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PUR

Purdue 13 at Washington 49

WASH
2025 · Week 12 · Nov 15, 2025 · Husky Stadium
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Win probability · WASH
modelWASH aheadPUR aheadconfidence bandkey playWASH scorePUR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDEnd of GameFG-1.3WASH 98.2%(07:06) #35 S.Porath field goalattempt from 41 yards GOOD (H: #38J.McCallister, LS: #46 L.Raab), clock07:02AWAY 3 - HOME 35 · Q3 7:02
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 7:02 · (07:06) #35 S.Porath field goal attempt from 41 yards GOOD (H: #38 J.McCallister, LS: #46 L.Raab), clock 07:02
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+37.5+18.80−18.8−37.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 92Home team on offense+28.5Pregame prior+15.8Score differential+18.5Blowout margin+13.4Garbage-time factor+5.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:30: #24 A.Mohammed rush middle for 1 yard gain to the PUR00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:30 #95 G.Gross kick attempt good (H: #45 L.Dunne, LS: #33 R.Kean) — WASH win probability +1.3 pts (now 87%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:05: (07:15) #4 J.Washington rush right for 68 yards gain to the PUR00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:05, 1ST DOWN. #40 I.Jeffries injured on the play #95 G.Gross kick attempt good (H: #45 L.Dunne, LS: #33 R.Kean) — WASH win probability +4.9 pts (now 95%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:55: (00:59) Shotgun #24 A.Mohammed rush middle for 5 yards gain to the PUR00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:55 #95 G.Gross kick attempt good (H: #45 L.Dunne, LS: #33 R.Kean) — WASH win probability +2.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 11:59: (12:07) Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass complete deep middle to #13 A.Harris caught at PUR13, for 61 yards to the PUR00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:59, 1ST DOWN #95 G.Gross kick attempt good (H: #45 L.Dunne, LS: #33 R.Kean) — WASH win probability +0.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 7:02: (07:06) #35 S.Porath field goal attempt from 41 yards GOOD (H: #38 J.McCallister, LS: #46 L.Raab), clock 07:02 — PUR win probability +1.3 pts (now 2%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WASH made the numbers' call on 1 of 2PUR made the numbers' call on 9 of 9
  1. Q1 11:43PUR 4th & 11 at WASH 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.0%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    17.0%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    17.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:37WASH 4th & 3 at WASH 16, tied
    Close callPunted · 82.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:52PUR 4th & 1 at WASH 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    18.5%−0.4
    38% to make
    Punt
    18.5%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:16PUR 4th & 1 at WASH 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    17.0%−0.9
    40% to make
    Punt
    17.0%−1.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:43PUR 4th & 7 at PUR 43, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.1%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.4%
    average punt
  6. Q3 13:57PUR 4th & 6 at PUR 29, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%
    average punt
  7. Q3 9:43PUR 4th & 1 at PUR 45, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.6%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:02PUR 4th & 10 at WASH 23, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.5%
    70% to make
    Punt
    -0.4%−0.9
    average punt
  9. Q4 12:15PUR 4th & 28 at WASH 35, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.2%
    45% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 10:43WASH 4th & 10 at WASH 25, up 36
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  11. Q4 1:23PUR 4th & 10 at PUR 25, down 36
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WASH made the numbers' call on 5 of 5PUR made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 7:05WASH Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:55WASH Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 11:59WASH Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 3:27WASH Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 7:15PUR Touchdown, down 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 1:54WASH Touchdown, up 35 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WASHDrive 1FUMBLE
6 plays · 17 yds · 1:3287% → 87%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
87.3%
(14:53) Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass incomplete short right to #24 A.Mohammed thrown to WASH25Similar
Q1 14:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
87.2%
(14:49) #24 A.Mohammed rush middle for 5 yards gain to the WASH30 (#21 T.Ra-El)Similar
Q1 14:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+7
87.0%
(14:10) Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. rush left for 7 yards gain to the WASH37 (#9 M.Slusher), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY PUR Holding (#0 T.Grimes) 10 yards from WASH37 to WASH47, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
87.0%
(13:52) Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short left to #7 R.Vines-Bright caught at WASH43, for 9 yards to the PUR44 (#21 T.Ra-El), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 13:17
2ND & 1
OPP 44
-14
86.9%
(13:21) Shotgun Washington rush middle for 14 yards loss to the WASH42 fumbled by Washington at WASH42 recovered by PUR #58 B.Ishmail at WASH42, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:2513% → 14%
Q1 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
86.7%
(13:17) Shotgun #22 A.Harris rush middle for 0 yards to the WASH42 (#90 E.Davis)Similar
Q1 12:39
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+4
86.5%
(12:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 A.Harris rush middle for 4 yards gain to the WASH38 (#2 R.Clark; #12 A.McLaughlin)Similar
Q1 12:07
3RD & 6
OPP 38
+5
86.3%
(12:08) PENALTY PUR False Start (#58 H.Purvis) 5 yards from WASH38 to WASH43. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 11:48
3RD & 11
OPP 43
0
86.3%
(11:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass incomplete short middle to #0 N.Tuggle thrown to WASH30Similar
Q1 11:43
4TH & 11
OPP 43
0
86.4%
(11:46) #38 J.McCallister punt 34 yards to the WASH09 fair catch by #81 D.Roebuck at WASH09Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 2:0186% → 86%
Q1 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
86.3%
(11:43) #24 A.Mohammed rush middle for 0 yards to the WASH09 (#9 M.Slusher)Similar
Q1 10:57
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+5
86.1%
(11:03) #4 J.Washington rush right for 5 yards gain to the WASH14 (#16 M.Powell), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 10:10
3RD & 5
OWN 14
+2
85.8%
(10:20) Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short left to #86 D.DeGraaf caught at WASH16, for 2 yards to the WASH16 (#1 S.Bradford)Similar
Q1 9:37
4TH & 3
OWN 16
0
85.5%
(09:46) #45 L.Dunne punt 45 yards to the PUR39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 4DOWNS
8 plays · 23 yds · 2:3615% → 15%
Q1 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
85.5%
(09:37) Shotgun #24 M.Thomas rush left for 3 yards gain to the PUR42 (#17 D.Bryant)Similar
Q1 8:57
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+1
85.2%
(09:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 M.Singleton pass complete short left to #2 M.Jackson III caught at PUR37, for 1 yard to the PUR43 (#12 A.McLaughlin), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 8:26
3RD & 6
OWN 43
+10
85.1%
(08:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 M.Singleton rush middle for 10 yards gain to the WASH47 (#10 X.Alexander), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
84.7%
(08:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 M.Singleton pass complete short middle to #17 R.Walker caught at WASH40, for 8 yards to the WASH39 (#12 A.McLaughlin; #17 D.Bryant)Similar
Q1 7:33
2ND & 2
OPP 39
0
84.5%
(07:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 M.Singleton pass incomplete deep left to #0 N.Tuggle thrown to WASH17 broken up by #8 T.DavisSimilar
Q1 7:28
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+1
84.6%
(07:33) Shotgun #3 M.Singleton rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WASH38 (#23 Z.Rainey-Sale)Similar
Q1 6:52
4TH & 1
OPP 38
0
84.6%
(07:00) Shotgun #22 A.Harris rush middle for 0 yards to the WASH38 (#10 X.Alexander; #5 Z.Durfee), TURNOVER ON DOWNS. PUR is challenging the ruling on the field - "Short of the line to gain". CALL UPHELDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 5TD
6 plays · 62 yds · 3:2285% → 87%
Q1 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+43
85.1%
Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass complete deep left to #5 O.Evans caught at PUR19, for 43 yards to the PUR19, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
85.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #24 A.Mohammed rush right for 2 yards gain to the PUR17 (#40 I.Jeffries; #16 M.Powell)Similar
Q1 6:52
2ND & 8
OPP 17
+7
85.5%
Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. rush right for 7 yards gain to the PUR10 (#97 J.Harkless; #5 C.Correa)Similar
Q1 6:52
3RD & 1
OPP 10
+6
85.4%
Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short left to #86 D.DeGraaf caught at PUR12, for 6 yards to the PUR04 (#21 T.Ra-El), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
85.5%
#24 A.Mohammed rush middle for 3 yards gain to the PUR01 (#91 C.Nunnally)Similar
Q1 3:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
86.9%
#24 A.Mohammed rush middle for 1 yard gain to the PUR00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:30 #95 G.Gross kick attempt good (H: #45 L.Dunne, LS: #33 R.Kean)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 6DOWNS
8 plays · 33 yds · 2:0414% → 15%
Q1 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
85.8%
(03:25) Shotgun #3 M.Singleton pass incomplete short left to #0 N.Tuggle thrown to PUR42Similar
Q1 3:06
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+26
85.9%
(03:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 M.Singleton pass complete deep left to #2 M.Jackson III caught at WASH46, for 26 yards to the WASH46, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-5
85.1%
(02:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 M.Singleton sacked for loss of 5 yards to the PUR49 (#41 D.Lynch)Similar
Q1 2:07
2ND & 15
OWN 49
0
85.6%
(02:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 M.Singleton pass incomplete short right to #2 M.Jackson III thrown to WASH41Similar
Q1 1:59
3RD & 15
OWN 49
+14
85.8%
(02:07) Shotgun #3 M.Singleton rush middle for 14 yards gain to the WASH37 (#2 R.Clark; #10 X.Alexander)Similar
Q1 1:16
4TH & 1
OPP 37
-2
85.4%
(01:21) Shotgun #22 A.Harris rush middle for 2 yards loss to the WASH39 (#10 X.Alexander), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 7INT
7 plays · 17 yds · 1:4011% → 11%
Q2 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
88.9%
(09:01) Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass incomplete short middle to #13 E.Horton thrown to PUR43 broken up by #7 E.Prysock PENALTY PUR Ineligible Downfield on Pass (#74 J.St. John) 5 yards from PUR30 to PUR25. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 8:52
1ST & 15
OWN 25
+4
89.1%
(08:56) Shotgun #24 M.Thomas rush right for 4 yards gain to the PUR29 (#92 B.Butler)Similar
Q2 8:18
2ND & 11
OWN 29
0
89.1%
(08:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass incomplete short right thrown to PUR40Similar
Q2 8:11
3RD & 11
OWN 29
+17
89.2%
(08:17) Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short middle to #13 E.Horton caught at PUR46, for 17 yards to the PUR46 (#24 M.Esteen; #12 A.McLaughlin), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY WASH Illegal Substitution declinedSimilar
Q2 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
88.7%
(07:57) Shotgun #24 M.Thomas rush middle for 1 yard gain to the PUR47 (#90 E.Davis; #5 Z.Durfee)Similar
Q2 7:21
2ND & 9
OWN 47
-4
88.8%
(07:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass intercepted by #23 Z.Rainey-Sale at WASH43 #23 Z.Rainey-Sale return 4 yards to the WASH47, End Of Play PENALTY WASH UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (#7 E.Prysock) 15 yards from WASH47 to WASH32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 8TD
2 plays · 68 yds · 0:1090% → 95%
Q2 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+15
90.0%
PENALTY WASH UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (#7 E.Prysock) 15 yards from WASH47 to WASH32. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+68
95.0%
(07:15) #4 J.Washington rush right for 68 yards gain to the PUR00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:05, 1ST DOWN. #40 I.Jeffries injured on the play #95 G.Gross kick attempt good (H: #45 L.Dunne, LS: #33 R.Kean)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · -22 yds · 3:136% → 5%
Q2 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
93.8%
(07:00) Shotgun #22 A.Harris rush right for 1 yard gain to the PUR31 (#90 E.Davis)Similar
Q2 6:23
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+6
94.0%
(06:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 A.Harris rush middle for 6 yards gain to the PUR37 (#17 D.Bryant)Similar
Q2 5:37
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+3
94.0%
(05:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 A.Harris rush middle for 3 yards gain to the PUR40 (#90 E.Davis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
94.1%
(05:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 M.Singleton rush right for 4 yards gain to the PUR44 (#23 Z.Rainey-Sale; #17 D.Bryant)Similar
Q2 4:24
2ND & 6
OWN 44
0
94.4%
(04:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 M.Singleton pass incomplete deep left to #13 E.Horton thrown to WASH07Similar
Q2 4:14
3RD & 6
OWN 44
-1
94.6%
(04:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 M.Singleton pass complete short left to #17 R.Walker caught at PUR42, for 1 yard loss to the PUR43 (#7 E.Prysock)Similar
Q2 3:43
4TH & 7
OWN 43
0
94.8%
(03:48) #38 J.McCallister punt 47 yards to the WASH10 fair catch by #81 D.Roebuck at WASH10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 10TD
11 plays · 90 yds · 2:4096% → 99%
Q2 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
95.7%
(03:43) Shotgun #24 A.Mohammed rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WASH13 (#5 C.Correa)Similar
Q2 2:59
2ND & 7
OWN 13
+28
95.8%
(03:12) #2 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short left to #86 D.DeGraaf caught at WASH30, for 28 yards to the WASH41 (#21 T.Ra-El), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
96.1%
(02:29) #24 A.Mohammed rush left for 4 yards gain to the WASH45 (#91 C.Nunnally)Similar
Q2 1:51
2ND & 6
OWN 45
0
96.4%
(02:00) Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass incomplete short right to #0 K.Green Jr. thrown to WASH46Similar
Q2 1:51
3RD & 6
OWN 45
+15
96.3%
(01:51) Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass incomplete deep left to #5 O.Evans thrown to PUR22 PENALTY PUR Pass Interference (#28 C.Cummings) 15 yards from WASH45 to PUR40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
96.5%
(01:44) #24 A.Mohammed rush left for 4 yards gain to the PUR36 (#18 D.Kennedy)Similar
Q2 1:06
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+29
96.7%
(01:15) #2 D.Williams Jr. pass complete deep left to #13 A.Harris caught at PUR15, for 29 yards to the PUR07 (#21 T.Ra-El), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
96.6%
(01:06) #24 A.Mohammed rush middle for 2 yards gain to the PUR05 (#16 M.Powell)Similar
Q2 0:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
98.7%
(00:59) Shotgun #24 A.Mohammed rush middle for 5 yards gain to the PUR00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:55 #95 G.Gross kick attempt good (H: #45 L.Dunne, LS: #33 R.Kean)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 11END OF HALF
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:351% → 1%
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
98.7%
(00:54) Shotgun #15 R.Browne sacked for loss of 3 yards to the PUR22 (#54 A.Thompson)Similar
Q2 0:11
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+11
98.7%
(00:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne rush left for 11 yards gain to the PUR33, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:584% → 1%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
96.2%
(15:00) Shotgun #22 A.Harris rush left for 4 yards gain to the PUR29 (#5 Z.Durfee)Similar
Q3 14:17
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
98.8%
(14:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass incomplete short right to #44 C.Moore thrown to PUR35 broken up by #7 E.PrysockSimilar
Q3 14:11
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
98.8%
(14:17) Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass incomplete deep right to #2 M.Jackson III thrown to WASH47 broken up by #12 A.McLaughlinSimilar
Q3 13:57
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
98.9%
(14:11) #38 J.McCallister punt 58 yards to the WASH13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 13TD
4 plays · 87 yds · 1:4499% → 99%
Q3 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+15
99.0%
(13:55) Shotgun #4 J.Washington rush right for 15 yards gain to the WASH28 (#1 S.Bradford), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
99.0%
(13:21) #4 J.Washington rush middle for 9 yards gain to the WASH37 (#91 C.Nunnally)Similar
Q3 12:41
2ND & 1
OWN 37
+2
99.0%
(12:45) Shotgun #24 A.Mohammed rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WASH39 (#5 C.Correa), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+61
99.3%
(12:07) Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass complete deep middle to #13 A.Harris caught at PUR13, for 61 yards to the PUR00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:59, 1ST DOWN #95 G.Gross kick attempt good (H: #45 L.Dunne, LS: #33 R.Kean)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 14FG
14 plays · 52 yds · 4:501% → 2%
Q3 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.3%
(11:59) Shotgun #3 M.Singleton pass incomplete deep right to #0 N.Tuggle thrown to WASH48Similar
Q3 11:47
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.4%
(11:53) Shotgun #3 M.Singleton rush left for 1 yard gain to the PUR26 (#17 D.Bryant)Similar
Q3 11:10
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+10
99.4%
(11:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 M.Singleton pass incomplete short left to #0 N.Tuggle thrown to PUR36, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY WASH Pass Interference (#8 T.Davis) 10 yards from PUR26 to PUR36, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
99.4%
(11:06) Shotgun #24 M.Thomas rush right for 6 yards gain to the PUR42 (#18 R.Dillard-Allen)Similar
Q3 10:32
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+3
99.4%
(10:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 M.Singleton rush middle for 3 yards gain to the PUR45 (#17 D.Bryant)Similar
Q3 9:48
3RD & 1
OWN 45
0
99.4%
(09:52) Shotgun #3 M.Singleton pass incomplete short middle to #0 N.Tuggle thrown to PUR48 broken up by #41 D.LynchSimilar
Q3 9:43
4TH & 1
OWN 45
+1
99.3%
(09:48) Shotgun #3 M.Singleton rush right for 1 yard gain to the PUR46 (#90 E.Davis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+31
99.5%
(09:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 E.Horton rush left for 31 yards gain to the WASH23 (#7 E.Prysock), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:22
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
99.4%
(08:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 M.Singleton rush middle for 0 yards to the WASH23 (#48 J.Lane)Similar
Q3 7:44
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
99.5%
(07:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 M.Singleton pass incomplete short right to #12 C.Smith thrown to WASH05Similar
Q3 7:34
3RD & 10
OPP 23
0
99.5%
(07:44) Shotgun #3 M.Singleton pass complete short right to #22 A.Harris caught at WASH26, for 0 yards to the WASH23 (#23 Z.Rainey-Sale)Similar
Q3 7:02
4TH & 10
OPP 23
+41
98.2%
(07:06) #35 S.Porath field goal attempt from 41 yards GOOD (H: #38 J.McCallister, LS: #46 L.Raab), clock 07:02Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 15TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:24100% → 100%
Q3 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.5%
(07:02) #2 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short left to #21 Q.Carr caught at WASH23, for 5 yards to the WASH30 (#16 M.Powell)Similar
Q3 6:12
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+8
99.5%
(06:18) #21 Q.Carr rush left for 8 yards gain to the WASH38 (#16 M.Powell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.6%
(05:41) Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass incomplete deep right to #81 D.Roebuck thrown to PUR40Similar
Q3 5:29
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+4
99.6%
(05:35) Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. rush left for 4 yards gain to the WASH42 (#23 T.Smith), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 4:42
3RD & 6
OWN 42
+27
99.6%
(04:55) Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short left to #24 A.Mohammed caught at WASH37, for 27 yards to the PUR31 (#16 M.Powell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+30
99.6%
(04:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass complete deep middle to #86 D.DeGraaf caught at PUR07, for 30 yards to the PUR01 (#21 T.Ra-El), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
99.7%
(04:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 A.Mohammed rush middle for 1 yard loss to the PUR02 (#91 C.Nunnally)Similar
Q3 3:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.7%
(03:27) #2 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short left to #81 D.Roebuck caught at PUR00, for 2 yards to the PUR00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:22 #95 G.Gross kick attempt good (H: #45 L.Dunne, LS: #33 R.Kean)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 16FG
16 plays · 40 yds · 5:550% → 0%
Q3 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.8%
(03:22) Shotgun #3 M.Singleton pass complete short left to #0 N.Tuggle caught at PUR32, for 7 yards to the PUR32 (#8 T.Davis), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 2:37
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+8
99.7%
(02:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 M.Singleton pass complete short left to #13 E.Horton caught at PUR37, for 8 yards to the PUR40 (#23 Z.Rainey-Sale), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-2
99.8%
(02:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 M.Singleton rush middle for 2 yards loss to the PUR38 (#10 X.Alexander; #48 J.Lane). #48 J.Lane injured on the playSimilar
Q3 1:40
2ND & 12
OWN 38
+14
99.8%
(01:50) Shotgun #3 M.Singleton pass complete short middle to #0 N.Tuggle caught at PUR49, for 14 yards to the WASH48 (#8 T.Davis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
99.8%
(01:22) PENALTY PUR False Start (#76 E.Trent) 5 yards from WASH48 to PUR47. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 1:03
1ST & 15
OWN 47
+5
99.8%
(01:12) Shotgun #3 M.Singleton pass complete short right to #22 A.Harris caught at PUR49, for 5 yards to the WASH48 (#41 D.Lynch)Similar
Q3 0:21
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+2
99.8%
(00:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 M.Singleton pass complete short right to #2 M.Jackson III caught at WASH46, for 2 yards to the WASH46 (#10 X.Alexander)Similar
Q4 14:46
3RD & 8
OPP 46
+18
99.8%
(15:00) Shotgun #3 M.Singleton pass complete short right to #17 R.Walker caught at WASH30, for 18 yards to the WASH28 (#12 A.McLaughlin), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY PUR UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct offsetting WASH UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct offsettingSimilar
Q4 14:24
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
99.8%
(14:29) Shotgun #22 A.Harris rush middle for 4 yards gain to the WASH24 (#54 A.Thompson)Similar
Q4 13:43
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+7
99.8%
(13:56) Shotgun #3 M.Singleton pass complete short left to #22 A.Harris caught at WASH24, for 7 yards to the WASH17 (#54 A.Thompson; #10 X.Alexander), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
99.8%
(13:13) Shotgun #24 M.Thomas rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WASH15 (#10 X.Alexander; #90 E.Davis)Similar
Q4 12:29
2ND & 8
OPP 15
0
99.8%
(12:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 M.Singleton pass incomplete short right to #2 M.Jackson III thrown to WASH15 broken up by #41 D.LynchSimilar
Q4 12:24
3RD & 8
OPP 15
-5
99.8%
(12:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 M.Singleton sacked for loss of 5 yards to the WASH20 (#5 Z.Durfee) PENALTY PUR UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (#17 R.Walker) 15 yards from WASH20 to WASH35Similar
Q4 12:15
4TH & 28
OPP 35
+53
99.8%
(12:19) #35 S.Porath field goal attempt from 53 yards GOOD (H: #38 J.McCallister, LS: #46 L.Raab), clock 12:15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:28100% → 100%
Q4 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
(12:15) Shotgun #15 K.Horton pass incomplete short right to #24 A.Mohammed thrown to WASH26 QB hurried by #1 S.BradfordSimilar
Q4 12:11
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.8%
(12:11) Shotgun #24 A.Mohammed rush right for 8 yards gain to the WASH33 (#91 C.Nunnally)Similar
Q4 11:17
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-8
99.8%
(11:21) Shotgun #15 K.Horton sacked for loss of 8 yards to the WASH25 (#16 M.Powell)Similar
Q4 10:43
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
(10:50) #45 L.Dunne punt 43 yards to the PUR32, out of bounds at PUR32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 18TD
8 plays · 68 yds · 3:210% → 0%
Q4 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
99.9%
(10:43) Shotgun #3 M.Singleton pass incomplete deep right to #0 N.Tuggle thrown to WASH46 QB hurried by #92 B.ButlerSimilar
Q4 10:29
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+4
99.9%
(10:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 M.Singleton pass complete short right to #2 M.Jackson III caught at PUR32, for 4 yards to the PUR36 (#54 A.Thompson)Similar
Q4 9:53
3RD & 6
OWN 36
+10
99.9%
(09:53) Shotgun #3 M.Singleton pass incomplete short left to #0 N.Tuggle thrown to PUR47 PENALTY WASH Holding (#8 T.Davis) 10 yards from PUR36 to PUR46, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
99.9%
(09:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 M.Singleton pass complete short middle to #44 C.Moore caught at WASH48, for 6 yards to the WASH48 (#17 D.Bryant)Similar
Q4 9:03
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+36
99.9%
(09:10) Shotgun #3 M.Singleton pass complete deep right to #0 N.Tuggle caught at WASH20, for 36 yards to the WASH12 (#18 R.Dillard-Allen), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
99.9%
(08:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 M.Thomas rush middle for 0 yards to the WASH12 (#23 Z.Rainey-Sale)Similar
Q4 7:54
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+3
99.9%
(07:58) Shotgun #22 A.Harris rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WASH09 (#17 D.Bryant)Similar
Q4 7:15
3RD & 7
OPP 9
+9
99.9%
(07:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 M.Singleton pass complete short right to #13 E.Horton caught at WASH00, for 9 yards to the WASH00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:11, 1ST DOWN #35 S.Porath kick attempt good (H: #38 J.McCallister, LS: #46 L.Raab)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 19TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 5:09100% → 100%
Q4 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
99.9%
(07:11) Shotgun #32 R.Moon rush middle for 11 yards gain to the WASH36 (#12 R.Turner), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
99.9%
(06:30) Shotgun #32 R.Moon rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WASH38 (#6 S.Ellis; #10 A.Sanford)Similar
Q4 5:33
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+14
99.9%
(05:45) #15 K.Horton rush right for 14 yards gain to the PUR48 (#6 S.Ellis), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:41
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+25
99.9%
(04:55) Shotgun #15 K.Horton pass complete deep middle to #86 D.DeGraaf caught at PUR23, for 25 yards to the PUR23, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 3:56
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+12
99.9%
(04:10) #15 K.Horton pass complete short right to #5 O.Evans caught at PUR11, for 12 yards to the PUR11, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 3:14
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+9
99.9%
(03:25) Shotgun #32 R.Moon rush middle for 9 yards gain to the PUR02 (#25 H.McLaurin)Similar
Q4 2:28
2ND & 1
OPP 2
0
99.9%
(02:39) Shotgun #32 R.Moon rush middle for 0 yards to the PUR02 (#18 D.Kennedy)Similar
Q4 1:54
3RD & 1
OPP 2
+2
100.0%
(02:00) Shotgun #15 K.Horton rush left for 2 yards gain to the PUR00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:54, 1ST DOWN #95 G.Gross kick attempt good (H: #45 L.Dunne, LS: #33 R.Kean)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:250% → 0%
Q4 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
(01:54) Shotgun #3 M.Singleton pass incomplete deep right to #13 E.Horton thrown to WASH36Similar
Q4 1:41
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
(01:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 M.Singleton pass incomplete deep left to #10 J.Watson thrown to WASH37Similar
Q4 1:31
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
(01:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 M.Singleton pass incomplete short right to #22 A.Harris thrown to PUR27 QB hurried by #92 B.ButlerSimilar
Q4 1:23
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
(01:31) #38 J.McCallister punt 35 yards to the WASH40 #81 D.Roebuck return 0 yards to the WASH40 (#3 S.Smith)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 21END OF GAME
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:38100% → 100%
Q4 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
100.0%
(01:23) Kneel down by #15 K.Horton at WASH39 for loss of 1 yardSimilar
Q4 0:40
2ND & 11
OWN 39
-1
100.0%
(00:40) Kneel down by #15 K.Horton at WASH38 for loss of 1 yardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 7:05
(07:15) #4 J.Washington rush right for 68 yards gain to the PUR00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:05, 1ST DOWN. #40 I.Jeffries injured on the play #95 G.Gross kick attempt good (H: #45 L.Dunne, LS: #33 R.Kean)
+4.9
TD · Q2 0:55
(00:59) Shotgun #24 A.Mohammed rush middle for 5 yards gain to the PUR00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:55 #95 G.Gross kick attempt good (H: #45 L.Dunne, LS: #33 R.Kean)
+2.6
TD · Q1 3:30
#24 A.Mohammed rush middle for 1 yard gain to the PUR00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:30 #95 G.Gross kick attempt good (H: #45 L.Dunne, LS: #33 R.Kean)
+1.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com