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WIS

Wisconsin 7 at Indiana 31

IU
2025 · Week 12 · Nov 15, 2025 · Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)
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Win probability · IU
modelIU aheadWIS aheadconfidence bandkey playIU scoreWIS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 10:58 · (11:02) #44 M.McCarthy punt 19 yards to the WIS20, out of bounds at WIS20
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+45.5+22.80−22.8−45.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 119Pregame prior+12.3Home team on offense+27.2Score differential+13.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.0Garbage-time factor+12.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+2.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:42: (03:48) #5 C.Smith pass complete short middle to #86 L.Mason caught at IND27, for 45 yards to the IND00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:42, 1ST DOWN #90 N.Vakos kick attempt good (H: #49 A.Bertrams, LS: #46 N.Levy) — WIS win probability +7.0 pts (now 16%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 3:35: (03:40) Shotgun #8 K.Black rush middle for 5 yards gain to the IND30 (#92 C.Walker; #8 M.Posa). #67 K.Benson injured on the play — IU win probability +2.7 pts (now 88%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 15:00: (15:00) #90 N.Vakos kickoff 65 yards to the IND00, Touchback — WIS win probability +3.7 pts (now 14%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. TD · Q3 10:19: (10:19) #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short right to #19 H.Staes caught at WIS00, for 2 yards to the WIS00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:19 #15 N.Radicic kick attempt good (H: #44 M.McCarthy, LS: #47 M.Langston) — IU win probability +5.3 pts (now 92%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:44: (04:50) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short middle to #37 R.Nowakowski caught at WIS15, for 21 yards to the WIS00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:44, 1ST DOWN #15 N.Radicic kick attempt good (H: #44 M.McCarthy, LS: #47 M.Langston) — IU win probability +4.9 pts (now 98%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IU made the numbers' call on 2 of 5WIS made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 10:12WIS 4th & 1 at IU 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    5.3%−0.2
    49% to make
    Punt
    5.3%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:21WIS 4th & 6 at IU 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.6%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.6%
    62% to make
    Punt
    5.2%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:12WIS 4th & 16 at WIS 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.4%−0.3
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:24IU 4th & 9 at IU 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.1%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:46WIS 4th & 6 at WIS 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.6%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:46IU 4th & 1 at IU 43, up 7
    Close callPunted · 92.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.7%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:42WIS 4th & 1 at IU 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    8.4%−1.3
    25% to make
    Punt
    8.8%−1.0
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:55IU 4th & 8 at WIS 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 85.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.0%−0.7
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.7%
    77% to make
    Punt
    83.0%−2.7
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:13WIS 4th & 7 at WIS 37, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.6%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:19IU 4th & 2 at IU 40, up 10
    Close callPunted · 91.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.7%−0.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:28WIS 4th & 1 at WIS 34, down 17
    Close callPunted · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.6%−0.6
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:58IU 4th & 10 at WIS 39, up 17
    Close callPunted · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.1%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    97.0%−0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:36WIS 4th & 9 at WIS 29, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3WIS made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 3:42WIS Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 10:19IU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 4:44IU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 5:21IU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WISDrive 1MISSED FG
16 plays · 48 yds · 7:325% → 6%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
95.3%
(15:00) Shotgun #10 G.Ituka rush right for 3 yards gain to the WIS28 (#6 M.Kamara; #97 M.Landino)Similar
Q1 14:12
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+19
95.1%
(14:24) Shotgun #5 C.Smith pass complete short middle to #34 J.Acker caught at WIS26, for 19 yards to the WIS47 (#7 L.Moore; #97 M.Landino), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
95.0%
(13:44) Shotgun #5 C.Smith pass incomplete short left to #2 T.Kekahuna thrown to IND49 broken up by #5 D.PondsSimilar
Q1 13:35
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+2
95.0%
(13:41) Shotgun #10 G.Ituka rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WIS49 (#6 M.Kamara; #7 L.Moore)Similar
Q1 12:56
3RD & 8
OWN 49
+9
94.9%
(13:03) Shotgun #5 C.Smith rush middle for 9 yards gain to the IND42 (#5 D.Ponds), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
94.7%
(12:25) Shotgun #5 C.Smith rush left for 1 yard gain to the IND41 (#21 R.Hardy; #97 M.Landino)Similar
Q1 11:26
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+5
94.5%
(11:44) Shotgun #5 C.Smith pass complete short middle to #87 J.McGohan caught at IND36, for 5 yards to the IND36 (#46 I.Jones; #4 A.Fisher)Similar
Q1 10:54
3RD & 4
OPP 36
+3
94.4%
(11:04) Shotgun #2 T.Kekahuna rush right for 3 yards gain to the IND33 (#1 A.Ferrell; #7 L.Moore)Similar
Q1 10:12
4TH & 1
OPP 33
+2
94.3%
(10:17) #10 G.Ituka rush middle for 2 yards gain to the IND31 (#14 K.Turner), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:31
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-7
94.0%
(09:36) #5 C.Smith sacked for loss of 7 yards to the IND38 (#91 D.Ratcliff)Similar
Q1 8:48
2ND & 17
OPP 38
+3
93.8%
(08:54) Shotgun #6 D.Dupree rush right for 3 yards gain to the IND35 (#4 A.Fisher; #6 M.Kamara)Similar
Q1 8:07
3RD & 14
OPP 35
+8
94.3%
(08:07) Shotgun #5 C.Smith pass complete short middle to #8 V.Anthony II caught at IND37, for 8 yards to the IND27, End Of PlaySimilar
Q1 7:21
4TH & 6
OPP 27
+44
94.2%
(07:23) #90 N.Vakos field goal attempt from 44 yards NO GOOD (H: #49 A.Bertrams, LS: #46 N.Levy), clock 07:21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 2TD
9 plays · 72 yds · 4:1795% → 94%
Q1 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
94.6%
(07:21) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short right to #7 E.Williams Jr. caught at IND35, for 7 yards to the IND35, out of bounds at IND35Similar
Q1 6:46
2ND & 3
OWN 35
+7
94.6%
(06:54) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short left to #80 C.Becker caught at IND41, for 7 yards to the IND42 (#2 R.Hallman; #19 T.Heiberger), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
94.5%
(06:20) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush middle for 4 yards gain to the IND46 (#22 M.Reiger)Similar
Q1 5:34
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+5
94.5%
(05:44) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short right to #19 H.Staes caught at IND42, for 5 yards to the WIS49 (#29 M.Jung)Similar
Q1 5:02
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+7
94.4%
(05:06) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush middle for 7 yards gain to the WIS42 (#44 C.Catalano), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:23
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
94.3%
(04:30) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass incomplete short right to #3 O.Cooper Jr. thrown to WIS28 QB hurried by #95 B.Lane Jr.Similar
Q1 4:12
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+9
94.2%
(04:24) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short middle to #8 K.Black caught at WIS45, for 9 yards to the WIS33 (#1 G.Latimer)Similar
Q1 3:39
3RD & 1
OPP 33
+2
94.2%
(03:44) Shotgun #8 K.Black rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WIS31 (#8 M.Posa; #5 D.Hill), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:56
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+31
94.2%
(03:01) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete deep left to #80 C.Becker caught at WIS00, for 31 yards to the WIS00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:56, 1ST DOWN #15 N.Radicic kick attempt good (H: #44 M.McCarthy, LS: #47 M.Langston)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 5 yds · 2:386% → 7%
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
93.8%
(02:56) Shotgun #6 D.Dupree rush left for 1 yard loss to the WIS24 (#17 D.Ndukwe)Similar
Q1 2:09
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+12
93.6%
(02:16) Shotgun #5 C.Smith pass complete short left to #1 C.Brooks Jr. caught at WIS29, for 12 yards to the WIS36 (#7 L.Moore; #17 D.Ndukwe), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
93.3%
(01:36) Shotgun #5 C.Smith pass incomplete deep left to #6 D.Dupree thrown to IND33Similar
Q1 1:25
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-2
93.4%
(01:31) Shotgun #10 G.Ituka rush right for 2 yards loss to the WIS34 (#95 T.Tucker)Similar
Q1 0:41
3RD & 12
OWN 34
-4
93.5%
(00:50) Shotgun #5 C.Smith pass complete short right to #6 D.Dupree caught at WIS29, for 4 yards loss to the WIS30 (#22 J.Sharpe)Similar
Q1 0:12
4TH & 16
OWN 30
0
93.5%
(00:12) #91 S.West punt 52 yards to the IND18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 27 yds · 3:2693% → 92%
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+8
93.0%
(14:58) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short right to #7 E.Williams Jr. caught at IND21, for 8 yards to the IND26 (#15 S.Cheeks; #0 C.Alliegro)Similar
Q2 14:31
2ND & 2
OWN 26
+5
93.1%
(14:38) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza rush left for 5 yards gain to the IND31 (#0 C.Alliegro; #29 M.Jung), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+13
92.9%
(13:58) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short left to #80 C.Becker caught at IND38, for 13 yards to the IND44 (#5 D.Hill), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-1
93.1%
(13:20) Shotgun #8 K.Black rush middle for 1 yard loss to the IND43 (#30 C.Perkins)Similar
Q2 12:39
2ND & 11
OWN 43
+9
92.8%
(12:43) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short left to #80 C.Becker caught at IND50, for 9 yards to the WIS48 (#5 D.Hill), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 12:05
3RD & 2
OPP 48
-7
92.8%
(12:10) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza sacked for loss of 7 yards to the IND45 (#8 M.Posa)Similar
Q2 11:24
4TH & 9
OWN 45
+3
92.2%
(11:30) #44 M.McCarthy punt 34 yards to the WIS21 #3 T.Henry return 3 yards to the WIS24 (#10 R.Gandy)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:298% → 7%
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-3
92.5%
(11:24) #5 C.Smith sacked for loss of 3 yards to the WIS21 (#21 R.Hardy)Similar
Q2 10:42
2ND & 13
OWN 21
+7
92.6%
(10:47) Shotgun #10 G.Ituka rush middle for 7 yards gain to the WIS28 (#4 A.Fisher)Similar
Q2 9:59
3RD & 6
OWN 28
0
92.5%
(10:02) Shotgun #5 C.Smith pass incomplete short right to #8 V.Anthony II thrown to WIS27Similar
Q2 9:46
4TH & 6
OWN 28
+16
92.6%
(09:57) #91 S.West punt 54 yards to the IND18 #0 J.Brady return 16 yards to the IND34 (#43 G.Bortolotti; #46 N.Levy)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:5391% → 91%
Q2 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-4
91.3%
(09:44) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza sacked for loss of 4 yards to the IND30 (#17 D.Peterson)Similar
Q2 9:01
2ND & 14
OWN 30
+7
91.0%
(09:07) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush middle for 7 yards gain to the IND37 (#29 M.Jung; #1 G.Latimer)Similar
Q2 8:39
3RD & 7
OWN 37
+5
90.8%
(08:39) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass incomplete deep left to #80 C.Becker thrown to WIS40 PENALTY WIS Offside (#15 S.Cheeks) 5 yards from IND37 to IND42. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 8:26
3RD & 2
OWN 42
+1
91.0%
(08:31) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush middle for 1 yard gain to the IND43 (#31 J.Suggs)Similar
Q2 7:46
4TH & 1
OWN 43
0
90.6%
(07:51) #44 M.McCarthy punt 36 yards to the WIS21 fair catch by #3 T.Henry at WIS21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 7TD
8 plays · 79 yds · 3:578% → 16%
Q2 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+14
92.2%
(07:44) Shotgun #10 G.Ituka rush right for 14 yards gain to the WIS35 (#22 J.Sharpe; #4 A.Fisher), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
92.3%
(07:06) Shotgun #2 T.Kekahuna rush right for 4 yards gain to the WIS39 (#12 D.Boykin), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 6:28
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+5
92.0%
(06:32) Shotgun #8 V.Anthony II rush right for 5 yards gain to the WIS44 (#5 D.Ponds), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 5:47
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+2
91.5%
(05:54) #34 J.Acker rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WIS46 (#14 K.Turner; #0 H.Wheeler), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
91.9%
(05:15) Shotgun #5 C.Smith pass incomplete short right to #10 G.Ituka thrown to WIS39 QB hurried by #21 R.HardySimilar
Q2 4:56
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+6
92.1%
(05:12) Shotgun #5 C.Smith pass complete short left to #13 E.Hilton Jr. caught at IND48, for 6 yards to the IND48, End Of PlaySimilar
Q2 4:20
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+3
91.4%
(04:26) Shotgun #5 C.Smith rush middle for 3 yards gain to the IND45 (#46 I.Jones; #17 D.Ndukwe)Similar
Q2 3:42
4TH & 1
OPP 45
+45
84.5%
(03:48) #5 C.Smith pass complete short middle to #86 L.Mason caught at IND27, for 45 yards to the IND00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:42, 1ST DOWN #90 N.Vakos kick attempt good (H: #49 A.Bertrams, LS: #46 N.Levy)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 8FG
11 plays · 56 yds · 2:4088% → 89%
Q2 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
87.5%
(03:40) Shotgun #8 K.Black rush middle for 5 yards gain to the IND30 (#92 C.Walker; #8 M.Posa). #67 K.Benson injured on the playSimilar
Q2 3:08
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
87.6%
(03:14) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush middle for 4 yards gain to the IND34 (#8 M.Posa; #44 C.Catalano)Similar
Q2 2:36
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
87.1%
(02:43) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush middle for 3 yards gain to the IND37 (#5 D.Hill; #9 A.Brown), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
87.2%
(02:11) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short right to #37 R.Nowakowski caught at IND41, for 5 yards to the IND42 (#8 M.Posa), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 1:51
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+37
87.5%
(02:00) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short middle to #37 R.Nowakowski caught at IND40, for 37 yards to the WIS21 (#9 A.Brown), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-6
88.4%
(01:51) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza sacked for loss of 6 yards to the WIS27 (#22 M.Reiger, #17 D.Peterson)Similar
Q2 1:39
2ND & 16
OPP 27
0
87.8%
(01:42) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass incomplete deep middle to #80 C.Becker thrown to WIS00Similar
Q2 1:27
3RD & 16
OPP 27
+8
86.8%
(01:39) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short left to #1 R.Hemby caught at WIS33, for 8 yards to the WIS19 (#1 G.Latimer; #8 M.Posa)Similar
Q2 0:55
4TH & 8
OPP 19
+37
88.6%
(00:57) #15 N.Radicic field goal attempt from 37 yards GOOD (H: #44 M.McCarthy, LS: #47 M.Langston), clock 00:55Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 9END OF HALF
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:3410% → 11%
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
89.8%
(00:48) Shotgun #10 G.Ituka rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WIS31 (#46 I.Jones)Similar
Q2 0:10
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+6
89.5%
(00:10) Shotgun #10 G.Ituka rush right for 6 yards gain to the WIS37 (#4 A.Fisher)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 10TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:3486% → 92%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
86.2%
(14:58) Shotgun #8 K.Black rush left for 0 yards to the IND25 (#5 D.Hill)Similar
Q3 14:21
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
86.5%
(14:27) Shotgun #8 K.Black rush left for 2 yards gain to the IND27 (#5 D.Hill; #8 M.Posa)Similar
Q3 13:39
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+48
85.5%
(13:53) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete deep middle to #80 C.Becker caught at WIS34, for 48 yards to the WIS25 (#9 A.Brown), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
87.8%
(13:05) Shotgun #8 K.Black rush middle for 4 yards gain to the WIS21 (#95 B.Lane Jr.; #99 P.Petersen)Similar
Q3 12:25
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+8
87.4%
(12:32) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush right for 8 yards gain to the WIS13 (#29 M.Jung), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
87.2%
(11:55) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short right to #3 O.Cooper Jr. caught at WIS08, for 5 yards to the WIS08 (#5 D.Hill)Similar
Q3 11:12
2ND & 5
OPP 8
+6
87.0%
(11:17) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush middle for 6 yards gain to the WIS02 (#5 D.Hill), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
86.9%
(10:56) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush middle for 0 yards to the WIS02 (#15 S.Cheeks; #30 C.Perkins)Similar
Q3 10:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
92.2%
(10:19) #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short right to #19 H.Staes caught at WIS00, for 2 yards to the WIS00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:19 #15 N.Radicic kick attempt good (H: #44 M.McCarthy, LS: #47 M.Langston)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 1:489% → 7%
Q3 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
90.8%
(10:11) Shotgun #5 C.Smith pass complete short right to #10 G.Ituka caught at WIS28, for 0 yards to the WIS34 (#21 R.Hardy)Similar
Q3 9:26
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+6
90.8%
(09:31) Shotgun #2 T.Kekahuna rush left for 6 yards gain to the WIS40 (#22 J.Sharpe; #7 L.Moore)Similar
Q3 8:35
3RD & 4
OWN 40
-3
90.4%
(08:47) Shotgun #10 G.Ituka rush right for 3 yards loss to the WIS37 (#8 S.Daley). #10 G.Ituka injured on the playSimilar
Q3 8:13
4TH & 7
OWN 37
+18
92.9%
(08:24) #91 S.West punt 49 yards to the IND14 #0 J.Brady return 18 yards to the IND32 (#34 C.Jarvis)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:5192% → 92%
Q3 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
92.0%
(08:13) Shotgun #28 K.Martin rush middle for 4 yards gain to the IND36 (#17 D.Peterson)Similar
Q3 7:37
2ND & 6
OWN 36
-9
92.1%
(07:42) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza sacked for loss of 9 yards to the IND27 (#17 D.Peterson)Similar
Q3 6:57
3RD & 15
OWN 27
+13
91.6%
(07:02) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short right to #7 E.Williams Jr. caught at IND40, for 13 yards to the IND40 (#6 O.Agard), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 6:19
4TH & 2
OWN 40
+10
91.9%
(06:28) #44 M.McCarthy punt 48 yards to the WIS12 #3 T.Henry return 10 yards to the WIS22 (#47 M.Langston)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 13FUMBLE
3 plays · -1 yds · 1:218% → 7%
Q3 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
92.3%
(06:19) Shotgun #6 D.Dupree rush middle for 4 yards gain to the WIS26 (#4 A.Fisher)Similar
Q3 5:36
2ND & 6
OWN 26
-3
92.1%
(05:41) Shotgun #6 D.Dupree rush right for 3 yards loss to the WIS23 (#8 S.Daley)Similar
Q3 4:52
3RD & 9
OWN 23
-2
92.7%
(05:00) Shotgun #5 C.Smith rush middle for 2 yards loss to the WIS21 fumbled by #5 C.Smith at WIS21 forced by #8 S.Daley recovered by IND #0 H.Wheeler at WIS21, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 14TD
1 play · 21 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q3 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
97.6%
(04:50) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short middle to #37 R.Nowakowski caught at WIS15, for 21 yards to the WIS00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:44, 1ST DOWN #15 N.Radicic kick attempt good (H: #44 M.McCarthy, LS: #47 M.Langston)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 2:094% → 3%
Q3 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
96.3%
(04:42) Shotgun #6 D.Dupree rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WIS27 (#91 D.Ratcliff)Similar
Q3 3:55
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
96.3%
(04:03) Shotgun #5 C.Smith pass complete short left to #1 C.Brooks Jr. caught at WIS32, for 7 yards to the WIS34 (#12 D.Boykin; #4 A.Fisher)Similar
Q3 3:19
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
96.1%
(03:23) #6 D.Dupree rush middle for 0 yards to the WIS34 (#8 S.Daley; #91 D.Ratcliff)Similar
Q3 2:28
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
97.5%
(02:33) #91 S.West punt 47 yards to the IND19 fair catch by #0 J.Brady at IND19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 16PUNT
13 plays · 42 yds · 6:2398% → 98%
Q3 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+7
97.5%
(02:26) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush middle for 7 yards gain to the IND26 (#8 M.Posa)Similar
Q3 1:44
2ND & 3
OWN 26
+4
97.6%
(01:53) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush middle for 4 yards gain to the IND30 (#29 M.Jung; #31 J.Suggs), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
97.6%
(01:08) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush left for 6 yards gain to the IND36 (#19 T.Heiberger)Similar
Q3 0:21
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+14
97.7%
(00:28) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short right to #7 E.Williams Jr. caught at IND50, for 14 yards to the IND50, out of bounds at IND50, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
50
+6
97.8%
(14:58) Shotgun #28 K.Martin rush right for 6 yards gain to the WIS44 (#6 O.Agard)Similar
Q4 14:20
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+3
98.0%
(14:25) Shotgun #28 K.Martin rush right for 3 yards gain to the WIS41 (#8 M.Posa)Similar
Q4 13:40
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+2
98.2%
(13:45) Shotgun #28 K.Martin rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WIS39 (#17 D.Peterson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
98.2%
(13:08) Shotgun #28 K.Martin rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WIS38 (#68 B.Barten; #17 D.Peterson)Similar
Q4 12:11
2ND & 9
OPP 38
+2
98.3%
(12:29) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short right to #37 R.Nowakowski caught at WIS36, for 2 yards to the WIS36 (#9 A.Brown)Similar
Q4 11:42
3RD & 7
OPP 36
-3
98.3%
(11:53) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza sacked for loss of 3 yards to the WIS39 (#44 C.Catalano)Similar
Q4 10:58
4TH & 10
OPP 39
0
98.1%
(11:02) #44 M.McCarthy punt 19 yards to the WIS20, out of bounds at WIS20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 17INT
3 plays · 11 yds · 1:081% → 1%
Q4 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
98.7%
(10:56) Shotgun #5 C.Smith rush middle for 4 yards gain to the WIS24 (#46 I.Jones; #17 D.Ndukwe)Similar
Q4 10:16
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+7
98.7%
(10:20) Shotgun #86 L.Mason rush right for 7 yards gain to the WIS31 (#21 R.Hardy), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
98.8%
(09:47) Shotgun #5 C.Smith pass intercepted by #12 D.Boykin at WIS48, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 18TD
8 plays · 48 yds · 4:1599% → 100%
Q4 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
99.2%
(09:42) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush middle for 4 yards gain to the WIS44 (#99 P.Petersen; #6 O.Agard)Similar
Q4 9:02
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+10
99.3%
(09:02) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush right for 11 yards gain to the WIS33 (#9 A.Brown), out of bounds PENALTY IND Holding (#74 B.Lynch) 10 yards from WIS44 to IND46. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 8:38
2ND & 16
OWN 46
+11
99.3%
(08:46) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short left to #0 J.Brady caught at IND45, for 11 yards to the WIS43 (#92 C.Walker), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 7:50
3RD & 5
OPP 43
+10
99.3%
(08:05) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short middle to #7 E.Williams Jr. caught at WIS33, for 10 yards to the WIS33 (#9 A.Brown), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
99.4%
(07:23) Shotgun #28 K.Martin rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WIS31 (#99 P.Petersen)Similar
Q4 6:30
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+29
99.4%
(06:38) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short left to #3 O.Cooper Jr. caught at WIS16, for 29 yards to the WIS02 (#29 M.Jung), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-3
99.5%
(06:00) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush middle for 3 yards loss to the WIS05 (#30 C.Perkins)Similar
Q4 5:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.8%
(05:22) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short left to #3 O.Cooper Jr. caught at WIS00, for 5 yards to the WIS00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:21 #15 N.Radicic kick attempt good (H: #44 M.McCarthy, LS: #47 M.Langston)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 1:320% → 0%
Q4 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
99.8%
(05:15) Shotgun #3 T.Henry rush right for 0 yards to the WIS28 (#21 R.Hardy)Similar
Q4 4:32
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+1
99.8%
(04:37) Shotgun #6 D.Dupree rush left for 1 yard gain to the WIS29 (#21 R.Hardy; #7 L.Moore)Similar
Q4 3:50
3RD & 9
OWN 29
0
99.8%
(03:52) Shotgun #5 C.Smith pass incomplete short left to #8 V.Anthony II thrown to WIS32 broken up by #21 R.HardySimilar
Q4 3:36
4TH & 9
OWN 29
0
99.8%
(03:50) #91 S.West punt 53 yards to the IND18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 20END OF GAME
8 plays · 25 yds · 2:50100% → 100%
Q4 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
99.9%
(03:36) Shotgun #16 A.Mendoza pass complete short left to #6 L.Bond caught at IND22, for 6 yards to the IND24 (#9 A.Brown; #5 D.Hill)Similar
Q4 2:54
2ND & 4
OWN 24
+3
99.9%
(02:59) Shotgun #28 K.Martin rush middle for 3 yards gain to the IND27 (#95 B.Lane Jr.; #44 C.Catalano)Similar
Q4 2:16
3RD & 1
OWN 27
+2
99.9%
(02:21) Shotgun #16 A.Mendoza rush left for 2 yards gain to the IND29 (#8 M.Posa), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
99.8%
(02:00) Shotgun #28 K.Martin rush middle for 7 yards gain to the IND36 (#8 M.Posa; #44 C.Catalano)Similar
Q4 1:10
2ND & 3
OWN 36
+5
99.8%
(01:16) Shotgun #28 K.Martin rush left for 5 yards gain to the IND41 (#92 C.Walker; #8 M.Posa), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
99.8%
(00:35) Shotgun #18 S.Vanhorse rush right for 2 yards gain to the IND43 (#15 S.Cheeks; #30 C.Perkins)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:42
(03:48) #5 C.Smith pass complete short middle to #86 L.Mason caught at IND27, for 45 yards to the IND00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:42, 1ST DOWN #90 N.Vakos kick attempt good (H: #49 A.Bertrams, LS: #46 N.Levy)
-7
TD · Q3 10:19
(10:19) #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short right to #19 H.Staes caught at WIS00, for 2 yards to the WIS00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:19 #15 N.Radicic kick attempt good (H: #44 M.McCarthy, LS: #47 M.Langston)
+5.3
TD · Q3 4:44
(04:50) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short middle to #37 R.Nowakowski caught at WIS15, for 21 yards to the WIS00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:44, 1ST DOWN #15 N.Radicic kick attempt good (H: #44 M.McCarthy, LS: #47 M.Langston)
+4.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com