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NEB

Nebraska 10 at Penn State 37

PSU
2025 · Week 13 · Nov 22, 2025 · Beaver Stadium
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Win probability · PSU
modelPSU aheadNEB aheadconfidence bandkey playPSU scoreNEB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGFGFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 2:25 · #83 A.Wilson punt 46 yards to the NEB49 #8 T.Pena return 21 yards to the NEB28, out of bounds at NEB28 PENALTY NEB Personal Foul (#83 A.Wilson) 14 yards from NEB28 to NEB14, 1ST DOWN
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout marginGarbage-time factor
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 65Home team on offense+12.6Score differential+3.5Pregame prior+11.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.4Blowout margin+0.8Garbage-time factor+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:22: Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short left to #87 A.Rappleyea caught at NEB07, for 4 yards to the NEB00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:22 #94 R.Barker kick attempt good (H: #14 R.Thompson, LS: #48 T.Duzansky) #94 R.Barker kick attempt good (H: #14 R.Thompson, LS: #48 T.Duzansky) PENALTY #94 R.Barker kick attempt good (H: #14 R.Thompson, LS: #48 T.Duzansky) PENALTY PSU Face Mask (#85 L.Reynolds) 15 yards from NEB03 to NEB18. NO PLAY #94 R.Barker kick attempt good (H: #14 R.Thompson, LS: #48 T.Duzansky) PENALTY NEB Offside declined — PSU win probability +2.1 pts (now 73%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:09: No Huddle-Shotgun #10 N.Singleton rush middle for 4 yards gain to the NEB00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:09 #94 R.Barker kick attempt good (H: #14 R.Thompson, LS: #48 T.Duzansky) — PSU win probability +10.7 pts (now 84%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:14: Shotgun #10 N.Singleton rush left for 10 yards gain to the NEB00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:14, 1ST DOWN #94 R.Barker kick attempt failed (H: #14 R.Thompson, LS: #48 T.Duzansky) — PSU win probability +7.7 pts (now 94%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 10:07: #13 K.Allen rush middle for 3 yards gain to the NEB00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:07 #94 R.Barker kick attempt good (H: #14 R.Thompson, LS: #48 T.Duzansky) — PSU win probability +5.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:55: No Huddle-Shotgun #14 T.Lateef rush left for 11 yards gain to the PSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:55, 1ST DOWN #91 K.Cunanan kick attempt good (H: #37 K.Koch, LS: #46 K.Gallic) — NEB win probability +2.4 pts (now 3%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3NEB made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 11:29NEB 4th & 1 at PSU 2, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.0%
    60% to convert
    Field goal
    30.9%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    30.4%−0.7
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:13NEB 4th & 14 at PSU 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.0%−0.6
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.6%
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:20PSU 4th & 3 at NEB 8, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 72.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.6%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.1%−0.4
    90% to make
    Punt
    68.9%−3.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:31NEB 4th & 8 at PSU 12, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 25.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.0%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.4%
    86% to make
    Punt
    20.9%−4.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:25NEB 4th & 17 at NEB 3, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.4%−2.8
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:06NEB 4th & 4 at NEB 46, down 20
    Close callWent for it · 7.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.6%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.8%
    average punt
  7. Q3 6:16NEB 4th & 9 at PSU 36, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    0.6%−<0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q4 15:00PSU 4th & 4 at PSU 46, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    97.9%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q4 5:46NEB 4th & 12 at PSU 12, down 27
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−0.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    0.5%
    86% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q4 1:53PSU 4th & 4 at PSU 31, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
  11. Q4 1:53NEB 4th & 1 at NEB 29, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 0:05NEB 4th & 2 at NEB 39, down 27
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5NEB made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 7:22PSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 4:09PSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:14PSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    93.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 10:07PSU Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 0:55NEB Touchdown, down 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:10PSU Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NEBDrive 1DOWNS
10 plays · 69 yds · 3:3130% → 31%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
70.3%
#21 E.Johnson rush middle for 3 yards gain to the NEB32 (#24 A.Campbell; #32 K.Wylie)Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 32
0
70.3%
Shotgun #14 T.Lateef pass incomplete short left to #13 N.Hunter thrown to NEB39Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 32
+5
70.3%
PENALTY PSU Offside (#33 D.Dennis-Sutton) 5 yards from NEB32 to NEB37. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 37
+52
70.3%
#21 E.Johnson rush middle for 52 yards gain to the PSU11 (#10 D.Lane), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
70.3%
#21 E.Johnson rush middle for 3 yards gain to the PSU08 (#24 A.Campbell)Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+5
70.3%
#21 E.Johnson rush middle for 5 yards gain to the PSU03 (#0 D.DeLuca)Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 3
+1
70.3%
#21 E.Johnson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the PSU02 (#0 D.DeLuca; #36 Z.Fisher)Similar
Q1 11:29
4TH & 1
OPP 2
0
69.5%
#21 E.Johnson rush middle for 0 yards to the PSU02 (#28 Z.Durant), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 2TD
7 plays · 98 yds · 4:0770% → 73%
Q1 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+4
69.9%
Shotgun #13 K.Allen rush middle for 4 yards gain to the PSU06 (#21 R.Guthrie; #11 C.Lenhardt)Similar
Q1 11:29
2ND & 6
OWN 6
+4
69.8%
Shotgun #13 K.Allen rush middle for 4 yards gain to the PSU10 (#21 R.Guthrie)Similar
Q1 11:29
3RD & 2
OWN 10
+6
69.7%
#17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short left to #8 T.Pena caught at PSU10, for 6 yards to the PSU16 (#8 D.Singleton), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+31
69.9%
Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short middle to #3 K.Howard caught at PSU34, for 31 yards to the PSU47 (#37 D.Jones), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+50
70.2%
Shotgun #13 K.Allen rush left for 50 yards gain to the NEB03 (#10 A.Marshall), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
70.4%
#13 K.Allen rush middle for 1 yard loss to the NEB04 (#21 R.Guthrie; #9 V.Shavers Jr.)Similar
Q1 7:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
72.5%
Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short left to #87 A.Rappleyea caught at NEB07, for 4 yards to the NEB00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:22 #94 R.Barker kick attempt good (H: #14 R.Thompson, LS: #48 T.Duzansky) #94 R.Barker kick attempt good (H: #14 R.Thompson, LS: #48 T.Duzansky) PENALTY #94 R.Barker kick attempt good (H: #14 R.Thompson, LS: #48 T.Duzansky) PENALTY PSU Face Mask (#85 L.Reynolds) 15 yards from NEB03 to NEB18. NO PLAY #94 R.Barker kick attempt good (H: #14 R.Thompson, LS: #48 T.Duzansky) PENALTY NEB Offside declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 3PUNT
12 plays · 28 yds · 5:0929% → 27%
Q1 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
71.4%
Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush left for 1 yard loss to the NEB24 (#2 A.Collins; #99 Y.Kemajou)Similar
Q1 7:22
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
71.5%
Shotgun #14 T.Lateef pass incomplete short left to #21 E.Johnson thrown to NEB30 broken up by #28 Z.DurantSimilar
Q1 7:22
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+19
71.7%
Shotgun #14 T.Lateef pass complete short right to #6 D.Key caught at NEB40, for 19 yards to the NEB43, out of bounds at NEB43, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
71.0%
Shotgun #14 T.Lateef pass complete short middle to #21 E.Johnson caught at NEB47, for 4 yards to the NEB47 (#25 A.Tatsch; #5 D.Dixson)Similar
Q1 7:22
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+10
70.8%
#35 M.Nelson rush middle for 10 yards gain to the PSU43 (#6 Z.Wheatley), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:22
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
70.7%
Shotgun #35 M.Nelson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the PSU42 (#25 A.Tatsch)Similar
Q1 7:22
2ND & 9
OPP 42
-1
70.7%
Shotgun #14 T.Lateef pass complete short left to #21 E.Johnson caught at PSU47, for 1 yard loss to the PSU43 (#24 A.Campbell)Similar
Q1 7:22
3RD & 10
OPP 43
+5
71.1%
PENALTY NEB Delay Of Game (#14 T.Lateef) 5 yards from PSU43 to PSU48. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 7:22
3RD & 15
OPP 48
+1
71.4%
Shotgun #14 T.Lateef pass complete short left to #21 E.Johnson caught at NEB47, for 1 yard to the PSU47 QB hurried by #36 Z.Fisher (#33 D.Dennis-Sutton; #16 K.Mack)Similar
Q1 2:13
4TH & 14
OPP 47
0
72.6%
#83 A.Wilson punt 37 yards to the PSU10 fair catch by #8 T.Pena at PSU10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 4FG
12 plays · 82 yds · 4:5373% → 74%
Q1 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
72.8%
Shotgun #8 T.Pena rush left for 2 yards gain to the PSU12 (#8 D.Singleton)Similar
Q1 2:13
2ND & 8
OWN 12
+7
72.8%
Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer rush middle for 7 yards gain to the PSU19, End Of PlaySimilar
Q1 2:13
3RD & 1
OWN 19
+3
72.6%
Shotgun #13 K.Allen rush middle for 3 yards gain to the PSU22 (#95 G.Moore), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+50
72.9%
Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short left to #10 N.Singleton caught at PSU19, for 50 yards to the NEB28 (#0 J.Wright), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
74.6%
Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short middle to #10 N.Singleton caught at NEB32, for 2 yards to the NEB26 (#8 D.Singleton)Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+11
74.6%
Shotgun #13 K.Allen rush left for 11 yards gain to the NEB15 (#8 D.Singleton), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
74.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass incomplete short middle to #1 K.Hudson thrown to NEB00Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+6
74.6%
Shotgun #13 K.Allen rush right for 6 yards gain to the NEB09 (#8 D.Singleton)Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 9
+1
74.2%
Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer rush middle for 1 yard gain to the NEB08 (#0 J.Wright; #1 C.Wright)Similar
Q2 12:20
4TH & 3
OPP 8
+26
74.4%
#94 R.Barker field goal attempt from 26 yards GOOD (H: #14 R.Thompson, LS: #48 T.Duzansky), clock 12:20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 5FG
10 plays · 48 yds · 3:4025% → 27%
Q2 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
75.5%
Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush middle for 2 yards gain to the NEB42 (#6 Z.Wheatley)Similar
Q2 12:11
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+5
75.3%
Shotgun #14 T.Lateef pass complete short right to #2 J.Barney Jr. caught at NEB39, for 5 yards to the NEB47 (#2 A.Collins; #44 J.Harvey)Similar
Q2 12:11
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+5
74.5%
Shotgun #14 T.Lateef rush middle for 5 yards gain to the PSU48 (#16 K.Mack), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:11
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+19
74.3%
Shotgun #14 T.Lateef pass complete short left to #13 N.Hunter caught at PSU47, for 19 yards to the PSU29 (#2 A.Collins), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY PSU Face Mask (#2 A.Collins) 15 yards from PSU29 to PSU14, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:11
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
73.2%
Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush middle for 2 yards gain to the PSU12 (#24 A.Campbell)Similar
Q2 12:11
2ND & 8
OPP 12
0
73.2%
Shotgun #14 T.Lateef pass incomplete short right to #21 E.Johnson thrown to PSU00 QB hurried by #6 Z.WheatleySimilar
Q2 12:11
3RD & 8
OPP 12
0
73.8%
Shotgun #14 T.Lateef pass incomplete short right to #44 L.Lindenmeyer thrown to PSU00Similar
Q2 8:31
4TH & 8
OPP 12
+31
73.4%
#91 K.Cunanan field goal attempt from 31 yards GOOD (H: #37 K.Koch, LS: #46 K.Gallic), clock 08:31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 6TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:2272% → 84%
Q2 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
71.5%
#17 E.Grunkemeyer pass incomplete deep right to #1 K.Hudson thrown to PSU48 PENALTY NEB Pass Interference (#21 R.Guthrie) 15 yards from PSU25 to PSU40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
72.5%
Shotgun #13 K.Allen rush left for 6 yards gain to the PSU46 (#52 D.Rogers)Similar
Q2 8:31
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+2
72.5%
Shotgun #13 K.Allen rush middle for 2 yards gain to the PSU48 (#9 V.Shavers Jr.)Similar
Q2 8:31
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+5
71.9%
#13 K.Allen rush middle for 5 yards gain to the NEB47 (#93 K.Pietrzak), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:31
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+28
72.8%
Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete deep right to #5 D.Ross caught at NEB24, for 28 yards to the NEB19 (#21 R.Guthrie), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:31
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
73.2%
Shotgun #13 K.Allen rush middle for 1 yard gain to the NEB18 (#1 C.Wright)Similar
Q2 8:31
2ND & 9
OPP 18
+14
73.1%
Shotgun #10 N.Singleton rush left for 14 yards gain to the NEB04 (#10 A.Marshall; #37 D.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 4:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
83.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #10 N.Singleton rush middle for 4 yards gain to the NEB00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:09 #94 R.Barker kick attempt good (H: #14 R.Thompson, LS: #48 T.Duzansky)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 1:4417% → 15%
Q2 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
83.2%
Shotgun #14 T.Lateef rush right for 1 yard gain to the NEB11 (#25 A.Tatsch; #99 Y.Kemajou)Similar
Q2 4:09
2ND & 9
OWN 11
-8
83.4%
#14 T.Lateef sacked for loss of 8 yards to the NEB03 (#99 Y.Kemajou)Similar
Q2 4:09
3RD & 17
OWN 3
0
84.0%
Shotgun #14 T.Lateef pass incomplete deep right to #2 J.Barney Jr. thrown to NEB35 PENALTY NEB Illegal Block in Back declinedSimilar
Q2 2:25
4TH & 17
OWN 3
+21
85.4%
#83 A.Wilson punt 46 yards to the NEB49 #8 T.Pena return 21 yards to the NEB28, out of bounds at NEB28 PENALTY NEB Personal Foul (#83 A.Wilson) 14 yards from NEB28 to NEB14, 1ST DOWNSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 8TD
4 plays · 14 yds · 1:1188% → 94%
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-1
88.1%
Shotgun #13 K.Allen rush middle for 1 yard loss to the NEB15 (#37 D.Jones)Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 11
OPP 15
+5
88.1%
#10 N.Singleton rush right for 5 yards gain to the NEB10 (#11 C.Lenhardt)Similar
Q2 1:14
3RD & 6
OPP 10
+10
94.4%
Shotgun #10 N.Singleton rush left for 10 yards gain to the NEB00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:14, 1ST DOWN #94 R.Barker kick attempt failed (H: #14 R.Thompson, LS: #48 T.Duzansky)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 9END OF HALF
12 plays · 17 yds · 1:035% → 6%
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
94.8%
Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush middle for 3 yards gain to the NEB29 (#33 D.Dennis-Sutton)Similar
Q2 1:09
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+6
94.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #14 T.Lateef pass complete short middle to #21 E.Johnson caught at NEB33, for 6 yards to the NEB35 (#0 D.DeLuca)Similar
Q2 0:36
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+5
94.2%
Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush middle for 5 yards gain to the NEB40 (#0 D.DeLuca; #16 K.Mack), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
94.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #14 T.Lateef pass complete short right to #6 D.Key caught at NEB45, for 6 yards to the NEB46 (#5 D.Dixson)Similar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 4
OWN 46
0
92.8%
Shotgun #14 T.Lateef pass incomplete short right thrown to NEB46 QB hurried by #32 K.WylieSimilar
Q2 0:20
3RD & 4
OWN 46
0
93.7%
Shotgun #14 T.Lateef pass incomplete short middle to #2 J.Barney Jr. thrown to PSU45. The previous play is under automatic review - "Incomplete pass". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: Shotgun #14 T.Lateef pass intercepted by #6 Z.Wheatley at PSU36, End Of Play)Similar
Q2 0:06
4TH & 4
OWN 46
-3
93.9%
Shotgun #14 T.Lateef pass complete short middle to #2 J.Barney Jr. caught at NEB47, for 3 yards loss to the NEB43 fumbled by #2 J.Barney Jr. at NEB47 forced by #54 X.Gilliam recovered by NEB #57 E.Pritchett at NEB43, End Of Play PENALTY PSU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct offsetting NEB UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct offsetting PSU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct offsetting, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 10TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:5394% → 99%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
93.5%
Shotgun #13 K.Allen rush middle for 7 yards gain to the PSU32 (#1 C.Wright)Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+8
93.6%
Shotgun #13 K.Allen rush left for 8 yards gain to the PSU40 (#9 V.Shavers Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+29
93.8%
Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short right to #8 T.Pena caught at NEB42, for 29 yards to the NEB31 (#8 D.Singleton), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+13
93.9%
Shotgun #13 K.Allen rush left for 13 yards gain to the NEB18 (#8 D.Singleton), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
93.9%
Shotgun #13 K.Allen rush middle for 3 yards gain to the NEB15 (#97 K.Davis)Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+5
93.9%
Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short middle to #8 T.Pena caught at NEB16, for 5 yards to the NEB10 (#9 V.Shavers Jr.)Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 10
+7
93.7%
#17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short left to #8 T.Pena caught at NEB09, for 7 yards to the NEB03 (#9 V.Shavers Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
98.8%
#13 K.Allen rush middle for 3 yards gain to the NEB00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:07 #94 R.Barker kick attempt good (H: #14 R.Thompson, LS: #48 T.Duzansky)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 11DOWNS
14 plays · 39 yds · 3:511% → 1%
Q3 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
98.9%
Shotgun #14 T.Lateef rush left for 3 yards gain to the NEB26 (#2 A.Collins)Similar
Q3 10:07
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+4
98.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #14 T.Lateef pass complete short left to #21 E.Johnson caught at NEB29, for 4 yards to the NEB30 (#0 D.DeLuca; #16 K.Mack)Similar
Q3 10:07
3RD & 3
OWN 30
+4
98.8%
PENALTY NEB False Start (#44 L.Lindenmeyer) 4 yards from NEB30 to NEB26. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 10:07
3RD & 7
OWN 26
+11
98.9%
Shotgun #14 T.Lateef pass complete short middle to #6 D.Key caught at NEB31, for 11 yards to the NEB37 (#16 K.Mack), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
98.9%
Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush left for 4 yards gain to the NEB41 (#0 D.DeLuca)Similar
Q3 10:07
2ND & 6
OWN 41
0
98.8%
Shotgun #14 T.Lateef pass incomplete short left to #18 Q.Clark thrown to PSU40Similar
Q3 10:07
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+22
98.8%
Shotgun #14 T.Lateef pass complete deep right to #2 J.Barney Jr. caught at PSU38, for 22 yards to the PSU37 (#5 D.Dixson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
98.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush middle for 6 yards gain to the PSU31 (#0 D.DeLuca)Similar
Q3 10:07
2ND & 4
OPP 31
0
98.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #14 T.Lateef pass incomplete short left to #13 N.Hunter thrown to PSU25Similar
Q3 10:07
3RD & 4
OPP 31
+5
98.7%
PENALTY NEB False Start (#6 D.Key) 5 yards from PSU31 to PSU36. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 10:07
3RD & 9
OPP 36
0
98.8%
Shotgun #14 T.Lateef pass incomplete short left to #13 N.Hunter thrown to PSU30Similar
Q3 6:16
4TH & 9
OPP 36
-2
99.3%
Shotgun #14 T.Lateef sacked for loss of 2 yards to the PSU38 (#28 Z.Durant), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · -22 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
99.5%
Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short left to #10 N.Singleton caught at PSU37, for 1 yard loss to the PSU37 (#8 D.Singleton)Similar
Q3 6:16
2ND & 11
OWN 37
+3
99.4%
Shotgun #13 K.Allen rush middle for 3 yards gain to the PSU40 (#9 V.Shavers Jr.; #15 D.McCullough)Similar
Q3 6:16
3RD & 8
OWN 40
-9
99.5%
Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer sacked for loss of 9 yards to the PSU31 (#8 D.Singleton)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 13TD
7 plays · 59 yds · 3:080% → 3%
Q3 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+22
99.6%
Shotgun #14 T.Lateef pass complete short left to #21 E.Johnson caught at PSU41, for 22 yards to the PSU37 (#25 A.Tatsch), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
99.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush middle for 3 yards gain to the PSU34 (#24 A.Campbell)Similar
Q3 4:03
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+1
99.4%
Shotgun #14 T.Lateef pass complete short left to #2 J.Barney Jr. caught at PSU33, for 1 yard to the PSU33, End Of PlaySimilar
Q3 4:03
3RD & 6
OPP 33
+6
99.5%
Shotgun #14 T.Lateef rush right for 6 yards gain to the PSU27, out of bounds at PSU27, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+12
99.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #14 T.Lateef pass complete short right to #6 D.Key caught at PSU22, for 12 yards to the PSU15 (#5 D.Dixson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
99.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush middle for 4 yards gain to the PSU11 (#5 D.Dixson)Similar
Q3 0:55
2ND & 6
OPP 11
+11
97.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #14 T.Lateef rush left for 11 yards gain to the PSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:55, 1ST DOWN #91 K.Cunanan kick attempt good (H: #37 K.Koch, LS: #46 K.Gallic)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 14TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:4599% → 100%
Q3 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.0%
Shotgun #13 K.Allen rush middle for 9 yards gain to the PSU34 (#9 V.Shavers Jr.; #8 D.Singleton)Similar
Q3 0:55
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+1
98.9%
Shotgun #13 K.Allen rush middle for 13 yards gain (1) to the PSU47 (#54 J.Bower), out of bounds PENALTY PSU Face Mask (#13 K.Allen) 15 yards from PSU35 to PSU20Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+20
99.1%
Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short left to #1 K.Hudson caught at PSU38, for 20 yards to the PSU40, out of bounds at PSU40, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
99.1%
Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer rush right for 3 yards gain to the PSU43, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 43
0
99.1%
#13 K.Allen rush middle for 0 yards to the PSU43 (#54 J.Bower)Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+3
99.1%
Shotgun #13 K.Allen rush middle for 3 yards gain to the PSU46 (#54 J.Bower)Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 46
+26
99.0%
#85 L.Reynolds rush left for 26 yards gain to the NEB28 (#2 J.Barney Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+15
99.1%
Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass incomplete deep right to #87 A.Rappleyea thrown to NEB00 PENALTY NEB Pass Interference (#54 J.Bower) 15 yards from NEB28 to NEB13, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
99.8%
Shotgun #13 K.Allen rush middle for 13 yards gain to the NEB00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:10, 1ST DOWN #94 R.Barker kick attempt good (H: #14 R.Thompson, LS: #48 T.Duzansky)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 15DOWNS
14 plays · 52 yds · 5:240% → 0%
Q4 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
99.9%
Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush middle for 4 yards gain to the NEB39 (#99 Y.Kemajou)Similar
Q4 11:10
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+30
99.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #14 T.Lateef pass complete short right to #2 J.Barney Jr. caught at PSU44, for 30 yards to the PSU31 (#0 D.DeLuca; #5 D.Dixson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
99.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush middle for 3 yards gain to the PSU28 (#16 K.Mack)Similar
Q4 11:10
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+2
99.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush middle for 2 yards gain to the PSU26 (#54 X.Gilliam)Similar
Q4 11:10
3RD & 5
OPP 26
+7
99.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #14 T.Lateef pass complete short middle to #21 E.Johnson caught at PSU21, for 7 yards to the PSU19, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
99.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush middle for 2 yards gain to the PSU17 (#24 A.Campbell)Similar
Q4 11:10
2ND & 8
OPP 17
+5
99.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #14 T.Lateef pass complete short middle to #21 E.Johnson caught at PSU14, for 5 yards to the PSU12 (#0 D.DeLuca)Similar
Q4 11:10
3RD & 3
OPP 12
+4
99.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #14 T.Lateef rush middle for 4 yards gain to the PSU08 (#16 K.Mack), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 11:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-6
99.9%
Shotgun #14 T.Lateef sacked for loss of 6 yards to the PSU14 (#33 D.Dennis-Sutton) PENALTY NEB Holding declinedSimilar
Q4 11:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 14
0
99.9%
Shotgun #14 T.Lateef pass incomplete short left to #21 E.Johnson thrown to PSU00Similar
Q4 11:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 14
+1
99.9%
Shotgun #14 T.Lateef rush right for 1 yard gain to the PSU13 (#5 D.Dixson), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 5:46
4TH & GOAL
OPP 12
0
99.9%
Shotgun #14 T.Lateef pass incomplete short right to #6 D.Key thrown to PSU00, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 3:53100% → 100%
Q4 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+6
100.0%
Shotgun #10 N.Singleton rush right for 6 yards gain to the PSU19 (#39 D.Hoffken)Similar
Q4 5:46
2ND & 4
OWN 19
+6
100.0%
Shotgun #10 N.Singleton rush middle for 6 yards gain to the PSU25 (#5 R.Van Poppel; #11 C.Lenhardt), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
100.0%
Shotgun #10 N.Singleton rush left for 1 yard loss to the PSU24 (#33 M.Watson-Trent)Similar
Q4 5:46
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+6
100.0%
Shotgun #13 K.Allen rush middle for 6 yards gain to the PSU30 (#37 D.Jones)Similar
Q4 5:46
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+1
100.0%
Shotgun #13 K.Allen rush middle for 1 yard gain to the PSU31 (#96 W.Nwaneri)Similar
Q4 1:53
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
100.0%
#99 G.Nwosu punt 49 yards to the NEB20, out of bounds at NEB20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 17DOWNS
8 plays · 19 yds · 1:480% → 0%
Q4 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
100.0%
Shotgun #14 T.Lateef pass complete short middle to #22 I.Mozee caught at NEB15, for 4 yards to the NEB24 (#21 V.Toure)Similar
Q4 1:53
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
100.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #14 T.Lateef pass incomplete short right to #2 J.Barney Jr. thrown to NEB40 broken up by #33 D.Dennis-SuttonSimilar
Q4 1:53
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+5
100.0%
Shotgun #14 T.Lateef pass complete short middle to #19 C.Mills Jr. caught at NEB27, for 5 yards to the NEB29 (#10 D.Lane)Similar
Q4 1:53
4TH & 1
OWN 29
+2
100.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #35 M.Nelson rush left for 2 yards gain to the NEB31 (#0 D.DeLuca), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
100.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #14 T.Lateef pass incomplete deep left to #85 K.Smith thrown to PSU35Similar
Q4 1:53
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+8
100.0%
Shotgun #14 T.Lateef pass complete short right to #29 C.Nelson caught at NEB36, for 8 yards to the NEB39 (#25 A.Tatsch)Similar
Q4 1:53
3RD & 2
OWN 39
0
100.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #14 T.Lateef pass incomplete short middle to #18 Q.Clark thrown to PSU44Similar
Q4 0:05
4TH & 2
OWN 39
0
100.0%
Shotgun #14 T.Lateef pass incomplete short middle to #19 C.Mills Jr. thrown to PSU45 QB hurried by #88 S.Siafa, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 18END OF GAME
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-3
100.0%
Kneel down by #17 E.Grunkemeyer at NEB42 for loss of 3 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 4:09
No Huddle-Shotgun #10 N.Singleton rush middle for 4 yards gain to the NEB00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:09 #94 R.Barker kick attempt good (H: #14 R.Thompson, LS: #48 T.Duzansky)
+10.7
TD · Q2 1:14
Shotgun #10 N.Singleton rush left for 10 yards gain to the NEB00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:14, 1ST DOWN #94 R.Barker kick attempt failed (H: #14 R.Thompson, LS: #48 T.Duzansky)
+7.7
TD · Q3 10:07
#13 K.Allen rush middle for 3 yards gain to the NEB00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:07 #94 R.Barker kick attempt good (H: #14 R.Thompson, LS: #48 T.Duzansky)
+5.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com