, for 28 yards to the IND42 (#5 D.Ponds; #46 I.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:32
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+18
6.5%
(04:36) Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short left to #2 M.Jackson III caught at IND45, for 18 yards to the IND24 (#4 A.Fisher), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:16
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
6.8%
(04:22) Shotgun #22 A.Harris rush middle for 6 yards gain to the IND18 (#4 A.Fisher)Similar
Q1 3:41
2ND & 4
OPP 18
0
7.0%
(03:43) Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass incomplete short left to #2 M.Jackson III thrown to IND12 broken up by #21 R.HardySimilar
Q1 3:33
3RD & 4
OPP 18
+5
6.9%
(03:40) Shotgun #22 A.Harris rush middle for 5 yards gain to the IND13 (#5 D.Ponds; #6 M.Kamara), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:52
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
7.3%
(03:01) Shotgun #22 A.Harris rush middle for 2 yards gain to the IND11 (#97 M.Landino)Similar
Q1 2:14
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+6
7.4%
(02:20) Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short right to #0 N.Tuggle caught at IND05, for 6 yards to the IND05 (#6 M.Kamara), out of bounds. The previous play is under automatic review - "Pass completion". CALL UPHELDSimilar
Q1 1:23
3RD & 2
OPP 5
0
7.5%
(01:29) Shotgun #22 A.Harris rush middle for 0 yards to the IND05 (#1 A.Ferrell)Similar
Q1 0:46
4TH & 2
OPP 5
+22
8.4%
(00:48) #35 S.Porath field goal attempt from 22 yards GOOD (H: #38 J.McCallister, LS: #46 L.Raab), clock 00:46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 8TD
14 plays · 65 yds · 5:0892% → 93%
Q1 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
8.1%
(00:45) Shotgun #8 K.Black rush right for 5 yards gain to the IND40 (#5 C.Correa; #16 M.Powell)Similar
Q1 0:03
2ND & 5
OWN 40
0
8.1%
(00:07) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass incomplete short right to #3 O.Cooper Jr. thrown to IND47 broken up by #1 S.BradfordSimilar
Q1 0:02
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+6
8.1%
(00:02) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short left to #3 O.Cooper Jr. caught at IND46, for 6 yards to the IND46, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
8.1%
(14:59) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush left for 5 yards gain to the PUR49 (#0 T.Grimes; #21 T.Ra-El)Similar
Q2 14:19
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+4
8.2%
(14:26) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush middle for 4 yards gain to the PUR45 (#18 D.Kennedy)Similar
Q2 13:44
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+7
8.5%
(13:51) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush left for 7 yards gain to the PUR38 (#21 T.Ra-El), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
8.6%
PENALTY IND False Start (#78 P.Coogan) 5 yards from PUR38 to PUR43. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 12:49
1ST & 15
OPP 43
+15
8.7%
(12:54) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush right for 15 yards gain to the PUR28 (#21 T.Ra-El), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:02
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
8.9%
(12:23) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short right to #80 C.Becker caught at PUR22, for 6 yards to the PUR22 (#21 T.Ra-El), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 11:45
2ND & 4
OPP 22
+10
9.0%
(11:54) Shotgun #8 K.Black rush left for 10 yards gain to the PUR12 (#58 B.Ishmail), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
9.2%
(11:13) Shotgun #8 K.Black rush middle for 5 yards gain to the PUR07 (#21 T.Ra-El)Similar
Q2 10:29
2ND & 5
OPP 7
+7
7.1%
(10:33) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza rush left for 7 yards gain to the PUR00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:29, 1ST DOWN #15 N.Radicic kick attempt good (H: #44 M.McCarthy, LS: #47 M.Langston)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 2:118% → 7%
Q2 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+11
7.8%
(10:22) Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short middle to #24 M.Thomas caught at PUR32, for 11 yards to the PUR38 (#46 I.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
8.0%
(09:38) Shotgun #24 M.Thomas rush right for 2 yards gain to the PUR40 (#7 L.Moore)Similar
Q2 8:46
2ND & 8
OWN 40
-5
8.3%
(08:58) Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short left to #24 M.Thomas caught at PUR35, for 5 yards loss to the PUR35 (#1 A.Ferrell)Similar
Q2 8:04
3RD & 13
OWN 35
0
7.5%
(08:15) Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass incomplete deep left to #6 A.Branch thrown to IND36Similar
Q2 7:57
4TH & 13
OWN 35
0
7.4%
(08:01) #38 J.McCallister punt 46 yards to the IND19 fair catch by #0 J.Brady at IND19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 20 yds · 1:5992% → 92%
Q2 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+18
8.0%
(07:56) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush left for 18 yards gain to the IND37 (#15 V.Cobb), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-4
7.9%
(07:16) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush right for 4 yards loss to the IND33 (#16 M.Powell)Similar
Q2 6:33
2ND & 14
OWN 33
0
8.3%
(06:37) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass incomplete deep right to #80 C.Becker thrown to PUR40Similar
Q2 6:15
3RD & 14
OWN 33
+6
8.5%
(06:32) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short left to #8 K.Black caught at IND36, for 6 yards to the IND39 (#16 M.Powell; #0 T.Grimes)Similar
Q2 5:47
4TH & 8
OWN 39
0
8.5%
(05:53) #44 M.McCarthy punt 46 yards to the PUR15 fair catch by #2 M.Jackson III at PUR15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:128% → 8%
Q2 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-2
8.2%
(05:46) Shotgun #22 A.Harris rush middle for 2 yards loss to the PUR13 (#8 S.Daley)Similar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 12
OWN 13
0
8.4%
(05:05) Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass incomplete short left to #0 N.Tuggle thrown to PUR30 broken up by #5 D.PondsSimilar
Q2 4:48
3RD & 12
OWN 13
-3
8.0%
(04:59) Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short right to #2 M.Jackson III caught at PUR10, for 3 yards loss to the PUR10 (#22 J.Sharpe)Similar
Q2 4:25
4TH & 15
OWN 10
0
8.0%
(04:31) #38 J.McCallister punt 26 yards to the PUR36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 12TD
2 plays · 36 yds · 0:3292% → 96%
Q2 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+20
8.3%
(04:24) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza rush middle for 20 yards gain to the PUR16 (#15 V.Cobb), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
4.1%
(03:43) Shotgun #8 K.Black rush middle for 16 yards gain to the PUR00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:40, 1ST DOWN #15 N.Radicic kick attempt good (H: #44 M.McCarthy, LS: #47 M.Langston)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 13PUNT
9 plays · 25 yds · 1:356% → 6%
Q2 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
5.7%
(03:33) Shotgun #24 M.Thomas rush middle for 0 yards to the PUR26 (#21 R.Hardy; #6 M.Kamara)Similar
Q2 2:49
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
5.5%
(02:55) Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass incomplete short middle to #0 N.Tuggle thrown to PUR37Similar
Q2 2:34
3RD & 10
OWN 26
+23
5.5%
(02:48) Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short middle to #0 N.Tuggle caught at PUR45, for 23 yards to the PUR49 (#22 J.Sharpe), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
6.0%
(02:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass incomplete short right to #13 E.Horton thrown to IND32Similar
Q2 2:14
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
5.9%
(02:18) Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass incomplete short left to #0 N.Tuggle thrown to IND32Similar
Q2 2:02
3RD & 10
OWN 49
+2
5.7%
(02:13) Shotgun #24 M.Thomas rush middle for 2 yards gain to the IND49 (#4 A.Fisher)Similar
Q2 1:51
4TH & 8
OPP 49
0
5.5%
(01:57) #38 J.McCallister punt 31 yards to the IND18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 14TD
2 plays · 82 yds · 0:1296% → 98%
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
4.3%
(01:50) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass incomplete short right to #80 C.Becker thrown to IND32Similar
Q2 1:33
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+82
1.6%
(01:44) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush middle for 82 yards gain to the PUR00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:33, 1ST DOWN #15 N.Radicic kick attempt good (H: #44 M.McCarthy, LS: #47 M.Langston)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 15MISSED FG
15 plays · 39 yds · 1:141% → 1%
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
1.1%
(01:24) Shotgun #22 A.Harris rush left for 1 yard loss to the PUR24 (#0 H.Wheeler)Similar
Q2 1:08
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+6
1.2%
(01:16) Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short left to #22 A.Harris caught at PUR20, for 6 yards to the PUR30 (#4 A.Fisher)Similar
Q2 1:02
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+9
1.2%
(01:06) Shotgun #22 A.Harris rush middle for 9 yards gain to the PUR39 (#21 R.Hardy), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
1.2%
(00:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short middle to #22 A.Harris caught at PUR45, for 8 yards to the PUR47 (#21 R.Hardy; #4 A.Fisher)Similar
Q2 0:41
2ND & 2
OWN 47
0
1.1%
(00:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass incomplete deep left to #10 J.Watson thrown to IND30 broken up by #21 R.HardySimilar
Q2 0:39
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+2
1.0%
(00:39) Shotgun #22 A.Harris rush middle for 2 yards gain to the PUR49 (#4 A.Fisher; #1 A.Ferrell), 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "First down". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (00:39) Shotgun #22 A.Harris rush right for 1 yard gain to the PUR48 (#4 A.Fisher; #1 A.Ferrell))Similar
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
1.1%
(00:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short left to #13 E.Horton caught at IND45, for 9 yards to the IND42 (#12 D.Boykin)Similar
Q2 0:10
2ND & 1
OPP 42
+6
1.0%
(00:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short left to #10 J.Watson caught at IND36, for 6 yards to the IND36 (#21 R.Hardy), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
1.2%
(00:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass incomplete short left thrown to IND32Similar
Q2 0:03
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+54
1.2%
(00:03) #35 S.Porath field goal attempt from 54 yards NO GOOD (H: #38 J.McCallister, LS: #46 L.Raab), clock 00:00, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 16TD
13 plays · 89 yds · 7:1098% → 99%
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
1.6%
(14:53) Shotgun #8 K.Black rush left for 0 yards to the IND11 (#97 J.Harkless; #8 C.Madden)Similar
Q3 14:10
2ND & 10
OWN 11
0
1.5%
(14:16) Shotgun #8 K.Black rush left for 0 yards to the IND11 (#21 T.Ra-El; #0 T.Grimes)Similar
Q3 13:21
3RD & 10
OWN 11
+15
1.5%
(13:34) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short right to #3 O.Cooper Jr. caught at IND08, for 15 yards to the IND26 (#16 M.Powell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
1.4%
(12:51) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush middle for 7 yards gain to the IND33 (#16 M.Powell)Similar
Q3 12:09
2ND & 3
OWN 33
+15
1.3%
(12:09) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza sacked for loss of 8 yards to the IND25 (#10 A.Sanford, #58 B.Ishmail) PENALTY PUR Horse Collar Tackle (#58 B.Ishmail) 15 yards from IND33 to IND48, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
1.2%
(11:41) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush middle for 9 yards gain to the PUR43 (#5 C.Correa)Similar
Q3 10:58
2ND & 1
OPP 43
+6
1.0%
(11:05) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush middle for 6 yards gain to the PUR37 (#15 V.Cobb; #16 M.Powell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:16
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
1.0%
(10:24) Shotgun #8 K.Black rush right for 5 yards gain to the PUR32 (#21 T.Ra-El)Similar
Q3 9:35
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+6
1.0%
(09:42) Shotgun #8 K.Black rush left for 6 yards gain to the PUR26 (#5 C.Correa), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
0.9%
(09:04) Shotgun #8 K.Black rush middle for 4 yards gain to the PUR22 (#21 T.Ra-El; #15 V.Cobb)Similar
Q3 8:15
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+5
0.9%
(08:22) Shotgun #28 K.Martin rush middle for 5 yards gain to the PUR17 (#21 T.Ra-El; #5 C.Correa)Similar
Q3 7:37
3RD & 1
OPP 17
+17
0.7%
(07:42) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short right to #13 E.Sarratt caught at PUR19, for 17 yards to the PUR00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:37, 1ST DOWN #15 N.Radicic kick attempt good (H: #44 M.McCarthy, LS: #47 M.Langston)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 17FUMBLE
8 plays · 15 yds · 2:351% → 0%
Q3 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
0.7%
(07:29) Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short middle to #22 A.Harris caught at PUR30, for 4 yards to the PUR31 (#12 D.Boykin)Similar
Q3 6:32
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+12
0.7%
(06:49) Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short left to #0 N.Tuggle caught at PUR43, for 12 yards to the PUR43, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
0.7%
(06:08) Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass incomplete short middle to #0 N.Tuggle thrown to IND40Similar
Q3 5:56
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+1
0.7%
(06:02) Shotgun #22 A.Harris rush middle for 1 yard gain to the PUR44 (#12 D.Boykin)Similar
Q3 5:15
3RD & 9
OWN 44
+10
0.5%
(05:15) Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete deep right to #10 J.Watson caught at IND17, for 39 yards to the IND17, out of bounds at IND17 PENALTY PUR Holding (#78 B.Coly) 10 yards from PUR44 to PUR34. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 4:39
3RD & 19
OWN 34
+8
0.4%
(04:46) Shotgun #15 R.Browne rush middle for 8 yards gain to the PUR42 fumbled by #15 R.Browne at PUR36 forced by #8 S.Daley recovered by IND #12 D.Boykin at PUR42, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 18TD
2 plays · 42 yds · 0:28100% → 100%
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-1
0.5%
(04:38) Shotgun #8 K.Black rush right for 1 yard loss to the PUR43 (#91 C.Nunnally)Similar
Q3 4:02
2ND & 11
OPP 43
+43
0.4%
(04:02) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete deep left to #3 O.Cooper Jr. caught at PUR15, for 43 yards to the PUR00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:52, 1ST DOWN #15 N.Radicic kick attempt good (H: #44 M.McCarthy, LS: #47 M.Langston)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 2:510% → 0%
Q3 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
0.2%
(03:45) Shotgun #22 A.Harris rush left for 3 yards gain to the PUR23 (#4 A.Fisher)Similar
Q3 2:48
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+17
0.2%
(03:05) #15 R.Browne pass complete short left to #85 L.Puccinelli caught at PUR40, for 17 yards to the PUR40, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
0.2%
(02:26) Shotgun #22 A.Harris rush left for 2 yards gain to the PUR42 (#21 R.Hardy; #0 H.Wheeler)Similar
Q3 1:36
2ND & 8
OWN 42
-2
0.2%
(01:46) Shotgun #3 M.Singleton rush middle for 2 yards loss to the PUR40 (#0 H.Wheeler; #8 S.Daley)Similar
Q3 0:56
3RD & 10
OWN 40
0
0.2%
(01:02) Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass incomplete short right to #13 E.Horton thrown to IND41Similar
Q3 0:46
4TH & 10
OWN 40
0
0.2%
(00:54) #38 J.McCallister punt 39 yards to the IND21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 20TD
2 plays · 79 yds · 0:12100% → 100%
Q3 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
0.4%
(00:00) Shotgun #28 K.Martin rush left for 21 yards gain to the PUR00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:00, 1ST DOWN #15 N.Radicic kick attempt good (H: #44 M.McCarthy, LS: #47 M.Langston)Similar
Q3 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+58
0.4%
(00:45) Shotgun #16 A.Mendoza rush left for 58 yards gain to the PUR21 (#4 H.Hines), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 21PUNT
10 plays · 27 yds · 3:060% → 0%
Q4 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
0.2%
(14:54) Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short right to #2 M.Jackson III caught at PUR30, for 6 yards to the PUR33 (#12 D.Boykin; #22 J.Sharpe)Similar
Q4 14:06
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+8
0.1%
(14:19) Shotgun #20 J.Thomas rush left for 8 yards gain to the PUR41 (#21 R.Hardy), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
0.1%
(13:42) Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass incomplete short right thrown to IND40 QB hurried by #12 D.BoykinSimilar
Q4 13:25
2ND & 10
OWN 41
-3
0.1%
(13:27) Shotgun #15 R.Browne sacked for loss of 3 yards to the PUR38 (#8 S.Daley)Similar
Q4 12:50
3RD & 13
OWN 38
+19
0.1%
(13:01) Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short middle to #0 N.Tuggle caught at IND47, for 19 yards to the IND43 (#21 R.Hardy), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
0.1%
(12:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass incomplete short left to #85 L.Puccinelli thrown to IND35Similar
Q4 12:17
2ND & 10
OPP 43
-3
0.1%
(12:32) Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short left to #20 J.Thomas caught at IND46, for 3 yards loss to the IND46 (#21 R.Hardy)Similar
Q4 11:43
3RD & 13
OPP 46
0
0.1%
(11:44) Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass incomplete short middle to #10 J.Watson thrown to IND37Similar
Q4 11:35
4TH & 13
OPP 46
0
0.1%
(11:41) #38 J.McCallister punt 31 yards to the IND15 fair catch by #0 J.Brady at IND15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 22TD
4 plays · 85 yds · 1:59100% → 100%
Q4 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
0.3%
(11:34) Shotgun #28 K.Martin rush middle for 3 yards gain to the IND18 (#8 C.Madden)Similar
Q4 10:48
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+11
0.3%
(10:55) Shotgun #16 A.Mendoza pass complete short left to #0 J.Brady caught at IND15, for 11 yards to the IND29 (#24 A.Coffey), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
0.2%
(10:19) Shotgun #28 K.Martin rush left for 6 yards gain to the IND35 (#24 A.Coffey)Similar
Q4 9:29
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+65
0.2%
(09:38) Shotgun #16 A.Mendoza pass complete short right to #4 D.Chandler caught at IND39, for 65 yards to the PUR00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:29, 1ST DOWN #15 N.Radicic kick attempt good (H: #44 M.McCarthy, LS: #47 M.Langston)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:160% → 0%
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
0.1%
(09:28) Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short middle to #0 N.Tuggle caught at PUR40, for 20 yards to the PUR45 (#3 J.Bell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+10
0.1%
(08:52) Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short right to #2 M.Jackson III caught at PUR42, for 18 yards to the IND37 (#7 L.Moore; #1 A.Ferrell) PENALTY PUR Illegal Block in Back (#71 M.Easley) 10 yards from PUR45 to PUR35. NO PLAY. The previous play is under automatic review - "Targeting". CALL UPHELDSimilar
Q4 8:23
1ST & 20
OWN 35
-3
0.1%
(08:29) Shotgun #15 R.Browne rush left for 3 yards loss to the PUR32, out of bounds at PUR32Similar
Q4 7:46
2ND & 23
OWN 32
+7
0.1%
(07:54) Shotgun #20 J.Thomas rush left for 7 yards gain to the PUR39 (#31 A.Chung)Similar
Q4 7:05
3RD & 16
OWN 39
0
0.1%
(07:10) Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass incomplete deep middle to #10 J.Watson thrown to IND35 broken up by #31 A.ChungSimilar
Q4 6:54
4TH & 16
OWN 39
0
0.1%
(07:02) #38 J.McCallister punt 47 yards to the IND14 PENALTY IND Illegal Substitution declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 2:22100% → 100%
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+6
0.2%
(06:53) Shotgun #28 K.Martin rush middle for 6 yards gain to the IND20 (#91 C.Nunnally)Similar
Q4 5:58
2ND & 4
OWN 20
0
0.2%
(06:05) Shotgun #28 K.Martin rush middle for 0 yards to the IND20 (#16 M.Powell)Similar
Q4 5:10
3RD & 4
OWN 20
+1
0.2%
(05:19) Shotgun #16 A.Mendoza rush left for 1 yard gain to the IND21 (#21 T.Ra-El), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 4:23
4TH & 3
OWN 21
0
0.2%
(04:34) #44 M.McCarthy punt 52 yards to the PUR27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 25DOWNS
10 plays · 39 yds · 3:100% → 0%
Q4 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+21
0.1%
(04:22) Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short middle to #2 M.Jackson III caught at PUR42, for 21 yards to the PUR48 (#16 J.Boyd), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
0.1%
(03:42) Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short right to #2 M.Jackson III caught at IND46, for 6 yards to the IND46, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 2:54
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+1
0.1%
(03:10) #15 R.Browne pass complete short right to #85 L.Puccinelli caught at IND50, for 1 yard to the IND45 (#99 T.Burrus Jr.; #31 A.Chung)Similar
Q4 2:21
3RD & 3
OPP 45
0
0.1%
(02:24) Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass incomplete short left to #0 N.Tuggle thrown to IND40Similar
Q4 2:07
4TH & 3
OPP 45
+4
0.1%
(02:20) Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short right to #13 E.Horton caught at IND41, for 4 yards to the IND41 (#34 J.Utzinger), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
0.1%
(01:59) Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short right to #85 L.Puccinelli caught at IND35, for 6 yards to the IND35 (#31 A.Chung), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 1:37
2ND & 4
OPP 35
+1
0.1%
(01:52) Shotgun #15 R.Browne rush right for 1 yard gain to the IND34, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 1:07
3RD & 3
OPP 34
0
0.0%
(01:10) Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass incomplete short right to #85 L.Puccinelli thrown to IND15 broken up by #31 A.ChungSimilar
Q4 1:01
4TH & 3
OPP 34
0
0.0%
(01:05) Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass incomplete short middle to #0 N.Tuggle thrown to IND19 broken up by #31 A.Chung, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 26END OF GAME
3 plays · 10 yds · 0:36100% → 100%
Q4 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
0.1%
(00:59) Shotgun #28 K.Martin rush left for 1 yard gain to the IND35 (#21 T.Ra-El)Similar
Q4 0:17
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+9
0.1%
(00:17) Shotgun #28 K.Martin rush middle for 9 yards gain to the IND44 (#12 R.Turner; #24 A.Coffey), 1ST DOWNSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:40
(03:43) Shotgun #8 K.Black rush middle for 16 yards gain to the PUR00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:40, 1ST DOWN #15 N.Radicic kick attempt good (H: #44 M.McCarthy, LS: #47 M.Langston)
-4.2
TD · Q2 1:33
(01:44) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush middle for 82 yards gain to the PUR00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:33, 1ST DOWN #15 N.Radicic kick attempt good (H: #44 M.McCarthy, LS: #47 M.Langston)
-2.7
TD · Q2 10:29
(10:33) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza rush left for 7 yards gain to the PUR00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:29, 1ST DOWN #15 N.Radicic kick attempt good (H: #44 M.McCarthy, LS: #47 M.Langston)
-2.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com