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MINN

Minnesota 35 at Northwestern 38

NU
2025 · Week 13 · Nov 22, 2025 · Wrigley Field
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Win probability · NU
modelNU aheadMINN aheadconfidence bandkey playNU scoreMINN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · End of 4th quarter.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+24.0+12.00−12.0−24.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 7:01: (07:01) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete short left to #17 G.Wilde caught at MIN00, for 4 yards to the MIN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:01 #94 H.Helms pass attempt Successful #41 R.Preckel pass attempt Successful — NU win probability +17.0 pts (now 44%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 0:28: (00:28) Shotgun #6 J.Himon II rush left for 20 yards gain to the MIN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:28, 1ST DOWN #82 J.Olsen kick attempt good (H: #94 H.Helms, LS: #39 J.Florentine) — NU win probability +21.0 pts (now 65%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 10:20: (10:20) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete short right to #5 C.Komolafe caught at MIN01, for 2 yards to the MIN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:20 #82 J.Olsen kick attempt good (H: #94 H.Helms, LS: #39 J.Florentine) — NU win probability +22.2 pts (now 87%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 8:20: (08:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass complete short left to #0 L.Brockington caught at NU 00, for 8 yards to the NU 00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:20 #92 B.Denaburg kick attempt good (H: #42 T.Weston, LS: #80 A.Soukup) — MINN win probability +34.3 pts (now 54%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:53: (00:57) #82 J.Olsen field goal attempt from 33 yards GOOD (H: #94 H.Helms, LS: #39 J.Florentine), clock 00:53 — NU win probability +26.9 pts (now 93%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6MINN made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 9:34MINN 4th & 12 at MINN 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.4%−0.3
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:34NU 4th & 1 at NU 42, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 65.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    65.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    65.0%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:51NU 4th & 16 at MINN 16, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 66.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.8%−1.1
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.8%
    81% to make
    Punt
    62.8%−3.0
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:35MINN 4th & 1 at NU 1, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.0%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    30.3%−1.7
    94% to make
    Punt
    26.0%−5.9
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:38NU 4th & 12 at MINN 17, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 63.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.1%−1.2
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.3%
    80% to make
    Punt
    58.4%−4.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:00NU 4th & 7 at NU 29, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.6%−0.4
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.1%
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:52MINN 4th & 1 at MINN 38, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 60.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    61.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    59.6%−1.8
    average punt
  8. Q3 4:42MINN 4th & 5 at NU 30, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 65.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.6%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    64.4%−0.2
    56% to make
    Punt
    62.1%−2.6
    average punt
  9. Q3 1:45NU 4th & 1 at MINN 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 40.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    40.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    35.7%−5.0
    54% to make
    Punt
    33.3%−7.3
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:49MINN 4th & 12 at MINN 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.4%−3.8
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.2%
    average punt
  11. Q4 0:53NU 4th & 2 at MINN 15, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 60.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.2%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.7%−0.4
    83% to make
    Punt
    25.0%−33.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 0:03MINN 4th & 6 at NU 22, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 22.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.6%−15.2
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.8%
    72% to make
    Punt
    7.9%−24.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4MINN made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 12:05NU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:35MINN Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:09MINN Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:12MINN Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 12:43MINN Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 7:01NU Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    37.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    36.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:28NU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.2%−0.3
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 10:20NU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.0%−0.6
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 8:20MINN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.6%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NUDrive 1TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:4760% → 62%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
60.3%
(14:56) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass incomplete short right to #80 H.Eligon II thrown to NU 34 broken up by #4 Z.Bryan QB hurried by #49 M.KingsburySimilar
Q1 14:43
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
60.3%
(14:47) Shotgun #5 C.Komolafe rush middle for 4 yards gain to the NU 29 (#3 K.Perich; #6 M.Baranowski)Similar
Q1 14:05
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+9
60.3%
(14:08) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete short left to #17 G.Wilde caught at NU 35, for 9 yards to the NU 38, out of bounds at NU 38, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
60.4%
PENALTY NU False Start (#75 M.Lewis) 5 yards from NU 38 to NU 33. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 13:20
1ST & 15
OWN 33
+17
60.3%
(13:26) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete short right to #17 G.Wilde caught at NU 44, for 17 yards to the NU 50 (#24 J.McMillan; #7 A.Gousby), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
50
+4
60.6%
(12:48) Shotgun #5 C.Komolafe rush left for 4 yards gain to the MIN46 (#2 E.Karmo)Similar
Q1 12:05
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+46
61.7%
(12:10) Shotgun #5 C.Komolafe rush middle for 46 yards gain to the MIN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:05, 1ST DOWN #82 J.Olsen kick attempt good (H: #94 H.Helms, LS: #39 J.Florentine)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 2:1639% → 38%
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
61.4%
(11:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 D.Taylor rush middle for 0 yards to the MIN23 (#33 B.Brus)Similar
Q1 11:07
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+9
61.6%
(11:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass complete short left to #1 D.Taylor caught at MIN20, for 9 yards to the MIN32 (#9 B.Turner)Similar
Q1 10:37
3RD & 1
OWN 32
+5
61.7%
PENALTY MIN False Start (#8 J.Smith) 5 yards from MIN32 to MIN27. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 10:13
3RD & 6
OWN 27
-6
62.0%
(10:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey sacked for loss of 6 yards to the MIN21 (#47 M.Kilbane)Similar
Q1 9:34
4TH & 12
OWN 21
0
62.5%
(09:34) #42 T.Weston punt 46 yards to the NU 33, out of bounds at NU 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 3FG
21 plays · 51 yds · 8:4163% → 65%
Q1 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+10
62.5%
(09:32) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete short left to #17 G.Wilde caught at NU 43, for 10 yards to the NU 43 (#13 M.Gerald; #6 M.Baranowski) PENALTY NU Holding (#72 C.Tiernan) 10 yards from NU 33 to NU 23. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 9:05
1ST & 20
OWN 23
+5
62.6%
(09:06) Shotgun #8 P.Stone rush left for 5 yards gain to the NU 28 (#4 Z.Bryan), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 8:21
2ND & 15
OWN 28
+8
62.7%
(08:29) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete short left to #17 G.Wilde caught at NU 36, for 8 yards to the NU 36 (#3 K.Perich)Similar
Q1 7:47
3RD & 7
OWN 36
+5
62.9%
PENALTY NU False Start (#80 H.Eligon II) 5 yards from NU 36 to NU 31. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 7:12
3RD & 12
OWN 31
+11
62.9%
(07:23) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete short right to #84 H.Welcing caught at NU 40, for 11 yards to the NU 42 (#7 A.Gousby; #3 K.Perich)Similar
Q1 6:34
4TH & 1
OWN 42
+4
63.4%
(06:41) Shotgun #86 L.Albright rush middle for 4 yards gain to the NU 46 (#0 A.Smith), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
64.3%
(06:05) Shotgun #6 J.Himon II rush middle for 7 yards gain to the MIN47 (#6 M.Baranowski)Similar
Q1 5:25
2ND & 3
OPP 47
-11
64.7%
(05:25) Shotgun #86 L.Albright pass incomplete short right to #17 G.Wilde thrown to MIN30 QB hurried by #0 A.Smith PENALTY NU Intentional Grounding (#8 P.Stone)Similar
Q1 5:15
3RD & 14
OWN 42
+17
63.8%
(05:15) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete short left to #17 G.Wilde caught at MIN41, for 17 yards to the MIN41 (#24 J.McMillan), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY MIN Pass Interference declinedSimilar
Q1 4:59
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-1
64.9%
(05:02) Shotgun #5 C.Komolafe rush middle for 1 yard loss to the MIN42 (#3 K.Perich)Similar
Q1 4:27
2ND & 11
OPP 42
+5
65.0%
PENALTY MIN Offside (#91 D.Eastern) 5 yards from MIN42 to MIN37. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 4:03
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+11
65.3%
(04:03) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass incomplete short right to #17 G.Wilde thrown to MIN26, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY MIN Pass Interference (#13 M.Gerald) 11 yard from MIN37 to MIN26, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
65.5%
(03:51) Shotgun #6 J.Himon II rush right for 2 yards gain to the MIN24 (#7 A.Gousby; #91 D.Eastern)Similar
Q1 3:16
2ND & 8
OPP 24
0
65.7%
(03:16) Shotgun #2 R.Boe pass incomplete short left to #80 H.Eligon II thrown to MIN09Similar
Q1 3:01
3RD & 8
OPP 24
+21
65.4%
(03:08) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete short middle to #80 H.Eligon II caught at MIN06, for 21 yards to the MIN03 (#4 Z.Bryan), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
65.7%
(02:31) Shotgun #5 C.Komolafe rush middle for 2 yards loss to the MIN05 (#6 M.Baranowski)Similar
Q1 1:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+15
66.0%
(01:46) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass incomplete short right to #80 H.Eligon II thrown to MIN00 PENALTY NU Pass Interference (#80 H.Eligon II) 15 yards from MIN05 to MIN20. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 1:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 20
+9
65.9%
(01:42) Shotgun #2 R.Boe rush left for 9 yards gain to the MIN11 (#3 K.Perich)Similar
Q1 0:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
0
65.9%
(00:56) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass incomplete short left to #10 R.Ahumaraeze thrown to MIN00Similar
Q1 0:56
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+5
65.0%
PENALTY NU Delay Of Game 5 yards from MIN11 to MIN16. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 0:51
4TH & GOAL
OPP 16
+34
65.4%
(00:50) #82 J.Olsen field goal attempt from 34 yards GOOD (H: #94 H.Helms, LS: #39 J.Florentine), clock 00:51Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 4TD
6 plays · 5 yds · 2:0036% → 39%
Q1 0:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
64.0%
(00:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 D.Taylor rush middle for 2 yards gain to the NU 03 (#37 M.Uihlein)Similar
Q2 14:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
64.2%
(14:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 D.Taylor rush middle for 2 yards loss to the NU 05 (#6 R.Fitzgerald; #18 G.Wallace)Similar
Q2 14:04
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
65.1%
(14:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass complete short middle to #1 D.Taylor caught at NU 01, for 4 yards to the NU 01, out of bounds at NU 01. The previous play is under automatic review - "Pass completion". CALL UPHELDSimilar
Q2 13:35
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
60.7%
(13:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 D.Taylor rush right for 1 yard gain to the NU 00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:35 #92 B.Denaburg kick attempt good (H: #42 T.Weston, LS: #80 A.Soukup)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 5FG
12 plays · 58 yds · 5:4261% → 67%
Q2 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
61.4%
(13:23) Shotgun #5 C.Komolafe rush left for 4 yards gain to the NU 29 (#7 A.Gousby; #91 D.Eastern)Similar
Q2 12:35
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+8
61.5%
(12:46) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete short right to #17 G.Wilde caught at NU 37, for 8 yards to the NU 37 (#13 M.Gerald), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
62.0%
(12:06) Shotgun #5 C.Komolafe rush middle for 9 yards gain to the NU 46 (#1 J.Howard)Similar
Q2 11:22
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+9
63.1%
(11:25) Shotgun #6 J.Himon II rush left for 9 yards gain to the MIN45 (#2 E.Karmo; #3 K.Perich), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+15
63.5%
(10:42) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete short middle to #80 H.Eligon II caught at MIN33, for 15 yards to the MIN30 (#26 Z.Harden), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+15
64.0%
(10:01) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete short left to #17 G.Wilde caught at MIN19, for 15 yards to the MIN15 (#12 D.Green), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+10
64.2%
(09:23) Shotgun #6 J.Himon II rush middle for 4 yards gain to the MIN11 (#49 M.Kingsbury) PENALTY NU Holding (#60 E.Beerntsen) 10 yards from MIN15 to MIN25. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 8:55
1ST & 20
OPP 25
+10
64.0%
(09:00) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete short left to #80 H.Eligon II caught at MIN15, for 10 yards to the MIN15 (#24 J.McMillan)Similar
Q2 8:21
2ND & 10
OPP 15
-2
64.4%
(08:25) Shotgun #6 J.Himon II rush right for 2 yards loss to the MIN17 (#6 M.Baranowski; #49 M.Kingsbury)Similar
Q2 7:42
3RD & 12
OPP 17
0
64.1%
(07:42) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass incomplete short middle to #87 C.Grove thrown to MIN00Similar
Q2 7:38
4TH & 12
OPP 17
+35
67.2%
(07:42) #82 J.Olsen field goal attempt from 35 yards GOOD (H: #94 H.Helms, LS: #39 J.Florentine), clock 07:38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 6TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 4:1634% → 49%
Q2 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
65.8%
(07:34) No Huddle #5 D.Lindsey pass complete short left to #1 D.Taylor caught at MIN27, for 11 yards to the MIN36 (#13 J.Fussell; #33 B.Brus), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
65.2%
(06:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 F.Ijeboi rush right for 9 yards gain to the MIN45 (#4 A.Saka; #18 G.Wallace)Similar
Q2 6:06
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+6
63.7%
(06:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 F.Ijeboi rush left for 6 yards gain to the NU 49 (#13 J.Fussell), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:26
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
63.7%
(05:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass incomplete deep middle to #11 J.Tracy thrown to NU 02 broken up by #7 O.AdeyiSimilar
Q2 5:26
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+5
64.5%
PENALTY MIN False Start (#65 G.Johnson) 5 yards from NU 49 to MIN46. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 5:22
2ND & 15
OWN 46
0
66.0%
(05:22) No Huddle #5 D.Lindsey pass incomplete short right to #1 D.Taylor thrown to MIN45Similar
Q2 5:05
3RD & 15
OWN 46
+15
66.6%
(05:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass complete short right to #0 L.Brockington caught at NU 39, for 15 yards to the NU 39, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+9
63.8%
(04:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass complete short middle to #87 D.Biber caught at NU 39, for 9 yards to the NU 30 (#9 B.Turner; #33 B.Brus)Similar
Q2 4:15
2ND & 1
OPP 30
+20
62.6%
(04:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass complete short middle to #8 J.Smith caught at NU 15, for 20 yards to the NU 10 (#37 M.Uihlein), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 4:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
62.6%
(04:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass incomplete short right to #8 J.Smith thrown to NU 00Similar
Q2 3:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
-1
62.6%
(03:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 L.Brockington rush right for 1 yard loss to the NU 11 (#13 J.Fussell)Similar
Q2 3:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
+6
64.3%
(03:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass incomplete short right to #1 D.Taylor thrown to NU 00 QB hurried by #9 B.Turner PENALTY NU Holding (#13 J.Fussell) 6 yards from NU 11 to NU 05, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 3:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
51.2%
(03:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass complete short left to #11 J.Tracy caught at NU 05, for 5 yards to the NU 00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:09, 1ST DOWN #92 B.Denaburg kick attempt good (H: #42 T.Weston, LS: #80 A.Soukup)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:5557% → 54%
Q2 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
56.9%
(02:58) Shotgun #5 C.Komolafe rush middle for 3 yards gain to the NU 29 (#49 M.Kingsbury)Similar
Q2 2:16
2ND & 7
OWN 29
0
56.6%
(02:16) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass incomplete short left to #17 G.Wilde thrown to NU 44Similar
Q2 2:12
3RD & 7
OWN 29
0
55.4%
(02:11) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass incomplete short right to #17 G.Wilde thrown to NU 31 broken up by #3 K.PerichSimilar
Q2 2:00
4TH & 7
OWN 29
+12
54.2%
(02:03) #11 L.Akers punt 45 yards to the MIN26 #3 K.Perich return 12 yards to the MIN38 (#6 R.Fitzgerald; #84 H.Welcing)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 8TD
11 plays · 62 yds · 1:4148% → 65%
Q2 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
52.0%
(01:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 D.Taylor rush right for 5 yards gain to the MIN43 (#47 M.Kilbane)Similar
Q2 1:21
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+11
50.8%
(01:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass complete short left to #0 L.Brockington caught at NU 46, for 11 yards to the NU 46 (#9 B.Turner), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+8
50.0%
(01:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass complete short right to #1 D.Taylor caught at NU 47, for 8 yards to the NU 38 (#9 B.Turner; #33 B.Brus)Similar
Q2 0:49
2ND & 2
OPP 38
+2
49.7%
(00:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass complete short middle to #1 D.Taylor caught at NU 40, for 2 yards to the NU 36 (#95 N.Story), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+8
50.0%
(00:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass complete short left to #87 D.Biber caught at NU 28, for 8 yards to the NU 28 (#9 B.Turner; #37 M.Uihlein)Similar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 2
OPP 28
+4
48.3%
(00:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass complete short right to #86 J.Geers caught at NU 26, for 4 yards to the NU 24 (#9 B.Turner), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
48.3%
(00:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass incomplete, SpikeSimilar
Q2 0:12
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+24
35.1%
(00:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass complete deep middle to #11 J.Tracy caught at NU 04, for 24 yards to the NU 00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:12, 1ST DOWN #92 B.Denaburg kick attempt good (H: #42 T.Weston, LS: #80 A.Soukup)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 9END OF HALF
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:0041% → 41%
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
40.7%
(00:09) Shotgun #5 C.Komolafe rush middle for 3 yards gain to the NU 28 (#12 D.Green; #1 J.Howard)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 10FUMBLE
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:5361% → 62%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
39.1%
(14:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 D.Taylor rush right for 4 yards gain to the MIN33 (#18 G.Wallace)Similar
Q3 14:13
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+4
38.0%
(14:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 D.Taylor rush left for 4 yards gain to the MIN37 (#13 J.Fussell)Similar
Q3 13:29
3RD & 2
OWN 37
+1
38.0%
(13:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 D.Taylor rush right for 1 yard gain to the MIN38 (#6 R.Fitzgerald; #9 B.Turner)Similar
Q3 12:52
4TH & 1
OWN 38
+34
38.2%
(12:57) #42 T.Weston punt 34 yards to the NU 28 #20 C.Farrell return 0 yards to the NU 28 fumbled by #20 C.Farrell at NU 28 recovered by MIN #80 A.Soukup at NU 28, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 11TD
1 play · 28 yds · 0:0076% → 76%
Q3 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
23.9%
(12:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass complete deep right to #11 J.Tracy caught at NU 00, for 28 yards to the NU 00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:43, 1ST DOWN #92 B.Denaburg kick attempt good (H: #42 T.Weston, LS: #80 A.Soukup)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 12TD
10 plays · 79 yds · 5:2929% → 44%
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
29.0%
(12:33) Shotgun #5 C.Komolafe rush middle for 0 yards to the NU 14 (#14 K.Brown)Similar
Q3 11:49
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+38
27.2%
(11:56) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete short left to #80 H.Eligon II caught at NU 20, for 38 yards to the MIN48 (#14 K.Brown), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
29.7%
(11:15) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete short middle to #10 R.Ahumaraeze caught at MIN40, for 9 yards to the MIN39 (#24 J.McMillan)Similar
Q3 10:37
2ND & 1
OPP 39
+1
29.8%
(10:43) Shotgun #5 C.Komolafe rush left for 1 yard gain to the MIN38 (#91 D.Eastern), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+23
28.7%
(09:59) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete deep middle to #80 H.Eligon II caught at MIN16, for 23 yards to the MIN15 (#24 J.McMillan), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+11
29.2%
(09:16) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete short right to #17 G.Wilde caught at MIN09, for 11 yards to the MIN04 (#24 J.McMillan), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
28.4%
(08:35) Shotgun #2 R.Boe rush middle for 2 yards gain to the MIN02 (#49 M.Kingsbury)Similar
Q3 7:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
27.1%
(07:50) Shotgun #5 C.Komolafe rush right for 2 yards loss to the MIN04 (#6 M.Baranowski)Similar
Q3 7:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
44.1%
(07:01) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete short left to #17 G.Wilde caught at MIN00, for 4 yards to the MIN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:01 #94 H.Helms pass attempt Successful #41 R.Preckel pass attempt SuccessfulSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 13MISSED FG
7 plays · 35 yds · 2:0164% → 66%
Q3 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
35.7%
(06:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass complete short right to #1 D.Taylor caught at MIN35, for 3 yards to the MIN38 (#13 J.Fussell)Similar
Q3 6:05
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+27
33.8%
(06:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 D.Taylor rush left for 27 yards gain to the NU 35 (#6 R.Fitzgerald), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:26
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
32.2%
(05:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 F.Ijeboi rush right for 5 yards gain to the NU 30 (#18 G.Wallace; #37 M.Uihlein)Similar
Q3 4:51
2ND & 5
OPP 30
0
31.3%
(04:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass incomplete short right thrown to NU 29 QB hurried by #1 C.BastoneSimilar
Q3 4:47
3RD & 5
OPP 30
0
32.1%
(04:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass incomplete short middle to #17 L.Loya thrown to NU 25 broken up by #47 M.KilbaneSimilar
Q3 4:42
4TH & 5
OPP 30
+48
34.3%
(04:46) #92 B.Denaburg field goal attempt from 48 yards NO GOOD (H: #42 T.Weston, LS: #80 A.Soukup), clock 04:42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 14TD
7 plays · 70 yds · 3:4839% → 65%
Q3 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+30
38.7%
(04:39) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete deep right to #10 R.Ahumaraeze caught at MIN42, for 30 yards to the MIN40, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
42.9%
(03:55) Shotgun #5 C.Komolafe rush middle for 1 yard gain to the MIN39 (#3 K.Perich)Similar
Q3 3:08
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+7
42.5%
(03:13) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete short left to #17 G.Wilde caught at MIN33, for 7 yards to the MIN32 (#4 Z.Bryan; #14 K.Brown)Similar
Q3 2:26
3RD & 2
OPP 32
+1
42.1%
(02:30) Shotgun #5 C.Komolafe rush middle for 1 yard gain to the MIN31 (#14 K.Brown)Similar
Q3 1:45
4TH & 1
OPP 31
+3
39.8%
(01:48) Shotgun #5 C.Komolafe rush middle for 3 yards gain to the MIN28 (#6 M.Baranowski; #49 M.Kingsbury), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 1:01
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+8
43.6%
(01:07) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete short right to #17 G.Wilde caught at MIN20, for 8 yards to the MIN20 (#14 K.Brown)Similar
Q3 0:28
2ND & 2
OPP 20
+20
64.6%
(00:28) Shotgun #6 J.Himon II rush left for 20 yards gain to the MIN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:28, 1ST DOWN #82 J.Olsen kick attempt good (H: #94 H.Helms, LS: #39 J.Florentine)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 0:2646% → 42%
Q3 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
54.5%
(00:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass incomplete deep middle to #16 M.Coleman thrown to NU 40 broken up by #13 J.Fussell QB hurried by #47 M.KilbaneSimilar
Q3 0:07
2ND & 10
OWN 22
-2
54.9%
(00:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 F.Ijeboi rush middle for 2 yards loss to the MIN20 (#47 M.Kilbane)Similar
Q4 14:57
3RD & 12
OWN 20
0
56.9%
(14:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass incomplete short right to #0 L.Brockington thrown to MIN34 QB hurried by #6 R.FitzgeraldSimilar
Q4 14:49
4TH & 12
OWN 20
0
58.3%
(14:55) #42 T.Weston punt 50 yards to the NU 30 fair catch by #17 G.Wilde at NU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 16TD
8 plays · 70 yds · 4:1859% → 87%
Q4 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+43
59.0%
(14:43) Shotgun #5 C.Komolafe rush middle for 43 yards gain to the MIN27 fumbled by #5 C.Komolafe at MIN27 forced by #3 K.Perich, out of bounds at MIN27, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:21
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
64.9%
(14:28) Shotgun #6 J.Himon II rush middle for 1 yard gain to the MIN26 (#91 D.Eastern)Similar
Q4 13:41
2ND & 9
OPP 26
+7
64.8%
(13:49) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete short right to #17 G.Wilde caught at MIN23, for 7 yards to the MIN19 (#7 A.Gousby)Similar
Q4 12:54
3RD & 2
OPP 19
+3
63.0%
(13:02) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete short left to #84 H.Welcing caught at MIN20, for 3 yards to the MIN16 (#6 M.Baranowski), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+11
64.9%
(12:15) Shotgun #2 R.Boe rush middle for 11 yards gain to the MIN05 (#12 D.Green), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 11:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
65.0%
(11:37) Shotgun #5 C.Komolafe rush middle for 2 yards gain to the MIN03 (#3 K.Perich)Similar
Q4 10:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
65.0%
(11:00) Shotgun #2 R.Boe rush right for 1 yard gain to the MIN02 (#3 K.Perich; #49 M.Kingsbury)Similar
Q4 10:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
87.2%
(10:20) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete short right to #5 C.Komolafe caught at MIN01, for 2 yards to the MIN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:20 #82 J.Olsen kick attempt good (H: #94 H.Helms, LS: #39 J.Florentine)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 17TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:4719% → 54%
Q4 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
81.3%
(10:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass complete short right to #0 L.Brockington caught at MIN34, for 9 yards to the MIN34 (#13 J.Fussell; #33 B.Brus)Similar
Q4 9:49
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
78.8%
(09:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass incomplete deep left to #11 J.Tracy thrown to NU 41Similar
Q4 9:41
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+5
80.2%
(09:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 F.Ijeboi rush right for 5 yards gain to the MIN39 (#6 R.Fitzgerald), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
79.5%
(09:16) No Huddle #1 D.Taylor rush left for 1 yard gain to the MIN40 (#37 M.Uihlein; #29 J.Stevens Jr.)Similar
Q4 8:26
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+52
80.1%
(08:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass complete deep middle to #16 M.Coleman caught at NU 10, for 52 yards to the NU 08, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY NU Pass Interference declinedSimilar
Q4 8:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
45.8%
(08:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass complete short left to #0 L.Brockington caught at NU 00, for 8 yards to the NU 00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:20 #92 B.Denaburg kick attempt good (H: #42 T.Weston, LS: #80 A.Soukup)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 18FG
23 plays · 59 yds · 7:1858% → 93%
Q4 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
58.4%
(08:14) Shotgun #5 C.Komolafe rush middle for 0 yards to the NU 25 (#7 A.Gousby)Similar
Q4 7:23
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
58.0%
(07:29) Shotgun #8 P.Stone rush left for 9 yards gain to the NU 34 (#49 M.Kingsbury; #91 D.Eastern)Similar
Q4 6:59
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
59.0%
(07:05) #8 P.Stone rush middle for 2 yards gain to the NU 36 (#89 N.Becker), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
59.9%
(06:24) Shotgun #5 C.Komolafe rush left for 5 yards gain to the NU 41 (#4 Z.Bryan)Similar
Q4 5:32
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+10
62.6%
(05:41) Shotgun #6 J.Himon II rush middle for 10 yards gain to the MIN49 (#12 D.Green), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:54
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-3
63.8%
(05:00) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete short right to #6 J.Himon II caught at NU 44, for 3 yards loss to the NU 48 (#12 D.Green)Similar
Q4 4:16
2ND & 13
OWN 48
+14
60.4%
(04:21) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete short right to #80 H.Eligon II caught at MIN38, for 14 yards to the MIN38, out of bounds at MIN38, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 3:42
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
64.3%
(03:45) Shotgun #5 C.Komolafe rush left for 4 yards gain to the MIN34 (#14 K.Brown; #49 M.Kingsbury)Similar
Q4 3:04
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+15
65.8%
(03:04) Shotgun #8 P.Stone rush right for 7 yards gain to the MIN27 (#49 M.Kingsbury) PENALTY NU Personal Foul (#62 E.Oratokhai) 15 yards from MIN34 to MIN49. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 2:41
2ND & 21
OPP 49
+5
61.0%
(02:41) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass incomplete short right to #84 H.Welcing thrown to MIN46 PENALTY MIN Offside (#0 A.Smith) 5 yards from MIN49 to MIN44. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 2:26
2ND & 16
OPP 44
+6
61.2%
(02:33) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete short middle to #80 H.Eligon II caught at MIN39, for 6 yards to the MIN38 (#0 A.Smith)Similar
Q4 1:52
3RD & 10
OPP 38
+15
61.0%
(01:52) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete short right to #84 H.Welcing caught at MIN30, for 15 yards to the MIN23 (#14 K.Brown; #7 A.Gousby), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
65.7%
PENALTY NU False Start (#62 E.Oratokhai) 5 yards from MIN23 to MIN28. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 1:47
1ST & 15
OPP 28
0
65.0%
(01:45) Shotgun #5 C.Komolafe rush left for 0 yards to the MIN28 (#49 M.Kingsbury)Similar
Q4 1:40
2ND & 15
OPP 28
+12
66.0%
(01:40) Shotgun #8 P.Stone rush middle for 12 yards gain to the MIN16 (#14 K.Brown)Similar
Q4 1:32
3RD & 3
OPP 16
+1
65.4%
(01:35) Shotgun #5 C.Komolafe rush middle for 1 yard gain to the MIN15 (#6 M.Baranowski)Similar
Q4 0:53
4TH & 2
OPP 15
+33
93.1%
(00:57) #82 J.Olsen field goal attempt from 33 yards GOOD (H: #94 H.Helms, LS: #39 J.Florentine), clock 00:53Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 19MISSED FG
8 plays · 34 yds · 0:3715% → 19%
Q4 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+30
85.2%
(00:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass complete deep middle to #11 J.Tracy caught at NU 35, for 30 yards to the NU 26 (#6 R.Fitzgerald), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
77.3%
(00:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass incomplete short left to #87 D.Biber thrown to NU 25 broken up by #6 R.FitzgeraldSimilar
Q4 0:14
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+4
78.9%
(00:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass complete short middle to #8 J.Smith caught at NU 23, for 4 yards to the NU 22 (#37 M.Uihlein; #9 B.Turner)Similar
Q4 0:03
4TH & 6
OPP 22
+40
84.0%
(00:00) #92 B.Denaburg field goal attempt from 40 yards NO GOOD (H: #42 T.Weston, LS: #80 A.Soukup), clock 00:00Similar
Q4 0:01
3RD & 6
OPP 22
0
80.7%
(00:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass incomplete short left to #8 J.Smith thrown to NU 04. NU is challenging the ruling on the field - "Game Clock". CALL UPHELDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 8:20
(08:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass complete short left to #0 L.Brockington caught at NU 00, for 8 yards to the NU 00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:20 #92 B.Denaburg kick attempt good (H: #42 T.Weston, LS: #80 A.Soukup)
-34.3
FG · Q4 0:53
(00:57) #82 J.Olsen field goal attempt from 33 yards GOOD (H: #94 H.Helms, LS: #39 J.Florentine), clock 00:53
+26.9
TD · Q4 10:20
(10:20) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete short right to #5 C.Komolafe caught at MIN01, for 2 yards to the MIN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:20 #82 J.Olsen kick attempt good (H: #94 H.Helms, LS: #39 J.Florentine)
+22.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com