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ORE

Oregon 26 at Washington 14

WASH
2025 · Week 14 · Nov 29, 2025 · Husky Stadium
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Win probability · WASH
modelWASH aheadORE aheadconfidence bandkey playWASH scoreORE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 4:55 · (05:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass complete short middle to #4 M.Benson caught at WASH22, for 22 yards to the WASH16 (#18 R.Dillard-Allen), 1ST DOWN
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+41.0+20.50−20.5−41.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 66Home team on offense−8.2Pregame prior−10.5Score differential−4.5Garbage-time factor−2.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:54: (10:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Moore rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WASH00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:54 #36 A.Sappington kick attempt good (H: #46 J.Ferguson-Reynolds, LS: #43 L.Basso) — ORE win probability +6.0 pts (now 70%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:10: (00:13) Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short left to #12 D.Boston caught at ORE00, for 3 yards to the ORE00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:10 #95 G.Gross kick attempt good (H: #45 L.Dunne, LS: #33 R.Kean) — WASH win probability +12.5 pts (now 38%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 2:34: (02:38) #36 A.Sappington field goal attempt from 51 yards GOOD (H: #46 J.Ferguson-Reynolds, LS: #43 L.Basso), clock 02:34 — ORE win probability +5.3 pts (now 84%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 8:54: (09:01) Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short right to #12 D.Boston caught at ORE00, for 13 yards to the ORE00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:54, 1ST DOWN #95 G.Gross kick attempt good (H: #45 L.Dunne, LS: #33 R.Kean) — WASH win probability +18.6 pts (now 34%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:55: (08:05) Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass complete short middle to #4 M.Benson caught at WASH47, for 64 yards to the WASH00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:55, 1ST DOWN #36 A.Sappington kick attempt good (H: #46 J.Ferguson-Reynolds, LS: #43 L.Basso) — ORE win probability +16.3 pts (now 92%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WASH made the numbers' call on 6 of 8ORE made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 13:09WASH 4th & 5 at WASH 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.0%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:12ORE 4th & 5 at WASH 28, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 64.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.3%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    64.3%−<0.1
    60% to make
    Punt
    63.9%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:56WASH 4th & 12 at WASH 23, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.4%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:52ORE 4th & 2 at ORE 45, up 3
    Close callPunted · 63.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.8%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:23WASH 4th & 10 at ORE 44, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.6%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    36.4%−0.3
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    36.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:33ORE 4th & 1 at WASH 21, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 62.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    61.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    60.5%−1.3
    74% to make
    Punt
    56.9%−4.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:11WASH 4th & 8 at WASH 47, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.5%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:55ORE 4th & 3 at WASH 38, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 70.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    70.2%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    69.4%−0.8
    38% to make
    Punt
    69.3%−0.9
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:18ORE 4th & 8 at WASH 14, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 70.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.8%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.1%
    84% to make
    Punt
    67.4%−2.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:07ORE 4th & 6 at WASH 19, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 69.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.7%−0.6
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.4%
    77% to make
    Punt
    61.1%−8.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:28WASH 4th & 8 at ORE 43, down 9
    Close callPunted · 27.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.5%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    26.3%−1.2
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    27.4%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:34ORE 4th & 8 at WASH 34, up 9
    Close callKicked a field goal · 76.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.0%
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.9%−0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    74.7%−1.2
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:52WASH 4th & 17 at WASH 31, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.0%−3.0
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.0%
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:48ORE 4th & 6 at ORE 21, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.4%−2.0
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.4%
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:54WASH 4th & 8 at ORE 13, down 12
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.5 ptsWent for it · 14.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.8%−1.5
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    14.3%
    85% to make
    Punt
    7.6%−6.6
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:48WASH 4th & 3 at WASH 32, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    8.8%−0.5
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:14ORE 4th & 1 at WASH 4, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.6%
    65% to convert
    Field goal
    94.2%−1.4
    93% to make
    Punt
    91.5%−4.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WASH made the numbers' call on 2 of 2ORE made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 10:54ORE Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:10WASH Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 8:54WASH Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 7:55ORE Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.4%−0.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WASHDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:4633% → 33%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
32.7%
(15:00) #1 J.Coleman rush left for 4 yards gain to the WASH29 (#9 B.Purchase)Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-8
33.0%
(14:28) Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. sacked for loss of 8 yards to the WASH21 (#44 T.Tuioti)Similar
Q1 13:37
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+9
33.2%
(13:43) Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. rush middle for 9 yards gain to the WASH30 (#31 D.Thieneman; #44 T.Tuioti)Similar
Q1 13:09
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
33.4%
(13:14) #45 L.Dunne punt 41 yards to the ORE29 fair catch by #4 M.Benson at ORE29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 2FG
7 plays · 43 yds · 1:5167% → 66%
Q1 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
33.5%
(13:08) Shotgun #6 N.Whittington rush middle for 1 yard gain to the ORE30 (#23 Z.Rainey-Sale)Similar
Q1 12:29
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+2
33.7%
(12:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 N.Whittington rush left for 2 yards gain to the ORE32 (#90 E.Davis)Similar
Q1 12:10
3RD & 7
OWN 32
+35
33.9%
(12:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass complete deep left to #11 J.McClellan caught at WASH36, for 35 yards to the WASH33, out of bounds at WASH33, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
33.6%
(11:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 N.Whittington rush middle for 5 yards gain to the WASH28 (#10 X.Alexander; #12 A.McLaughlin)Similar
Q1 11:21
2ND & 5
OPP 28
0
33.8%
(11:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass incomplete deep right to #4 M.Benson thrown to WASH04Similar
Q1 11:17
3RD & 5
OPP 28
0
33.8%
(11:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass incomplete deep middle to #11 J.McClellan thrown to WASH07Similar
Q1 11:12
4TH & 5
OPP 28
+46
33.9%
(11:16) #36 A.Sappington field goal attempt from 46 yards GOOD (H: #46 J.Ferguson-Reynolds, LS: #43 L.Basso), clock 11:12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:0934% → 34%
Q1 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
34.0%
(11:11) #2 D.Williams Jr. sacked for loss of 7 yards to the WASH18 (#32 N.Wyatt)Similar
Q1 10:32
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+5
34.1%
(10:32) Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short left to #8 C.Lawson caught at WASH23, for 5 yards to the WASH23, out of bounds at WASH23. The previous play is under automatic review - "Pass completion". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (10:32) Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass incomplete short left to #8 C.Lawson thrown to WASH22)Similar
Q1 10:02
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
34.1%
(10:09) Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass incomplete short right thrown to WASH35 QB hurried by #28 B.BoettcherSimilar
Q1 9:56
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
34.0%
(10:02) #45 L.Dunne punt 40 yards to the ORE37 fair catch by #4 M.Benson at ORE37 PENALTY ORE Running Into The Kicker declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:5266% → 65%
Q1 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
34.4%
(09:56) Shotgun #0 J.Davison rush left for 5 yards gain to the ORE42 (#54 A.Thompson)Similar
Q1 9:19
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+3
34.3%
(09:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass complete short left to #0 J.Davison caught at ORE40, for 3 yards to the ORE45 (#10 X.Alexander)Similar
Q1 9:00
3RD & 2
OWN 45
0
34.3%
(09:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass incomplete short left to #23 D.Hill Jr thrown to ORE47Similar
Q1 8:52
4TH & 2
OWN 45
+1
34.7%
(08:59) #46 J.Ferguson-Reynolds punt 41 yards to the WASH14 #81 D.Roebuck return 1 yard to the WASH15 (#0 D.Austin; #31 D.Thieneman)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 41 yds · 3:2035% → 35%
Q1 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
34.5%
(08:51) Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. rush right for 6 yards gain to the WASH21 (#1 B.Alexander)Similar
Q1 7:58
2ND & 4
OWN 21
+22
34.9%
(08:05) #24 A.Mohammed rush left for 22 yards gain to the WASH43 (#4 B.Finney), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
35.8%
(07:23) #24 A.Mohammed rush right for 5 yards gain to the WASH48 (#29 A.Porter)Similar
Q1 6:41
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+8
36.2%
(06:47) Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short left to #24 A.Mohammed caught at WASH44, for 8 yards to the ORE44 (#26 D.Jackson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
36.5%
(06:19) Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass incomplete short right to #5 O.Evans thrown to ORE40Similar
Q1 6:08
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
36.2%
(06:14) Shotgun #24 A.Mohammed rush middle for 0 yards to the ORE44 (#28 B.Boettcher)Similar
Q1 5:34
3RD & 10
OPP 44
0
35.8%
(05:37) Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass incomplete short middle to #81 D.Roebuck thrown to ORE37Similar
Q1 5:23
4TH & 10
OPP 44
0
35.3%
(05:32) #45 L.Dunne punt 44 yards to the ORE00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 6PUNT
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:2964% → 64%
Q1 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
35.9%
(05:23) Shotgun #6 N.Whittington rush middle for 6 yards gain to the ORE26 (#11 T.Uiagalelei; #10 X.Alexander)Similar
Q1 4:53
2ND & 4
OWN 26
0
35.8%
(04:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass incomplete deep left to #18 K.Sadiq thrown to WASH50Similar
Q1 4:48
3RD & 4
OWN 26
-8
36.2%
(04:53) Shotgun #5 D.Moore sacked for loss of 8 yards to the ORE18 (#6 D.Robinson)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 7INT
4 plays · 38 yds · 1:1937% → 38%
Q1 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+15
36.7%
PENALTY ORE UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (#0 D.Austin) 15 yards from WASH41 to ORE44, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
37.1%
(04:04) Shotgun #24 A.Mohammed rush middle for 9 yards gain to the ORE35 (#28 B.Boettcher)Similar
Q1 3:24
2ND & 1
OPP 35
+14
37.8%
(03:31) Shotgun #24 A.Mohammed rush left for 14 yards gain to the ORE21 (#31 D.Thieneman), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:46
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
38.1%
(02:52) Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass intercepted by #22 J.Canady at ORE00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 8TD
17 plays · 80 yds · 6:4364% → 70%
Q1 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
36.2%
(02:46) Shotgun #5 D.Moore rush left for 6 yards gain to the ORE26, out of bounds at ORE26Similar
Q1 2:08
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+3
36.1%
(02:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 N.Whittington rush middle for 3 yards gain to the ORE29 (#92 B.Butler)Similar
Q1 1:31
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+2
36.5%
(01:35) #0 J.Davison rush middle for 2 yards gain to the ORE31 (#48 J.Lane), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
36.5%
(00:55) Shotgun #0 J.Davison rush middle for 2 yards gain to the ORE33 (#92 B.Butler)Similar
Q1 0:11
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+11
36.6%
(00:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass complete short left to #9 J.Johnson caught at ORE44, for 11 yards to the ORE44, out of bounds at ORE44, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+15
35.5%
(14:59) Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass incomplete deep right to #4 M.Benson thrown to WASH23 PENALTY WASH Pass Interference (#7 E.Prysock) 15 yards from ORE44 to WASH41, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
35.3%
(14:53) Shotgun #0 J.Davison rush left for 2 yards gain to the WASH39 (#90 E.Davis)Similar
Q2 14:01
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+3
35.5%
(14:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass complete short right to #18 K.Sadiq caught at WASH36, for 3 yards to the WASH36 (#27 V.Holmes)Similar
Q2 13:30
3RD & 5
OPP 36
+6
35.8%
(13:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Moore rush left for 6 yards gain to the WASH30 (#27 V.Holmes), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
35.2%
(13:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass incomplete short right thrown to WASH33Similar
Q2 12:46
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+3
35.3%
(12:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass complete short middle to #18 K.Sadiq caught at WASH30, for 3 yards to the WASH27 (#5 Z.Durfee; #11 T.Uiagalelei)Similar
Q2 12:10
3RD & 7
OPP 27
+6
36.1%
(12:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass complete short right to #6 N.Whittington caught at WASH33, for 6 yards to the WASH21 (#18 R.Dillard-Allen), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 11:33
4TH & 1
OPP 21
+17
37.2%
(11:38) Shotgun #6 N.Whittington rush right for 17 yards gain to the WASH04 (#18 R.Dillard-Allen), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
35.7%
(11:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 N.Whittington rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WASH01 (#5 Z.Durfee; #12 A.McLaughlin)Similar
Q2 10:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
29.7%
(10:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Moore rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WASH00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:54 #36 A.Sappington kick attempt good (H: #46 J.Ferguson-Reynolds, LS: #43 L.Basso)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:3132% → 31%
Q2 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
31.5%
(10:47) #1 J.Coleman rush middle for 4 yards gain to the WASH49 (#28 B.Boettcher)Similar
Q2 10:18
2ND & 6
OWN 49
-2
31.8%
(10:23) #1 J.Coleman rush right for 2 yards loss to the WASH47 (#4 B.Finney; #9 B.Purchase)Similar
Q2 9:43
3RD & 8
OWN 47
0
30.9%
(09:43) Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass incomplete short left to #5 O.Evans thrown to ORE38. The previous play is under automatic review - "Incomplete pass". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (09:43) Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short left to #5 O.Evans caught at ORE38, for 15 yards to the ORE38, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN)Similar
Q2 9:11
4TH & 8
OWN 47
0
30.5%
(09:17) #45 L.Dunne punt 29 yards to the ORE24, out of bounds at ORE24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 10FG
13 plays · 62 yds · 5:4669% → 75%
Q2 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
31.0%
(09:10) Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass complete short right to #4 M.Benson caught at ORE27, for 5 yards to the ORE29 (#6 D.Robinson), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 8:32
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+6
30.5%
(08:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 D.Hill Jr rush left for 6 yards gain to the ORE35 (#7 E.Prysock), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
28.7%
(08:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 D.Hill Jr rush right for 2 yards gain to the ORE37 (#18 R.Dillard-Allen)Similar
Q2 7:13
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+18
28.3%
(07:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass complete short middle to #9 J.Johnson caught at WASH46, for 18 yards to the WASH45 (#12 A.McLaughlin), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
27.6%
(07:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass complete short right to #18 K.Sadiq caught at WASH48, for 5 yards to the WASH40 (#7 E.Prysock; #23 Z.Rainey-Sale), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 6:27
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+3
27.5%
(06:31) No Huddle #6 N.Whittington rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WASH37 (#12 A.McLaughlin)Similar
Q2 5:36
3RD & 2
OPP 37
-1
27.6%
(05:48) #5 D.Moore sacked for loss of 1 yard to the WASH38 (#23 Z.Rainey-Sale)Similar
Q2 4:55
4TH & 3
OPP 38
+22
28.2%
(05:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass complete short middle to #4 M.Benson caught at WASH22, for 22 yards to the WASH16 (#18 R.Dillard-Allen), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-1
26.9%
(04:16) Shotgun #23 D.Hill Jr rush right for 1 yard loss to the WASH17 (#18 R.Dillard-Allen)Similar
Q2 3:31
2ND & 11
OPP 17
+3
26.8%
(03:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 J.Davison rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WASH14 (#41 D.Lynch)Similar
Q2 3:22
3RD & 8
OPP 14
0
26.2%
(03:26) Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass incomplete short left to #18 K.Sadiq thrown to WASH00. #18 K.Sadiq injured on the playSimilar
Q2 3:18
4TH & 8
OPP 14
+32
24.7%
(03:22) #36 A.Sappington field goal attempt from 32 yards GOOD (H: #46 J.Ferguson-Reynolds, LS: #43 L.Basso), clock 03:18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 11TD
18 plays · 75 yds · 3:0725% → 38%
Q2 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
24.8%
(03:17) Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass incomplete deep left to #12 D.Boston thrown to ORE45 PENALTY ORE Pass Interference (#7 I.Obidegwu) 15 yards from WASH25 to WASH40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
25.5%
(03:13) Shotgun #1 J.Coleman rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WASH41 (#77 J.Johnson)Similar
Q2 2:43
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+9
25.1%
(02:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short left to #7 R.Vines-Bright caught at WASH45, for 9 yards to the WASH50 (#22 J.Canady), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:15
1ST & 10
50
+9
25.7%
(02:19) Shotgun #1 J.Coleman rush left for 9 yards gain to the ORE41 (#7 I.Obidegwu), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+3
26.3%
(02:00) Shotgun #1 J.Coleman rush left for 3 yards gain to the ORE38 (#10 M.Uiagalelei), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
26.3%
(01:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass incomplete deep left to #81 D.Roebuck thrown to ORE17 QB hurried by #44 T.TuiotiSimilar
Q2 1:34
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+4
26.1%
(01:41) Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short right to #5 O.Evans caught at ORE40, for 4 yards to the ORE34 (#54 J.Mixon)Similar
Q2 1:09
3RD & 6
OPP 34
+11
26.1%
(01:14) Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short middle to #81 D.Roebuck caught at ORE23, for 11 yards to the ORE23 (#31 D.Thieneman), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
27.4%
PENALTY WASH Illegal Snap (#58 Z.Henning) 5 yards from ORE23 to ORE28. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 0:53
1ST & 15
OPP 28
+9
27.0%
(01:01) Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short left to #1 J.Coleman caught at ORE28, for 9 yards to the ORE19 (#22 J.Canady)Similar
Q2 0:35
2ND & 6
OPP 19
+16
27.3%
(00:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short right to #81 D.Roebuck caught at ORE14, for 16 yards to the ORE03 (#28 B.Boettcher), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-4
27.0%
(00:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Coleman rush middle for 4 yards loss to the ORE07 (#21 A.Flowers; #44 T.Tuioti)Similar
Q2 0:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
25.9%
(00:25) Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. rush right for 4 yards gain to the ORE03 (#21 A.Flowers)Similar
Q2 0:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
38.1%
(00:13) Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short left to #12 D.Boston caught at ORE00, for 3 yards to the ORE00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:10 #95 G.Gross kick attempt good (H: #45 L.Dunne, LS: #33 R.Kean)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 12END OF HALF
3 plays · -1 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
31.2%
(00:05) Kneel down by #5 D.Moore at ORE20 for loss of 1 yardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 13FG
13 plays · 56 yds · 5:4968% → 74%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
31.6%
(15:00) Shotgun #6 N.Whittington rush middle for 2 yards gain to the ORE27 (#23 Z.Rainey-Sale)Similar
Q3 14:25
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-2
31.5%
(14:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 N.Whittington rush middle for 2 yards loss to the ORE25 (#48 J.Lane; #12 A.McLaughlin)Similar
Q3 13:46
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+31
33.0%
(13:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass complete short right to #9 J.Johnson caught at ORE43, for 31 yards to the WASH44 (#18 R.Dillard-Allen), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN. #9 J.Johnson injured on the playSimilar
Q3 13:18
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
29.3%
(13:26) Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass complete short left to #23 D.Hill Jr caught at WASH46, for 9 yards to the WASH35 (#18 R.Dillard-Allen)Similar
Q3 12:53
2ND & 1
OPP 35
+2
28.7%
(12:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass complete short left to #11 J.McClellan caught at WASH38, for 2 yards to the WASH33 (#12 A.McLaughlin), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
28.7%
(12:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass complete short right to #23 D.Hill Jr caught at WASH40, for 6 yards to the WASH27 (#12 A.McLaughlin; #7 E.Prysock)Similar
Q3 11:39
2ND & 4
OPP 27
+4
28.7%
(11:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 J.Davison rush right for 4 yards gain to the WASH23 (#54 A.Thompson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:56
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
28.5%
(11:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Moore rush left for 3 yards gain to the WASH20 (#92 B.Butler)Similar
Q3 10:24
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+10
28.4%
(10:24) Shotgun #23 D.Hill Jr rush left for 11 yards gain to the WASH09 (#10 X.Alexander), out of bounds PENALTY ORE Holding (#72 I.Laloulu) 10 yards from WASH20 to WASH30. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 9:54
2ND & 17
OPP 30
0
29.1%
(09:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass incomplete deep left to #18 K.Sadiq thrown to WASH07Similar
Q3 9:44
3RD & 17
OPP 30
+11
30.4%
(09:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass complete short middle to #0 J.Davison caught at WASH28, for 11 yards to the WASH19 (#18 R.Dillard-Allen)Similar
Q3 9:07
4TH & 6
OPP 19
+37
25.8%
(09:10) #36 A.Sappington field goal attempt from 37 yards GOOD (H: #46 J.Ferguson-Reynolds, LS: #43 L.Basso), clock 09:07Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 32 yds · 2:3227% → 27%
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
27.3%
(09:05) Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. rush right for 1 yard gain to the WASH26 (#31 D.Thieneman)Similar
Q3 8:26
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+10
27.2%
(08:32) #2 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short left to #24 A.Mohammed caught at WASH28, for 10 yards to the WASH36 (#5 T.Johnson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+19
27.5%
(08:01) #24 A.Mohammed rush right for 19 yards gain to the ORE45 (#5 T.Johnson; #31 D.Thieneman), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
29.7%
(07:18) Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short right to #86 D.DeGraaf caught at ORE45, for 2 yards to the ORE43 (#54 J.Mixon)Similar
Q3 6:40
2ND & 8
OPP 43
0
29.6%
(06:43) Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass incomplete short left thrown to ORE47 QB hurried by #28 B.BoettcherSimilar
Q3 6:36
3RD & 8
OPP 43
0
28.6%
(06:40) Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass incomplete short middle to #13 A.Harris thrown to ORE43 broken up by #44 T.TuiotiSimilar
Q3 6:28
4TH & 8
OPP 43
0
26.5%
(06:34) #45 L.Dunne punt 37 yards to the ORE06Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 15FG
9 plays · 60 yds · 3:4874% → 84%
Q3 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+41
26.2%
(06:27) Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass complete deep left to #11 J.McClellan caught at ORE41, for 41 yards to the ORE47, out of bounds at ORE47, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
23.8%
(06:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass complete short right to #4 M.Benson caught at WASH49, for 5 yards to the WASH48 (#7 E.Prysock)Similar
Q3 5:29
2ND & 5
OPP 48
-2
23.7%
(05:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 N.Whittington rush left for 2 yards loss to the WASH50 (#18 R.Dillard-Allen)Similar
Q3 4:58
3RD & 7
50
+14
23.6%
(04:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass incomplete short right to #4 M.Benson thrown to WASH37, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY WASH Pass Interference (#7 E.Prysock) 14 yards from WASH50 to WASH36, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
23.1%
(04:55) Shotgun #0 J.Davison rush right for 1 yard gain to the WASH35 (#54 A.Thompson; #92 B.Butler)Similar
Q3 4:20
2ND & 9
OPP 35
+5
22.0%
PENALTY ORE False Start (#75 E.Pregnon) 5 yards from WASH35 to WASH40. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 3:57
2ND & 14
OPP 40
+6
23.0%
(04:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass complete short right to #4 M.Benson caught at WASH34, for 6 yards to the WASH34 (#7 E.Prysock)Similar
Q3 3:04
3RD & 8
OPP 34
0
21.6%
(03:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass complete short left to #18 K.Sadiq caught at WASH34, for 0 yards to the WASH34 (#17 D.Bryant)Similar
Q3 2:34
4TH & 8
OPP 34
+51
16.2%
(02:38) #36 A.Sappington field goal attempt from 51 yards GOOD (H: #46 J.Ferguson-Reynolds, LS: #43 L.Basso), clock 02:34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 6 yds · 1:3519% → 17%
Q3 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
19.4%
(02:33) Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. rush right for 8 yards gain to the WASH33, out of bounds at WASH33Similar
Q3 2:08
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+5
19.6%
(02:12) Shotgun #1 J.Coleman rush middle for 5 yards gain to the WASH38 (#28 B.Boettcher; #1 B.Alexander), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-2
19.5%
(01:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. sacked for loss of 2 yards to the WASH36 (#31 D.Thieneman)Similar
Q3 1:09
2ND & 12
OWN 36
0
18.4%
(01:14) Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass incomplete deep right to #7 R.Vines-Bright thrown to ORE27 broken up by #22 J.CanadySimilar
Q3 1:01
3RD & 12
OWN 36
0
17.6%
(01:08) Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass incomplete deep right thrown to ORE43Similar
Q3 1:01
4TH & 12
OWN 36
+5
17.6%
(01:01) PENALTY WASH False Start (#17 D.Bryant) 5 yards from WASH36 to WASH31. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 0:52
4TH & 17
OWN 31
0
17.3%
(01:00) #45 L.Dunne punt 52 yards to the ORE17 #4 M.Benson return 0 yards to the ORE17 (#7 E.Prysock)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:5886% → 85%
Q3 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+9
14.5%
(00:51) Shotgun #23 D.Hill Jr rush right for 9 yards gain to the ORE26 (#18 R.Dillard-Allen) PENALTY ORE Personal Foul (#71 A.Harkey) 13 yards from ORE26 to ORE13Similar
Q3 0:16
2ND & 14
OWN 13
+8
14.1%
(00:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 D.Hill Jr rush right for 8 yards gain to the ORE21 (#17 D.Bryant)Similar
Q4 14:56
3RD & 6
OWN 21
0
14.2%
(15:00) Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass incomplete deep right to #11 J.McClellan thrown to WASH47. ORE is challenging the ruling on the field - "Incomplete pass". CALL UPHELDSimilar
Q4 14:48
4TH & 6
OWN 21
0
14.6%
(14:54) #46 J.Ferguson-Reynolds punt 48 yards to the WASH31 fair catch by #81 D.Roebuck at WASH31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 18TD
14 plays · 69 yds · 5:4818% → 34%
Q4 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
17.7%
(14:48) #24 A.Mohammed rush left for 9 yards gain to the WASH40 (#21 A.Flowers; #28 B.Boettcher)Similar
Q4 14:09
2ND & 1
OWN 40
+4
18.6%
(14:13) #24 A.Mohammed rush right for 4 yards gain to the WASH44 (#28 B.Boettcher; #9 B.Purchase), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+18
18.0%
(13:35) Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. rush left for 18 yards gain to the ORE38 (#28 B.Boettcher), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
19.0%
(12:53) Shotgun #24 A.Mohammed rush middle for 4 yards gain to the ORE34 (#28 B.Boettcher; #26 D.Jackson)Similar
Q4 12:11
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+4
19.8%
(12:17) Shotgun #24 A.Mohammed rush left for 4 yards gain to the ORE30 (#9 B.Purchase; #44 T.Tuioti)Similar
Q4 11:27
3RD & 2
OPP 30
+4
18.4%
(11:33) Shotgun #24 A.Mohammed rush left for 4 yards gain to the ORE26 (#28 B.Boettcher; #21 A.Flowers), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
19.6%
(10:58) #2 D.Williams Jr. pass incomplete deep right to #86 D.DeGraaf thrown to ORE01Similar
Q4 10:43
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+4
19.0%
(10:53) Shotgun #24 A.Mohammed rush right for 4 yards gain to the ORE22 (#10 M.Uiagalelei; #50 T.Gray)Similar
Q4 10:03
3RD & 6
OPP 22
+7
15.9%
(10:08) Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short left to #12 D.Boston caught at ORE17, for 7 yards to the ORE15 (#5 T.Johnson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
17.4%
(09:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass incomplete short left thrown to ORE00 QB hurried by #44 T.TuiotiSimilar
Q4 9:35
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+2
17.4%
(09:40) Shotgun #1 J.Coleman rush left for 2 yards gain to the ORE13 (#10 M.Uiagalelei)Similar
Q4 9:01
3RD & 8
OPP 13
0
15.9%
(09:04) Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass incomplete short right to #81 D.Roebuck thrown to ORE00 broken up by #4 B.FinneySimilar
Q4 8:54
4TH & 8
OPP 13
+13
33.8%
(09:01) Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short right to #12 D.Boston caught at ORE00, for 13 yards to the ORE00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:54, 1ST DOWN #95 G.Gross kick attempt good (H: #45 L.Dunne, LS: #33 R.Kean)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 19TD
4 plays · 65 yds · 0:5076% → 92%
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
23.6%
(08:54) Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass incomplete short right to #18 K.Sadiq thrown to WASH49Similar
Q4 8:37
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+1
24.3%
(08:43) Shotgun #6 N.Whittington rush middle for 1 yard gain to the ORE36 (#92 B.Butler)Similar
Q4 7:55
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+64
8.0%
(08:05) Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass complete short middle to #4 M.Benson caught at WASH47, for 64 yards to the WASH00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:55, 1ST DOWN #36 A.Sappington kick attempt good (H: #46 J.Ferguson-Reynolds, LS: #43 L.Basso)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 20DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:0110% → 10%
Q4 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
10.2%
(07:54) #24 A.Mohammed rush middle for 7 yards gain to the WASH32 (#29 A.Porter; #4 B.Finney)Similar
Q4 7:17
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
10.6%
(07:22) Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass incomplete short left to #12 D.Boston thrown to WASH44Similar
Q4 7:12
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
9.8%
(07:17) Shotgun #24 A.Mohammed rush right for 0 yards to the WASH32 (#52 A.Washington)Similar
Q4 6:48
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+2
9.5%
(06:52) Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short left to #12 D.Boston caught at WASH33, for 2 yards to the WASH34 (#4 B.Finney), TURNOVER ON DOWNS. The previous play is under automatic review - "Short of the line to gain". CALL UPHELDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 21DOWNS
11 plays · 22 yds · 4:3094% → 96%
Q4 6:44
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
6.5%
(06:48) Shotgun #23 D.Hill Jr rush right for 5 yards gain to the WASH29 (#2 R.Clark), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 6:06
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+4
5.9%
(06:13) Shotgun #5 D.Moore rush right for 4 yards gain to the WASH25 (#17 D.Bryant)Similar
Q4 5:28
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+2
5.8%
(05:32) #0 J.Davison rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WASH23 (#48 J.Lane), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:43
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
5.6%
(04:48) Shotgun #0 J.Davison rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WASH20 (#12 A.McLaughlin; #5 Z.Durfee)Similar
Q4 3:58
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+7
4.9%
(04:04) #6 N.Whittington rush right for 7 yards gain to the WASH13 (#18 R.Dillard-Allen), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 3:16
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
3.7%
(03:22) #6 N.Whittington rush left for 1 yard gain to the WASH12 (#48 J.Lane)Similar
Q4 3:07
2ND & 9
OPP 12
+1
3.6%
(03:14) Shotgun #6 N.Whittington rush right for 1 yard gain to the WASH11 (#77 S.Pepa)Similar
Q4 2:20
3RD & 8
OPP 11
+7
3.6%
(02:25) #6 N.Whittington rush right for 7 yards gain to the WASH04 (#12 A.McLaughlin)Similar
Q4 2:14
4TH & 1
OPP 4
-8
3.6%
(02:19) Shotgun #6 N.Whittington rush left for 8 yards loss to the WASH12 (#5 Z.Durfee), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 22INT
5 plays · 28 yds · 0:443% → 5%
Q4 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+6
2.6%
(02:13) Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short left to #5 O.Evans caught at WASH19, for 6 yards to the WASH19, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 1:51
2ND & 4
OWN 19
-1
4.8%
(01:59) Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. sacked for loss of 2 yards to the WASH17 (#44 T.Tuioti, #52 A.Washington)Similar
Q4 1:33
3RD & 6
OWN 17
+24
4.6%
(01:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass complete deep left to #86 D.DeGraaf caught at WASH37, for 24 yards to the WASH41 (#21 A.Flowers), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
5.2%
(01:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass intercepted by #31 D.Thieneman at ORE16 #31 D.Thieneman return 0 yards to the ORE16, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 23END OF HALF
3 plays · -4 yds · 0:3597% → 97%
Q4 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-2
2.7%
(01:19) Kneel down by #5 D.Moore at ORE14 for loss of 2 yardsSimilar
Q4 0:38
2ND & 12
OWN 14
-2
2.7%
(00:38) Kneel down by #5 D.Moore at ORE12 for loss of 2 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 8:54
(09:01) Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short right to #12 D.Boston caught at ORE00, for 13 yards to the ORE00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:54, 1ST DOWN #95 G.Gross kick attempt good (H: #45 L.Dunne, LS: #33 R.Kean)
+18.6
TD · Q4 7:55
(08:05) Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass complete short middle to #4 M.Benson caught at WASH47, for 64 yards to the WASH00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:55, 1ST DOWN #36 A.Sappington kick attempt good (H: #46 J.Ferguson-Reynolds, LS: #43 L.Basso)
-16.3
TD · Q2 0:10
(00:13) Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short left to #12 D.Boston caught at ORE00, for 3 yards to the ORE00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:10 #95 G.Gross kick attempt good (H: #45 L.Dunne, LS: #33 R.Kean)
+12.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com