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UCLA

UCLA 10 at USC 29

USC
2025 · Week 14 · Nov 29, 2025 · Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
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Win probability · USC
modelUSC aheadUCLA aheadconfidence bandkey playUSC scoreUCLA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · End of 4th quarter.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+43.0+21.50−21.5−43.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q2 1:17: (01:24) Shotgun #9 N.Iamaleava rush right for 11 yards gain to the USC29 (#28 K.Urlacher), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN — UCLA win probability +6.3 pts (now 23%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 1:03: (01:05) Shotgun #9 N.Iamaleava pass incomplete short left to #3 K.Gilmer thrown to USC30 broken up by #18 E.Gentry — UCLA win probability +6.2 pts (now 24%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 0:25: (00:32) Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass complete deep right to #6 M.Lemon caught at UCLA00, for 32 yards to the UCLA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:25, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY UCLA Pass Interference declined #48 R.Sayeri kick attempt good (H: #80 S.Johnson, LS: #31 H.Pepper) — USC win probability +16.5 pts (now 84%) (top driver: USC has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 11:24: (11:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass complete short right to #87 L.McRee caught at UCLA00, for 2 yards to the UCLA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:24 #48 R.Sayeri kick attempt good (H: #80 S.Johnson, LS: #31 H.Pepper) — USC win probability +9.8 pts (now 93%) (top driver: USC has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:29: (02:36) Shotgun #30 K.Miller rush left for 41 yards gain to the UCLA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:29, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY USC UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (#8 J.Lane) 15 yards from UCLA00 to UCLA03 #85 W.Lyons pass attempt Successful #28 G.Roy pass attempt Successful — USC win probability +4.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: USC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USC made the numbers' call on 3 of 3UCLA made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 8:20UCLA 4th & 4 at UCLA 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.6%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:13USC 4th & 9 at UCLA 21, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.6%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.7%
    74% to make
    Punt
    88.8%−0.9
    average punt
  3. Q2 5:42USC 4th & 11 at UCLA 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 82.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.0%−0.5
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.4%
    86% to make
    Punt
    79.4%−3.0
    average punt
  4. Q2 0:18UCLA 4th & 1 at USC 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 24.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.1%−0.5
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    24.6%
    75% to make
    Punt
    20.7%−3.8
    average punt
  5. Q3 13:20UCLA 4th & 4 at UCLA 20, up 3
    Close callPunted · 25.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.7%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.6%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q3 12:23USC 4th & 10 at USC 36, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.0%−1.6
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.6%
    average punt
  7. Q3 5:17UCLA 4th & 13 at USC 42, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.4%−1.6
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    34.8%−1.2
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    36.0%
    average punt
  8. Q4 13:54UCLA 4th & 6 at UCLA 42, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.7%−0.9
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.6%
    average punt
  9. Q4 4:17UCLA 4th & 15 at USC 45, down 11
    Close callWent for it · 5.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.4%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    5.2%−0.4
    25% to make
    Punt
    5.6%
    average punt
  10. Q4 0:46UCLA 4th & 5 at USC 6, down 19
    Close callWent for it · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.4%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    1.6%
    91% to make
    Punt
    0.7%−1.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USC made the numbers' call on 1 of 2UCLA made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 11:23UCLA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 11:24USC Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 2:29USC Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    98.5%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    98.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USCDrive 1TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 5:4093% → 92%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
92.9%
(15:00) Shotgun #30 K.Miller rush left for 5 yards gain to the USC30 (#21 C.Martin)Similar
Q1 14:25
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-4
92.8%
(14:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava sacked for loss of 4 yards to the USC26 (#6 J.Vaughns)Similar
Q1 13:45
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+26
92.6%
(13:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass complete short left to #16 T.Hines caught at USC23, for 26 yards to the UCLA48 (#1 K.Clark; #2 A.Jordan Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
92.6%
(13:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #30 K.Miller rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UCLA43 (#99 K.Williams; #1 K.Clark)Similar
Q1 12:31
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+13
92.5%
(12:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #30 K.Miller rush right for 13 yards gain to the UCLA30 (#7 A.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
92.4%
(12:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #30 K.Miller rush right for 2 yards gain to the UCLA28 (#28 S.Jackson)Similar
Q1 11:21
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+5
92.6%
(11:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #30 K.Miller rush left for 5 yards gain to the UCLA23 (#97 J.Busic)Similar
Q1 10:33
3RD & 3
OPP 23
+4
92.5%
(10:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #30 K.Miller rush left for 4 yards gain to the UCLA19 (#1 K.Clark), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+14
92.4%
(10:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass complete short left to #87 L.McRee caught at UCLA21, for 14 yards to the UCLA05 (#7 A.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
92.4%
(09:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #30 K.Miller rush left for 5 yards gain to the UCLA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:15 #48 R.Sayeri kick attempt good (H: #80 S.Johnson, LS: #31 H.Pepper)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:478% → 8%
Q1 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
92.1%
(09:15) Shotgun #9 N.Iamaleava pass complete short left to #3 K.Gilmer caught at UCLA23, for 6 yards to the UCLA31 (#24 C.Pierce), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 8:36
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
91.9%
(08:39) Shotgun #9 N.Iamaleava pass incomplete short middle to #3 K.Gilmer thrown to UCLA38Similar
Q1 8:32
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
92.0%
(08:36) Shotgun #9 N.Iamaleava pass incomplete short right to #7 M.Matthews thrown to UCLA36 broken up by #24 C.PierceSimilar
Q1 8:20
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+13
92.1%
(08:32) #49 W.Karoll punt 50 yards to the USC19 #44 J.Zamora return 13 yards to the USC32 (#91 M.Sullivan)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 3MISSED FG
10 plays · 47 yds · 4:0092% → 91%
Q1 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
92.0%
(08:20) Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass incomplete short right thrown to USC42 QB hurried by #15 A.JonesSimilar
Q1 8:13
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+4
92.0%
(08:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass complete short right to #16 T.Hines caught at USC29, for 4 yards to the USC36 (#28 S.Jackson), out of bounds PENALTY USC Holding (#9 J.Fair) 10 yards from USC36 to USC26Similar
Q1 7:45
2ND & 16
OWN 26
+11
91.9%
(07:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass complete short left to #15 J.Richardson caught at USC34, for 11 yards to the USC37 (#9 J.Woods)Similar
Q1 7:13
3RD & 5
OWN 37
+10
91.8%
(07:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass complete short right to #15 J.Richardson caught at USC47, for 10 yards to the USC47 (#2 A.Jordan Jr.), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY UCLA Offside declinedSimilar
Q1 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+10
92.0%
(06:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass complete short left to #10 J.Johnson caught at USC45, for 10 yards to the UCLA43 (#6 J.Vaughns), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+21
92.0%
(06:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava rush right for 21 yards gain to the UCLA22 (#7 A.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
91.9%
(05:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #30 K.Miller rush middle for 0 yards to the UCLA22 (#58 G.Smith III)Similar
Q1 4:56
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+1
91.8%
(05:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #30 K.Miller rush left for 1 yard gain to the UCLA21 (#99 K.Williams; #6 J.Vaughns)Similar
Q1 4:20
3RD & 9
OPP 21
0
91.6%
(04:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass incomplete deep right to #9 J.Fair thrown to UCLA00Similar
Q1 4:13
4TH & 9
OPP 21
+38
91.4%
(04:19) #48 R.Sayeri field goal attempt from 38 yards NO GOOD blocked by #20 S.Taylor (H: #80 S.Johnson, LS: #31 H.Pepper), clock 04:13, out of bounds at UCLA21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 4TD
16 plays · 79 yds · 7:409% → 14%
Q1 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
91.3%
(04:13) Shotgun #9 N.Iamaleava pass complete short left to #81 H.Habermehl caught at UCLA22, for 5 yards to the UCLA26 (#27 A.Graham)Similar
Q1 3:31
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+5
91.1%
(03:36) Shotgun #6 A.Woods rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UCLA31 (#6 A.Lucas; #9 K.Silver), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
90.9%
(02:52) Shotgun #0 J.Berger rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UCLA34 (#6 A.Lucas)Similar
Q1 1:55
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+12
90.6%
(02:06) Shotgun #9 N.Iamaleava pass complete short right to #6 A.Woods caught at UCLA29, for 12 yards to the UCLA46 (#18 E.Gentry), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
90.2%
(01:23) Shotgun #0 J.Berger rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UCLA50 (#23 D.Stephens II)Similar
Q1 0:32
2ND & 6
50
+6
89.9%
(00:40) Shotgun #9 N.Iamaleava pass complete short right to #2 T.Mokiao-Atimalala caught at UCLA49, for 6 yards to the USC44 (#17 D.Nicholson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
89.8%
(00:05) Shotgun #9 N.Iamaleava pass incomplete deep right to #3 K.Gilmer thrown to USC22 PENALTY USC Offside (#4 J.Stewart) 5 yards from USC44 to USC39. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 0:02
1ST & 5
OPP 39
+6
89.7%
(00:02) Shotgun #22 A.Frias II rush middle for 6 yards gain to the USC33 (#24 C.Pierce), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+17
89.5%
(15:00) Shotgun #0 J.Berger rush right for 17 yards gain to the USC16 (#24 C.Pierce), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:11
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
89.2%
(14:19) Shotgun #0 J.Berger rush middle for 4 yards gain to the USC12 (#23 D.Stephens II)Similar
Q2 13:27
2ND & 6
OPP 12
+7
89.0%
(13:36) Shotgun #9 N.Iamaleava pass complete short left to #7 M.Matthews caught at USC10, for 7 yards to the USC05 (#28 K.Urlacher), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
88.8%
(12:56) Shotgun #9 N.Iamaleava rush middle for 1 yard gain to the USC04 (#6 A.Lucas; #1 K.Crawford)Similar
Q2 12:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
88.6%
(12:12) Shotgun #22 A.Frias II rush middle for 2 yards gain to the USC02 (#97 J.Abasiri)Similar
Q2 11:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
85.7%
(11:25) Shotgun #9 N.Iamaleava pass complete short right to #3 K.Gilmer caught at USC00, for 2 yards to the USC00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:23 #94 M.Bhaghani kick attempt good (H: #35 C.Peterman, LS: #50 S.Abdul-Wahab)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 5MISSED FG
13 plays · 63 yds · 5:3587% → 85%
Q2 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
87.4%
(11:23) Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass incomplete deep left to #8 J.Lane thrown to UCLA36Similar
Q2 11:09
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+20
87.3%
(11:17) Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass complete short left to #30 K.Miller caught at USC18, for 20 yards to the USC45 (#7 A.Williams), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
87.8%
(10:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass complete short right to #30 K.Miller caught at USC40, for 4 yards to the USC49 (#2 A.Jordan Jr.)Similar
Q2 9:46
2ND & 6
OWN 49
0
87.7%
(09:55) Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass incomplete short left to #6 M.Lemon thrown to UCLA44 broken up by #1 K.Clark QB hurried by #15 A.JonesSimilar
Q2 9:35
3RD & 6
OWN 49
+10
87.3%
(09:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass complete short right to #85 W.Lyons caught at UCLA41, for 10 yards to the UCLA41 (#28 S.Jackson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+17
87.6%
(09:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass complete short left to #27 R.Wormley caught at UCLA27, for 17 yards to the UCLA24 (#7 A.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:34
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
87.8%
(08:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 R.Wormley rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UCLA23 (#52 K.Bennett; #6 J.Vaughns)Similar
Q2 7:54
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+12
87.5%
(08:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass complete short middle to #8 J.Lane caught at UCLA11, for 12 yards to the UCLA11 (#2 A.Jordan Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-3
87.2%
(07:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 B.Jackson rush middle for 3 yards loss to the UCLA14 (#6 J.Vaughns)Similar
Q2 6:23
2ND & 13
OPP 14
+2
86.9%
(06:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 M.Lemon rush left for 2 yards gain to the UCLA12 (#2 A.Jordan Jr.), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 5:46
3RD & 11
OPP 12
0
86.2%
(05:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass incomplete short right to #85 W.Lyons thrown to UCLA00 QB hurried by #41 J.WallsSimilar
Q2 5:42
4TH & 11
OPP 12
+30
85.2%
(05:46) #48 R.Sayeri field goal attempt from 30 yards NO GOOD (H: #80 S.Johnson, LS: #31 H.Pepper), clock 05:42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 6FG
17 plays · 60 yds · 5:1717% → 26%
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
83.1%
(05:42) Shotgun #6 A.Woods rush left for 12 yards gain to the UCLA32 (#30 M.Gallegos), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
82.4%
(05:01) Shotgun #9 N.Iamaleava pass complete short right to #6 A.Woods caught at UCLA31, for 3 yards to the UCLA35 (#23 D.Stephens II)Similar
Q2 4:12
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+2
81.8%
(04:20) Shotgun #9 N.Iamaleava rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UCLA37 (#1 K.Crawford)Similar
Q2 3:26
3RD & 5
OWN 37
+11
81.4%
(03:34) Shotgun #9 N.Iamaleava pass complete short right to #3 K.Gilmer caught at UCLA46, for 11 yards to the UCLA48 (#22 B.Conley), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
79.6%
(02:45) Shotgun #9 N.Iamaleava pass incomplete short left to #23 K.Miller thrown to USC45Similar
Q2 2:37
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
79.9%
(02:43) Shotgun #22 A.Frias II rush middle for 0 yards to the UCLA48 (#4 J.Stewart)Similar
Q2 1:52
3RD & 10
OWN 48
+11
80.2%
(02:00) Shotgun #9 N.Iamaleava pass complete short right to #3 K.Gilmer caught at USC41, for 11 yards to the USC41, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
78.0%
(01:30) Shotgun #6 A.Woods rush middle for 1 yard gain to the USC40 (#18 E.Gentry; #27 A.Graham)Similar
Q2 1:17
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+11
77.5%
(01:24) Shotgun #9 N.Iamaleava rush right for 11 yards gain to the USC29 (#28 K.Urlacher), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
76.4%
(01:17) Shotgun #9 N.Iamaleava pass complete short left to #6 A.Woods caught at USC31, for 3 yards to the USC26 (#24 C.Pierce)Similar
Q2 1:03
2ND & 7
OPP 26
0
75.8%
(01:05) Shotgun #9 N.Iamaleava pass incomplete short left to #3 K.Gilmer thrown to USC30 broken up by #18 E.GentrySimilar
Q2 0:57
3RD & 7
OPP 26
+6
77.0%
(01:03) Shotgun #9 N.Iamaleava rush middle for 6 yards gain to the USC20 (#27 A.Graham). The previous play is under automatic review - "First down". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (01:03) Shotgun #9 N.Iamaleava rush middle for 7 yards gain to the USC19 (#27 A.Graham), 1ST DOWN)Similar
Q2 0:18
4TH & 1
OPP 20
+38
74.4%
(00:22) #94 M.Bhaghani field goal attempt from 38 yards GOOD (H: #35 C.Peterman, LS: #50 S.Abdul-Wahab), clock 00:18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 7END OF HALF
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0077% → 78%
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
77.3%
(00:18) Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass complete short left to #30 K.Miller caught at USC29, for 11 yards to the USC36 (#21 C.Martin), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-13
78.1%
(00:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava sacked for loss of 13 yards to the USC23 (#92 S.Taupaki)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:3024% → 24%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
75.8%
(15:00) Shotgun #0 J.Berger rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UCLA16 (#18 E.Gentry)Similar
Q3 14:10
2ND & 8
OWN 16
0
75.3%
(14:17) Shotgun #9 N.Iamaleava pass incomplete short left to #2 T.Mokiao-Atimalala thrown to UCLA35Similar
Q3 13:54
3RD & 8
OWN 16
+4
76.1%
(14:10) Shotgun #9 N.Iamaleava pass complete short left to #81 H.Habermehl caught at UCLA20, for 4 yards to the UCLA20 (#17 D.Nicholson)Similar
Q3 13:20
4TH & 4
OWN 20
0
76.2%
(13:32) #49 W.Karoll punt 44 yards to the USC36 fair catch by #6 M.Lemon at USC36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:5276% → 73%
Q3 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
76.1%
(13:20) Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass incomplete short left to #8 J.Lane thrown to USC43 broken up by #2 A.Jordan Jr.Similar
Q3 13:10
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
75.7%
(13:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #30 K.Miller rush right for 0 yards to the USC36 (#32 I.Chisom; #99 K.Williams)Similar
Q3 12:30
3RD & 10
OWN 36
0
73.7%
(12:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass incomplete deep left to #16 T.Hines thrown to UCLA28Similar
Q3 12:23
4TH & 10
OWN 36
0
72.9%
(12:29) #80 S.Johnson punt 39 yards to the UCLA25 fair catch by #7 M.Matthews at UCLA25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 10PUNT
11 plays · 33 yds · 6:5826% → 33%
Q3 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
73.8%
(12:23) Shotgun #6 A.Woods rush left for 8 yards gain to the UCLA33 (#24 C.Pierce), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 11:36
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
72.0%
(11:40) #9 N.Iamaleava rush middle for 0 yards to the UCLA33 fumbled by #9 N.Iamaleava at UCLA33 recovered by UCLA #9 N.Iamaleava at UCLA33, End Of PlaySimilar
Q3 10:42
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
71.7%
(10:58) Shotgun #9 N.Iamaleava pass complete short right to #7 M.Matthews caught at UCLA36, for 3 yards to the UCLA36, out of bounds at UCLA36, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
70.9%
(10:19) Shotgun #9 N.Iamaleava pass complete short right to #2 T.Mokiao-Atimalala caught at UCLA40, for 4 yards to the UCLA40 (#17 D.Nicholson)Similar
Q3 9:32
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+7
68.0%
(09:42) Shotgun #9 N.Iamaleava pass complete short left to #7 M.Matthews caught at UCLA47, for 7 yards to the UCLA47 (#23 D.Stephens II), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
67.0%
(09:03) Shotgun #9 N.Iamaleava pass complete short right to #3 K.Gilmer caught at UCLA45, for 6 yards to the USC47 (#23 D.Stephens II)Similar
Q3 8:10
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+8
65.4%
(08:24) Shotgun #9 N.Iamaleava pass complete short middle to #81 H.Habermehl caught at USC39, for 8 yards to the USC39 (#28 K.Urlacher), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
65.0%
(07:39) Shotgun #6 A.Woods rush right for 2 yards gain to the USC37 (#27 A.Graham)Similar
Q3 6:49
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+3
64.2%
(06:56) Shotgun #9 N.Iamaleava rush left for 3 yards gain to the USC34 (#18 E.Gentry)Similar
Q3 6:00
3RD & 5
OPP 34
-8
63.6%
(06:08) Shotgun #9 N.Iamaleava sacked for loss of 8 yards to the USC42 (#97 J.Abasiri)Similar
Q3 5:17
4TH & 13
OPP 42
0
66.9%
(05:24) #49 W.Karoll punt 33 yards to the USC09 fair catch by #6 M.Lemon at USC09Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 11TD
10 plays · 91 yds · 4:3867% → 84%
Q3 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+8
66.9%
(05:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass complete short middle to #85 W.Lyons caught at USC13, for 8 yards to the USC17 (#21 C.Martin; #32 I.Chisom)Similar
Q3 4:44
2ND & 2
OWN 17
+8
67.2%
(04:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #30 K.Miller rush right for 8 yards gain to the USC25 (#1 K.Clark), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
66.4%
(04:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass incomplete short left to #8 J.Lane thrown to USC32 broken up by #2 A.Jordan Jr.Similar
Q3 4:01
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
66.0%
(04:08) Shotgun #30 K.Miller rush left for 6 yards gain to the USC31 (#97 J.Busic; #4 K.Lawrence)Similar
Q3 3:22
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+12
64.9%
(03:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass complete short middle to #8 J.Lane caught at USC43, for 12 yards to the USC43 (#21 C.Martin; #1 K.Clark), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
68.0%
(03:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava rush right for 6 yards gain to the USC49 (#4 K.Lawrence)Similar
Q3 2:09
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+1
68.3%
(02:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass complete short right to #16 T.Hines caught at USC50, for 1 yard to the USC50 (#1 K.Clark)Similar
Q3 1:33
3RD & 3
50
+4
66.9%
(01:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass complete short right to #85 W.Lyons caught at USC50, for 4 yards to the UCLA46 (#1 K.Clark), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:58
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+14
67.5%
(01:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass complete short middle to #87 L.McRee caught at UCLA36, for 14 yards to the UCLA32 (#28 S.Jackson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
84.0%
(00:32) Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass complete deep right to #6 M.Lemon caught at UCLA00, for 32 yards to the UCLA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:25, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY UCLA Pass Interference declined #48 R.Sayeri kick attempt good (H: #80 S.Johnson, LS: #31 H.Pepper)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 27 yds · 1:2621% → 22%
Q3 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+23
78.9%
(00:20) Shotgun #0 J.Berger rush right for 23 yards gain to the UCLA38 (#28 K.Urlacher), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
77.1%
(15:00) Shotgun #0 J.Berger rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UCLA42 (#8 D.Thompkins)Similar
Q4 14:14
2ND & 6
OWN 42
0
74.9%
(14:20) Shotgun #9 N.Iamaleava pass incomplete deep right to #3 K.Gilmer thrown to USC35Similar
Q4 14:08
3RD & 6
OWN 42
0
76.5%
(14:14) Shotgun #9 N.Iamaleava pass incomplete short right to #2 T.Mokiao-Atimalala thrown to USC40 broken up by #25 M.WilliamsSimilar
Q4 13:54
4TH & 6
OWN 42
+35
78.3%
(14:08) #49 W.Karoll punt 50 yards to the USC08 #6 M.Lemon return 35 yards to the USC43 (#49 W.Karoll), out of boundsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 13TD
5 plays · 57 yds · 2:3082% → 93%
Q4 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+15
81.9%
(13:54) Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass intercepted by #4 K.Lawrence at UCLA26 #4 K.Lawrence return 33 yards to the USC41 (#24 C.Pierce) PENALTY UCLA Pass Interference declined UCLA Roughing The Passer (#15 A.Jones) 15 yards from USC43 to UCLA42, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
82.7%
(13:33) Shotgun #30 K.Miller rush left for 5 yards gain to the UCLA37 (#99 K.Williams; #97 J.Busic)Similar
Q4 12:40
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+28
82.5%
(12:53) Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass complete short left to #8 J.Lane caught at UCLA23, for 28 yards to the UCLA09 (#4 K.Lawrence), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 11:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
83.0%
(12:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass complete short right to #30 K.Miller caught at UCLA10, for 7 yards to the UCLA02 (#9 J.Woods)Similar
Q4 11:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
92.8%
(11:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass complete short right to #87 L.McRee caught at UCLA00, for 2 yards to the UCLA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:24 #48 R.Sayeri kick attempt good (H: #80 S.Johnson, LS: #31 H.Pepper)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 14DOWNS
15 plays · 40 yds · 6:529% → 6%
Q4 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
91.4%
(11:24) Shotgun #9 N.Iamaleava pass complete short middle to #3 K.Gilmer caught at UCLA36, for 11 yards to the UCLA36 (#25 M.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
90.4%
(10:52) Shotgun #9 N.Iamaleava pass complete short right to #3 K.Gilmer caught at UCLA44, for 8 yards to the UCLA44, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 10:11
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+3
90.9%
(10:21) Shotgun #9 N.Iamaleava pass complete short right to #3 K.Gilmer caught at UCLA41, for 3 yards to the UCLA47 (#1 K.Crawford), 1ST DOWN. #17 D.Nicholson injured on the playSimilar
Q4 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
90.7%
(09:54) PENALTY UCLA False Start (#71 R.Unije) 5 yards from UCLA47 to UCLA42. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 9:28
1ST & 15
OWN 42
-2
92.1%
(09:35) Shotgun #9 N.Iamaleava sacked for loss of 3 yards to the UCLA39 (#97 J.Abasiri, #4 J.Stewart)Similar
Q4 8:46
2ND & 18
OWN 39
+5
92.8%
PENALTY UCLA Delay Of Game 5 yards from UCLA39 to UCLA34. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 8:07
2ND & 23
OWN 34
+2
93.0%
(08:24) Shotgun #9 N.Iamaleava pass complete short left to #6 A.Woods caught at UCLA29, for 2 yards to the UCLA36 (#27 A.Graham)Similar
Q4 7:24
3RD & 21
OWN 36
+24
93.7%
(07:37) Shotgun #9 N.Iamaleava pass complete short middle to #2 T.Mokiao-Atimalala caught at USC45, for 24 yards to the USC40 (#28 K.Urlacher), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 6:44
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
91.7%
(06:49) Shotgun #9 N.Iamaleava pass incomplete short left to #7 M.Matthews thrown to USC33Similar
Q4 6:36
2ND & 10
OPP 40
-2
91.6%
(06:44) Shotgun #9 N.Iamaleava sacked for loss of 2 yards to the USC42 (#10 B.Shelby)Similar
Q4 5:52
3RD & 12
OPP 42
+5
92.7%
(05:52) PENALTY UCLA Delay Of Game 5 yards from USC42 to USC47. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 5:32
3RD & 17
OPP 47
+5
93.5%
(05:32) PENALTY UCLA False Start (#71 R.Unije) 5 yards from USC47 to UCLA48. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 4:55
3RD & 22
OWN 48
+7
93.9%
(05:13) Shotgun #9 N.Iamaleava pass complete short right to #6 A.Woods caught at UCLA46, for 7 yards to the USC45 (#17 D.Nicholson; #18 E.Gentry)Similar
Q4 4:17
4TH & 15
OPP 45
+10
94.4%
(04:26) Shotgun #9 N.Iamaleava pass complete short left to #3 K.Gilmer caught at USC37, for 10 yards to the USC35 (#23 D.Stephens II), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 15TD
5 plays · 50 yds · 1:4395% → 99%
Q4 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
94.8%
(04:17) Shotgun #30 K.Miller rush left for 7 yards gain to the USC42 (#9 J.Woods)Similar
Q4 3:24
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+14
95.9%
(03:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #30 K.Miller rush left for 14 yards gain to the UCLA44 (#4 K.Lawrence), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:36
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
96.2%
(02:39) Shotgun #30 K.Miller rush right for 3 yards gain to the UCLA41 (#97 J.Busic)Similar
Q4 2:29
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+41
99.3%
(02:36) Shotgun #30 K.Miller rush left for 41 yards gain to the UCLA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:29, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY USC UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (#8 J.Lane) 15 yards from UCLA00 to UCLA03 #85 W.Lyons pass attempt Successful #28 G.Roy pass attempt SuccessfulSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 16DOWNS
12 plays · 47 yds · 1:292% → 2%
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-2
98.4%
(02:21) Shotgun #9 N.Iamaleava pass complete short left to #22 A.Frias II caught at UCLA45, for 2 yards loss to the UCLA45 (#27 A.Graham), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 12
OWN 44
+21
98.4%
(02:00) Shotgun #9 N.Iamaleava pass complete deep middle to #7 M.Matthews caught at USC34, for 21 yards to the USC34, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY USC Illegal Substitution declinedSimilar
Q4 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
98.1%
(01:54) Shotgun #9 N.Iamaleava pass incomplete short right to #3 K.Gilmer thrown to USC15Similar
Q4 1:41
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+10
98.1%
(01:48) Shotgun #9 N.Iamaleava rush middle for 10 yards gain to the USC24 (#92 C.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+13
98.0%
(01:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 N.Iamaleava pass complete short middle to #2 T.Mokiao-Atimalala caught at USC12, for 13 yards to the USC11, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
98.0%
(01:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 N.Iamaleava pass complete short right to #3 K.Gilmer caught at USC09, for 5 yards to the USC06 (#1 K.Crawford)Similar
Q4 0:55
2ND & 5
OPP 6
0
98.1%
(00:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 N.Iamaleava pass incomplete short left to #7 M.Matthews thrown to USC00Similar
Q4 0:51
3RD & 5
OPP 6
0
98.3%
(00:55) Shotgun #9 N.Iamaleava pass incomplete short right to #3 K.Gilmer thrown to USC03 broken up by #2 D.HarveySimilar
Q4 0:46
4TH & 5
OPP 6
-5
98.3%
(00:51) Shotgun #9 N.Iamaleava sacked for loss of 5 yards to the USC11 (#31 J.Walker), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 17Uncategorized
3 plays · -3 yds · 0:17100% → 99%
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-1
99.5%
(00:46) Kneel down by USC at USC10 for loss of 1 yardSimilar
Q4 0:23
2ND & 11
OWN 10
-2
99.4%
(00:23) Kneel down by USC at USC08 for loss of 2 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 0:25
(00:32) Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass complete deep right to #6 M.Lemon caught at UCLA00, for 32 yards to the UCLA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:25, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY UCLA Pass Interference declined #48 R.Sayeri kick attempt good (H: #80 S.Johnson, LS: #31 H.Pepper)
+16.5
TD · Q4 11:24
(11:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass complete short right to #87 L.McRee caught at UCLA00, for 2 yards to the UCLA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:24 #48 R.Sayeri kick attempt good (H: #80 S.Johnson, LS: #31 H.Pepper)
+9.8
KEY PLAY · Q2 1:17
(01:24) Shotgun #9 N.Iamaleava rush right for 11 yards gain to the USC29 (#28 K.Urlacher), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
-6.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com