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IOWA

Iowa 40 at Nebraska 16

NEB
2025 · Week 14 · Nov 28, 2025 · Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)
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Win probability · NEB
modelNEB aheadIOWA aheadconfidence bandkey playNEB scoreIOWA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGFGTDFGTDSAFETYTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:02 · (00:02) Kneel down by #14 T.Lateef at NEB31 for loss of 2 yards, TURNOVER ON DOWNS
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+55.0+27.50−27.5−55.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 87Home team on offense−9.0Score differential−3.6Pregame prior−5.5Garbage-time factor−3.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 10:40: (10:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the IOW00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:40. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner broke the plane". CALL UPHELD #91 K.Cunanan kick attempt good (H: #37 K.Koch, LS: #46 K.Gallic) — NEB win probability +2.3 pts (now 43%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 5:35: (05:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 M.Gronowski pass complete deep right to #81 D.Vonnahme caught at NEB14, for 35 yards to the NEB00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:35, 1ST DOWN #18 D.Stevens kick attempt good (H: #99 T.Nissen, LS: #45 B.Worrell) — IOWA win probability +2.3 pts (now 60%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 8:13: (08:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 K.Moulton rush middle for 3 yards gain to the NEB00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:13 #18 D.Stevens kick attempt good (H: #99 T.Nissen, LS: #45 B.Worrell) — IOWA win probability +6.8 pts (now 62%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:37: (00:38) No Huddle #11 M.Gronowski rush middle for 1 yard gain to the NEB00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:37 #18 D.Stevens kick attempt good (H: #99 T.Nissen, LS: #45 B.Worrell) — IOWA win probability +17.0 pts (now 73%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:47: (04:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 M.Gronowski rush middle for 6 yards gain to the NEB00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:47 #18 D.Stevens kick attempt good (H: #99 T.Nissen, LS: #45 B.Worrell) — IOWA win probability +9.6 pts (now 89%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NEB made the numbers' call on 6 of 10IOWA made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 13:47NEB 4th & 3 at NEB 27, tied
    Close callPunted · 37.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:27IOWA 4th & 6 at IOWA 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.3%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:49IOWA 4th & 4 at NEB 23, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 59.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.0%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.9%−<0.1
    70% to make
    Punt
    58.1%−0.9
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:12NEB 4th & 2 at NEB 22, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.2%−<0.1
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.2%
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:13NEB 4th & 2 at IOWA 13, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 40.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.5%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.1%−0.4
    85% to make
    Punt
    37.4%−3.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:53NEB 4th & 7 at IOWA 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 43.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.1%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.3%
    87% to make
    Punt
    40.8%−2.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:53NEB 4th & 3 at IOWA 17, down 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 41.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.5%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.8%−0.7
    80% to make
    Punt
    34.4%−6.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:02NEB 4th & 5 at NEB 33, down 8
    Close callWent for it · 29.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.1%−1.0
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    28.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:27IOWA 4th & 7 at IOWA 37, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.1%−0.8
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:38NEB 4th & 4 at NEB 41, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.6%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.8%
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:14NEB 4th & 6 at NEB 29, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.5%−0.6
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:09NEB 4th & 1 at NEB 35, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.4%−0.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:40NEB 4th & 1 at IOWA 24, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    1.3%−0.3
    68% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−1.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:43IOWA 4th & 1 at IOWA 44, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.2%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NEB made the numbers' call on 1 of 1IOWA made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 10:40NEB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:35IOWA Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:13IOWA Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:37IOWA Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:47IOWA Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NEBDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:0039% → 40%
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
39.2%
(14:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush middle for 5 yards gain to the NEB25 (#95 A.Graves; #36 J.Montgomery)Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 5
OWN 25
0
39.3%
(14:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 T.Lateef pass incomplete short right to #44 L.Lindenmeyer thrown to NEB30 broken up by #95 A.GravesSimilar
Q1 14:21
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+2
39.3%
(14:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 T.Lateef rush middle for 2 yards gain to the NEB27 (#91 J.Pace)Similar
Q1 13:47
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
39.5%
(13:55) #83 A.Wilson punt 35 yards to the IOW38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:1161% → 60%
Q1 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
39.5%
(13:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 K.Moulton rush right for 1 yard gain to the IOW39 (#97 K.Davis)Similar
Q1 13:14
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+3
39.6%
(13:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 K.Moulton rush right for 3 yards gain to the IOW42 (#37 D.Jones; #0 J.Wright)Similar
Q1 12:35
3RD & 6
OWN 42
0
39.8%
(12:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 M.Gronowski pass incomplete short right to #2 S.Phillips thrown to NEB49 broken up by #37 D.JonesSimilar
Q1 12:27
4TH & 6
OWN 42
0
40.0%
(12:33) #9 R.Dakin punt 48 yards to the NEB10 fair catch by #2 J.Barney Jr. at NEB10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 3TD
4 plays · 90 yds · 1:3740% → 43%
Q1 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+6
40.1%
(12:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush left for 6 yards gain to the NEB16 (#36 J.Montgomery)Similar
Q1 11:47
2ND & 4
OWN 16
+13
40.2%
(11:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush middle for 13 yards gain to the NEB29 (#4 K.Entringer; #48 M.Llewellyn), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+70
40.5%
(11:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush right for 70 yards gain to the IOW01 (#4 K.Entringer), 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner was down by contact". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (11:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush right for 71 yards gain to the IOW00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:06, 1ST DOWN)Similar
Q1 10:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
42.8%
(10:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the IOW00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:40. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner broke the plane". CALL UPHELD #91 K.Cunanan kick attempt good (H: #37 K.Koch, LS: #46 K.Gallic)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 4FG
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:2758% → 58%
Q1 10:16
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
41.6%
(10:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 K.Moulton rush left for 1 yard gain to the NEB28 (#93 K.Pietrzak)Similar
Q1 9:37
2ND & 9
OPP 28
+5
42.1%
(09:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 K.Moulton rush right for 5 yards gain to the NEB23 (#0 J.Wright)Similar
Q1 8:54
3RD & 4
OPP 23
0
42.7%
(09:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 M.Gronowski pass incomplete deep right to #81 D.Vonnahme thrown to NEB02 QB hurried by #5 R.Van PoppelSimilar
Q1 8:49
4TH & 4
OPP 23
+41
41.9%
(08:49) #18 D.Stevens field goal attempt from 41 yards GOOD (H: #99 T.Nissen, LS: #45 B.Worrell), clock 08:49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:2542% → 42%
Q1 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
41.8%
(08:43) No Huddle #14 T.Lateef pass incomplete short left to #21 E.Johnson thrown to NEB18 QB hurried by #41 J.HarrellSimilar
Q1 8:29
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+3
41.9%
(08:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush middle for 3 yards gain to the NEB17 (#90 B.Allen)Similar
Q1 7:39
3RD & 7
OWN 17
+5
42.2%
(07:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 T.Lateef pass complete short middle to #6 D.Key caught at NEB22, for 5 yards to the NEB22 (#7 R.Godfrey Jr.)Similar
Q1 7:12
4TH & 2
OWN 22
0
42.2%
(07:18) #83 A.Wilson punt 29 yards to the IOW49, out of bounds at IOW49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 6TD
3 plays · 51 yds · 1:2258% → 60%
Q1 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+13
42.3%
(07:12) No Huddle #11 M.Gronowski pass complete short right to #81 D.Vonnahme caught at NEB49, for 13 yards to the NEB38 (#37 D.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
42.5%
(06:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 K.Moulton rush right for 3 yards gain to the NEB35 (#33 M.Watson-Trent)Similar
Q1 5:35
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+35
40.2%
(05:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 M.Gronowski pass complete deep right to #81 D.Vonnahme caught at NEB14, for 35 yards to the NEB00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:35, 1ST DOWN #18 D.Stevens kick attempt good (H: #99 T.Nissen, LS: #45 B.Worrell)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 7FG
12 plays · 62 yds · 4:1641% → 44%
Q1 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
40.9%
(05:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 T.Lateef pass incomplete deep right to #6 D.Key thrown to NEB45Similar
Q1 5:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
40.9%
(05:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush left for 0 yards to the NEB25 (#1 X.Nwankpa)Similar
Q1 4:48
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+13
40.6%
(04:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 T.Lateef pass complete short right to #44 L.Lindenmeyer caught at NEB30, for 13 yards to the NEB38 (#6 Z.Lutmer), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+25
41.7%
(04:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush left for 25 yards gain to the IOW37 (#6 Z.Lutmer; #8 D.Lee), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:41
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
42.7%
(03:46) No Huddle #35 M.Nelson rush left for 3 yards gain to the IOW34 (#8 D.Lee)Similar
Q1 3:04
2ND & 7
OPP 34
0
43.4%
(03:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 T.Lateef pass incomplete short right to #44 L.Lindenmeyer thrown to IOW25 QB hurried by #36 J.MontgomerySimilar
Q1 2:49
3RD & 7
OPP 34
+13
42.9%
(03:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 T.Lateef pass complete short left to #21 E.Johnson caught at IOW33, for 13 yards to the IOW21 (#49 E.Hurkett), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:31
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
43.4%
(02:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush middle for 3 yards gain to the IOW18 (#43 K.Sharar; #36 J.Montgomery)Similar
Q1 1:53
2ND & 7
OPP 18
0
43.7%
(02:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 T.Lateef pass incomplete short right to #19 C.Mills Jr. thrown to IOW00 broken up by #6 Z.LutmerSimilar
Q1 1:43
3RD & 7
OPP 18
+5
43.1%
(01:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 T.Lateef pass complete short left to #2 J.Barney Jr. caught at IOW13, for 5 yards to the IOW13 (#3 J.Watson), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 1:13
4TH & 2
OPP 13
+31
44.4%
(01:16) #91 K.Cunanan field goal attempt from 31 yards GOOD (H: #37 K.Koch, LS: #46 K.Gallic), clock 01:13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 8FG
8 plays · 15 yds · 2:0246% → 46%
Q1 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+6
45.9%
(01:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 T.Lateef pass complete short right to #13 N.Hunter caught at IOW20, for 6 yards to the IOW20 (#43 K.Sharar; #44 K.Merrieweather)Similar
Q1 0:30
2ND & 4
OPP 20
+6
46.1%
(00:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush left for 6 yards gain to the IOW14 (#36 J.Montgomery), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:33
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
46.5%
(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush left for 2 yards gain to the IOW12 (#90 B.Allen; #36 J.Montgomery)Similar
Q2 14:06
2ND & 8
OPP 12
+1
46.7%
(14:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the IOW11 (#3 J.Watson)Similar
Q2 13:58
3RD & 7
OPP 11
0
46.2%
(13:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 T.Lateef pass incomplete short right to #18 Q.Clark thrown to IOW00 broken up by #3 J.WatsonSimilar
Q2 13:53
4TH & 7
OPP 11
+29
46.2%
(13:56) #91 K.Cunanan field goal attempt from 29 yards GOOD (H: #37 K.Koch, LS: #46 K.Gallic), clock 13:53Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 9TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 5:3254% → 62%
Q2 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
46.2%
(13:52) No Huddle #28 K.Moulton rush left for 2 yards gain to the IOW27 (#11 C.Lenhardt)Similar
Q2 12:59
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+26
46.5%
(13:14) No Huddle #11 M.Gronowski pass complete short left to #15 R.Vander Zee caught at IOW46, for 26 yards to the NEB47 (#1 C.Wright), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
45.0%
(12:32) No Huddle #11 M.Gronowski pass complete short right to #2 S.Phillips caught at NEB46, for 1 yard to the NEB46 (#1 C.Wright)Similar
Q2 11:46
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+3
45.2%
(11:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Patterson rush left for 3 yards gain to the NEB43 (#52 D.Rogers)Similar
Q2 11:01
3RD & 6
OPP 43
+29
45.7%
(11:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 M.Gronowski rush middle for 29 yards gain to the NEB14 (#21 R.Guthrie), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+7
44.7%
(10:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 N.McNeil rush left for 7 yards gain to the NEB07 (#9 V.Shavers Jr.)Similar
Q2 9:35
2ND & 3
OPP 7
+2
44.7%
(09:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 M.Gronowski rush left for 2 yards gain to the NEB05 (#93 K.Pietrzak)Similar
Q2 8:59
3RD & 1
OPP 5
+2
45.6%
(09:05) No Huddle #11 M.Gronowski rush middle for 2 yards gain to the NEB03 (#21 R.Guthrie), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
44.8%
(08:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 M.Gronowski pass incomplete short left to #15 R.Vander Zee thrown to NEB00Similar
Q2 8:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
38.0%
(08:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 K.Moulton rush middle for 3 yards gain to the NEB00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:13 #18 D.Stevens kick attempt good (H: #99 T.Nissen, LS: #45 B.Worrell)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 10FG
13 plays · 55 yds · 5:0041% → 46%
Q2 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
41.0%
(07:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush right for 4 yards gain to the NEB31 (#7 R.Godfrey Jr.; #96 B.Hawthorne)Similar
Q2 7:31
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+10
41.4%
(07:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 T.Lateef pass incomplete deep right to #2 J.Barney Jr. thrown to IOW45 PENALTY IOW Holding (#7 R.Godfrey Jr.) 10 yards from NEB31 to NEB41, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
42.9%
(07:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush middle for 7 yards gain to the NEB48 (#1 X.Nwankpa)Similar
Q2 6:49
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+7
43.5%
(07:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush right for 7 yards gain to the IOW45 (#7 R.Godfrey Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
43.9%
(06:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 I.Mozee rush middle for 3 yards gain to the IOW42 (#43 K.Sharar; #36 J.Montgomery)Similar
Q2 5:33
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+6
44.0%
(05:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 I.Mozee rush left for 6 yards gain to the IOW36 (#41 J.Harrell)Similar
Q2 4:53
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+12
43.8%
(05:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush left for 12 yards gain to the IOW24 (#49 E.Hurkett), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
45.3%
(04:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush middle for 6 yards gain to the IOW18 (#95 A.Graves; #1 X.Nwankpa)Similar
Q2 3:42
2ND & 4
OPP 18
0
45.4%
(03:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 T.Lateef pass incomplete short right to #6 D.Key thrown to IOW00Similar
Q2 3:25
3RD & 4
OPP 18
+1
44.2%
(03:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the IOW17 (#41 J.Harrell; #96 B.Hawthorne)Similar
Q2 2:53
4TH & 3
OPP 17
+35
45.7%
(02:55) #91 K.Cunanan field goal attempt from 35 yards GOOD (H: #37 K.Koch, LS: #46 K.Gallic), clock 02:53Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 11TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 2:0958% → 73%
Q2 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
42.2%
(02:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 K.Moulton rush middle for 1 yard gain to the IOW26 (#0 J.Wright; #15 D.McCullough)Similar
Q2 2:23
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+34
42.3%
(02:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 K.Moulton rush left for 34 yards gain to the NEB40 (#37 D.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:51
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+8
38.7%
(01:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 K.Moulton rush left for 8 yards gain to the NEB32 (#10 A.Marshall)Similar
Q2 1:32
2ND & 2
OPP 32
+3
37.5%
(01:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 K.Moulton rush middle for 3 yards gain to the NEB29 (#0 J.Wright), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
37.4%
(01:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 M.Gronowski pass incomplete short middle to #28 K.Moulton thrown to NEB25 QB hurried by #97 K.DavisSimilar
Q2 1:12
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+4
38.0%
(01:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 M.Gronowski rush middle for 4 yards gain to the NEB25, End Of Play PENALTY NEB Personal Foul (#16 E.Jeudy) 13 yards from NEB25 to NEB12, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+11
37.4%
(00:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 M.Gronowski pass complete short left to #2 S.Phillips caught at NEB07, for 11 yards to the NEB01 (#8 D.Singleton), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
38.3%
(00:43) No Huddle #11 M.Gronowski rush middle for 0 yards to the NEB01 (#33 M.Watson-Trent)Similar
Q2 0:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
26.7%
(00:38) No Huddle #11 M.Gronowski rush middle for 1 yard gain to the NEB00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:37 #18 D.Stevens kick attempt good (H: #99 T.Nissen, LS: #45 B.Worrell)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 12DOWNS
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:2431% → 30%
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
30.7%
(00:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 T.Lateef pass incomplete deep right to #6 D.Key thrown to IOW35Similar
Q2 0:17
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+5
30.1%
(00:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush left for 5 yards gain to the NEB33 (#8 D.Lee)Similar
Q2 0:03
3RD & 5
OWN 33
0
30.0%
(00:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 T.Lateef pass incomplete short right to #21 E.Johnson thrown to NEB36 broken up by #48 M.LlewellynSimilar
Q2 0:02
4TH & 5
OWN 33
-2
29.8%
(00:02) Kneel down by #14 T.Lateef at NEB31 for loss of 2 yards, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 13PUNT
9 plays · 65 yds · 3:4470% → 71%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
29.8%
(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 M.Gronowski pass complete short right to #21 K.Wetjen caught at IOW28, for 7 yards to the IOW32 (#1 C.Wright) PENALTY NEB Offside 5 yards from IOW25 to IOW30. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 14:21
1ST & 5
OWN 30
0
28.8%
(14:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 N.McNeil rush right for 0 yards to the IOW30 (#10 A.Marshall)Similar
Q3 13:38
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
28.7%
(13:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 N.McNeil rush middle for 6 yards gain to the IOW36 (#5 R.Van Poppel; #9 V.Shavers Jr.), 1ST DOWN. #9 V.Shavers Jr. injured on the playSimilar
Q3 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
28.4%
(13:18) No Huddle #25 N.McNeil rush middle for 0 yards to the IOW36 (#37 D.Jones)Similar
Q3 12:25
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+6
28.6%
(12:33) No Huddle #28 K.Moulton rush middle for 6 yards gain to the IOW42 (#8 D.Singleton; #0 J.Wright)Similar
Q3 11:42
3RD & 4
OWN 42
0
27.7%
(11:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 M.Gronowski pass incomplete short left to #28 K.Moulton thrown to NEB45 QB hurried by #5 R.Van PoppelSimilar
Q3 11:30
4TH & 4
OWN 42
-5
28.9%
(11:42) #9 R.Dakin punt 44 yards to the NEB14 #2 J.Barney Jr. return 0 yards to the PENALTY IOW Illegal Shift 5 yards from IOW42 to IOW37. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 11:16
4TH & 9
OWN 37
-27
29.3%
Team SafetySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:3272% → 71%
Q3 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
27.7%
(11:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 K.Moulton rush middle for 2 yards gain to the IOW36 (#37 D.Jones)Similar
Q3 10:06
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+1
27.3%
(10:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 M.Gronowski pass complete short right to #48 Z.Ortwerth caught at IOW37, for 1 yard to the IOW37, out of bounds at IOW37Similar
Q3 9:44
3RD & 7
OWN 37
0
27.7%
(09:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 M.Gronowski pass incomplete deep left to #7 D.Howard thrown to NEB26Similar
Q3 9:27
4TH & 7
OWN 37
+38
28.7%
(09:41) #9 R.Dakin punt 51 yards to the NEB12 #2 J.Barney Jr. return 38 yards to the NEB50 (#1 X.Nwankpa) PENALTY NEB Personal Foul (#26 R.Mangini) 15 yards from NEB50 to NEB35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:3628% → 27%
Q3 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
27.7%
(09:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush middle for 6 yards gain to the NEB41 (#41 J.Harrell)Similar
Q3 8:49
2ND & 4
OWN 41
0
29.1%
(08:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 T.Lateef pass incomplete short left to #2 J.Barney Jr. thrown to IOW40Similar
Q3 8:45
3RD & 4
OWN 41
0
28.0%
(08:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 T.Lateef pass incomplete short right to #6 D.Key thrown to IOW48Similar
Q3 8:38
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
26.8%
(08:44) #83 A.Wilson punt 30 yards to the IOW29 fair catch by #21 K.Wetjen at IOW29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 16TD
8 plays · 71 yds · 3:4273% → 89%
Q3 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
27.4%
(08:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 M.Gronowski rush right for 5 yards gain to the IOW34 (#52 D.Rogers)Similar
Q3 7:55
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+3
26.7%
(08:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 K.Moulton rush middle for 3 yards gain to the IOW37 (#33 M.Watson-Trent)Similar
Q3 7:07
3RD & 2
OWN 37
+43
26.2%
(07:21) No Huddle #11 M.Gronowski pass complete short right to #81 D.Vonnahme caught at IOW40, for 43 yards to the NEB20 (#54 J.Bower), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+9
22.9%
(06:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Patterson rush middle for 9 yards gain to the NEB11 (#21 R.Guthrie)Similar
Q3 5:55
2ND & 1
OPP 11
+5
22.8%
(06:07) PENALTY NEB Illegal Substitution (#95 G.Moore) 5 yards from NEB11 to NEB06, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 5:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
22.7%
(05:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 M.Gronowski rush right for 0 yards to the NEB06 (#11 C.Lenhardt; #37 D.Jones)Similar
Q3 4:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
21.0%
(05:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 M.Gronowski pass incomplete short left to #28 K.Moulton thrown to NEB00 QB hurried by #11 C.LenhardtSimilar
Q3 4:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
11.4%
(04:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 M.Gronowski rush middle for 6 yards gain to the NEB00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:47 #18 D.Stevens kick attempt good (H: #99 T.Nissen, LS: #45 B.Worrell)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:2415% → 14%
Q3 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
14.5%
(04:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush left for 4 yards loss to the NEB21 (#6 Z.Lutmer)Similar
Q3 4:03
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+8
13.9%
(04:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush middle for 8 yards gain to the NEB29 (#6 Z.Lutmer)Similar
Q3 3:21
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
13.8%
(03:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 T.Lateef pass incomplete short right to #21 E.Johnson thrown to NEB34Similar
Q3 3:14
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
13.6%
(03:20) #83 A.Wilson punt 34 yards to the IOW37 fair catch by #21 K.Wetjen at IOW37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 18TD
10 plays · 63 yds · 4:2689% → 98%
Q3 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
11.2%
(03:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 K.Moulton rush middle for 7 yards gain to the IOW44 (#12 J.Rhett)Similar
Q3 2:43
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+5
10.5%
(02:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 K.Moulton rush middle for 5 yards gain to the IOW49 (#37 D.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
8.9%
(02:17) No Huddle #21 K.Wetjen rush right for 3 yards gain to the NEB48 (#8 D.Singleton)Similar
Q3 1:36
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+5
8.6%
(01:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 K.Moulton rush middle for 5 yards gain to the NEB43 (#10 A.Marshall; #0 J.Wright)Similar
Q3 0:49
3RD & 2
OPP 43
+9
8.3%
(01:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 M.Gronowski pass complete short left to #7 D.Howard caught at NEB34, for 9 yards to the NEB34 (#12 J.Rhett), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+8
2.8%
(00:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 M.Gronowski rush left for 8 yards gain to the NEB26, out of bounds at NEB26Similar
Q4 14:44
2ND & 2
OPP 26
-2
2.7%
(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 K.Wetjen rush right for 2 yards loss to the NEB28 (#10 A.Marshall)Similar
Q4 13:43
3RD & 4
OPP 28
+27
2.5%
(14:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 M.Gronowski pass complete deep right to #15 R.Vander Zee caught at NEB01, for 27 yards to the NEB01 (#37 D.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 13:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
2.4%
(13:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 K.Moulton rush middle for 1 yard gain to the NEB00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:40 #18 D.Stevens kick attempt good (H: #99 T.Nissen, LS: #45 B.Worrell)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 19FUMBLE
18 plays · 73 yds · 6:453% → 2%
Q4 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
2.8%
(13:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 T.Lateef pass complete short right to #6 D.Key caught at NEB30, for 5 yards to the NEB31 (#91 J.Pace)Similar
Q4 13:02
2ND & 5
OWN 31
0
2.9%
(13:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 T.Lateef pass incomplete deep left to #2 J.Barney Jr. thrown to IOW31Similar
Q4 12:54
3RD & 5
OWN 31
+4
2.8%
(13:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush middle for 4 yards gain to the NEB35 (#6 Z.Lutmer)Similar
Q4 12:09
4TH & 1
OWN 35
+1
2.7%
(12:23) No Huddle #10 H.Haarberg rush right for 1 yard gain to the NEB36 (#7 R.Godfrey Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
2.5%
(11:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush right for 2 yards gain to the NEB38 (#7 R.Godfrey Jr.; #36 J.Montgomery)Similar
Q4 11:08
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+7
2.5%
(11:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 T.Lateef pass complete short right to #44 L.Lindenmeyer caught at NEB45, for 7 yards to the NEB45 (#1 X.Nwankpa)Similar
Q4 10:50
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+7
2.6%
(10:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush middle for 7 yards gain to the IOW48 (#7 R.Godfrey Jr.; #44 K.Merrieweather), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
2.5%
(10:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 T.Lateef pass incomplete deep left to #85 K.Smith thrown to IOW23Similar
Q4 10:02
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+9
2.5%
(10:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 T.Lateef pass complete short right to #21 E.Johnson caught at IOW46, for 9 yards to the IOW39 (#43 K.Sharar)Similar
Q4 9:42
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+6
2.6%
(09:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush middle for 6 yards gain to the IOW33 (#11 J.Wallace), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:56
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
2.5%
(09:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 T.Lateef pass complete short right to #6 D.Key caught at IOW29, for 6 yards to the IOW27 (#7 R.Godfrey Jr.)Similar
Q4 8:28
2ND & 4
OPP 27
0
2.5%
(08:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 T.Lateef pass incomplete short right to #22 I.Mozee thrown to IOW13Similar
Q4 8:20
3RD & 4
OPP 27
+3
2.2%
(08:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush middle for 3 yards gain to the IOW24 (#57 W.Hubert)Similar
Q4 7:40
4TH & 1
OPP 24
+2
1.7%
(07:47) No Huddle #21 E.Johnson rush middle for 2 yards gain to the IOW22 (#49 E.Hurkett), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+15
1.6%
(07:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 T.Lateef pass incomplete short left to #13 N.Hunter thrown to IOW04, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY IOW Pass Interference (#8 D.Lee) 15 yards from IOW22 to IOW07, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 7:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
1.6%
(07:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush middle for 6 yards gain to the IOW01 (#7 R.Godfrey Jr.)Similar
Q4 6:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
1.8%
(06:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 H.Haarberg rush left for 1 yard gain to the IOW00 fumbled by #10 H.Haarberg at IOW01 forced by #7 R.Godfrey Jr. recovered by IOW #90 B.Allen at IOW00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 20END OF GAME
12 plays · 37 yds · 5:5099% → 100%
Q4 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
1.1%
(06:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 N.McNeil rush middle for 6 yards gain to the IOW26 (#0 J.Wright; #33 M.Watson-Trent)Similar
Q4 5:45
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+9
1.1%
(05:55) No Huddle #25 N.McNeil rush left for 9 yards gain to the IOW35 (#8 D.Singleton), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
1.0%
(05:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 N.McNeil rush left for 1 yard loss to the IOW34 (#95 G.Moore)Similar
Q4 4:06
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+8
0.7%
(04:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 N.McNeil rush middle for 8 yards gain to the IOW42 (#33 M.Watson-Trent; #12 J.Rhett)Similar
Q4 3:26
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+2
0.5%
(03:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 M.Gronowski rush left for 2 yards gain to the IOW44 (#37 D.Jones)Similar
Q4 2:43
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+2
0.5%
(02:48) No Huddle #11 M.Gronowski rush middle for 2 yards gain to the IOW46 (#0 J.Wright), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
0.4%
(02:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 T.Washington Jr. rush right for 5 yards gain to the NEB49 (#0 J.Wright; #12 J.Rhett)Similar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+3
0.4%
(02:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 M.Gronowski rush right for 3 yards gain to the NEB46 (#90 J.George)Similar
Q4 1:11
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+5
0.3%
(01:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 T.Washington Jr. rush middle for 5 yards gain to the NEB41 (#11 C.Lenhardt), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-2
0.3%
(00:37) Kneel down by #11 M.Gronowski at NEB43 for loss of 2 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:37
(00:38) No Huddle #11 M.Gronowski rush middle for 1 yard gain to the NEB00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:37 #18 D.Stevens kick attempt good (H: #99 T.Nissen, LS: #45 B.Worrell)
-17
TD · Q3 4:47
(04:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 M.Gronowski rush middle for 6 yards gain to the NEB00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:47 #18 D.Stevens kick attempt good (H: #99 T.Nissen, LS: #45 B.Worrell)
-9.6
TD · Q2 8:13
(08:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 K.Moulton rush middle for 3 yards gain to the NEB00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:13 #18 D.Stevens kick attempt good (H: #99 T.Nissen, LS: #45 B.Worrell)
-6.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com