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PSU

Penn State 40 at Rutgers 36

RUTG
2025 · Week 14 · Nov 29, 2025 · SHI Stadium
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Win probability · RUTG
modelRUTG aheadPSU aheadconfidence bandkey playRUTG scorePSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of GameTD-23.2RUTG 21.2%(00:54) #10 N.Singleton rush middlefor 1 yard gain to the RU00 TOUCHDOWN,clock 00:54 #17 E.Grunkemeyer rushattempt failedAWAY 33 - HOME 28 · Q3 0:54
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 0:54 · (00:54) #10 N.Singleton rush middle for 1 yard gain to the RU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:54 #17 E.Grunkemeyer rush attempt failed
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+37.5+18.80−18.8−37.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 119Pregame prior−10.5Home team on offense−12.7Garbage-time factor−4.3Score differential−4.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−3.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:27: (00:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass complete short left to #0 D.Sheffield caught at PSU06, for 21 yards to the PSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:27, 1ST DOWN #44 J.Patel kick attempt good (H: #22 R.McCann, LS: #99 M.O’Connor) — RUTG win probability +11.6 pts (now 38%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 3:51: (03:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass complete short left to #8 K.Duff caught at PSU01, for 13 yards to the PSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:51, 1ST DOWN #44 J.Patel kick attempt good (H: #22 R.McCann, LS: #99 M.O’Connor) — RUTG win probability +20.5 pts (now 53%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 0:54: (00:54) #10 N.Singleton rush middle for 1 yard gain to the RU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:54 #17 E.Grunkemeyer rush attempt failed — PSU win probability +23.2 pts (now 79%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 15:00: No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass complete deep left to #3 A.Raymond caught at PSU26, for 46 yards to the PSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:33, 1ST DOWN #8 K.Duff pass attempt Successful — RUTG win probability +26.6 pts (now 59%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:27: (07:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis rush middle for 7 yards loss to the PSU39 fumbled by #16 A.Kaliakmanis at PSU39 recovered by PSU #24 A.Campbell at PSU39 #24 A.Campbell return 61 yards to the RU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:27 #94 R.Barker kick attempt good (H: #14 R.Thompson, LS: #48 T.Duzansky) — PSU win probability +30.6 pts (now 58%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RUTG made the numbers' call on 2 of 4PSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 9:46PSU 4th & 1 at PSU 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 77.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    77.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    77.1%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:05RUTG 4th & 8 at PSU 22, tied
    Close callWent for it · 23.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.1%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    23.2%
    72% to make
    Punt
    22.4%−0.8
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:04RUTG 4th & 16 at RUTG 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.1%−1.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:21PSU 4th & 8 at PSU 42, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.1%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:18RUTG 4th & 3 at RUTG 34, down 7
    Close callPunted · 23.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:04PSU 4th & 18 at PSU 46, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.0%−1.5
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.5%
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:37PSU 4th & 2 at PSU 47, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 69.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    70.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    69.2%−1.0
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:53PSU 4th & 3 at RUTG 11, up 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 69.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.5%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.7%−0.8
    87% to make
    Punt
    59.5%−10.0
    average punt
  9. Q4 11:16PSU 4th & 11 at PSU 18, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.6%−2.9
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.5%
    average punt
  10. Q4 3:55RUTG 4th & 1 at PSU 27, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    30.5%−3.5
    62% to make
    Punt
    18.6%−15.5
    average punt
  11. Q4 0:56PSU 4th & 2 at RUTG 10, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.4%
    55% to convert
    Field goal
    87.8%−0.6
    88% to make
    Punt
    79.5%−8.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
RUTG made the numbers' call on 3 of 4PSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 12:13RUTG Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:46PSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 5:11PSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 1:30RUTG Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 14:55PSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:27RUTG Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:54PSU Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    72.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    72.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 15:00RUTG Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    54.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    54.5%−0.3
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 7:27PSU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.9%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
RUTGDrive 1TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:3517% → 19%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
16.9%
(14:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 4 yards gain to the RU29 (#16 K.Mack; #50 A.Ford Jr.)Similar
Q1 14:03
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+16
17.3%
(14:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass complete short left to #3 A.Raymond caught at RU30, for 16 yards to the RU45 (#0 D.DeLuca; #36 Z.Fisher), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+17
17.8%
(13:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass complete short left to #9 I.Strong caught at PSU42, for 17 yards to the PSU38 QB hurried by #36 Z.Fisher (#16 K.Mack; #2 A.Collins), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+19
18.1%
(12:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass complete short middle to #8 K.Duff caught at PSU20, for 19 yards to the PSU19 (#4 A.Harris), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:13
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
19.0%
(12:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush left for 19 yards gain to the PSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:13, 1ST DOWN #44 J.Patel kick attempt good (H: #22 R.McCann, LS: #99 M.O’Connor)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 2TD
5 plays · 62 yds · 2:0481% → 81%
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
18.9%
(11:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 K.Allen rush left for 5 yards gain to the PSU43 (#14 J.Thompson)Similar
Q1 11:14
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+3
19.3%
(11:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 K.Allen rush middle for 3 yards gain to the PSU46 (#10 J.Henderson)Similar
Q1 10:16
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+1
20.0%
(10:43) Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short right to #13 K.Allen caught at PSU45, for 1 yard to the PSU47 QB hurried by #99 E.O'Neill (#4 S.Robinson)Similar
Q1 9:46
4TH & 1
OWN 47
+53
19.3%
(09:47) #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short left to #87 A.Rappleyea caught at RU39, for 53 yards to the RU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:46, 1ST DOWN #94 R.Barker kick attempt good (H: #14 R.Thompson, LS: #48 T.Duzansky)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 3DOWNS
8 plays · 50 yds · 2:0620% → 21%
Q1 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+25
19.8%
(09:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass complete short right to #12 K.Fletcher Jr. caught at RU29, for 25 yards to the RU50 (#4 A.Harris), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:51
1ST & 10
50
+6
20.3%
(08:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 6 yards gain to the PSU44 (#24 A.Campbell; #16 K.Mack)Similar
Q1 8:23
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+20
20.6%
(08:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass complete short right to #8 K.Duff caught at PSU30, for 20 yards to the PSU24 (#4 A.Harris), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY PSU Pass Interference declinedSimilar
Q1 7:51
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
21.0%
(07:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 2 yards gain to the PSU22 (#33 D.Dennis-Sutton)Similar
Q1 7:16
2ND & 8
OPP 22
0
21.4%
(07:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass incomplete short left to #9 I.Strong thrown to PSU09 broken up by #5 D.DixsonSimilar
Q1 7:12
3RD & 8
OPP 22
0
21.2%
(07:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass incomplete short left to #18 C.Weber thrown to PSU21Similar
Q1 7:05
4TH & 8
OPP 22
-3
21.0%
(07:05) No Huddle #44 J.Patel rush left for 3 yards loss to the PSU25 (#7 Z.Tracy), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 4TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:2579% → 81%
Q1 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+55
21.0%
(06:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 K.Allen rush middle for 55 yards gain to the RU20 (#9 J.Elad), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:03
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+8
20.4%
(06:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 N.Singleton rush right for 8 yards gain to the RU12 (#5 K.Sanders)Similar
Q1 5:48
2ND & 2
OPP 12
+1
20.5%
(05:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 N.Singleton rush middle for 1 yard gain to the RU11 (#99 E.O'Neill)Similar
Q1 5:11
3RD & 1
OPP 11
+11
18.6%
(05:11) #10 N.Singleton rush middle for 11 yards gain to the RU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:11, 1ST DOWN #94 R.Barker kick attempt good (H: #14 R.Thompson, LS: #48 T.Duzansky)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 5TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:2719% → 26%
Q1 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
19.4%
(05:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush left for 3 yards gain to the RU28 (#44 J.Harvey)Similar
Q1 4:15
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
19.6%
(04:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass incomplete short right thrown to RU35Similar
Q1 3:52
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+6
19.4%
(04:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass complete short middle to #0 D.Sheffield caught at RU34, for 6 yards to the RU34 (#16 K.Mack; #7 Z.Tracy)Similar
Q1 3:27
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+5
19.6%
(03:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis rush middle for 1 yard gain to the RU35 (#50 A.Ford Jr.) PENALTY PSU Illegal Substitution 5 yards from RU34 to RU39, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+39
20.3%
(02:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass complete deep left to #12 K.Fletcher Jr. caught at PSU37, for 39 yards to the PSU22 (#16 K.Mack), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:24
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+11
21.2%
(02:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis rush left for 11 yards gain to the PSU11, out of bounds at PSU11, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+9
21.4%
(01:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 S.Brown V rush middle for 9 yards gain to the PSU02 (#6 Z.Wheatley)Similar
Q1 1:30
2ND & 1
OPP 2
+2
25.5%
(01:29) No Huddle #16 A.Kaliakmanis rush middle for 2 yards gain to the PSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:30, 1ST DOWN #44 J.Patel kick attempt good (H: #22 R.McCann, LS: #99 M.O’Connor)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 6TD
7 plays · 89 yds · 1:2276% → 81%
Q1 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
23.6%
(01:17) #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass incomplete short right to #8 T.Pena thrown to PSU27 broken up by #3 B.MascoeSimilar
Q1 0:54
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+53
23.9%
(01:15) #10 N.Singleton rush left for 53 yards gain to the RU36 (#9 J.Elad), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
22.9%
(00:22) #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass incomplete deep left to #5 D.Ross thrown to RU00 broken up by #9 J.Elad PENALTY RU Offside (#1 J.Walker) 5 yards from RU36 to RU31. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 0:15
1ST & 5
OPP 31
+16
22.6%
(00:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 K.Allen rush right for 16 yards gain to the RU15 (#9 J.Elad), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
19.1%
(14:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 K.Allen rush right for 15 yards gain to the RU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:55, 1ST DOWN #94 R.Barker kick attempt good (H: #14 R.Thompson, LS: #48 T.Duzansky)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · -6 yds · 0:4721% → 20%
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
20.5%
(14:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass incomplete short middle to #0 D.Sheffield thrown to RU34Similar
Q2 14:42
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
20.5%
(14:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush right for 0 yards to the RU25 (#24 A.Campbell; #6 Z.Wheatley)Similar
Q2 14:27
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
20.5%
(14:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass incomplete deep left to #8 K.Duff thrown to PSU40Similar
Q2 14:20
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-3
20.6%
(14:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis sacked for loss of 6 yards to the RU19 (#54 X.Gilliam, #24 A.Campbell). #56 T.Needham injured on the playSimilar
Q2 14:04
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
20.4%
(14:17) #94 J.Anderson punt 41 yards to the PSU40 fair catch by #8 T.Pena at PSU40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:3480% → 79%
Q2 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
20.0%
(14:02) Shotgun #13 K.Allen rush right for 2 yards gain to the PSU42 (#7 C.Miller)Similar
Q2 13:08
2ND & 8
OWN 42
0
20.2%
(13:12) Shotgun #13 K.Allen rush left for 0 yards to the PSU42 (#14 J.Thompson; #6 A.Wright)Similar
Q2 12:28
3RD & 8
OWN 42
0
20.7%
(12:28) Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass incomplete deep right to #8 T.Pena thrown to RU30Similar
Q2 12:21
4TH & 8
OWN 42
0
21.4%
(12:21) #99 G.Nwosu punt 42 yards to the RU16 fair catch by #0 D.Sheffield at RU16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 2:5322% → 22%
Q2 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
21.6%
(12:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 5 yards gain to the RU21 (#24 A.Campbell)Similar
Q2 11:36
2ND & 5
OWN 21
+6
22.0%
(11:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 6 yards gain to the RU27 (#10 D.Lane), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
22.2%
(10:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 2 yards gain to the RU29 (#25 A.Tatsch; #34 O.Wafle)Similar
Q2 10:16
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+4
22.4%
(10:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis rush middle for 4 yards gain to the RU33 (#24 A.Campbell)Similar
Q2 9:44
3RD & 4
OWN 33
+1
22.0%
(09:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 S.Brown V rush middle for 1 yard gain to the RU34 (#24 A.Campbell; #25 A.Tatsch)Similar
Q2 9:18
4TH & 3
OWN 34
0
22.0%
(09:30) #94 J.Anderson punt 52 yards to the PSU14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 10PUNT
9 plays · 32 yds · 3:5378% → 77%
Q2 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+9
22.2%
(09:12) Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short middle to #85 L.Reynolds caught at PSU12, for 9 yards to the PSU23 (#10 J.Henderson; #8 D.Djabome)Similar
Q2 8:22
2ND & 1
OWN 23
+5
21.7%
(08:26) Shotgun #13 K.Allen rush left for 5 yards gain to the PSU28 (#14 J.Thompson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+14
21.2%
(08:11) Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short left to #87 A.Rappleyea caught at PSU42, for 14 yards to the PSU42 (#10 J.Henderson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
20.3%
(07:35) #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short right to #10 N.Singleton caught at PSU40, for 9 yards to the RU49 (#7 C.Miller). #6 A.Wright injured on the playSimilar
Q2 7:02
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+3
20.1%
(07:06) #13 K.Allen rush right for 3 yards gain to the RU46 (#99 E.O'Neill; #8 D.Djabome), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
20.2%
(06:24) Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass incomplete deep left to #10 N.Singleton thrown to RU15Similar
Q2 6:09
2ND & 10
OPP 46
-11
20.2%
(06:13) Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer sacked for loss of 11 yards to the PSU43 (#8 D.Djabome)Similar
Q2 5:28
3RD & 21
OWN 43
+3
21.9%
(05:31) Shotgun #13 K.Allen rush middle for 3 yards gain to the PSU46 (#1 J.Walker)Similar
Q2 5:04
4TH & 18
OWN 46
0
22.7%
(05:04) #99 G.Nwosu punt 43 yards to the RU11 fair catch by #0 D.Sheffield at RU11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 11TD
14 plays · 89 yds · 4:2723% → 38%
Q2 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+7
22.5%
(05:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 7 yards gain to the RU18 (#19 C.Coleman; #6 Z.Wheatley)Similar
Q2 4:12
2ND & 3
OWN 18
+3
23.1%
(04:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 3 yards gain to the RU21 (#16 K.Mack; #2 A.Collins), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
22.9%
(03:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 9 yards gain to the RU30 (#6 Z.Wheatley)Similar
Q2 2:45
2ND & 1
OWN 30
+5
24.1%
(02:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis rush middle for 5 yards gain to the RU35 (#24 A.Campbell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+22
23.4%
(02:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 22 yards gain to the PSU43 (#16 K.Mack; #2 A.Collins), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+13
24.4%
(01:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass complete short right to #9 I.Strong caught at PSU30, for 13 yards to the PSU30, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+7
25.8%
(01:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 7 yards gain to the PSU23 (#0 D.DeLuca; #16 K.Mack)Similar
Q2 0:48
2ND & 3
OPP 23
+2
26.0%
(00:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 2 yards gain to the PSU21 (#7 Z.Tracy)Similar
Q2 0:39
3RD & 1
OPP 21
+6
24.9%
(00:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 6 yards gain to the PSU15 (#24 A.Campbell; #33 D.Dennis-Sutton), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-6
26.2%
(00:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis sacked for loss of 6 yards to the PSU21 (#0 D.DeLuca)Similar
Q2 0:27
2ND & 16
OPP 21
+21
37.5%
(00:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass complete short left to #0 D.Sheffield caught at PSU06, for 21 yards to the PSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:27, 1ST DOWN #44 J.Patel kick attempt good (H: #22 R.McCann, LS: #99 M.O’Connor)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 12FG
8 plays · 56 yds · 0:2169% → 76%
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
30.7%
(00:21) Shotgun #10 N.Singleton rush middle for 8 yards gain to the PSU38 (#13 D.McClary)Similar
Q2 0:14
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+6
29.3%
(00:18) Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short right to #8 T.Pena caught at PSU38, for 6 yards to the PSU44 (#3 B.Mascoe), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+23
27.6%
(00:05) Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete deep right to #8 T.Pena caught at RU14, for 23 yards to the RU14 (#7 C.Miller; #9 J.Elad), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+19
30.0%
(00:11) Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short right to #5 D.Ross caught at RU39, for 19 yards to the RU37 (#9 J.Elad), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+31
23.9%
(00:01) #94 R.Barker field goal attempt from 31 yards GOOD (H: #14 R.Thompson, LS: #48 T.Duzansky), clock 00:01Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 14FG
12 plays · 50 yds · 5:5173% → 77%
Q3 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
26.6%
(14:48) Shotgun #13 K.Allen rush middle for 4 yards gain to the PSU43 (#8 D.Djabome; #5 K.Sanders)Similar
Q3 14:03
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+5
26.7%
(14:06) Shotgun #13 K.Allen rush left for 5 yards gain to the PSU48 (#14 J.Thompson; #10 J.Henderson)Similar
Q3 13:04
3RD & 1
OWN 48
-1
27.3%
(13:20) Shotgun #13 K.Allen rush middle for 1 yard loss to the PSU47 (#9 J.Elad; #8 D.Djabome)Similar
Q3 12:37
4TH & 2
OWN 47
+7
28.9%
(12:38) Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short left to #8 T.Pena caught at PSU46, for 7 yards to the RU46 (#9 J.Elad; #4 S.Robinson), 1ST DOWN. #9 J.Elad injured on the playSimilar
Q3 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
27.3%
(12:18) Shotgun #13 K.Allen rush left for 3 yards gain to the RU43 (#3 B.Mascoe)Similar
Q3 11:31
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+14
27.6%
(11:37) Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short left to #10 N.Singleton caught at RU37, for 14 yards to the RU29 (#8 D.Djabome), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+11
26.6%
(11:05) Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass incomplete short left to #1 K.Hudson thrown to RU16 broken up by #3 B.Mascoe QB hurried by #4 S.Robinson, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY RU Pass Interference (#3 B.Mascoe) 11 yard from RU29 to RU18, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 10:27
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
26.7%
(10:42) Shotgun #13 K.Allen rush left for 1 yard gain to the RU17 (#14 J.Thompson)Similar
Q3 10:09
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+6
26.8%
(10:19) Shotgun #10 N.Singleton rush right for 6 yards gain to the RU11 (#10 J.Henderson)Similar
Q3 8:53
3RD & 3
OPP 11
0
27.3%
(08:57) Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short left to #8 T.Pena caught at RU11, for 0 yards to the RU11 (#3 B.Mascoe; #4 S.Robinson)Similar
Q3 8:53
4TH & 3
OPP 11
+29
22.9%
(08:53) #94 R.Barker field goal attempt from 29 yards GOOD (H: #14 R.Thompson, LS: #48 T.Duzansky), clock 08:53Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 15TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:5827% → 53%
Q3 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
26.9%
(08:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass incomplete short left to #9 I.Strong thrown to RU35 broken up by #0 D.DeLucaSimilar
Q3 8:41
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
26.7%
(08:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass complete short left to #12 K.Fletcher Jr. caught at RU27, for 4 yards to the RU29 (#16 K.Mack) PENALTY RU Holding (#54 T.White) 10 yards from RU25 to RU15. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 8:13
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+8
26.7%
(08:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 8 yards gain to the RU23 (#0 D.DeLuca; #24 A.Campbell)Similar
Q3 7:45
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+33
25.7%
(07:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass complete deep right to #8 K.Duff caught at PSU44, for 33 yards to the PSU44, out of bounds at PSU44, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
30.9%
PENALTY RU False Start (#54 T.White) 5 yards from PSU44 to PSU49. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 7:05
1ST & 15
OPP 49
+10
28.5%
(07:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass complete short right to #8 K.Duff caught at PSU39, for 13 yards to the PSU36 (#4 A.Harris) PENALTY PSU Holding (#4 A.Harris) 10 yards from PSU49 to PSU39, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
30.6%
(06:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 1 yard gain to the PSU38 (#24 A.Campbell)Similar
Q3 5:50
2ND & 9
OPP 38
+7
30.9%
(06:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass complete short left to #9 I.Strong caught at PSU35, for 7 yards to the PSU31 (#17 K.Woseley; #24 A.Campbell)Similar
Q3 5:13
3RD & 2
OPP 31
+15
31.0%
(05:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 15 yards gain to the PSU16 (#0 D.DeLuca; #4 A.Harris), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:26
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
32.9%
(04:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 3 yards gain to the PSU13 (#36 Z.Fisher)Similar
Q3 3:51
2ND & 7
OPP 13
+13
53.4%
(03:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass complete short left to #8 K.Duff caught at PSU01, for 13 yards to the PSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:51, 1ST DOWN #44 J.Patel kick attempt good (H: #22 R.McCann, LS: #99 M.O’Connor)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 16TD
7 plays · 83 yds · 2:3153% → 79%
Q3 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
47.2%
(03:40) Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short middle to #85 L.Reynolds caught at PSU15, for 2 yards to the PSU19 (#3 B.Mascoe)Similar
Q3 2:46
2ND & 8
OWN 19
+23
48.2%
(02:57) Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete deep left to #1 K.Hudson caught at PSU42, for 23 yards to the PSU42 (#7 C.Miller), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
45.2%
(02:18) Shotgun #13 K.Allen rush middle for 8 yards gain to the PSU50 (#9 J.Elad)Similar
Q3 1:47
2ND & 2
50
+5
43.6%
(01:59) Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short left to #87 A.Rappleyea caught at RU46, for 5 yards to the RU45 (#3 B.Mascoe), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+53
44.5%
(01:16) Shotgun #13 K.Allen rush left for 43 yards gain to the RU02 (#5 K.Sanders), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY RU Face Mask (#3 B.Mascoe) 1 yard from RU02 to RU01, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
21.2%
(00:54) #10 N.Singleton rush middle for 1 yard gain to the RU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:54 #17 E.Grunkemeyer rush attempt failedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 17TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 0:2429% → 59%
Q3 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
29.4%
(00:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 12 yards gain to the RU37 (#16 K.Mack; #6 Z.Wheatley), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
29.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 4 yards gain to the RU41 (#6 Z.Wheatley)Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+13
32.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass complete short left to #12 K.Fletcher Jr. caught at RU39, for 13 yards to the PSU46 (#24 A.Campbell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+46
58.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass complete deep left to #3 A.Raymond caught at PSU26, for 46 yards to the PSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:33, 1ST DOWN #8 K.Duff pass attempt SuccessfulSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · -1 yds · 2:0643% → 37%
Q4 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
57.1%
(13:24) Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass incomplete deep middle to #5 D.Ross thrown to RU40Similar
Q4 13:14
2ND & 10
OWN 19
-2
57.6%
(13:18) Shotgun #13 K.Allen rush middle for 2 yards loss to the PSU17 (#99 E.O'Neill)Similar
Q4 11:59
3RD & 12
OWN 17
+11
60.9%
(12:24) Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short right to #13 K.Allen caught at PSU17, for 11 yards to the PSU28 QB hurried by #94 B.Weaver (#90 F.Gnago; #13 D.McClary)Similar
Q4 11:43
4TH & 1
OWN 28
+5
60.9%
PENALTY PSU Delay Of Game (#17 E.Grunkemeyer) 5 yards from PSU28 to PSU23. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 11:24
4TH & 6
OWN 23
+5
62.2%
PENALTY PSU False Start (#8 D.Nelson) 5 yards from PSU23 to PSU18. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 11:16
4TH & 11
OWN 18
0
62.8%
(11:16) #99 G.Nwosu punt 56 yards to the RU26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 19FUMBLE RETURN TD
7 plays · 35 yds · 3:3963% → 42%
Q4 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
62.6%
(11:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 1 yard gain to the RU27 (#7 Z.Tracy)Similar
Q4 10:29
2ND & 9
OWN 27
0
63.7%
(10:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass incomplete deep right to #9 I.Strong thrown to PSU30 broken up by #5 D.DixsonSimilar
Q4 10:19
3RD & 9
OWN 27
+12
62.1%
(10:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 12 yards gain to the RU39, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
67.0%
(09:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 8 yards gain to the RU47 (#6 Z.Wheatley)Similar
Q4 8:55
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+18
69.5%
(08:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 18 yards gain to the PSU35 (#10 D.Lane), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:04
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
72.2%
(08:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush right for 3 yards gain to the PSU32 (#24 A.Campbell; #33 D.Dennis-Sutton)Similar
Q4 7:27
2ND & 7
OPP 32
0
41.6%
(07:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis rush middle for 7 yards loss to the PSU39 fumbled by #16 A.Kaliakmanis at PSU39 recovered by PSU #24 A.Campbell at PSU39 #24 A.Campbell return 61 yards to the RU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:27 #94 R.Barker kick attempt good (H: #14 R.Thompson, LS: #48 T.Duzansky)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 20DOWNS
8 plays · 47 yds · 3:2133% → 34%
Q4 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
33.4%
(07:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 1 yard gain to the RU26 (#39 T.Blanding; #0 D.DeLuca)Similar
Q4 6:32
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-2
31.9%
(06:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis sacked for loss of 4 yards to the RU22 (#33 D.Dennis-Sutton, #99 Y.Kemajou)Similar
Q4 5:46
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+42
29.7%
(06:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass complete deep left to #8 K.Duff caught at PSU38, for 42 yards to the PSU36, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+8
39.0%
(05:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass complete short right to #12 K.Fletcher Jr. caught at PSU38, for 8 yards to the PSU28 (#5 D.Dixson; #24 A.Campbell)Similar
Q4 4:48
2ND & 2
OPP 28
0
38.5%
(04:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 0 yards to the PSU28 (#6 Z.Wheatley)Similar
Q4 4:21
3RD & 2
OPP 28
+1
35.9%
(04:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis rush middle for 1 yard gain to the PSU27 (#99 Y.Kemajou; #50 A.Ford Jr.)Similar
Q4 3:55
4TH & 1
OPP 27
-1
33.6%
(03:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis rush left for 1 yard loss to the PSU28 (#7 Z.Tracy), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 21END OF GAME
16 plays · 64 yds · 3:2379% → 96%
Q4 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
21.0%
(03:49) Shotgun #10 N.Singleton rush left for 1 yard gain to the PSU29 (#94 B.Weaver; #10 J.Henderson) PENALTY PSU Personal Foul (#8 T.Pena) 14 yards from PSU29 to PSU15Similar
Q4 3:18
1ST & 23
OWN 15
-3
18.5%
(03:25) Shotgun #10 N.Singleton rush right for 3 yards loss to the PSU12 (#94 B.Weaver)Similar
Q4 2:41
2ND & 26
OWN 12
+10
17.3%
(02:41) Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass incomplete short left to #3 K.Howard thrown to PSU18 QB hurried by #94 B.Weaver PENALTY RU Holding (#10 J.Henderson) 10 yards from PSU12 to PSU22, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+50
16.2%
(02:27) Shotgun #13 K.Allen rush left for 50 yards gain to the RU28 (#7 C.Miller), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+10
8.9%
(02:04) Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short left to #5 D.Ross caught at RU29, for 10 yards to the RU18 (#3 B.Mascoe; #9 J.Elad), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
8.9%
(01:54) Shotgun #13 K.Allen rush middle for 5 yards gain to the RU13 (#5 K.Sanders; #9 J.Elad)Similar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 5
OPP 13
+3
8.1%
(01:50) Shotgun #13 K.Allen rush middle for 3 yards gain to the RU10 (#10 J.Henderson; #7 C.Miller)Similar
Q4 1:26
3RD & 2
OPP 10
0
6.8%
(01:41) Shotgun #13 K.Allen rush middle for 0 yards to the RU10 (#4 S.Robinson; #9 J.Elad)Similar
Q4 0:56
4TH & 2
OPP 10
+3
5.5%
(00:58) Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short right to #87 A.Rappleyea caught at RU13, for 3 yards to the RU07 (#7 C.Miller), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-1
4.5%
(00:27) Kneel down by #17 E.Grunkemeyer at RU08 for loss of 1 yardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 7:27
(07:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis rush middle for 7 yards loss to the PSU39 fumbled by #16 A.Kaliakmanis at PSU39 recovered by PSU #24 A.Campbell at PSU39 #24 A.Campbell return 61 yards to the RU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:27 #94 R.Barker kick attempt good (H: #14 R.Thompson, LS: #48 T.Duzansky)
-30.6
TD · Q4 15:00
No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass complete deep left to #3 A.Raymond caught at PSU26, for 46 yards to the PSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:33, 1ST DOWN #8 K.Duff pass attempt Successful
+26.6
TD · Q3 0:54
(00:54) #10 N.Singleton rush middle for 1 yard gain to the RU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:54 #17 E.Grunkemeyer rush attempt failed
-23.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com