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WIS

Wisconsin 7 at Minnesota 17

MINN
2025 · Week 14 · Nov 29, 2025 · Huntington Bank Stadium
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Win probability · MINN
modelMINN aheadWIS aheadconfidence bandkey playMINN scoreWIS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 10:25 · (10:28) #42 T.Weston punt 36 yards to the WISC09, out of bounds at WISC09
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+31.0+15.50−15.5−31.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 13Home team on offense+0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Pregame prior−6.0Garbage-time factor−0.1Score differential−0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q2 1:04: Timeout Minnesota, clock 01:04 — MINN win probability +16.1 pts (now 78%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:55: (01:03) Shotgun #6 D.Dupree rush middle for 1 yard gain to the MINN01 (#6 M.Baranowski; #1 J.Howard) — WIS win probability +14.8 pts (now 37%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:27: Timeout Minnesota, clock 00:27 — MINN win probability +14.3 pts (now 78%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:27: (00:27) No Huddle #5 C.Smith pass complete short right to #34 J.Acker caught at MINN00, for 1 yard to the MINN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:21. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner was inbounds". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (00:27) No Huddle #5 C.Smith pass incomplete short right to #34 C.Jarvis thrown to MINN00 QB hurried by #9 D.Williams and #20 J.Roberson, TURNOVER ON DOWNS) #90 N.Vakos kick attempt good (H: #49 A.Bertrams, LS: #46 N.Levy) — WIS win probability +17.2 pts (now 40%) (top driver: Defense has -2 timeouts left).
  5. TD · Q3 5:04: (05:08) Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass complete short middle to #86 J.Geers caught at WISC00, for 13 yards to the WISC00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:04, 1ST DOWN. #86 J.Geers injured on the play #92 B.Denaburg kick attempt good (H: #42 T.Weston, LS: #80 A.Soukup) — MINN win probability +13.3 pts (now 80%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MINN made the numbers' call on 5 of 6WIS made the numbers' call on 4 of 8
  1. Q1 10:25MINN 4th & 8 at WIS 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.1%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    46.0%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    46.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:47MINN 4th & 8 at WIS 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 47.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.1%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.2%
    75% to make
    Punt
    46.1%−1.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:32WIS 4th & 2 at WIS 28, tied
    Close callPunted · 52.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.3%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:49MINN 4th & 10 at WIS 37, tied
    Close callPunted · 48.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.8%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    48.8%−<0.1
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    48.7%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:26WIS 4th & 6 at WIS 5, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.5%−0.7
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:32MINN 4th & 6 at WIS 15, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 54.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.3%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.4%
    83% to make
    Punt
    47.9%−5.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:12WIS 4th & 3 at WIS 44, down 3
    Close callPunted · 46.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.0%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:27WIS 4th & 1 at MINN 1, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.0%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    32.6%−2.4
    94% to make
    Punt
    26.2%−8.9
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:23MINN 4th & 10 at WIS 44, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.5%−0.7
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    55.6%−1.6
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    57.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 0:37WIS 4th & 8 at MINN 33, down 10
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.4 ptsPunted · 19.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.8%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    18.8%
    49% to make
    PuntTheir call
    17.5%−1.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 11:47WIS 4th & 7 at WIS 46, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.3%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.6%
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:08MINN 4th & 7 at WIS 48, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.4%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.5%
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:25WIS 4th & 1 at WIS 20, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.6%−0.6
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:52WIS 4th & 12 at MINN 49, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.8%−0.4
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MINN made the numbers' call on 2 of 2WIS made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 2:45MINN Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:27WIS Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 5:04MINN Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MINNDrive 1PUNT
14 plays · 35 yds · 4:2344% → 45%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
43.5%
(14:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass complete short left to #0 L.Brockington caught at MINN25, for 5 yards to the MINN25 (#2 R.Hallman), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 14:18
2ND & 5
OWN 25
0
43.7%
(14:20) Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass incomplete short left to #11 J.Tracy thrown to MINN34Similar
Q1 14:04
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+5
43.7%
(14:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass complete short left to #87 D.Biber caught at MINN30, for 5 yards to the MINN30 (#9 A.Brown), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
43.8%
(13:53) Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass complete short left to #1 D.Taylor caught at MINN27, for 5 yards to the MINN35 (#44 C.Catalano) PENALTY WISC Illegal Substitution 5 yards from MINN30 to MINN35. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 13:14
1ST & 5
OWN 35
0
44.1%
(13:21) Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass incomplete short right to #11 J.Tracy thrown to MINN49 broken up by #9 A.Brown. #9 A.Brown injured on the playSimilar
Q1 13:06
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+7
44.1%
(13:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 D.Taylor rush right for 7 yards gain to the MINN42 (#19 T.Heiberger), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
44.4%
(12:45) Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass complete short middle to #1 D.Taylor caught at MINN45, for 3 yards to the MINN45 (#9 A.Brown)Similar
Q1 12:14
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+8
44.6%
(12:21) Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass complete short middle to #86 J.Geers caught at MINN49, for 8 yards to the WISC47 (#44 C.Catalano), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
44.8%
(11:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 D.Taylor rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WISC46 (#8 M.Posa)Similar
Q1 11:12
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+1
45.1%
(11:19) #1 D.Taylor rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WISC45 (#8 M.Posa; #44 C.Catalano)Similar
Q1 10:31
3RD & 8
OPP 45
0
45.1%
(10:35) Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass incomplete short left to #0 L.Brockington thrown to WISC35Similar
Q1 10:25
4TH & 8
OPP 45
0
44.8%
(10:28) #42 T.Weston punt 36 yards to the WISC09, out of bounds at WISC09Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 2FUMBLE
7 plays · 13 yds · 2:0755% → 54%
Q1 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-2
44.8%
(10:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 D.Dupree rush right for 2 yards loss to the WISC07 (#91 D.Eastern)Similar
Q1 9:39
2ND & 12
OWN 7
+7
45.0%
(09:45) #6 D.Dupree rush middle for 7 yards gain to the WISC14 (#3 K.Perich)Similar
Q1 8:54
3RD & 5
OWN 14
+9
45.4%
(09:02) Shotgun #5 C.Smith rush middle for 9 yards gain to the WISC23 (#14 K.Brown), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
45.1%
(08:26) Shotgun #5 C.Smith pass incomplete short left to #6 D.Dupree thrown to WISC28 QB hurried by #0 A.SmithSimilar
Q1 8:11
2ND & 10
OWN 23
-1
46.1%
(08:18) No Huddle-Shotgun Wisconsin rush middle for 1 yard loss to the WISC22 fumbled by Wisconsin at WISC21 recovered by MINN #17 J.Nestor at WISC22, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 3MISSED FG
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:1947% → 47%
Q1 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
47.1%
(08:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass incomplete short right to #0 L.Brockington thrown to WISC19Similar
Q1 7:59
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+2
47.1%
(08:05) #1 D.Taylor rush left for 2 yards gain to the WISC20 (#44 C.Catalano; #8 M.Posa)Similar
Q1 7:19
3RD & 8
OPP 20
0
47.2%
(07:28) Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass complete short right to #11 J.Tracy caught at WISC21, for 0 yards to the WISC20 (#1 G.Latimer)Similar
Q1 6:47
4TH & 8
OPP 20
+38
46.9%
(06:49) #92 B.Denaburg field goal attempt from 38 yards NO GOOD blocked by #68 B.Barten (H: #42 T.Weston, LS: #80 A.Soukup), clock 06:47, out of bounds at WISC00Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:0654% → 53%
Q1 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
46.1%
(06:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 C.Smith rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WISC23 (#91 D.Eastern)Similar
Q1 5:51
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+3
46.3%
(06:03) Shotgun #5 C.Smith pass complete short middle to #86 L.Mason caught at WISC22, for 3 yards to the WISC26 (#9 D.Williams)Similar
Q1 5:11
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+2
46.6%
(05:18) Shotgun #5 C.Smith rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WISC28 (#9 D.Williams; #3 K.Perich)Similar
Q1 4:32
4TH & 2
OWN 28
0
47.2%
(04:32) #91 S.West punt 40 yards to the MINN32 fair catch by #3 K.Perich at MINN32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 5PUNT
14 plays · 31 yds · 6:3848% → 49%
Q1 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
47.5%
(04:31) #7 F.Ijeboi rush right for 3 yards gain to the MINN35 (#0 C.Alliegro)Similar
Q1 3:32
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+7
48.0%
(03:53) Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass complete short right to #11 J.Tracy caught at MINN42, for 7 yards to the MINN42 (#5 D.Hill), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
48.8%
(03:21) Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass complete short right to #44 F.Bierman caught at MINN43, for 3 yards to the MINN45 (#9 A.Brown; #5 D.Hill), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 2:39
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+6
49.3%
(02:46) #7 F.Ijeboi rush middle for 6 yards gain to the WISC49 (#76 D.Johnson; #44 C.Catalano)Similar
Q1 1:50
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+2
49.2%
(02:01) Shotgun #1 D.Taylor rush right for 2 yards gain to the WISC47 (#9 A.Brown), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
49.7%
(01:24) Shotgun #1 D.Taylor rush middle for 4 yards gain to the WISC43 (#8 M.Posa)Similar
Q1 0:45
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+4
50.0%
(00:55) Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass complete short left to #16 M.Coleman caught at WISC39, for 4 yards to the WISC39, End Of PlaySimilar
Q1 0:24
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+2
50.0%
(00:24) Shotgun #7 F.Ijeboi rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WISC37 (#44 C.Catalano), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-4
50.4%
(14:56) Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey sacked for loss of 4 yards to the WISC41 (#0 C.Alliegro)Similar
Q2 14:09
2ND & 14
OPP 41
+2
49.9%
(14:12) #1 D.Taylor rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WISC39 (#9 A.Brown)Similar
Q2 13:20
3RD & 12
OPP 39
+2
49.9%
(13:26) Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey rush right for 2 yards gain to the WISC37 (#17 D.Peterson; #22 M.Reiger), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 12:49
4TH & 10
OPP 37
0
49.3%
(12:55) #42 T.Weston punt 35 yards to the WISC02, out of bounds at WISC02Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 2:2346% → 44%
Q2 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+2
53.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #34 J.Acker rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WISC04 (#0 A.Smith; #91 D.Eastern)Similar
Q2 11:49
2ND & 7
OWN 4
+6
54.5%
(11:52) No Huddle #6 D.Dupree rush middle for 6 yards gain to the WISC10 (#3 K.Perich)Similar
Q2 11:24
3RD & 1
OWN 10
-1
54.0%
(11:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 C.Smith rush middle for 1 yard loss to the WISC09 (#17 J.Nestor)Similar
Q2 10:45
4TH & 2
OWN 9
+4
55.3%
(10:53) PENALTY WISC False Start (#46 N.Levy) 4 yards from WISC09 to WISC05. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 10:26
4TH & 6
OWN 5
0
56.1%
(10:38) #91 S.West punt 30 yards to the WISC35 #3 K.Perich return 0 yards to the WISC35, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 7FG
8 plays · 20 yds · 3:4155% → 56%
Q2 10:13
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
55.0%
(10:22) #5 D.Lindsey pass complete short left to #1 D.Taylor caught at WISC40, for 3 yards to the WISC32, out of bounds at WISC32Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+3
55.0%
(09:54) #1 D.Taylor rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WISC29 (#68 B.Barten)Similar
Q2 9:00
3RD & 4
OPP 29
+10
55.1%
(09:08) #1 D.Taylor rush middle for 10 yards gain to the WISC19 (#29 M.Jung), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
56.1%
(08:38) #5 D.Lindsey pass complete short left to #1 D.Taylor caught at WISC23, for 2 yards to the WISC17 (#5 D.Hill)Similar
Q2 7:58
2ND & 8
OPP 17
+3
57.3%
(08:02) #7 F.Ijeboi rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WISC14 (#44 C.Catalano)Similar
Q2 7:10
3RD & 5
OPP 14
-1
56.9%
(07:17) #7 F.Ijeboi rush middle for 1 yard loss to the WISC15 (#95 B.Lane Jr.)Similar
Q2 6:32
4TH & 6
OPP 15
+33
56.0%
(06:39) #92 B.Denaburg field goal attempt from 33 yards GOOD (H: #42 T.Weston, LS: #80 A.Soukup), clock 06:32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 2:1544% → 43%
Q2 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
56.3%
(06:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 C.Smith pass incomplete short right thrown to WISC30 QB hurried by #6 M.BaranowskiSimilar
Q2 6:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
56.5%
(06:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 C.Smith pass complete short left to #8 V.Anthony II caught at WISC30, for 12 yards to the WISC37 (#17 J.Nestor), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
55.8%
(05:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 C.Smith pass incomplete deep left to #2 T.Kekahuna thrown to MINN35Similar
Q2 5:38
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+3
56.3%
(05:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 D.Dupree rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WISC40 (#9 D.Williams; #11 K.Menz)Similar
Q2 4:47
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+4
56.5%
(05:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 C.Smith pass complete short right to #2 T.Kekahuna caught at WISC39, for 4 yards to the WISC44 (#9 D.Williams), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 4:12
4TH & 3
OWN 44
0
56.6%
(04:12) #91 S.West punt 11 yards to the MINN45, out of bounds at MINN45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 9TD
3 plays · 55 yds · 1:1459% → 71%
Q2 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
58.6%
(04:11) Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass complete short left to #8 J.Smith caught at MINN49, for 4 yards to the MINN49, out of bounds at MINN49Similar
Q2 3:24
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+2
59.1%
(03:33) Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass complete short right to #11 J.Tracy caught at MINN48, for 2 yards to the WISC49 (#30 C.Perkins)Similar
Q2 2:45
3RD & 4
OPP 49
+49
71.1%
(02:52) Shotgun #1 D.Taylor rush middle for 49 yards gain to the WISC00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:45, 1ST DOWN #92 B.Denaburg kick attempt good (H: #42 T.Weston, LS: #80 A.Soukup)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 10TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 2:0335% → 40%
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
64.7%
(02:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 H.Simmons pass complete short left to #2 T.Kekahuna caught at WISC28, for 3 yards to the WISC28 (#17 J.Nestor)Similar
Q2 2:08
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
64.6%
(02:09) Shotgun #15 H.Simmons pass incomplete short left to #2 T.Kekahuna thrown to WISC25Similar
Q2 1:57
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+67
65.8%
(02:07) Shotgun #15 H.Simmons pass complete deep right to #8 V.Anthony II caught at WISC50, for 67 yards to the MINN05 (#24 J.McMillan), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
59.9%
(01:46) Shotgun #5 C.Smith rush right for 3 yards gain to the MINN02 (#3 K.Perich)Similar
Q2 1:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
62.1%
(01:14) Shotgun #5 C.Smith pass complete short right to #2 T.Kekahuna caught at MINN05, for 0 yards to the MINN02 (#17 J.Nestor)Similar
Q2 0:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
63.5%
(01:03) Shotgun #6 D.Dupree rush middle for 1 yard gain to the MINN01 (#6 M.Baranowski; #1 J.Howard)Similar
Q2 0:27
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
60.5%
(00:27) No Huddle #5 C.Smith pass complete short right to #34 J.Acker caught at MINN00, for 1 yard to the MINN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:21. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner was inbounds". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (00:27) No Huddle #5 C.Smith pass incomplete short right to #34 C.Jarvis thrown to MINN00 QB hurried by #9 D.Williams and #20 J.Roberson, TURNOVER ON DOWNS) #90 N.Vakos kick attempt good (H: #49 A.Bertrams, LS: #46 N.Levy)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 11END OF HALF
3 plays · -1 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
59.5%
(00:15) Kneel down by #5 D.Lindsey at MINN29 for loss of 1 yardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 12INT
6 plays · 11 yds · 1:1745% → 46%
Q3 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
55.0%
(14:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 H.Simmons rush right for 4 yards gain to the WISC30 (#35 D.LeCaptain)Similar
Q3 14:10
2ND & 6
OWN 30
0
54.6%
(14:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 H.Simmons pass incomplete deep middle to #8 V.Anthony II thrown to MINN33Similar
Q3 13:58
3RD & 6
OWN 30
+7
56.0%
(14:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 H.Simmons pass complete short middle to #8 V.Anthony II caught at WISC35, for 7 yards to the WISC37 (#9 D.Williams; #17 J.Nestor), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-8
54.5%
(13:28) Shotgun #15 H.Simmons pass intercepted by #17 J.Nestor at MINN48 broken up by #6 M.Baranowski #17 J.Nestor return 8 yards to the WISC44 (#11 T.Ashcraft) PENALTY WISC Ineligible Downfield on Pass declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:5461% → 58%
Q3 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
61.3%
(13:24) No Huddle #5 D.Lindsey pass incomplete short middle to #0 L.Brockington thrown to WISC40Similar
Q3 13:09
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
61.0%
(13:17) #1 D.Taylor rush middle for 0 yards to the WISC44 (#68 B.Barten)Similar
Q3 12:30
3RD & 10
OPP 44
0
59.5%
(12:36) Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass incomplete short left thrown to WISC38 QB hurried by #17 D.PetersonSimilar
Q3 12:23
4TH & 10
OPP 44
0
57.9%
(12:27) #42 T.Weston punt 22 yards to the WISC22, out of bounds at WISC22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 14INT
9 plays · 58 yds · 5:4943% → 45%
Q3 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
57.0%
(12:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #34 J.Acker rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WISC25 (#6 M.Baranowski; #16 R.Lawrence)Similar
Q3 11:31
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+6
57.0%
(11:40) Shotgun #15 H.Simmons pass complete short right to #11 T.Ashcraft caught at WISC25, for 6 yards to the WISC31 (#6 M.Baranowski; #7 A.Gousby)Similar
Q3 10:55
3RD & 1
OWN 31
+3
56.7%
(11:01) #34 J.Acker rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WISC34 (#3 K.Perich; #6 M.Baranowski), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+11
57.0%
(10:17) Shotgun #15 H.Simmons pass complete short right to #86 L.Mason caught at WISC35, for 11 yards to the WISC45 (#6 M.Baranowski), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
55.1%
(09:37) Shotgun #15 H.Simmons pass complete short left to #8 V.Anthony II caught at WISC43, for 6 yards to the MINN49 (#46 L.Finnessy)Similar
Q3 8:44
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+26
54.5%
(08:56) Shotgun #15 H.Simmons pass complete short left to #86 L.Mason caught at MINN31, for 26 yards to the MINN23 (#17 J.Nestor), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-2
53.2%
(08:07) Shotgun #2 T.Kekahuna rush left for 2 yards loss to the MINN25 (#17 J.Nestor)Similar
Q3 7:16
2ND & 12
OPP 25
+5
53.5%
(07:22) Shotgun #6 D.Dupree rush middle for 5 yards gain to the MINN20 (#3 K.Perich)Similar
Q3 6:26
3RD & 7
OPP 20
-68
55.1%
(06:39) Shotgun #15 H.Simmons pass intercepted by #17 J.Nestor at MINN16 #17 J.Nestor return 68 yards to the WISC16 (#15 H.Simmons; #2 T.Kekahuna)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 15TD
3 plays · 16 yds · 1:0966% → 80%
Q3 6:13
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
66.3%
(06:26) No Huddle #5 D.Lindsey pass complete short left to #86 J.Geers caught at WISC15, for 2 yards to the WISC14 (#8 M.Posa)Similar
Q3 5:41
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+1
66.6%
(05:47) #1 D.Taylor rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WISC13 (#99 P.Petersen)Similar
Q3 5:04
3RD & 7
OPP 13
+13
80.0%
(05:08) Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass complete short middle to #86 J.Geers caught at WISC00, for 13 yards to the WISC00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:04, 1ST DOWN. #86 J.Geers injured on the play #92 B.Denaburg kick attempt good (H: #42 T.Weston, LS: #80 A.Soukup)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 16PUNT
10 plays · 34 yds · 4:1122% → 18%
Q3 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+12
77.6%
(04:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #34 J.Acker rush middle for 12 yards gain to the WISC45 (#14 K.Brown; #3 K.Perich), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
77.1%
(04:15) Shotgun #6 D.Dupree rush middle for 0 yards to the WISC45 (#9 D.Williams; #6 M.Baranowski)Similar
Q3 3:29
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+20
78.1%
(03:37) Shotgun #6 D.Dupree rush middle for 20 yards gain to the MINN35 (#1 J.Howard), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-3
75.5%
(02:50) Shotgun #3 T.Henry rush left for 3 yards loss to the MINN38 (#11 K.Menz)Similar
Q3 2:02
2ND & 13
OPP 38
+4
78.3%
(02:14) Shotgun #15 H.Simmons pass complete short left to #11 T.Ashcraft caught at MINN36, for 4 yards to the MINN34 (#9 D.Williams)Similar
Q3 1:20
3RD & 9
OPP 34
+1
78.5%
(01:23) Shotgun #6 D.Dupree rush left for 1 yard gain to the MINN33 (#17 J.Nestor)Similar
Q3 0:37
4TH & 8
OPP 33
0
82.1%
(00:39) #49 A.Bertrams punt 32 yards to the MINN01Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:2815% → 13%
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
84.7%
(13:23) Shotgun #6 D.Dupree rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WISC46 (#11 K.Menz)Similar
Q4 12:35
2ND & 7
OWN 46
0
85.1%
(12:43) Shotgun #6 D.Dupree rush left for 0 yards to the WISC46 (#46 L.Finnessy; #9 D.Williams)Similar
Q4 11:55
3RD & 7
OWN 46
0
86.3%
(11:59) Shotgun #15 H.Simmons pass incomplete short right to #2 T.Kekahuna thrown to MINN46Similar
Q4 11:47
4TH & 7
OWN 46
0
87.3%
(11:52) #91 S.West punt 36 yards to the MINN18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 18PUNT
9 plays · 34 yds · 4:2887% → 92%
Q4 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+19
86.7%
(11:45) Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass complete short middle to #0 L.Brockington caught at MINN22, for 19 yards to the MINN37 (#44 C.Catalano), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
87.7%
(11:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass complete short middle to #1 D.Taylor caught at MINN40, for 3 yards to the MINN40 (#8 M.Posa)Similar
Q4 10:21
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+9
88.6%
(10:27) #7 F.Ijeboi rush middle for 9 yards gain to the MINN49 (#5 D.Hill; #44 C.Catalano), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
89.1%
(09:41) #7 F.Ijeboi rush left for 3 yards gain to the WISC48 (#8 M.Posa)Similar
Q4 8:45
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+1
91.1%
(08:52) #1 D.Taylor rush right for 1 yard gain to the WISC47 (#99 P.Petersen)Similar
Q4 7:57
3RD & 6
OPP 47
+4
91.9%
(08:06) Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass complete short middle to #86 J.Geers caught at WISC45, for 4 yards to the WISC43 (#8 M.Posa; #44 C.Catalano)Similar
Q4 7:18
4TH & 2
OPP 43
+5
91.8%
(07:18) #42 T.Weston punt 33 yards to the WISC10, out of bounds at WISC10 PENALTY MINN Illegal Formation 5 yards from WISC43 to WISC48. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 7:08
4TH & 7
OPP 48
0
91.7%
(07:10) #42 T.Weston punt 37 yards to the WISC11 fair catch by #3 T.Henry at WISC11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 19DOWNS
13 plays · 40 yds · 4:057% → 4%
Q4 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+5
92.9%
(07:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 H.Simmons pass complete short left to #13 E.Hilton Jr. caught at WISC14, for 5 yards to the WISC16 (#9 D.Williams), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 6:28
2ND & 5
OWN 16
0
92.7%
(06:28) Shotgun #15 H.Simmons pass incomplete short left to #8 V.Anthony II thrown to WISC16Similar
Q4 6:08
3RD & 5
OWN 16
+4
94.1%
(06:23) Shotgun #15 H.Simmons rush middle for 4 yards gain to the WISC20 (#6 M.Baranowski)Similar
Q4 5:25
4TH & 1
OWN 20
+7
94.5%
(05:34) #6 D.Dupree rush right for 7 yards gain to the WISC27 (#14 K.Brown), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
94.6%
(04:50) Shotgun #15 H.Simmons rush right for 8 yards gain to the WISC35 (#1 J.Howard), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 3:58
2ND & 2
OWN 35
+18
94.6%
(04:12) Shotgun #15 H.Simmons pass complete short middle to #1 C.Brooks Jr. caught at WISC47, for 18 yards to the MINN47 (#17 J.Nestor; #14 K.Brown), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 3:31
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+9
94.7%
(03:42) Shotgun #15 H.Simmons pass complete short middle to #86 L.Mason caught at MINN38, for 9 yards to the MINN38 (#3 K.Perich)Similar
Q4 3:24
2ND & 1
OPP 38
-11
94.3%
(03:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 H.Simmons pass incomplete short right thrown to MINN38 QB hurried by #46 L.Finnessy PENALTY WISC Intentional Grounding (#15 H.Simmons)Similar
Q4 3:13
3RD & 12
OPP 49
0
95.0%
(03:23) Shotgun #15 H.Simmons pass complete short right to #2 T.Kekahuna caught at WISC48, for 0 yards to the MINN49 (#7 A.Gousby)Similar
Q4 2:52
4TH & 12
OPP 49
0
96.3%
(02:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 H.Simmons pass incomplete deep left to #2 T.Kekahuna thrown to MINN28 broken up by #14 K.Brown QB hurried by #0 A.Smith, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 20END OF GAME
12 plays · 18 yds · 2:0899% → 99%
Q4 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
98.6%
(02:49) #1 D.Taylor rush middle for 7 yards gain to the WISC44 (#17 D.Peterson; #5 D.Hill)Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+4
98.6%
(02:04) Shotgun #1 D.Taylor rush middle for 4 yards gain to the WISC40 (#44 C.Catalano), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
98.7%
(02:00) Shotgun #1 D.Taylor rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WISC39 (#9 A.Brown)Similar
Q4 1:52
2ND & 9
OPP 39
0
98.7%
(01:54) #1 D.Taylor rush middle for 0 yards to the WISC39 (#9 A.Brown; #95 B.Lane Jr.)Similar
Q4 1:42
3RD & 9
OPP 39
+15
98.7%
(01:47) #11 J.Tracy rush left for 15 yards gain to the WISC24 (#29 M.Jung), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-6
99.0%
(01:19) Kneel down by #5 D.Lindsey at WISC30 for loss of 6 yardsSimilar
Q4 0:38
2ND & 16
OPP 30
-3
98.9%
(00:38) Kneel down by #5 D.Lindsey at WISC33 for loss of 3 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:27
(00:27) No Huddle #5 C.Smith pass complete short right to #34 J.Acker caught at MINN00, for 1 yard to the MINN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:21. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner was inbounds". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (00:27) No Huddle #5 C.Smith pass incomplete short right to #34 C.Jarvis thrown to MINN00 QB hurried by #9 D.Williams and #20 J.Roberson, TURNOVER ON DOWNS) #90 N.Vakos kick attempt good (H: #49 A.Bertrams, LS: #46 N.Levy)
-17.2
KEY PLAY · Q2 1:04
Timeout Minnesota, clock 01:04
+16.1
KEY PLAY · Q2 0:55
(01:03) Shotgun #6 D.Dupree rush middle for 1 yard gain to the MINN01 (#6 M.Baranowski; #1 J.Howard)
-14.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com