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OSU

Ohio State 27 at Michigan 9

MICH
2025 · Week 14 · Nov 29, 2025 · Michigan Stadium
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Win probability · MICH
modelMICH aheadOSU aheadconfidence bandkey playMICH scoreOSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGTDFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 10:07 · (10:14) #42 J.McGuire punt 45 yards to the UOM00, Touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+52.0+26.00−26.0−52.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 89Home team on offense−11.7Pregame prior−10.3Score differential−4.4Garbage-time factor−3.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:44: (11:50) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete deep right to #4 J.Smith caught at UOM08, for 35 yards to the UOM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:44, 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner broke the plane". CALL UPHELD #38 J.Fielding kick attempt good (H: #42 J.McGuire, LS: #43 J.Ferlmann) — OSU win probability +3.8 pts (now 68%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 5:24: (05:22) #96 D.Zvada field goal attempt from 49 yards GOOD (H: #90 H.Hollenbeck, LS: #45 G.Tarr), clock 05:24 — MICH win probability +1.4 pts (now 36%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:16: (00:18) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short middle to #1 B.Inniss caught at UOM01, for 4 yards to the UOM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:16, 1ST DOWN #38 J.Fielding kick attempt good (H: #42 J.McGuire, LS: #43 J.Ferlmann) — OSU win probability +10.2 pts (now 78%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 7:35: (07:42) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete deep middle to #17 C.Tate caught at UOM06, for 50 yards to the UOM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:35, 1ST DOWN #38 J.Fielding kick attempt good (H: #42 J.McGuire, LS: #43 J.Ferlmann) — OSU win probability +10.2 pts (now 88%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 8:10: (08:13) #38 J.Fielding field goal attempt from 23 yards GOOD (H: #42 J.McGuire, LS: #43 J.Ferlmann), clock 08:10 — OSU win probability +1.8 pts (now 97%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MICH made the numbers' call on 7 of 7OSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 7
  1. Q1 12:37MICH 4th & 8 at OSU 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 29.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.0%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.1%
    62% to make
    Punt
    28.7%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:42MICH 4th & 6 at OSU 7, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 32.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.9%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.0%
    91% to make
    Punt
    31.0%−1.0
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:33OSU 4th & 6 at MICH 6, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 65.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.0%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.1%
    91% to make
    Punt
    63.1%−1.9
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:33MICH 4th & 5 at MICH 30, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.0%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:44OSU 4th & 5 at MICH 35, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 62.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.3%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    62.0%−0.4
    45% to make
    Punt
    61.6%−0.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:24MICH 4th & 14 at OSU 30, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 32.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.6%−1.1
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.8%
    56% to make
    Punt
    31.4%−1.3
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:07OSU 4th & 2 at MICH 45, up 8
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 75.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    73.5%−2.5
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    74.8%−1.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:20MICH 4th & 10 at MICH 46, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.9%−1.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:06MICH 4th & 12 at OSU 46, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.9%−1.0
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    14.6%−1.3
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    15.9%
    average punt
  10. Q4 8:10OSU 4th & 4 at MICH 5, up 15
    Close callKicked a field goal · 94.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.8%−0.4
    92% to make
    Punt
    89.9%−4.2
    average punt
  11. Q4 6:36MICH 4th & 16 at MICH 19, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.6%−0.5
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%
    average punt
  12. Q4 4:15OSU 4th & 1 at OSU 38, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    97.8%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:03OSU 4th & 5 at OSU 46, up 18
    Close callPunted · 98.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.4%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.3%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:29OSU 4th & 14 at MICH 41, up 18
    Close callWent for it · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.8%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    98.9%
    32% to make
    Punt
    98.8%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 11:44OSU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:16OSU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MICHDrive 1FG
8 plays · 48 yds · 2:1227% → 29%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+36
27.2%
(14:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 J.Marshall rush left for 36 yards gain to the OSU39 (#18 J.McClain), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 14:13
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+10
27.6%
(14:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #19 B.Underwood pass complete short middle to #23 J.Marshall caught at OSU36, for 10 yards to the OSU29 (#0 S.Styles), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:46
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
27.9%
(13:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 J.Marshall rush right for 2 yards gain to the OSU27 (#92 C.Curry; #0 S.Styles)Similar
Q1 13:02
2ND & 8
OPP 27
0
28.3%
(13:08) Shotgun #19 B.Underwood rush left for 0 yards to the OSU27 (#97 K.Jackson Jr.)Similar
Q1 12:42
3RD & 8
OPP 27
0
28.5%
(12:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #19 B.Underwood pass incomplete short right to #23 J.Marshall thrown to OSU30Similar
Q1 12:37
4TH & 8
OPP 27
+45
28.6%
(12:35) #96 D.Zvada field goal attempt from 45 yards GOOD (H: #90 H.Hollenbeck, LS: #45 G.Tarr), clock 12:37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 2INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:0971% → 71%
Q1 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
28.6%
(12:37) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass incomplete deep left to #17 C.Tate thrown to UOM33 broken up by #10 Z.BerrySimilar
Q1 12:22
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
28.7%
(12:31) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass intercepted by #20 J.Hill at OSU39 #20 J.Hill return 0 yards to the OSU39 (#4 J.Smith), out of boundsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 3FG
6 plays · 32 yds · 2:3829% → 32%
Q1 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
29.4%
(12:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #19 B.Underwood rush left for 7 yards gain to the OSU32 (#1 D.Igbinosun)Similar
Q1 11:30
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+21
30.2%
(11:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 J.Marshall rush left for 21 yards gain to the OSU11 (#18 J.McClain), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
30.8%
(10:58) Shotgun #19 B.Underwood rush left for 2 yards gain to the OSU09 (#18 J.McClain), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 10:22
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+2
31.3%
(10:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 J.Marshall rush middle for 2 yards gain to the OSU07 (#2 C.Downs; #95 T.Malone)Similar
Q1 9:45
3RD & 6
OPP 7
0
31.7%
(09:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #19 B.Underwood pass incomplete short left to #1 D.McCulley thrown to OSU00Similar
Q1 9:42
4TH & 6
OPP 7
+25
31.6%
(09:43) #96 D.Zvada field goal attempt from 25 yards GOOD (H: #90 H.Hollenbeck, LS: #45 G.Tarr), clock 09:42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 4FG
15 plays · 69 yds · 5:0269% → 67%
Q1 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
31.3%
(09:40) Shotgun #25 B.Jackson rush middle for 5 yards gain to the OSU30 (#6 B.Hillman)Similar
Q1 9:05
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
31.5%
(09:09) Shotgun #25 B.Jackson rush middle for 3 yards gain to the OSU33 (#8 D.Moore; #30 J.Rolder)Similar
Q1 8:14
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+5
32.2%
(08:24) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short right to #89 W.Kacmarek caught at OSU35, for 5 yards to the OSU38 (#10 Z.Berry), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+23
32.4%
(07:51) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short left to #25 B.Jackson caught at OSU39, for 23 yards to the UOM39 (#20 J.Hill), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:16
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+36
32.3%
(07:27) Shotgun #25 B.Jackson rush right for 36 yards gain to the UOM03 (#9 C.Brandt; #20 J.Hill), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
32.2%
(06:42) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass incomplete short left to #4 J.Smith thrown to UOM00Similar
Q1 6:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
32.3%
(06:38) #12 C.Donaldson Jr rush left for 2 yards loss to the UOM05 (#25 M.Curtis; #0 T.Williams)Similar
Q1 6:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
32.8%
PENALTY UOM UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (#1 J.Barham) 3 yards from UOM05 to UOM02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 6:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
32.6%
(06:09) #12 C.Donaldson Jr rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UOM01 (#26 R.Benny; #1 J.Barham)Similar
Q1 5:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
32.9%
(05:39) #12 C.Donaldson Jr rush middle for 0 yards to the UOM01 (#9 C.Brandt; #6 B.Hillman). The previous play is under automatic review - "Short of the goal line". CALL UPHELDSimilar
Q1 5:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
33.6%
(05:16) #10 J.Sayin rush middle for 0 yards to the UOM01 (#44 D.Payne). The previous play is under automatic review - "Short of the goal line". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (05:16) #10 J.Sayin rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UOM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:10)Similar
Q1 4:51
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+5
34.3%
(04:55) PENALTY OSU False Start (#85 B.Christian) 5 yards from UOM01 to UOM06. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 4:33
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
33.0%
(04:35) #38 J.Fielding field goal attempt from 24 yards GOOD (H: #42 J.McGuire, LS: #43 J.Ferlmann), clock 04:33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:5233% → 33%
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
33.1%
(04:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 B.Kuzdzal rush left for 5 yards gain to the UOM30 (#1 D.Igbinosun; #98 K.McDonald)Similar
Q1 3:50
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
33.6%
(04:08) Shotgun #19 B.Underwood rush middle for 0 yards to the UOM30 (#92 C.Curry) PENALTY UOM Holding declinedSimilar
Q1 3:16
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
33.5%
(03:29) Shotgun #19 B.Underwood rush left for 0 yards to the UOM30 (#1 D.Igbinosun; #96 E.Houston)Similar
Q1 2:33
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+15
33.2%
(02:42) #90 H.Hollenbeck punt 48 yards to the OSU22 #1 B.Inniss return 15 yards to the OSU37 (#29 C.Taylor)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 6TD
11 plays · 63 yds · 5:4266% → 68%
Q1 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
34.0%
(02:34) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short left to #4 J.Smith caught at OSU34, for 1 yard to the OSU38 (#23 C.Sullivan)Similar
Q1 1:48
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+2
34.3%
(01:52) Shotgun #25 B.Jackson rush middle for 2 yards gain to the OSU40 (#7 T.Metcalf)Similar
Q1 0:56
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+8
34.9%
(01:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short right to #17 C.Tate caught at OSU47, for 8 yards to the OSU48 (#3 J.Mangham; #23 C.Sullivan), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
34.3%
(00:30) Shotgun #25 B.Jackson rush left for 3 yards gain to the UOM49 (#30 J.Rolder)Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+1
34.5%
(14:58) Shotgun #25 B.Jackson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UOM48 (#30 J.Rolder)Similar
Q2 14:27
3RD & 6
OPP 48
+8
34.9%
(14:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short right to #17 C.Tate caught at UOM42, for 8 yards to the UOM40 (#10 Z.Berry), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:51
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
35.0%
(13:57) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short left to #86 M.Klare caught at UOM35, for 5 yards to the UOM35 (#10 Z.Berry), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 13:13
2ND & 5
OPP 35
0
34.5%
(13:17) Shotgun #25 B.Jackson rush middle for 0 yards to the UOM35 (#30 J.Rolder)Similar
Q2 12:28
3RD & 5
OPP 35
0
35.9%
(12:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 B.Jackson rush left for 0 yards to the UOM35 (#30 J.Rolder)Similar
Q2 11:44
4TH & 5
OPP 35
+35
32.1%
(11:50) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete deep right to #4 J.Smith caught at UOM08, for 35 yards to the UOM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:44, 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner broke the plane". CALL UPHELD #38 J.Fielding kick attempt good (H: #42 J.McGuire, LS: #43 J.Ferlmann)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 7FG
13 plays · 54 yds · 6:1033% → 36%
Q2 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
32.8%
(11:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 B.Kuzdzal rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UOM18 (#98 K.McDonald; #92 C.Curry)Similar
Q2 10:57
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+4
32.9%
(11:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 B.Kuzdzal rush right for 4 yards gain to the UOM22 (#26 P.Pierce)Similar
Q2 10:36
3RD & 4
OWN 22
+15
32.4%
(10:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #19 B.Underwood pass incomplete deep left to #4 A.Marsh thrown to UOM46 PENALTY OSU Pass Interference (#7 J.Mathews Jr.) 15 yards from UOM22 to UOM37, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
33.9%
(10:32) #24 B.Kuzdzal rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UOM42 (#3 L.Styles Jr.)Similar
Q2 9:48
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+22
35.0%
(09:57) #24 B.Kuzdzal rush right for 22 yards gain to the OSU36 (#18 J.McClain; #1 D.Igbinosun), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 9:12
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
35.7%
(09:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 B.Kuzdzal rush left for 2 yards gain to the OSU34 (#95 T.Malone)Similar
Q2 8:29
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+2
36.8%
(08:34) Shotgun #24 B.Kuzdzal rush middle for 2 yards gain to the OSU32 (#92 C.Curry)Similar
Q2 7:47
3RD & 6
OPP 32
+6
35.2%
(07:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #19 B.Underwood pass complete short left to #1 D.McCulley caught at OSU26, for 6 yards to the OSU26, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
36.4%
(07:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 B.Kuzdzal rush middle for 1 yard gain to the OSU25 (#95 T.Malone; #18 J.McClain)Similar
Q2 6:44
2ND & 9
OPP 25
-5
36.7%
(06:50) Shotgun #24 B.Kuzdzal rush right for 5 yards loss to the OSU30 (#97 K.Jackson Jr.)Similar
Q2 5:58
3RD & 14
OPP 30
0
34.1%
(06:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #19 B.Underwood pass complete short middle to #24 B.Kuzdzal caught at OSU31, for 0 yards to the OSU30 (#8 A.Reese)Similar
Q2 5:24
4TH & 14
OPP 30
+49
35.5%
(05:22) #96 D.Zvada field goal attempt from 49 yards GOOD (H: #90 H.Hollenbeck, LS: #45 G.Tarr), clock 05:24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 8TD
15 plays · 87 yds · 4:5565% → 78%
Q2 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+9
35.0%
(05:21) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short right to #17 C.Tate caught at OSU16, for 9 yards to the OSU22 (#6 B.Hillman)Similar
Q2 4:39
2ND & 1
OWN 22
+25
34.5%
(04:50) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete deep middle to #89 W.Kacmarek caught at OSU45, for 25 yards to the OSU47 (#13 C.Anderson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+16
33.3%
(04:11) Shotgun #25 B.Jackson rush middle for 16 yards gain to the UOM37 (#7 T.Metcalf; #13 C.Anderson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:24
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
33.1%
(03:29) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass incomplete short right to #86 M.Klare thrown to UOM25Similar
Q2 3:14
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+5
33.2%
(03:24) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short left to #25 B.Jackson caught at UOM42, for 5 yards to the UOM32 (#0 T.Williams)Similar
Q2 2:30
3RD & 5
OPP 32
+8
33.0%
(02:37) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short middle to #1 B.Inniss caught at UOM26, for 8 yards to the UOM24 (#3 J.Mangham), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:03
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+9
31.3%
(02:03) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short left to #25 B.Jackson caught at UOM27, for 9 yards to the UOM15 (#3 J.Mangham)Similar
Q2 1:51
2ND & 1
OPP 15
+4
31.3%
(01:58) Shotgun #25 B.Jackson rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UOM11 (#44 D.Payne), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+8
31.3%
(01:35) Shotgun #25 B.Jackson rush middle for 8 yards gain to the UOM03 (#3 J.Mangham)Similar
Q2 0:51
2ND & 2
OPP 3
-1
31.5%
(00:56) #25 B.Jackson rush left for 1 yard loss to the UOM04 (#30 J.Rolder; #95 T.Pierce)Similar
Q2 0:16
3RD & 3
OPP 4
+4
21.8%
(00:18) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short middle to #1 B.Inniss caught at UOM01, for 4 yards to the UOM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:16, 1ST DOWN #38 J.Fielding kick attempt good (H: #42 J.McGuire, LS: #43 J.Ferlmann)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 9END OF HALF
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
26.0%
(00:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 B.Kuzdzal rush right for 0 yards to the UOM25 (#8 A.Reese; #98 K.McDonald) PENALTY UOM UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct offsetting OSU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct offsettingSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 10PUNT
10 plays · 34 yds · 4:4175% → 76%
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
24.7%
(14:56) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short right to #4 J.Smith caught at OSU19, for 4 yards to the OSU25 (#10 Z.Berry)Similar
Q3 14:11
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+5
24.2%
(14:17) Shotgun #25 B.Jackson rush middle for 5 yards gain to the OSU30 (#30 J.Rolder)Similar
Q3 13:35
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+3
24.1%
(13:39) Shotgun #25 B.Jackson rush middle for 3 yards gain to the OSU33 (#7 T.Metcalf; #23 C.Sullivan), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
23.8%
(12:58) Shotgun #25 B.Jackson rush left for 2 yards gain to the OSU35 (#30 J.Rolder; #7 T.Metcalf)Similar
Q3 12:10
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+12
23.9%
(12:18) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short right to #25 B.Jackson caught at OSU37, for 12 yards to the OSU47 (#7 T.Metcalf), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
22.8%
(11:36) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass incomplete short left to #86 M.Klare thrown to UOM48Similar
Q3 11:26
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+2
22.8%
(11:33) Shotgun #25 B.Jackson rush middle for 2 yards gain to the OSU49 (#6 B.Hillman)Similar
Q3 10:44
3RD & 8
OWN 49
+6
22.8%
(10:55) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short middle to #86 M.Klare caught at UOM46, for 6 yards to the UOM45 (#14 J.Young; #7 T.Metcalf)Similar
Q3 10:07
4TH & 2
OPP 45
0
24.0%
(10:14) #42 J.McGuire punt 45 yards to the UOM00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 26 yds · 1:3426% → 24%
Q3 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+26
25.5%
(10:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #19 B.Underwood pass complete deep left to #1 D.McCulley caught at UOM44, for 26 yards to the UOM46 (#0 S.Styles; #3 L.Styles Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
27.9%
(09:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #19 B.Underwood pass complete short right to #17 M.Klein caught at UOM44, for 0 yards to the UOM46 (#3 L.Styles Jr.)Similar
Q3 9:05
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
26.8%
(09:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 B.Kuzdzal rush middle for 0 yards to the UOM46 (#98 K.McDonald; #95 T.Malone)Similar
Q3 8:27
3RD & 10
OWN 46
0
25.8%
(08:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #19 B.Underwood pass incomplete short right to #24 B.Kuzdzal thrown to UOM42Similar
Q3 8:20
4TH & 10
OWN 46
0
24.2%
(08:29) #90 H.Hollenbeck punt 11 yards to the OSU43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 12TD
2 plays · 57 yds · 0:3578% → 88%
Q3 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
21.9%
(08:20) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short left to #17 C.Tate caught at OSU48, for 7 yards to the OSU50 (#7 T.Metcalf; #10 Z.Berry)Similar
Q3 7:35
2ND & 3
50
+50
11.7%
(07:42) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete deep middle to #17 C.Tate caught at UOM06, for 50 yards to the UOM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:35, 1ST DOWN #38 J.Fielding kick attempt good (H: #42 J.McGuire, LS: #43 J.Ferlmann)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 13PUNT
10 plays · 29 yds · 2:2215% → 15%
Q3 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
15.2%
(07:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 J.Marshall rush middle for 0 yards to the UOM25 (#0 S.Styles; #98 K.McDonald)Similar
Q3 7:06
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+14
14.9%
(07:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #19 B.Underwood pass complete short right to #1 D.McCulley caught at UOM30, for 14 yards to the UOM39 (#1 D.Igbinosun), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
16.1%
(06:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #19 B.Underwood pass incomplete short middle to #17 M.Klein thrown to OSU50 broken up by #2 C.DownsSimilar
Q3 6:32
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+2
15.5%
(06:37) #23 J.Marshall rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UOM41 (#2 C.Downs)Similar
Q3 6:03
3RD & 8
OWN 41
+15
15.6%
(06:03) Shotgun #19 B.Underwood pass incomplete short right to #1 D.McCulley thrown to OSU40 PENALTY OSU Pass Interference (#1 D.Igbinosun) 15 yards from UOM41 to OSU44, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
16.9%
(06:00) Shotgun #19 B.Underwood pass incomplete short right to #23 J.Marshall thrown to OSU42Similar
Q3 5:48
2ND & 10
OPP 44
-2
16.6%
(05:52) Shotgun #23 J.Marshall rush left for 2 yards loss to the OSU46 (#0 S.Styles)Similar
Q3 5:13
3RD & 12
OPP 46
0
15.6%
(05:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #19 B.Underwood pass incomplete short left to #1 D.McCulley thrown to OSU30Similar
Q3 5:06
4TH & 12
OPP 46
0
15.1%
(05:13) #90 H.Hollenbeck punt 32 yards to the OSU14 fair catch by #1 B.Inniss at OSU14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 14FG
21 plays · 81 yds · 11:4988% → 97%
Q3 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+8
12.3%
(05:06) Shotgun #12 C.Donaldson Jr rush middle for 8 yards gain to the OSU22 (#3 J.Mangham)Similar
Q3 4:24
2ND & 2
OWN 22
+2
11.8%
(04:30) Shotgun #32 I.West rush middle for 2 yards gain to the OSU24 (#4 T.Guy), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
11.4%
(03:51) Shotgun #25 B.Jackson rush middle for 2 yards gain to the OSU26 (#26 R.Benny)Similar
Q3 3:09
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+6
11.2%
(03:15) #12 C.Donaldson Jr rush right for 6 yards gain to the OSU32 (#4 T.Guy; #30 J.Rolder)Similar
Q3 2:28
3RD & 2
OWN 32
+2
11.0%
(02:33) #10 J.Sayin rush middle for 2 yards gain to the OSU34 (#0 T.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
10.6%
(01:50) #12 C.Donaldson Jr rush right for 7 yards gain to the OSU41 (#6 B.Hillman; #23 C.Sullivan)Similar
Q3 1:01
2ND & 3
OWN 41
0
9.6%
(01:05) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass incomplete deep left to #17 C.Tate thrown to UOM25Similar
Q3 0:53
3RD & 3
OWN 41
+3
9.8%
(01:01) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin rush right for 3 yards gain to the OSU44 (#3 J.Mangham), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-1
7.9%
(00:23) Shotgun #12 C.Donaldson Jr rush right for 1 yard loss to the OSU43 (#30 J.Rolder)Similar
Q4 14:46
2ND & 11
OWN 43
+9
7.9%
(14:58) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short right to #86 M.Klare caught at OSU45, for 9 yards to the UOM48 (#30 J.Rolder; #18 T.Bowles)Similar
Q4 14:03
3RD & 2
OPP 48
+13
7.9%
(14:12) Shotgun #25 B.Jackson rush left for 13 yards gain to the UOM35 (#7 T.Metcalf), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 13:18
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-1
7.1%
(13:23) Shotgun #32 I.West rush right for 1 yard loss to the UOM36 (#23 C.Sullivan)Similar
Q4 12:35
2ND & 11
OPP 36
+14
7.1%
(12:43) Shotgun #32 I.West rush middle for 14 yards gain to the UOM22 (#6 B.Hillman), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+9
6.3%
(12:00) #25 B.Jackson rush right for 9 yards gain to the UOM13 (#6 B.Hillman)Similar
Q4 11:09
2ND & 1
OPP 13
0
5.7%
(11:15) #25 B.Jackson rush middle for 0 yards to the UOM13 (#95 T.Pierce)Similar
Q4 10:27
3RD & 1
OPP 13
+2
5.7%
(10:29) #10 J.Sayin rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UOM11, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
5.3%
(09:46) #12 C.Donaldson Jr rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UOM06 (#17 E.Etta; #95 T.Pierce)Similar
Q4 8:57
2ND & 5
OPP 6
+1
5.2%
(09:02) #12 C.Donaldson Jr rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UOM05, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 8:14
3RD & 4
OPP 5
0
5.1%
(08:20) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass incomplete short right to #89 W.Kacmarek thrown to UOM00 QB hurried by #17 E.EttaSimilar
Q4 8:10
4TH & 4
OPP 5
+23
3.3%
(08:13) #38 J.Fielding field goal attempt from 23 yards GOOD (H: #42 J.McGuire, LS: #43 J.Ferlmann), clock 08:10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:304% → 4%
Q4 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
4.1%
(08:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #19 B.Underwood pass incomplete short right to #1 D.McCulley thrown to UOM30Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-8
4.0%
(08:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #19 B.Underwood sacked for loss of 8 yards to the UOM17 (#97 K.Jackson Jr.)Similar
Q4 7:16
3RD & 18
OWN 17
+2
3.8%
(07:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #19 B.Underwood pass complete short right to #88 D.Tonielli caught at UOM17, for 2 yards to the UOM19 (#2 C.Downs)Similar
Q4 6:36
4TH & 16
OWN 19
+12
3.7%
(06:47) #90 H.Hollenbeck punt 54 yards to the OSU27 #1 B.Inniss return 19 yards to the OSU46 (#83 Z.Marshall) PENALTY OSU Holding (#21 B.Jones) 10 yards from OSU39 to OSU29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 16PUNT
12 plays · 19 yds · 3:2797% → 99%
Q4 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
2.7%
(06:36) #25 B.Jackson rush left for 2 yards gain to the OSU31 (#95 T.Pierce)Similar
Q4 5:46
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+2
2.4%
(05:50) #25 B.Jackson rush middle for 2 yards gain to the OSU33 (#30 J.Rolder; #95 T.Pierce)Similar
Q4 5:02
3RD & 6
OWN 33
+5
2.1%
(05:08) #12 C.Donaldson Jr rush left for 5 yards gain to the OSU38 (#26 R.Benny; #3 J.Mangham)Similar
Q4 4:15
4TH & 1
OWN 38
+3
1.6%
(04:20) #12 C.Donaldson Jr rush middle for 3 yards gain to the OSU41 (#10 Z.Berry), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
1.3%
(03:33) #32 I.West rush middle for 6 yards gain to the OSU47 (#10 Z.Berry; #7 T.Metcalf)Similar
Q4 3:19
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+1
1.3%
(03:22) #32 I.West rush left for 1 yard gain to the OSU48 (#23 C.Sullivan)Similar
Q4 3:13
3RD & 3
OWN 48
-2
1.2%
(03:14) #32 I.West rush middle for 2 yards loss to the OSU46, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 3:03
4TH & 5
OWN 46
0
1.2%
(03:11) #42 J.McGuire punt 29 yards to the UOM25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 17DOWNS
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:181% → 1%
Q4 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
0.9%
(03:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #19 B.Underwood pass incomplete short right to #17 M.Klein thrown to UOM30Similar
Q4 2:49
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
0.8%
(02:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #19 B.Underwood pass complete short right to #24 B.Kuzdzal caught at UOM26, for 5 yards to the UOM30 (#0 S.Styles)Similar
Q4 2:37
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
0.8%
(02:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #19 B.Underwood pass incomplete short left to #24 B.Kuzdzal thrown to UOM30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 18Uncategorized
7 plays · -6 yds · 2:0499% → 99%
Q4 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
1.2%
(02:33) #12 C.Donaldson Jr rush middle for 2 yards gain to the OSU50 (#95 T.Pierce)Similar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+15
0.9%
PENALTY OSU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (#1 D.Igbinosun) 15 yards from UOM37 to OSU48. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 1:55
2ND & 8
50
+3
0.8%
(02:00) #12 C.Donaldson Jr rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UOM47 (#92 I.Iwunnah)Similar
Q4 1:04
3RD & 5
OPP 47
+6
0.7%
(01:10) #12 C.Donaldson Jr rush right for 6 yards gain to the UOM41 (#18 T.Bowles; #7 T.Metcalf)Similar
Q4 0:29
4TH & 14
OPP 41
-2
0.8%
(00:29) Kneel down by #10 J.Sayin at UOM43 for loss of 2 yards, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:16
(00:18) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short middle to #1 B.Inniss caught at UOM01, for 4 yards to the UOM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:16, 1ST DOWN #38 J.Fielding kick attempt good (H: #42 J.McGuire, LS: #43 J.Ferlmann)
-10.2
TD · Q3 7:35
(07:42) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete deep middle to #17 C.Tate caught at UOM06, for 50 yards to the UOM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:35, 1ST DOWN #38 J.Fielding kick attempt good (H: #42 J.McGuire, LS: #43 J.Ferlmann)
-10.2
TD · Q2 11:44
(11:50) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete deep right to #4 J.Smith caught at UOM08, for 35 yards to the UOM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:44, 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner broke the plane". CALL UPHELD #38 J.Fielding kick attempt good (H: #42 J.McGuire, LS: #43 J.Ferlmann)
-3.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com