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MICH

Michigan 45 at Maryland 20

MD
2025 · Week 13 · Nov 22, 2025 · SECU Stadium
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Win probability · MD
modelMD aheadMICH aheadconfidence bandkey playMD scoreMICH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 4:42 · (04:56) #34 B.McFerson punt 37 yards to the MIC08 #4 A.Marsh return 9 yards to the MIC17 (#13 L.Scruggs)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+56.5+28.30−28.3−56.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 29Pregame prior−31.9Home team on offense+0.7Score differential−0.2Garbage-time factor−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:17: (14:17) #24 B.Kuzdzal rush left for 2 yards gain to the UMD00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:17 PENALTY UMD Illegal Substitution declined #96 D.Zvada kick attempt good (H: #90 H.Hollenbeck, LS: #45 G.Tarr) — MICH win probability +3.6 pts (now 82%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:28: (12:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #19 B.Underwood pass complete short right to #1 D.McCulley caught at UMD18, for 22 yards to the UMD00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:28, 1ST DOWN #96 D.Zvada kick attempt good (H: #90 H.Hollenbeck, LS: #45 G.Tarr) — MICH win probability +3.5 pts (now 86%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 11:35: (11:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 B.Kuzdzal rush middle for 19 yards gain to the UMD00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:35, 1ST DOWN #96 D.Zvada kick attempt good (H: #90 H.Hollenbeck, LS: #45 G.Tarr) — MICH win probability +8.7 pts (now 93%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 7:34: (07:34) #36 S.O'Haire field goal attempt from 29 yards GOOD (H: #34 B.McFerson, LS: #96 E.Gough), clock 07:34 — MD win probability +2.3 pts (now 13%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:09: Bryson Kuzdzal 1 Yd Run (Dominic Zvada Kick) — MICH win probability +5.9 pts (now 97%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MD made the numbers' call on 5 of 8MICH made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 10:28MD 4th & 1 at MICH 1, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.0%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    21.8%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    21.3%−0.7
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:42MD 4th & 6 at MICH 45, tied
    Close callPunted · 25.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    24.8%−0.3
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    25.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 7:03MD 4th & 11 at MICH 16, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 18.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.5%−0.4
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    17.9%
    81% to make
    Punt
    15.8%−2.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 1:53MICH 4th & 5 at MD 20, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 80.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.9%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.0%
    75% to make
    Punt
    77.3%−2.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:48MD 4th & 7 at MD 48, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.4%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.6%
    average punt
  6. Q3 7:34MD 4th & 11 at MICH 11, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 11.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.8%−1.0
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.8%
    87% to make
    Punt
    5.7%−5.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 2:39MD 4th & 1 at MD 34, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.4%−0.9
    average punt
  8. Q3 0:56MD 4th & 9 at MICH 49, down 22
    Close callWent for it · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.4%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.8%
    average punt
  9. Q4 11:41MD 4th & 4 at MD 42, down 29
    Close callWent for it · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.4%
    average punt
  10. Q4 7:20MICH 4th & 8 at MD 28, up 29
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.7%
    60% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MD made the numbers' call on 1 of 1MICH made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 10:28MD Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:05MICH Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:17MICH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 12:28MICH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:35MICH Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 4:09MICH Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 13:19MICH Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MDDrive 1TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:2715% → 18%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
14.7%
(14:56) Shotgun #0 D.Williams rush right for 20 yards gain to the UMD45 (#6 B.Hillman; #25 M.Curtis), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 14:31
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
14.9%
(14:39) No Huddle #7 M.Washington pass incomplete short middle to #9 D.Fleming thrown to MIC45Similar
Q1 14:24
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+2
14.9%
(14:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 D.Williams rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UMD47 (#23 C.Sullivan; #26 R.Benny)Similar
Q1 13:43
3RD & 8
OWN 47
+29
15.2%
(13:56) Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass complete deep left to #4 S.Knotts caught at MIC25, for 29 yards to the MIC24, out of bounds at MIC24, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY MIC UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct declinedSimilar
Q1 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
15.5%
(13:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 D.Williams rush middle for 3 yards gain to the MIC21 (#0 T.Williams)Similar
Q1 12:46
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+13
15.9%
(13:03) Shotgun #7 M.Washington rush right for 13 yards gain to the MIC08, out of bounds at MIC08, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
16.3%
(12:19) Shotgun #7 M.Washington rush left for 1 yard loss to the MIC09 (#6 B.Hillman)Similar
Q1 11:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
16.6%
(11:47) Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass complete short right to #5 O.Smith Jr. caught at MIC10, for 8 yards to the MIC01 (#7 T.Metcalf; #10 Z.Berry)Similar
Q1 10:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
16.8%
(11:04) #0 D.Williams rush middle for 0 yards to the MIC01 (#26 R.Benny; #20 J.Hill)Similar
Q1 10:28
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
17.9%
Dorian Fleming 1 Yd pass from Malik Washington (Sean O'Haire Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 2TD
9 plays · 47 yds · 3:1783% → 82%
Q1 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
17.5%
(10:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #19 B.Underwood pass incomplete short left to #88 D.Tonielli thrown to UMD40Similar
Q1 10:10
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+8
17.7%
(10:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #19 B.Underwood pass complete short right to #24 B.Kuzdzal caught at UMD48, for 8 yards to the UMD39 (#10 C.Rice; #13 L.Scruggs)Similar
Q1 9:33
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+7
18.2%
(09:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 B.Kuzdzal rush middle for 7 yards gain to the UMD32 (#22 J.Huskey), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+18
18.3%
(09:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 B.Kuzdzal rush left for 18 yards gain to the UMD14 (#22 J.Huskey), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
18.7%
(08:37) Shotgun #24 B.Kuzdzal rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UMD13 (#46 D.Fontus; #98 E.Thomas)Similar
Q1 7:45
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+1
19.1%
(08:03) Shotgun #24 B.Kuzdzal rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UMD12 (#46 D.Fontus; #29 S.Stewart)Similar
Q1 7:05
3RD & 8
OPP 12
+12
18.0%
Andrew Marsh 12 Yd pass from Bryce Underwood (Dominic Zvada Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 30 yds · 2:1119% → 20%
Q1 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
18.8%
(07:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass complete short middle to #1 J.Farooq caught at UMD38, for 15 yards to the UMD40 (#23 C.Sullivan), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
19.4%
(06:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass complete short right to #4 S.Knotts caught at UMD44, for 8 yards to the UMD48 (#25 M.Curtis)Similar
Q1 5:58
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+3
19.9%
(06:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass complete short middle to #2 N.Ray caught at UMD49, for 3 yards to the MIC49 (#30 J.Rolder), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
20.2%
(05:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass incomplete short middle to #5 O.Smith Jr. thrown to MIC40Similar
Q1 5:33
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
20.1%
(05:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass incomplete short left to #9 D.Fleming thrown to MIC45Similar
Q1 5:33
3RD & 10
OPP 49
+5
19.8%
PENALTY MIC Offside (#1 J.Barham) 5 yards from MIC49 to MIC44. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 5:24
3RD & 5
OPP 44
-1
20.3%
(05:33) Shotgun #0 D.Williams rush right for 1 yard loss to the MIC45 (#1 J.Barham)Similar
Q1 4:42
4TH & 6
OPP 45
+9
20.3%
(04:56) #34 B.McFerson punt 37 yards to the MIC08 #4 A.Marsh return 9 yards to the MIC17 (#13 L.Scruggs)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 4TD
14 plays · 83 yds · 5:2080% → 82%
Q1 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
19.9%
(04:42) Shotgun #19 B.Underwood pass incomplete short middle to #4 A.Marsh thrown to MIC35 broken up by #13 L.ScruggsSimilar
Q1 4:37
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+5
20.0%
PENALTY MIC False Start (#51 G.Crippen) 5 yards from MIC17 to MIC12. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 4:27
2ND & 15
OWN 12
+11
20.1%
(04:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #19 B.Underwood pass complete short right to #4 A.Marsh caught at MIC16, for 11 yards to the MIC23 (#27 L.Roland)Similar
Q1 3:42
3RD & 4
OWN 23
+7
20.6%
(04:04) Shotgun #19 B.Underwood pass complete short right to #44 M.Bredeson caught at MIC23, for 7 yards to the MIC30 (#10 C.Rice; #1 D.Wingate), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
20.6%
(03:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 B.Kuzdzal rush right for 6 yards gain to the MIC36 (#40 N.Taylor)Similar
Q1 2:37
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+5
20.3%
(02:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 B.Kuzdzal rush left for 5 yards gain to the MIC41 (#22 J.Huskey), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+25
20.6%
(02:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #19 B.Underwood pass complete deep right to #4 A.Marsh caught at UMD39, for 25 yards to the UMD34 (#27 L.Roland), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:36
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
20.1%
(01:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 B.Kuzdzal rush right for 1 yard gain to the UMD33 (#32 C.Smith; #2 B.Lee)Similar
Q1 0:54
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+20
20.5%
(01:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #19 B.Underwood pass complete short middle to #83 Z.Marshall caught at UMD16, for 20 yards to the UMD13 (#13 L.Scruggs), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+7
20.6%
(00:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #19 B.Underwood pass complete short left to #17 M.Klein caught at UMD15, for 7 yards to the UMD06 (#22 J.Huskey), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 0:02
2ND & 3
OPP 6
+1
20.8%
(00:02) Shotgun #27 J.Parker rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UMD05 (#32 C.Smith)Similar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 2
OPP 5
+3
21.3%
(15:00) Shotgun #24 B.Kuzdzal rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UMD02 (#9 Z.Mathis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
17.7%
(14:17) #24 B.Kuzdzal rush left for 2 yards gain to the UMD00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:17 PENALTY UMD Illegal Substitution declined #96 D.Zvada kick attempt good (H: #90 H.Hollenbeck, LS: #45 G.Tarr)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 5INT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:3319% → 19%
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
19.1%
(14:17) Shotgun #24 I.Howard rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UMD27 (#29 C.Taylor)Similar
Q2 13:44
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
19.4%
(13:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass incomplete deep left to #4 S.Knotts thrown to MIC35 broken up by #10 Z.BerrySimilar
Q2 13:37
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-14
18.9%
(13:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass intercepted by #25 M.Curtis at UMD37 #25 M.Curtis return 14 yards to the UMD23 (#4 S.Knotts)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 6TD
4 plays · 23 yds · 1:0982% → 86%
Q2 13:37
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
17.9%
(13:37) PENALTY MIC False Start (#77 B.Frazier) 5 yards from UMD23 to UMD28. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 13:28
1ST & 15
OPP 28
+10
17.9%
(13:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #19 B.Underwood pass complete short middle to #83 Z.Marshall caught at UMD24, for 10 yards to the UMD18 (#29 S.Stewart)Similar
Q2 13:06
2ND & 5
OPP 18
-4
18.0%
(13:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 B.Kuzdzal rush middle for 4 yards loss to the UMD22 (#9 Z.Mathis)Similar
Q2 12:28
3RD & 9
OPP 22
+22
14.4%
(12:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #19 B.Underwood pass complete short right to #1 D.McCulley caught at UMD18, for 22 yards to the UMD00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:28, 1ST DOWN #96 D.Zvada kick attempt good (H: #90 H.Hollenbeck, LS: #45 G.Tarr)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 7FG
15 plays · 59 yds · 5:1315% → 17%
Q2 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
15.3%
(12:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass complete short right to #5 O.Smith Jr. caught at UMD31, for 22 yards to the UMD47 (#3 J.Mangham), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
15.8%
(12:01) No Huddle #7 M.Washington pass incomplete short middle to #9 D.Fleming thrown to MIC40Similar
Q2 11:43
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+10
15.7%
(11:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass complete short left to #1 J.Farooq caught at UMD50, for 10 yards to the MIC43 (#13 C.Anderson; #25 M.Curtis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
15.8%
(11:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass incomplete short right to #9 D.Fleming thrown to MIC38Similar
Q2 11:08
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+1
15.8%
(11:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 D.Williams rush middle for 1 yard gain to the MIC42 (#1 J.Barham)Similar
Q2 10:33
3RD & 9
OPP 42
+13
15.8%
(10:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass complete short middle to #9 D.Fleming caught at MIC31, for 13 yards to the MIC29 (#14 J.Young), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
16.2%
(10:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 D.Williams rush middle for 2 yards gain to the MIC27 (#26 R.Benny)Similar
Q2 9:22
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+12
16.2%
(09:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass complete short left to #84 K.Webb caught at MIC15, for 12 yards to the MIC15 (#13 C.Anderson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
16.3%
(09:09) PENALTY UMD False Start (#76 R.Perry) 5 yards from MIC15 to MIC20. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 8:35
1ST & 15
OPP 20
0
16.3%
(08:58) Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass incomplete deep middle to #1 J.Farooq thrown to MIC00Similar
Q2 8:23
2ND & 15
OPP 20
+11
16.2%
(08:35) Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass complete short left to #0 D.Williams caught at MIC24, for 11 yards to the MIC09 (#30 J.Rolder)Similar
Q2 7:42
3RD & 4
OPP 9
-7
15.6%
(07:54) Shotgun #7 M.Washington sacked for loss of 7 yards to the MIC16 (#1 J.Barham)Similar
Q2 7:03
4TH & 11
OPP 16
+34
16.9%
(07:07) #36 S.O'Haire field goal attempt from 34 yards GOOD (H: #34 B.McFerson, LS: #96 E.Gough), clock 07:03Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 8MISSED FG
14 plays · 60 yds · 5:0483% → 84%
Q2 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
17.0%
(06:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 B.Kuzdzal rush left for 8 yards gain to the MIC28 (#2 B.Lee)Similar
Q2 6:21
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+24
16.7%
(06:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #19 B.Underwood pass complete short middle to #1 D.McCulley caught at MIC45, for 24 yards to the UMD48 (#22 J.Huskey), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:48
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
16.4%
(05:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #19 B.Underwood pass complete short right to #9 C.Goodwin caught at UMD49, for 6 yards to the UMD42 (#14 J.Glasker; #6 D.Joyner)Similar
Q2 5:13
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+3
16.3%
(05:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 B.Kuzdzal rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UMD39 (#44 J.Starlings)Similar
Q2 4:52
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+2
16.5%
(04:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 B.Kuzdzal rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UMD37 (#29 S.Stewart), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-2
16.4%
(04:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #19 B.Underwood sacked for loss of 3 yards to the UMD40 (#98 E.Thomas, #9 Z.Mathis)Similar
Q2 3:28
2ND & 13
OPP 40
+9
16.4%
(03:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #19 B.Underwood pass complete short middle to #17 M.Klein caught at UMD41, for 9 yards to the UMD31 (#1 D.Wingate)Similar
Q2 2:43
3RD & 4
OPP 31
+6
16.1%
(03:02) Shotgun #19 B.Underwood rush middle for 6 yards gain to the UMD25, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
16.0%
(02:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #19 B.Underwood pass incomplete deep left to #4 A.Marsh thrown to UMD00 broken up by #2 B.LeeSimilar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+5
15.7%
(02:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #19 B.Underwood pass complete short left to #9 C.Goodwin caught at UMD26, for 5 yards to the UMD20 (#2 B.Lee)Similar
Q2 1:56
3RD & 5
OPP 20
0
15.4%
(02:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #19 B.Underwood pass incomplete short left to #4 A.Marsh thrown to UMD24 broken up by #14 J.GlaskerSimilar
Q2 1:53
4TH & 5
OPP 20
+38
16.4%
(01:56) #96 D.Zvada field goal attempt from 38 yards NO GOOD (H: #90 H.Hollenbeck, LS: #45 G.Tarr), clock 01:53Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 28 yds · 1:0017% → 18%
Q2 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
17.1%
(01:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass incomplete short left to #0 D.Williams thrown to UMD25Similar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+4
17.1%
(01:48) Shotgun #0 D.Williams rush right for 4 yards gain to the UMD24 (#6 B.Hillman)Similar
Q2 1:34
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+11
16.7%
(01:41) Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass complete short left to #1 J.Farooq caught at UMD28, for 11 yards to the UMD35 (#10 Z.Berry), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
17.5%
(01:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass complete short middle to #0 D.Williams caught at UMD35, for 10 yards to the UMD45 (#23 C.Sullivan), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
18.2%
(01:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Washington rush left for 3 yards gain to the UMD48 (#25 M.Curtis), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 7
OWN 48
0
18.9%
(01:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass incomplete short right to #1 J.Farooq thrown to UMD50 broken up by #7 T.MetcalfSimilar
Q2 0:56
3RD & 7
OWN 48
0
18.2%
(01:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass incomplete short left to #4 S.Knotts thrown to UMD48Similar
Q2 0:48
4TH & 7
OWN 48
+14
17.9%
(00:56) #34 B.McFerson punt 40 yards to the MIC12 #4 A.Marsh return 14 yards to the MIC26 (#33 M.Delhomme)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 10END OF HALF
6 plays · 21 yds · 0:4083% → 85%
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+17
17.0%
(00:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #19 B.Underwood pass complete short right to #4 A.Marsh caught at MIC40, for 17 yards to the MIC43, out of bounds at MIC43, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
16.1%
(00:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #19 B.Underwood rush middle for 6 yards gain to the MIC49 (#9 Z.Mathis)Similar
Q2 0:21
2ND & 4
OWN 49
0
15.5%
(00:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #19 B.Underwood pass incomplete deep right to #4 A.Marsh thrown to UMD24Similar
Q2 0:14
3RD & 4
OWN 49
+5
15.6%
(00:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #19 B.Underwood rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UMD46 (#1 D.Wingate), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-7
15.1%
(00:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #19 B.Underwood sacked for loss of 7 yards to the MIC47 (#29 S.Stewart)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 11TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 3:2383% → 93%
Q3 14:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
17.1%
(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #19 B.Underwood pass incomplete short right to #24 B.Kuzdzal thrown to MIC31Similar
Q3 14:51
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+9
17.2%
(14:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 B.Kuzdzal rush left for 9 yards gain to the MIC44 (#1 D.Wingate)Similar
Q3 14:24
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+3
16.8%
(14:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 B.Kuzdzal rush middle for 3 yards gain to the MIC47 (#9 Z.Mathis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
16.4%
(14:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #19 B.Underwood rush right for 0 yards to the MIC47 (#57 B.Jenkins), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 13:13
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+11
16.5%
(13:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #19 B.Underwood pass complete short right to #4 A.Marsh caught at UMD45, for 11 yards to the UMD42 (#2 B.Lee; #1 D.Wingate), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:39
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
16.3%
(12:50) Shotgun #24 B.Kuzdzal rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UMD40 (#13 L.Scruggs; #3 T.Reddick)Similar
Q3 11:54
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+21
16.2%
(12:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #19 B.Underwood pass complete deep middle to #17 M.Klein caught at UMD20, for 21 yards to the UMD19 (#22 J.Huskey), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
7.5%
(11:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 B.Kuzdzal rush middle for 19 yards gain to the UMD00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:35, 1ST DOWN #96 D.Zvada kick attempt good (H: #90 H.Hollenbeck, LS: #45 G.Tarr)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 12FG
14 plays · 64 yds · 3:5310% → 13%
Q3 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
9.6%
(11:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 D.Williams rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UMD27 (#1 J.Barham; #25 M.Curtis)Similar
Q3 11:03
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
9.6%
(11:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass incomplete deep left to #84 K.Webb thrown to MIC45Similar
Q3 11:03
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+15
9.4%
(11:03) Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass incomplete short right to #5 O.Smith Jr. thrown to UMD44 PENALTY MIC Roughing The Passer (#9 C.Brandt) 15 yards from UMD27 to UMD42, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+10
10.4%
(10:59) Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass complete short left to #5 O.Smith Jr. caught at UMD43, for 10 yards to the MIC48 (#7 T.Metcalf), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:23
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
10.6%
(10:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass incomplete short left to #4 S.Knotts thrown to MIC30 broken up by #6 B.HillmanSimilar
Q3 10:15
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+23
10.5%
(10:23) Shotgun #7 M.Washington rush left for 23 yards gain to the MIC25 (#6 B.Hillman), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
10.9%
(09:53) Shotgun #5 O.Smith Jr. pass incomplete deep right to #1 J.Farooq thrown to MIC05Similar
Q3 9:33
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
10.6%
(09:37) Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass incomplete short left to #0 D.Williams thrown to MIC22Similar
Q3 9:16
3RD & 10
OPP 25
+16
10.2%
(09:33) Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass complete short left to #5 O.Smith Jr. caught at MIC09, for 16 yards to the MIC09, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
10.8%
(09:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 D.Williams rush left for 4 yards gain to the MIC05 (#25 M.Curtis; #30 J.Rolder)Similar
Q3 8:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
10.7%
(08:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass incomplete short right to #5 O.Smith Jr. thrown to MIC00Similar
Q3 8:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
-6
10.5%
(08:19) Shotgun #7 M.Washington sacked for loss of 6 yards to the MIC11 (#0 T.Williams)Similar
Q3 7:34
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+29
12.8%
(07:34) #36 S.O'Haire field goal attempt from 29 yards GOOD (H: #34 B.McFerson, LS: #96 E.Gough), clock 07:34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 13TD
10 plays · 47 yds · 3:0691% → 97%
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+12
9.1%
(07:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 B.Kuzdzal rush right for 12 yards gain to the UMD35 (#1 D.Wingate), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
9.0%
(06:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 B.Kuzdzal rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UMD34 (#13 L.Scruggs; #40 N.Taylor)Similar
Q3 6:18
2ND & 9
OPP 34
0
9.0%
(06:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #19 B.Underwood pass incomplete short right thrown to UMD25Similar
Q3 6:16
3RD & 9
OPP 34
+15
9.1%
(06:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #19 B.Underwood pass incomplete short middle to #17 M.Klein thrown to UMD30 QB hurried by #40 N.Taylor PENALTY UMD Roughing The Passer (#40 N.Taylor) 15 yards from UMD34 to UMD19, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 6:03
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
8.7%
(06:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 J.Parker rush left for 4 yards gain to the UMD15 (#32 C.Smith)Similar
Q3 5:31
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+1
8.7%
(05:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 J.Parker rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UMD14 (#40 N.Taylor)Similar
Q3 5:03
3RD & 5
OPP 14
+5
8.7%
(05:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #19 B.Underwood pass incomplete short left to #1 D.McCulley thrown to UMD00 PENALTY UMD Offside (#10 C.Rice) 5 yards from UMD14 to UMD09, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 4:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
8.4%
(04:57) #19 B.Underwood rush right for 8 yards gain to the UMD01 (#22 J.Huskey; #6 D.Joyner)Similar
Q3 4:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
2.6%
Bryson Kuzdzal 1 Yd Run (Dominic Zvada Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 14DOWNS
10 plays · 12 yds · 2:523% → 3%
Q3 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
3.4%
(03:50) Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass incomplete short right to #5 O.Smith Jr. thrown to UMD26Similar
Q3 3:41
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
3.4%
(03:48) Shotgun #2 N.Ray rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UMD29 (#33 D.Nichols)Similar
Q3 2:59
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+5
3.2%
(03:16) Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass complete short left to #9 D.Fleming caught at UMD34, for 5 yards to the UMD34 (#3 J.Mangham)Similar
Q3 2:39
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+2
3.2%
(02:44) No Huddle #7 M.Washington rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UMD36 (#33 D.Nichols), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+14
3.1%
(02:18) No Huddle #7 M.Washington pass complete short middle to #4 S.Knotts caught at MIC50, for 14 yards to the UMD50 (#14 J.Young), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 1:35
1ST & 10
50
+1
3.2%
(01:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Washington rush middle for 1 yard gain to the MIC49, End Of PlaySimilar
Q3 1:17
2ND & 9
OPP 49
0
3.2%
(01:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 D.Williams rush right for 0 yards to the MIC49 (#95 T.Pierce)Similar
Q3 1:01
3RD & 9
OPP 49
0
3.2%
(01:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass incomplete short left to #5 O.Smith Jr. thrown to MIC30Similar
Q3 0:56
4TH & 9
OPP 49
-14
3.1%
(01:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Washington sacked for loss of 14 yards to the UMD37 (#8 D.Moore), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 15TD
7 plays · 37 yds · 2:3198% → 100%
Q3 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
2.1%
(00:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 J.Parker rush right for 0 yards to the UMD37 (#23 K.Flowers; #10 C.Rice) PENALTY UMD UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (#9 Z.Mathis) 15 yards from UMD37 to UMD22, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
2.0%
(00:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #19 B.Underwood rush left for 5 yards gain to the UMD17 (#22 J.Huskey), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 5
OPP 17
+4
2.0%
(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 J.Parker rush left for 4 yards gain to the UMD13 (#3 T.Reddick)Similar
Q4 14:16
3RD & 1
OPP 13
+4
2.0%
(14:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 J.Parker rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UMD09 (#13 L.Scruggs), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 13:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
1.9%
(14:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 J.Parker rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UMD06 (#98 E.Thomas)Similar
Q4 13:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
0.5%
Jasper Parker 6 Yd Run (Dominic Zvada Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 16DOWNS
8 plays · 17 yds · 1:311% → 0%
Q4 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
0.5%
(13:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 D.Williams rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UMD28 (#4 T.Guy)Similar
Q4 12:46
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
0.4%
(13:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass complete short middle to #0 D.Williams caught at UMD30, for 6 yards to the UMD34 (#18 T.Bowles; #23 C.Sullivan)Similar
Q4 12:26
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
0.4%
(12:31) No Huddle #7 M.Washington rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UMD36 (#94 N.Marshall), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
0.4%
(12:18) No Huddle #7 M.Washington pass incomplete short right to #5 O.Smith Jr. thrown to UMD50Similar
Q4 12:06
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+6
0.4%
(12:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass complete short left to #5 O.Smith Jr. caught at UMD38, for 6 yards to the UMD42 (#22 E.Dotson)Similar
Q4 11:47
3RD & 4
OWN 42
0
0.4%
(11:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass incomplete short middle to #16 L.Haughton Jr. thrown to UMD50 broken up by #14 J.YoungSimilar
Q4 11:41
4TH & 4
OWN 42
0
0.3%
(11:47) Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass incomplete short left to #16 L.Haughton Jr. thrown to MIC45, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 17FG
7 plays · 14 yds · 4:11100% → 100%
Q4 11:31
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
0.4%
(11:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 M.Ka'apana rush right for 7 yards gain to the UMD35 (#13 L.Scruggs)Similar
Q4 10:49
2ND & 3
OPP 35
+2
0.3%
(10:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 M.Ka'apana rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UMD33 (#13 L.Scruggs)Similar
Q4 10:13
3RD & 1
OPP 33
+3
0.3%
(10:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 M.Ka'apana rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UMD30 (#1 D.Wingate), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
0.3%
(09:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 M.Ka'apana rush left for 1 yard gain to the UMD29 (#6 D.Joyner)Similar
Q4 8:49
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+3
0.3%
(08:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 M.Ka'apana rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UMD26 (#46 D.Fontus; #32 C.Smith)Similar
Q4 8:01
3RD & 6
OPP 26
-2
0.3%
(08:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 M.Ka'apana rush right for 2 yards loss to the UMD28 (#10 C.Rice)Similar
Q4 7:20
4TH & 8
OPP 28
+46
0.3%
Dominic Zvada 46 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 18TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:180% → 0%
Q4 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
0.2%
(07:20) Shotgun #24 I.Howard rush middle for 9 yards gain to the UMD34 (#14 J.Young)Similar
Q4 6:46
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+6
0.2%
(06:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 K.Martin pass complete short left to #1 J.Farooq caught at UMD34, for 6 yards to the UMD40 (#12 N.Owusu-Boateng; #24 T.Metcalf), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+31
0.2%
(06:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 K.Martin pass complete deep right to #4 S.Knotts caught at MIC34, for 31 yards to the MIC29 (#5 J.Oden), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
0.4%
Jalil Farooq 0 Yd pass from Khristian Martin (Sean O'Haire Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 19END OF GAME
11 plays · 71 yds · 4:44100% → 100%
Q4 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+37
0.3%
(05:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #36 T.O'Meara rush left for 37 yards gain to the UMD38 (#6 D.Joyner), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
0.3%
(05:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #36 T.O'Meara rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UMD34 (#0 N.Avery)Similar
Q4 4:22
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+2
0.3%
(04:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #36 T.O'Meara rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UMD32 (#91 S.Smith)Similar
Q4 3:35
3RD & 4
OPP 32
+8
0.3%
(03:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #36 T.O'Meara rush middle for 8 yards gain to the UMD24 (#4 K.Humes), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:49
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+9
0.2%
(02:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #36 T.O'Meara rush left for 9 yards gain to the UMD15 (#23 K.Flowers)Similar
Q4 2:09
2ND & 1
OPP 15
+6
0.2%
(02:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #36 T.O'Meara rush middle for 6 yards gain to the UMD09 (#33 M.Delhomme; #4 K.Humes), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-1
0.1%
(02:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #36 T.O'Meara rush middle for 1 yard loss to the UMD10 (#33 M.Delhomme)Similar
Q4 0:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
0.1%
(00:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #36 T.O'Meara rush middle for 6 yards gain to the UMD04 (#57 B.Jenkins)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 11:35
(11:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 B.Kuzdzal rush middle for 19 yards gain to the UMD00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:35, 1ST DOWN #96 D.Zvada kick attempt good (H: #90 H.Hollenbeck, LS: #45 G.Tarr)
-8.7
TD · Q3 4:09
Bryson Kuzdzal 1 Yd Run (Dominic Zvada Kick)
-5.9
TD · Q2 14:17
(14:17) #24 B.Kuzdzal rush left for 2 yards gain to the UMD00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:17 PENALTY UMD Illegal Substitution declined #96 D.Zvada kick attempt good (H: #90 H.Hollenbeck, LS: #45 G.Tarr)
-3.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com